06/06/2016 The Papers


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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be


With me are Helen Joyce, the International Editor


at the Economist and Craig Woodhouse, The Chief political


Tomorrow's front pages, starting with The Financial Times,


which is leading with investor uncertainty over a possible Brexit


along with signs that the US Federal Reserve might hold off


raising rates until after the EU referendum.


The Metro has more on the arrest of a French national in Ukraine,


suspected of plotting a large scale terrorist attack at the Euro


The front page of the I features pro-Europe MPs who may try to use


the House of Commons to keep Britain in the single market,


even if the Leave campaign is successful.


The Telegraph's top story is a warning from the justice


minister, who says criminals from Europe have been able to stay


in the UK because they've used EU rules to avoid deportation.


It's one of several papers to show the former Chelsea first team doctor


Eva Carneiro arriving at her employment tribunal.


The Express leads with what it says is a boost for the Leave campaign,


it says some bookmakers have shortened the odds of Britain


The Guardian's main headline is the expectation that Tony Blair


will defend his decision to join the invasion of Iraq


ahead of the publication of the Chilcot inquiry report.


The Times has more on the possibility that pro-Europe


MPs could defy a Brexit poll victory.


And the Daily Mail has the story of a drug which has been


fast-tracked in the US to help combat breast cancer,


but has been held back in the UK, the Mail blames what it says


The Metro, Euro 2016 Terror plot smashed. A Frenchman stopped on the


border between Ukraine and Poland. Apparently a far right sympathiser


who had dodgy intense -- terror? You would think so, with this amount of


TNT. All credit to those who manage to foil their support. Not the


threat that is top of your mind, these far right groups. Security


people have said that terrorists are all finding out things from their --


each other. Getting the weapons is an issue, this is why it was this


particular border. I think that Ukraine would be a good place to be


doing shopping for those dodgy goods. Yes, you say that far right


terrorists are not at the top of everybody's list of those who might


be wanting to interrupt this tournament, but the French officials


are saying he may just be wanted on charges of arms smuggling, and not


actually on any plot is connected to Euro 2016? Yes, it is worrying for


any football fans going over for the tournament. Whether or not he was


planning to do it himself or help someone else, it is amazing how


quickly our perceptions on terror threats can change. I wonder what it


has put in the minds of fans that were planning to go over there.


Everyone wants the tournament to go on, but there will be some


nervousness in Paris now. Indeed. The EU referendum, I know you want


it! I don't know what I'm going to do in 17 days when it's all gone


away! The Times, the remaining's strategy on Brexit will be to


somehow keep us in the single market. Is that possible? The short


answer is, bubbly not, but that won't stop them from training. There


are only about a MPs who are against it -- 140 MPs. How can we get the


best version of a Brexit for ourselves? They have said that they


will try and vote in the House of Commons to keep the UK in the single


market. That would be a tariff free trading zone. This is bad from a


Brexit point of view, because that would have the free movement of


people, which is something we want to get rid of. Personally, I think


they would get sorted out the ballot box if they tried to do this. To try


this would be crazy. But isn't this... The remaining brigade, isn't


this them shooting themselves in the foot potentially? One of British


people's biggest concerns is the British economy and leaving the


single market. If we could leave the EU and still be part of the single


market, wouldn't they think it was a good idea? I think that people think


they can do that anyway, they just don't want to. You couldn't be doing


this every day, getting up and making these arguments. They do have


a point in that, what we are being offered on the exit side is the most


fluid thing imaginable. Will it be from Norway, Switzerland, Albania?


You could say, here is a model for what might happen if we had a Brexit


and we could make it happen. At a Brexit is about leaving the single


market, isn't it? Well... They would say, we couldn't work of the


Norwegian or the Albanian or Swedish model, we are working from the


British model. It would involve negotiating without being in the


room with the European powers. But we will have to see how we negotiate


ourselves in 18 days time. I can see that you are excited already! Janet


Yellen apparently voted the third most important person on the planet.


She has signalled that the reserve will sit tight on whether or not to


raise interest rates until the referendum vote? All markets hate


uncertainty more than anything else. Well, some of them love it, because


it could be your chance to make a fast buck. But in general, nobody


wants to set policy when things are going in different directions every


day. We don't know how much reliance we should put on the polls. You


don't know whether you should make a decision today and keep them moving


parts stationary. The referendum debate is dominating everything in


the UK. This whole discussion has much more to do with the abysmal


jobs figures that came out the other day. I think that the moving parts


argument does the -- does make sense. There are two movements to


any currency movement, the larger ones and the minute movements that


clever people are able to make --2 elements. This does seem to be the


consensus opinion that the economy will go down. The art there is a lot


of daily News, different polls. People trading will react fast and


we see these enormous spikes and volatility. I don't know what an


average Brit is, but your average voter, would they see this story


about interest rates and wonder, is this something to worry about? Are


they taking it in? I don't think so. A lot of people resent having to


make this choice. It is not something they were thinking about.


Now they are being forced to think about it. In many cases, they don't


know what to think about. That is not to try and belittle anyone, but


this is not high in the concerns of most voters. We don't do referendum


is very often heal. It came out of nowhere in terms of coming to the


ordinary person. -- here. It is not a simple decision. The way you are


likely to vote depends enormously on what job you do in all sorts of


different things. I think to a certain extent MPs are in an awful


position. They are under pressure to declare which way they are going to


vote, but if you are speaking to a fisherman in your constituency, the


advice he would give them in this referendum would be completely


different to, say, and exporting business. The equation is not the


same for everybody. What of the things that happens as we approach a


general election, the polls didn't do great last year, but they weren't


wildly out... We don't have a context for these polls, this one we


don't know what the turnout will be. People haven't registered or


decided. We were saying this, people don't generally say, I don't know


who I am going to vote for. But all the time in this referendum, people


say that. Explain why this referendum is happening now. Explain


it. David Cameron promised it to keep a lid on his backbench Tories.


So it's about a Tory argument. European killers and rapists can't


be deported? This is a dossier, the justice minister is presenting this


tomorrow. He is in the 20 worst criminals who are still in Britain.


You cannot get rid of them. It is quite complicated and relates to how


long they have been in this country and the level of crime against them.


If they have been here for a long time, you... It includes a guy who


stabbed a head teacher to death. Most people would remember that.


There is an attempt from the wrecks campaign to fight back at this idea


that staying in the EU would make borders safe. We have some unsavoury


characters clogging up our jails and on our streets. But there is the


European Arrest Warrant, which speeds up the deportation of


criminals. Also, you have the... I'd completely forgotten my train of


thought. You also have the fact that, as one exception to free


movement of people, you can stop people at the border. Is an example


of how difficult this decision is. You wonder how many rapists there


are in the country, are we getting rid of our own rapists? You have to


weigh that up against currency movements and trade... There's very


painful. I don't think people appreciate it. Other newspapers


doing a good enough job of explaining this -- are the


newspapers? People are still saying, I haven't got any facts. People say


they want facts, but there actually many facts because we are talking


about the future. It is two different versions of the future. It


is a very complicated decision. People want facts but there aren't


any. Last year we kicked out about 4500 European criminals. Each side


says, we got these out! The other side says, we let them in in the


first place. They want certainty that doesn't exist. They want to be


pointed in the right direction. Everything is pointing in a


different direction, it is really about feelings.


The middle classes to short of cash to pay they ?500...?


Three things that break down suddenly, including


It is to think someone can't replace these things


if they are middle class without going into debt borrowing.


It just shows you the result of several


years of wage stagnation and people may be having using money


for the last six or eight years during


difficult times when they have put something by.


Using whatever savings they might have had.


It is a real bread and butter issue. It shows the indebtedness. Household


debt is spiralling to ludicrous levels. People haven't learnt their


lessons. He will borrowing too much on credit cards and credit to pay


for other things. You are really struggling to make ends meet. It is


as much of a headache for the Bank of England as the rest of it.


Defining the middle class by people doing pretty nice jobs. That is


quite impressive. OK, just briefly, vegetable was a hot potato for the


BBC. That is vegetable... Riveting. I did not know these words were in


play in the 1920s. Apparently, you could say she as in skiing. This is


what the Norwegian say. That is silly! These were news to me. I did


not know Koeman was a possibility. So, vegetable. Nobody says


vegetable. It is like saying Wednesday. Bonkers. Thank you so


much. Stay with us. Much more on BBC News. You can read a detailed review


of all the papers seven days a week on BBC's website. You can see us


with each night's edition of the papers hosted on the page shortly


after we have finished. Many thanks to my guests. Goodbye.


James Patterson is the world's biggest selling author.


He is best-known for his thrillers but has written science fiction,


novels for young people, romance and nonfiction.


No need to wait until tomorrow morning to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines.

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