11/06/2016 The Papers

Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

It's curtailed with forces beyond our control again.

With me are Sian Griffiths, the education editor

of the Sunday Times, and the political

We have some of tomorrow's front pages in, starting with the

Observer. There could be an end to increases in the states pension and

ring-fenced spending on the NHS. There's a picture of the Queen's

90th birthday celebrations. The Mail on Sunday leads with the referendum,

the Archbishop of Canterbury's announcement that he is voting to

remain in the EU. We will start with the referendum, of course, and here

it is on the Sunday Telegraph, they are saying they have an exclusive

with the Prime Minister, telling the elderly their special protection

from cuts is at risk if they vote to leave. PM's Brexit pensions warning,

it says. Some of the other claims as well, will they be enough to

concentrate people's minds, you wonder, bus passes, TV licences,

retirement income no longer funded by the government, handing license

fees to the BBC anyway. I think what's happening here is another day

and it's another scare story if you vote for Brexit. The Prime Minister

has done an article for the Sunday Telegraph and this time he is

targeting particularly pensioners, because they are seen as the people

most likely to vote in favour of Britain leaving Europe. He is

targeting them, saying if you vote for Brexit things like you're

guaranteed pension rights, a minimum of 2.5% a year, free TV licences,

could be at risk if you vote for Brexit. These are people more likely

to turn out, but how much of a scare story is it? He says there will be a

?40 billion black hole in public spending should we leave. Yes, and

it's coming obviously as these polls are starting to show a significant

lead for Brexit. There's a ten point lead for Brexit over Remain, I think

in the Independent they have a special poll, so the whole thing is

really hotting up now, the stakes are getting higher. ?40 billion

black hole in public finances and this warning to the over 65 is is

obviously a major attempt now by the Remain campaign to try and claw back

and reduce the size of that lead that the Brexit team now have. But

we know, Vincent, that polls don't tell us the whole story. In fact,

they often get it very wrong and they are an indicator on that day,

and it relies on people telling the truth about what they are going to

vote. We saw last year at the general election everyone was

expecting there to be some kind of need for a coalition, not an

outright win by the Conservatives. That's right, at the election the

pollsters have more information to go on with general elections. This

is such a rare, unique vote that they don't have a lot of data to go

on and there's no guarantee, although the pollsters all say they

have upped their game and changed their methodologies and the way they

try to score people to make sure they are more accurate but there a

huge range in the polls at the moment, an awful lot of people who

are undecided and really I don't think there's any way people can

rely on the polls, not so soon after the general election where we saw

how far out they were. There have been other very recent polls that

have shown they are neck and neck, it would be difficult to call, the

margin and of error. The Mail on Sunday says the Archbishop of

Canterbury is voting in, he's backing Remain. With the background

of the Prime Minister talking about all those cuts to public spending. I

don't suppose it's that much of a surprise, do you think, that Justin

Welby is voting to stay in? He has also written an article for the Mail

on Sunday and he says that he's going to vote Remain because leaving

the EU would harm the economy, but also because Britain's Christian

heritage was founded on peace and reconciliation, building bridges,

not barriers. From that point of view it's not really a surprise, one

would expect him, one would be very surprised if he joined the Leave

campaign. Both sides are always keen to have somebody who is very well

known on their side. You wonder whether this will make much

difference. I think we have seen earlier in the week, the Archbishop

Justin Welby's criticism of Nigel Farage's remarks, so I think it was

pretty clear that the line about bridges not barriers is going to be

one that the Church of England will put out there. What's important

about this is both sides have their key endorsers if you like. They have

a grid of announcement they are planning day by day and Sunday, what

better day, it's the day to roll-out the Archbishop of Canterbury, on

Monday it could be a football or pop Star, we have had several of those,

and we will see this until the 23rd of June. Is the Mail on Sunday which

has chosen to put a Remain name on their front page. The Observer,

McDonnell, the XP HBOS was -- must lose his knighthood, the Shadow

Chancellor is saying if Sir Philip Green refuses to speak to MPs next

week at the joint select committee he is going to be called to attend,

he should lose the Sir. Perhaps unreasonably, the Daily Mail has

been saying he should be stripped of his knighthood, there is no question

that Sir Philip Green has an awful lot of questions to answer and if he

doesn't turn up, as he is threatening next week, he will have

to turn up. Mike Ashley Sports Direct try this trick of saying, I'm

not going to go, in the end they always go. Frank Field has been so

outspoken before he has got to the committee. I'm sure he will get a

fair hearing if he turns up. Frank Field could I guess have waited, he

could have said these things on Wednesday and not said them in

advance, but that is not an excuse for Philip Green not turn up on

Wednesday. What Field said was quite understandable. He was saying that

what he said to the FT was his committee would laugh if Philip

Green were to offer less than ?600 million to settle BHS's pension

debts. When he gives evidence on Wednesday to the work and pensions

committee. And for all these people, whose jobs are at risk and whose

pensions are now going to take a cut, this is very, very important

stuff. He always says he's done nothing wrong. The that's right, but

everybody wants to hear the answer as to why it was a good decision to

sell a company for ?1 to a thrice bankrupt. I don't think anybody

think that was the most strategic of business decisions. Let's look at

the Observer, Wales versus Slovakia, they won 2-1 after 58 years in the

wilderness, Sharm is very pleased. I'm extremely pleased because I'm

from Wales. I'm not really a football fan, but I did watch the

match and it was exciting. I thought what was lovely about it was we have

seen the treble in Marseille, there was no cab -- there was no trouble

in Bordeaux. It was a civilised affair. There's a lot of singing,

because we like singing. There were hymns and arias and land of my

Fathers, and that was lovely, and there was such a fantastic team

spirit as well. That's what you want because tonight it has felt in

Marseille, what happened on the pitch was absolutely secondary to

what was going on before the match Matt and then inside the stadium.

This is before the game even started, this incredible violence

out on the streets between three different groups of fans, we

understand. The that's right, a lot of front pages will change by

tomorrow morning to reflect those awful images. This seems to be an

unholy cocktail of incidents. You have English football thugs, French

hooligan, Russian hooligans, and questions of how the police and

security and -- are handling it. It's a confluence of those things.

It's making what looks like it could be a very dangerous situation out

there. It could get worse potentially later tonight, let's

hope not. The important thing to remember, a lot of it was people who

go out there, it's in their social calendar of fights to go to. These

are people who go out looking for trouble rather than looking for

football. But many thousands of people go and it's the last thing

they want. That's right, it's a tiny minority. It looks like a lot of

people in these pictures. Back to the Telegraph, happy 90th birthday,

your Majesty. Have we not got that, do you want me to show you? There

you go. The Queen looks like she is wearing the same colour outfit has

made! On the television earlier it looks more vivid, didn't it? Have a

photo shopped it? It did, it looks darker green than on the very livid

green that we saw on television all day today. Slightly strange. A

lovely picture of all the royals there. A very odd green on that

Sunday Telegraph picture. We are matching, and amazing turnout,

wasn't it, Sian. I think it's lime green. Its emerald, there. Enough of

the Queen's outfits. That's the papers for this hour but Sian and

Vincent will be back at 11:30pm. Normal time. I know it annoys you.

Coming up next, it's time for Reporters.