Browse content similar to 25/06/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
Line | From | To | |
---|---|---|---|
Welcome to our look at head to the poll that -- look ahead to the | :00:20. | :00:29. | |
papers tomorrow. It feels like we should be having a dinner party | :00:30. | :00:33. | |
there are so many others here. We don't have long, but we'll be back | :00:34. | :00:38. | |
again at 11:30pm. Let's start with the mail on Sunday. Five rivals to | :00:39. | :00:45. | |
fight Boris for number ten. Only five? Only five! If you read the | :00:46. | :00:53. | |
Sunday Times tomorrow there are six, maybe seven. We are inundated with | :00:54. | :00:57. | |
people who want to lead the nation. I suppose we should be flattered. | :00:58. | :01:03. | |
Theresa May, Jeremy Hunt, fresh from his doctors strike, Nicky Morgan. | :01:04. | :01:09. | |
I'm told George Freeman will toss his hat into the ring, too. What a | :01:10. | :01:17. | |
smorgasbord of fun we are awaiting. Everyone quickly googles. We can't | :01:18. | :01:22. | |
find some of the key players. Nobody has seen George Osborne, but Boris | :01:23. | :01:27. | |
Johnson has been out in his whites. At one point we thought George | :01:28. | :01:31. | |
Osborne was a shoo-in to be next Prime Minister, but after a few | :01:32. | :01:36. | |
hiccups with the Budget and now the referendum campaign where he made | :01:37. | :01:38. | |
some harsh warnings that upset a lot of people in its party, and | :01:39. | :01:44. | |
so-called project fear, he seems to have disappeared and nobody can find | :01:45. | :01:49. | |
him. There is some suggestion that his leadership hopes aren't totally | :01:50. | :01:53. | |
dead and he might be ringing round MPs to see if he has a chance of | :01:54. | :02:00. | |
getting onto the ballot paper. The new dictionary definition of | :02:01. | :02:04. | |
optimistic. Douglas, we haven't had you here and we are very glad for | :02:05. | :02:09. | |
you to give the Irish perspective. How is this being viewed in Dublin? | :02:10. | :02:17. | |
Very gloomily. It was a shock. The Irish covenant had been openly | :02:18. | :02:21. | |
campaigning for a Remain vote and people are worried. People are | :02:22. | :02:25. | |
worried about the economic hit, which is automatic. And then worries | :02:26. | :02:31. | |
about the future of the border and the future of the relationship | :02:32. | :02:36. | |
between Ireland and Britain. As far as the economy is concerned, that | :02:37. | :02:41. | |
didn't seem to be necessarily quite what everybody was worried about. We | :02:42. | :02:46. | |
know immigration was important. How much of an issue is immigration from | :02:47. | :02:51. | |
the EU for Ireland? It's not an issue at all. Ireland, like Britain | :02:52. | :02:58. | |
and Sweden in 2004, also agreed to allow all the new member states, as | :02:59. | :03:04. | |
many as wished, straightaway. A huge number did come to Ireland. About | :03:05. | :03:11. | |
17% in Ireland today were born outside the country, but there has | :03:12. | :03:15. | |
not really been any major social problem and there is no | :03:16. | :03:20. | |
anti-immigration party in Ireland. Let's look at the Sunday Telegraph. | :03:21. | :03:30. | |
2 million is a lot, but nothing in comparison with the 17 million who | :03:31. | :03:36. | |
said they wanted us to leave the EU. It's a fairly short space of time to | :03:37. | :03:40. | |
garner 2 million signatures. Most of the biggest Ibra editions have been | :03:41. | :03:46. | |
a million at most so it's a fairly big number. As you say, it won't | :03:47. | :03:54. | |
change anything. The time it starts getting interesting is if you start | :03:55. | :03:58. | |
hitting 17 million. Many people would still say the referendum | :03:59. | :04:02. | |
stands. It's not going to make a difference. This is it. We still | :04:03. | :04:08. | |
keep talking about the status of this result. It's not binding, its | :04:09. | :04:13. | |
advisory. It would be a brave government that overturned it. If | :04:14. | :04:18. | |
you mean brave -- by brave, suicidal, yes. It just won't happen. | :04:19. | :04:23. | |
Signing up 3000 people a minute, good for them. If it did get 18 | :04:24. | :04:30. | |
million, that would be interesting. Some of the context of what happens | :04:31. | :04:34. | |
next in terms of the deal and what we are expecting from the | :04:35. | :04:39. | |
negotiation may be framed by the public reaction to what's going on | :04:40. | :04:43. | |
with the economic problems and what appears to be a serious case of | :04:44. | :04:47. | |
buyers remorse setting in with some people over the way they voted, but | :04:48. | :04:53. | |
in practice, this is the biggest democratic enterprise in this | :04:54. | :04:57. | |
country since 1992. It's pretty hard to see any credible political party | :04:58. | :05:02. | |
trying to overturn it and survive as a government. It's very interesting. | :05:03. | :05:09. | |
We are in uncharted territory with Article 50. When referendums have | :05:10. | :05:18. | |
not gone the way that people have wanted in Ireland, they have just | :05:19. | :05:22. | |
held them again. That's happened twice. It happened to the Danes over | :05:23. | :05:27. | |
Maastricht. What happens is the mood changes. You do have buyers remorse. | :05:28. | :05:33. | |
A lot of people who didn't go out to vote the first time to go out the | :05:34. | :05:36. | |
second time and you sometimes come back with some kind of | :05:37. | :05:40. | |
renegotiation. With this one, nobody knows exactly what the referendum | :05:41. | :05:44. | |
means. They know people voted to leave the EU, but they don't know in | :05:45. | :05:48. | |
what way, what kind of relationship they will be in the future. That's | :05:49. | :05:57. | |
the area where it could become very, very interesting. Even if Britain | :05:58. | :05:59. | |
doesn't decide to overturn the referendum outcome, it could end up | :06:00. | :06:01. | |
being a different situation to the one a lot of people who voted Leave | :06:02. | :06:06. | |
expected. There are a lot of reasons people like giving us for them | :06:07. | :06:12. | |
wanting to leave. It might be to do with sovereignty, not feeling we | :06:13. | :06:15. | |
have to listen to this remote place called Brussels any longer, and we | :06:16. | :06:21. | |
get better democracy back. That's what a lot of people say. In | :06:22. | :06:25. | |
constitutional terms, there are all sorts of ways it could work out. We | :06:26. | :06:30. | |
were talking to Toby Young last night and he was saying we could | :06:31. | :06:34. | |
have associate membership, which has been talked about. A lot of people | :06:35. | :06:41. | |
think what we would always end up with was a associate membership. The | :06:42. | :06:45. | |
referendum has decided we'll have that outside the EU rather than in | :06:46. | :06:50. | |
it. The negotiations we are about to have in some ways will be like what | :06:51. | :06:54. | |
we might have ended up with if we'd stayed in and things had gradually | :06:55. | :06:57. | |
changed over a couple of years. There's a lot of evidence other EU | :06:58. | :07:01. | |
countries might start to think about freedom of movement as well. It's | :07:02. | :07:08. | |
also what we are able to negotiate with the other 27 members. That's | :07:09. | :07:12. | |
right. It's difficult because we've had this shock result and everybody | :07:13. | :07:15. | |
is bracing themselves and thinking what does it mean and where do we go | :07:16. | :07:20. | |
next? We will get some clarity on the planned on Monday when I guessed | :07:21. | :07:24. | |
David Cameron will give a statement to Parliament about what happens | :07:25. | :07:29. | |
next. There is a suggestion about do we invoke Article 50 or through an | :07:30. | :07:34. | |
act of Parliament. At the same time we're having pressure put on us by | :07:35. | :07:38. | |
the other European leaders to get on with it and the question remains | :07:39. | :07:44. | |
about what the wiggle room will be. And who cares what David Cameron | :07:45. | :07:48. | |
thinks? If Boris Johnson Michael Gove disagree with David Cameron, | :07:49. | :07:53. | |
who is now in charge? What happens when Boris Johnson and Michael Gove | :07:54. | :07:56. | |
disagree with each other? That's what we'll see in the coming months. | :07:57. | :08:01. | |
We must look at the Observer and think about what's happening with | :08:02. | :08:06. | |
Labour. Hilary Benn seeks to depose Corbyn. Jeremy Corbyn has said he | :08:07. | :08:14. | |
would stand again. That's the problem Labour faces. Unless Jeremy | :08:15. | :08:17. | |
Corbyn walks away, it's difficult to get rid of him because ultimately | :08:18. | :08:22. | |
the party rules state that if there is a vote of no confidence, he can | :08:23. | :08:26. | |
go back on the ballot paper and he will just do that and win again. He | :08:27. | :08:31. | |
said that emphatically this morning. Who wants to stand against him? We | :08:32. | :08:35. | |
might have a general election in the next year and if you're the Labour | :08:36. | :08:40. | |
Party candidate, you'll probably get massacred. If you want to lead | :08:41. | :08:45. | |
Labour, you're probably better off waiting for Corbyn to lose the | :08:46. | :08:47. | |
general election and come in afterwards. Any shuddering in the | :08:48. | :08:55. | |
Taoiseach? They are shuddering. He's been shuddering more less all year | :08:56. | :08:58. | |
because your most lost the last election and is just about hanging | :08:59. | :09:03. | |
on. It hasn't been straightforward. With all of this stuff, a lot of the | :09:04. | :09:13. | |
Europeans would like this thing to move very, very quickly. The French | :09:14. | :09:16. | |
Foreign Minister said he wanted David Cameron out within days and | :09:17. | :09:19. | |
doesn't see what everybody is hanging about four. I think there | :09:20. | :09:22. | |
will be pressure to move things as quickly as possible. That's it for | :09:23. | :09:25. | |
the moment. We'll be back for another look at the papers at | :09:26. | :09:31. | |
11:30pm for now, thank you all very much indeed. It's time for the | :09:32. | :09:34. | |
weather. Hello. It was a very lively start | :09:35. | :09:51. | |
the weekend for many parts of the UK. The radar sequence | :09:52. | :09:52. |