16/05/2013 This Week


16/05/2013

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shot in space goes viral, This Week goes into political orbit.

:00:20.:00:22.

mission control, Prime Minister David Cameron is trying to avoid

:00:22.:00:28.

being hit by a destructive european asteroid. Commentator and star gazer

:00:28.:00:38.
:00:38.:00:40.

Toby Young studies the galaxy. a week of solar eruptions, the stars

:00:40.:00:44.

are aligning for David Cameron, who has positioned himself as the only

:00:44.:00:47.

mainstream party leader bold enough to give the public and in out EU

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:00:57.:00:58.

referendum. A black hole in the universe absorbs all of the light

:00:58.:01:02.

and stars around it, but are there signs that the whole in Britain's

:01:02.:01:09.

economy is getting smaller? Adam Boulton is spinning the planets.

:01:09.:01:19.
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least this week the governor of the Bank of England cracked a smile.

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?NEWLINE And one of the world's brightest stars, Angelina Jolie,

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announces she's had a double mastectomy. Will this empower women

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right across the universe? Shooting star, model and business women Katie

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Price explores our deep space. everybody could be as honest as

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Angelina Jolie, this world would be a much better place.

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Commencing countdown, engines on. Get ready for a Big Bang.

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Evenin' all. Welcome to This Week, a sacred retreat for disgraced

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hypocrites, to where those who have sinned are cruelly banished to seek

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spiritual renewal, prayer, and penance. Oh, and free wine. Mustn't

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ever forget the free wine. Because let's face it, with MPs starting to

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get pre-election nerves, Westminster has been on one almighty euro-bender

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this week, with sozzled Tories, some with vulnerable majorities,

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staggering around the Palace of Westminster drunk and disorderly on

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a heady cocktail of Euro-sceptic home brew and draft parliamentary

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amendments. Call-me-Dave claimed to be "profoundly chillaxed" at the

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prospect of half his backbenchers throwing up all over his Queen's

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Speech. But he said so from the safety of the USA, where he

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increasingly looked like an African leader who'd gone overseas, only to

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find the natives back home in open rebellion and threatening to topple

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the regime, with even copious quantities of red meat, in the shape

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:02:50.:02:50.

of a draft referendum bill, failing out his support. But back home there

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was nothing but treachery afoot, with Nadine Dorries, only just back

:02:53.:02:56.

in the Tory embrace, yet already openly considering an electoral

:02:56.:03:06.
:03:06.:03:06.

proposal from that nice Mr Farage. Yes, Love on the Right. Truly,

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Nadly, Deeply! Speaking of shotgun weddings, where the bride and groom

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look distinctly uncomfortable, I'm joined on the sofa tonight by two

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guilty looking individuals, who really shouldn't be out this late.

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Think of them as the Vicky Pryce and Chris Huhne of late night political

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chat, without the electronic tags. I speak, of course, of

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#tesstubeblairbabe Tessa Jowell, and #sadmanonatrain Michael "Choo Choo"

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Portillo. Your moment of the week? It is about trains. What a surprise!

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It was decided today that the business case has not been made for

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high-speed to. My reflection on this is that will be no railway line or

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motorway in history would ever have been justified by the tools we have

:04:03.:04:07.

to analyse the economic and fits, and yet we know the world would not

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exist in the way that it does without the roads and well pleased

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that we have. It is interesting that all other developed and developing

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economies are heading towards high-speed, from China the response,

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Italy, Germany. So it is a thumbs up for high-speed two from you? Yes.

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moment of the week came today when it was announced that David Beckham

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was retiring from football. Aged 38. Absolutely. It is my moment of the

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week for two reasons. First of all, Saturday is the anniversary of the

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arrival of the Olympic flame in Cornwall a year ago. And really

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magnificent start to the Olympics, as it went 8000 miles around the

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country. David Beckham brought it act of this country from Olympia.

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And today it was also announced, the final letting of the final venue in

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the Olympic Park. The broadcast centre. So now every venue has an

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assured long-term future. So the legacy of the park is assured, and

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that is a pretty great achievement for everybody who was involved. The

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macro didn't David Beckham sent you flowers? He did. When I became a

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:05:41.:05:45.

dame. I am not sure he told Harsh. They were from her, too, and the

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children. I was very touched. Now, whilst Call-me-Dave sailed

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around the US this week, there've been choppy waters back home.

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Cabinet colleagues Michael Gove and Phil Hammond followed our Choo

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Choo's lead, and said they'd jump the EU ship if a vote were held

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today. Over 100 of his MPs threw the Queen's Speech overboard, because it

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lacked any mention of a referendum. And backbench pressure has forced

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the PM to publish a draft referendum bill, to try and bail the government

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out. So has the Cameron battleship been torpedoed by Europe? We asked

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our own little sailor, Toby Young, about Conservative divisions over

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Europe and icebergs ahead for the Prime Minister. Few newspapers can

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resist a Tory splits headline, but don't believe what you read. The

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Cameron battleship may have strayed off course over the past week. He

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should have published his referendum bill on the same day as the Queen's

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Speech, but he is the only mainstream party leader offering an

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in-out referendum on the EU and he is now backing legislation to prove

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he means business. Yesterday's vote was not rebellion. It was about the

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Tory crew expressing regret that plans for the U referendum were not

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in the Queens speech. That was not a criticism of their captain's

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leadership. The MPs who voted for it know that his hands are tied his lip

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Dem ship mates. They were expressing their frustration about the chains

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of coalition politics, particularly left tenant Nick Clegg, who will not

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countenance an EU referendum, even though it was in his leading

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manifesto. One of the benefits of the referendum bill is that it will

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force Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband to declare which side of the deck they

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are standing on, instead of cowering in their bunks like Lily livered

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landlubbers. The only danger to Cameron is that Miller band might

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stop dithering, take the plunge and actually commit to a referendum, but

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I do not think he needs to worry. Ed Miliband is not about to break the

:08:03.:08:13.
:08:13.:08:16.

habit of a lifetime. Despite retired shipmates like Nigel Lawson and Mr

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Portillo trying to stick their oars in and rock the Prime Minister's

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boat, he has set his course, his crew know where they are going and

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at last they are all pulling in the same direction. The public now know

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that there is only one party leader who can deliver the in out

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referendum that 82% of them won. And that is captain Cameron.

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Toby Young joining us from the embankment. Welcome back to the

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programme. Who would have thought it, Toby, we are all so stupid. We

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did not realise what a brilliant week the Prime Minister had. He has

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not had a brilliant week. It would have been much more sensible to

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publish the referendum bill on the same day as the Queens speech. That

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might have seen off any potential rebellion. But as things have fallen

:09:12.:09:16.

out, she is the only mainstream party leader offering an in-out

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referendum in the next Parliament. There are two main arguments in

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favour of this position. The first is that anyone who is in any doubt

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about Cameron's commitment to hold an EU referendum in the next

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Parliament, those doubts will have been allayed now. He may bring a few

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Conservative refugees who were flirting with UKIP act of the fold.

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Secondly, it puts the other party leaders on the back foot. Ed

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Miliband is in a ethical position, supposedly siding with the little

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guy against the business. But on the EU referendum, he is siding with big

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business against the 82% of the public who want a referendum.

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be the only one promising a referendum of the three big

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parties, but also the only Prime Minister ever to have 100

:10:01.:10:06.

backbenchers voting against the Queens speech. Did you realise how

:10:06.:10:13.

hunky-dory it was for Mr Cameron? David Cameron decided in January, a

:10:13.:10:17.

new decision, that he would announce an in-out referendum, and I am not

:10:17.:10:20.

sure he had thought through the consequences, for instance people

:10:20.:10:24.

expressing their view as to how they would vote in that referendum. I

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have a feeling that Euro-sceptics should not want this referendum. My

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reason for saying that is that without a referendum I think there

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is no chance of written being taken further into Europe, into the euro,

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the eurozone and political integration. -- written being taken

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further in. If there is a referendum and the vote is to stay in, I think

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that will be the green light for political leaders in decades to come

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to take us into the eurozone. There is quite a good chance that the vote

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would be to stay in because the British people are fundamentally

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conservative. If they were offered the chance to leave the European

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Union, there is a chance they would not, because the status quo is to be

:11:09.:11:15.

in the European Union. So actually, I think no political leader would

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dare to take us into the euro without a referendum on that

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subject. If there has been a referendum on staying in Europe, I

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think elliptical leaders in future would be emboldened to say that the

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British people have settled their fate, had their say and we will go

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on into political integration. If Euro-sceptics understood their

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interests, they would probably not want a referendum. That is why some

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Euro-sceptics are wary of any EU referendum in this Parliament,

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because they think it will take some years to persuade the public of the

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rightness of their position, even though the polls say that more

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people are in favour of out than in at present. They are nervous about

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big this must mounting a convincing economic doom and for staying in.

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But I think in 2017, if Cameron is re-elected, I think we will vote to

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get out. Is there a danger that Labour is on the wrong end of topic

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opinion? I am a bit unused by the polling evidence, which is highly

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variable. -- a bit bemused. Perhaps I spend more time knocking on

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people's doors and troubling them than the three of you do. We would

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get arrested! I cannot remember the last time that anybody on the

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doorstep, when I was soliciting their support, said to me, I will

:12:41.:12:44.

support you if you vote for an in-out referendum. This is the

:12:44.:12:54.
:12:54.:12:55.

argument that Europe is not high up the agenda. The exactly. Also, the

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issue has become an iconic receptacle for all the things, and

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there are very many, that people are worried about at the moment. That

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does not mean I do not believe that Europe needs reform, but I think the

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case for reform is best achieved by being a full party member. You do

:13:13.:13:23.
:13:23.:13:24.

not agree with your former colleague, Keith Vaz, that David

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Cameron cannot fight the next election without an EU pledge.

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not. The pressure is great because of the surge from UKIP, but there is

:13:33.:13:37.

a great risk for any political leader to confuse long-term

:13:37.:13:43.

strategic judgement for short term political advantage. That is what

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you want, you want Labour not to promise a referendum. Absolutely,

:13:49.:13:53.

because the opinion polls say 82% of the public want an in-out

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referendum. If it is a clear choice between David Cameron and Ed

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Miliband, one of whom is offering a referendum and one of whom is not,

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that would be a reason to vote for David Cameron. I am not 100%

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confident that Ed Miliband will not finally capitulate and commit to an

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EU referendum. But at least it will look as though he is following David

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Cameron's June. -- David Cameron's position. You said you want to leave

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the EU must remark but no, I said I would vote to get out if there were

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a referendum. You do not want to be in the EU but you do not want a

:14:34.:14:44.
:14:44.:14:46.

referendum to facilitate it. I've tried to explain this, and I will do

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it again. Slowly.The eurozone is the core, where the action is,

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that's what's integrating and we are not in, and thank goodness. For as

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long as there's not a referendum, no political leader would dare take us

:14:58.:15:01.

into the eurozone, so I don't want to leave the euro. But, if there

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were a referendum, because I think the consequence of a yes vote, of an

:15:07.:15:10.

in-vote would be that Britain then would be sucked into the

:15:10.:15:13.

centralising European process, then I think the only sensible thing to

:15:13.:15:17.

do would be to vote out. You are showing an ability to look very far

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in the distance and predict the future? And also a long way in the

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past because everything that's happened in the past with the

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exception of the euro has been that the British political establishment

:15:29.:15:33.

eventually has shown coward else and that is given way and has fallen in

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with the European project. The one instance of this not happening was

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Gordon Brown's resistance going into the euro which luckily... Against Mr

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Blair's view? Yes, which luckily has established us in the position which

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no leader dare go into the euro without a referendum. I'm not so

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confident as you that in the absence of a referendum we wouldn't be

:15:54.:15:59.

forced to make various concessions to the architects of the European

:15:59.:16:03.

project over the next five years or so. We have been forced to integrate

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to a far greater extent than we ever consented to. What makes you think

:16:08.:16:12.

that process would stop unless there was a yes vote - that seems to me

:16:13.:16:17.

awfully naive. Do you think David Cameron, if he wins the next

:16:17.:16:23.

election, huge if, can he bring back many powers that matter? I'm not

:16:24.:16:27.

convinced there could be any meaningful negotiation. If he didn't

:16:27.:16:32.

do that, how would you vote? As a Euro-sceptic and I'm pleased he's

:16:32.:16:36.

pitched his tent on that ground because I don't think he can extract

:16:36.:16:41.

any meaningful concessions... would you vote? No.So you are both

:16:41.:16:45.

opt same side? I would like a referendum, but Michael's position

:16:45.:16:52.

is different. I happen to think Ed Miliband would be mad to go for a

:16:52.:16:56.

referendum. Do you think he'll stick to his guns all the way through to

:16:56.:17:02.

the next election, Ed Ed Miliband? think he'll push very hard the case

:17:03.:17:07.

for reform. I think he'll push David Cameron very hard on precisely the

:17:07.:17:13.

nature of the renegotiation he wants on which the Prime Minister's so far

:17:13.:17:16.

been extremely vague. If you get that, we'll have a bindery choice in

:17:16.:17:22.

the election. Before we leave this, one more thing - when Harold Wilson

:17:22.:17:27.

depewed Tim Callaghan to go and re renegotiate in advance of the

:17:27.:17:30.

referendum, Jim Callaghan I think came back after about six months and

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said he'd rather go to a National Executive meeting of the Labour

:17:34.:17:37.

Party than go back to the Council of Ministers.

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Hard work. Doesn't get worse than that, does it. Thank you very much.

:17:44.:17:47.

Now we have limited ambitions here on This Week, beyond the impossible

:17:47.:17:53.

dream of hearing Tessa tell us what she really thinks about Ed Miliband

:17:53.:17:57.

for once in her life. But there is one anticipated booking and we can

:17:58.:18:02.

all die happy. After years of begging letters from Michael, the

:18:02.:18:08.

woman that puts the "oo" in choo choo, Katie Price is here to talk

:18:08.:18:11.

about female empowerment. If you can sense Michael's quiff getting off of

:18:11.:18:16.

a quiver, make your thoughts known on the Twitter, Fleecebook and good

:18:16.:18:21.

old interweb. It wasn't all about Europe this week. Dave went on his

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trip to America to talk to Mr Obama about a US trade deal with, oh, yes,

:18:26.:18:30.

Europe, sorry. All the journalists wanted to ask questions about, oh,

:18:30.:18:36.

yes, that would be Europe too. So we turned to Sky News and there were a

:18:36.:18:46.
:18:46.:19:05.

few stories beside that, this was What would the Prime Minister in

:19:05.:19:10.

America and the Tories obsessing about Europe, the business of wealth

:19:10.:19:16.

has been about elsewhere this week. Even if David Cameron's special

:19:16.:19:20.

relationship with Barack Obama did not extend to understanding the

:19:20.:19:25.

President's favourite game. We have to confess that David still does not

:19:25.:19:29.

understand basketball, I still do not understand cricket. The rules of

:19:29.:19:34.

Tory Euro-Scepticism is complicated more so than basketball. The Prime

:19:34.:19:37.

Minister promises a referendum which you want so you downmine his Queen's

:19:37.:19:41.

Speech and he comes back with the idea of a referendum in the next

:19:41.:19:50.

Parliament which you can't force to do it. Confused? Obama wasn't it. He

:19:50.:19:57.

went straight for the hoop. probably want to see if you can fix

:19:57.:20:03.

what's broken in a very important reslaiption before you break it off

:20:03.:20:07.

-- relationship. Controlling the gawp from thousands of miles away is

:20:07.:20:12.

difficult -- game. Nick Clegg was called on from the substitutes bench

:20:12.:20:17.

from PMQs, only to find himself blocked by his own right-wingers.

:20:17.:20:22.

the front-page is a man opposing as one Nick Clegg who says "it's time

:20:22.:20:27.

for a real referendum on Europe, an in-out referendum, not a referendum

:20:27.:20:35.

on a treaty change". Was that man an impostor or a hypocrite? !

:20:35.:20:37.

LAUGHTER Mr Speaker, that man who I believe

:20:37.:20:46.

to be me was stating something then which my party's restated ever

:20:46.:20:51.

since, was that we should have a referendum on Europe when the rules

:20:51.:20:54.

change. Nick Clegg says the Lib Demes will

:20:54.:20:59.

back a euro referendum. But when he says, not the Conservatives.

:20:59.:21:03.

Meanwhile, the Euro-sceptics were playing a game of their own, happily

:21:03.:21:08.

passing the ball around, between themselves. Some want a new team.

:21:08.:21:11.

Drop the Liberal Democrats, sign up UKIP.

:21:11.:21:16.

Many of us think it's important that the right unites and it's almost a

:21:16.:21:24.

first step to a reproachment between the Conservative Party and UKIP.

:21:24.:21:27.

The political establishment has essentially closed ranks over the

:21:27.:21:33.

last 30 years and denied the electorate a choice. We now have a

:21:33.:21:43.
:21:43.:21:47.

golden opportunity to right this With his opponents fighting

:21:47.:21:51.

themselves, Ed Miliband effectively had the week off. Labour would much

:21:51.:21:55.

rather talk about a referendum which is definitely going to happen on

:21:55.:22:02.

Scotland. An old lion roared... Oh. In the last few years, I've had time

:22:02.:22:06.

on my hands, time to reflect, courtesy of the British people, and

:22:06.:22:12.

I want to put the positive principled forward-looking case for

:22:12.:22:18.

a strong Scottish Parliament inside a strong United Kingdom.

:22:18.:22:22.

Labour might have expected to be doing better, but following their

:22:22.:22:26.

disappointing local elections, two opinion polls this week had the

:22:26.:22:30.

party below 35%. The threshold at which Ed Miliband

:22:30.:22:40.
:22:40.:23:03.

believes he'd be guaranteed victory The Lib Demes had their

:23:03.:23:07.

embarrassments too. As Chris Huhne, the former Cabinet Minister, and his

:23:07.:23:12.

very much ex-wife, Vicky Price, got out of the sin bin.

:23:12.:23:18.

It has been a humbling and sobering experience. I would like to thank

:23:18.:23:22.

all of those who 've written to me, the hundreds of letters that I've

:23:22.:23:27.

had, and all my family and friends who 've stood by me.

:23:27.:23:31.

While Labour were arguing over whether they had an economic policy,

:23:31.:23:36.

there were at last some signs of good news. At least the governor of

:23:36.:23:40.

the Bank of England broke the habit of a lifetime and smiled, but

:23:40.:23:44.

perhaps that's just because he was leaving. Pf

:23:44.:23:47.

Today's projections are for growth to be a little stronger and

:23:47.:23:51.

inflation a little weaker than we expected three months ago. That's

:23:51.:23:55.

the first time I've been able to say that since before the financial

:23:55.:23:59.

crisis. In the end, the Clinton campaign

:23:59.:24:04.

probably had it right - the economy stupid is likely to decide the next

:24:04.:24:08.

general election. But the Conservatives might ponder the words

:24:08.:24:13.

of that other great American, Michael Jordan "talent wins games,

:24:13.:24:21.

but team work and intelligence wins Championships".

:24:21.:24:27.

Thanks to the London Lions basketball team for playing with

:24:27.:24:30.

Adam's balls, sorry, playing ball with Adam. What should we talk

:24:30.:24:35.

about? Erm, Europe, let's talk about Europe. We have not done that for

:24:35.:24:42.

ages! Miranda's with us. Good to see you. Is Mr Clegg - we have heard

:24:42.:24:45.

Tessa be quite clear she doesn't think Labour should promise a

:24:45.:24:51.

referendum and she doesn't think Mr Miliband will promise a referendum -

:24:51.:24:56.

how will Mr Clegg go? I agree with Tessa very strongly that it would be

:24:56.:24:59.

good if some people stayed sober during the euro drunkenness that you

:24:59.:25:04.

referred to in your introduction. I think it behoves the Lib Demes and

:25:04.:25:07.

the Labour Party to stick up for the large proportion of the population

:25:07.:25:11.

who don't think this is the most important issue to be spending all

:25:11.:25:16.

our time discussing. So you think Mr Clegg should take a leaf out of...

:25:16.:25:21.

Hold that thought, Tessa. Carry on? But I do think that some sort of

:25:21.:25:25.

referendum on Europe is becoming more and more inevitable. I thought

:25:25.:25:30.

it was very interesting at PMQs yesterday when Nick Clegg did seem

:25:30.:25:34.

to indicate that he also thought that at some time in the not too

:25:34.:25:38.

distant future the country would get an EU referendum, whether before or

:25:38.:25:44.

after. But are they going to get that with Mr Clegg leaning against

:25:44.:25:50.

the door of the referendum, or is he trying to stop it opening, on the

:25:50.:25:56.

other side, Mr David Cameron? Tory backbenchers have terror of

:25:56.:26:01.

UKIP. So at the moment, he's trying to remind his coalition partners I

:26:01.:26:03.

think that they should stay on track. It's very difficult to do

:26:03.:26:06.

because the poor Prime Minister, it's not really a very good

:26:06.:26:10.

situation is it, if we all feel sorry for the Prime Minister who's

:26:10.:26:14.

supposed to be in charge. He's been throwing letted meat off the back of

:26:14.:26:18.

the sledge to the wolves and it's not worked. They want more. So why

:26:19.:26:23.

doesn't Mr Clegg take the position Tessa says Mr Miliband will take?

:26:23.:26:28.

the moment he's said no. I think that is the responsible thing to do

:26:28.:26:32.

at the moment. It wasn't quite what he said at Prime Minister's Question

:26:32.:26:37.

Time? Because I think he was starting to acknowledge that it

:26:37.:26:41.

would be difficult to go into the next general election without

:26:42.:26:45.

everybody basically saying that there will be some sort of EU

:26:45.:26:50.

referendum. I'm not sure there will be the same promise. You think

:26:50.:26:53.

that's really suggest because what you actually put to the people, what

:26:53.:27:00.

the question is, hugely, as the Sarahable polling that Tessa talked

:27:00.:27:04.

about, it matters what you are putting to the people and how you

:27:04.:27:08.

phrasivity. Absolutely.All three manifestos will have something in

:27:08.:27:18.

there. Tessa says it won't?I think there will be something in there. I

:27:18.:27:23.

think there will be something strong in the Lib Dem manifesto. It's easy

:27:23.:27:27.

for the Lib Demes or the Labour Party to say that in the event of a

:27:27.:27:30.

substantial treaty change that affects the brush people, there 'll

:27:31.:27:34.

be another referendum. That 's the law? Exactly. That's established.

:27:34.:27:39.

They could change it but they are in the proposing it, Labour? It's the

:27:40.:27:42.

law but doesn't prevent people mentioning it in the manifesto

:27:43.:27:46.

saying they have addressed the issue. People will remember they've

:27:46.:27:49.

been promised this in three manifestos before and didn't get it.

:27:49.:27:52.

It remains in the hands of the Government of the day to determine

:27:52.:27:59.

whether the change is substantial or not. The risk is that the scope for

:27:59.:28:04.

renegotiation is skipped over and all the focus is on an in-out

:28:04.:28:10.

referendum. I just don't believe that that's where people are. I'm

:28:10.:28:13.

absolutely sure you can get a polling result that makes it look as

:28:13.:28:19.

if it is, but in practice, I don't believe that is the case. You never

:28:19.:28:28.

know unless you have a referendum? ! Whether you or I believe is neither

:28:28.:28:35.

here nor there? It needs to be put to the test? I don't want to suggest

:28:35.:28:37.

that the doors I knock on become representative of a national

:28:38.:28:40.

position, but I think if you look across the range of polls that are

:28:40.:28:44.

being conducted on this and the different scenarios, you do, you are

:28:44.:28:48.

absolutely right, it's very clear that the nature of the question, the

:28:48.:28:53.

circumstances in which the question is being put change the outcome.

:28:53.:28:59.

Where the focus should be is on jobs, on growth. The benefits that

:28:59.:29:03.

we derive economically from our membership of the European Union

:29:03.:29:07.

maximise. That's enough Europe, Ed! We'll move on to the economy.

:29:07.:29:11.

Hurray. The outgoing governor of the Bank of England was for the first

:29:11.:29:16.

time in a long time, by his standards, relatively optimistic.

:29:16.:29:21.

No-one's talking about a boom, noun's even talking about robust

:29:21.:29:26.

growth, but the people are now talking about a sense that a modest

:29:26.:29:36.
:29:36.:29:38.

amount of growth is returning to the economy. Do you agree? Yes. There

:29:38.:29:41.

has been an accumulation of evidence over the last couple of months that

:29:41.:29:45.

things are looking better. Although it is not going to be robust growth,

:29:45.:29:49.

even modest growth would again to make a difference quite quickly.

:29:49.:29:54.

When I was in the Treasury, I was struck by the dynamic effect of

:29:54.:29:58.

recovery. The speed with which government revenues go up when

:29:58.:30:02.

businesses are making more money, when more people are in work and pay

:30:02.:30:05.

is going up, and on the other hand public spending comes down because

:30:05.:30:09.

fewer people are unemployed, it transforms public finances very

:30:09.:30:18.

fast. Even before this growth has started, and for the past few years

:30:18.:30:25.

you can hardly say economic policy has been a growing success,

:30:25.:30:28.

Labour's poll lead is not huge and you get the feeling it is quite

:30:28.:30:35.

soft. What happens if growth returns? Well, if growth returns,

:30:35.:30:43.

that will be, if growth returns. But the question is what is happening in

:30:43.:30:48.

the economy. That is not the question I asked. The question is,

:30:48.:30:52.

what happens to Labour, not far ahead without any growth, so what

:30:52.:30:58.

happens if there is growth? This bunching in the polls is partly

:30:58.:31:04.

because of the UKIP effect. There are certainly people who vote Lib

:31:04.:31:08.

Dem, who vote Labour. I am going to answer your question, but I am

:31:09.:31:14.

trying to set out the context that it is none of the above. People are

:31:14.:31:19.

turning their back on the mainstream parties. Even on labour, when things

:31:19.:31:26.

are bad. If things get better, what will they do then? If things get

:31:26.:31:29.

better, I think there is always a risk that incumbency is more

:31:29.:31:37.

attractive than the risk of change. I think we absolutely... So it is a

:31:37.:31:43.

danger for Labour? There is no danger for the country if growth

:31:43.:31:46.

returns and no danger if people find it easier to get into work and

:31:46.:31:51.

businesses to thrive. The danger for the Lib Dems is that even if the

:31:51.:31:55.

economy does come almost right, the Lib Dems are not going to get credit

:31:55.:32:00.

for it. That is an enormous danger, because there is no gratitude in

:32:00.:32:06.

politics. Even if it works out for the best, the most that the Lib Dems

:32:06.:32:08.

can do is hope that some proportion of the electorate will give them

:32:08.:32:14.

credit for being a part of it. But that is very difficult. I don't

:32:14.:32:18.

agree there is no gratitude. If the coalition had made a decent fist of

:32:18.:32:22.

arguing why we had been put through five years of austerity, why the

:32:22.:32:25.

parties in the coalition were the only ones who would do what was

:32:25.:32:32.

necessary, take it seriously, why Labour was an irrelevant set of

:32:32.:32:34.

escapists, unwilling to confront reality, that would be a strong

:32:34.:32:42.

case. We had proof this week that Michael Howard was right, prison

:32:42.:32:46.

works, because Chris Hewden said he has been humbled. Who would ever

:32:46.:32:56.
:32:56.:32:59.

have thought that? He is in a glorious tradition of politicians.

:32:59.:33:04.

Do you believe he was humble? imagine it is a pretty appalling

:33:04.:33:07.

experience to be brought so low. I have not had the pleasure to speak

:33:07.:33:12.

to him since his release so I cannot tell you first hand. Will you let us

:33:12.:33:21.

know when you do? I will do. Now, in the immortal words of Paula

:33:21.:33:23.

White, Stoke Radio superstar and possible future This Week host,

:33:23.:33:33.

"It's a P-A-R-T-Y because I said sooooooooo". And just like Paula,

:33:33.:33:36.

we're not drunk. We've had a couple of drinks, but we're not drunk.

:33:36.:33:39.

Nanny Jowell's made sure of that But clearly Paula's a girl after our own

:33:39.:33:42.

heart, unlike the Yentob killjoys who pulled the tired and emotional

:33:42.:33:50.

presenter off air. Shame on you, Yentobs. So we thought we'd show our

:33:50.:33:53.

support for Paula, burn our boxers, and put female empowerment in this

:33:53.:34:03.
:34:03.:34:15.

world's most beautiful women, movie star Angelina Jolie, that she has

:34:15.:34:18.

undergone a double mastectomy, has been widely praised around the

:34:18.:34:28.

world. So, will her honesty helped to empower women to take further

:34:28.:34:32.

control of their lives and bodies in a way that the words of politicians

:34:32.:34:40.

often fail to achieve? I think she is a very brave lady not only to

:34:40.:34:43.

carry on with her work so well during such treatment but also to

:34:43.:34:49.

write about it now and talk about it. This week, the Archbishop of

:34:49.:34:52.

Canterbury's daughter spoke openly about her ongoing battle with

:34:52.:34:56.

depression, a subject that has always been surrounded by stigma and

:34:56.:35:04.

innuendo. The turning point for me was when I started to think of it as

:35:04.:35:09.

an illness, rather than me. And that's when I began to be able to

:35:09.:35:18.

have the space in my head to workout coping. So, do highly personal

:35:18.:35:24.

statements help empower and give the full strength to stand tall, just

:35:24.:35:27.

like the 1920s, when women achieved the right to vote and to control the

:35:27.:35:33.

height of their hemlines? Or are we fooling ourselves that a woman's

:35:33.:35:40.

image is no longer considered her most important attribute?

:35:40.:35:45.

We are joined by Katie Price. Welcome to the programme. I am glad

:35:45.:35:50.

you have got me up. It is very late. You had to do your duty by

:35:50.:35:55.

public service broadcasting. We are right in thinking that Angelina

:35:55.:35:59.

Jolie has done something extraordinary. Absolutely. I was

:35:59.:36:04.

shocked when I read it. What I like is that she went away, had it done

:36:04.:36:08.

and has publicly spoken about it. I hope people will be inspired to go

:36:08.:36:17.

and get checked. Ferman B. Is it all so right, the fact that she is such

:36:17.:36:21.

a beautiful actress, that it added to the poignancy? Personally, I

:36:21.:36:27.

don't think just the cause she is beautiful. As an outsider, you think

:36:27.:36:32.

she has the looks, the husband, the kids, she does a lot for charity and

:36:32.:36:37.

is intelligent. It goes to show it can happen to anybody. Personal

:36:37.:36:43.

confessions can have an impact. Absolutely. Myself, being in the

:36:43.:36:48.

public eye, I had postnatal depression. Having a disabled child,

:36:48.:36:53.

it is good when you are in a situation when you can speak out.

:36:53.:36:57.

People get inspired and can hopefully act on it. People have

:36:57.:37:01.

taken notice of this in a way they would never have done, had it not

:37:01.:37:07.

been for this global name, almost a brand. Definitely. Lots of people

:37:07.:37:12.

say, I have had cosmetic surgery and everything, but if I was in the same

:37:12.:37:16.

situation I would not hesitate. She has a family and she is thinking of

:37:16.:37:19.

them and her future. I think it is fantastic and I would do the same

:37:19.:37:25.

thing. Does something like this empower and embolden women in the

:37:25.:37:33.

world? I agree with Katie. I think what she has done is dignified and

:37:33.:37:41.

very brave and very inspirational. I read her New York Times piece, where

:37:41.:37:47.

she set out what had happened to her. I was very impressed by the

:37:47.:37:51.

lack of drama, the very measured way in which she described what had

:37:51.:37:59.

happened to her. The organisations that have a huge amount of expertise

:37:59.:38:04.

in this would say that that, of itself, is not enough to reduce the

:38:04.:38:14.

avoidable deaths from breast cancer. This gene, it is actually very

:38:14.:38:19.

rare, about one in 20 of the 50,000 women who get breast cancer every

:38:19.:38:23.

year. And so it does not mean that just because you have not got the

:38:23.:38:31.

faulty gene, you should not do all the other things. I understand that,

:38:31.:38:35.

but sticking with Angelina Jolie and the impact, I thought it was also

:38:35.:38:39.

interesting, Michael, the manner in which she chose to do it, dignified

:38:39.:38:43.

article in the New York Times, not the most sensational newspaper,

:38:43.:38:50.

rather than a TV interview. I think the whole thing has been

:38:50.:38:54.

magnificently done. Either way, if you look at the timetable of her

:38:54.:38:58.

engagements over the last few months, she has had to go through

:38:58.:39:02.

various stages of surgery, and in between those stages she has been

:39:02.:39:06.

out there again at world summits, at the G8 summit, as we have seen, with

:39:06.:39:12.

William Hague. I wonder if I can raise a different issue. What has

:39:12.:39:18.

happened is that there is a gene which predicts in her case and 87%

:39:18.:39:22.

chance of getting breast cancer or a variant cancer. This is going to be

:39:22.:39:26.

more and more part of our lives. We will find more genetic victors and

:39:26.:39:31.

people will be presented with difficult choices. In her case, she

:39:31.:39:36.

had an 87% chance, so in a way the choice was simplified. It will be

:39:36.:39:41.

truculent people are offered 40%, 35% chances, very tricky, but that

:39:41.:39:48.

is the world we are moving into. is interesting, politicians talking

:39:48.:39:53.

about this and public help setting out what you should do, but to

:39:53.:39:55.

capture the public imagination often takes a major celebrity talking

:39:55.:40:03.

about it. I agree. Politicians speak out, but if you are in the public

:40:03.:40:07.

eye can be as powerful as a politician. That is what I think,

:40:07.:40:14.

personally. Angelina Jolie has done it in such a dignified way. Jade

:40:14.:40:18.

Goody filmed her whole steps. Everybody does it differently. You

:40:18.:40:23.

have to admire both of them for making awareness of it. People

:40:23.:40:29.

should treat their body like a car. It needs an MOT. You should get

:40:29.:40:31.

checked and never think it will never happen to you because it can

:40:31.:40:41.
:40:41.:40:42.

happen to anyone. There is another issue, which is tackling taboos.

:40:42.:40:49.

That was a big element of her statement. Exactly. If you have had

:40:49.:40:52.

your breasts removed, are you somehow less of a woman, less

:40:52.:40:59.

attractive? I think the sensitivity with which this was managed was

:40:59.:41:04.

communicating about that at every level, including that Brad Pitt had

:41:04.:41:10.

been there when she had the surgery and was involved and so forth. And

:41:10.:41:13.

then every newspaper on its front page had a picture of her looking

:41:13.:41:19.

gorgeous. The other thing I would like to say is, because this week is

:41:19.:41:24.

something called dying matters week, which began with a lecture in memory

:41:24.:41:30.

of Philip Gould, who was a Labour party strategist, very loved by the

:41:30.:41:36.

Labour Party. He had also documented the last stages of his life, rather

:41:37.:41:44.

like Jade Goody. The lecture on Monday night, with the organisations

:41:44.:41:48.

that are working to help people have better deaths by being able to do

:41:48.:41:52.

all the things before they die, and say the things they want to say, it

:41:52.:41:57.

is tackling those taboos. Maybe we would not be having this measles

:41:57.:42:00.

outbreak if Mr Blair had been more explicit at the height of the MMR

:42:00.:42:08.

scandal. We would not be having this needle -- measles epidemic had a

:42:08.:42:15.

rogue doctor not secured substantial support from parts of our media, and

:42:15.:42:20.

if parents, in face of the evidence... You cannot turn Tony

:42:20.:42:26.

Blair into the villain of the measles epidemic. I am just saying

:42:26.:42:30.

if it is so good for Angelina Jolie, which we are agreed, to make a

:42:30.:42:33.

public statement, it was an opportunity for a politician to do

:42:33.:42:40.

the same and they did not do it. difference is that Angelina Jolie is

:42:40.:42:47.

an adult, and this was revelation conducted with full consent. The

:42:47.:42:52.

measles epidemic is not analogous. That was a rogue doctor. We like to

:42:52.:42:57.

tease her about Mr Blair. We like a domestic.

:42:57.:43:00.

That's your lot for tonight, folks. But not for us, because it's

:43:01.:43:03.

Thursday Night Fever night at Annabel's. And after Diane Abbott's

:43:03.:43:05.

claim that we're suffering from a crisis of masculinity, Michael's

:43:05.:43:09.

taken it personally. So, ladies on the dance floor, get ready to part

:43:09.:43:13.

like the red sea, because Tony Portillo really means business. But

:43:13.:43:17.

we leave you tonight with footage to make the heart of every UKIP member

:43:17.:43:19.

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