Browse content similar to 10/10/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Hello, and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be | :00:12. | :00:14. | |
With me are Fay Schlesinger, Head of News at the Times | :00:15. | :00:20. | |
and the New York Times reporter Dan Bilefsky. | :00:21. | :00:26. | |
Let's have a look at some of the front pages. Starting with The | :00:27. | :00:31. | |
Guardian, it leads what the US presidential debate and the decision | :00:32. | :00:36. | |
by Paul Ryan the Republican party's most senior elected politician not | :00:37. | :00:40. | |
to campaign for Donald Trump. The Financial Times said his stance is a | :00:41. | :00:43. | |
clear signal that Republican leaders have given up hope of Mr Trump | :00:44. | :00:49. | |
winning the White House. The eye paper reports on a pole that gives | :00:50. | :00:54. | |
Mrs Clinton a 14 point lead. The Telegraph says the BBC's new | :00:55. | :00:58. | |
regulator will tell the corporation its falling short in its duty to | :00:59. | :01:05. | |
reflect modern Britain by failing to put all the women on screen. The | :01:06. | :01:12. | |
Treasury could lose up to 66 billion pounds a year in tax revenues | :01:13. | :01:16. | |
according to The Times. One of Britain's biggest exporters is to | :01:17. | :01:21. | |
quit the business lobby the CBI in protest at its stance against | :01:22. | :01:25. | |
Brexit, according to The Daily Mail. Lots of talk about Brexit. We are | :01:26. | :01:29. | |
going to get to that later. First it is The Donald. Six times on the | :01:30. | :01:36. | |
front page of The Guardian. Grimacing, pouting... A lot of | :01:37. | :01:46. | |
orange. It very orange man. Now, big Republican figure Paul Ryan. He's | :01:47. | :01:52. | |
decided he's not going to campaign with Mr Trump and he's not going to | :01:53. | :01:57. | |
support him. He's not withdrawing his endorsement, interestingly, but | :01:58. | :02:00. | |
he is saying you are going to lose the White House, I don't care about | :02:01. | :02:04. | |
you now it's about the house on the Senate. You could argue there's a | :02:05. | :02:08. | |
sense of rats leaving a sinking ship. He is a big figure, he's been | :02:09. | :02:15. | |
critical of Trump before. This is not his right-hand man that has | :02:16. | :02:18. | |
abandoned him but he's a senior figure. I guess it is what people | :02:19. | :02:25. | |
are saying is his watershed moment of this quite horrible video talking | :02:26. | :02:29. | |
about grabbing women and treating women as second-class citizens, even | :02:30. | :02:33. | |
making comments about his own daughter. Paul Ryan said, enough is | :02:34. | :02:38. | |
enough. He hasn't said I believe others should be leaving him, he's | :02:39. | :02:42. | |
leaving it to other people. Ryan is saying it's up to you what you | :02:43. | :02:46. | |
decide. Doing it in that measured way might have more impact. We've | :02:47. | :02:51. | |
seen others abandon Trump in more dramatic ways. This is quite serious | :02:52. | :02:55. | |
and I guess there is that growing sense that it is becoming serious. | :02:56. | :03:00. | |
Dan, practically what does this mean? Does it mean money that might | :03:01. | :03:04. | |
have gone to Trump from the Republican party is actually now | :03:05. | :03:09. | |
going to go to other races further down the ticket? Firstly, I think | :03:10. | :03:13. | |
one has to say this is a huge hammer blow for Trump. When you have the | :03:14. | :03:17. | |
highest elected Republican official in the land not withdrawing his | :03:18. | :03:21. | |
support but saying he will not defend Trump, he's effectively | :03:22. | :03:25. | |
ceding the presidency to Hillary. That's a huge psychological blow | :03:26. | :03:29. | |
after Trump has had one of the worst weeks in his campaign. In terms of | :03:30. | :03:33. | |
the financial effect, there was a conference call today between Mr | :03:34. | :03:38. | |
Ryan and some of his Republican caucus and quite a few hardliners | :03:39. | :03:42. | |
were defending Trump and lashing out at Ryan for abandoning him at the | :03:43. | :03:46. | |
11th hour. It's not clear whether there will be a huge migration of | :03:47. | :03:50. | |
financing at this point. There was some discussion in the last couple | :03:51. | :03:54. | |
of days. At the end of the day Trump isn't going anywhere and it's too | :03:55. | :03:57. | |
late in the campaign for that dynamic to change. One can expect | :03:58. | :04:03. | |
that in recent days with Republicans clawing back their support that they | :04:04. | :04:07. | |
could be some financial ramifications. A really key question | :04:08. | :04:11. | |
is whether somebody with political clout like Ryan takes voters with | :04:12. | :04:17. | |
him or not. We saw it a bit during Brexit in this country and we are | :04:18. | :04:20. | |
seeing it in the American campaign. This core of voters who support | :04:21. | :04:27. | |
Trump, a figure has been put at 30% of would-be Republican supporters | :04:28. | :04:31. | |
who are so dedicated to Trump that the more you criticise him the | :04:32. | :04:35. | |
harder they dig in. That's what they like. Some of them will be thinking | :04:36. | :04:40. | |
I say those things at home, I don't really mean them. It's so different | :04:41. | :04:44. | |
from when we sit in this country looking at America and thinking, how | :04:45. | :04:49. | |
can somebody think that this tallies with what could be a potential | :04:50. | :04:54. | |
presidential material? Those are not the people he needs to convince. The | :04:55. | :05:09. | |
die-hard Trumpists will support him. It did not swing the pendulum. Let's | :05:10. | :05:18. | |
move to the i Paper. Presidential prospects damaged after the Speaker | :05:19. | :05:24. | |
of the house says he went campaign. The bottom line is, while they see | :05:25. | :05:34. | |
the White House has gone, and that means potentially two pics of | :05:35. | :05:39. | |
Supreme Court justices over the next four years gone to the Republican | :05:40. | :05:44. | |
side. They are particularly concerned about the Senate going the | :05:45. | :05:51. | |
way of the Democratic party as well. And that is something that not only | :05:52. | :05:56. | |
will, as far as legislation is concerned, cause problems for the | :05:57. | :06:00. | |
Republican party, it means that they cannot get their agenda of the | :06:01. | :06:05. | |
ground. Yes. Regardless of the outcome of this election now, it's | :06:06. | :06:09. | |
going to be so fascinating going forward. The way that we will see | :06:10. | :06:13. | |
America behave going forward. We don't have this division in Britain. | :06:14. | :06:17. | |
It's a totally different system in the States. In terms of the idea of | :06:18. | :06:22. | |
a proper hammer blow and looking at the polls, you have now seen an 11% | :06:23. | :06:29. | |
difference between Clinton and Trump going forward which shows this idea | :06:30. | :06:33. | |
of a hammer blow might be starting to make the difference. The | :06:34. | :06:38. | |
prediction seems to be that Trump is going to lose but he's still on the | :06:39. | :06:42. | |
ballot and as long as he's on the ballot he win. How does he come back | :06:43. | :06:49. | |
from this, Dan? If you were advising him, what would you say? The thing | :06:50. | :06:56. | |
is for him to come back... Or is it too late? In the run-up to the | :06:57. | :07:01. | |
Brexit vote in this country the polls showed Remain ahead and then | :07:02. | :07:06. | |
we woke up the next morning shocked that Brexit had one. In terms of | :07:07. | :07:18. | |
Trump changing the rules of the game at this point, he has a particular | :07:19. | :07:24. | |
personality that has shown itself in new 22 advice and immutable to the | :07:25. | :07:29. | |
polls. He is who he is. It's hard to see how he could have this kind of | :07:30. | :07:35. | |
huge cataclysmic metamorphosis with one month left before the ballots. I | :07:36. | :07:39. | |
find it hard to see unless you give him a lobotomy or shock treatment | :07:40. | :07:45. | |
that he is going to change in a viable way. That is his attraction | :07:46. | :07:49. | |
to his core constituency. Whether that's enough to win is a whole | :07:50. | :07:55. | |
other matter. This type of him bragging about his groping threatens | :07:56. | :07:59. | |
to energise and decided millennial voters and younger women who might | :08:00. | :08:06. | |
get off their seats and go and vote because they find the idea of a | :08:07. | :08:13. | |
Trump presidency anathema. I watched quite a lot of the debate. Hillary | :08:14. | :08:18. | |
didn't really land any massive blows. It didn't feel obvious that | :08:19. | :08:23. | |
she had one, in spite of the most horrific video having come out. If | :08:24. | :08:29. | |
you're turning away from Trump and looking to Clinton for inspiration | :08:30. | :08:33. | |
it doesn't feel like it's there. That's the problem, isn't it? These | :08:34. | :08:37. | |
are two of the most unpopular candidates in the history of the | :08:38. | :08:41. | |
presidency. Hillary is a dreadful candidate, there's no question about | :08:42. | :08:45. | |
it. She's not a good candidate and she has to have a narrative beyond | :08:46. | :08:52. | |
not being Trump. We spoke to a lot of undecided voters today including | :08:53. | :08:56. | |
many women and my impression is that there is such a viscerally strong | :08:57. | :09:02. | |
reaction among women to his groping and over nasty sexism, and also the | :09:03. | :09:07. | |
fact American politics has become like a literal mud wrestling reality | :09:08. | :09:12. | |
game show that is so unpresidential and out of sync with the kind of | :09:13. | :09:16. | |
decorum of the modern American presidency, that there is a backlash | :09:17. | :09:22. | |
fermenting among voters and not just Hillary supporters. Some people who | :09:23. | :09:26. | |
might be in favour of Trump are now thinking maybe this guy isn't so | :09:27. | :09:30. | |
presidential. There's no doubt people are tired of dynastic | :09:31. | :09:33. | |
politics, they are tired of the Clintons. She herself has admitted | :09:34. | :09:38. | |
she's not very effective at connecting with people on a human | :09:39. | :09:43. | |
level. Anything can happen. Absolutely. The Times, hard Brexit | :09:44. | :09:53. | |
could cost ?66 billion a year. Just to put this in context, the | :09:54. | :10:02. | |
projected revenues for Britain for 2016-17 R ?716 billion. It's nearly | :10:03. | :10:08. | |
one tenth. This is contained in a Treasury document which has been | :10:09. | :10:11. | |
linked to us. It's what has been given to ministers, when they are | :10:12. | :10:16. | |
talking about what is Brexit going to look like, this is worse case | :10:17. | :10:21. | |
scenario. This is the idea we come out of the negotiations, haven't | :10:22. | :10:25. | |
sorted out any trade deals and go straight onto the WTO tariff. That | :10:26. | :10:28. | |
is worse case and it probably won't be that bad but they still put the | :10:29. | :10:34. | |
possibilities from a loss of ?38 billion to ?66 billion a year. That | :10:35. | :10:38. | |
is the idea we become less attractive for trading, that foreign | :10:39. | :10:41. | |
investment doesn't come in. We haven't seen all the details but I | :10:42. | :10:45. | |
think what's interesting in this debate between hard and soft Brexit | :10:46. | :10:49. | |
is your seeing the dividing lines we saw in the run-up to Brexit and it's | :10:50. | :10:54. | |
getting a bit nasty. Is this the same document? Yes. They haven't | :10:55. | :11:03. | |
changed it at all. Does it have more voracity now that it's been leaked | :11:04. | :11:08. | |
from a Brexit government as opposed to from a Remain government? It's | :11:09. | :11:17. | |
the same thing. The pro-hard Brexit people, Liam Fox's ilk, will argue | :11:18. | :11:22. | |
this is scaremongering, this is putting figures out there that are | :11:23. | :11:30. | |
worst-case scenarios. I think it's starting to... The dividing lines | :11:31. | :11:35. | |
are rearing their ugly head again. Dan, is this project fear or is this | :11:36. | :11:42. | |
Project reality? Now that Brexit is, or at least triggering Article 50 is | :11:43. | :11:46. | |
five months away... My impression is that this country is experiencing a | :11:47. | :11:50. | |
wake-up call where there was a lot of unreality about the Brexit vote. | :11:51. | :11:57. | |
May was waffling about her real plan and now the country has woken up to | :11:58. | :12:01. | |
the fact Brexit is going to happen, the pound has died, prices for | :12:02. | :12:05. | |
importers are going to go up. Prices of goods are going to go up for | :12:06. | :12:11. | |
consumers, unemployment could increase and suddenly thinking the | :12:12. | :12:15. | |
future economy is not looking so rosy. There is go straight onto The | :12:16. | :12:22. | |
Daily Mail. JCB tycoon quits anti-Brexit CBI. One of Britain's | :12:23. | :12:27. | |
biggest exporters is to quit the CBI in protest at its stance against | :12:28. | :12:31. | |
Brexit. The CBI is saying it's going to cost us a lot of money, the | :12:32. | :12:35. | |
Treasury is backing that but this man is leaving the CBI. This is Lord | :12:36. | :12:43. | |
Bamford, Tory donor and a very pro-Brexit in the run-up to Brexit. | :12:44. | :12:47. | |
He wrote all his workers in the run-up to say we should be voting | :12:48. | :12:52. | |
Brexit, Brexit is the way this country will succeed. It's not that | :12:53. | :12:56. | |
surprising that his company would quit the CBI. The CBI in The Times | :12:57. | :13:01. | |
this morning, we had an interview with the head of the CBI saying the | :13:02. | :13:05. | |
proposal from the Home Secretary last week on foreign workers, this | :13:06. | :13:10. | |
is the idea businesses would have to identify foreign workers, it was a | :13:11. | :13:15. | |
terrible policy, divisive. Almost a suggestion of it being racist and | :13:16. | :13:19. | |
anti-business. Again this is dividing lines and you can feel, The | :13:20. | :13:24. | |
Daily Mail was a paperback came out for Brexit, and you can feel there | :13:25. | :13:28. | |
is a drive of saying we need to put our foot down, we need to have the | :13:29. | :13:31. | |
Brexit that we really wanted which was outside the single market. The | :13:32. | :13:37. | |
Times was Remain. Yes. It's clear from that headline! It's great to | :13:38. | :13:43. | |
see you both. Thank you for joining us. | :13:44. | :13:46. | |
Don't forget all the front pages are online on the BBC News website | :13:47. | :13:49. | |
where you can read a detailed review of the papers. | :13:50. | :13:51. | |
It's all there for you, seven days a week at bbc.co.uk/papers | :13:52. | :13:54. | |
and you can see us there too, with each night's edition | :13:55. | :13:57. | |
of The Papers being posted on the page shortly | :13:58. | :14:00. |