05/05/2017 The Papers


05/05/2017

No need to wait to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines.


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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

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With me are Oliver Wright, Policy Editor at The Times

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and Katie Martin, Markets Reporter at the Financial Times.

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I will attempt to stretch the space time continuum.

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Tomorrow's front pages, starting with...

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The Times leads with the local elections, suggesting the Tory

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victory could be repeated in next month's general election.

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The I describes the Conservative party's win as a "blue tide".

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"A reunion of The Right" is how the Telegraph

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The FT reflects on the losses of both Labour and Ukip.

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"Theresa on the march", declares the Daily Mail.

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The Guardian quotes Jeremy Corbyn saying Labour faces a historic

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challenge. "Theresa on the march",

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declares the Daily Mail. The express calls Theresa May the

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new Mackie. First, let's look at the local and

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mayoral election. Let's look at the Daily Mail. The reason on the marks,

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you get wiped out and labour buried in their own backyard. It will come

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on the weather weakens safely extrapolate this to doom the aids in

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a bit, but Theresa May -- to June the 8th in a bit. Theresa May not --

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careful not to overestimate these games? They're worried about turnout

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in June. It's not about whether she will win, it's about the size of the

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majority she will get. What the Conservatives are trying to do is

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take a whole bunch of seats off Labour which in 2015 would have been

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considered safe. You look at some of the majorities, particularly in the

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mayoral races, they were quite tight. As few hundred thousand

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votes, will mean a lot. Labour have the opposite problem. They are

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saying we can still make a difference and get the vote, we have

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a few weeks left. It's interesting, this divergences in the major

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parties. The Tories are the only ones that are trying to downplay the

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significance. Everyone else trying to say, it's fine, it's a flesh

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wound, it's going to be fine, the 8th of June. The Tories are saying

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let's not get too ahead of us all. It's interesting to see the pan out.

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Let's look at the Guardian. Many crushes Ukip, it says. As Corbin

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says we have a historic challenge. Paul Nuttall, the leader of Ukip, is

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saying we are a victim of the own success. We have got out of the EU,

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we've done our job and now people don't see the need for them, it

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seems. It's a little bit like, you know the campaign for real ale, and

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now that everyone is drinking real ale in hipster pubs, they've got

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nothing to do. It's similar with Ukip. They had one job. They've done

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their one job and now what are they for? This interpretation is

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interesting, that Theresa May crossed Ukip. But is that really

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fair? It does seem to be slightly, not the other way round but Ukip is

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clearly infiltrated the Tories. The one-liner like this is the idea that

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Labour voters switched to Ukip and now this time around, they're going

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to the Tories. The Guardian discovering that Ukip as a gateway

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drug for the Tories so Labour voters go to Ukip and then think, I like

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Theresa May, although far instead. I think there is some evidence that

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there is truth in that. The eye talks about a blue tide. Tories

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sweep Britain in local elections. But also, these metro mayors. Not

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everyone wants mayors. But they have after these elections. They tried

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for many years to prevent it that there's got it imposed on them. The

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compromise that has been done is they haven't taken powers away from

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local council. They have devolved powers that will currently run by

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Westminster or an elected authorities and handed them to

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please mayors. They have powers of budget and transport and perhaps

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police. That councils in Birmingham, Walsall and commentary will continue

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to have their powers. But the fact the Tories have won in West Midlands

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is striking. It may only be by three or 4000 votes, but you look at

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places like Walsall which is pretty solidly Labour, Coventry,

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Wolverhampton, they are doing well. That doesn't bode well for Labour in

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June. We have heard all along that the Conservatives are aware that

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Theresa May seems to be the one figure that people like to see. So

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they are pushing her towards the front of the campaign. Very much so.

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The party has been absent from this. It's all been about the reason may

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and her strong and stable leadership. My local team.

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It's rather presidential. It's not just the West Midlands were the

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Tories have done well it is also Tees Valley, places that are solidly

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Labour and have been for years. Although there is a blue tide, the

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Labour Party can point to successes in Manchester and Liverpool, they

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are making as big a deal as they possibly plausibly camp of their

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successes there. There is now addressing this up. The Tories have

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done extremely well in areas that Labour has traditionally been able

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to count on. The Times front page says may cause the landslide, heavy

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losses for Labour and Ukip. -- Theresa May on course for landslide.

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We mustn't extrapolate but one is round the corner and we do it

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anyway. Let's do it. What can you safely conclude? One can safely

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June. That is fairly obvious. June. That is fairly obvious.

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Sticking your neck out here. Personally, I'm sticking my neck

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out, I don't think it will be the 140 or 160 margin some people are

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saying. I think it's more likely to be around 80 or 70. Actually, if you

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extrapolate out the local election results, they did slightly less well

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in the local election results than some of the polls would suggest. Is

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that it is clearly going to be a pretty sizeable Conservative

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majority. We must mention the Lib Dems, they are happy with their

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share of the vote this time. But not with the number of seats that

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they've got. So that's the perennial problem for the Lib Dems. It has

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played at in local actions as in national action. They have not had a

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good time, and again they are trying to put a brave face on it and say,

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we have five weeks, we can do this, make a difference, we the credible

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opposition in England and Wales. But there is little evidence for it.

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First past the post doesn't suit them. Daily Express, the reason, the

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new Maggie. There will always be some who won the next that, but

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whether that is helpful for the wider population, people unsure

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about it. They are both women. That's an irresistible comparison

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for parts of the right-wing press. You know, I'm pretty sure that the

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girl. Not handbags this time but shoes. It's not handbags but shoes.

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She has a firmness of character that I think is making it a reasonable

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comparison. But I don't know, it doesn't really work for me. Very

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different backgrounds. She apparently has the comparison. You

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can see why, but she stuck with it. This is very meant to be flattering

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but I take your point. Let's look at the front of the Scottish Daily

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Mail. If the different front page from the other one.

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Conservative the fixer to roost's Tories does and SNP. She came to the

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forefront in the debate. In Scotland, the Tories have had such

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an impossible time of it until it started to be turning round. Is it

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down to her? They are the second largest party in Scotland now. How

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did that happen? Imagine saying that four years ago. The tide of the SNP

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appears to be stagnating, certainly they are down seven. It's about

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Labour's much as the Tories. That is about the unionist vote going to the

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Tories. It is about her. She is the plausible face of the junior and

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Labour aunt. She is plain speaking isn't she. You know where you are

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with Ruth Davidson. The assertion of the Scottish Daily Mail that the SNP

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have plummeted is, I think, something they would argue with.

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They have not managed to take Glasgow as they hope to. That is

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quite a thing. The Tories have taken Glasgow? If you had said this to me

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two weeks ago I'd have told you to have a nice lie down. Clearly, minds

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have shifted in Scotland and clearly, there is a large number of

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voters who just don't want another independence referendum. That seems

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to be the key message that Ruth Davidson was putting forward. And

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that the Tories put forward in Scotland and it's resonating. We

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don't want any more votes about anything ever. We've got one coming

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haven't we on the eighth? Before that on Sunday, the French go to the

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polls to choose between Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron. And his

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party which he only set up a year ago. It's starting to look clear,

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grow clearer now. The first round looked a bit hairy. But opinion

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polls can be wrong, but Macron has a 60s to -- 62% in the opinion polls,

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Marine Le Pen has 30%. Even if it is wrong, it will be an unprecedented

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scale for this to be wrong. There is wrong and there's wrong. And should

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be a shoe in for Macon. The markets are saying this is our guide, we

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don't think we'll have Marine Le Pen come in and threatened to dismantle

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video row. But he hasn't got any MPs? No. That will be interesting.

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His job and 50% of his new party who has never served as MPs before and

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the other 50% will be people coming in from the other parties to join

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him. Two questions, what are they made up with and what is the

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calibre? And will the right and left of their people or will they go to

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or marsh -- Macron's party. The months ahead will be interesting. He

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so polished on the TV? You heard speak. Last year I went to a talk

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with 40 people. But I've never seen a politician in this country like

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it. The charisma is extraordinary. And of course, a sigh of relief

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across the EU if it is him. Enormous. Marine Le Pen would be

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disastrous for the remaining EU project and for the kilo. -- dogear

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row. They've been explicit about backing

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Macron. Even Barack Obama, who is explicitly that out of video backing

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Emmanuel Macron. It's a mutual friend and external -- it's unusual

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for external parsed additions to get involved. When Barack Obama did that

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with the referendum, it didn't go down well. Not terribly well. A

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different story. To almost finished. Motorway speed limit faces cuts to

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60 mph. This is a suggestion for how to tackle air pollution, which has

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suddenly become headline news. There are parts of the country that are

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reaching European guidelines on air quality. Presumably, we would be

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subject to these European air quality regulations two years from

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now. Nonetheless, the government is keen to stick to these European

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regulation. They then told that got to? Yes. It's a serious issue, it

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kills 40,000 people each year who wouldn't necessarily otherwise die

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of respiratory diseases and so on. There are a package of measures

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would have been suggested including cutting speeding limits on

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motorways, but I can't see going down well. There was a potential

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programme to scrap certain kinds of diesel cars. That it's unclear how a

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lot of this will be funded and it seems like a lot of the nuts and

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bolts of rubble to be done is pushed back. The scrappage game could cost

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up to ?80 billion? It's huge. The government didn't want to publish

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it, they wanted to publish it back until after the election. The Graco

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push it back. It you wonder if it had been pushed back, it could have

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been more radical. It is tinkering around the edges. They are not

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specific amount how it works. The councils to do something, but

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perhaps they shouldn't. It is one issue when the proposals, they may

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be more radical than they appear now. You mentioned councils as well,

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it seems then that if these clear as Jones are brought in, it will be up

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to a local council to do it? Yes, they must produce plans. This is the

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Times reporting, two were produced -- reduce air pollution in the

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shortest time possible. It's ambitious and there semantic John

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McEnroe objection -- some objection from

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environmentalist to this. I think this won't please anyone. The

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hard-core environmentalists say it doesn't go far enough. The business

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could say is Draconian, the councils say it's not fair to be all on us.

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People will like getting rid of speed bumps. Switch enough, they

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keep spare saying as well. We'll back to the time for a bit of fluff,

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really, quite literally. The sheer variety is the headline 30 alpacas

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in Cirencester in Gloucestershire has been given unusual hairstyles by

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the owner. Helen Kendall Smith, all to celebrate ten years of breeding

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them at her farm. There's got either judges with six or 1970s rock star

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mullets. It looks like Crufts? They're supposed to look like

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boodles or dinosaurs. -- poodles or dinosaurs. They don't click map

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massively like either poodles or dinosaurs how does one even see? Has

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like to see all 30 of them together. Wouldn't that be a site out in the

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Gloucestershire field. I'm impressed by your background knowledge, Katie.

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we have these guests in, they have we have these guests in, they have

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such hinterland. That's the papers to much,

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Don't forget you can see the front pages of the papers online

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It's all there for you - seven days a week at

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bbc.co.uk/papers and if you miss the programme any evening you can

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Good evening. Central and western parts of Scotland have had

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