
Browse content similar to 11/09/2014. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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From Edinburgh, capital of Scotland, the show that makes you proud to be | :00:11. | :00:17. | |
British, for now, it's This Week, with Andrew Neil. Tonight, Michael | :00:18. | :00:27. | |
Portillo, Diane Abbott, and chat show Charlie Kennedy. Campaigning | :00:28. | :00:35. | |
firebrand, wife of Rab C Nesbitt, Elaine C Smith, SNP 's superstar, | :00:36. | :00:42. | |
Hamza Yusuf, Scottish history boy, Niall Ferguson. And the Hollywood | :00:43. | :00:45. | |
comes to Holyrood, with actor Brian Cox. Your host tonight, put your | :00:46. | :00:53. | |
hands and your paws together for club reporter and Paisley boy, | :00:54. | :00:54. | |
Andrew Neill. Andrew, Andrew, Andrew! Good | :00:55. | :01:30. | |
evening, all. Welcome to downtown Edinburgh, from where we bring you, | :01:31. | :01:36. | |
in the words of the Prime Minister, an effing special edition of This | :01:37. | :01:43. | |
Week. With a semicomatose audience of effing This Week fans. Just like | :01:44. | :01:48. | |
the entire effing BBC, we have hit the panic button. The team this week | :01:49. | :01:52. | |
are back in Scotland, like the alcohol soaked cherry on the | :01:53. | :01:59. | |
referendum. The atmosphere is feeble, and not just when Michael is | :02:00. | :02:02. | |
changing in the dressing room. Before we cracked open the blue | :02:03. | :02:07. | |
none, let me introduce you to Molly's cousins from north of the | :02:08. | :02:15. | |
border. Here they are. Bach once for yes, twice for no. I guess they are | :02:16. | :02:20. | |
abstaining. Anyway, let me introduce you to my very own band, still | :02:21. | :02:24. | |
following me everywhere. Carry on dancing. | :02:25. | :02:44. | |
APPLAUSE More from them later. Westminster | :02:45. | :02:56. | |
politicians have had a busy summer. David Cameron has been boogie | :02:57. | :03:00. | |
boarding and pointing at dead fish in Cornwall. Nick Clegg has been | :03:01. | :03:03. | |
getting an earful from his in-laws in Spain, and Ed Miliband has been | :03:04. | :03:07. | |
getting his head flushed down the loo at the Rubik 's cube camp in | :03:08. | :03:12. | |
Tuscany. It must have come as a shock to them when they were told | :03:13. | :03:16. | |
Scotland was having a referendum on leaving the UK, and even more of a | :03:17. | :03:19. | |
surprise to be told they might lose. At least they did not embarrass | :03:20. | :03:23. | |
themselves by jumping immediately on a train and heading north in a | :03:24. | :03:27. | |
last-ditch effort to save the union, because that would have looked like | :03:28. | :03:32. | |
panic, and made Alex Salmond look even more smug. As proof of the | :03:33. | :03:37. | |
folly of rushing across borders without a clue about where you are, | :03:38. | :03:42. | |
or why, I am joined on the sofa by some who should never be pressed | :03:43. | :03:46. | |
interaction when things go pear shaped. Think of them is the panic | :03:47. | :03:49. | |
button and panic attack of late-night political discourse. I | :03:50. | :03:56. | |
speak of sad man on a tram, Michael Portillo, and Diane - are you sure | :03:57. | :04:08. | |
this is Jamaica - Abbott. Joining them for one night only, rising star | :04:09. | :04:14. | |
of the Liberal Democrats - sorry, that is an old script. Very old. | :04:15. | :04:22. | |
Chat show Charlie, Charles Kennedy. Give them a round of applause. | :04:23. | :04:35. | |
Michael, your moment of the week in this momentous week for Scotland and | :04:36. | :04:40. | |
the United Kingdom? I suppose the announcement of the United Kingdom | :04:41. | :04:43. | |
government's policy of devolution max, by Mr Gordon Brown. Has he | :04:44. | :04:50. | |
joined the government? You might have thought so. A policy ruled out | :04:51. | :04:54. | |
of the referendum by David Cameron. If there is a no vote, there will be | :04:55. | :04:59. | |
devolution max which no one north or south of the border will have voted | :05:00. | :05:05. | |
for. Your moment? It would have to be the YouGov poll which put the yes | :05:06. | :05:08. | |
campaign ahead for the very first time. The point is that in London, | :05:09. | :05:14. | |
in Westminster, everybody was so complacent. They never thought this | :05:15. | :05:17. | |
could happen. Ever since, they have been running around like headless | :05:18. | :05:21. | |
chickens. All I would say about the referendum is, Win, lose or draw, it | :05:22. | :05:25. | |
has electrified British politics. Charles. A revelation and exclusive | :05:26. | :05:32. | |
for this programme. When they failed to raise the sole tyre about -- | :05:33. | :05:39. | |
above Number Ten Downing St. -- the Scottish flag. Suddenly I realised | :05:40. | :05:44. | |
that David Cameron is now a don't know. It must be. They got it up in | :05:45. | :05:53. | |
the end, as they say, on late-night television. You are just back from | :05:54. | :05:59. | |
Amsterdam, aren't you? What happens in Amsterdam stays in Amsterdam. | :06:00. | :06:03. | |
Unfortunately what happens in Scotland does not necessarily stay | :06:04. | :06:08. | |
in Scotland. One story has been on the front page of every newspaper in | :06:09. | :06:12. | |
the UK and around the world. Yes, the Duchess of Cambridge has another | :06:13. | :06:17. | |
bun in the oven. I am not saying the Royals are worried about the union | :06:18. | :06:20. | |
but I am authorised to tell you that if it is a girl she will be called | :06:21. | :06:26. | |
Morag MacTavish Michael Windsor. But what sort of kingdom will he be born | :06:27. | :06:35. | |
into? Will it include Scotland? Will Rangers still be in the second-tier | :06:36. | :06:40. | |
division? After all, those most affected by next Thursday's vote | :06:41. | :06:46. | |
will be today's babies. So we turned to actor, pro-independence | :06:47. | :06:50. | |
activist, recent granny, Elaine C Smith. This is her takeover week. -- | :06:51. | :07:02. | |
her take of the week. Like Prince Charles I have recently | :07:03. | :07:06. | |
become a grandparent. I think that is where any similarity between | :07:07. | :07:10. | |
Prince Charles and I actually ends. But I am sure, like me, he found it | :07:11. | :07:16. | |
a life changing, momentous, life affirming. That has made me even | :07:17. | :07:21. | |
more determined to campaign for the yes vote, because I want to make | :07:22. | :07:26. | |
this place better, for my grand daughter, Stella, and her parents, | :07:27. | :07:29. | |
and for a lot of other people as well. | :07:30. | :07:38. | |
When my daughter was pregnant, we did not know if it was a boy or a | :07:39. | :07:44. | |
girl she was having. Then I read a statistic that chilled me to the | :07:45. | :07:50. | |
bone. One male baby in every four born in Glasgow this year will not | :07:51. | :07:55. | |
live until they are 65. I could not believe it. This is 2014. If this is | :07:56. | :08:01. | |
Better Together, if this is the best of both worlds, then God help us. | :08:02. | :08:15. | |
We all want to make this place better, but I am campaigning for a | :08:16. | :08:19. | |
yes vote because I no longer believe it is possible for Westminster to do | :08:20. | :08:24. | |
that. I think the time is right for Scotland to take the power back into | :08:25. | :08:27. | |
our hands to make decisions that affect the people who live and work | :08:28. | :08:32. | |
here. Will it be perfect? I doubt it. Is there a magic wand available? | :08:33. | :08:37. | |
No, there isn't, but that is what being a grown-up country is all | :08:38. | :08:41. | |
about, making mistakes and making wonderful choices as well. We just | :08:42. | :08:53. | |
want to be grown-up, thanks. I have never seen a political | :08:54. | :08:57. | |
campaign like this in my lifetime. The level of engagement from people | :08:58. | :09:01. | |
in communities across Scotland has just been magical, actually. I love | :09:02. | :09:06. | |
the fact that people in pubs and clubs are discussing politics, | :09:07. | :09:12. | |
talking about ego membership. -- EU membership. I do hope Scotland | :09:13. | :09:15. | |
doesn't miss this wonderful opportunity. I will take this. What | :09:16. | :09:21. | |
currency will you be paying with today? The pound. | :09:22. | :09:28. | |
From the children's boutique to our very own little boutique in the | :09:29. | :09:32. | |
heart of Edinburgh, Elaine joins us now. Give her a warm welcome. | :09:33. | :09:41. | |
APPLAUSE Charles, you heard what Elaine had | :09:42. | :09:46. | |
to say. What do you say? Well, I don't think, in terms of sentiment, | :09:47. | :09:50. | |
and this is something we need to bear in mind for a week today and | :09:51. | :09:53. | |
the day after a week today, I don't think in terms of Scottish sentiment | :09:54. | :09:58. | |
you would probably put a stamp between us. I think it is a matter | :09:59. | :10:02. | |
of not whether Scotland could be independent. I never had an issue | :10:03. | :10:05. | |
about that. It is whether we should be. You talk about children. I look | :10:06. | :10:11. | |
at my life chances, growing up as a child, then a fitting from the | :10:12. | :10:14. | |
National Health Service, growing up with institutions like the BBC, | :10:15. | :10:20. | |
great achievements built without Borders and boundaries. I think the | :10:21. | :10:23. | |
great thing that Scotland brings to the world, and I am sure you will | :10:24. | :10:28. | |
agree, we have never been selfish. We have been a sharing people, | :10:29. | :10:33. | |
sometimes out of necessity, sometimes out of opportunity, right | :10:34. | :10:37. | |
round the world. I think we build more and get further and give more | :10:38. | :10:42. | |
opportunities to the next generation by maintaining that sentiment and | :10:43. | :10:46. | |
that sense. That is why I vote no. I vote no, positively, to build | :10:47. | :10:51. | |
something for the future. It is a gamble that Scotland would be better | :10:52. | :10:55. | |
off if it went independent, isn't it? I do not see it as a gamble that | :10:56. | :11:02. | |
is not worth taking. I think voting no is a gamble, every bit as much of | :11:03. | :11:06. | |
a gamble. I am looking down the line and seeing the prospect of a Tory | :11:07. | :11:12. | |
-UKIP coalition with Boris Johnson as Prime Minister and Nigel Farage | :11:13. | :11:15. | |
in Cabinet. What are you taking, Elaine? I have been told lots of | :11:16. | :11:22. | |
stuff! That is on the horizon, that move to the right. It seems to me | :11:23. | :11:28. | |
something that within Scotland that we are not really looking forward | :11:29. | :11:32. | |
to. And the changes, the benefit cuts, the things coming down the | :11:33. | :11:36. | |
line that will affect the poorest in Scotland, are on the horizon. You | :11:37. | :11:41. | |
are right, we do agree on a great deal. I just no longer believe that | :11:42. | :11:46. | |
Westminster can be fixed. I just don't believe there is the political | :11:47. | :11:53. | |
will or desire to do it. Michael, the no campaign, after the YouGov | :11:54. | :11:58. | |
poll, the no campaign has thrown just about everything at the yes | :11:59. | :12:03. | |
campaign. But is that not just more of the fear factor? Are they not | :12:04. | :12:09. | |
just playing on fear? Well, obviously, if the parties in England | :12:10. | :12:13. | |
really had wanted devolution max, they would have started to roll it | :12:14. | :12:18. | |
out after 2011 and by now it would be in place, so it is hard for them | :12:19. | :12:21. | |
to say, this is what we wanted in the first place. They would have | :12:22. | :12:25. | |
consulted the people of Scotland and the British Parliament. There would | :12:26. | :12:27. | |
have been a properly considered plan. I think it is evident from | :12:28. | :12:33. | |
what you are saying that much of this is about wanting to have only | :12:34. | :12:40. | |
left-wing government in Scotland. There are over 200,000 Tories in | :12:41. | :12:45. | |
Scotland. Let me make the point. It is about having left-wing | :12:46. | :12:49. | |
governments in Scotland. Two words of caution. First, when you talk | :12:50. | :12:53. | |
about independence forever, that is a short-term view. The Tories were | :12:54. | :12:58. | |
powerful in Scotland in the 1950s. These things can change. Secondly, | :12:59. | :13:02. | |
Europe is full of left-wing governments that have had to do | :13:03. | :13:05. | |
right wing things because they have been obliged to follow austerity | :13:06. | :13:10. | |
programmes by the EU. Left-wing governments across the Mediterranean | :13:11. | :13:13. | |
had to do right wing things. Scotland has found itself in the UK | :13:14. | :13:17. | |
relatively protected against austerity, by comparison with | :13:18. | :13:21. | |
Ireland, Spain, Greece or Italy. And I think one of the consequences of | :13:22. | :13:24. | |
Scotland having to live entirely within its own means is that the | :13:25. | :13:29. | |
government in Scotland, which will be of the left, either SNP or | :13:30. | :13:33. | |
Labour, but following more austere and right-wing policies than they | :13:34. | :13:39. | |
have been used to. Coming back to the YouGov poll that you mentioned, | :13:40. | :13:44. | |
the reason why that showed, for the first time, an increase and the yes | :13:45. | :13:49. | |
vote being ahead of the no vote was because Labour voters were peeling | :13:50. | :13:54. | |
away from Labour, as Elaine has done herself, and going for the | :13:55. | :13:59. | |
Nationalists and for independence. So why don't Scottish Labour voters | :14:00. | :14:02. | |
listen to Labour politicians any more? Some of them do. But there is | :14:03. | :14:10. | |
no question. The SNP in London have told me look at the number of | :14:11. | :14:13. | |
undecided voters. When they break, they will break for us. But Labour | :14:14. | :14:19. | |
voters have been breaking for Elaine's side. They were Labour | :14:20. | :14:26. | |
undecided. I think there is an underlying issue across the | :14:27. | :14:30. | |
country, actually, of cynicism and alienation from Westminster elites. | :14:31. | :14:35. | |
I think it is a little unfair of Michael, who is always fair, to say | :14:36. | :14:38. | |
this is about having a left-wing government. This is about the | :14:39. | :14:42. | |
Scottish people being able to choose their own government. Is that a good | :14:43. | :14:48. | |
thing? I have a lot of sympathy for it. But is it a good thing? Elaine | :14:49. | :14:54. | |
said she wanted to be free from Boris Johnson. Mind you, so do I! | :14:55. | :14:59. | |
Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage in government. But it is about the | :15:00. | :15:05. | |
democratic deficit. It is the fact that as a nation we have been voting | :15:06. | :15:09. | |
differently and not getting the government we voted for. For 17 | :15:10. | :15:14. | |
years you had a Labour government you voted for. I didn't vote for | :15:15. | :15:22. | |
them. I wonder if the campaign, which had this boost at the weekend, | :15:23. | :15:28. | |
has perhaps peaked too soon. There is a new YouGov poll out tomorrow in | :15:29. | :15:33. | |
the times and in the Sun, the same organisation, and that puts the no | :15:34. | :15:39. | |
vote at 52 points and the yes vote at 48. It is nip and tuck, very | :15:40. | :15:46. | |
close. But that doesn't suggest a momentum on the yes side. | :15:47. | :15:53. | |
Well, I think from where we have come and given the level of | :15:54. | :16:00. | |
negativity, we have had one Sunday newspaper in Scotland supporting the | :16:01. | :16:06. | |
yes campaign, we have a barrage, it's project terror we are getting, | :16:07. | :16:11. | |
and for us even to be within spitting distance is a remarkable | :16:12. | :16:18. | |
achievement. And even with the, in this latest poll, the no ahead once | :16:19. | :16:22. | |
again, it's in the statisticical margin of error, meaning the yes | :16:23. | :16:28. | |
haven't got a momentum yet, as in voting in a referenda, it's it's | :16:29. | :16:32. | |
still wide-open, I would suggest. You put me on the spot in this room | :16:33. | :16:38. | |
two months ago and mine were ahead a few points and there were raised | :16:39. | :16:42. | |
eyebrows. I said it will two right to the wire and it will be tight on | :16:43. | :16:46. | |
the night and people were saying no and I said, this isn't a | :16:47. | :16:50. | |
conventional election, this is a once in a lifetime referendum of a | :16:51. | :16:54. | |
type we've never had. A whole lot of people are going to vote. Good God, | :16:55. | :16:59. | |
we have seen 97% registration who never normally vote. Human nature | :17:00. | :17:05. | |
suggests, if all these folk aren't voting before, and I'm not talking | :17:06. | :17:09. | |
about the firstving time voters, but people who're going on to the | :17:10. | :17:12. | |
register, they can't be that enamoured with the voting system, so | :17:13. | :17:16. | |
I suspect human nature being what it is, they are there for a purpose, | :17:17. | :17:21. | |
which is the vote for the most dramatic change. Within 55-45, | :17:22. | :17:25. | |
that's always been my range for what the outcome will be and it's all to | :17:26. | :17:30. | |
play for with a week to go. Does it make sense to come out with the | :17:31. | :17:35. | |
extra home rule stuff only after the polls started going against your | :17:36. | :17:40. | |
side? Oh, no, far better to have had this a year ago. Political parties | :17:41. | :17:45. | |
are democratic organisations internally, they take time. You've | :17:46. | :17:49. | |
got three things that will eventually be compromised into one. | :17:50. | :17:53. | |
But actually, after the cause, it's to be remembered, say the result is | :17:54. | :17:58. | |
no for arguments sake but you want to push that agenda rule forward, a | :17:59. | :18:04. | |
more federal direction I hope for the UK, the lesson from Scotland is, | :18:05. | :18:12. | |
you will need to go outside the political parties, and get the | :18:13. | :18:17. | |
people who voted yes, get them involved, in a wider civic Scotland | :18:18. | :18:21. | |
to make it stick. That will be the big challenge. | :18:22. | :18:25. | |
We'll know in a week. Despite tomorrow eats polling, what do you | :18:26. | :18:28. | |
think? I have no idea. I'm not a politician so... That's why you gave | :18:29. | :18:33. | |
me an honest answer! Exactly. Thank you very much! But at the start of | :18:34. | :18:40. | |
this, I wanted obviously to win and I am campaign fog a yes vote, but I | :18:41. | :18:45. | |
always wanted to be close -- wanted it to be close. This has been like | :18:46. | :18:49. | |
nothing I've ever seen in my lifetime, it's wonderful. | :18:50. | :18:52. | |
Thank you very much. CHEERING AND | :18:53. | :19:02. | |
APPLAUSE It's late, very late, almost as late as a 12 point | :19:03. | :19:08. | |
timetable for home rule designed by the former great leader Gordon | :19:09. | :19:10. | |
Brown, don't let the thought of that put you to sleep because waiting in | :19:11. | :19:16. | |
the wings, actor and campaigner Brian Cox and historian Neil | :19:17. | :19:19. | |
Ferguson. They'll be with us to discuss whether the UK's days are | :19:20. | :19:23. | |
finally over. Remember, if you can puts up with all the other idiots, | :19:24. | :19:29. | |
we are all over the Twitter, Fleecebook and interweb. Carry on | :19:30. | :19:32. | |
dancing? Give us something to raise our spirits. | :19:33. | :19:52. | |
APPLAUSE Now, there's a genuine sense of | :19:53. | :20:01. | |
excitement, tension and apprehension in the air here in Scotland with the | :20:02. | :20:05. | |
big vote only one week away. We wanted to get a sense of how much is | :20:06. | :20:10. | |
at stake, separate the half baked from the half-truths sowe turned to | :20:11. | :20:14. | |
BBC Scotland's Sarah Smith. This is our round-up of the referendum week. | :20:15. | :20:35. | |
It is such an exciting, nail-biting week in Scottish politics. I | :20:36. | :20:41. | |
couldn't resist taking part in the great Scottish Bake Off but I am | :20:42. | :20:46. | |
going to need to pick up a few tips. The competition is getting tough in | :20:47. | :20:49. | |
the Scottish kitchen with some polls putting the two sides neck and neck. | :20:50. | :20:55. | |
Recently, the No Campaign's been looking as messy as a baked Alaska | :20:56. | :20:59. | |
that's been left out of the freezer. We've had to call in a previous | :21:00. | :21:03. | |
winner to sort things out, Gordon Brown. He's announced a new tame | :21:04. | :21:07. | |
table for extra powers to be devolved in the Scottish Parliament | :21:08. | :21:12. | |
if there is a no vote next week. We are proposing that over the next few | :21:13. | :21:18. | |
months, we agree a programme that the Scottish Parliament should have | :21:19. | :21:25. | |
increased powers, in welfare, social and economic policy and in finance. | :21:26. | :21:32. | |
Contestants are always running out of time. But now it's better | :21:33. | :21:36. | |
together who look like they are panicking, coming up with this | :21:37. | :21:39. | |
last-minute offer of more powers for the Scottish Parliament. Lots of | :21:40. | :21:43. | |
voters I've spoke to say they are reluctantly voting yes because what | :21:44. | :21:48. | |
they really wanted was more devolution all along. Is this late | :21:49. | :21:51. | |
offer going to be enough to change their minds? I'm not sure. Is it | :21:52. | :21:56. | |
really a last-minute show stopper? Or more of a half baked idea? | :21:57. | :22:03. | |
A panicky Prime Minister hoisted a saltire flag above Downing Street, | :22:04. | :22:12. | |
but it promptly fell down again. He cancelled Prime Minister's Questions | :22:13. | :22:15. | |
so he and Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband could come to Scotland to try to | :22:16. | :22:20. | |
flatten out the worries of voters who've been tempted by the tasty | :22:21. | :22:23. | |
treats of the yes campaign. The Prime Minister used some words that | :22:24. | :22:30. | |
will never cross Mary Berry's lips. People feel like it's like a general | :22:31. | :22:43. | |
election, you make a decision in five years' time it can be changed. | :22:44. | :22:47. | |
Solidarity, social justice, together not alone. From the head, from the | :22:48. | :22:55. | |
heart, from the soul, vote no in this referendum and let's change | :22:56. | :23:01. | |
Britain together. The three Westminster party leaders want us to | :23:02. | :23:04. | |
believe that they are all offering devolution plans which are all the | :23:05. | :23:08. | |
same size and shape, but the truth is, they don't actually agree on | :23:09. | :23:11. | |
what extra powers to give the Scottish Parliament which makes the | :23:12. | :23:15. | |
whole thing a lot less credible. They didn't even want to be seen | :23:16. | :23:21. | |
together up here in Scotland visiting entirely different cities. | :23:22. | :23:23. | |
So much for better together. Alex Salmond for his part said he was | :23:24. | :23:27. | |
delighted to have them here. What we are seeing today on the other side | :23:28. | :23:31. | |
is team Westminster jetting up to Scotland for the day because they | :23:32. | :23:34. | |
are panicking in the campaign. Alex Salmond thinks he's got the | :23:35. | :23:39. | |
winning recipe but he could yet develop a soggy bottom. | :23:40. | :23:45. | |
Several big businesses said they may move their operations outside of | :23:46. | :23:49. | |
Scotland if there's a yes vote. Combined with some less than helpful | :23:50. | :23:53. | |
comments from the Governor of the Bank of England, Salmond's opponents | :23:54. | :23:57. | |
are saying yesterday was his own personal Black Wednesday. | :23:58. | :24:01. | |
I think the problem lies entirely with the no-campaign for this reason | :24:02. | :24:05. | |
- they have now been caught red handed as being part of a campaign | :24:06. | :24:07. | |
of scaremongering. My secret ingredient is all very | :24:08. | :24:20. | |
hush-hush, but what's no secret is that whatever happens with the | :24:21. | :24:25. | |
referendum, Britain is a country -- as a country will have been changed | :24:26. | :24:31. | |
for ever. If it's a no-vote, the sweeteners offered by thedown-onist | :24:32. | :24:34. | |
mean the Scottish Parliament will be able to tax, spend and borrow more | :24:35. | :24:38. | |
than ever before. It can't be long before other parts of Britain ask | :24:39. | :24:41. | |
for a larger slice of the constitutional cake. If it's a yes | :24:42. | :24:48. | |
vote, then everything changes. Torturous negotiations will begin | :24:49. | :24:50. | |
over everything from what currency Scotland will use to when Trident | :24:51. | :24:54. | |
nuclear missiles have to leave the country. And a big question mark | :24:55. | :24:58. | |
will hang over whether David Cameron can keep his job as Prime Minister. | :24:59. | :25:04. | |
Now though, it's my moment of reckoning. | :25:05. | :25:13. | |
Unfortunately, that is bland. Did you make the fondant? No, I must | :25:14. | :25:16. | |
admit, I didn't. Just perfect. Lovely. | :25:17. | :25:24. | |
I'm rather pleased with my efforts on the great Scottish Bake Off. Of | :25:25. | :25:28. | |
course, by this time next week, we could be talking about the great | :25:29. | :25:32. | |
Scottish breakoff. Sarah Smith at the Edinburgh School | :25:33. | :25:37. | |
of Food Wine and she produced this and sent it along for us tonight. | :25:38. | :25:42. | |
We'll scoff them later. We are thrilled to be joined by the man | :25:43. | :25:47. | |
many claim is the power behind Alex Salmond. MSP superstar, welcome to | :25:48. | :25:59. | |
the programme! That poll of the weekend which put | :26:00. | :26:09. | |
you ahead for the first time, only came out as there was a sense of | :26:10. | :26:15. | |
momentum but since then you have had people saying you are exaggerating | :26:16. | :26:20. | |
the size of the oil, the companies agreeing, the Royal Bank of Scotland | :26:21. | :26:23. | |
saying it would have to move its headquarters out of the country, | :26:24. | :26:28. | |
people moving their savings. Are you not now on the defensive? Thank you | :26:29. | :26:33. | |
for that introduction which was undoubtedly the kiss of death of my | :26:34. | :26:38. | |
career. Thank you. Secondly, you are right, they are throwing everything | :26:39. | :26:43. | |
at us. Westminster politicians are throwing Nigel Farage at us | :26:44. | :26:47. | |
tomorrow. It could be count Dracula tomorrow, who knows. I am told he is | :26:48. | :26:54. | |
being lined up as we speak. The fact that the yes side are celebrating a | :26:55. | :26:58. | |
poll that's come out today that puts us within the margin of error is | :26:59. | :27:04. | |
incredible when we were 22 points behind four weeks ago. Actually the | :27:05. | :27:13. | |
Chief Executive said there is a contingency plan to maybe move their | :27:14. | :27:16. | |
office to London but they had no intention of relocating any on | :27:17. | :27:22. | |
vaguses, and -- operations. If you move your headquarters out of the | :27:23. | :27:26. | |
country you are named after, it's not great. It's a contingency plan | :27:27. | :27:33. | |
because of uncertainty. In case you win? ! No, because it's uncertainty. | :27:34. | :27:40. | |
What we have seen today is an orchestrated campaign of uncertainty | :27:41. | :27:43. | |
in the Scottish economy from the Prime Minister who himself met the | :27:44. | :27:46. | |
supermarket chiefs and pressured them into trying to scare Scottish | :27:47. | :27:52. | |
voters into voting no. I wouldn't go too far down what route you are | :27:53. | :27:58. | |
going, but let me ask you this; the yes campaign accused the No Campaign | :27:59. | :28:04. | |
of scaremongering and we remember originally within the project here, | :28:05. | :28:07. | |
so I take that point, but couldn't you be accused of being relentlessly | :28:08. | :28:13. | |
optimistic that every problem, even the Governor of the Bank of England, | :28:14. | :28:17. | |
who really doesn't have a dog in this fight, throws things up. He | :28:18. | :28:21. | |
doesn't know what he's talking about, there's nothing gets in the | :28:22. | :28:27. | |
way of the optimism? Negativity and scaremongering is putting it mildly. | :28:28. | :28:33. | |
Lightning bolts are falling. But in terms of the optimism, I would | :28:34. | :28:37. | |
rather be a relentless optimist. I would rather have hopes over the | :28:38. | :28:42. | |
politics of hope. Look what happened to Obama. He campaigned on hope. He | :28:43. | :28:48. | |
now has the lowest ratings of any President of recent times. I would | :28:49. | :28:54. | |
much rather, and I genuine believe the politics of hope will always | :28:55. | :28:57. | |
beat the politics of fear. Speaking of fear. How seriously, Michael, do | :28:58. | :29:03. | |
you take the Tory MPs in Westminster who said if the yes side wins, Mr | :29:04. | :29:09. | |
Cameron should resign? Well, it would certainly from David | :29:10. | :29:12. | |
Cameron's point of view be a calamity. First of all, because for | :29:13. | :29:16. | |
a Conservative Prime Minister to lose the United Kingdom would be | :29:17. | :29:21. | |
regarded as calamitous in terms of a Unionist Party and even though the | :29:22. | :29:25. | |
Conservatives would have an advantage if Scotland left the | :29:26. | :29:28. | |
union, David Cameron has absolutely set his mind against that. The | :29:29. | :29:34. | |
second part he has is that crucial decisions have been made, for | :29:35. | :29:37. | |
example the decision to withdraw the third part of the question about | :29:38. | :29:43. | |
devolution max from the ballot and those judgments rule out the | :29:44. | :29:46. | |
question. So I think it would be a very serious matter for him indeed. | :29:47. | :29:49. | |
How much panic is there in the Labour Party? If you lose this | :29:50. | :29:56. | |
referendum, you in the end lose 40 seats at least, maybe more, in | :29:57. | :29:58. | |
Westminster? My line at the start of the program | :29:59. | :30:29. | |
was, headless chickens and I'm sticking to that. If Scotland gets a | :30:30. | :30:34. | |
vote, as things stand, in the next general election, and your party | :30:35. | :30:38. | |
could win on the basis of Scottish votes from people who're about to | :30:39. | :30:41. | |
become foreigners, how would that work? That's possible. Could you | :30:42. | :30:51. | |
form a Government on that basis? Let me just say that we have won | :30:52. | :30:54. | |
elections in England without Scottish votes. We could delay until | :30:55. | :31:10. | |
2016. But that will not happen. It has been spoken about. The first | :31:11. | :31:14. | |
year would be taken up with constitutional stuff anyway. You | :31:15. | :31:17. | |
could not appoint a single Scottish MP to the government, because the | :31:18. | :31:21. | |
Westminster government's main job would be to draw up its side of the | :31:22. | :31:26. | |
divorce settlement. Your terms are in the White Paper. You could not | :31:27. | :31:29. | |
put Scottish MPs in a government which was to go shaking with his | :31:30. | :31:34. | |
Scottish Government on divorce. It would be like having a wife or | :31:35. | :31:38. | |
husband on both sides of the divorce settlement. That is true. The House | :31:39. | :31:44. | |
of Lords made that point. You could either delay the general election | :31:45. | :31:48. | |
or, as some Tories have said, you could say that reason Scottish MPs | :31:49. | :31:53. | |
can't vote on English matters. Or they conclude negotiations before | :31:54. | :31:58. | |
the general election. It might put pressure on them to do that. If you | :31:59. | :32:03. | |
are a conservative, because of a point you make, you might want to. | :32:04. | :32:10. | |
When they separated Czechoslovakia into the Czech Republic and Slovakia | :32:11. | :32:14. | |
it took 31 treaties and 121 Acts of Parliament. If you think this lot | :32:15. | :32:18. | |
could do that by May, you are on something. Slightly different from | :32:19. | :32:26. | |
Czechoslovakia. The clear precedent was that Ireland was created and all | :32:27. | :32:32. | |
these things were sorted out. Charles, was it helpful for your | :32:33. | :32:36. | |
side to bring Gordon Brown into the campaign? Yes, absolutely. It was | :32:37. | :32:42. | |
helpful first of all because there has been a long-standing recognition | :32:43. | :32:45. | |
that these traditional Labour voters were liable to go off and vote for | :32:46. | :32:50. | |
the yes side of the ticket on this one, and clearly there has been | :32:51. | :32:54. | |
movement in that direction. Gordon Brown gets a bit of a bad press. He | :32:55. | :32:59. | |
did deliver for Labour, in terms of votes at the last UK general | :33:00. | :33:03. | |
election in Scotland, a tremendous result. He put on a lot of support | :33:04. | :33:07. | |
compared with Tony Blair previously, so he resonates. Most importantly, | :33:08. | :33:12. | |
looking to the future, the initiative he has come forward with, | :33:13. | :33:15. | |
and I agree with Michael that it is a bit Alice through the looking | :33:16. | :33:19. | |
Glass, to say the least, with one week to go, but this initiative is | :33:20. | :33:24. | |
actually the most clear-sighted thing, and the challenge to all of | :33:25. | :33:28. | |
us on the reformist side, to get through the finishing tape and | :33:29. | :33:34. | |
beyond. Good to see you. Enough of this tedious political chat. Show us | :33:35. | :33:36. | |
some genuine talent. APPLAUSE Amid the sound and fury | :33:37. | :34:05. | |
surrounding the referendum debate, spare a thought for Douglas | :34:06. | :34:08. | |
Carswell. The former Tory MP jumped a sinking | :34:09. | :34:13. | |
ship this summer to join Nigel Farage's merry band of political | :34:14. | :34:16. | |
pirates in the United Kingdom Independence party. Of course, if | :34:17. | :34:22. | |
the Scots vote yes next week, he could find himself standing for a | :34:23. | :34:26. | |
party named after an outdated concept that no longer exists. A bit | :34:27. | :34:32. | |
like the Chinese commonest party, or Ed Miliband's Labour Party. All the | :34:33. | :34:40. | |
Scottish Tory party. That is why we have decided to look at the | :34:41. | :34:43. | |
consequences for all of us and put the United Kingdom in this week's | :34:44. | :34:52. | |
spotlight. What is grey, cold and more than 300 | :34:53. | :34:58. | |
years old? You probably think the average UKIP member. Close, but it | :34:59. | :35:03. | |
is the UK, and it could still be divided. If Scotland decides to go | :35:04. | :35:09. | |
alone, what might become of our shared institutions, the BBC, the | :35:10. | :35:15. | |
Armed Forces, Team GB? The SNP claim that divorce can be amicable and an | :35:16. | :35:19. | |
independent Scotland could still be a partner with the rest of Britain. | :35:20. | :35:23. | |
We continue to be a part of the British Isles, but on the basis of | :35:24. | :35:29. | |
equality. About how easy will it be to give up 300 years of shared | :35:30. | :35:34. | |
economy, history and culture? Boris Johnson thinks it will be a | :35:35. | :35:37. | |
catastrophe and we will lose a fundamental part of our identity. As | :35:38. | :35:42. | |
the polls come closer and the result harder to call, what would happen to | :35:43. | :35:49. | |
us if the UK lost the Scots? Would a reduced UK be OK, or will the bonds | :35:50. | :35:55. | |
that bind us be lost forever? We are joined by Niall Ferguson and Brian | :35:56. | :36:04. | |
Cox. Welcome to you both. Niall Ferguson, if it is a yes vote, | :36:05. | :36:11. | |
sum up the impact on the rest of the UK. The economic impact would be | :36:12. | :36:19. | |
biggest in Scotland but it would be present in England. I don't think | :36:20. | :36:23. | |
this is mainly about economics. I think this would profoundly alter | :36:24. | :36:28. | |
not just the flag, but the way in which the world regards this | :36:29. | :36:31. | |
country. Some people still call it Great Britain. That was a term | :36:32. | :36:36. | |
invented by a Scotsman, James the sixth, when he became James the | :36:37. | :36:39. | |
first of England. Great Britain would be dead. You could call it the | :36:40. | :36:44. | |
United Kingdom of Lesser Britain and Northern Ireland but that would be a | :36:45. | :36:48. | |
misnomer, so there will be a fundamental reassessment of the | :36:49. | :36:51. | |
United Kingdom if this happens. From the advantage point of the United | :36:52. | :36:56. | |
States, where I live, the expats, those who think of themselves as | :36:57. | :37:00. | |
Scots, is one of bewilderment. We cannot understand why this is | :37:01. | :37:02. | |
happening, and nor can most Americans. You want independence, | :37:03. | :37:09. | |
but do you have any fears or regrets that if Scotland goes that way that | :37:10. | :37:12. | |
the rest of the United Kingdom would be seriously diminished in the eyes | :37:13. | :37:17. | |
of the world? I think independence is only a beginning. I think it is a | :37:18. | :37:23. | |
pathway to somewhere else. I think it is a pathway towards English | :37:24. | :37:27. | |
independence. Everybody says it is a terrible thing. It is not an end | :37:28. | :37:33. | |
stop, it is the beginning of something. Of course, we are so | :37:34. | :37:37. | |
linked to England, we will not cut ourselves off just like that. And I | :37:38. | :37:42. | |
don't think, personally, that independence means separation. I | :37:43. | :37:46. | |
think it means a new inclusiveness, a whole redesigning of what is going | :37:47. | :37:55. | |
on. But would we regret that Britain would be diminished? I do think it | :37:56. | :37:59. | |
would be. Britain has to reassess itself. It is diminished at the | :38:00. | :38:02. | |
moment because the political system is clearly not working. The three | :38:03. | :38:08. | |
Amigos have arrived, Martin Short, Steve Martin and Chevy Chase have | :38:09. | :38:12. | |
come with sombreros and kilts, and they are here to sort us all out. | :38:13. | :38:17. | |
The patronage and condescension of the last four weeks has been utterly | :38:18. | :38:21. | |
bewildering, because they haven't understood who we are. As a people. | :38:22. | :38:27. | |
They simply have not understood it. I find it kind of shocking. Niall | :38:28. | :38:34. | |
Ferguson. I wonder whether those who are planning to vote yes understand | :38:35. | :38:38. | |
properly who we are as a people. It seems one of the confusions is to | :38:39. | :38:41. | |
think only in terms of the people who live in Scotland. Most people | :38:42. | :38:46. | |
who regard themselves as Scots do not live in Scotland. The number of | :38:47. | :38:50. | |
expats fastly exceeds the 5 million people who live here. And those who | :38:51. | :38:57. | |
live in Scotland will be affected. Not just those people. This is where | :38:58. | :39:02. | |
I think Brian is unrealistic. Anybody who has been through a | :39:03. | :39:06. | |
divorce knows that they are rarely amicable. It is hardly likely the | :39:07. | :39:10. | |
English will say, that is OK, good luck, go and have your nice | :39:11. | :39:15. | |
Scandinavian Scotland. Don't worry about the debt, have the pound, no | :39:16. | :39:18. | |
problem. The problems will begin with the yes vote if it happens. It | :39:19. | :39:23. | |
will be acrimonious and protracted, and for those of us who consider | :39:24. | :39:27. | |
ourselves Scots, in Britain, in the United Kingdom, we do not see a | :39:28. | :39:32. | |
conflict between those identities but see them as reinforcing. This | :39:33. | :39:36. | |
means statelessness. I will no longer feel any -- no longer feel | :39:37. | :39:41. | |
able to feel British. I have remained a British citizen. But also | :39:42. | :39:48. | |
an American citizen. No, I work there but I am still able to | :39:49. | :39:53. | |
citizen. If it is a yes vote, I will apply for US citizenship that day. | :39:54. | :40:07. | |
And I went the alone. -- I will not be alone. I am an expat and I | :40:08. | :40:13. | |
believe in an independent Scotland. Yesterday, I spent time in Dundee | :40:14. | :40:17. | |
and I have seen people who are disenfranchised, who have fallen | :40:18. | :40:22. | |
through the net, the grassroots who have been bewildered for the last 30 | :40:23. | :40:26. | |
years. In Dundee, in the last two and a half weeks, over 7000 people | :40:27. | :40:31. | |
have gone back on the social register. And that has been unheard | :40:32. | :40:36. | |
of. Those people have been off the social register since Margaret | :40:37. | :40:41. | |
Thatcher's poll tax. I think that is astonishing. The people I met | :40:42. | :40:44. | |
yesterday are saying, we just want something that is our own, something | :40:45. | :40:48. | |
we can actually take part in, be responsible for, because we have | :40:49. | :40:54. | |
been treated like children for so long, that we want that. Michael, it | :40:55. | :40:59. | |
is clear that the rest of the UK has really just closed its eyes and | :41:00. | :41:04. | |
hoped that this goes away. If we wake up, and I will not because I | :41:05. | :41:10. | |
will be up all night doing the programme. The drugs you gave me | :41:11. | :41:18. | |
will help! And I can get you more. I know that because you Hollywood | :41:19. | :41:22. | |
chaps are big on these things. The contingency planning will have to | :41:23. | :41:25. | |
have a standing start on the morning of the 19th. I imagine officials in | :41:26. | :41:31. | |
Scotland and London have been working on contingency plans, | :41:32. | :41:33. | |
because that is what civil servants are for. There are lots of things I | :41:34. | :41:38. | |
do not know yet about what the Scottish attitude would be after | :41:39. | :41:43. | |
independence. Niall Ferguson made the point that it was called Great | :41:44. | :41:47. | |
Britain a century before the union of the two parliaments. It is | :41:48. | :41:49. | |
perfectly obvious that you could have this -- the name Great Britain | :41:50. | :41:53. | |
without the parliaments being united. I do not know what the | :41:54. | :41:57. | |
attitude would be to the Queen. Whether the Queen would be, as the | :41:58. | :42:01. | |
Queen of Canada is, or whether she would continue as the Queen of the | :42:02. | :42:05. | |
United Kingdom. Those are different relationships with the monarchy. I | :42:06. | :42:08. | |
don't even know yet that the separation of the parliaments means | :42:09. | :42:12. | |
the end of the United Kingdom. It certainly does not necessarily mean | :42:13. | :42:16. | |
the end of Great Britain. There are all sorts of things that are not yet | :42:17. | :42:20. | |
known. However, England is fastly bigger than Scotland, -- much bigger | :42:21. | :42:28. | |
than Scotland. So it is a bigger experiment for Scotland. It may be | :42:29. | :42:32. | |
bigger but it is not as good. Whatever. That told him. Losing a | :42:33. | :42:40. | |
hand is less traumatic than losing the body attached to it. I was | :42:41. | :42:47. | |
amazed at Professor Ferguson's argument that it is unfair on | :42:48. | :42:51. | |
expats. Whatever you think, this is about people that live in Scotland | :42:52. | :42:56. | |
and their future. People who have gone overseas and clearly are doing | :42:57. | :42:59. | |
very well are not really in a position to tell Scottish residents | :43:00. | :43:07. | |
what they should do. The point about Scottish identity is that it has not | :43:08. | :43:11. | |
been a narrow parochialism. We have been a global people. That is what | :43:12. | :43:16. | |
we are sacrificing, going down a route that is foreign to Scottish | :43:17. | :43:20. | |
tradition, whatever you residents of Scotland may say. That is your lot. | :43:21. | :43:27. | |
Thanks to both of you. For us, there is still half a bottle left in | :43:28. | :43:33. | |
Diane's minibar, so the after party starts now. How did she get the | :43:34. | :43:38. | |
presidential suite gesture Marco, it is in the bed-and-breakfast! Bags to | :43:39. | :43:43. | |
everybody for coming out tonight. God knows what you were thinking. | :43:44. | :43:46. | |
And thank you too many viewers who are still awake and watching. We | :43:47. | :43:50. | |
will be back with our new series in two weeks, when we could be living | :43:51. | :43:55. | |
in a very, very different country, or not. Good night. Don't let the | :43:56. | :43:57. | |
referendum bite. | :43:58. | :44:02. |