22/11/2016 The Papers


22/11/2016

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Welcome to look ahead to what the papers will be bringing us tomorrow.

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I'm joined by a former political adviser to the Labour Party, and the

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editor of politics home. They look at the front pages. We start with

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the Telegraph. It leads the Chancellor's Autumn Statement. She

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will deliver tomorrow. He says there will be ?1 billion boost to

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alleviate the effect of the government's previous benefit cuts.

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The Financial Times says the Chancellor will put housing at the

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heart of the Autumn Statement but will push back the goal of a fiscal

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surplus into the 20 20s. The eye, it leads with what it says its fury at

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number ten adult on's suggestion that Nigel Farage should be British

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ambassador to Washington, the Metro reports on a man extradited to

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Greece for running a ?7 million people smuggling racket. From inside

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an asylum seeker's hostel in Liverpool. The Guardian front page

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has the story of another footballer, Steve Walters, alleging he was

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abused by coach, Barry Bennett, and the Times, sing at a meeting between

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EU foreign ministers and the Brexit secretary was bad-tempered, but that

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quote Mr Davies is saying it was great fun. Will you be calling this

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bad-tempered or great fun after the papers? Great fun, I sincerely hope.

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Loads of banter. We're going to start with him and's ?1 billion

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boost to benefits. We have heard a lot about chance this week. They

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squeezed middle. Was that your phrase that you gave Mr Milliband?

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It was a good phrase, it captured a moment in time. It was a good

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analysis. But they are just about managing, this group of people,

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whether you call them we squeezed middle, the jams, alarm clock

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Britain, whatever you want to call them, these are the people that

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politicians in particular, chancellors, always try to send a

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signal to in these moments, and the interesting thing is the Telegraph

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have decided to lead on the fact that he is going to try to make some

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of the cups to universal credit which are helping people who are

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already in work or on low pay, and they get a bit extra, so it looks

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like he is going to be giving about ?1 billion back in terms of the cup,

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but I suppose the question that a lot of people will be asking is,

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this is obviously to be welcomed, but is this going to be enough,

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because people are really feeling the squeeze in terms of family

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finances, and I would argue that if you really want to help the just

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about managing, two errors will make a big difference, one is childcare,

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loads of families really struggle with childcare, and the government

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has not been able to honour... They made a promise to give everyone a 30

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hours, that is struggling. Under the other end of the family scale,

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caring for older people, social care is really crying out, I think this

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little bit for universal credit, but there's much more that can be done.

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The problem is he has no money, he is skint. He is, this is more of a

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signal than a tangible benefit. What they are doing is reducing what is

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known as the tape parade. Currently claimants can lose 65% of their

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universal credit for every pound that and once they get a job, that

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has been reduced now to 63p. It is not an awful of money. Not a lot of

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people would notice that in their pay packet. And it is ?1 billion

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over five years. You are not looking now at massive amount of money. It

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will not cost him an awful lot, he does not have much money, but it is

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more of a signal so that they can turn around and say, look, we hear

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that people are suffering, here is a gesture, really rather than

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anything... I don't know if that is anything that will be enough,

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particularly after Brexit people are really angry about the

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circumstances, about how things have not got better since the financial

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crash, so I don't know if this will be enough, remember, this is a group

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of people who are already working on finding it difficult to make ends

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meet, lots of people having to go to food banks, that sort of, you know,

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tough times they are facing, I don't know if they will feel that this is

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enough to believe that the government is really listening to

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them. What is interesting is that suddenly it is a break from the

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Osborne - Cameron Iraq, they announced swingeing cuts in March in

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the budget and this is a departure from that. What about Kevin the

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Guardian? The Chancellor to crack down on letting fees. A ban on

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agency charges. He is intending to help Jams? Will this help? Again,

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the Jams again. I think it will be a low-key Autumn Statement tomorrow.

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Philip Hammond is a low-key... He's not the most demonstrative of chaps.

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That is safe to say, he's not flamboyant in the George Osborne

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sense in that he always pulled a rabbit out of the hat, something

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they kept under wraps that was a surprise and would grab the

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headlines. This is one of the announcement his company tomorrow,

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administrative fees that letting agents charge to tenants, can be few

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hundred ?44 on average, they say it is need for inventory costs and

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things like that, people say, really? Does that really cost ?300

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to carry it out? So the government will ban it and say you can't do it.

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The counterargument is that these costs are passed on in rent. Funnily

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enough that is what the Tories were saying just a couple of months ago

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because this was a labour idea. Which the Conservatives are

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basically stolen, Lock, stock, and barrel. Despite, as I

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say, a couple of months before, saying this was a disaster, it would

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never work, they have decided to do it, again, it is another gesture

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towards those who are just about managing to show that the government

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is hearing their concerns and trying to help and... It is eye-catching

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and definitely a good thing that will be popular because Labour and

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the Liberal Democrats have campaigned, but it is very small,

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when there is a massive issue with affordable housing, social housing

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in this country, and also, a lot of people think, OK that is fine, it's

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quite small, but they are going ahead with the cup to inheritance

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tax. Which is going to benefit very wealthy homeowners. They are raising

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the threshold for 40p tax payers as well. So a slight tax break for

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middle earners as well. If we go to the Financial times, a fiscal

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sweetener, help for Jams, again. Clearly he has not got much room for

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manoeuvre. But he has got to be seen to be doing something. And it we

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have seen so far on the front pages suggest it is going to be fairly

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piecemeal, little bits here, but it is the kind of stuff that says,

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longer term, stick with this government? Don't think things...

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You know, things are under control. It is going to be tough, but it is

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worth staying with us for the long haul. I think they are in a very

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difficult position. Because I think you are right, that is the message

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they want to send out, the Prime Minister made a very bold speech on

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the steps of Downing Street when she became Prime Minister saying I'm

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going to be a Prime Minister for everybody, the many, not the few,

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she very much wanted to make a break from the Osborne- Cameron years, but

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the proof will be in the pudding, and people will judge them on their

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action, not just the rhetoric, so this is a very important outing for

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them, but what is interesting is they are already doing a lot of

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expectation management because as you say they have got a massive

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financial problem, Brexit, they think that will constrain how much

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money they will be able to spend, and they are also doing a lot of

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interesting down spin, a Theresa May ally said, this speech is going to

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be sombre and short, there will be no rabbits, and it will be no

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rabbits, and the deadly dull. And that is one of her friends. That is

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like a big supporter. That is like somebody who is a... I think

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actually be quite a single rule in the Autumn Statement. I think

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everything is being spun out as much as possible. I think the big

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elephant in the room will be Brexit. Staying with the Financial Times,

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talk about deadly dull, maybe that is quite good, compared with the USA

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at the moment. Donald Trump's free path to power creates friction with

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media and number ten. I mean, he is breaking all the rules, and it seems

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to be working for him at the moment. Well, yes, we got this morning at

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number ten waking up to quite a shock, he had treated in the middle

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of the night, not the middle of the night there, Lucan never rule

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anything out Donald Trump, but he treated in the middle of the night

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saying that Nigel Farage should be the UK ambassador. But who else is

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he going to suggest? Why is this story...? Why suggest anyone? It is

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not usually the done thing for the US president to suggest to the Prime

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Minister who the ambassadors. It is not usually the done thing, but who

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cares? It is just unusual. We are living in this kind of mad world

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where that sell they often will Trump and Nigel Farage in that

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golden elevator, it has done more to break the Internet since Kim

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Kardashian put that glass of champagne on her posterior, never

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has a selfish and spun out for such a long time, but the problem is,

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there are no rules now, Donald Trump, and there's a great quote in

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here from a media commentator saying, he got to be the president

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elect by breaking all the rules and he has clearly got no intention of

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sticking to the rules now, so I think you will be tweeting left,

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right and centre, I think you will make pronouncements on, you know,

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probably he will wade into the French and German elections, and...

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And we will all dutifully jump on every tweet. He knows how to wind up

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his critics. He will be well aware that there are people within Downing

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Street who criticised him before, and he... And don't like Nigel

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Farage. And don't like Nigel Farage. And he will know that by doing this

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he is winding them right up and he enjoying it. They have been quite

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effective as well because it has got to the stage where number ten have

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issued a defence of the existing ambassador, saying we have full

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confidence, but the one note of caution is, you know, Trump is going

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to be Trump, we can expect that, but I think Downing Street is creating a

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vacuum for Nigel Farage and Trump, because they are really letting

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these stories... Because they been quite quiet about a lot of on Brexit

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and not giving a running commentary, there is a vacuum, and nature was a

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vacuum, and newspapers especially abhor a vacuum, and the four Irish

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are seeing the opportunity and going for it. Trump calls for for. Kevin,

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the fact of the matter is, he has got an in to the Oval Office, no

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question about that. And we need as many friends as we can get in a post

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Brexit world and we need a damn good trade deal with everyone including

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the Americas, why not? Because he is so diametrically opposed to Theresa

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May and just about everything. Every possible way. And so the notion that

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she is going to put this guy in there as her man in Washington who

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she cannot stand, and yet he is more likely to be working in Donald

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Trump's interest than Britain's interests, it is absolutely for the

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birds. And it put number ten in an impossible situation because I'm the

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one hand they did not want to be seen to be criticising Donald Trump

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because they are desperate to have a good working relationship with him

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but at the same time they had to make it perfectly clear that what he

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was saying was complete nonsense and is a complete nonstarter, so that is

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why they come out and said, the ambassador at the moment,

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Kim Darragh, is doing a great job, and they tried to shut down that

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way, but at the same time they were stopping short of directly

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criticising Donald Trump, it does not help as well that there are

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loads of tweet still around from the Chiefs of staff, you know, sort of

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putting the boot into Trump, calling him a chump, in the run-up to the

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election, and I believe that people in the White House now are not best

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pleased about those tweets, so I mean this rela tionship was going to

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be... Look, one thing is clear, the special relationship is not between

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Theresa May and Donald Trump, it is between four Irish and Donald these

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are different readouts of the meeting. David Davis says that the

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meeting was great fun, such fun, everyone else said it was a

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nightmare. It seems that the humour and the wit and the banter of Boris

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Johnson, and all of these jokes he has been making about trade deals,

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they are not travelling particularly well to our opposite numbers. They

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are sort of saying that they summarise view of Mr Johnson is

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mercurial with a wit that does not always travel well across the

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Channel. And this is an attack from Manfred Webber, who is a very senior

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politician in Germany, and an ally of the German Chancellor, and

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usually having a big go at Boris Johnson, he highlights the leaflets

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that Boris Johnson used during the campaign about Turkey, and all that

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sort of thing, and he also says, look, he thinks that Boris Johnson

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has been very provocative, and also says that, you know, they don't

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really feel that there is a clear plan from the UK about what it wants

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from Brexit so I think it is just more evidence that our relationship

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and our negotiations with Europe are definitely going to be pretty

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choppy. Kevin, the suggestion from European ministers, those on the

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other side of the debate, I suppose, they are making it clear that they

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don't think we know what we actually want from Brexit? What could

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possibly given that idea? All this stuff about now running commentary,

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that is because there is nothing to commentate on. Well, quite, we have

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briefings of day with Downing Street and we often ask, what is the plan?

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And what they basically do is tell us what they have been doing up

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until now. So it is not really a plan. They really don't have a plan.

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And nobody knows how it is good to play out. And I have since and

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they with them, because it is right when they say that you cannot show

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your hand when the other side across the table, you can give away

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everything that you want, but I think at the moment... They are not

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sure what they want. Also, as a former spinner, there are certain

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lines of communication, like, now running commentary means, we don't

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have a clue. That is basically code for we don't have a... That is your

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routine? I am here all week. Stay with us on BBC News. All the front

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pages are online. And as a deed of papers there for you. BBC .co .uk/

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papers. And you can see us there also. Each night's vision of the

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papers. Posted on the page shortly after we finish. Many thanks. The

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stories behind the headlines. Stay with us on BBC News, more coming up,

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goodbye for now. Some of us have endured some rather

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wet and windy weather again today but not the severity of weather we

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have seen over

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