11/09/2014 This Week


11/09/2014

Similar Content

Browse content similar to 11/09/2014. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

From Edinburgh, capital of Scotland, the show that makes you proud to be

:00:11.:00:17.

British, for now, it's This Week, with Andrew Neil. Tonight, Michael

:00:18.:00:27.

Portillo, Diane Abbott, and chat show Charlie Kennedy. Campaigning

:00:28.:00:35.

firebrand, wife of Rab C Nesbitt, Elaine C Smith, SNP 's superstar,

:00:36.:00:42.

Hamza Yusuf, Scottish history boy, Niall Ferguson. And the Hollywood

:00:43.:00:45.

comes to Holyrood, with actor Brian Cox. Your host tonight, put your

:00:46.:00:53.

hands and your paws together for club reporter and Paisley boy,

:00:54.:00:54.

Andrew Neill. Andrew, Andrew, Andrew! Good

:00:55.:01:30.

evening, all. Welcome to downtown Edinburgh, from where we bring you,

:01:31.:01:36.

in the words of the Prime Minister, an effing special edition of This

:01:37.:01:43.

Week. With a semicomatose audience of effing This Week fans. Just like

:01:44.:01:48.

the entire effing BBC, we have hit the panic button. The team this week

:01:49.:01:52.

are back in Scotland, like the alcohol soaked cherry on the

:01:53.:01:59.

referendum. The atmosphere is feeble, and not just when Michael is

:02:00.:02:02.

changing in the dressing room. Before we cracked open the blue

:02:03.:02:07.

none, let me introduce you to Molly's cousins from north of the

:02:08.:02:15.

border. Here they are. Bach once for yes, twice for no. I guess they are

:02:16.:02:20.

abstaining. Anyway, let me introduce you to my very own band, still

:02:21.:02:24.

following me everywhere. Carry on dancing.

:02:25.:02:44.

APPLAUSE More from them later. Westminster

:02:45.:02:56.

politicians have had a busy summer. David Cameron has been boogie

:02:57.:03:00.

boarding and pointing at dead fish in Cornwall. Nick Clegg has been

:03:01.:03:03.

getting an earful from his in-laws in Spain, and Ed Miliband has been

:03:04.:03:07.

getting his head flushed down the loo at the Rubik 's cube camp in

:03:08.:03:12.

Tuscany. It must have come as a shock to them when they were told

:03:13.:03:16.

Scotland was having a referendum on leaving the UK, and even more of a

:03:17.:03:19.

surprise to be told they might lose. At least they did not embarrass

:03:20.:03:23.

themselves by jumping immediately on a train and heading north in a

:03:24.:03:27.

last-ditch effort to save the union, because that would have looked like

:03:28.:03:32.

panic, and made Alex Salmond look even more smug. As proof of the

:03:33.:03:37.

folly of rushing across borders without a clue about where you are,

:03:38.:03:42.

or why, I am joined on the sofa by some who should never be pressed

:03:43.:03:46.

interaction when things go pear shaped. Think of them is the panic

:03:47.:03:49.

button and panic attack of late-night political discourse. I

:03:50.:03:56.

speak of sad man on a tram, Michael Portillo, and Diane - are you sure

:03:57.:04:08.

this is Jamaica - Abbott. Joining them for one night only, rising star

:04:09.:04:14.

of the Liberal Democrats - sorry, that is an old script. Very old.

:04:15.:04:22.

Chat show Charlie, Charles Kennedy. Give them a round of applause.

:04:23.:04:35.

Michael, your moment of the week in this momentous week for Scotland and

:04:36.:04:40.

the United Kingdom? I suppose the announcement of the United Kingdom

:04:41.:04:43.

government's policy of devolution max, by Mr Gordon Brown. Has he

:04:44.:04:50.

joined the government? You might have thought so. A policy ruled out

:04:51.:04:54.

of the referendum by David Cameron. If there is a no vote, there will be

:04:55.:04:59.

devolution max which no one north or south of the border will have voted

:05:00.:05:05.

for. Your moment? It would have to be the YouGov poll which put the yes

:05:06.:05:08.

campaign ahead for the very first time. The point is that in London,

:05:09.:05:14.

in Westminster, everybody was so complacent. They never thought this

:05:15.:05:17.

could happen. Ever since, they have been running around like headless

:05:18.:05:21.

chickens. All I would say about the referendum is, Win, lose or draw, it

:05:22.:05:25.

has electrified British politics. Charles. A revelation and exclusive

:05:26.:05:32.

for this programme. When they failed to raise the sole tyre about --

:05:33.:05:39.

above Number Ten Downing St. -- the Scottish flag. Suddenly I realised

:05:40.:05:44.

that David Cameron is now a don't know. It must be. They got it up in

:05:45.:05:53.

the end, as they say, on late-night television. You are just back from

:05:54.:05:59.

Amsterdam, aren't you? What happens in Amsterdam stays in Amsterdam.

:06:00.:06:03.

Unfortunately what happens in Scotland does not necessarily stay

:06:04.:06:08.

in Scotland. One story has been on the front page of every newspaper in

:06:09.:06:12.

the UK and around the world. Yes, the Duchess of Cambridge has another

:06:13.:06:17.

bun in the oven. I am not saying the Royals are worried about the union

:06:18.:06:20.

but I am authorised to tell you that if it is a girl she will be called

:06:21.:06:26.

Morag MacTavish Michael Windsor. But what sort of kingdom will he be born

:06:27.:06:35.

into? Will it include Scotland? Will Rangers still be in the second-tier

:06:36.:06:40.

division? After all, those most affected by next Thursday's vote

:06:41.:06:46.

will be today's babies. So we turned to actor, pro-independence

:06:47.:06:50.

activist, recent granny, Elaine C Smith. This is her takeover week. --

:06:51.:07:02.

her take of the week. Like Prince Charles I have recently

:07:03.:07:06.

become a grandparent. I think that is where any similarity between

:07:07.:07:10.

Prince Charles and I actually ends. But I am sure, like me, he found it

:07:11.:07:16.

a life changing, momentous, life affirming. That has made me even

:07:17.:07:21.

more determined to campaign for the yes vote, because I want to make

:07:22.:07:26.

this place better, for my grand daughter, Stella, and her parents,

:07:27.:07:29.

and for a lot of other people as well.

:07:30.:07:38.

When my daughter was pregnant, we did not know if it was a boy or a

:07:39.:07:44.

girl she was having. Then I read a statistic that chilled me to the

:07:45.:07:50.

bone. One male baby in every four born in Glasgow this year will not

:07:51.:07:55.

live until they are 65. I could not believe it. This is 2014. If this is

:07:56.:08:01.

Better Together, if this is the best of both worlds, then God help us.

:08:02.:08:15.

We all want to make this place better, but I am campaigning for a

:08:16.:08:19.

yes vote because I no longer believe it is possible for Westminster to do

:08:20.:08:24.

that. I think the time is right for Scotland to take the power back into

:08:25.:08:27.

our hands to make decisions that affect the people who live and work

:08:28.:08:32.

here. Will it be perfect? I doubt it. Is there a magic wand available?

:08:33.:08:37.

No, there isn't, but that is what being a grown-up country is all

:08:38.:08:41.

about, making mistakes and making wonderful choices as well. We just

:08:42.:08:53.

want to be grown-up, thanks. I have never seen a political

:08:54.:08:57.

campaign like this in my lifetime. The level of engagement from people

:08:58.:09:01.

in communities across Scotland has just been magical, actually. I love

:09:02.:09:06.

the fact that people in pubs and clubs are discussing politics,

:09:07.:09:12.

talking about ego membership. -- EU membership. I do hope Scotland

:09:13.:09:15.

doesn't miss this wonderful opportunity. I will take this. What

:09:16.:09:21.

currency will you be paying with today? The pound.

:09:22.:09:28.

From the children's boutique to our very own little boutique in the

:09:29.:09:32.

heart of Edinburgh, Elaine joins us now. Give her a warm welcome.

:09:33.:09:41.

APPLAUSE Charles, you heard what Elaine had

:09:42.:09:46.

to say. What do you say? Well, I don't think, in terms of sentiment,

:09:47.:09:50.

and this is something we need to bear in mind for a week today and

:09:51.:09:53.

the day after a week today, I don't think in terms of Scottish sentiment

:09:54.:09:58.

you would probably put a stamp between us. I think it is a matter

:09:59.:10:02.

of not whether Scotland could be independent. I never had an issue

:10:03.:10:05.

about that. It is whether we should be. You talk about children. I look

:10:06.:10:11.

at my life chances, growing up as a child, then a fitting from the

:10:12.:10:14.

National Health Service, growing up with institutions like the BBC,

:10:15.:10:20.

great achievements built without Borders and boundaries. I think the

:10:21.:10:23.

great thing that Scotland brings to the world, and I am sure you will

:10:24.:10:28.

agree, we have never been selfish. We have been a sharing people,

:10:29.:10:33.

sometimes out of necessity, sometimes out of opportunity, right

:10:34.:10:37.

round the world. I think we build more and get further and give more

:10:38.:10:42.

opportunities to the next generation by maintaining that sentiment and

:10:43.:10:46.

that sense. That is why I vote no. I vote no, positively, to build

:10:47.:10:51.

something for the future. It is a gamble that Scotland would be better

:10:52.:10:55.

off if it went independent, isn't it? I do not see it as a gamble that

:10:56.:11:02.

is not worth taking. I think voting no is a gamble, every bit as much of

:11:03.:11:06.

a gamble. I am looking down the line and seeing the prospect of a Tory

:11:07.:11:12.

-UKIP coalition with Boris Johnson as Prime Minister and Nigel Farage

:11:13.:11:15.

in Cabinet. What are you taking, Elaine? I have been told lots of

:11:16.:11:22.

stuff! That is on the horizon, that move to the right. It seems to me

:11:23.:11:28.

something that within Scotland that we are not really looking forward

:11:29.:11:32.

to. And the changes, the benefit cuts, the things coming down the

:11:33.:11:36.

line that will affect the poorest in Scotland, are on the horizon. You

:11:37.:11:41.

are right, we do agree on a great deal. I just no longer believe that

:11:42.:11:46.

Westminster can be fixed. I just don't believe there is the political

:11:47.:11:53.

will or desire to do it. Michael, the no campaign, after the YouGov

:11:54.:11:58.

poll, the no campaign has thrown just about everything at the yes

:11:59.:12:03.

campaign. But is that not just more of the fear factor? Are they not

:12:04.:12:09.

just playing on fear? Well, obviously, if the parties in England

:12:10.:12:13.

really had wanted devolution max, they would have started to roll it

:12:14.:12:18.

out after 2011 and by now it would be in place, so it is hard for them

:12:19.:12:21.

to say, this is what we wanted in the first place. They would have

:12:22.:12:25.

consulted the people of Scotland and the British Parliament. There would

:12:26.:12:27.

have been a properly considered plan. I think it is evident from

:12:28.:12:33.

what you are saying that much of this is about wanting to have only

:12:34.:12:40.

left-wing government in Scotland. There are over 200,000 Tories in

:12:41.:12:45.

Scotland. Let me make the point. It is about having left-wing

:12:46.:12:49.

governments in Scotland. Two words of caution. First, when you talk

:12:50.:12:53.

about independence forever, that is a short-term view. The Tories were

:12:54.:12:58.

powerful in Scotland in the 1950s. These things can change. Secondly,

:12:59.:13:02.

Europe is full of left-wing governments that have had to do

:13:03.:13:05.

right wing things because they have been obliged to follow austerity

:13:06.:13:10.

programmes by the EU. Left-wing governments across the Mediterranean

:13:11.:13:13.

had to do right wing things. Scotland has found itself in the UK

:13:14.:13:17.

relatively protected against austerity, by comparison with

:13:18.:13:21.

Ireland, Spain, Greece or Italy. And I think one of the consequences of

:13:22.:13:24.

Scotland having to live entirely within its own means is that the

:13:25.:13:29.

government in Scotland, which will be of the left, either SNP or

:13:30.:13:33.

Labour, but following more austere and right-wing policies than they

:13:34.:13:39.

have been used to. Coming back to the YouGov poll that you mentioned,

:13:40.:13:44.

the reason why that showed, for the first time, an increase and the yes

:13:45.:13:49.

vote being ahead of the no vote was because Labour voters were peeling

:13:50.:13:54.

away from Labour, as Elaine has done herself, and going for the

:13:55.:13:59.

Nationalists and for independence. So why don't Scottish Labour voters

:14:00.:14:02.

listen to Labour politicians any more? Some of them do. But there is

:14:03.:14:10.

no question. The SNP in London have told me look at the number of

:14:11.:14:13.

undecided voters. When they break, they will break for us. But Labour

:14:14.:14:19.

voters have been breaking for Elaine's side. They were Labour

:14:20.:14:26.

undecided. I think there is an underlying issue across the

:14:27.:14:30.

country, actually, of cynicism and alienation from Westminster elites.

:14:31.:14:35.

I think it is a little unfair of Michael, who is always fair, to say

:14:36.:14:38.

this is about having a left-wing government. This is about the

:14:39.:14:42.

Scottish people being able to choose their own government. Is that a good

:14:43.:14:48.

thing? I have a lot of sympathy for it. But is it a good thing? Elaine

:14:49.:14:54.

said she wanted to be free from Boris Johnson. Mind you, so do I!

:14:55.:14:59.

Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage in government. But it is about the

:15:00.:15:05.

democratic deficit. It is the fact that as a nation we have been voting

:15:06.:15:09.

differently and not getting the government we voted for. For 17

:15:10.:15:14.

years you had a Labour government you voted for. I didn't vote for

:15:15.:15:22.

them. I wonder if the campaign, which had this boost at the weekend,

:15:23.:15:28.

has perhaps peaked too soon. There is a new YouGov poll out tomorrow in

:15:29.:15:33.

the times and in the Sun, the same organisation, and that puts the no

:15:34.:15:39.

vote at 52 points and the yes vote at 48. It is nip and tuck, very

:15:40.:15:46.

close. But that doesn't suggest a momentum on the yes side.

:15:47.:15:53.

Well, I think from where we have come and given the level of

:15:54.:16:00.

negativity, we have had one Sunday newspaper in Scotland supporting the

:16:01.:16:06.

yes campaign, we have a barrage, it's project terror we are getting,

:16:07.:16:11.

and for us even to be within spitting distance is a remarkable

:16:12.:16:18.

achievement. And even with the, in this latest poll, the no ahead once

:16:19.:16:22.

again, it's in the statisticical margin of error, meaning the yes

:16:23.:16:28.

haven't got a momentum yet, as in voting in a referenda, it's it's

:16:29.:16:32.

still wide-open, I would suggest. You put me on the spot in this room

:16:33.:16:38.

two months ago and mine were ahead a few points and there were raised

:16:39.:16:42.

eyebrows. I said it will two right to the wire and it will be tight on

:16:43.:16:46.

the night and people were saying no and I said, this isn't a

:16:47.:16:50.

conventional election, this is a once in a lifetime referendum of a

:16:51.:16:54.

type we've never had. A whole lot of people are going to vote. Good God,

:16:55.:16:59.

we have seen 97% registration who never normally vote. Human nature

:17:00.:17:05.

suggests, if all these folk aren't voting before, and I'm not talking

:17:06.:17:09.

about the firstving time voters, but people who're going on to the

:17:10.:17:12.

register, they can't be that enamoured with the voting system, so

:17:13.:17:16.

I suspect human nature being what it is, they are there for a purpose,

:17:17.:17:21.

which is the vote for the most dramatic change. Within 55-45,

:17:22.:17:25.

that's always been my range for what the outcome will be and it's all to

:17:26.:17:30.

play for with a week to go. Does it make sense to come out with the

:17:31.:17:35.

extra home rule stuff only after the polls started going against your

:17:36.:17:40.

side? Oh, no, far better to have had this a year ago. Political parties

:17:41.:17:45.

are democratic organisations internally, they take time. You've

:17:46.:17:49.

got three things that will eventually be compromised into one.

:17:50.:17:53.

But actually, after the cause, it's to be remembered, say the result is

:17:54.:17:58.

no for arguments sake but you want to push that agenda rule forward, a

:17:59.:18:04.

more federal direction I hope for the UK, the lesson from Scotland is,

:18:05.:18:12.

you will need to go outside the political parties, and get the

:18:13.:18:17.

people who voted yes, get them involved, in a wider civic Scotland

:18:18.:18:21.

to make it stick. That will be the big challenge.

:18:22.:18:25.

We'll know in a week. Despite tomorrow eats polling, what do you

:18:26.:18:28.

think? I have no idea. I'm not a politician so... That's why you gave

:18:29.:18:33.

me an honest answer! Exactly. Thank you very much! But at the start of

:18:34.:18:40.

this, I wanted obviously to win and I am campaign fog a yes vote, but I

:18:41.:18:45.

always wanted to be close -- wanted it to be close. This has been like

:18:46.:18:49.

nothing I've ever seen in my lifetime, it's wonderful.

:18:50.:18:52.

Thank you very much. CHEERING AND

:18:53.:19:02.

APPLAUSE It's late, very late, almost as late as a 12 point

:19:03.:19:08.

timetable for home rule designed by the former great leader Gordon

:19:09.:19:10.

Brown, don't let the thought of that put you to sleep because waiting in

:19:11.:19:16.

the wings, actor and campaigner Brian Cox and historian Neil

:19:17.:19:19.

Ferguson. They'll be with us to discuss whether the UK's days are

:19:20.:19:23.

finally over. Remember, if you can puts up with all the other idiots,

:19:24.:19:29.

we are all over the Twitter, Fleecebook and interweb. Carry on

:19:30.:19:32.

dancing? Give us something to raise our spirits.

:19:33.:19:52.

APPLAUSE Now, there's a genuine sense of

:19:53.:20:01.

excitement, tension and apprehension in the air here in Scotland with the

:20:02.:20:05.

big vote only one week away. We wanted to get a sense of how much is

:20:06.:20:10.

at stake, separate the half baked from the half-truths sowe turned to

:20:11.:20:14.

BBC Scotland's Sarah Smith. This is our round-up of the referendum week.

:20:15.:20:35.

It is such an exciting, nail-biting week in Scottish politics. I

:20:36.:20:41.

couldn't resist taking part in the great Scottish Bake Off but I am

:20:42.:20:46.

going to need to pick up a few tips. The competition is getting tough in

:20:47.:20:49.

the Scottish kitchen with some polls putting the two sides neck and neck.

:20:50.:20:55.

Recently, the No Campaign's been looking as messy as a baked Alaska

:20:56.:20:59.

that's been left out of the freezer. We've had to call in a previous

:21:00.:21:03.

winner to sort things out, Gordon Brown. He's announced a new tame

:21:04.:21:07.

table for extra powers to be devolved in the Scottish Parliament

:21:08.:21:12.

if there is a no vote next week. We are proposing that over the next few

:21:13.:21:18.

months, we agree a programme that the Scottish Parliament should have

:21:19.:21:25.

increased powers, in welfare, social and economic policy and in finance.

:21:26.:21:32.

Contestants are always running out of time. But now it's better

:21:33.:21:36.

together who look like they are panicking, coming up with this

:21:37.:21:39.

last-minute offer of more powers for the Scottish Parliament. Lots of

:21:40.:21:43.

voters I've spoke to say they are reluctantly voting yes because what

:21:44.:21:48.

they really wanted was more devolution all along. Is this late

:21:49.:21:51.

offer going to be enough to change their minds? I'm not sure. Is it

:21:52.:21:56.

really a last-minute show stopper? Or more of a half baked idea?

:21:57.:22:03.

A panicky Prime Minister hoisted a saltire flag above Downing Street,

:22:04.:22:12.

but it promptly fell down again. He cancelled Prime Minister's Questions

:22:13.:22:15.

so he and Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband could come to Scotland to try to

:22:16.:22:20.

flatten out the worries of voters who've been tempted by the tasty

:22:21.:22:23.

treats of the yes campaign. The Prime Minister used some words that

:22:24.:22:30.

will never cross Mary Berry's lips. People feel like it's like a general

:22:31.:22:43.

election, you make a decision in five years' time it can be changed.

:22:44.:22:47.

Solidarity, social justice, together not alone. From the head, from the

:22:48.:22:55.

heart, from the soul, vote no in this referendum and let's change

:22:56.:23:01.

Britain together. The three Westminster party leaders want us to

:23:02.:23:04.

believe that they are all offering devolution plans which are all the

:23:05.:23:08.

same size and shape, but the truth is, they don't actually agree on

:23:09.:23:11.

what extra powers to give the Scottish Parliament which makes the

:23:12.:23:15.

whole thing a lot less credible. They didn't even want to be seen

:23:16.:23:21.

together up here in Scotland visiting entirely different cities.

:23:22.:23:23.

So much for better together. Alex Salmond for his part said he was

:23:24.:23:27.

delighted to have them here. What we are seeing today on the other side

:23:28.:23:31.

is team Westminster jetting up to Scotland for the day because they

:23:32.:23:34.

are panicking in the campaign. Alex Salmond thinks he's got the

:23:35.:23:39.

winning recipe but he could yet develop a soggy bottom.

:23:40.:23:45.

Several big businesses said they may move their operations outside of

:23:46.:23:49.

Scotland if there's a yes vote. Combined with some less than helpful

:23:50.:23:53.

comments from the Governor of the Bank of England, Salmond's opponents

:23:54.:23:57.

are saying yesterday was his own personal Black Wednesday.

:23:58.:24:01.

I think the problem lies entirely with the no-campaign for this reason

:24:02.:24:05.

- they have now been caught red handed as being part of a campaign

:24:06.:24:07.

of scaremongering. My secret ingredient is all very

:24:08.:24:20.

hush-hush, but what's no secret is that whatever happens with the

:24:21.:24:25.

referendum, Britain is a country -- as a country will have been changed

:24:26.:24:31.

for ever. If it's a no-vote, the sweeteners offered by thedown-onist

:24:32.:24:34.

mean the Scottish Parliament will be able to tax, spend and borrow more

:24:35.:24:38.

than ever before. It can't be long before other parts of Britain ask

:24:39.:24:41.

for a larger slice of the constitutional cake. If it's a yes

:24:42.:24:48.

vote, then everything changes. Torturous negotiations will begin

:24:49.:24:50.

over everything from what currency Scotland will use to when Trident

:24:51.:24:54.

nuclear missiles have to leave the country. And a big question mark

:24:55.:24:58.

will hang over whether David Cameron can keep his job as Prime Minister.

:24:59.:25:04.

Now though, it's my moment of reckoning.

:25:05.:25:13.

Unfortunately, that is bland. Did you make the fondant? No, I must

:25:14.:25:16.

admit, I didn't. Just perfect. Lovely.

:25:17.:25:24.

I'm rather pleased with my efforts on the great Scottish Bake Off. Of

:25:25.:25:28.

course, by this time next week, we could be talking about the great

:25:29.:25:32.

Scottish breakoff. Sarah Smith at the Edinburgh School

:25:33.:25:37.

of Food Wine and she produced this and sent it along for us tonight.

:25:38.:25:42.

We'll scoff them later. We are thrilled to be joined by the man

:25:43.:25:47.

many claim is the power behind Alex Salmond. MSP superstar, welcome to

:25:48.:25:59.

the programme! That poll of the weekend which put

:26:00.:26:09.

you ahead for the first time, only came out as there was a sense of

:26:10.:26:15.

momentum but since then you have had people saying you are exaggerating

:26:16.:26:20.

the size of the oil, the companies agreeing, the Royal Bank of Scotland

:26:21.:26:23.

saying it would have to move its headquarters out of the country,

:26:24.:26:28.

people moving their savings. Are you not now on the defensive? Thank you

:26:29.:26:33.

for that introduction which was undoubtedly the kiss of death of my

:26:34.:26:38.

career. Thank you. Secondly, you are right, they are throwing everything

:26:39.:26:43.

at us. Westminster politicians are throwing Nigel Farage at us

:26:44.:26:47.

tomorrow. It could be count Dracula tomorrow, who knows. I am told he is

:26:48.:26:54.

being lined up as we speak. The fact that the yes side are celebrating a

:26:55.:26:58.

poll that's come out today that puts us within the margin of error is

:26:59.:27:04.

incredible when we were 22 points behind four weeks ago. Actually the

:27:05.:27:13.

Chief Executive said there is a contingency plan to maybe move their

:27:14.:27:16.

office to London but they had no intention of relocating any on

:27:17.:27:22.

vaguses, and -- operations. If you move your headquarters out of the

:27:23.:27:26.

country you are named after, it's not great. It's a contingency plan

:27:27.:27:33.

because of uncertainty. In case you win? ! No, because it's uncertainty.

:27:34.:27:40.

What we have seen today is an orchestrated campaign of uncertainty

:27:41.:27:43.

in the Scottish economy from the Prime Minister who himself met the

:27:44.:27:46.

supermarket chiefs and pressured them into trying to scare Scottish

:27:47.:27:52.

voters into voting no. I wouldn't go too far down what route you are

:27:53.:27:58.

going, but let me ask you this; the yes campaign accused the No Campaign

:27:59.:28:04.

of scaremongering and we remember originally within the project here,

:28:05.:28:07.

so I take that point, but couldn't you be accused of being relentlessly

:28:08.:28:13.

optimistic that every problem, even the Governor of the Bank of England,

:28:14.:28:17.

who really doesn't have a dog in this fight, throws things up. He

:28:18.:28:21.

doesn't know what he's talking about, there's nothing gets in the

:28:22.:28:27.

way of the optimism? Negativity and scaremongering is putting it mildly.

:28:28.:28:33.

Lightning bolts are falling. But in terms of the optimism, I would

:28:34.:28:37.

rather be a relentless optimist. I would rather have hopes over the

:28:38.:28:42.

politics of hope. Look what happened to Obama. He campaigned on hope. He

:28:43.:28:48.

now has the lowest ratings of any President of recent times. I would

:28:49.:28:54.

much rather, and I genuine believe the politics of hope will always

:28:55.:28:57.

beat the politics of fear. Speaking of fear. How seriously, Michael, do

:28:58.:29:03.

you take the Tory MPs in Westminster who said if the yes side wins, Mr

:29:04.:29:09.

Cameron should resign? Well, it would certainly from David

:29:10.:29:12.

Cameron's point of view be a calamity. First of all, because for

:29:13.:29:16.

a Conservative Prime Minister to lose the United Kingdom would be

:29:17.:29:21.

regarded as calamitous in terms of a Unionist Party and even though the

:29:22.:29:25.

Conservatives would have an advantage if Scotland left the

:29:26.:29:28.

union, David Cameron has absolutely set his mind against that. The

:29:29.:29:34.

second part he has is that crucial decisions have been made, for

:29:35.:29:37.

example the decision to withdraw the third part of the question about

:29:38.:29:43.

devolution max from the ballot and those judgments rule out the

:29:44.:29:46.

question. So I think it would be a very serious matter for him indeed.

:29:47.:29:49.

How much panic is there in the Labour Party? If you lose this

:29:50.:29:56.

referendum, you in the end lose 40 seats at least, maybe more, in

:29:57.:29:58.

Westminster? My line at the start of the program

:29:59.:30:29.

was, headless chickens and I'm sticking to that. If Scotland gets a

:30:30.:30:34.

vote, as things stand, in the next general election, and your party

:30:35.:30:38.

could win on the basis of Scottish votes from people who're about to

:30:39.:30:41.

become foreigners, how would that work? That's possible. Could you

:30:42.:30:51.

form a Government on that basis? Let me just say that we have won

:30:52.:30:54.

elections in England without Scottish votes. We could delay until

:30:55.:31:10.

2016. But that will not happen. It has been spoken about. The first

:31:11.:31:14.

year would be taken up with constitutional stuff anyway. You

:31:15.:31:17.

could not appoint a single Scottish MP to the government, because the

:31:18.:31:21.

Westminster government's main job would be to draw up its side of the

:31:22.:31:26.

divorce settlement. Your terms are in the White Paper. You could not

:31:27.:31:29.

put Scottish MPs in a government which was to go shaking with his

:31:30.:31:34.

Scottish Government on divorce. It would be like having a wife or

:31:35.:31:38.

husband on both sides of the divorce settlement. That is true. The House

:31:39.:31:44.

of Lords made that point. You could either delay the general election

:31:45.:31:48.

or, as some Tories have said, you could say that reason Scottish MPs

:31:49.:31:53.

can't vote on English matters. Or they conclude negotiations before

:31:54.:31:58.

the general election. It might put pressure on them to do that. If you

:31:59.:32:03.

are a conservative, because of a point you make, you might want to.

:32:04.:32:10.

When they separated Czechoslovakia into the Czech Republic and Slovakia

:32:11.:32:14.

it took 31 treaties and 121 Acts of Parliament. If you think this lot

:32:15.:32:18.

could do that by May, you are on something. Slightly different from

:32:19.:32:26.

Czechoslovakia. The clear precedent was that Ireland was created and all

:32:27.:32:32.

these things were sorted out. Charles, was it helpful for your

:32:33.:32:36.

side to bring Gordon Brown into the campaign? Yes, absolutely. It was

:32:37.:32:42.

helpful first of all because there has been a long-standing recognition

:32:43.:32:45.

that these traditional Labour voters were liable to go off and vote for

:32:46.:32:50.

the yes side of the ticket on this one, and clearly there has been

:32:51.:32:54.

movement in that direction. Gordon Brown gets a bit of a bad press. He

:32:55.:32:59.

did deliver for Labour, in terms of votes at the last UK general

:33:00.:33:03.

election in Scotland, a tremendous result. He put on a lot of support

:33:04.:33:07.

compared with Tony Blair previously, so he resonates. Most importantly,

:33:08.:33:12.

looking to the future, the initiative he has come forward with,

:33:13.:33:15.

and I agree with Michael that it is a bit Alice through the looking

:33:16.:33:19.

Glass, to say the least, with one week to go, but this initiative is

:33:20.:33:24.

actually the most clear-sighted thing, and the challenge to all of

:33:25.:33:28.

us on the reformist side, to get through the finishing tape and

:33:29.:33:34.

beyond. Good to see you. Enough of this tedious political chat. Show us

:33:35.:33:36.

some genuine talent. APPLAUSE Amid the sound and fury

:33:37.:34:05.

surrounding the referendum debate, spare a thought for Douglas

:34:06.:34:08.

Carswell. The former Tory MP jumped a sinking

:34:09.:34:13.

ship this summer to join Nigel Farage's merry band of political

:34:14.:34:16.

pirates in the United Kingdom Independence party. Of course, if

:34:17.:34:22.

the Scots vote yes next week, he could find himself standing for a

:34:23.:34:26.

party named after an outdated concept that no longer exists. A bit

:34:27.:34:32.

like the Chinese commonest party, or Ed Miliband's Labour Party. All the

:34:33.:34:40.

Scottish Tory party. That is why we have decided to look at the

:34:41.:34:43.

consequences for all of us and put the United Kingdom in this week's

:34:44.:34:52.

spotlight. What is grey, cold and more than 300

:34:53.:34:58.

years old? You probably think the average UKIP member. Close, but it

:34:59.:35:03.

is the UK, and it could still be divided. If Scotland decides to go

:35:04.:35:09.

alone, what might become of our shared institutions, the BBC, the

:35:10.:35:15.

Armed Forces, Team GB? The SNP claim that divorce can be amicable and an

:35:16.:35:19.

independent Scotland could still be a partner with the rest of Britain.

:35:20.:35:23.

We continue to be a part of the British Isles, but on the basis of

:35:24.:35:29.

equality. About how easy will it be to give up 300 years of shared

:35:30.:35:34.

economy, history and culture? Boris Johnson thinks it will be a

:35:35.:35:37.

catastrophe and we will lose a fundamental part of our identity. As

:35:38.:35:42.

the polls come closer and the result harder to call, what would happen to

:35:43.:35:49.

us if the UK lost the Scots? Would a reduced UK be OK, or will the bonds

:35:50.:35:55.

that bind us be lost forever? We are joined by Niall Ferguson and Brian

:35:56.:36:04.

Cox. Welcome to you both. Niall Ferguson, if it is a yes vote,

:36:05.:36:11.

sum up the impact on the rest of the UK. The economic impact would be

:36:12.:36:19.

biggest in Scotland but it would be present in England. I don't think

:36:20.:36:23.

this is mainly about economics. I think this would profoundly alter

:36:24.:36:28.

not just the flag, but the way in which the world regards this

:36:29.:36:31.

country. Some people still call it Great Britain. That was a term

:36:32.:36:36.

invented by a Scotsman, James the sixth, when he became James the

:36:37.:36:39.

first of England. Great Britain would be dead. You could call it the

:36:40.:36:44.

United Kingdom of Lesser Britain and Northern Ireland but that would be a

:36:45.:36:48.

misnomer, so there will be a fundamental reassessment of the

:36:49.:36:51.

United Kingdom if this happens. From the advantage point of the United

:36:52.:36:56.

States, where I live, the expats, those who think of themselves as

:36:57.:37:00.

Scots, is one of bewilderment. We cannot understand why this is

:37:01.:37:02.

happening, and nor can most Americans. You want independence,

:37:03.:37:09.

but do you have any fears or regrets that if Scotland goes that way that

:37:10.:37:12.

the rest of the United Kingdom would be seriously diminished in the eyes

:37:13.:37:17.

of the world? I think independence is only a beginning. I think it is a

:37:18.:37:23.

pathway to somewhere else. I think it is a pathway towards English

:37:24.:37:27.

independence. Everybody says it is a terrible thing. It is not an end

:37:28.:37:33.

stop, it is the beginning of something. Of course, we are so

:37:34.:37:37.

linked to England, we will not cut ourselves off just like that. And I

:37:38.:37:42.

don't think, personally, that independence means separation. I

:37:43.:37:46.

think it means a new inclusiveness, a whole redesigning of what is going

:37:47.:37:55.

on. But would we regret that Britain would be diminished? I do think it

:37:56.:37:59.

would be. Britain has to reassess itself. It is diminished at the

:38:00.:38:02.

moment because the political system is clearly not working. The three

:38:03.:38:08.

Amigos have arrived, Martin Short, Steve Martin and Chevy Chase have

:38:09.:38:12.

come with sombreros and kilts, and they are here to sort us all out.

:38:13.:38:17.

The patronage and condescension of the last four weeks has been utterly

:38:18.:38:21.

bewildering, because they haven't understood who we are. As a people.

:38:22.:38:27.

They simply have not understood it. I find it kind of shocking. Niall

:38:28.:38:34.

Ferguson. I wonder whether those who are planning to vote yes understand

:38:35.:38:38.

properly who we are as a people. It seems one of the confusions is to

:38:39.:38:41.

think only in terms of the people who live in Scotland. Most people

:38:42.:38:46.

who regard themselves as Scots do not live in Scotland. The number of

:38:47.:38:50.

expats fastly exceeds the 5 million people who live here. And those who

:38:51.:38:57.

live in Scotland will be affected. Not just those people. This is where

:38:58.:39:02.

I think Brian is unrealistic. Anybody who has been through a

:39:03.:39:06.

divorce knows that they are rarely amicable. It is hardly likely the

:39:07.:39:10.

English will say, that is OK, good luck, go and have your nice

:39:11.:39:15.

Scandinavian Scotland. Don't worry about the debt, have the pound, no

:39:16.:39:18.

problem. The problems will begin with the yes vote if it happens. It

:39:19.:39:23.

will be acrimonious and protracted, and for those of us who consider

:39:24.:39:27.

ourselves Scots, in Britain, in the United Kingdom, we do not see a

:39:28.:39:32.

conflict between those identities but see them as reinforcing. This

:39:33.:39:36.

means statelessness. I will no longer feel any -- no longer feel

:39:37.:39:41.

able to feel British. I have remained a British citizen. But also

:39:42.:39:48.

an American citizen. No, I work there but I am still able to

:39:49.:39:53.

citizen. If it is a yes vote, I will apply for US citizenship that day.

:39:54.:40:07.

And I went the alone. -- I will not be alone. I am an expat and I

:40:08.:40:13.

believe in an independent Scotland. Yesterday, I spent time in Dundee

:40:14.:40:17.

and I have seen people who are disenfranchised, who have fallen

:40:18.:40:22.

through the net, the grassroots who have been bewildered for the last 30

:40:23.:40:26.

years. In Dundee, in the last two and a half weeks, over 7000 people

:40:27.:40:31.

have gone back on the social register. And that has been unheard

:40:32.:40:36.

of. Those people have been off the social register since Margaret

:40:37.:40:41.

Thatcher's poll tax. I think that is astonishing. The people I met

:40:42.:40:44.

yesterday are saying, we just want something that is our own, something

:40:45.:40:48.

we can actually take part in, be responsible for, because we have

:40:49.:40:54.

been treated like children for so long, that we want that. Michael, it

:40:55.:40:59.

is clear that the rest of the UK has really just closed its eyes and

:41:00.:41:04.

hoped that this goes away. If we wake up, and I will not because I

:41:05.:41:10.

will be up all night doing the programme. The drugs you gave me

:41:11.:41:18.

will help! And I can get you more. I know that because you Hollywood

:41:19.:41:22.

chaps are big on these things. The contingency planning will have to

:41:23.:41:25.

have a standing start on the morning of the 19th. I imagine officials in

:41:26.:41:31.

Scotland and London have been working on contingency plans,

:41:32.:41:33.

because that is what civil servants are for. There are lots of things I

:41:34.:41:38.

do not know yet about what the Scottish attitude would be after

:41:39.:41:43.

independence. Niall Ferguson made the point that it was called Great

:41:44.:41:47.

Britain a century before the union of the two parliaments. It is

:41:48.:41:49.

perfectly obvious that you could have this -- the name Great Britain

:41:50.:41:53.

without the parliaments being united. I do not know what the

:41:54.:41:57.

attitude would be to the Queen. Whether the Queen would be, as the

:41:58.:42:01.

Queen of Canada is, or whether she would continue as the Queen of the

:42:02.:42:05.

United Kingdom. Those are different relationships with the monarchy. I

:42:06.:42:08.

don't even know yet that the separation of the parliaments means

:42:09.:42:12.

the end of the United Kingdom. It certainly does not necessarily mean

:42:13.:42:16.

the end of Great Britain. There are all sorts of things that are not yet

:42:17.:42:20.

known. However, England is fastly bigger than Scotland, -- much bigger

:42:21.:42:28.

than Scotland. So it is a bigger experiment for Scotland. It may be

:42:29.:42:32.

bigger but it is not as good. Whatever. That told him. Losing a

:42:33.:42:40.

hand is less traumatic than losing the body attached to it. I was

:42:41.:42:47.

amazed at Professor Ferguson's argument that it is unfair on

:42:48.:42:51.

expats. Whatever you think, this is about people that live in Scotland

:42:52.:42:56.

and their future. People who have gone overseas and clearly are doing

:42:57.:42:59.

very well are not really in a position to tell Scottish residents

:43:00.:43:07.

what they should do. The point about Scottish identity is that it has not

:43:08.:43:11.

been a narrow parochialism. We have been a global people. That is what

:43:12.:43:16.

we are sacrificing, going down a route that is foreign to Scottish

:43:17.:43:20.

tradition, whatever you residents of Scotland may say. That is your lot.

:43:21.:43:27.

Thanks to both of you. For us, there is still half a bottle left in

:43:28.:43:33.

Diane's minibar, so the after party starts now. How did she get the

:43:34.:43:38.

presidential suite gesture Marco, it is in the bed-and-breakfast! Bags to

:43:39.:43:43.

everybody for coming out tonight. God knows what you were thinking.

:43:44.:43:46.

And thank you too many viewers who are still awake and watching. We

:43:47.:43:50.

will be back with our new series in two weeks, when we could be living

:43:51.:43:55.

in a very, very different country, or not. Good night. Don't let the

:43:56.:43:57.

referendum bite.

:43:58.:44:02.

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS