01/05/2014 This Week


01/05/2014

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Tonight on This Week, as TV classic Dad's Army is being remade for the

:00:13.:00:16.

big screen, we parade a Westminster Dad's Army on our very small screen.

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The three main party leaders are under threat, not from Nazis, but

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from Nigel and his UKIP army. Doing her bit for This Week's Home

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Guard, former Tory and now UKIP foot soldier Christine Hamilton. Nigel's

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army is on the march, and the enemy, they don't like it up them.

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As former army officer and Tory MP Patrick Mercer resigns after being

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found guilty of a cash for questions scandal, some are accusing General

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Farage of cowardice for not fighting the by-election. Sergeant Maguire

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and his men assess the week's political skirmishes. Colonel

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Mercer's desertion has left captain Cameron fighting on the home front

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as well as in Europe. But the boys from Westminster on CR here. Don't

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panic. We are doomed. Captain Mainwaring and his men were

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used to feeling like fools but when does a defeat turn into a

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humiliation? Cricket legend Henry Blofeld, is giving the orders. I am

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afraid, Andrew, we are doomed. Yes, doomed.

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Don't panic, Mr Portillo. You stupid boy.

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Evenin' all. Welcome to This Week, and for viewers lacking in

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spirituality, if not spirits, welcome to a Christian country. For,

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lo, that is what our godly Prime Minister, Call-Me-Dave, believes we

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are, and the evidence for which is all around us. Yes, church

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attendance may be bombing but Christian charity is booming, with a

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growing number of the population congregating at church-run food

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banks, where folks drop on their knees and pray for spaghetti hoops

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to deliver them from their temptation. The feeding of the 5000

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has become the feeding of the 913,000 in the past 12 months alone.

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Hallelujah, praise the tinned goods! And if this wasn't enough to confirm

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your faith, who can doubt that He has now come amongst us, once again

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to show us the error of our heathen ways, to lead us out of European

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darkness and deliver us from the evil Van Rumpy-Pumpy of Brussels, a

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man who can walk on water and then change it into beer for his devoted

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disciples. The way, the truth, and the life. No-one comes to an EU

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referendum except through Him. Yes, it's Nigel Farage, Superstar, walks

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like a woman and he wears a bra. Actually, I made that bit up, but it

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won't matter. Nothing sticks to him. Speaking of those with a political

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Messiah complex, I'm joined on the sofa tonight by two know-it-alls

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whom no-one can understand. Think of them as the Marlon Brando and

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Jamaica Inn of late night political mumbling. I speak, of course, of

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#sadmanonatrain, Michael Portillo, and back by absolutely no public

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demand whatsoever, #baffled, Diane Aboott.

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Good evening to you both. Good evening, Andrew. Your moment of the

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week. It has been said the arrest of Gerry Adams is a matter of dark

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policing. I think it is unlikely to be that. I think it is a symptom of

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an unresolved issue. Since the time of the Good Friday agreement

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onwards, we have never really dealt with what we are going to do about

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cases, things that happened a very long time ago, which have not yet

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been brought to justice. And it really creates a huge dilemma. On

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the one hand you can understand that in the horrific case of the crime,

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the murder of Jean McConville, the family is keen to have truth and

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justice, on the other hand, if justice brings into its ambit some

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of the leading figures of the peace process, it may threaten the peace

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process itself. And so it appears that at some level, at some point,

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we may have to decide that what we want is certainly the truth but not

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necessarily justice. Interesting. It is a huge development and as yet, a

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lot still to go. Diane. I was interested into Riz a's statement on

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stop and search. You contributed in Parliament. She had a big fight with

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Number Ten. It was stopped and searched that caused the 1981

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Brixton riot. It is a question of long-standing concern. If you are

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black in certain parts of London you are 39 times more likely to be

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stopped, and you only get 9% of arrests from these, mostly for small

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quantities of cannabis. Did you think you would be listening to a

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Tory Home Secretary saying this? Never, and I think she should get

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some credit for it. Now, what do you do with a party

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called UKIP? Labour and the Tories tried to ignore it. But its poll

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ratings still rise. Nick Clegg challenged its leader to TV debates,

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which gave it another boost in the polls. The media go into full-on

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attack mode, as only the British media know how, bigging up some

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obscure UKIP candidate's absurd views on Lenny Henry and leading a

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national newscast on some nutty donor's views on women wearing

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trousers, and UKIP moves 11 points ahead of Labour and 20 ahead the

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Tories in polls for the Euro elections. Undaunted by this track

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record of abject failure, the media and the other parties are now

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claiming Nigel Farage is a big feartie for refusing to stand in a

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by-election that only they were demanding he fight. Further proof

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that he's a scaredy custard is the fact that hasn't entered the

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Eurovision Song Contest or applied for the vacant position of Man

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United manager. So what makes UKIP the Teflon Party? We turned to a

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noted Faragista, who knows the man and the party, and asked her to

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explain the appeal. Here's Christine Hamilton, with her take of the week.

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Hello, I'm Christine Hamilton and I've been with UKIP for 12 years.

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This week, the game changed. Having ignored, laughed and insulted us,

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the liberal, Labour, Conservatives, have woken up to the threat we pose

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and have launched a full frontal assault. We have had endless attacks

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on UKIP leaders, members and supporters, but kippers are made of

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stern stuff. We can take it. In fact, it makes us stronger. The more

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mud they chucked at us, the higher our membership rises, and our

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opinion poll ratings. These smears will continue to backfire. They just

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put us into the spotlight. Some Lib Dem peer said UKIP were the BNP in

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blazers. What rubbish. UKIP does not do discrimination on sex, race or

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creed. Simple. UKIP today mirrors the peasant revolt of 1381. More,

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ordinary people are rising up against the political elite. Voters

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are fed up with Cameron, Miliband, Nick Clegg and the whole out of

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touch arrogant Westminster bubble. There is a fast-growing grassroots

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party attracting people who have never been involved in politics

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before. UKIP is bound to have a few nutters and fruitcakes, and a dodgy

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donor said yesterday that women should not wear trousers. Mommsen is

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on stilts. The fact is that UKIP is full of strong, determined women in

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key roles, and they are there on merit, unlike some of the other

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parties. People are flocking to UKIP in droves because they like what

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they see and they believe what we stand for. Nigel's army is on the

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march, and the political elite do not know how to stop us.

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And from her boudoir in Battersea to our own little boudoir over the

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river in the heart of Westminster, Christine joins us now. Diane, we

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have seen the media, we have seen the three mainstream Westminster

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parties to a full frontal assault on Nigel Farage and UKIP, and it

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doesn't stick. Why? Because, although I think it is a little

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disingenuous of Christine to say that it does not do prejudice, the

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polls show that the strongest issue for UKIP is immigration. The truth

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is that there is a populist argument against the current Westminster

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consensus on Europe. I am pro-European and the end of the day.

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But it cause I spent the 1990s examining the workings of economic

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monetary union, I drew the conclusion that it was a project of

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European elites, and that hasn't changed. What has happened to Greece

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has made everything worse. So there is a populist feeling about Europe

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which the Westminster elite have not properly reflected. But you are

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probably talking to the wrong person. I wanted Ed Miliband to come

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out for a referendum ahead of David Cameron and he would not do it. Have

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you seen Michael Portillo's face? No, I am dazzled by his white shirt.

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I thought your answer when quite a long way from the question. Oh, you

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noticed that, too! I was struck that you were saying that it's a populist

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movement but it seems to be endorsed by your own intellectual enquiries

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into the subject. In other words, the populist movement is right. I am

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a sceptic. But is the media using the wrong tactics with UKIP? Every

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time you attacked them, they rise in the polls. I think they are. The

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understanding was a few months ago that the Tory press would let UKIP

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have it with both barrels with every scandal they could drag up. They

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have implemented that and it has not worked. That is worse than that

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because the way the Conservatives have chosen to deal with UKIP is by

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trying to out trump them on immigration and concern about the

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European Union. That is a strategy which is bound to fail, because if

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you say we are very concerned about immigration, or that you are doing

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is saying Nigel Farage is on the right subject. But since the

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Conservative leadership is not willing to leave the European Union,

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Nigel Farage can always say the solution is to leave the European

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Union. So you endorse his argument but you can't go as far as he goes

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in his solution. There are a lot of closet UKIP supporters in the Tory

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party. Not so close it. And a lot of them, if enough other factors, would

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happily cross the floor. You said you were pro-European. So am I. I am

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massively pro-Europe and in favour of immigration, but against the EU

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and against uncontrolled, unfettered immigration. I love Europe, it is a

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wonderful place, but I just don't want to be under the rule of Europe,

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governed by Europe. I want to be governed by people I can vote for an

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vote in and out, not by unelected bureaucrats. That is where we

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differ. You are going into these elections with a head of steam

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behind you. Don't forget, the polls go like that. I know you want to

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manage expectations, unlike several people in UKIP who do not seem to

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know that game. Supposing you do really well? What happens next? The

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expectation is that we will win the European elections. Of course we

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want to manage expectations. We might not. We are obviously going to

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do well and we will have more MEPs. People criticise UKIP MEPs because

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they don't turn up to this or that. UKIP MEPs want to be out of Europe.

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They are being elected to something that they want to abolish. So they

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will spend their time working towards that. But what happens next,

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with that big UKIP vote, in the 2015 General Election, you deliver that

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to the Labour Party. I don't believe that is true. Many who vote UKIP

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will return to tribal loyalties next year, of course. I was in Bath with

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Nigel Farage on Tuesday and somebody stopped me industry and said, I am a

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lifelong Labour supporter. I am a shop steward all my life. I am

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voting for you in Europe. But it is the Tory vote you will hurt in 2015.

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You would be lucky to win one or two seats at the next general election.

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You could deliver the election to Mr Miliband. Is that the plan? Is it

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your hope that in opposition the Tories would go very UKIP and

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actually UKIP could move in with the extreme sceptical Tory party? You

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are making the assumption that UKIP is just a bunch of disenchanted

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Conservatives, which is so not the case. A large number, to give an

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example, a large number of UKIP votes come from the Labour Party,

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and from people who have never voted before, or have not voted for ages.

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But address the point. The votes will come disproportionately from

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the Conservatives and is likely that will deliver the election to the

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Labour Party. The most important thing to me is the long-term,

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getting out of the EU. You asked me a question, let me finish. In the

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meantime, if that means we have Ed Miliband as prime minister after

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whatever date it is in June next year, so be it. Because I want the

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long-term solution for this country, which is to get out of the

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EU, because I can only see disaster if we continue within it. I thought

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it was Mr Cameron offering the referendum. UKIP is not here to prop

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up Mr Cameron in government. The Tories are dividing the UKIP vote.

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Cameron has lost so much Conservative support it is actually

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nothing to do with what Nigel Farage has done. It is to do with what

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Cameron has done and has not done. If we have a short term Labour

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government, or a coalition with Labour as the dominant party, for

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me, so be it. Can I deal with the question you asked Christine? The

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first thing, when Conservatives going to opposition to do with the

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hope of the right that they will elect a leader who is on the

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mentally Eurosceptical. That is one is in David Cameron was elected but

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that leader always disappoints, and always becomes wedded to EU

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membership. The second thing is that one cannot assume the Tories will

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bounce back with whatever sort of leader. If they don't win the next

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election, they will soon be in a position where they have not won an

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election for 30 years. The last election the Conservatives won was

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in 1992. I think that is without precedent. Even in the middle of the

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19th century, the Conservative Party did not go 30 years without winning

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an election. Is UKIP a racist party? I wouldn't

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call it a racist party. I would call it the British equivalent of the Tea

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Party. The American Tea Party. You will force the leadership of the

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Tory party to pay too much attention to you, to move too far to the right

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and make themselves unelectable nationally. I don't think UKIP can

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be held responsible responsible for what the leadership of the

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Conservative Party does. We used to be a pressure group, 20 years ago,

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we are a mainstream political party. That cannot be denied. We are a

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political party in our own right. We are not just a pressure group. We

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are standing on our own platform. We are going for what we want. What the

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Tory party does and what it responds is up to the Tory party. You say one

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or two people speak out. There is something every week with someone

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from UKIP with something embarrassing to say? We are

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acquiring members at the rate of knots. There will be nutters, loops

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and unpleasant people. We have had examples of that. The media is

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amassing so much attention on these new members, etc of UKIP. If the

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same attention was applied to all the other parties, you would find

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there are racists in every party, come on, you know that. You know

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that. UKIP is not a racist party. Nigel Farage right not to fight

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Newark? Yes. I think it was a very, very... It would have been a

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tremendous risk. On the other hand, had he pulled it off, that would

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have answered the question that Christine was struggling with a

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moment ago - what happens next after the European elections? If he had

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won that by-election, the Conservative Party would be

:17:55.:17:58.

absolutely quivering. He has no connection whatsoever with that part

:17:59.:18:02.

of the world. You know the reasons. I know, Roy Jenkins won Glasgow. In

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1982. Even more extraordinary. There are strong local candidates. They

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are choosing over this weekend. It's Tuesday night the candidate will be

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announced. If he ends up as the only UKIP MP after the next election,

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what have you achieved? Well, first of all, we will have presumably

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achieved a great deal in the European parliament's. We have - we

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are forcing the agenda. Making the pace. What will you achieved? No

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more - 100% than we achieved now. No more than Caroline Lucas and the

:18:42.:18:45.

Greens. It depends how you use it. Look at the waves Nigel Farage has

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made in the European parliament. He will make waves in Westminster. It

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might not necessarily be Nigel. There could be a by-elections

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somewhere else that somebody else stands for. They will have achieved

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not having a referendum on the European question in this country.

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We will see. Christine Hamilton. Thank you. Now it's late, beyond

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Paxo's bedtime late. 'Hush, little Jeremy, don't say a word, papa's

:19:14.:19:17.

gonna buy you a mockingbird.' We understand why you want to get to

:19:18.:19:20.

bed early, like most former Newsnight viewers. But we on This

:19:21.:19:23.

Week are made of sterner late-night stuff. We're powering through with

:19:24.:19:26.

damn good reason because, waiting in the wings, cricket commentating

:19:27.:19:31.

legend Henry Blofeld is here. Ready to face Diane's bouncers, and

:19:32.:19:35.

Michael's googlies. I hope you're wearing a box. Don't forget, if the

:19:36.:19:41.

mere mention of Michael's left-arm action has already turned your

:19:42.:19:44.

stomach, don't forget to tell us how upset you are on the Twitter, the

:19:45.:19:49.

Fleecebook and the Interweb. We'll be ignoring all your comments as per

:19:50.:19:55.

usual. We're not going to apologise for it, we've gone a bit Dad's Army

:19:56.:20:02.

crazy tonight. We're just so excited by the news that a film version of

:20:03.:20:06.

Dad's Army is to be remade starring Bill Nighy and Toby Jones after

:20:07.:20:12.

nearly 40 years! Besides, we love a good comeback on this programme, as

:20:13.:20:16.

you can see. Two for the price of one. With the euro election campaign

:20:17.:20:20.

hotting up this week, we recruited the Mirror's Kevin Maguire and his

:20:21.:20:23.

crack unit, the Westminster-on-Sea Home Guard, for their roundup of the

:20:24.:20:25.

week. # Who do you think you are kidding

:20:26.:20:36.

Mr Hitler # If you think we're on-the-run... #

:20:37.:20:42.

A couple of weeks away MPs are back at parliament. After Easter the

:20:43.:20:46.

battle for Europe is hotting up. It's time for every man to do his

:20:47.:20:56.

duty. Come on, left right, left right. Look lively. Hurry in place,

:20:57.:21:04.

please. Maguire, take a roll call with you. Or rap Pienaar. Private

:21:05.:21:14.

Watt. Yes. Private Grieve. We seem to have a few men missing in action.

:21:15.:21:19.

It must be the high-speed trains. Attendance in Captain Cameron's army

:21:20.:21:27.

isn't great when Colonel Mercer retired again. I believe when I've

:21:28.:21:32.

got something wrong, you have to fess up and get on with it. No point

:21:33.:21:37.

of trying to avoid it. What has happened has happened. I'm ashamed

:21:38.:21:42.

of it. Now, look, we are facing pretty stiff competition from

:21:43.:21:49.

Captain Farage and his platoon, I want Westminster-on-sea to win. It

:21:50.:21:53.

will be tin helmets on for the European election and we will try

:21:54.:21:57.

and finish them off after that. Look at Newark. This man, Farage, he has

:21:58.:22:07.

no stomach for a fight. If I said yes to Newark all anybody would talk

:22:08.:22:10.

to me about the next three weeks would be Newark, the by-election,

:22:11.:22:14.

who I was up against. It would have been a massive distraction for

:22:15.:22:17.

something I have been planning and getting ready for the last three

:22:18.:22:21.

years. The war will be better on the home front. The economy grew by a

:22:22.:22:28.

whole 0.8% in the first quarter. Lieutenant Osborne put out the

:22:29.:22:31.

bunting. The numbers show that Britain is coming back. We can't

:22:32.:22:35.

take that for granted. We have to work through our long-term economic

:22:36.:22:39.

plan. Of course, families are still feeling the affect of the great

:22:40.:22:43.

recession. We do now see, in place, the foundations for a broad-based

:22:44.:22:47.

recovery. Will battles at home have much impact on the European front?

:22:48.:22:53.

Captain Miliband and his Labour troop think they found a path to

:22:54.:22:58.

victory through rent controls. Will they be a barrage or pot-shot?

:22:59.:23:03.

Generation rent is a generation left ignored and insecure for too long.

:23:04.:23:11.

Not under a Labour government. Coming, sir. Captain Clegg has the

:23:12.:23:20.

guts to take on Captain or Colonel Farage. The Deputy Prime Minister

:23:21.:23:26.

won plaudits in his own party about saying nice things about the EU in a

:23:27.:23:29.

European parliamentary election much he took a beating in the TV debates.

:23:30.:23:34.

Trouble will break out if the Lib Dem troops are wiped out in three

:23:35.:23:41.

weeks' time. Word is that Le will be on manoeuvres. Salmond started his

:23:42.:23:46.

European campaign this week much he wants his own army am he will want

:23:47.:23:52.

his own country next. Have you seen the polls? They need to come up with

:23:53.:23:58.

a better theme than "we're all doomed." At Prime Minister's

:23:59.:24:01.

Questions Ed Miliband accused David Cameron of being in the pocket of

:24:02.:24:04.

the bankers over the Royal Mail sale. Get back in here. Coming, sir.

:24:05.:24:13.

The more we know about this privatisation the bigger the fiasco

:24:14.:24:17.

it is. A national asset sold at a knock down price. A sweetheart deal

:24:18.:24:23.

for the City. The Government totally bungled the sale. Every about this

:24:24.:24:28.

privatisation stinks. Captain Cameron didn't like that uncle

:24:29.:24:33.

Kevin. You stupid boy. Six questions and not a mention of GDP. Not a

:24:34.:24:38.

mention of what happened while we were away in terms of employment

:24:39.:24:41.

figures. Not a mention of the fact the deficit is getting better.

:24:42.:24:45.

Still, despite all the recent ferocity, the euro front is really a

:24:46.:24:52.

phoney war. The really nasty fight starts next year for May 2015. Come

:24:53.:25:00.

on lads, let's go over the top. # Who do you think you are kidding

:25:01.:25:03.

Mr Voter # If you think we're on-the-run... #

:25:04.:25:40.

Miranda joins us. Labour, Tories, Lib Dems are hoping this UKIP euro

:25:41.:25:47.

election will be a flash in the pan. Let's look at the potential fallout

:25:48.:25:53.

if they do well. Miranda, if the Lib Dems are wiped out at the euro

:25:54.:25:57.

elections, they have 12 MEPs, they lose them all, does Nick Clegg face

:25:58.:26:02.

a leadership crisis this summer? I don't think so. But there are a lot

:26:03.:26:08.

of mutterings about the approach to this set of European elections.

:26:09.:26:14.

Usually, the Liberal Democrat party, the most pro-European party in the

:26:15.:26:20.

political spectrum in the UK, tries desperately to avoid the subject of

:26:21.:26:24.

Europe when fighting the European elections. This changes it. They

:26:25.:26:27.

fight it on bread-and-butter issues like the economy. They are part of

:26:28.:26:33.

an a Government doing well in rebuilding the economy. Because of

:26:34.:26:37.

the UKIP issue, Nick Clegg came out fighting and take the fight to

:26:38.:26:39.

Farage and talk about the European Union. That is a huge electoral

:26:40.:26:45.

experiment. Without success? Yes. A huge electoral experiment. He might

:26:46.:26:48.

be able to get away with it by having a discussion about the way

:26:49.:26:51.

the election was fought and the decision to take on Farage. Then it

:26:52.:26:58.

is not an issue about him. It's about this huge (inaudible) that

:26:59.:27:03.

British politics is going through because of UKIP. Would you run out

:27:04.:27:09.

Convince Cable going on summer manoeuvres? There will be

:27:10.:27:12.

manoeuvres, I think. Whether they will be taken seriously or not is

:27:13.:27:21.

another matter. If the Tories come a poor third, if they do, does the

:27:22.:27:27.

parliamentary party go into headless chicken mode? They will be very,

:27:28.:27:34.

very upset. The thing that worries me much more than the European

:27:35.:27:37.

elections is the Scottish referendum. Because, you know, there

:27:38.:27:43.

are, in a way, no consequences from the European elections. I mean, it

:27:44.:27:46.

doesn't actually matter to any of us how many MEPs there are of various

:27:47.:27:50.

parties. It's all a question of morale and all that sort of thing.

:27:51.:27:54.

If the thing in Scotland goes wrong, everything changes the next morning.

:27:55.:28:00.

Badly for Mr Cameron? Much worse than the euro elections? Yes.

:28:01.:28:04.

Catastrophic for a Conservative Prime Minister to lose the union

:28:05.:28:09.

would be disastrous. It's the Conservative and Unionist Party.

:28:10.:28:14.

Catastrophic for us we lose over 40 votes in parliament and possibly

:28:15.:28:17.

could not win a general election again. If Labour comes a poor

:28:18.:28:21.

second, which again the polls suggest it will, of course we don't

:28:22.:28:24.

know until it happens, but for the sake of my question, if it does, do

:28:25.:28:29.

Mr Miliband have to reconsider his opposition to a referendum? You

:28:30.:28:34.

might think so. I have been a pro-referendum person. I wasn't

:28:35.:28:38.

thinking so, I was asking you! No, he won't actually. You don't think

:28:39.:28:43.

he will? No, Ed Miliband himself is a committed pro-European. I can say

:28:44.:28:47.

that with confidence. We know it will be bad for the Lib Dems. We

:28:48.:28:50.

don't know how bad. We talked about the Tories. Fallout and collateral

:28:51.:28:56.

damage for the Tories. For the main opposition party to come a poor

:28:57.:29:01.

second is not good. We don't believe that the 2015 general election will

:29:02.:29:04.

be fought on Europe. That's the strength of our position. So I think

:29:05.:29:08.

we will go forward much as we are. On the other hand, you have

:29:09.:29:11.

consistently said on this programme that Europe isn't the main theme for

:29:12.:29:15.

UKIP, it's immigration. There is no reason why the 2015 election should

:29:16.:29:21.

not be fought on immigration. It would be suicide for a progressive

:29:22.:29:25.

party to out do UKIP on race and immigration. Yvette Cooper was

:29:26.:29:29.

trying to sound tough on immigration? Is My over own view is

:29:30.:29:33.

there are no votes for Labour in moving right on immigration. You

:29:34.:29:38.

can't out do UKIP? You can't out do UKIP or the Tories either. The

:29:39.:29:42.

argument about Labour applies, admittedly more weakly, it applies

:29:43.:29:47.

to the Conservatives too. You cannot outtrump UKIP, why do it. There is

:29:48.:29:52.

the big UKIP issue which will go forward to the 2015 election, which

:29:53.:29:56.

is this anti-politics feeling. Which is going to be a huge problem for

:29:57.:30:00.

all the established parties. And, my feeling is that Labour, at the

:30:01.:30:05.

moment, are paying a slight game with trying to harness

:30:06.:30:09.

disgruntlement, very much in their own way, not in a UKIP way, with

:30:10.:30:14.

this critique of, you know, inequality etc. How you translate

:30:15.:30:18.

into a serious programme as a government in waiting next year I

:30:19.:30:21.

think is a big challenge for Ed Miliband. Let us park the impact of

:30:22.:30:24.

a Scottish referendum for a moment. We will come back to that in the

:30:25.:30:30.

weeks ahead. Sure. Is it possible for the Tories, they do very badly

:30:31.:30:34.

in the euro elections, let us say for the sake of argument, they can

:30:35.:30:40.

continue, is a strong economy enough to keep them in power then?

:30:41.:30:45.

Who knows? David Cameron has made his position more difficult by

:30:46.:30:53.

making an extraordinary announcement, which is that he would

:30:54.:30:57.

not serve as the leader of a coalition government that did not

:30:58.:31:01.

agree to a referendum. There is a fairly narrow set of results in

:31:02.:31:05.

which the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats might again be in

:31:06.:31:09.

coalition, but it is a possibility. For someone who presumably wants to

:31:10.:31:13.

be Prime Minister and keep his party in power to start ruling out

:31:14.:31:16.

circumstances in which he would share power with others... To put it

:31:17.:31:21.

at its most gentle, it is not a foregone conclusion that there will

:31:22.:31:24.

be an enormous swing to the Conservatives. But again, that is

:31:25.:31:29.

the influence of UKIP, when he says that. It has distorted all thinking.

:31:30.:31:35.

To go back to the point we raised with Christine Hamilton earlier,

:31:36.:31:40.

supposing UKIP at the next general election only get three percentage

:31:41.:31:43.

points of the vote, or something like that, but supposing two of

:31:44.:31:48.

those come from the Conservatives. Last time, the Conservatives got 37

:31:49.:31:52.

percentage points. An overall majority might need 40 percentage

:31:53.:32:01.

points. It is absolutely critical that these quite small parcels of

:32:02.:32:06.

votes that UKIP may be taking, it is critical where they came from in the

:32:07.:32:10.

first place, from the Tories, or from Labour and the Liberal

:32:11.:32:14.

Democrats. If the Tories shake off the Euro elections and the economy

:32:15.:32:19.

is recovering, and will recover all the way through to the election,

:32:20.:32:23.

that is the issue that matters, they will say. Is Mr Miliband's continued

:32:24.:32:27.

emphasis on the cost-of-living crisis enough as a Labour repast,

:32:28.:32:34.

or, as some people on the Labour side say, he needs to change his

:32:35.:32:40.

chin? I think we want to think that cost of the Bill Trump and improving

:32:41.:32:47.

economy. -- it will trump an improving economy. It is possible

:32:48.:32:53.

that the Conservatives will be looking at a vote free recovery.

:32:54.:32:58.

that the Conservatives will be does Mr Miliband have to change the

:32:59.:32:58.

message? does Mr Miliband have to change the

:32:59.:33:10.

person. In my view... That was inscrutable! This analysis about

:33:11.:33:13.

inequality being the big issue facing the nation and much of the

:33:14.:33:20.

developed world. Obviously, Ed Miliband is onto something. There

:33:21.:33:23.

are important books being written about it and published every week at

:33:24.:33:29.

the moment. But having a good academic analysis which resonates

:33:30.:33:31.

with people is not enough. You need a programme. That is why they

:33:32.:33:40.

brought in David Axelrod. He used inequality and the position of the

:33:41.:33:43.

super wealthy to rubbish Mitch Romney. They want to play a ruthless

:33:44.:33:46.

came about that because they no one of the weaknesses of the Tory part

:33:47.:33:49.

of the coalition is that people do not think they know how ordinary

:33:50.:33:55.

people live. Which is why Royal Mail privatisation was the issue he went

:33:56.:34:00.

on at by ministers questions. Very quickly, is this Cyril Smith story

:34:01.:34:04.

on at by ministers questions. Very causing the Lib Dems problems? I

:34:05.:34:08.

think at the moment it is so historical that it is not really

:34:09.:34:12.

being seen as the same set of problems they have dealt with

:34:13.:34:16.

recently in that awful area of sexual harassment. But they could do

:34:17.:34:23.

without it. Certainly. But it really is a long time ago. This problem

:34:24.:34:29.

will Leticia 's, local MPs, who are unchallengeable even by party

:34:30.:34:34.

leaders, it is an issue for any party, I think. OK, we will leave it

:34:35.:34:36.

there. Now, throughout history humiliation

:34:37.:34:41.

has often been used as a punishment. Whether it's wearing a dunce's cap,

:34:42.:34:44.

working on a chain gang or facing rotten tomatoes in the town square

:34:45.:34:47.

stocks, those deemed to have transgressed have been made to

:34:48.:34:50.

display their shame for all to see. You may think we live in more

:34:51.:34:54.

enlightened times, but you only have to watch a random selection of

:34:55.:34:57.

Michael Portillo's Greatest Train Journeys, or Diane Abbott's

:34:58.:34:59.

short-lived career as junior shadow health minister, to realise forcing

:35:00.:35:02.

someone to degrade themselves in public is still an especially cruel

:35:03.:35:06.

punishment. That's why we've decided to reopen old wounds and put

:35:07.:35:09.

humiliation in this week's Spotlight.

:35:10.:35:24.

The sound of silence turned into the sound of sirens for musician Paul

:35:25.:35:33.

Simon this week. His marriage had troubled waters after a blazing row

:35:34.:35:39.

with his wife landed them a charge of disorderly conduct and a

:35:40.:35:44.

humiliating court appearance. We had an argument, and it is very typical

:35:45.:35:48.

of us. Neither one of us has any fear. Humiliation comes in many

:35:49.:35:56.

forms. Just ask Wirral Cricket club. Sports fans were stumped when it

:35:57.:35:59.

emerged they had been bowled out for just three runs. Nigel Farage's

:36:00.:36:06.

decision not to stand in the Newark by-election was about avoiding a

:36:07.:36:11.

humiliating defeat. I will not be parachuted into a constituency have

:36:12.:36:17.

never visited. The outgoing MP, Patrick Mercer, took public disgrace

:36:18.:36:21.

on the chin after he was forced to resign following another cash for

:36:22.:36:26.

questions scandal. Max Clifford had nothing to say to the media after he

:36:27.:36:30.

became the first person convicted under Operation Yewtree. He was

:36:31.:36:34.

found guilty of indecent assaults on women and girls, deservedly shifting

:36:35.:36:42.

the humiliation away from the victims and onto Max Clifford

:36:43.:36:47.

himself. Shame, ignore me, and Millie eight, we know about that on

:36:48.:36:53.

this week, but how do you recover? Or are some defeats so humiliating

:36:54.:37:01.

there is just no coming back? There is no coming back! Henry blow fell,

:37:02.:37:09.

welcome to this week. For years, you followed the English cricket team so

:37:10.:37:12.

you know about defeat and humiliation. What is the difference?

:37:13.:37:17.

Defeat is something that happens. You lose and it has been a splendid

:37:18.:37:20.

game and no one worries very much. You go to Australia and lose five

:37:21.:37:28.

test matches. It is all right being beaten, but we were not competitive.

:37:29.:37:32.

That was a total humiliation everything went wrong. I arrived for

:37:33.:37:38.

the third test match in Perth and I only saw the England side for ten

:37:39.:37:41.

minutes to realise that in the dressing room the whole thing had

:37:42.:37:47.

fallen apart. It was sad to see. I have just come back from Australia,

:37:48.:37:51.

and you are right, they can't help us forget how much of a humiliation

:37:52.:37:58.

it was. Were you good at playing their bouncers? I reminded them how

:37:59.:38:01.

many medals we got in the Olympics and that shut them up. Defeat, you

:38:02.:38:06.

can bounce back from but humiliation is more difficult. When you are

:38:07.:38:11.

humiliated in the way that we were, and if a side is humiliated, they

:38:12.:38:15.

have to go back to the drawing board. This decision to sack Kevin

:38:16.:38:19.

Pietersen, which was not what everyone would have done, but I

:38:20.:38:24.

think everyone near to the side realised this was the best and right

:38:25.:38:28.

decision. Lots of people further away will doubt it but I do everyone

:38:29.:38:31.

near to the side realised this was the best and right decision. Lots of

:38:32.:38:33.

people further away will doubt it but IDSA that always happens when

:38:34.:38:36.

this sort of thing has to be done. But his influence was not good.

:38:37.:38:40.

Humiliation is all the more bitter, I would suggest, when it was not

:38:41.:38:42.

that long ago that we were thrashing the Aussies. If we had been losing

:38:43.:38:47.

again and again overall these years you would think that is what

:38:48.:38:54.

happens. Equally, we must remember that in about four years the circle

:38:55.:38:58.

will go half round again. I am sure this will happen. The talent is

:38:59.:39:03.

always there. It is a cyclical thing. We will find young players.

:39:04.:39:09.

It will take a bit of time. Alastair Cook is not the most scintillating

:39:10.:39:15.

of captaincy. He is very defensive. I think that is a problem. There is

:39:16.:39:19.

no one else, which is why they have decided to stay with him. He and

:39:20.:39:23.

Kevin Pietersen were not really communicating. If you are building a

:39:24.:39:28.

young side and your main player is at loggerheads with the captain... I

:39:29.:39:33.

am interested in what you say about the dressing room. It seems that

:39:34.:39:37.

unlike simple defeat, humiliation means you begin to fall apart. That

:39:38.:39:42.

was exactly what was happening in Australia. The coach was not talking

:39:43.:39:48.

to his leading batsmen. Alastair Cook was not talking to him by the

:39:49.:39:54.

end. What Kevin Pietersen did, at Headingley in 2012 when South Africa

:39:55.:39:58.

were playing England, Kevin Pietersen tweeted the South African

:39:59.:40:01.

dressing room saying that Andrew Strauss, who he changed next to in

:40:02.:40:07.

the pavilion, was a fallen man. He then tweeted the fast bowlers

:40:08.:40:10.

telling them how to get Andrew Strauss out. There is a word for

:40:11.:40:17.

that, it really is treacherous. Humiliation is the stuff of

:40:18.:40:21.

politics, isn't it? You have not spoken about the positive side of

:40:22.:40:25.

humiliation, which is that this is the president to renewal and

:40:26.:40:28.

rebuilding. Actually, you did in a way. I want to endorse that. Is this

:40:29.:40:39.

your own personal story? Yes, this is an autobiographical point but I

:40:40.:40:43.

can extend it more broadly. Someone like John Profumo. I don't know how

:40:44.:40:48.

many viewers remember, but the Profumo scandal was the greatest

:40:49.:40:52.

into ritual humiliation, and yet he spent the rest of his life gradually

:40:53.:40:59.

rebuilding. -- individual humiliation. But humiliation is not

:41:00.:41:05.

always a precursors to renewal. I was thinking about Suez, where Eden

:41:06.:41:10.

was humiliated and it was the end of a political -- particular phase of

:41:11.:41:16.

imperialism. I was also thinking about the general election that

:41:17.:41:19.

Edward Heath called, asking the British electorate who rules

:41:20.:41:22.

Britain. The electorate voted him out. I have to say how wonderful it

:41:23.:41:31.

is to hear Henry in real life. You are very kind. In any west Indian

:41:32.:41:35.

household in the cricket season, his voice will always be in the

:41:36.:41:42.

background. In 1981, Ian Botham was captain of England and we played

:41:43.:41:46.

Australia and lost the first test at Trent Bridge. He made two ducks at

:41:47.:41:52.

Lord's and resign before he was sacked. Michael Brearley captained

:41:53.:41:58.

the side in the next test at Leeds. Botham was playing and England

:41:59.:42:00.

looked as though they would be beaten by an innings and 20. Both

:42:01.:42:07.

made 149 not out and Australia had to get 129 and lost by 18 runs. So

:42:08.:42:14.

you had both coming back from the elation and Australia suffering a

:42:15.:42:17.

dramatic humiliation in the same game. -- Ian Botham. That is the joy

:42:18.:42:24.

of cricket. You have a book out. I have, called squeezing the Orange,

:42:25.:42:30.

which some people think if a self-indulgent title. Michael will

:42:31.:42:37.

like it. My philosophy in life is that I regard every day, truthfully,

:42:38.:42:41.

as an orange, and I think as much juice has to be squeezed out as

:42:42.:42:46.

possible. When you have got through that, you go to bed and sleep and

:42:47.:42:50.

you get another one the next day. We have squeezed out all of the time we

:42:51.:42:54.

have left on that existential point. That's your lot for tonight, folks,

:42:55.:42:57.

but not for us, because it's Jeremy Paxman's leaving do at Lou Lou's

:42:58.:43:01.

tonight, and we'll be asking the DJ to play the same broken record 14

:43:02.:43:05.

times in a row and expect a standing ovation. But we leave you tonight

:43:06.:43:08.

with something that isn't going anywhere fast, a Westminster beef

:43:09.:43:11.

that continues to rumble and the parliamentary equivalent of a

:43:12.:43:13.

drive-by shooting. It's not exactly Biggie and Tupac but you take what

:43:14.:43:17.

you can get in politics. Nighty-night, don't let Big John

:43:18.:43:18.

bite. him, Mr Speaker. Order. I haven't

:43:19.:43:32.

finished. In the sponsored to that question,

:43:33.:43:49.

the Prime Minister has finished, and he can take it from me that he has

:43:50.:43:53.

finished. -- in response to that question.

:43:54.:44:07.

# Everybody knew that you didn't give any lip to big John

:44:08.:44:16.

# Big bad John. # Ted, I... I'm not interested in

:44:17.:44:24.

coming to see Lady Gaga, sir. Part of the Big Bumper Comedy

:44:25.:44:28.

50th Birthday Weekend.

:44:29.:44:43.

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