22/11/2016 The Papers


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Welcome to look ahead to what the papers will be bringing us tomorrow.


I'm joined by a former political adviser to the Labour Party, and the


editor of politics home. They look at the front pages. We start with


the Telegraph. It leads the Chancellor's Autumn Statement. She


will deliver tomorrow. He says there will be ?1 billion boost to


alleviate the effect of the government's previous benefit cuts.


The Financial Times says the Chancellor will put housing at the


heart of the Autumn Statement but will push back the goal of a fiscal


surplus into the 20 20s. The eye, it leads with what it says its fury at


number ten adult on's suggestion that Nigel Farage should be British


ambassador to Washington, the Metro reports on a man extradited to


Greece for running a ?7 million people smuggling racket. From inside


an asylum seeker's hostel in Liverpool. The Guardian front page


has the story of another footballer, Steve Walters, alleging he was


abused by coach, Barry Bennett, and the Times, sing at a meeting between


EU foreign ministers and the Brexit secretary was bad-tempered, but that


quote Mr Davies is saying it was great fun. Will you be calling this


bad-tempered or great fun after the papers? Great fun, I sincerely hope.


Loads of banter. We're going to start with him and's ?1 billion


boost to benefits. We have heard a lot about chance this week. They


squeezed middle. Was that your phrase that you gave Mr Milliband?


It was a good phrase, it captured a moment in time. It was a good


analysis. But they are just about managing, this group of people,


whether you call them we squeezed middle, the jams, alarm clock


Britain, whatever you want to call them, these are the people that


politicians in particular, chancellors, always try to send a


signal to in these moments, and the interesting thing is the Telegraph


have decided to lead on the fact that he is going to try to make some


of the cups to universal credit which are helping people who are


already in work or on low pay, and they get a bit extra, so it looks


like he is going to be giving about ?1 billion back in terms of the cup,


but I suppose the question that a lot of people will be asking is,


this is obviously to be welcomed, but is this going to be enough,


because people are really feeling the squeeze in terms of family


finances, and I would argue that if you really want to help the just


about managing, two errors will make a big difference, one is childcare,


loads of families really struggle with childcare, and the government


has not been able to honour... They made a promise to give everyone a 30


hours, that is struggling. Under the other end of the family scale,


caring for older people, social care is really crying out, I think this


little bit for universal credit, but there's much more that can be done.


The problem is he has no money, he is skint. He is, this is more of a


signal than a tangible benefit. What they are doing is reducing what is


known as the tape parade. Currently claimants can lose 65% of their


universal credit for every pound that and once they get a job, that


has been reduced now to 63p. It is not an awful of money. Not a lot of


people would notice that in their pay packet. And it is ?1 billion


over five years. You are not looking now at massive amount of money. It


will not cost him an awful lot, he does not have much money, but it is


more of a signal so that they can turn around and say, look, we hear


that people are suffering, here is a gesture, really rather than


anything... I don't know if that is anything that will be enough,


particularly after Brexit people are really angry about the


circumstances, about how things have not got better since the financial


crash, so I don't know if this will be enough, remember, this is a group


of people who are already working on finding it difficult to make ends


meet, lots of people having to go to food banks, that sort of, you know,


tough times they are facing, I don't know if they will feel that this is


enough to believe that the government is really listening to


them. What is interesting is that suddenly it is a break from the


Osborne - Cameron Iraq, they announced swingeing cuts in March in


the budget and this is a departure from that. What about Kevin the


Guardian? The Chancellor to crack down on letting fees. A ban on


agency charges. He is intending to help Jams? Will this help? Again,


the Jams again. I think it will be a low-key Autumn Statement tomorrow.


Philip Hammond is a low-key... He's not the most demonstrative of chaps.


That is safe to say, he's not flamboyant in the George Osborne


sense in that he always pulled a rabbit out of the hat, something


they kept under wraps that was a surprise and would grab the


headlines. This is one of the announcement his company tomorrow,


administrative fees that letting agents charge to tenants, can be few


hundred ?44 on average, they say it is need for inventory costs and


things like that, people say, really? Does that really cost ?300


to carry it out? So the government will ban it and say you can't do it.


The counterargument is that these costs are passed on in rent. Funnily


enough that is what the Tories were saying just a couple of months ago


because this was a labour idea. Which the Conservatives are


basically stolen, Lock, stock, and barrel. Despite, as I


say, a couple of months before, saying this was a disaster, it would


never work, they have decided to do it, again, it is another gesture


towards those who are just about managing to show that the government


is hearing their concerns and trying to help and... It is eye-catching


and definitely a good thing that will be popular because Labour and


the Liberal Democrats have campaigned, but it is very small,


when there is a massive issue with affordable housing, social housing


in this country, and also, a lot of people think, OK that is fine, it's


quite small, but they are going ahead with the cup to inheritance


tax. Which is going to benefit very wealthy homeowners. They are raising


the threshold for 40p tax payers as well. So a slight tax break for


middle earners as well. If we go to the Financial times, a fiscal


sweetener, help for Jams, again. Clearly he has not got much room for


manoeuvre. But he has got to be seen to be doing something. And it we


have seen so far on the front pages suggest it is going to be fairly


piecemeal, little bits here, but it is the kind of stuff that says,


longer term, stick with this government? Don't think things...


You know, things are under control. It is going to be tough, but it is


worth staying with us for the long haul. I think they are in a very


difficult position. Because I think you are right, that is the message


they want to send out, the Prime Minister made a very bold speech on


the steps of Downing Street when she became Prime Minister saying I'm


going to be a Prime Minister for everybody, the many, not the few,


she very much wanted to make a break from the Osborne- Cameron years, but


the proof will be in the pudding, and people will judge them on their


action, not just the rhetoric, so this is a very important outing for


them, but what is interesting is they are already doing a lot of


expectation management because as you say they have got a massive


financial problem, Brexit, they think that will constrain how much


money they will be able to spend, and they are also doing a lot of


interesting down spin, a Theresa May ally said, this speech is going to


be sombre and short, there will be no rabbits, and it will be no


rabbits, and the deadly dull. And that is one of her friends. That is


like a big supporter. That is like somebody who is a... I think


actually be quite a single rule in the Autumn Statement. I think


everything is being spun out as much as possible. I think the big


elephant in the room will be Brexit. Staying with the Financial Times,


talk about deadly dull, maybe that is quite good, compared with the USA


at the moment. Donald Trump's free path to power creates friction with


media and number ten. I mean, he is breaking all the rules, and it seems


to be working for him at the moment. Well, yes, we got this morning at


number ten waking up to quite a shock, he had treated in the middle


of the night, not the middle of the night there, Lucan never rule


anything out Donald Trump, but he treated in the middle of the night


saying that Nigel Farage should be the UK ambassador. But who else is


he going to suggest? Why is this story...? Why suggest anyone? It is


not usually the done thing for the US president to suggest to the Prime


Minister who the ambassadors. It is not usually the done thing, but who


cares? It is just unusual. We are living in this kind of mad world


where that sell they often will Trump and Nigel Farage in that


golden elevator, it has done more to break the Internet since Kim


Kardashian put that glass of champagne on her posterior, never


has a selfish and spun out for such a long time, but the problem is,


there are no rules now, Donald Trump, and there's a great quote in


here from a media commentator saying, he got to be the president


elect by breaking all the rules and he has clearly got no intention of


sticking to the rules now, so I think you will be tweeting left,


right and centre, I think you will make pronouncements on, you know,


probably he will wade into the French and German elections, and...


And we will all dutifully jump on every tweet. He knows how to wind up


his critics. He will be well aware that there are people within Downing


Street who criticised him before, and he... And don't like Nigel


Farage. And don't like Nigel Farage. And he will know that by doing this


he is winding them right up and he enjoying it. They have been quite


effective as well because it has got to the stage where number ten have


issued a defence of the existing ambassador, saying we have full


confidence, but the one note of caution is, you know, Trump is going


to be Trump, we can expect that, but I think Downing Street is creating a


vacuum for Nigel Farage and Trump, because they are really letting


these stories... Because they been quite quiet about a lot of on Brexit


and not giving a running commentary, there is a vacuum, and nature was a


vacuum, and newspapers especially abhor a vacuum, and the four Irish


are seeing the opportunity and going for it. Trump calls for for. Kevin,


the fact of the matter is, he has got an in to the Oval Office, no


question about that. And we need as many friends as we can get in a post


Brexit world and we need a damn good trade deal with everyone including


the Americas, why not? Because he is so diametrically opposed to Theresa


May and just about everything. Every possible way. And so the notion that


she is going to put this guy in there as her man in Washington who


she cannot stand, and yet he is more likely to be working in Donald


Trump's interest than Britain's interests, it is absolutely for the


birds. And it put number ten in an impossible situation because I'm the


one hand they did not want to be seen to be criticising Donald Trump


because they are desperate to have a good working relationship with him


but at the same time they had to make it perfectly clear that what he


was saying was complete nonsense and is a complete nonstarter, so that is


why they come out and said, the ambassador at the moment,


Kim Darragh, is doing a great job, and they tried to shut down that


way, but at the same time they were stopping short of directly


criticising Donald Trump, it does not help as well that there are


loads of tweet still around from the Chiefs of staff, you know, sort of


putting the boot into Trump, calling him a chump, in the run-up to the


election, and I believe that people in the White House now are not best


pleased about those tweets, so I mean this rela tionship was going to


be... Look, one thing is clear, the special relationship is not between


Theresa May and Donald Trump, it is between four Irish and Donald these


are different readouts of the meeting. David Davis says that the


meeting was great fun, such fun, everyone else said it was a


nightmare. It seems that the humour and the wit and the banter of Boris


Johnson, and all of these jokes he has been making about trade deals,


they are not travelling particularly well to our opposite numbers. They


are sort of saying that they summarise view of Mr Johnson is


mercurial with a wit that does not always travel well across the


Channel. And this is an attack from Manfred Webber, who is a very senior


politician in Germany, and an ally of the German Chancellor, and


usually having a big go at Boris Johnson, he highlights the leaflets


that Boris Johnson used during the campaign about Turkey, and all that


sort of thing, and he also says, look, he thinks that Boris Johnson


has been very provocative, and also says that, you know, they don't


really feel that there is a clear plan from the UK about what it wants


from Brexit so I think it is just more evidence that our relationship


and our negotiations with Europe are definitely going to be pretty


choppy. Kevin, the suggestion from European ministers, those on the


other side of the debate, I suppose, they are making it clear that they


don't think we know what we actually want from Brexit? What could


possibly given that idea? All this stuff about now running commentary,


that is because there is nothing to commentate on. Well, quite, we have


briefings of day with Downing Street and we often ask, what is the plan?


And what they basically do is tell us what they have been doing up


until now. So it is not really a plan. They really don't have a plan.


And nobody knows how it is good to play out. And I have since and


they with them, because it is right when they say that you cannot show


your hand when the other side across the table, you can give away


everything that you want, but I think at the moment... They are not


sure what they want. Also, as a former spinner, there are certain


lines of communication, like, now running commentary means, we don't


have a clue. That is basically code for we don't have a... That is your


routine? I am here all week. Stay with us on BBC News. All the front


pages are online. And as a deed of papers there for you. BBC .co .uk/


papers. And you can see us there also. Each night's vision of the


papers. Posted on the page shortly after we finish. Many thanks. The


stories behind the headlines. Stay with us on BBC News, more coming up,


goodbye for now. Some of us have endured some rather


wet and windy weather again today but not the severity of weather we


have seen over


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