19/04/2016 The Papers


19/04/2016

No need to wait until tomorrow morning to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines.


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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

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With me are Fay Schlesinger, head of news at The Times,

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and Kiran Stacey, the energy correspondent at

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The Guardian has a picture of Prince Harry's meeting

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with Chewbacca today and also reports on the General

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Medical Council intervening in the junior doctors dispute.

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The Mirror reports on UK intelligence agencies breaking up

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a plot by so-called Islamic State, to attack beaches that are popular

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The Financial Times leads on Saudi Arabia

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to help cope with the slump in oil prices.

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accused of murdering his six-year-old daughter, Ellie.

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A new image of the four generations of the House of Windsor dominates

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The Mail has the same picture, and also reports on comments made

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by Jean-Claude Juncker on what he thinks is wrong

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there's an almost identical front page from the Express.

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Lots to discuss. Let's start with your paper, the Times, an

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eye-grabbing headline, dementia rate falls as men behave themselves.

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Whoever heard of men behaving themselves! And men behaving

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themselves because they're apparently behaving more like women.

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You're getting this effect where women as they become more

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independent, more economically independent are catching up with

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men, but in some bad behaviours. Women started smoking later than

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men. You're seeing a good fall off in men smoking. Women's falloff will

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come later. Men were traditionally fatter, for example. So therefore

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the impact of exercise is having a positive impact. This is a story

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about how dementia is on the rise. There is no sense that dementia is

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falling. We have an ageing population. It comes with age. We

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know little about what causes dementia. What is increasingly

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evident is that general good health seems to be a way to stave it off.

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That seems really obvious, but it's incredibly important. If we can get

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the message through to people, getting a bit of exercise, walking

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30 minutes a day, makes a difference. It will have an impact.

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That interested me, it is suggesting that it's possible to take

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preventative action. Did we even know that? You say it seems obvious,

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in a way it does, because we're always told to eat better and

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exercise more. Having seen family members go through dementia, you

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feel powerless during that process. Because there's a hereditary aspect

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as well, I feel this, lots of people in families across the country feel

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this, that it's something that might be coming towards you and is there

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anything you can do? If exercise helps and if eating better helps and

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if stopping smoking helps, that's fantastic news. You can take action.

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At the age of 70 or 80 start taking action then, we don't have a single

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drug to reverse dementia. We're heading towards one that might slow

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it down and an NHS that is totally tripled. We need to take this

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action. It's important to say that dementia cases are on the rise

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because we're getting older. They're just not on the rise as much as we

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thought. We will now turn to your paper the FT. You're leading with

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the headline, Saudi Arabia boar rows $10 billion as oil slump drains

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reserves. This is significant because this is the world's richest

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country in serious trouble. Yeah essentially anybody who's wondering

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whether the price of petrol or the price of goods in their supermarkets

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will go up or down over the next few months, pay attention to stories

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like this. Saudi Arabia is the one country beyond any other that can

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actively do something to change the oil price. What's happened so far is

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the reason that oil has fallen off a cliff and the reason that petrol

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prices have come down and the price of goods in supermarkets and various

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things have got cheaper, the reason that's happened is because demand's

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come down from places like China, because their economies have slowed

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down. Saudi Arabia has carried on pumping out the oil, watching it get

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cheaper and cheaper as supplies flood the market. The reason it's

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done that is to try and kill off some of the other producers,

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particularly the US, which has had an eenterprisous shale oil and gas

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boom. It hopes, right, drive the price down, let the shale companies

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go out of business, then we'll turn off the taps, watch the price spike

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up again and we'll benefit. Even to its own detriment at this stage.

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Even though they've been hurt. Now they have to go to the bond markets

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and raise money. They're essentially borrowing for the first time since

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1991. There's a staggering figure that Saudi Arabia has got through

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$120 billion in reserves since 2014. They have literally turned the tap

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on. We are all - their will is able to entirely shape our economy. The

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power is in their hands at the moment. That's been scrrd near

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seeing it. They have crippled American fracking for example. By

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turning the tap on like this, they've crippled economies. What's

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interesting is the extent to which they're damaging themselves with a

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view to wiping out their enemies in the world of oil, such that they

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think that going forward they will be totally dominant. That's quite

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possible. There's nothing to indicate that they won't win at this

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game. Absolutely. If they can hold on longer than other producers can

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they could well win. They've also got Iran coming bark on stream.

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Sanction -- back on stream. Sanctions have now been lifted.

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Iranian producers are back in the mark. That provides a challenge,

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which is why they haven't turned off the tap yet. They're trying to ep

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coot Iranians in their place. It's amazing how these geopolitical

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concerns play out down to the price of a pint of milk. Let's move to the

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EU referendum. How could we not! Today has been dominated by Michael

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Gove's speech. The FT has chosen to go with the headline that he's

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holding up the Albanian model for post Brexit future. Explain why that

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model? Gove's speech is being characterised as the definitive

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Brexit speech. He's the biggest voice in the Out campaign and this

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was his moment, saying these are my reasons. He is saying the whole

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notion that we would be frozen out in terms of trade and we would have

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enormous tariffs to deal with outside the EU is poppy clock,

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because we, like Bosnia, Serbia, Ukraine and Albania would all have a

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trade dole whereby we could do positive trade with the EU. He's

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arguing on a macroscale is that you can't judge the climate post Brexit

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against the climate now. He's saying it would be a wholesale change to

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the way that countries define themselves. When we Brexit, in his

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world, other Cannes trips would follow suit. Others would feel

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sympathetic to Britain's demands and our woes in the EU. Thicks would

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change. -- things would change. It was interesting the speech, because

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it was confirmation that if Britain votes to leave the EU, it will leave

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the single market. That was probably the most interesting thing Michael

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Gove said today. We've heard from the Brexit campaigners, we can leave

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the EU and stay in the single market. Today we heard for the first

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time, no, we need another deal. They've accepted to stay in the

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single market you still need free movement, most importantly but

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things like you need to pay your dues and you probably feed to be

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under the European Court of Justice, which Michael Gove particularly

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doesn't like. This is a real change of policy. The problem is, if you're

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saying right, we're not going to do that, it's difficult to say what you

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are going to do. We've heard of the Norwegian and Swiss model, Canadian

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model, each of which has a draw back. I don't think the Albanian

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model will be a vote winner, one of the poorest countries in the EU. But

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you never know. Interesting story in the Mail. EU boss, "We do meddle too

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much." This is Jean-Claude Juncker. Where has he said this? He said to

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the Council of Europe today to a section of MPs from different

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countries. It's interesting the language that he's used. You're

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seeing not just in Britain, in places like Holland, where this

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wholesale rejection of the EU Treaty with Ukraine, a lot of anti-EU

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sentiment at the moment, this is Juncker acknowledging that. He's

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saying, we have in the past meddled too much. We've allowed the ECJ to

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override national legislation. He's basically admitted we shouldn't

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necessarily do that. There's references to the more quirky side

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of EU rules like I think there was an attempt to control the height of

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heels on hairdressers and things like this. It makes everyone laugh

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but those things stick in people's crew. He is basically acknowledging

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we have gone too far. He doesn't climb down from the EU ideal as he

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calls it. He says, we must stick together. We're losing economic

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clout. I'm not sure that's going to really play to his game. A lot of

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Brexiteers will say great. I want to move on to squeeze in a couple more

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stories. Let's move to the Guardian. GMC doctors strike will put patients

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at risk. This is in advance of the doctors strike planned for next

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week. Yeah next Tuesday and Wednesday between 8am and 5pm we are

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supposed to have, we don't know how many, but there are 45,000 junior

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doctors around the country who might go on strike, including in emergency

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wards. The GMC has made an intervention today warning doctors

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that look, if all the hospitals in you're area look like they're not

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going to be staffed properly, think about coming in. That sounds like an

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obvious thing to say, in such a heated climate that feels like quite

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a political intervention on the side of the Government. I don't know if

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the British Medical Association will see it like that. Very quickly,

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we're so short of time, I think we've got to make mention of this

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picture on the front of the Daily Express, it's on the front of all

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the papers, picture of four generations of the Royal Family to

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mark the Queen's 90th birthday. You're a former Royal Correspondent.

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Everyone's going to love this picture. It is gorgeous. Only the

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second time we've seen all four heirs to the throne. He's standing

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on the foam blocks to reach the height of daddy next to him. It's a

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very cute picture. The Royals are in a very happy period at the moment.

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They're incredibly popular. The Queen is incredibly popular. Others

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possibly less so. They've cut out Charles and William entirely on the

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Daily Mail. Unfortunately, that is it for the papers tonight. But

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before you go, here's a few more of tomorrow morning's front pages that

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have come through this evening: That new image of the four generations of

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the house of Windsor on the Telegraph. The paper is launching a

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campaign alongside security specialists to help tighten

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Britain's borders against terrorism. More Prince George on the front of

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the Sun, as well a story on children as young as four being encouraged to

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choose the gender they most identify with.

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And the New Day leads on the investigation into the murder of

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Ricky Neeve in 1994 following the arrest of a man in Peterborough

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earlier. All the front pages are online, on the BBC News website,

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where you can read a detailed review of the papers. It's all there for

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you, seven days a week, at bbc.co.uk/papers. You can see us

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there too, with each night's edition of the papers being posted on the

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page shortly after we've finished. Thank you again to my guests. Great

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that you were here. Thanks so much. From all of us, goodbye.

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Hello there. A couple more days of warm, spring sunshine before the

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weather changes. Let's set the scene,

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