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It's the biggest service run by the Welsh Government - | :00:09. | :00:11. | |
So how are the parties, those asking for your vote, | :00:12. | :00:15. | |
going to find answers to some of the challenges facing | :00:16. | :00:18. | |
Welcome to our first programme of Election Wales 2016. | :00:19. | :00:37. | |
There's just a month to go before the people of Wales elect 60 | :00:38. | :00:42. | |
Assembly members and a new Welsh Government. | :00:43. | :00:46. | |
And the issue that will be crucial over the next few weeks | :00:47. | :00:49. | |
With a total budget of ?7.1 billion, employing more than 70,000 people, | :00:50. | :00:58. | |
it's facing increasing demand from an ageing population, | :00:59. | :01:02. | |
with more complex and expensive treatments, and all with | :01:03. | :01:04. | |
So tonight, we will be asking the five main parties how | :01:05. | :01:12. | |
they would respond to these challenges over the next five years. | :01:13. | :01:17. | |
And remember, you too can join the conversation on Twitter - | :01:18. | :01:20. | |
Before we look for some answers, we've been to one A department | :01:21. | :01:25. | |
in Glangwili General Hospital in Carmarthen, to ask people | :01:26. | :01:27. | |
on the frontline the daily challenges they face. | :01:28. | :01:39. | |
This morning I am on an early shift, we were given hand over, the | :01:40. | :01:46. | |
department is full, bar one resuscitation bay. Let us have a | :01:47. | :01:51. | |
look. Because people are living longer, they have complex needs. | :01:52. | :01:56. | |
They have multi-medical problems, and getting sicker with this, and | :01:57. | :02:01. | |
sometimes you know, you cannot sustain their care within the | :02:02. | :02:06. | |
community setting, so hence they end up in the emergency department. It | :02:07. | :02:10. | |
is becoming more normal unfortunately that we have the | :02:11. | :02:14. | |
department quite full. Normally the night doctors would have been able | :02:15. | :02:18. | |
to clear the the. Over the past few months you come in and there are | :02:19. | :02:24. | |
about ten, 11 beds we are occupied by medical patients, surgical | :02:25. | :02:27. | |
patients so we are starting the day on a backlog because the department | :02:28. | :02:30. | |
is full and you have people coming in any way, so it is becoming more | :02:31. | :02:35. | |
common. It didn't used to be like that, we have having full | :02:36. | :02:39. | |
departments first thing in the morning. Every day is different. | :02:40. | :02:43. | |
More recently I found that things are more challenging, mostly because | :02:44. | :02:47. | |
we are not having the patient throw through the department. It is an A | :02:48. | :02:51. | |
department. You expect people to come in, go home, come in, move | :02:52. | :02:57. | |
directly to a superbialty bed. We have the patient staying in because | :02:58. | :03:00. | |
there is nowhere to put them. They come in, they are seen and there is | :03:01. | :03:04. | |
no place to off load them, because there are no beds. | :03:05. | :03:11. | |
From my perspective, one of the main issues that a new Welsh Government | :03:12. | :03:16. | |
should face is the interface between health and social care. Looks | :03:17. | :03:23. | |
intact. There are currently too many patients in hospitals round Wales, | :03:24. | :03:27. | |
who don't require the care that that Acute Hospital is able to provide. | :03:28. | :03:32. | |
Unfortunately, it takes too long to safely get them back into the | :03:33. | :03:37. | |
community, there is then a domino-effect, which often leads to | :03:38. | :03:42. | |
ambulances being parked outside full, emergency units. A new Welsh | :03:43. | :03:46. | |
Government should address this as soon as possible. | :03:47. | :03:49. | |
Views from the A Department at Glangwili Hospital there. | :03:50. | :03:53. | |
Joining me tonight - the health spokespeople for each | :03:54. | :03:55. | |
For Labour, the Health Minister, Mark Drakeford. | :03:56. | :04:00. | |
Darren Millar from the Conservative party. | :04:01. | :04:01. | |
The Liberal Democrats' Kirsty Williams and Caroline Jones | :04:02. | :04:04. | |
There are of course other parties standing in the Assembly elections - | :04:05. | :04:12. | |
there's a full list on the BBC Wales Politics website. | :04:13. | :04:16. | |
After the close of nomination there's will be a full list on the | :04:17. | :04:23. | |
BBC Wales politics website. So thank you all very much for joining us. | :04:24. | :04:29. | |
Let us try and start. On a note of consensus this evening. Would you | :04:30. | :04:36. | |
all acknowledge that the well NHS is facing erincreasing demands, ever | :04:37. | :04:40. | |
decreases resources or finite resources and whoever wins next | :04:41. | :04:46. | |
month has to make big choices, and say no to some things. Darren | :04:47. | :04:49. | |
Miller? It is important to recognise there are pressures across the whole | :04:50. | :04:52. | |
of the United Kingdom and those pressures are also here in Wales, | :04:53. | :04:58. | |
but it is not true to say that we need necessarily cut the National | :04:59. | :05:01. | |
Health Service budget. My party has maintained a commitment which has | :05:02. | :05:05. | |
knots been seen from any of the other parties that with need to | :05:06. | :05:08. | |
envest more. What we have seen is a government over the past few years | :05:09. | :05:12. | |
which has cut the NHS budget in real terms. But tough decisions to be | :05:13. | :05:18. | |
made. Very tough decisions. Caroline Jones would you agree? Yes, but we | :05:19. | :05:22. | |
need further investment into the NHS. We know that staff morale on | :05:23. | :05:28. | |
the front line services is at an all time low and people are wanting to | :05:29. | :05:33. | |
do their jobs, in the best possible way they can. Their care about their | :05:34. | :05:38. | |
job but they are unable to because their hands are tied with an ageing | :05:39. | :05:43. | |
population. Kirsty Williams, you can promise the earth but there will be | :05:44. | :05:46. | |
some things you have to say to the people of we'll, we can't deliver | :05:47. | :05:50. | |
that. There are big decisions ahead of us, and how we plan the NHS, to | :05:51. | :05:57. | |
service properly for the next 10-20 year, which is why party has been | :05:58. | :06:01. | |
saying that job can't be just left to politician, we believe in setting | :06:02. | :06:05. | |
up a cross-party, a non-party commission, to engage with the | :06:06. | :06:09. | |
staff, and with the people of Wales to decide what Health Service we | :06:10. | :06:12. | |
need. Now we persuaded the Welsh Government that commission should be | :06:13. | :06:16. | |
set up but unfortunately it failed because of the partieses who didn't | :06:17. | :06:20. | |
want to join in. I hope after the election we can create that space | :06:21. | :06:23. | |
that allow us to have that conversation about what kind of | :06:24. | :06:25. | |
Health Service we want as we go forward. What I am looking for is | :06:26. | :06:31. | |
honesty at the outset, that the NHS in Wales can't do everything, and we | :06:32. | :06:34. | |
have to be straight, and you as politicians have to be straight with | :06:35. | :06:39. | |
the people of Wales about that. Yes, but the NHS also needs to work more | :06:40. | :06:43. | |
effectively and that is the responsibility of the next Welsh | :06:44. | :06:47. | |
Government, it is not to day to day micro manage the NHS but to take the | :06:48. | :06:51. | |
big decisions that Kirstie has alluded to, and that is why I think | :06:52. | :06:55. | |
that the next Government has to start on a major programme of health | :06:56. | :07:00. | |
and social care, integration, and a proper workforce plan for the future | :07:01. | :07:05. | |
generation of NHS workers, if we don't do that, if whoever is in | :07:06. | :07:09. | |
Government doesn't do this, it will let down the NHS in not taking the | :07:10. | :07:14. | |
big decisions it needs. Mark Drakeford you are here as somebody | :07:15. | :07:17. | |
with great experience of running the NHS. There has to be honesty. Of | :07:18. | :07:22. | |
course there has, the pressures in the NHS are real and the product of | :07:23. | :07:27. | |
our great success in people living longer and better, the answer | :07:28. | :07:30. | |
doesn't lie in the hands of the NHS, that is for sure, unless we invest | :07:31. | :07:34. | |
in the round in social care as you heard in ta clip, as well as the | :07:35. | :07:39. | |
NHS, we don't provide people with a service they need, neither is the | :07:40. | :07:43. | |
honesty all about politicians, it is about a conversation with the | :07:44. | :07:45. | |
public, about what the public expect. And how they interact with | :07:46. | :07:50. | |
the Health Service, as well and Kirstie's idea of a forward looking | :07:51. | :07:54. | |
inquiry involving the public, asking them some of these questions is a | :07:55. | :07:58. | |
very important idea. I will come on to that but let us look at hospitals | :07:59. | :08:04. | |
in particular, because we looked there at A Mark Drakeford, the | :08:05. | :08:08. | |
head of the Royal College of Emergency medicine in Wales said in | :08:09. | :08:12. | |
January, that absolutely every emergency department in Wales is on | :08:13. | :08:16. | |
the edge. Now that is quite an indictment, isn't it. Is he right? | :08:17. | :08:21. | |
He wasn't right, because here we are in April and those emergency | :08:22. | :08:24. | |
departments are all still there, all still working and have worked every | :08:25. | :08:28. | |
day since January. Just about. No, no. Much more than just about. It | :08:29. | :08:33. | |
has been a tough winter, the second half has been particularly tough, | :08:34. | :08:37. | |
but no emergency department in Wales has ever closed its doors, we | :08:38. | :08:41. | |
continue to see huge numbers of people, in the month of February, | :08:42. | :08:45. | |
for every single minute of every hour of every day, two people turned | :08:46. | :08:51. | |
up at A departments in Wales. So the demand is enormous, but the | :08:52. | :08:54. | |
system copes. And that is really important for the people who work in | :08:55. | :09:00. | |
it. That is as good as it gets you just cope. The system is just | :09:01. | :09:05. | |
coping, and it is operating on the good will of the doctor, nurses and | :09:06. | :09:09. | |
other staff in the NHS who go above and beyond what I think can be | :09:10. | :09:14. | |
reasonably expected of them on many occasions. The minister is correct. | :09:15. | :09:17. | |
Departments haven't closed but they haven't been able to meet the | :09:18. | :09:21. | |
Government's targets about how long people should wait in an A | :09:22. | :09:24. | |
department and that is because as we heard in the film, there is a lack | :09:25. | :09:28. | |
of flow through our hospital system and alike of beds, and a lack of | :09:29. | :09:32. | |
beds in our community, so people can... Let us look what you are | :09:33. | :09:37. | |
offering instead. Darren Millar how would you fix A departments? We | :09:38. | :09:41. | |
have lost one in five beds in our hospitals and that has caused | :09:42. | :09:47. | |
problems at hospital front doors and it manifests with ambulances cueing | :09:48. | :09:51. | |
up outside. We have seen that this week, in Wales and that is not good | :09:52. | :09:56. | |
enough. What would we do? Invest in Community Hospitals to give extra | :09:57. | :10:00. | |
bed capacity so people can be discharged into them, that is one | :10:01. | :10:04. | |
idea, I think that would make a huge difference, the other thing, is | :10:05. | :10:08. | |
re-invest and re-open a number of minor injury units bah because you | :10:09. | :10:12. | |
can't choose well, which is what patients are being asked to do if | :10:13. | :10:16. | |
you don't have a choice. If you can't get appointments. Nigel Farage | :10:17. | :10:20. | |
a year ago blamed a lot on health tourism in terms of pressures on | :10:21. | :10:24. | |
Britain's hospitals. Was he right, do you agree? We do have an issue | :10:25. | :10:30. | |
with health tourism. It costs the UK almost ?3 billion a year. That is | :10:31. | :10:37. | |
not true. Not the case. Some of that is obviously associated with Wales, | :10:38. | :10:45. | |
what we would like, last year 12333 hours were lost with ambulances | :10:46. | :10:49. | |
waiting outside the A departments. Not because of health tourism. | :10:50. | :10:52. | |
Certainly not. I am not talking about that, that was in three month, | :10:53. | :10:57. | |
we are talking about A as well. I am telling you that 12333 hours were | :10:58. | :11:01. | |
lost with hospitals outside, they couldn't get in because of the bed | :11:02. | :11:06. | |
blogging, because we have closed the cottage hospitals, which are | :11:07. | :11:09. | |
fundamental to our environment. Elin Jones let us hear your solution for | :11:10. | :11:13. | |
A hospitals across Wales. The solutions for A lie in the | :11:14. | :11:17. | |
community, yes, community beds have been closed right throughout Wales | :11:18. | :11:21. | |
and that is putting an extra pressure on A and acute hospitals, | :11:22. | :11:25. | |
there is no doubt about that. I think as was said in by one of the | :11:26. | :11:32. | |
doctors in the film, we have to tackle health and social care | :11:33. | :11:36. | |
integration, that is where many patients get caught in turf war | :11:37. | :11:39. | |
between health and social care, who pays, who is responsible for the | :11:40. | :11:44. | |
care of the elderly, where people are staying on hospital wards for | :11:45. | :11:50. | |
too long. . So we have to integrate that properly, and if we just tinker | :11:51. | :11:54. | |
at the margins we will always continue... You are advocating a | :11:55. | :12:02. | |
huge overhaul, the biggest ever arguably overhaul of the NHS in | :12:03. | :12:06. | |
Wales. Is now really the time to do that? Now is absolutely the time. We | :12:07. | :12:09. | |
have outlined already all the pressures in the NHS. If we carry | :12:10. | :12:14. | |
on, if we carry on the way we are doing, then we will continue to have | :12:15. | :12:20. | |
the... Explain what will happen... How doors haven't closed over | :12:21. | :12:24. | |
winter, that is how bad it is, we have a Health Minister thinking that | :12:25. | :12:29. | |
is a good enough response, because what... Across our border doors have | :12:30. | :12:34. | |
closed this Wales they have not. We need as we started off by saying, we | :12:35. | :12:38. | |
need to take some of the big decisions that fashion the future of | :12:39. | :12:44. | |
the NHS to meet the demands of the 21st century and elderly patients | :12:45. | :12:45. | |
what we need to do, is to integrate 21st century and elderly patients | :12:46. | :12:51. | |
health and social care, break down the barriers between those | :12:52. | :12:57. | |
reorganisation costs. ?10 million seems a cheap ticket. What I would | :12:58. | :13:02. | |
say is that if we carry on as we are doing, we will carry on having the | :13:03. | :13:07. | |
problems into the future it is not... Kirsty Williams... We need | :13:08. | :13:11. | |
another reorganisation of the Health Service like a hole in the head. | :13:12. | :13:17. | |
What we need, what we need, what we need is a relentless focus on | :13:18. | :13:22. | |
service delivery for patients, anything that distracts us from that | :13:23. | :13:26. | |
will let patients and staff down. It is fanciful to suggest a | :13:27. | :13:30. | |
reorganisation is going to cost 10 million. The last one Plaid Cymru | :13:31. | :13:36. | |
undertook in admin costs alone it was 21 million. We need to focus on | :13:37. | :13:42. | |
services. We the need closer working between the NHS and social care, | :13:43. | :13:47. | |
that is crucial, and that is why, that is why we have... Caroline | :13:48. | :13:53. | |
that is crucial, and that is why, Jones Before any planning can be | :13:54. | :13:55. | |
done we need a full scale inquiry. How will that help patients waiting | :13:56. | :14:11. | |
now? This is going to take time but obviously we need to know what is | :14:12. | :14:16. | |
wrong before we can fix it. We do not need another reorganisation. We | :14:17. | :14:19. | |
have had two already and it is not going to be third time lucky for the | :14:20. | :14:24. | |
NHS. We need to be able to focus on service delivery. Plaid Cymru is | :14:25. | :14:27. | |
advocating for a massive reorganisation of local government | :14:28. | :14:28. | |
at the same time which will distract reorganisation of local government | :14:29. | :14:32. | |
them from delivering core services like social services. It is not | :14:33. | :14:35. | |
going to work and it is important we get to grips with the NHS structural | :14:36. | :14:40. | |
reform. Except your party is advocating a directly elected | :14:41. | :14:45. | |
commissioner. That is reorganisation. Do you back more | :14:46. | :14:49. | |
elected commissioners? We do because we want to end the situation at the | :14:50. | :14:53. | |
moment which allows for cronyism to take place, where ministers appoint | :14:54. | :14:56. | |
members to health boards. Instead we want them to be appointed by the | :14:57. | :14:59. | |
people and we think that is the right way. On these health boards at | :15:00. | :15:05. | |
the moment, the people that are appointed, the chairs, the vice | :15:06. | :15:10. | |
chairs, 75% of those people will have a political affiliation with | :15:11. | :15:14. | |
the Labour Party. But briefly, Caroline Jones, how many more | :15:15. | :15:17. | |
elected representatives, how does that help waiting lists? It doesn't. | :15:18. | :15:24. | |
At the moment, it isn't helping people. What elections bring our | :15:25. | :15:31. | |
accountability. It brings transparency and accountability. | :15:32. | :15:33. | |
Let's look at hospital reorganisation and where we are at | :15:34. | :15:37. | |
right now. Two and a half years ago, Carwyn Jones said that health | :15:38. | :15:41. | |
services would collapse unless hospitals were reorganised. Where | :15:42. | :15:44. | |
are you on that and are you honestly, with the mood of the | :15:45. | :15:49. | |
night's debate, are you honestly happy with progress? We have had a | :15:50. | :15:53. | |
series of reorganisation is during this assembly term. I have had a | :15:54. | :15:57. | |
series of difficult decisions put on my desk and I have never shied away | :15:58. | :16:01. | |
from them. I have made a decision every time I was asked to do. | :16:02. | :16:05. | |
Undoubtedly there is more to follow. The health service is always in a | :16:06. | :16:12. | |
process of change. More closures? What we don't need is a massive | :16:13. | :16:15. | |
upheaval of the organisation and we do not need elected interference in | :16:16. | :16:25. | |
the decisions that clinicians and people who work in the industry need | :16:26. | :16:27. | |
to do. So more people who work in the industry need | :16:28. | :16:34. | |
not been closures. There is to be a moratorium, so that you -- you do | :16:35. | :16:39. | |
not need a moratorium is that nothing can ever improve. Have you | :16:40. | :16:42. | |
been ambitious and brave enough in your reforms of the NHS? Health | :16:43. | :16:44. | |
service your reforms of the NHS? Health | :16:45. | :16:47. | |
because you have to take the public with youth and the public is often | :16:48. | :16:50. | |
attached to what they know and you were asking people to make a leap of | :16:51. | :16:54. | |
faith into something that will be better in the future. I think we | :16:55. | :16:58. | |
have succeeded in doing that in many parts of Wales. We will have to go | :16:59. | :17:01. | |
on having a discussion. We know that. If you want the very best | :17:02. | :17:06. | |
on having a discussion. We know results for people, particularly in | :17:07. | :17:08. | |
specialist services, sometimes you have to be willing to draw that | :17:09. | :17:12. | |
expertise together into one place where you can offer the very best to | :17:13. | :17:16. | |
people all the time, every day. And you asked for an honest discussion | :17:17. | :17:21. | |
about the challenges facing the health service, and nobody here | :17:22. | :17:24. | |
should pretend to the public that you can simply leave the | :17:25. | :17:27. | |
should pretend to the public that service in our spec where nothing | :17:28. | :17:30. | |
will change because that way is a guarantee, not that things will | :17:31. | :17:33. | |
improve, but that they will go backwards. That is all very credible | :17:34. | :17:38. | |
but the problem with that is that most of the reorganisation proposals | :17:39. | :17:44. | |
that have been put in front of people in our communities have been | :17:45. | :17:47. | |
based on centralisation away from various hospitals on the basis that | :17:48. | :17:53. | |
the staff is not there to run many of those services and there is a | :17:54. | :17:57. | |
recruitment issue in needing to run those services. And herein lies one | :17:58. | :18:00. | |
of the other pressures within the NHS, and that is the fact that we | :18:01. | :18:05. | |
have too few doctors, too few nurses in Wales, certainly the lowest | :18:06. | :18:10. | |
number of doctors in the western EU. More doctors and nurses than ever | :18:11. | :18:16. | |
before. We need to be able to resource the NHS sufficiently, to | :18:17. | :18:19. | |
plan the future of the workforce, to train more of our own doctor and | :18:20. | :18:24. | |
nurses. We need to be able to do that in order to retain hospital | :18:25. | :18:28. | |
services in communities throughout Wales. We will come onto recruitment | :18:29. | :18:33. | |
but in terms of hospital reorganisation, you have to make | :18:34. | :18:37. | |
unpopular decisions as ministers and stick to them. And when the placards | :18:38. | :18:41. | |
come out, you have to stick by that. And you have to follow through on | :18:42. | :18:45. | |
your commitment. One of the reorganisations promised by the | :18:46. | :18:47. | |
government was the building of a new hospital for the south-east of | :18:48. | :18:51. | |
Wales. We have been promised and promised that hospital as part of a | :18:52. | :18:55. | |
reorganisation process. But it is yet to be built. When services | :18:56. | :19:00. | |
change in West Wales, patients were told, we will move your services and | :19:01. | :19:03. | |
when you get to the hospital there will be new facilities available. | :19:04. | :19:07. | |
But those facilities were not ready at that time. And that undermines | :19:08. | :19:12. | |
faith in the change process, when one of the promises that is made, if | :19:13. | :19:19. | |
they accept the change it is often counterintuitive for people to think | :19:20. | :19:22. | |
that if they travel further away, the service will be better. If the | :19:23. | :19:25. | |
government does not follow through on its promises, it makes further | :19:26. | :19:28. | |
change much more difficult to achieve. It is all very well at | :19:29. | :19:32. | |
tackling the government and its record, but let's look at your | :19:33. | :19:36. | |
record in Westminster. Junior doctors are on strike today over the | :19:37. | :19:41. | |
border. Is that the model that you are offering for Wales? And could | :19:42. | :19:45. | |
you guarantee that you would not tinker with contracts if you win in | :19:46. | :19:50. | |
make that we are certainly not going to be offering cuts, closures and | :19:51. | :19:54. | |
downgrades. But let me deal with the question directly. Let me deal with | :19:55. | :20:02. | |
the question directly. We have no plans whatsoever to change the | :20:03. | :20:06. | |
junior doctor contract here in Wales. But what we want to see... Is | :20:07. | :20:13. | |
it a mistake, what your party is doing in England? What we do want to | :20:14. | :20:17. | |
see is seven week care in our NHS. At the moment, we do not have that. | :20:18. | :20:22. | |
How do we achieve that? Extra investment, more doctors and nurses. | :20:23. | :20:26. | |
We do not have that at the moment. Yes, you are quite right, doctors do | :20:27. | :20:30. | |
work seven days a week, particularly the emergency services, but what we | :20:31. | :20:34. | |
do not see often is elective care over those weekend periods. Let me | :20:35. | :20:39. | |
pin you down here, Darren Millar, on how much you would commit to the NHS | :20:40. | :20:45. | |
in Wales. In terms of overall percentage of the NHS budget, we are | :20:46. | :20:48. | |
looking at 45% going on the budget. What would you put? It is not about | :20:49. | :20:53. | |
percentages, it is about new investment. We know that over the | :20:54. | :20:58. | |
next few years as a result of record investment, there will be ?800 | :20:59. | :21:00. | |
million extra at least coming to Wales. People talk in percentages a | :21:01. | :21:05. | |
lot of the time, why is it not about percentages? Because it is about | :21:06. | :21:10. | |
money and investment. I will not set an arbitrary percentage as to how | :21:11. | :21:13. | |
much of the gut budget -- how much of the budget will be involved. Why? | :21:14. | :21:20. | |
Because we do not know what the budget will be. But we do know that | :21:21. | :21:23. | |
the Conservatives have given a clear commitment that there will be ?800 | :21:24. | :21:28. | |
million more invested. Would it be more or less than the percentage | :21:29. | :21:32. | |
currently spent? And we will have ?800 million more to invest over and | :21:33. | :21:35. | |
above what is there at the moment. So if we look at England, you told | :21:36. | :21:41. | |
us to look at Wales in terms of how Labour run the NHS, look at Wales. | :21:42. | :21:45. | |
Should we look at England for a model of how you would run the NHS | :21:46. | :21:49. | |
year? Let's compare England and Wales. If you look at waiting times, | :21:50. | :21:54. | |
Wales lags behind. If you look at patient outcomes for cancer and | :21:55. | :21:58. | |
stroke, Wales lags behind. Absolutely untrue. We need to make | :21:59. | :22:03. | |
sure we level playing field. Look at cancer drugs and you are seven times | :22:04. | :22:06. | |
less likely to get access to cancer drugs if you are Welsh than if you | :22:07. | :22:11. | |
were English. Give us your vision, just your vision. To make it clear, | :22:12. | :22:16. | |
we would invest money, extra money, each and every year at least at the | :22:17. | :22:21. | |
rate of inflation into the Welsh NHS. That would mean that over the | :22:22. | :22:24. | |
next assembly, over the next fortnight years, ?800 million more | :22:25. | :22:34. | |
would go into the NHS. So we should not look at England as an example? | :22:35. | :22:37. | |
We have different policies here than in England. Caroline Jones, give us | :22:38. | :22:43. | |
a flavour of what the NHS would look like in the UK. More privatisation? | :22:44. | :22:50. | |
Absolutely not. But that is what Nigel Farage said. He didn't. I | :22:51. | :22:55. | |
would not support any party that believed in privatisation. Nine | :22:56. | :22:58. | |
years ago I suffered from cancer and so I would not support any party. | :22:59. | :23:03. | |
The other parties like to say that we would privatise but we wouldn't. | :23:04. | :23:06. | |
Although we have a pretty good example at the moment of issues that | :23:07. | :23:11. | |
are privatised. We have agency nurses, and the cost of agency | :23:12. | :23:18. | |
nurses is, we could employ over 200,000 full-time nurses. How much | :23:19. | :23:28. | |
would you spend on the NHS? It is about managing the budget. Of course | :23:29. | :23:33. | |
we would spend more. Let's reinvent hospitals to prevent a bed lock in. | :23:34. | :23:38. | |
I think there would be a major incentive to prevent bed blocking. | :23:39. | :23:50. | |
Man-hours lost every month by ambulances locked outside. That is | :23:51. | :23:54. | |
not good use of time. That money would be reinvested. In terms of | :23:55. | :23:58. | |
looking ahead, would it be more of the same from Labour or are you | :23:59. | :24:02. | |
offering something very new in this election? We offer a combination of | :24:03. | :24:06. | |
stability, because we will not have reorganisation, but reform as well. | :24:07. | :24:14. | |
Reform alongside investment. And reform alongside partnership with | :24:15. | :24:18. | |
the staff who work in the NHS. The Tory recipe is privatisation and | :24:19. | :24:24. | |
confrontation. Absolutely rubbish. Our recipe would be partnership with | :24:25. | :24:30. | |
staff. That is why we do not have strikes in the Welsh NHS. Continuing | :24:31. | :24:34. | |
investment and reform alongside it. We have to do something differently | :24:35. | :24:38. | |
in the NHS if we want it to be able to go on doing the things that it | :24:39. | :24:41. | |
does that are so valuable. That is the recipe we offer, a combination | :24:42. | :24:45. | |
of making sure that we keep the ship steady as it goes, because that is | :24:46. | :24:48. | |
really important in difficult times, and also that we do things | :24:49. | :24:52. | |
differently so we are fit for the future. Thank you all very much for | :24:53. | :24:54. | |
now. Let's pause there a moment and take | :24:55. | :24:55. | |
a quick visit to a GP surgery to get a sense of some of the pressures | :24:56. | :24:59. | |
in primary care. Where are the challenges confronted | :25:00. | :25:05. | |
here? We have been to is Beech | :25:06. | :25:11. | |
House Surgery in Denbigh. I'm working increasingly harked here | :25:12. | :25:25. | |
in Beech House to look after my patience. And I feel that this is | :25:26. | :25:28. | |
getting increasingly difficult overtime. I think the difficulty is | :25:29. | :25:33. | |
that if you have 50 patients to see in a day, which can happen here on a | :25:34. | :25:38. | |
busy day, especially in the middle of winter, it is very difficult to | :25:39. | :25:43. | |
be able to give the care that you want to to every patient sat in | :25:44. | :25:45. | |
front of you, because of time pressure. At this practice, it is | :25:46. | :25:51. | |
very good. You get an appointment very quickly, without a problem. My | :25:52. | :25:57. | |
sister lives not far from here. If she needs an appointment and she | :25:58. | :26:01. | |
cannot get an appointment, it might not be for three weeks. So it is | :26:02. | :26:06. | |
variable. Some of the main difficulties are problems with | :26:07. | :26:09. | |
recruitment and retention of GPs. In certain parts of North Wales, we | :26:10. | :26:14. | |
cannot deny that there is a crisis in general practice. The changes | :26:15. | :26:19. | |
that I would like to see in the NHS in Wales over the next five years is | :26:20. | :26:23. | |
to put a greater focus on primary care. We all know that we are seeing | :26:24. | :26:31. | |
90% of patients contracts getting only 80% of the budget -- 8% of the | :26:32. | :26:37. | |
budget. It is important for patients to get primary care in their | :26:38. | :26:41. | |
community, close to their homes, but this has to be properly funded in | :26:42. | :26:49. | |
order to do an excellent job. Dr Fiona Godlee is there. Let's look at | :26:50. | :26:56. | |
GP recruitment specifically. Elin Jones, one of your manifesto pledges | :26:57. | :27:02. | |
was 1000 extra doctors. Where will they come from? 1000 extra doctors | :27:03. | :27:06. | |
over the next ten years because we have too few doctors are head of | :27:07. | :27:11. | |
population compared to most of the European Union. That is why we need | :27:12. | :27:17. | |
to recruit more doctors. Perhaps we need to look at financially | :27:18. | :27:24. | |
incentivising rural areas where it is difficult to recruit doctors. But | :27:25. | :27:30. | |
where are you getting them from? Fundamentally, we have to trained | :27:31. | :27:34. | |
more doctors in Wales. There are too few young people able to access | :27:35. | :27:38. | |
Welsh medical schools at this point. We need to increase places in Welsh | :27:39. | :27:41. | |
medical schools and make sure that more younger people are able to | :27:42. | :27:45. | |
train to be doctors in Wales and that means that they will end up | :27:46. | :27:51. | |
more likely to serve the NHS in Wales rather than leaving Wales to | :27:52. | :27:57. | |
have to go to get medical education and possibly never returning. We | :27:58. | :28:01. | |
fundamentally need to start from day one of the next government | :28:02. | :28:05. | |
increasing the training places for doctors in Wales. And Kirsty | :28:06. | :28:08. | |
Williams, it is particularly an issue in rural areas. How would your | :28:09. | :28:13. | |
party persuaded doctors to go and work in rural Wales? We need to look | :28:14. | :28:16. | |
at incentive schemes but we also need to make several places | :28:17. | :28:22. | |
attractive places to do medicine. I think we can create innovative | :28:23. | :28:26. | |
careers were GPs can mix their time between general practice and | :28:27. | :28:28. | |
hospital medicine, making it an attractive job to do. We also have | :28:29. | :28:34. | |
to recognise that GPs are a precious resource. It is not unusual for | :28:35. | :28:38. | |
people to wait three weeks to get a GP appointment in many rural parts. | :28:39. | :28:45. | |
We have to recognise that they are a precious resource and it takes a | :28:46. | :28:48. | |
long time to get them working. We need to recognise that GPs are | :28:49. | :28:51. | |
working as part of the team and that is why we want to see more nurses in | :28:52. | :28:55. | |
our community and we also want to have direct funding for GPs, to | :28:56. | :29:00. | |
allow them -- allow them to employ more nurses or pharmacists, | :29:01. | :29:05. | |
physiotherapists, councillors. One in four Welsh people suffer from a | :29:06. | :29:09. | |
mental illness and that takes up a lot of time. Often they do not have | :29:10. | :29:13. | |
services to refer people onto. Actually, we want to create a fund | :29:14. | :29:17. | |
that will allow surgeries to expand my meaning that GPs see the people | :29:18. | :29:21. | |
that need to see them. Other health care professionals are able to help | :29:22. | :29:23. | |
solve people's problems. I wouldn't disagree with anything | :29:24. | :29:35. | |
that has been said about incentivising people to come to work | :29:36. | :29:39. | |
in Wales. We, we do have problems, it is not just confined the rural | :29:40. | :29:43. | |
areas, we have problems in urban area, we have seen in Prestatyn and | :29:44. | :29:48. | |
Wrexham and North Wales, as was features in the film, there are real | :29:49. | :29:53. | |
pockets of pressure and frankly the Welsh Government has been burying | :29:54. | :29:56. | |
its head in the sand too long, it has be a number of years that the | :29:57. | :30:00. | |
Royal College has be a number of years that the | :30:01. | :30:03. | |
immediate to train more doctor, there is a crisis merging, that is | :30:04. | :30:07. | |
upon us and frankly, the Welsh Government hasn't done enough to | :30:08. | :30:10. | |
address it. Training takes a long time, where would you get more | :30:11. | :30:13. | |
doctors tomorrow, where would your party get them? We would offer | :30:14. | :30:17. | |
incentives for people to come to Wales, we would say how wonderful | :30:18. | :30:22. | |
Wales is, what it has to offer, and we would hope that people would be | :30:23. | :30:28. | |
encouraged enough... Financial incentives? I don't know about that. | :30:29. | :30:34. | |
I don't think so. Tell them it is a nice place to do other stuff? Yes, | :30:35. | :30:39. | |
we have to promote our country. It is beautiful. Would you attract | :30:40. | :30:42. | |
doctors from abroad? As well as recruitment, we have to look at | :30:43. | :30:47. | |
retention and at the moment... Would you attract doctors from abroad? | :30:48. | :30:50. | |
Well, where would they come from? Because we would be depleting other | :30:51. | :30:56. | |
areas, maybe of these service, that are very much needed in their own | :30:57. | :31:00. | |
country, having trained in their country and you know, those services | :31:01. | :31:05. | |
are required there, are we completing, ethical about taking | :31:06. | :31:06. | |
doctors from other countries? completing, ethical about taking | :31:07. | :31:09. | |
are the type of thing that we have to look at. You have acknowledged | :31:10. | :31:14. | |
that recruitment is a huge issue, why do you think so few want to work | :31:15. | :31:20. | |
in Wales? Let us get the record strange straight, we have more | :31:21. | :31:23. | |
doctors working in Wales than any other time in our history. That is | :31:24. | :31:28. | |
have a a very low base. It is not from a low | :31:29. | :31:31. | |
have a a very low base. It is not more consultants working in | :31:32. | :31:34. | |
hospitals and the number of GPs we have in the workforce in | :31:35. | :31:35. | |
hospitals and the number of GPs we year went up again. | :31:36. | :31:38. | |
hospitals and the number of GPs we level. But you know that the NHS, | :31:39. | :31:44. | |
OK, if you are challenging that, the NHS Wales workforce would say that | :31:45. | :31:51. | |
you need to, 30% more GPs just to catch up with England. That is not | :31:52. | :31:59. | |
the case at all. You asked for a sensible discussion, in Wales we | :32:00. | :32:04. | |
have 6.5 GPs for every 10,000 of the population, in England they have | :32:05. | :32:08. | |
6.6. So it is nonsense to say there is a 30% difference. Difference. It | :32:09. | :32:11. | |
is nothing like it whatsoever. What we have to do, because every year, | :32:12. | :32:15. | |
there are 3% more appointments with GPs in Wales than the year before, | :32:16. | :32:19. | |
over a single assembly term, that means you have nearly a fifth | :32:20. | :32:24. | |
increase in the demand for GP appoints so we have to | :32:25. | :32:26. | |
increase in the demand for GP but Kirstie got the answer right. | :32:27. | :32:32. | |
You asked for consensus, Kirstie got the answer right. What we have to do | :32:33. | :32:38. | |
is diversity -- diversify a primary care team. | :32:39. | :32:46. | |
is diversity -- diversify a primary A physiotherapist and so on, so what | :32:47. | :32:48. | |
we have to do, is to broaden the base of people who are able to offer | :32:49. | :32:55. | |
appointments at primary care, those people are available today, not | :32:56. | :32:58. | |
being trained so they become available in ten years' time. That | :32:59. | :33:05. | |
way... In Prestatyn which I think Darren Millar mentioned, we have a | :33:06. | :33:09. | |
new service opened which does this. Just to be clear, are you saying | :33:10. | :33:13. | |
that patients, are you saying that patients are doing to the wrong | :33:14. | :33:17. | |
place? No, what I am saying is that when patients go to the right place, | :33:18. | :33:24. | |
to primary care, 90% of contacts are in primary care, insped of ex | :33:25. | :33:27. | |
pegging that the GP will be your first port of call there are others | :33:28. | :33:33. | |
who we can just as clinically deploy, those people will be under | :33:34. | :33:36. | |
the oversight of a GP. Why isn't that happen something if you are | :33:37. | :33:40. | |
saying they are ready, it is not, clearly we saw the pressures on A | :33:41. | :33:46. | |
earlier. A year ago we had no clinical pharmacists in Wales, today | :33:47. | :33:51. | |
we have a 50 because we have put money into clusters a. Is more money | :33:52. | :33:55. | |
for primary care, is that the answer? You are talking about | :33:56. | :34:01. | |
cutting 300 million. Making sure that the primary care get their fair | :34:02. | :34:05. | |
share of the totality of the NHS budget is, because the Royal College | :34:06. | :34:08. | |
of GPs have said clearly the amount of money that, the share of money | :34:09. | :34:14. | |
going to the primary sector has been reducing in the past few years. To | :34:15. | :34:20. | |
be clear, on your manifesto would you cut the health budget? No. ?300 | :34:21. | :34:26. | |
million savings. We have said that the additional funding for the NHS | :34:27. | :34:30. | |
and social care that comes into Wales from the UK Treasury will be | :34:31. | :34:34. | |
completely ring-fenced for the purposes of the NHS. Where will you | :34:35. | :34:39. | |
make the savings? Of course there are savings. This Health Minister | :34:40. | :34:45. | |
had to make savings in the NHS, and any Health Minster will have to do | :34:46. | :34:53. | |
that. Where does the money come from? Where there is waist in the | :34:54. | :34:57. | |
NHS and we all hear of it all the time, we know it is there. Where | :34:58. | :35:06. | |
will it come from? From within the NHS on inefficient practise, better | :35:07. | :35:14. | |
precurement of... Why have we waited until there is a crisis, whys was | :35:15. | :35:19. | |
there no forward planning? You were in Government for five years. All of | :35:20. | :35:23. | |
it will be ring-fenced and put to front line service, that is the | :35:24. | :35:28. | |
priority that Plaid Cymru has put in its manifesto. Our time is nearly | :35:29. | :35:34. | |
up. Let us close back where we began. Is there an acknowledgement | :35:35. | :35:39. | |
we have to be more grown up when it comes to this debate and this | :35:40. | :35:43. | |
campaign and that being straight with the people is absolutely key | :35:44. | :35:46. | |
throughout this campaign? If you were to do that, how would you be | :35:47. | :35:51. | |
straight with the people, and their responsibility to towards the NHS, | :35:52. | :35:56. | |
Caroline Jones? Their responsibility towards the NHS, I find that the | :35:57. | :36:00. | |
current Government is very sensitive to any form of criticism. What would | :36:01. | :36:06. | |
you do? What would I do? I think we need to go back to basics, to have | :36:07. | :36:11. | |
transparency by asking doctors and nurse what they feel the failures | :36:12. | :36:15. | |
are and them not being afraid to answer the question, because at the | :36:16. | :36:18. | |
moment is survey shows that 60% of those that are raising concerns are | :36:19. | :36:23. | |
bullied and harassed after, so they are in fear of reprisals and can't | :36:24. | :36:27. | |
speak their mind. Darn your message to patients. We have had enough | :36:28. | :36:31. | |
broken promises from previous Governments and they have included | :36:32. | :36:34. | |
junior partners with the Liberal Democrats and Plaid Cymru in the | :36:35. | :36:37. | |
past. What we need is better resourced NHS which is more | :36:38. | :36:40. | |
accountable to the people, where patients are more responsible for | :36:41. | :36:44. | |
their own care and the way they use NHS resources, I think that is | :36:45. | :36:47. | |
something that can be delivered and we can work with other parties to | :36:48. | :36:51. | |
deliver that. We have worked with them on mental Health Services, and | :36:52. | :36:54. | |
I think that shows that we have opportunities to do that in future. | :36:55. | :36:59. | |
Kirsty Williams. We have to get President Obamary care right. If we | :37:00. | :37:03. | |
don't get it right we will continue to see those pressures in our | :37:04. | :37:07. | |
hospital service, so we need better access to GP, we need to ensure that | :37:08. | :37:11. | |
there are more nurses working in Wales, we have had tremendous | :37:12. | :37:14. | |
success, the first part of Europe introducing a law to ensure there is | :37:15. | :37:17. | |
the right number of nurse, we want to have that in our community and we | :37:18. | :37:22. | |
immediate to address the issue of the disparity between how we treat | :37:23. | :37:28. | |
fiscal health and mental health. Plaid Cymru is to take the | :37:29. | :37:33. | |
decisions, that means proper workforce planning for the NHS and | :37:34. | :37:38. | |
social care workforce but full health and social care integration | :37:39. | :37:42. | |
so that we break down the barriers and we put the patients back at the | :37:43. | :37:48. | |
centre of NHS planning. We need a new bargain between the | :37:49. | :37:52. | |
system and the patient, the system has to be more open to people, to | :37:53. | :37:56. | |
hear their views, to take their views seriously to regard people as | :37:57. | :38:01. | |
equal partners in the business of bringing about improvement, and at | :38:02. | :38:04. | |
the same time patients have responsibilities, a huge amount of | :38:05. | :38:06. | |
what the Health Service does today is to deal with harms that need | :38:07. | :38:11. | |
never have happened and that includes type 2 diabetes in many | :38:12. | :38:14. | |
cases, we all have a responsibility to do more, to look after our own | :38:15. | :38:18. | |
health, if we want the NHS to be there for us, when things happen to | :38:19. | :38:23. | |
us, over which we have no control at all. | :38:24. | :38:27. | |
In our next Election Wales 2016 I'll be travelling Wales to ask | :38:28. | :38:34. | |
the Leaders of each of the five main parties their vision for Wales. | :38:35. | :38:38. | |
But in two weeks' time we'll be looking in detail at another big | :38:39. | :38:41. | |
issue in this election - education and what the parties | :38:42. | :38:43. | |
have to offer pupils, parents and students. | :38:44. | :38:45. | |
If you'd like to get in touch ahead of that or you'd like to be | :38:46. | :38:48. | |
in the audience for our special debate with the Welsh Party leaders | :38:49. | :38:50. |