06/06/2016 The Papers


06/06/2016

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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

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With me are Helen Joyce, the International Editor

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at the Economist and Craig Woodhouse, The Chief political

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Tomorrow's front pages, starting with The Financial Times,

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which is leading with investor uncertainty over a possible Brexit

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along with signs that the US Federal Reserve might hold off

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raising rates until after the EU referendum.

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The Metro has more on the arrest of a French national in Ukraine,

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suspected of plotting a large scale terrorist attack at the Euro

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The front page of the I features pro-Europe MPs who may try to use

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the House of Commons to keep Britain in the single market,

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even if the Leave campaign is successful.

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The Telegraph's top story is a warning from the justice

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minister, who says criminals from Europe have been able to stay

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in the UK because they've used EU rules to avoid deportation.

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It's one of several papers to show the former Chelsea first team doctor

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Eva Carneiro arriving at her employment tribunal.

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The Express leads with what it says is a boost for the Leave campaign,

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it says some bookmakers have shortened the odds of Britain

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The Guardian's main headline is the expectation that Tony Blair

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will defend his decision to join the invasion of Iraq

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ahead of the publication of the Chilcot inquiry report.

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The Times has more on the possibility that pro-Europe

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MPs could defy a Brexit poll victory.

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And the Daily Mail has the story of a drug which has been

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fast-tracked in the US to help combat breast cancer,

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but has been held back in the UK, the Mail blames what it says

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The Metro, Euro 2016 Terror plot smashed. A Frenchman stopped on the

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border between Ukraine and Poland. Apparently a far right sympathiser

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who had dodgy intense -- terror? You would think so, with this amount of

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TNT. All credit to those who manage to foil their support. Not the

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threat that is top of your mind, these far right groups. Security

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people have said that terrorists are all finding out things from their --

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each other. Getting the weapons is an issue, this is why it was this

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particular border. I think that Ukraine would be a good place to be

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doing shopping for those dodgy goods. Yes, you say that far right

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terrorists are not at the top of everybody's list of those who might

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be wanting to interrupt this tournament, but the French officials

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are saying he may just be wanted on charges of arms smuggling, and not

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actually on any plot is connected to Euro 2016? Yes, it is worrying for

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any football fans going over for the tournament. Whether or not he was

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planning to do it himself or help someone else, it is amazing how

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quickly our perceptions on terror threats can change. I wonder what it

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has put in the minds of fans that were planning to go over there.

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Everyone wants the tournament to go on, but there will be some

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nervousness in Paris now. Indeed. The EU referendum, I know you want

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it! I don't know what I'm going to do in 17 days when it's all gone

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away! The Times, the remaining's strategy on Brexit will be to

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somehow keep us in the single market. Is that possible? The short

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answer is, bubbly not, but that won't stop them from training. There

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are only about a MPs who are against it -- 140 MPs. How can we get the

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best version of a Brexit for ourselves? They have said that they

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will try and vote in the House of Commons to keep the UK in the single

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market. That would be a tariff free trading zone. This is bad from a

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Brexit point of view, because that would have the free movement of

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people, which is something we want to get rid of. Personally, I think

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they would get sorted out the ballot box if they tried to do this. To try

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this would be crazy. But isn't this... The remaining brigade, isn't

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this them shooting themselves in the foot potentially? One of British

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people's biggest concerns is the British economy and leaving the

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single market. If we could leave the EU and still be part of the single

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market, wouldn't they think it was a good idea? I think that people think

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they can do that anyway, they just don't want to. You couldn't be doing

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this every day, getting up and making these arguments. They do have

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a point in that, what we are being offered on the exit side is the most

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fluid thing imaginable. Will it be from Norway, Switzerland, Albania?

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You could say, here is a model for what might happen if we had a Brexit

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and we could make it happen. At a Brexit is about leaving the single

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market, isn't it? Well... They would say, we couldn't work of the

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Norwegian or the Albanian or Swedish model, we are working from the

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British model. It would involve negotiating without being in the

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room with the European powers. But we will have to see how we negotiate

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ourselves in 18 days time. I can see that you are excited already! Janet

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Yellen apparently voted the third most important person on the planet.

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She has signalled that the reserve will sit tight on whether or not to

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raise interest rates until the referendum vote? All markets hate

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uncertainty more than anything else. Well, some of them love it, because

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it could be your chance to make a fast buck. But in general, nobody

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wants to set policy when things are going in different directions every

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day. We don't know how much reliance we should put on the polls. You

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don't know whether you should make a decision today and keep them moving

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parts stationary. The referendum debate is dominating everything in

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the UK. This whole discussion has much more to do with the abysmal

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jobs figures that came out the other day. I think that the moving parts

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argument does the -- does make sense. There are two movements to

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any currency movement, the larger ones and the minute movements that

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clever people are able to make --2 elements. This does seem to be the

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consensus opinion that the economy will go down. The art there is a lot

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of daily News, different polls. People trading will react fast and

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we see these enormous spikes and volatility. I don't know what an

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average Brit is, but your average voter, would they see this story

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about interest rates and wonder, is this something to worry about? Are

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they taking it in? I don't think so. A lot of people resent having to

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make this choice. It is not something they were thinking about.

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Now they are being forced to think about it. In many cases, they don't

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know what to think about. That is not to try and belittle anyone, but

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this is not high in the concerns of most voters. We don't do referendum

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is very often heal. It came out of nowhere in terms of coming to the

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ordinary person. -- here. It is not a simple decision. The way you are

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likely to vote depends enormously on what job you do in all sorts of

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different things. I think to a certain extent MPs are in an awful

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position. They are under pressure to declare which way they are going to

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vote, but if you are speaking to a fisherman in your constituency, the

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advice he would give them in this referendum would be completely

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different to, say, and exporting business. The equation is not the

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same for everybody. What of the things that happens as we approach a

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general election, the polls didn't do great last year, but they weren't

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wildly out... We don't have a context for these polls, this one we

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don't know what the turnout will be. People haven't registered or

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decided. We were saying this, people don't generally say, I don't know

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who I am going to vote for. But all the time in this referendum, people

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say that. Explain why this referendum is happening now. Explain

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it. David Cameron promised it to keep a lid on his backbench Tories.

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So it's about a Tory argument. European killers and rapists can't

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be deported? This is a dossier, the justice minister is presenting this

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tomorrow. He is in the 20 worst criminals who are still in Britain.

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You cannot get rid of them. It is quite complicated and relates to how

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long they have been in this country and the level of crime against them.

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If they have been here for a long time, you... It includes a guy who

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stabbed a head teacher to death. Most people would remember that.

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There is an attempt from the wrecks campaign to fight back at this idea

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that staying in the EU would make borders safe. We have some unsavoury

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characters clogging up our jails and on our streets. But there is the

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European Arrest Warrant, which speeds up the deportation of

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criminals. Also, you have the... I'd completely forgotten my train of

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thought. You also have the fact that, as one exception to free

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movement of people, you can stop people at the border. Is an example

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of how difficult this decision is. You wonder how many rapists there

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are in the country, are we getting rid of our own rapists? You have to

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weigh that up against currency movements and trade... There's very

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painful. I don't think people appreciate it. Other newspapers

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doing a good enough job of explaining this -- are the

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newspapers? People are still saying, I haven't got any facts. People say

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they want facts, but there actually many facts because we are talking

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about the future. It is two different versions of the future. It

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is a very complicated decision. People want facts but there aren't

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any. Last year we kicked out about 4500 European criminals. Each side

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says, we got these out! The other side says, we let them in in the

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first place. They want certainty that doesn't exist. They want to be

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pointed in the right direction. Everything is pointing in a

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different direction, it is really about feelings.

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The middle classes to short of cash to pay they ?500...?

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Three things that break down suddenly, including

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It is to think someone can't replace these things

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if they are middle class without going into debt borrowing.

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It just shows you the result of several

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years of wage stagnation and people may be having using money

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for the last six or eight years during

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difficult times when they have put something by.

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Using whatever savings they might have had.

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It is a real bread and butter issue. It shows the indebtedness. Household

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debt is spiralling to ludicrous levels. People haven't learnt their

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lessons. He will borrowing too much on credit cards and credit to pay

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for other things. You are really struggling to make ends meet. It is

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as much of a headache for the Bank of England as the rest of it.

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Defining the middle class by people doing pretty nice jobs. That is

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quite impressive. OK, just briefly, vegetable was a hot potato for the

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BBC. That is vegetable... Riveting. I did not know these words were in

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play in the 1920s. Apparently, you could say she as in skiing. This is

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what the Norwegian say. That is silly! These were news to me. I did

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not know Koeman was a possibility. So, vegetable. Nobody says

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vegetable. It is like saying Wednesday. Bonkers. Thank you so

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much. Stay with us. Much more on BBC News. You can read a detailed review

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of all the papers seven days a week on BBC's website. You can see us

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with each night's edition of the papers hosted on the page shortly

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after we have finished. Many thanks to my guests. Goodbye.

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James Patterson is the world's biggest selling author.

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He is best-known for his thrillers but has written science fiction,

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novels for young people, romance and nonfiction.

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No need to wait until tomorrow morning to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines.


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