19/04/2016 The Papers


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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be


With me are Fay Schlesinger, head of news at The Times,


and Kiran Stacey, the energy correspondent at


The Guardian has a picture of Prince Harry's meeting


with Chewbacca today and also reports on the General


Medical Council intervening in the junior doctors dispute.


The Mirror reports on UK intelligence agencies breaking up


a plot by so-called Islamic State, to attack beaches that are popular


The Financial Times leads on Saudi Arabia


to help cope with the slump in oil prices.


accused of murdering his six-year-old daughter, Ellie.


A new image of the four generations of the House of Windsor dominates


The Mail has the same picture, and also reports on comments made


by Jean-Claude Juncker on what he thinks is wrong


there's an almost identical front page from the Express.


Lots to discuss. Let's start with your paper, the Times, an


eye-grabbing headline, dementia rate falls as men behave themselves.


Whoever heard of men behaving themselves! And men behaving


themselves because they're apparently behaving more like women.


You're getting this effect where women as they become more


independent, more economically independent are catching up with


men, but in some bad behaviours. Women started smoking later than


men. You're seeing a good fall off in men smoking. Women's falloff will


come later. Men were traditionally fatter, for example. So therefore


the impact of exercise is having a positive impact. This is a story


about how dementia is on the rise. There is no sense that dementia is


falling. We have an ageing population. It comes with age. We


know little about what causes dementia. What is increasingly


evident is that general good health seems to be a way to stave it off.


That seems really obvious, but it's incredibly important. If we can get


the message through to people, getting a bit of exercise, walking


30 minutes a day, makes a difference. It will have an impact.


That interested me, it is suggesting that it's possible to take


preventative action. Did we even know that? You say it seems obvious,


in a way it does, because we're always told to eat better and


exercise more. Having seen family members go through dementia, you


feel powerless during that process. Because there's a hereditary aspect


as well, I feel this, lots of people in families across the country feel


this, that it's something that might be coming towards you and is there


anything you can do? If exercise helps and if eating better helps and


if stopping smoking helps, that's fantastic news. You can take action.


At the age of 70 or 80 start taking action then, we don't have a single


drug to reverse dementia. We're heading towards one that might slow


it down and an NHS that is totally tripled. We need to take this


action. It's important to say that dementia cases are on the rise


because we're getting older. They're just not on the rise as much as we


thought. We will now turn to your paper the FT. You're leading with


the headline, Saudi Arabia boar rows $10 billion as oil slump drains


reserves. This is significant because this is the world's richest


country in serious trouble. Yeah essentially anybody who's wondering


whether the price of petrol or the price of goods in their supermarkets


will go up or down over the next few months, pay attention to stories


like this. Saudi Arabia is the one country beyond any other that can


actively do something to change the oil price. What's happened so far is


the reason that oil has fallen off a cliff and the reason that petrol


prices have come down and the price of goods in supermarkets and various


things have got cheaper, the reason that's happened is because demand's


come down from places like China, because their economies have slowed


down. Saudi Arabia has carried on pumping out the oil, watching it get


cheaper and cheaper as supplies flood the market. The reason it's


done that is to try and kill off some of the other producers,


particularly the US, which has had an eenterprisous shale oil and gas


boom. It hopes, right, drive the price down, let the shale companies


go out of business, then we'll turn off the taps, watch the price spike


up again and we'll benefit. Even to its own detriment at this stage.


Even though they've been hurt. Now they have to go to the bond markets


and raise money. They're essentially borrowing for the first time since


1991. There's a staggering figure that Saudi Arabia has got through


$120 billion in reserves since 2014. They have literally turned the tap


on. We are all - their will is able to entirely shape our economy. The


power is in their hands at the moment. That's been scrrd near


seeing it. They have crippled American fracking for example. By


turning the tap on like this, they've crippled economies. What's


interesting is the extent to which they're damaging themselves with a


view to wiping out their enemies in the world of oil, such that they


think that going forward they will be totally dominant. That's quite


possible. There's nothing to indicate that they won't win at this


game. Absolutely. If they can hold on longer than other producers can


they could well win. They've also got Iran coming bark on stream.


Sanction -- back on stream. Sanctions have now been lifted.


Iranian producers are back in the mark. That provides a challenge,


which is why they haven't turned off the tap yet. They're trying to ep


coot Iranians in their place. It's amazing how these geopolitical


concerns play out down to the price of a pint of milk. Let's move to the


EU referendum. How could we not! Today has been dominated by Michael


Gove's speech. The FT has chosen to go with the headline that he's


holding up the Albanian model for post Brexit future. Explain why that


model? Gove's speech is being characterised as the definitive


Brexit speech. He's the biggest voice in the Out campaign and this


was his moment, saying these are my reasons. He is saying the whole


notion that we would be frozen out in terms of trade and we would have


enormous tariffs to deal with outside the EU is poppy clock,


because we, like Bosnia, Serbia, Ukraine and Albania would all have a


trade dole whereby we could do positive trade with the EU. He's


arguing on a macroscale is that you can't judge the climate post Brexit


against the climate now. He's saying it would be a wholesale change to


the way that countries define themselves. When we Brexit, in his


world, other Cannes trips would follow suit. Others would feel


sympathetic to Britain's demands and our woes in the EU. Thicks would


change. -- things would change. It was interesting the speech, because


it was confirmation that if Britain votes to leave the EU, it will leave


the single market. That was probably the most interesting thing Michael


Gove said today. We've heard from the Brexit campaigners, we can leave


the EU and stay in the single market. Today we heard for the first


time, no, we need another deal. They've accepted to stay in the


single market you still need free movement, most importantly but


things like you need to pay your dues and you probably feed to be


under the European Court of Justice, which Michael Gove particularly


doesn't like. This is a real change of policy. The problem is, if you're


saying right, we're not going to do that, it's difficult to say what you


are going to do. We've heard of the Norwegian and Swiss model, Canadian


model, each of which has a draw back. I don't think the Albanian


model will be a vote winner, one of the poorest countries in the EU. But


you never know. Interesting story in the Mail. EU boss, "We do meddle too


much." This is Jean-Claude Juncker. Where has he said this? He said to


the Council of Europe today to a section of MPs from different


countries. It's interesting the language that he's used. You're


seeing not just in Britain, in places like Holland, where this


wholesale rejection of the EU Treaty with Ukraine, a lot of anti-EU


sentiment at the moment, this is Juncker acknowledging that. He's


saying, we have in the past meddled too much. We've allowed the ECJ to


override national legislation. He's basically admitted we shouldn't


necessarily do that. There's references to the more quirky side


of EU rules like I think there was an attempt to control the height of


heels on hairdressers and things like this. It makes everyone laugh


but those things stick in people's crew. He is basically acknowledging


we have gone too far. He doesn't climb down from the EU ideal as he


calls it. He says, we must stick together. We're losing economic


clout. I'm not sure that's going to really play to his game. A lot of


Brexiteers will say great. I want to move on to squeeze in a couple more


stories. Let's move to the Guardian. GMC doctors strike will put patients


at risk. This is in advance of the doctors strike planned for next


week. Yeah next Tuesday and Wednesday between 8am and 5pm we are


supposed to have, we don't know how many, but there are 45,000 junior


doctors around the country who might go on strike, including in emergency


wards. The GMC has made an intervention today warning doctors


that look, if all the hospitals in you're area look like they're not


going to be staffed properly, think about coming in. That sounds like an


obvious thing to say, in such a heated climate that feels like quite


a political intervention on the side of the Government. I don't know if


the British Medical Association will see it like that. Very quickly,


we're so short of time, I think we've got to make mention of this


picture on the front of the Daily Express, it's on the front of all


the papers, picture of four generations of the Royal Family to


mark the Queen's 90th birthday. You're a former Royal Correspondent.


Everyone's going to love this picture. It is gorgeous. Only the


second time we've seen all four heirs to the throne. He's standing


on the foam blocks to reach the height of daddy next to him. It's a


very cute picture. The Royals are in a very happy period at the moment.


They're incredibly popular. The Queen is incredibly popular. Others


possibly less so. They've cut out Charles and William entirely on the


Daily Mail. Unfortunately, that is it for the papers tonight. But


before you go, here's a few more of tomorrow morning's front pages that


have come through this evening: That new image of the four generations of


the house of Windsor on the Telegraph. The paper is launching a


campaign alongside security specialists to help tighten


Britain's borders against terrorism. More Prince George on the front of


the Sun, as well a story on children as young as four being encouraged to


choose the gender they most identify with.


And the New Day leads on the investigation into the murder of


Ricky Neeve in 1994 following the arrest of a man in Peterborough


earlier. All the front pages are online, on the BBC News website,


where you can read a detailed review of the papers. It's all there for


you, seven days a week, at bbc.co.uk/papers. You can see us


there too, with each night's edition of the papers being posted on the


page shortly after we've finished. Thank you again to my guests. Great


that you were here. Thanks so much. From all of us, goodbye.


Hello there. A couple more days of warm, spring sunshine before the


weather changes. Let's set the scene,


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