14/12/2017 The View


14/12/2017

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LineFromTo

Hello and welcome to a special

edition of The View live

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from Brussels, at a crucial moment

for the European Union.

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The Irish border has been a key

factor in the first phase

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of Brexit discussions,

and now it seems Theresa May's

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government has done enough

to convince the other member states

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to move on to phase two.

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cash

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cash

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But there are still a lot

of unanswered questions, and tonight

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we'll try to get some answers.

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Here at the heart of

the European Union, the leaders

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of the EU member states have been

discussing issues which will have

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a profound impact on the UK

and Ireland's future -

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north and south.

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With the Republic widely

acknowledged as the country facing

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the biggest impact from the UK's

withdrawal, I spoke

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to the Taoiseach, Leo Varadkar.

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that other people supporting Brexit

and realised they are some of the

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people creating the problems and I'm

the one with all that. I'm in

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Strasbourg speaking to MEPs who will

have approved the final deal so what

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are the issues affecting them?

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I've been hearing how life

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in a post-Brexit Brussels could work

to the advantage of businesses

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from both sides of the Irish border.

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With the British having removed

themselves from the job market, that

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will create a lot of opportunities

for people with Irish citizenship

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from the north and the Republic.

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And I'll be talking to some

of the people who've been

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following the European story

and its many twists

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and turns over the years...

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Welcome to the European Council

building in Brussels where 18 months

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after the referendum,

it seems the UK and the 27 remaining

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EU member states are ready to talk

about their future relationship.

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Tonight, EU leaders have been having

dinner with Theresa May.

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The three tests from phase one -

citizens' rights, the divorce bill

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and the most troublesome,

the Irish border, have

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now been dealt with -

sufficient progress seems to have

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been made to everyone's

satisfaction.

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Ireland has, of course,

been at the core of these

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negotiations throughout.

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It's generally acknowledged

that its trade could be hardest hit

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of any EU state when the UK leaves

and there was considerable media

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interest in what the Taoiseach,

Leo Varadkar, had to say

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as he arrived at the

summit this afternoon.

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Can I ask you how concerned you are

that losing last night's vote in the

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House of Commons could have

potentially quite seriously damage

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the leadership of Theresa May at a

critical time in these negotiations?

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I know and understand that may have

a tough job, she is leading a

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minority government supported by a

supply arrangement, I can identify

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with that because that's what I'm

doing, leading a minority government

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to supported by a confidence and

supply agreement but I have faith

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and confidence in her she speaks for

the government of the UK. That is

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the case as long as she is promised,

we will do water and true tears as

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she had an overall majority.

The

Unionists continue to express

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concern that the difficulties the

British government are having our

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visiting the Irish government with

an opportunity to do what they see

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as an all Ireland agenda. They

continue to say that despite the

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fact you've made it clear that is

not the position, what is your

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message to them as this summit gets

underway?

Our message to all the

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people in Northern Ireland whether

they are from a nationalist or

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unionist political point of view is

we want to continue on the island of

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Ireland is what we have had the last

20th years,

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peace, freedom of trade and what is

disrupting that is Brexit. I hope

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some of the people are supported and

campaign for Brexit will realise or

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at least acknowledge that they are

the ones who created this problem

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and I am one of the people trying to

resolve it, trying to attain what we

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have had for 20 years, peace on an

island for most of the past 20

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years. Power-sharing and free

movement of people, goods, services

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and trade between Britain and

Ireland and in Ireland, that's what

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I'm working towards.

In terms of how

wide-ranging regulatory alignment

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might be in the future if that is

the backstop position which ends up

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adopted, is that the six issues that

are mentioned in the Good Friday

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Agreement or the 142 that Michel

Barnier's task force talk about?

Are

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lots of people for their own

political reasons that will try to

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put a particular spin or complexion

on what was agreed last week in the

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joint retort. -- report. I will

stand by the language there and

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dying which says maintained, full

mod partial alignment and that

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applies to the rules of the internal

market and Customs union that are

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required to avoid a hard border. And

retain North- South cooperation, the

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all Ireland economy, that is the

language used in the document. It is

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clear to me.

Thank you.

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The Taoiseach, Leo Varadkar,

speaking to me earlier.

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And the Prime Minister has

had a bruising 24 hours

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after her defeat at Westminster over

the EU withdrawal bill.

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But she arrived here earlier

saying she was certain

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she will deliver Brexit.

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It's clear you have problems in

Parliament, as have to make more

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compromises with your own side as

well as parliament?

Look at the

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passage of the bill so far, it is

making good process through the

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House of Commons. We have actually

had 36 votes of the EU Withdrawal

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Bill and 135 of those with an avid

majority of 22. The bill is making

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good progress, we are on course to

deliver Brexit, on course for the

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vote of the British people. Will you

compromise more? We have 35 out of

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our 36 votes on the EU Withdrawal

Bill, it's making good, progress in

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the Commons and we will deliver the

sovereign vote on the British people

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to leave the European Union, that is

what we will do.

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That was political editor

Laura Kuenssberg asking

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the questions of Theresa May

and she's with me now along with

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RTE's Europe Editor, Tony Connelly.

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Welcome to you both. Thanks for

joining us. How difficult, Laura, is

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the situation Theresa May is?

Hard

but I think some I will say

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something unfashionable. When the

British government and say they are

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ready to move to x-rays, that is

something of an achievement for the

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government. If you look at

everything that's happened to

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Theresa May since you took office,

the crashing loss of the majority in

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the election, all sort of rough and

tumble in the Cabinet were

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significant decisions in the Tory

party to get this far is something I

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have to say, from time to time at

the last six months we have thought

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it didn't seem like it was possible.

That doesn't for a second magic away

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all of the confrontations and

contradictions, particularly over

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the Irish border question, that they

still have to sort out in the next

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phase, but I do think tonight the

number ten team is going to leave

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here feeling pretty chipper about

what lies ahead.

We gather Leo

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Varadkar and Theresa May had a

meeting in the margins of that

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dinner. Do you have any idea what

was discussed?

I think it was a

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short meeting and I think both sides

will be keen to take the temperature

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out of the situation because,

speaking to both sides, it is clear

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that Anglo - Irish relations have

been damaged by the last couple of

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months. There has been key episodes

along the way, all the way up to the

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abort of the deal on the 4th of

September. That week was fairly

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intense getting the deal over the

line. And we end up with an

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agreement with so much constructive

ambiguity in it that I think we are

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storing up a lot of problems for the

future. The fact this is a 3-way

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tussle between Dublin, London and

Belfast, the border is back in Irish

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politics and that opens up its own

problems from its own toxicity. I

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think that meeting tonight was

perhaps to say look, we have our own

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troubles my lets meet again in

January, let's talk, we have human

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contact again after the trauma in

the past few weeks.

It is

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interesting because apparently

Theresa May got a round of applause

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when she turned up and Leo Varadkar

was supportive of Theresa May but

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they are people starting to feel

sorry for her?

I think there was a

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bit of a centre back at home, I have

to say. When you talk to number ten

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insiders privately, they detect in

their focus groups, and they would

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say this wouldn't they? That they do

hope they do believe that the

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platinum are starting to say,

"Goodness me, it is hard for her and

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she keeps going. " Now the political

leader would want a sympathy vote,

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that is toxic for some leading the

country, but there does seem to be,

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they she is still there. Even

despite the difficulty of Brussels

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and the bad behaviour inside her own

party. I think that anyone

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suggesting, the thing about the

Irish border is not just the

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absolutely crucial importance of it

for people north and south of the

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border itself, but I we saw in the

last seven days it's kind of became

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a proxy for the really deep and

troublesome divisions inside the

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Tory party. So when news came as he

broke and then we heard MEPs

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suggesting at the beginning of the

week that the British government

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rolled over to the concessions from

Dublin, you had Eurosceptics in

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Westminster as well as the DUP think

this will not do. We are not going

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to have it, we will not put up with

it. And somehow the Irish border at

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this comparative early stage of the

real talk, not the part the real

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talks, became a proxy, the weather

division was with the Tory party.

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Nothing in the last 24 hours has

sold about. What Theresa May has

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done has pushed that fight into next

year, it is intriguing to hear you

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talking about that, it has been

difficult for both of us, but at

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least let's get to do the next bit.

Interesting to hear Leo Varadkar, he

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didn't pull any punches. Use

diplomatic language but he's not

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happy with a lot of what he was

saying, the DUP leader, he is saying

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unions don't see the way he sees it.

He was clear about who was

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responsible for the Brexit

difficulties, he is saying is tragic

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to other people's mess.

I think

there was a tussle between a the DUP

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and the Irish government that got

worse over the past few months. The

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DUP fielded an agenda and a unity

agenda, that Leo Varadkar is

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putting. -- feel there is an agenda.

It comes on the different tone and

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personality that he is compared to

enter Kenny. From the Irish point of

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view as we got to this deadline in

December, they felt the British

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government was not producing enough

product on the border issue and they

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had to raise the stakes, rate it in

November with this whole suggestion

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that regulatory alignments with the

customs union and single market,

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that was the first time it took

shape in early November. Since then,

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I think the DUP has felt alienated

by the Irish government poverty

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approach and felt cut out of the

loop in Downing Street, because it's

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not a coalition, it's a confidence

and supply arrangement, and they

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were not brought in as much as they

would like to have been brought in,

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and all of this has come to a head

and the language we have heard from

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the DUP about the Irish government

in recent times, I think it will be

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hard-fought Simon Cope and need to

get into the room with you DUP to

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talk about restoring the executive.

That is a talent. Northern Ireland

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does not have a voice at these

discussions and yet that is central

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to what is happening as far as

Brexit is concerned. And then the

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issue is restoring devolution.

That's right, and also as is my

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understanding and I confess I'm no

expert in Northern Irish the correct

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me -- geography but in Westminster

there was not a single sitting

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Northern Irish MP from a

constituency that nudges up with the

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border. We have a Keary a situation

where the people talking the talk in

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Westminster do not represent the

areas that are actually affected.

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The whole of the North and South is

affected by what others but there

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was a question Sinn Fein of course

have strong views on this, they want

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to make their voice heard but they

are not part of the Westminster

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discussion. Tony pointed to another

thing present right across the

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Brexit talks, the idea of suspicion

and all sides. The suspicion the

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DUP, the Irish government, suspicion

back that way too. Suspicion also

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among Brexiteers in the Tory party

of what the Remainer rebels are

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really up to. Suspicion among the

Remainer rebels about what Theresa

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May really wants and then suspicion

in the Labour Party about what

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Jeremy Corbyn really and vice versa.

There was not much trust between

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Brussels, Westminster, Stormont,

Dublin or even inside the political

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parties in Westminster itself.

Finally, a bumpy few months ahead?

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Yes, you have the huge

contradiction. The Irish government

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have a fixed idea about what full

alignment means. They said they have

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legal advice on it in stride in the

treaties. The British government's

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take on alignment is entirely

different.

Interesting stuff, thanks

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for joining us.

We will be back with

dictionaries, what alignment mean?

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The Irish government has played

such a prominent role,

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Brussels is swarming with presidents

and prime ministers for this summit,

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but there are few if any MEPs here.

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They've been meeting

in the Strasbourg parliament

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all week, one of the three main

cities of the EU.

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In the end, they too will get a say

in the final deal with the UK

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and John Campbell has been

there to get a range of opinions.

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Every month, any people might make

the trip from Brussels to Strasbourg

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for its setting for Parliament. Its

presence in the city a symbol of

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European reconciliation. The Irish

border has been central to this

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first phase of Brexit negotiations.

But, in truth, our reporter is a

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mere footnote in European history.

When you compare it to the conflicts

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which have raised across this

frontier. I am standing in France,

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and cross that bridge, over the

river, that is Germany. Symbols of

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European conflict and cooperation

are scattered across Strasbourg.

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Which of those parts will be taken

in the next phase of the Brexit box?

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The deal we have struck will

guarantee the rights of more than 3

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million EU citizens the commitment

given by the UK Government and

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make's the late-night negotiations

are treated with scepticism by Sinn

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Fein.

Nobody knows the British government

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better than us when it comes to

negotiations. They are masters of

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duplicity. I think when you look at

the language of the document, it was

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laced with contradictions. Even the

commission's communique identified

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those contradictions. So, at this

stage, I think the parliament is

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made sufficient progress to move it

to phase two, but it is not

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complete.

And now, Mrs Dodds, you

have the floor.

Thank you, Mr

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President.

The government's DUP

allies are relaxed, having received

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reassurances about Northern

Ireland's place in the UK.

Well,

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look, we have heard a lot about this

deal. We have heard a lot from some

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of our political opponents about

special status for Northern Ireland

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within the EU. That is not in the

deal. The deal specifically states

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that the United Kingdom, including

Northern Ireland, will leave the

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single market and Customs union.

Rules of alignment with the United

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Kingdom -- will be United Kingdom

rolls of alignment. We all need to

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take a big deep breath, get herself

geared up for that new relationship,

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for those essential talks to

providing that a new relationship.

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The EU does have the ability to

drain the emotion out of issues, and

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then negotiate workable solutions.

But the veteran MEP says the

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challenges of this next phase should

not be underestimated.

Look, if we

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get a new type of customs deal, if

we get trade, that is totally tariff

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free, I think that everything will

flow from that. If we do not, the

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work is cut out for the negotiators.

I do not think the next time they

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come to make a deal it will be as

easy as the last one, and it was

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difficult enough.

So, those are the views from our

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local MEPs. But how was the phase

one deal feed from other places?

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Germany is the country with the most

are presented as here, 96 out of

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751. One of its most prominent MEPs

is happy that talks are moving on,

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but, in his view, the central

contradictions of the Irish border

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issue has not gone away.

I do see

the problems. On the one hand, the

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UK wants to leave the single market

of the customs union. On the other

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hand, the UK wants to avoid the

creation of a hard border between

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Northern Ireland and the Republic,

but they also want to maintain the

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unity of the United Kingdom. This is

certainly too square the circle. The

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only possibility I see is that you

have this regulatory alignment in

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Northern Ireland, but what this

means for the future relationship

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between Northern Ireland and the

rest of the UK is something domestic

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British politics will have to

decide. For us, one thing is clear.

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Under all circumstances, we want

nothing at all which may be in

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danger for the Good Friday

Agreement.

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One of his senior colleagues

emphasises that the commitment on

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the border need to be legally

kneeled down.

The second phase is

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starting parallel negotiations to a

withdrawal agreement. But without

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that, the questions of commitment

are clearly a legally binding

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settles, and there will be no

transition period and no further

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negotiations on the free trade

agreement whatsoever. Therefore,

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this is not just for show, to

counter the second phase.

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The EU says it needs to know what

sort of relationship the UK want

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after it leaves. Be key to how the

border issue is resolved.

Debates,

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thoughts, sessions, everything...

The Brexit supporter Daniel Hammond

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is very clear about what he wants.

I

want us to have the closest possible

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relationship with our European

allies, compatible with being a

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sovereign country. Think of Canada

and the US. The Canadians also have

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a federation on their doorstep, a

political union. They are not part

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of it but they have the closest

relationship with it that you could

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have, in not just trade but

security, civil rights and so on. I

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think that is not a bad model for

us, that we should become the EU's

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best friend and closest ally.

Reconciling that sort of clean break

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with a soft border is not going to

be straightforward. MEPs will

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continue to be consulted by the EU's

negotiating team of the process

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unfolds. Ultimately, whatever is

agreed will have to be approved by

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this Parliament.

0:20:480:20:51

John has made it back from

Strasbourg and he's with me now.

0:20:510:20:57

John, first of all, what is the

relationship late between the EU's

0:20:570:21:01

chief negotiator, Michel Barnier,

and the Parliament?

The Parliament

0:21:010:21:04

has no formal role in the

negotiations, other than the right

0:21:040:21:08

to be regularly updated on progress.

Read at the end of the process, it

0:21:080:21:12

does have a vote on the withdrawal

agreement. That means, in practice,

0:21:120:21:17

the relationship between Michel

Barnier, the chief negotiator, and

0:21:170:21:20

the Parliament is actually very

close. The Parliament has a Brexit

0:21:200:21:23

steering group, which is headed by

the energetic -- and energetic

0:21:230:21:28

Belgian. Those two men will meet

before each negotiating round,

0:21:280:21:35

because really the EU does not want

to get into the position were a deal

0:21:350:21:38

is good but is not acceptable to the

Parliament. All along, the

0:21:380:21:42

Parliament and Michel Barnier's team

will be unlocked state.

So, good

0:21:420:21:48

MEPs theoretically veto it?

Theoretically, yes. But it would

0:21:480:21:54

never get to that stage. The EU does

not work that way. There is this

0:21:540:21:57

pre-deal which will be announced

tomorrow saying there has been

0:21:570:22:02

sufficient progress, so again it

will be like the final deal as well.

0:22:020:22:05

You're not going to get into a

position where one body will use the

0:22:050:22:09

beetle.

You spoke there are two of

the local MEPs. They have got very

0:22:090:22:12

differing views on how they see

Brexit and what they think needs to

0:22:120:22:16

happen next. -- to three of our

local MEPs. Have they tried to

0:22:160:22:21

influence the Parliament on their

positions on a difficult issue?

0:22:210:22:26

Particularly Sinn Fein have been

energetic on doing that, as they see

0:22:260:22:30

the Parliament as they waited to

Toshiba Irish bit of this debate,

0:22:300:22:33

because they are a member of the

Nordic Green group. That has a

0:22:330:22:36

representative on that Brexit

steering committee of the

0:22:360:22:40

Parliament. Sinn Fein will work

through them. They will say that

0:22:400:22:42

they have shipped some of the

language which has been used in the

0:22:420:22:46

Parliament's resolutions. It is not

like the Parliament has adopted Sinn

0:22:460:22:49

Fein positions also. For example,

their desire for Northern Ireland to

0:22:490:22:53

have a special status has not been

adopted by the Parliament but they

0:22:530:22:56

would say they have worked

assiduously. They have talked to as

0:22:560:23:00

many MEPs as they can and see it as

a place where they can influence the

0:23:000:23:03

debate.

And what is Northern Ireland

business looking for at this stage

0:23:030:23:08

in the process? Bcertainty, that is

whatever they want. This transition

0:23:080:23:16

period, after we have left the EU

for to years, we will continue to

0:23:160:23:20

follow many of the regulations and

rules. Business we want that

0:23:200:23:23

transition period kneeled down so

that they will have a breathing

0:23:230:23:28

space which will take them to at

least 2021 before a big change.

0:23:280:23:32

Thank you very much indeed.

0:23:320:23:34

Brussels is home to many of the EU's

institutions and those bodies

0:23:340:23:37

generate a mini-economy

of their own made up

0:23:370:23:39

of analysts, lobbyists,

and public relations bodies -

0:23:390:23:41

and prominent among them

are some familiar accents.

0:23:410:23:43

This is right in the heart of

Brussels, it is the home of the

0:24:000:24:04

European Commission. This city, of

course, is filling up with diplomats

0:24:040:24:07

from right across the European Union

brought this week's crucial summit.

0:24:070:24:11

There are a lot of people who live

and work in Brussels right

0:24:110:24:15

throughout the year of course, and I

am off to meet three of them to hear

0:24:150:24:19

how Brexit is impacting on the

day-to-day life. Nicholas, how

0:24:190:24:27

important, first of all, do you see

this week's summit as being?

This is

0:24:270:24:31

crucial. This is the turning point

at which we see whether there is

0:24:310:24:35

going to be an ordered transition or

a disorderly, chaotic cliff edge to

0:24:350:24:38

the entire Brexit process. We have

built up to this. This should have

0:24:380:24:43

happened in October, do not forget.

This should have been where we were

0:24:430:24:46

three months ago and we are not. We

are now at the stage where we have

0:24:460:24:51

seen the government making a deal,

then hints that it may withdraw

0:24:510:24:54

partly from that, then moving from

the EU's position. It has been

0:24:540:24:59

surprisingly dramatic for a process

that should have been done and

0:24:590:25:02

dusted sometime back.

Sean, some

people thought whenever a deal was

0:25:020:25:06

reached last Friday that that was

it, we can all breathe a collective

0:25:060:25:10

sigh of relief and Brexit had been

put to bed. Nothing could be further

0:25:100:25:15

from the truth in fact!

That is

correct. I think last week

0:25:150:25:21

businesses, both in the UK and

across the EU, breathe a huge sigh

0:25:210:25:25

of relief because this one was the

easy part in the negotiations, from

0:25:250:25:29

a business perspective. Phase two,

dealing with complex issues around

0:25:290:25:36

regulatory alignment, customs

procedures, Health and Safety, goods

0:25:360:25:40

and services and the market, these

are incredibly complex issues.

Your

0:25:400:25:47

organisation represents business,

third sector organisations. You've

0:25:470:25:51

got a very strong Irish connection,

it is an Irish company of course. Do

0:25:510:25:56

you see a lot of common ground with

the issues they are Sean is talking

0:25:560:26:00

about as well, the kind of concerns

that the people you are representing

0:26:000:26:04

are bringing to the table at the

moment?

Absolutely. I think that

0:26:040:26:09

certainty, whether for business or

other organisations, on both sides,

0:26:090:26:13

is absolutely critical. How do you

plan what is going to happen in

0:26:130:26:19

March 2019, what is going to happen

after a transition? Where are we

0:26:190:26:22

actually getting with this? What is

the future of Europe going to look

0:26:220:26:25

like without the UK in it? All of

these questions are critical to

0:26:250:26:30

decisions that any organisation is

actually contemplating at this

0:26:300:26:36

point, and planning ahead to deal

with.

Sean, there are clearly

0:26:360:26:40

challenges in all of this, but

business is no stranger to

0:26:400:26:45

challenge. Are there also potential

opportunities here that could be

0:26:450:26:51

grasped in future?

Indeed, business

is incredibly pragmatic and Brexit

0:26:510:26:54

if one of the risks that they have

to deal with, among many, but Brexit

0:26:540:26:59

of course is at Management board

level, top management. People are

0:26:590:27:05

looking at where are the

opportunities for Brexit. One of the

0:27:050:27:08

most evident once is around

exploring markets across the world,

0:27:080:27:13

not just the the European Union.

Gill, how do you feel of a challenge

0:27:130:27:19

first opportunity?, yes, I was just

going to to that obviously

0:27:190:27:23

businesses incredibly pragmatic, but

they need to know what regime they

0:27:230:27:26

are operating under, and it is that

lack of certainty to know which has

0:27:260:27:29

proved to be the most challenging

thing, I think, that as soon as they

0:27:290:27:33

know which conditions they will have

to operate under, they can make

0:27:330:27:39

their decisions about where they

want to operate, where they need a

0:27:390:27:43

licence, where they want to invest

and where they want to employ

0:27:430:27:46

people. It is that lack of certainty

that I think is undermining business

0:27:460:27:51

risk at the moment.

Nicholas, there is not a voice for

0:27:510:27:57

Northern Ireland at the heart of

this debate at the moment. How big

0:27:570:28:01

an issue is that? Irrelevant, or not

very much You can keep up to date

0:28:010:28:07

with the latest news and weather

throughout the day via our Twitter

0:28:070:28:09

feed it is a huge issue.

The fact

is, the Scottish Government and

0:28:090:28:12

Welsh government are here pretty

much every week making sure that

0:28:120:28:14

their viewpoint is understood.

Making sure that they are being held

0:28:140:28:18

at commission level, Parliament

level. And they do not have

0:28:180:28:21

something similar from Northern

Ireland because of the lack of an

0:28:210:28:24

Executive. It does make a

difference. It means that we are

0:28:240:28:27

being talked about in the third

person all of the time, rather than

0:28:270:28:31

the first second person.

Even though we have got a Secretary

0:28:310:28:34

of State, even though, clearly, the

Irish dimension is covered by the

0:28:340:28:39

Taoiseach?

And, indeed, by the Irish

diplomats here who are extremely

0:28:390:28:44

good at ensuring that the Irish

viewpoint is heard clearly. Of

0:28:440:28:47

course, the job is not to speak for

Northern Ireland but for the

0:28:470:28:50

Republic. They are extremely good at

keeping everyone informed of what

0:28:500:28:55

the Irish government is doing, in

fact I have heard comments from the

0:28:550:28:58

Scottish Government that they get

better information from Dublin and

0:28:580:29:01

London, which is a bit shocking

about the Brexit process.

I agree

0:29:010:29:06

about Scotland. I have been an

adviser to the Scottish Government

0:29:060:29:11

on Brexit as well and you can see

how important it is for them to stay

0:29:110:29:17

connected, how important it is for

them to stress how much part of the

0:29:170:29:22

European process they continue to

see themselves being, pre-Brexit,

0:29:220:29:27

post-Brexit.

I think it is worth

bearing in mind, well we can

0:29:270:29:30

understand and left the Northern

Ireland issue every day, for a lot

0:29:300:29:34

of the Europeans, Northern Ireland

has not been in the news for 20

0:29:340:29:37

years. There was quite a big

exercise in educating both political

0:29:370:29:43

leaders and, indeed, business

representatives from across Europe

0:29:430:29:48

widely Northern Ireland questions

are so important, because of the

0:29:480:29:51

peace that has resulted from the

Good Friday Agreement.

So, did

0:29:510:29:55

Northern Ireland just a pure left

field out of nowhere?

One of the

0:29:550:30:04

challenges and it is difficult, a

lot of the issues that have related

0:30:040:30:08

to Northern Ireland by Trulli phase

two issues. Actually dealing coming

0:30:080:30:11

up with the solutions for phase one

of the Northern Ireland question is

0:30:110:30:18

dependent on what future regime the

UK has with the rest of the EU. It's

0:30:180:30:24

difficult to have a complex,

comprehensive answer and solution to

0:30:240:30:27

the Northern Ireland question

because the commission was very

0:30:270:30:31

clear that we had to deal with phase

one issue for phase two.

There is a

0:30:310:30:38

gap, clearly, between the British

world to you and the Irish

0:30:380:30:42

worldview. -- British worldview.

That brought it into sharp relief.

0:30:420:30:48

Will the gap because all will that

be a problem -- or will that be a

0:30:480:30:55

problem in the next 18 months and

beyond?

There is a fundamental part

0:30:550:30:59

of the British media scene which is

British people and particularly

0:30:590:31:03

British politicians tend to read

only British newspaper. The problem

0:31:030:31:06

is the French and Germans and indeed

Irish all with their own newspapers

0:31:060:31:10

but also read the British newspapers

as well. You therefore have a

0:31:100:31:15

situation that everybody else

understands the British worldview

0:31:150:31:19

because they are reading it and

hearing it. But there isn't the same

0:31:190:31:26

feeling of engagement from the

British side with the rest of Europe

0:31:260:31:28

with the rest of the world.

Is that

a position of splendid isolation?

0:31:280:31:34

Splendour anyway whether it is

isolation or not. I think that is a

0:31:340:31:38

fundamental problem.

Certainly our

feeling and what we are hearing from

0:31:380:31:44

sources across the European

government that there is a huge rise

0:31:440:31:48

of sympathy for the question about

the border. Particularly for Ireland

0:31:480:31:53

as a result of this because they

will suffer some economic hardship.

0:31:530:31:58

There is a question about what can

be done to before them. -- support

0:31:580:32:03

them.

What do you think post-Brexit

Brussels might look like or is it

0:32:030:32:07

too early to start thinking about

that?

You have to think what is the

0:32:070:32:11

role of the UK in the European Union

since it started? And join for

0:32:110:32:15

economic reasons, is not even for

political reasons. If you look at

0:32:150:32:20

the economic agenda of Europe at the

moment, it has now been submitted.

0:32:200:32:23

It's around free and fair trade,

open markets, competition, single

0:32:230:32:29

market, digital, these are all

agenda points that successive UK

0:32:290:32:34

Government and the British community

has pushed. The UK is a strong

0:32:340:32:42

advocate. You take one from the

table and you have a shift in access

0:32:420:32:46

to a more protectionist agenda

whether it is French or Italian.

0:32:460:32:50

There is a big fear within the EU

business community and in certain

0:32:500:32:54

governments that the loss of that

British voice and pragmatism of

0:32:540:32:59

competition that Europe could become

a bit more inward looking and

0:32:590:33:03

protectionist. That is not in the UK

business interest because it is our

0:33:030:33:06

biggest trading market.

You agree

that?

Terms of voices, one thing we

0:33:060:33:13

will hear more of an Irish voices

from both sides of the border.

0:33:130:33:18

English remains the working language

of the European Union and their

0:33:180:33:24

weedy rumours after the referendum

that might

0:33:240:33:26

in this type -- there were rumours

that might stop at every deal done

0:33:280:33:32

is in English. The British removing

themselves from the job market, that

0:33:320:33:38

will create opportunities for people

with Irish citizenship from the

0:33:380:33:41

north and go public. -- and the

republic. Partly linguistic thing

0:33:410:33:48

and partly because there was the

clarity of understanding with the UK

0:33:480:33:54

in the future and that will remain

an issue with Brussels for some time

0:33:540:33:58

to come.

Fascinating situation,

thank you all very much indeed for

0:33:580:34:01

joining us.

0:34:010:34:04

That's the view of some

of our ex-pats living

0:34:080:34:10

and working here in Brussels.

0:34:100:34:11

With me now is our Europe

Correspondent, Kevin Connolly.

0:34:110:34:15

And George Parker from the financial

time. Welcome to you both. Kevin

0:34:150:34:21

drum of the main business today was

not about Brexit, it's being

0:34:210:34:25

discussed tomorrow, Theresa May is

not here?

That's right, there is

0:34:250:34:30

ironic moment in the Brexit posters,

the big, good moment for the UK's

0:34:300:34:35

point of view, the rules of the EU

will not be here, she now sit the EU

0:34:350:34:40

at 28. The rest of the European

Union passed the United Kingdom of

0:34:400:34:46

course, she then leads one to talk

about Brexit, that critical moment,

0:34:460:34:49

the moment she has been waiting for

when they say the test of sufficient

0:34:490:34:55

presence of the past one shall be

back in London, she did as a

0:34:550:34:59

compensation as discussed together

round of applause this vehicle. The

0:34:590:35:01

first one of the browsers I would

guess possibly the last in the

0:35:010:35:04

process for quite some

it's

intriguing she got it, I was asking

0:35:040:35:11

Laura Kuenssberg Eardley, was that a

sympathy vote?

European leaders have

0:35:110:35:18

loved Bond Theresa May because

they've got fear something worse

0:35:180:35:24

like Boris Johnson as leader. They

want to shore up her position,

0:35:240:35:29

someone fairly moderate on the

European issue and keep her on

0:35:290:35:31

track. We have seen the summit a lot

of support for Theresa May, there

0:35:310:35:36

was a moment over aperitif between

Angela Merkel and Theresa May where

0:35:360:35:42

they explained pleasantries about

working with minority government.

0:35:420:35:44

Our support and sympathy for her.

She had a meeting with Leo Varadkar,

0:35:440:35:50

how bigger difficulty is she in at

the moment as a leader, particularly

0:35:500:35:53

after losing the vote in the House

of Commons early in the week was

0:35:530:35:56

because she has glossed over that.

She says with one photo

0:35:560:36:00

-- one-vote among many. How much

that is actually going to matter,

0:36:020:36:11

the parliamentary defeat,

atmospherically, people via Tele

0:36:110:36:15

macro Leo Varadkar welly saying

0:36:150:36:16

-- worry about carrying on talking

to the government because it is the

0:36:190:36:24

government. But it does send a chill

through the process that as she

0:36:240:36:30

arrives, George, surely the fact she

has just lost a vote is not looking

0:36:300:36:33

great.

I think she is in trouble,

they read the British labels and

0:36:330:36:38

asked if she can deliver on packs in

2018? Do you think she is in

0:36:380:36:43

trouble? Now, I think her weakness

is her strength. People in the

0:36:430:36:48

Conservative Party whether they are

Eurosceptic or pro-Europe, think

0:36:480:36:51

that moving Theresa May will make

things worse, creating chaos in the

0:36:510:36:56

Conservative Party, the leadership

contest, nobody knows who will win,

0:36:560:36:58

and the possibility of a general

election and Brexit going up in

0:36:580:37:03

smoke. Everybody, such as angler

Michael, Bill Cash, or want to keep

0:37:030:37:10

Theresa May going right through to

2018 and Brexit.

We think there will

0:37:100:37:18

be significant process to phase two.

Phase one has not been completely

0:37:180:37:23

sorted out, there are still

outstanding issues, what are the

0:37:230:37:26

next step is to look out for?

Nobody

needs to feel nostalgic about the

0:37:260:37:29

celebrated phase one issues of the

border and citizens rights and the

0:37:290:37:33

money because they are not fixed.

Just enough process is then made so

0:37:330:37:37

far to allow us to stop talking.

First of all, transition. -- starts

0:37:370:37:42

talking. First of all, transition,

for the 2019, the UK will feel like

0:37:420:37:54

they are in the European Union with

the crucial difference they have no

0:37:540:37:56

longer a voice at summits like this

but they will to all intents and

0:37:560:38:03

purposes remain a member, then as a

going along, issues like defence

0:38:030:38:10

cooperation where Britain feels it

strong, and the feet of trade, the

0:38:100:38:13

border, they would say it has been

kicked down the road, they would say

0:38:130:38:17

the cam has been lifted up and

carefully placed at a strategic

0:38:170:38:20

point of further down the road. That

is far from settled. I don't see

0:38:200:38:27

what the settlement on the board is

that squares the circle.

I don't

0:38:270:38:30

think there is a solution. It's a

classic fudge and to mix the

0:38:300:38:36

metaphors, the fudge has been kicked

down the road. We don't know how you

0:38:360:38:40

can fix the situation, that two

different customs regimes existing

0:38:400:38:44

alongside each other where you don't

have border control.

Both sides in

0:38:440:38:49

that fudge think it has been sorted

out to that satisfaction.

They are

0:38:490:38:53

strident about that.

But they

haven't thought of the border

0:38:530:38:56

question.

They have sorted out a

load of wording that gets past the

0:38:560:39:01

council. Mobley is worked out how to

sort it out, and were speaking to

0:39:010:39:05

someone from the Treasury asking

what they will do about it, if you

0:39:050:39:08

have ideas, but in a letter and send

them in.

Is not the first time in

0:39:080:39:12

the history that the British think

they found an answer to the Irish

0:39:120:39:15

question in some form of elastic

wording, this than some point down

0:39:150:39:20

the road the elastic will go.

There's plenty to keep you in

0:39:200:39:26

business for some future.

This is

going to suck all the energy out of

0:39:260:39:31

British politics.

Is in for me for

foreseeable future. It took 11 years

0:39:310:39:37

for the British to negotiate into

the European unit in the 1960s, I

0:39:370:39:42

wouldn't say it was certain it would

take less time to get back out

0:39:420:39:47

again.

Kevin, George, thanks for

joining us.

0:39:470:39:49

That's it from this special edition

of The View live from the press

0:39:490:39:52

centre in the European Council

building in Brussels,

0:39:520:39:54

where some crucial discussions have

been going on and will continue

0:39:540:39:57

to go on.

0:39:570:39:58

Thanks to everyone here

at the Council for their help.

0:39:580:40:00

Join me for Sunday Politics

at 11.35am here on BBC One.

0:40:000:40:03

We leave you tonight with some

festive fun from the beautiful

0:40:030:40:05

Grande Place here in Brussels.

0:40:050:40:08

Thanks for watching. From all of us,

goodbye.

0:40:080:40:15

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