Conservatives - With Andrew Neil and Bethan Rhys Roberts Ask the Leader


Conservatives - With Andrew Neil and Bethan Rhys Roberts

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Thank you for your company here in Rio - it's time now to hand

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you over to Rhos near Wrexham and to Bethan Rhys Roberts

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All this week, we are putting top politicians on the spot. We start

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with the Conservatives. In 30 minutes, this audience has the

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questions for the man who represents Wales at Theresa May's top table.

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First, let's hear from the Prime Minister, who has been speaking to

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Andrew Neil. Welcome to Ask The Leader.

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Prime Minister, you started this campaign with a huge,

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It's now down to single digits in some polls.

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Well, Andrew, there's only one poll that counts

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in any election campaign, as I'm sure you know

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from your long experience, and that's the one that takes place

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on the 8th of June when people have actually cast their votes.

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When they have made that choice, which is a crucial choice -

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I think this genuinely is the most crucial election I have seen

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in my lifetime because it's about getting Brexit negotiations

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right, getting the right deal for Britain from Europe,

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and, going beyond that, a plan for a stronger

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And I believe that I've set out my vision for that strength

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in negotiations and that stronger plan and the choice is,

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who's going to be doing those negotiations, me or Jeremy Corbyn?

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So why do you think your lead is narrowing?

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As I say, the only poll that counts is the one that takes

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What I'm doing, what I and my team are doing, is going out around

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the country talking to people, hearing from them, and talking

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to them about this crucial choice that the country will face

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Because, you know, so much depends on us getting those

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It's not just the next five years but it's beyond the next five years.

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Our standard of living, our place in the world.

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And you need a strong hand in those negotiations and you need strength

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in those negotiations, and, as I say, there's only

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going to be a choice between two people as to who is sitting opposite

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those 27 European countries, me or Jeremy Corbyn.

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But could you be in a little bit of trouble now?

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You were so sure of winning that you thought you could get away

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with a load of uncosted and half-baked policies.

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No, I've never taken anything for granted about this election.

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I called this election because I think it is important

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that the country has certainty over the next five years,

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has the strong and stable leadership that I think it needs,

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as I've just explained, particularly for those

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And what I saw was that other parties were trying to frustrate,

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promising to try to frustrate those Brexit negotiations,

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so I thought it was right to call an election and ask people

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But your policies are uncosted and half-baked, aren't they?

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What we have set out in the manifesto is a series

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of policies which address what I see and what I think are

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the five great challenges that we face as a country.

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What I have tried to be is to show people that actually

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if we are going to build that stronger Britain, we have got to be

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willing to face up to these challenges and fix them.

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Well, let's look at social care for the elderly.

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Four days ago, your manifesto rejected a cap on social care costs.

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Nothing has changed from the principles on social care

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policy that we set out in our manifesto.

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Let me just explain, if I may, why I think it's important,

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why this is one of the great challenges we face,

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In ten years' time there will be 2 million more

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Our social care system will collapse unless we do something about it.

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We could try and pretend the problem isn't there and hope

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that it will go away, but it won't.

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We could play politics with it, as the Labour Party is doing.

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Or we could show how we can fix it and that's what I've done.

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Jeremy Hunt, on the day you launched your manifesto,

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last Thursday, the Health Secretary, he said, yes, we are dropping

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the cap and we are being completely explicit in our manifesto,

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Of course Andrew Dilnot had brought forward previous

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proposals for a cap, but Jeremy also went on to say

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that what we wanted to have was a system

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that was fair to all generations, and that's what we're doing.

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Your manifesto rejects a cap, it gives a reason why

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you don't want a cap, now you're going to have a cap.

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You need to be honest, I would suggest, and tell

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the British people you've changed your mind.

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First of all, Andrew, I'm being absolutely honest

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with the British people about the big challenge that we face

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and absolutely honest with them about the need for us to deal

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with this now, to start fixing it now.

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Now what I've put forward is a social care policy which means

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that people won't have to worry if they are sitting there month

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after month, worrying about money coming out of their bank account

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to pay for their care, worrying about how long that will last.

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They won't have to worry because they won't have to be paying

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They won't have to worry that they're going to have to sell

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And they'll be able to pass ?100,000 onto their families when they die,

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What I've done today is I've seen the scaremongering, frankly,

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that we've seen over the weekend, I've seen the way that Jeremy Corbyn

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wants to sneak into Number Ten by playing on the fears

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of old and vulnerable people and I've clarified what we will be

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putting in the green paper which I set out in the manifesto.

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So Jeremy Corbyn is now rewriting your manifesto?

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That's what it sounds like, you've reacted to him.

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Andrew, we have not rewritten the manifesto.

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The principles on which we have based our social care policy remain

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We need to ensure that we have long-term

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We need to be able to ensure we can fund social care for the future.

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We're doing the honest thing about putting a proposal

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to the British people and they will make

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How can it be honest, Prime Minister, to reject a cap

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in your manifesto and four days later say, we're

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What we set out in our manifesto was a series of principles.

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It was to say to people, first of all, this is a big issue,

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we need to address it, and we are being honest that we must

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I'm not going to bury my head in the sand, I'm not

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going to play politics with it, which is what Jeremy

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You're just going to change your mind.

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What I've seen is that people have been worried by some of the things

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that the Labour Party has been claiming, and others indeed,

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the Liberal Democrats too, about what our policy means.

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In some cases the complete opposite of what our policy is.

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But when Labour said you were against a cap,

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they were right until today, you were against the cap.

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What we have done is clarified what will be in this green paper.

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Here is our social care policy, here is what we're doing.

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We want to protect people, we want people not to have the worry,

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day to day, about being able to pay for their social care.

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That's why we are fixing this problem, that's why we're

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What I have said today is I've heard the scaremongering,

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I've seen how Labour want to try to sneak

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into Number Ten, Jeremy Corbyn wants to try to get into Number Ten

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by playing on fears, by misrepresenting our policy.

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What we're doing is ensuring people will not have to sell their house

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They won't have to worry about those monthly bills for their care,

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and they'll be able to protect more money than they have been

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But it's a cap on lifetime social costs which worry people as well.

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I mean, this must be the first time in modern history that a party has

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actually broken a manifesto policy before the election!

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What we have done, Andrew, I set out in my manifesto

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the challenges that we need to address as a government.

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And I've been very clear with people.

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There are two ways you can approach this issue.

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You can say to people, we have an ageing society,

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our system will collapse unless we do something about it,

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You can ignore it, put your head in the sand, or you can try

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I think it's only fair to people to say, this is a problem

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and we need to fix it now, that's what I want to do.

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I want to fix it so people don't have the worry

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Now that you're in favour of a cap, can you give us an idea

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of what the cap might be, the amount we'll have

:08:42.:08:44.

What we're going to do, as we said in our manifesto,

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is publish, we referred to the green paper, of course a green paper,

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many people may not realise a green paper is a consultation.

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So we want to take people's views, the views of charities,

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the views of others, on how the system

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What I've said today is that we will have in that

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consultation that concept of an absolute limit on the costs

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So we're protecting people for the future, we're providing

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a system that provides sustainability in our social

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care for the future, and we got an ageing population

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and we need to do this otherwise our system will collapse.

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Why did you not put the consultation on a cap in your manifesto?

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Instead, your manifesto rejects a cap.

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No, what we've put in the manifesto is that we will have a consultation

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and the principles on which our social care policy will be based.

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That, I think, was the right thing to do.

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Now, if we are re-elected, we will have that consultation.

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But I think the key issue is that there's a choice

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here between parties, a choice between Jeremy Corbyn,

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who is playing politics with this, doesn't want to address this issue

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You're not playing politics with this, Prime Minister?

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You're now in favour of a cap because of a backlash,

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No, Andrew, what I'm worried about is the way in which there have

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been fake claims about our policy which are deliberately trying

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What I've done is addressed that issue today and I'm very clear that

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whoever is in government, whoever is Prime Minister,

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whether it is me or Jeremy Corbyn, we need to address this issue,

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we need to fix it and that's what I'm going to do.

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Because many people have said your manifesto is quite vague

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when it comes to how you're going to pay for your spending

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pledges so let's see if we can get some clarity tonight.

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How are you going to pay for the extra ?8 billion for the NHS?

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Andrew, when I go around the country and talk to people about what we're

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going to do in government, what people want to know is,

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are we actually going to have the strong economy that

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enables us to pay for the NHS and pay for the public

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In our manifesto we have put some examples of how we're

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going to change the way money is used, on winter fuel

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payments, for example, we will means test that.

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I asked about the extra money for the NHS, where will the extra

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Andrew, what we have done, if you look at our record,

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is shown that we can put record sums of money into the National

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Health Service at the same time as we are ensuring

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that we are building that strong economy.

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And that's what we'll do for the future.

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Our economic credibility is not in doubt.

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It is the Labour Party who is in the dock when it comes

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No, but the ability to answer this question may be

:11:31.:11:33.

Where will the extra 8 billion for the NHS come from?

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What we have done over the last six years, six, seven years,

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and what we will do in the future is ensure that we have the strong

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economy, the growing economy that enables us to generate the funds

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I've identified in the manifesto some specific areas where we will

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change the way in which money is being used and I've just

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But that's not extra money, that's moving money around.

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That's what I'm saying, I've identified...

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It is an extra 8 billion that is going to go

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into the National Health Service but I've identified some areas

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where we will be changing the way money is used.

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But, crucially, what you need to be able to ensure that you can fund

:12:14.:12:17.

the NHS is the strong and growing economy.

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As I say, our economic credibility is not on the line,

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it is the Labour Party that is in the dock on that.

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Well, the Labour Party have given us costings and given us revenues.

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Let me ask another way, is it all new money?

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The Labour Party have given you costings which

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There's a ?58 billion black hole in the Labour Party manifesto.

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That's the equivalent of half the sum we spend

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What we will do is ensure that we generate, by ensuring

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we have a strong economy and growth in the economy, we generate

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the funds and just look at our track record.

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It's what we've done over the last few years.

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There will be 8 billion more money going into

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the National Health Service at the end of the parliament.

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That's a real terms increase per head every year.

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The manifesto pledges "the most ambitious programme of investment

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and buildings and technology the NHS has ever seen."

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No, that's separate, because it's the money you spend,

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as I'm sure you know, Andrew, but the money you spend

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on buildings and capital is separate from the money you spend

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That money will be following, there's a report that was done

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on the NHS, the Naylor Report, which set out what was needed

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and we are backing the proposals in the Naylor Report.

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That will come from a variety of sources.

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It's capital money, it's separate from the 8 billion that's

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going into the National Health Service.

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But any of this money can only be provided if we've got the strong

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economy to fund it and that's where one of the crucial differences

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between what I'm proposing and what the Labour Party

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is proposing comes, because what I'm setting out in my manifesto

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is the ways in which we can deal with the economy in the future

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and crucial to that, crucial to that is getting

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That's why who is sitting around that negotiating table 11 days

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That's a point you've made, Prime Minister.

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I make it again because it's important and crucial

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Our hospitals have just endured their worst 12

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A record number of urgent operations were cancelled.

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A string of targets, from emergency care to routine

:14:31.:14:33.

care to cancer care, have been missed.

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What you're promising is too little, too late.

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I accept that the NHS has missed some of its targets,

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but targets aren't the be all and end all.

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What matters, actually, is the quality of patient care.

:14:46.:14:47.

You mentioned accident and emergency targets.

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Yes, we did see pressure on A over the winter.

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What matters is not that you tick a box on a target.

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What matters is that you say, what does that tell us

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That is why we've already announced that we're

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We're putting some extra money already into accident and emergency

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and hospitals around the country, because sometimes people turn up

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at A who don't need to go into hospital.

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we can ensure that the patient gets the care that they need

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and we see hospitals relieved from some of that pressure.

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That's about ensuring that patient care is what comes first.

:15:31.:15:32.

You've ruled out a rise in VAT,

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but not national insurance or income tax.

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Because I want to be clear that as a Conservative Party

:15:40.:15:44.

in government, as we always have been, we're a party

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I have every intention of reducing taxes on businesses

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But I want to ensure that when we do that,

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So national insurance and income tax could go up?

:15:58.:16:01.

I'm very clear that it's our intention to reduce taxes.

:16:02.:16:04.

But you haven't ruled out rises in these two taxes.

:16:05.:16:06.

When people come to make their choice on June 8th,

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they will see a choice between a Conservative Party that's

:16:10.:16:13.

always been a party of lower tax, that's believed in lower tax...

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Except that the tax burden is now the highest for 30 years

:16:17.:16:18.

And under the Conservative government since 2010,

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we've seen 4 million people taken out of paying income tax

:16:24.:16:25.

altogether and a tax cut for 31 million taxpayers.

:16:26.:16:28.

But we also believe in ensuring that we're developing

:16:29.:16:36.

the strong economy that enables us to fund our public services.

:16:37.:16:40.

But you tried to raise national insurance for the self-employed

:16:41.:16:42.

in the Budget a couple of months ago.

:16:43.:16:44.

Can you rule out that you would try that again?

:16:45.:16:48.

We said we were taking those plans off the table.

:16:49.:16:51.

We have asked Matthew Taylor to do a report on the new forms

:16:52.:16:54.

of employment, and we will look at the results of that

:16:55.:16:58.

But we've removed the proposals we put in the Budget.

:16:59.:17:05.

We need to look at how the employment market

:17:06.:17:11.

That's why I'm clear that I want to put in extra

:17:12.:17:16.

Things are changing in the way people are being employed,

:17:17.:17:19.

and we need to ensure that we recognise that

:17:20.:17:21.

But in all of these issues, we can only do these things,

:17:22.:17:26.

we can only make sure we're able to lower taxes

:17:27.:17:29.

Fundamental to that, of course, is getting the Brexit deal right

:17:30.:17:35.

and getting those negotiations right and having both a strong hand

:17:36.:17:38.

in those negotiations, but also the strength of leadership.

:17:39.:17:42.

That's a point you've made several times.

:17:43.:17:45.

I want to come to the people who are just about managing.

:17:46.:17:47.

They're not the poorest of the poor,

:17:48.:17:49.

but they are not affluent either.

:17:50.:17:50.

You say you're on their side, but inflation is now rising

:17:51.:17:55.

faster than average pay, so living standards are being squeezed

:17:56.:17:58.

and you've frozen the in work benefits

:17:59.:18:01.

If you look at the issues around people who are...

:18:02.:18:10.

As you say, I talked about people who were just about managing

:18:11.:18:13.

when I came into Downing Street last year.

:18:14.:18:18.

There are a number of ways in which I want to support those people.

:18:19.:18:21.

On the cost of living, I want to build a strong economy

:18:22.:18:25.

I also want to help with things like energy bills.

:18:26.:18:30.

That's why we're going to cap rip-off energy price rises.

:18:31.:18:33.

But in what way are you on their side?

:18:34.:18:37.

You've taken away ?280 a year from their in work benefits

:18:38.:18:41.

Being on their side is about a variety of actions.

:18:42.:18:48.

These are people who want to ensure that their children

:18:49.:18:54.

That's why we have plans to increase the number of good school places.

:18:55.:18:58.

They do want to ensure that their NHS is being funded.

:18:59.:19:02.

That's why we have plans to ensure that we're putting those

:19:03.:19:05.

record amounts of money into the National Health Service.

:19:06.:19:07.

They'd like their living standards to be rising.

:19:08.:19:14.

I want to see higher paid jobs in this country.

:19:15.:19:17.

Doing that is about building a stronger economy.

:19:18.:19:19.

It's about having a vision for the future.

:19:20.:19:21.

We've set out a draft industrial strategy,

:19:22.:19:25.

a modern industrial strategy to really develop the economy

:19:26.:19:28.

across all parts of the country so that we don't see prosperity

:19:29.:19:32.

concentrated in certain areas, but prosperity across

:19:33.:19:34.

How many pensioners will lose their winter fuel allowance?

:19:35.:19:40.

We will means-test the winter fuel allowance,

:19:41.:19:41.

We will ask charities and organisations

:19:42.:19:46.

Pensioners watching tonight won't know.

:19:47.:19:54.

The very rich will lose, that's clear.

:19:55.:19:57.

But the vast in between, you cannot tell them tonight

:19:58.:20:02.

whether they will get up to ?300 or not this coming winter?

:20:03.:20:06.

What we're doing will ensure that the least well-off pensioners

:20:07.:20:09.

will have their winter fuel payments protected.

:20:10.:20:12.

I think it's right that we take those views of charities

:20:13.:20:17.

and organisations working with older people and others to look

:20:18.:20:21.

But overall in the changes we're making and the policies

:20:22.:20:27.

we're adopting, I am going to be protecting pensioners

:20:28.:20:31.

But you can't tell them whether they would get

:20:32.:20:35.

We will means-test winter fuel payments.

:20:36.:20:43.

I have also added that we will be talking to people about this,

:20:44.:20:49.

asking their views on where this should be set, not just setting it

:20:50.:20:52.

here in the Andrew Neil interview, but talking to charities

:20:53.:20:57.

and organisations and consulting on it.

:20:58.:21:00.

Wouldn't you have done that before you came up with the policy?

:21:01.:21:03.

You have promised twice to reduce immigration

:21:04.:21:08.

to the tens of thousands, and twice you've failed.

:21:09.:21:11.

Why should we believe you a third time?

:21:12.:21:15.

We have ensured that we are working to reduce immigration.

:21:16.:21:18.

Crucially, of course, we will, when we leave the European Union,

:21:19.:21:23.

have the opportunity and the ability to deal with the figures to bring

:21:24.:21:28.

in rules who are coming from the European Union countries

:21:29.:21:30.

You've always had that power with non-EU migration,

:21:31.:21:37.

and you've never managed to get that down to the tens of thousands,

:21:38.:21:40.

There's a real choice here on 8th June.

:21:41.:21:49.

It's between me and my party, who believe that we should work

:21:50.:21:53.

and Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour Party,

:21:54.:21:56.

who believe you should have uncontrolled immigration.

:21:57.:22:00.

That's the choice that will be there before people.

:22:01.:22:02.

We will continue to work to bring net migration down

:22:03.:22:05.

because we believe it does have an impact on people.

:22:06.:22:08.

Net migration is higher now than it was when he came to power in 2010.

:22:09.:22:14.

You're right, we haven't got down to the tens of thousands.

:22:15.:22:19.

We will be able to introduce rules for people coming

:22:20.:22:21.

from inside the European Union when we leave the European Union.

:22:22.:22:26.

But this is an area of immigration, as I've said many times before,

:22:27.:22:29.

where you have to be consistently working at it.

:22:30.:22:32.

That includes looking at non-EU migration as well as EU

:22:33.:22:35.

Doesn't this go to the heart of why people have lost

:22:36.:22:39.

You make promises, you fail to keep them,

:22:40.:22:43.

but you make the same promise again.

:22:44.:22:46.

Andrew, I called an election several weeks ago.

:22:47.:22:49.

I called an election on this whole issue of trust,

:22:50.:22:52.

because the question that people face is, who do they trust

:22:53.:22:55.

to take this country through the Brexit negotiations?

:22:56.:23:00.

Who do they trust to face up to the presidents,

:23:01.:23:02.

the prime ministers, the chancellors of Europe

:23:03.:23:04.

Who do they trust to get the best deal for the UK?

:23:05.:23:08.

The question for everybody on 8th June is,

:23:09.:23:13.

who do they trust to get the deal for the UK?

:23:14.:23:18.

The Conservatives promised to end the budget deficit by 2015.

:23:19.:23:24.

It's now going to be 2025 at the earliest.

:23:25.:23:28.

You promised to reduce migration to the tens of thousands.

:23:29.:23:31.

On these two big issues, you failed to meet your promises.

:23:32.:23:39.

Why would we trust the Tories on anything else?

:23:40.:23:42.

As I say, the election will be about trust.

:23:43.:23:44.

Yes, we are still the party that wants to ensure

:23:45.:23:47.

We've brought it down by three quarters, so we have been doing that

:23:48.:23:53.

work and we will continue to work on that in sharp contrast

:23:54.:23:57.

to the Labour Party, that wants to increase borrowing

:23:58.:23:59.

and with a leader who says he doesn't mind about debt and deficit.

:24:00.:24:05.

The Budget deficit, how we spend and borrow and tax, immigration,

:24:06.:24:12.

which was a huge issue with the Brexit campaign and so on,

:24:13.:24:16.

on these two major issues, you have failed to keep your promises.

:24:17.:24:21.

And on these two major issues, we are in sharp contrast

:24:22.:24:25.

We are continuing to work to deliver what I believe ordinary people want.

:24:26.:24:30.

Immigration was one of the issues that underpinned that Brexit vote.

:24:31.:24:34.

That is why I come back to the point I made earlier about the election

:24:35.:24:38.

Who do people trust to sit around a table in those Brexit negotiations

:24:39.:24:44.

and bring home the best deal for the UK?

:24:45.:24:48.

George Osborne says not a single senior member of your Cabinet

:24:49.:24:50.

Look, this immigration target is one that we've had

:24:51.:24:59.

It was developed under David Cameron's leadership in opposition.

:25:00.:25:05.

People do support the immigration target.

:25:06.:25:12.

They support the view of the British people.

:25:13.:25:15.

That's what we're supporting, because the British people want

:25:16.:25:18.

We have ruled out a lot of abuse that was taking place in the system.

:25:19.:25:27.

But you have consistently to work at that.

:25:28.:25:30.

We will get the ability to work at it in relation to the numbers

:25:31.:25:33.

But it is me and my party, me and my team, that are committed

:25:34.:25:40.

to saying we want to control migration, whereas Labour want

:25:41.:25:42.

You said last week that Britain faces "dire consequences" if we fail

:25:43.:25:48.

to get a good deal in the Brexit talks

:25:49.:25:50.

If you look at what is being said around the whole question

:25:51.:25:58.

of Brexit negotiations, you've got people in

:25:59.:26:02.

the European Union talking about punishing the United Kingdom.

:26:03.:26:06.

You've got some people here in the UK who are saying it

:26:07.:26:09.

doesn't really matter what we do, we're just going to get any deal,

:26:10.:26:14.

If we don't get a deal, what will the dire consequences be?

:26:15.:26:23.

I've said that no deal is better than a bad deal,

:26:24.:26:26.

because as I've just said, there are some people

:26:27.:26:29.

here who are willing to sign up to any deal.

:26:30.:26:34.

The reason I said what you've quoted and the reason I think this is such

:26:35.:26:38.

a crucial part of the question that underpins this election

:26:39.:26:43.

is that we need to get Brexit right in setting the tone for the next,

:26:44.:26:49.

It's about all the things that we want to do in terms

:26:50.:26:57.

of ensuring that we work with our European partners.

:26:58.:26:59.

I don't understand why no deal can be better than a bad deal

:27:00.:27:04.

but no deal would also mean dire consequences.

:27:05.:27:07.

You haven't told us what the consequences would be.

:27:08.:27:10.

We want to make sure that we get a good deal which ensures

:27:11.:27:13.

I've explained why no deal is better than a bad deal,

:27:14.:27:17.

because a bad deal is because there are those in Europe

:27:18.:27:20.

And there are politicians in the United Kingdom

:27:21.:27:25.

who are willing to sign up to anything.

:27:26.:27:27.

I understand that, but you're now saying no deal

:27:28.:27:29.

I'm trying to find out how dire the consequences will be.

:27:30.:27:38.

I have every confidence that we will be able to negotiate

:27:39.:27:41.

a good deal with the right negotiating hand, with the strength

:27:42.:27:44.

of mandate behind us to take into those negotiations.

:27:45.:27:47.

That's why the choice on 8th June is so important for people.

:27:48.:27:54.

If you win on June 8th, Prime Minister, if you win,

:27:55.:27:57.

how long will you stay Prime Minister?

:27:58.:27:59.

Well, I'm Prime Minister until 8th June.

:28:00.:28:03.

I hope people will feel that they can support me to be

:28:04.:28:06.

I will definitely stay for the next Parliament.

:28:07.:28:11.

Beyond that, Andrew, I haven't got through this election yet.

:28:12.:28:15.

It's the most crucial in my lifetime.

:28:16.:28:21.

It's about the future of our country and who people trust to take us

:28:22.:28:25.

That was the Prime Minister talking to Andrew Neil in London. Here in

:28:26.:28:50.

Rhos it is our man in Wales, Welsh Secretary Alun Cairns.

:28:51.:28:51.

APPLAUSE Our audience tonight, a mix of

:28:52.:29:07.

undecided voters and supporters of the main parties. Straight to our

:29:08.:29:13.

first question which comes from Donna. Like me, you wanted to remain

:29:14.:29:19.

in the EU so can you explain to me with consequences such as the

:29:20.:29:23.

devalued pound, what the benefits of Brexit can be? Thank you for the

:29:24.:29:28.

question. You have highlighted some of the turbulence that has been in

:29:29.:29:33.

the economy since the referendum outcome where the fall in the pound

:29:34.:29:36.

lead to inflation which means the cost of things rises. That by and

:29:37.:29:40.

large the economy has held strong and employment has continued to fall

:29:41.:29:48.

butter and implement -- unemployment has continued to fall and investment

:29:49.:29:55.

has continued to rise. Your question I think is absolutely at the heart

:29:56.:30:01.

of the challenges that we face. The Brexit negotiations are pretty

:30:02.:30:05.

fundamental to everything and I will probably come back to this many

:30:06.:30:09.

times in terms of questions on a whole range of issues because

:30:10.:30:13.

growing the economy, creating jobs, attracting investment to create

:30:14.:30:17.

better paid jobs in Wales and across the UK, even paying for public

:30:18.:30:22.

services like health and education, hospitals and schools, really depend

:30:23.:30:26.

on a good Brexit deal. So there could be 11 countries, sorry, 27

:30:27.:30:33.

countries lining up to oppose off and there needs to be someone to

:30:34.:30:37.

negotiate with those. The question we have got to ultimately ask

:30:38.:30:41.

ourselves, who is best placed to negotiate that Brexit deal? As you

:30:42.:30:46.

have rightly highlighted, the turbulence we saw following the

:30:47.:30:49.

referendum, but that is nothing to do with the challenges if we get the

:30:50.:30:55.

Brexit deal wrong. And therefore, I believe Theresa May is absolutely

:30:56.:30:59.

the right person to get the Brexit deal and the opportunities it

:31:00.:31:03.

provides. The second part of your question related to opportunities.

:31:04.:31:10.

We have announced in our manifesto, for example, nine trade

:31:11.:31:13.

commissioners who would be based around the world, looking to create

:31:14.:31:17.

new deals, looking to create support businesses in Wales, and across the

:31:18.:31:22.

rest of the UK. That demonstrates that we not only want a deep and

:31:23.:31:26.

special partnership with the European Union, because we want

:31:27.:31:30.

Europe to succeed, it is important that Europe succeeds because it is

:31:31.:31:34.

important to our economy and our security. But we can also renew

:31:35.:31:39.

friendships with some old allies and create new friendships around the

:31:40.:31:43.

world as well. We are all familiar with the Commonwealth countries. The

:31:44.:31:48.

trade that we do with some of the fastest-growing countries in the

:31:49.:31:51.

world, some of them are Commonwealth countries and we have not built on

:31:52.:31:54.

that historical relationship that we could have and I think that some of

:31:55.:31:58.

the opportunity to grow our exports, to use the policies that we

:31:59.:32:02.

announced in the manifesto earlier this week, in order to support Welsh

:32:03.:32:07.

businesses and UK businesses be they small or large.

:32:08.:32:11.

You know that Wales export a lot more to the EU than the rest of the

:32:12.:32:17.

UK. A good deal for the UK might not be a good deal for Wales. How can

:32:18.:32:22.

you guarantee a good deal for Wales? I'm glad you asked, it allows me to

:32:23.:32:26.

put this statement right. It depends how you measure the exports from

:32:27.:32:30.

Wales. Let me take an automotive component manufacturer in Wales. If

:32:31.:32:34.

they make something that goes through Jaguar Land Rover, that is

:32:35.:32:38.

made in Wolverhampton, that Jaguar Land Rover could well go to North

:32:39.:32:45.

America. But that is not included as an international exporter outside of

:32:46.:32:47.

the European Union from Wales. The debate is so much more complicated

:32:48.:32:50.

than just thinking of Wales as one economy and the rest of the UK as a

:32:51.:32:54.

different economy. This is important, ultimately, we need to

:32:55.:33:01.

get the right Brexit deal for the whole of the UK. The Welsh economy

:33:02.:33:06.

depends on the successful UK economy. We are so interchanged, the

:33:07.:33:11.

relationship is so strong. Finally, I will say on this that if we look

:33:12.:33:15.

to Deeside, the advanced manufacturing sector there is a

:33:16.:33:21.

fantastic jewel in the Welsh and UK crown. But that depends on a

:33:22.:33:24.

successful UK economy, rather than just a successful Welsh economy. The

:33:25.:33:31.

gentleman with his hands up? From a manufacturing base, there are

:33:32.:33:35.

numerous crimes that are coming from the EU. Coming out of Brexit, how

:33:36.:33:41.

does the Conservative Government look to fill the gap? OK, we will

:33:42.:33:47.

take a couple of points. First, I would like to thank you very much

:33:48.:33:52.

for coming. I have heard you had numerous difficulties getting a

:33:53.:33:54.

representative of the Tory government to come on TV debate.

:33:55.:33:58.

Thank you very much for coming. You referred to 27 countries in

:33:59.:34:04.

opposition, I think you mentioned, opposed, that you were in opposition

:34:05.:34:08.

against. Is that really how you see the Brexit negotiating panning out

:34:09.:34:15.

for Wales? A third point? The lady in the black jumper? The point about

:34:16.:34:21.

the manufacturing, exactly the same for our farming communities. It was

:34:22.:34:27.

stated shortly after the result, that we could not expect to get

:34:28.:34:33.

equal funding from Westminster as we did under the EU. If you could take

:34:34.:34:42.

those together? The second question goes back to my first answer. I said

:34:43.:34:46.

quite carefully that there could be 27 nations lining up to oppose us.

:34:47.:34:50.

That is how tough the negotiations could be. We have seen, from some

:34:51.:34:54.

representatives of the European Commission, the sort of approach

:34:55.:34:57.

that they are taking and that led to the Prime Minister standing on the

:34:58.:35:02.

door of Downing Street, effectively stating her position in terms of

:35:03.:35:07.

responding to that. That is how tough they could be. Clearly,

:35:08.:35:17.

working hard since the referendum... In opposition to the UK

:35:18.:35:22.

establishment? But I also said that I want a deep and special

:35:23.:35:25.

partnership with the European Union. That is important to our success, as

:35:26.:35:30.

well as to their success. We want Europe to succeed and we want them

:35:31.:35:33.

to develop the relationship that they might argue sometimes Britain

:35:34.:35:39.

was dragging its feet on. They can become a much deeper, integrated

:35:40.:35:42.

partnership, and we can be content to see that. We will not be part of

:35:43.:35:46.

it. But, ultimately, there will be tough negotiations. There could be

:35:47.:35:51.

27 nations lining up to oppose us. On that basis, we need a strong

:35:52.:35:56.

leader in order to be challenging. Can I just ask, on strong

:35:57.:35:59.

leadership, strong and stable leadership, we have seen a U-turn on

:36:00.:36:03.

this general election. There was not going to be won. We have seen a

:36:04.:36:06.

U-turn on national insurance, that was going to go down. We have seen a

:36:07.:36:11.

U-turn today on the cap in social care, which applies in England but

:36:12.:36:14.

might have consequences in Wales. Is that really a strong and stable

:36:15.:36:15.

leader going to Brexit? I think you have got to look at the

:36:16.:36:33.

record of the Prime Minister. LAUGHTER. We talked about the

:36:34.:36:39.

economy, people predicted it would go to sharp decline. When she became

:36:40.:36:44.

Prime Minister, the stability that she brought, the markets reacted

:36:45.:36:48.

immediately. The outcome we have seen since the referendum outcome,

:36:49.:36:54.

and I will come to the question about manufacturing. There is Aston

:36:55.:36:58.

Martin in South Wales, Toyota in Derbyshire, extremely important for

:36:59.:37:03.

the engine part manufacturers in Wales. But Brexit hasn't happened?

:37:04.:37:07.

Guillermo Roan Nissan, in Sunderland, there are component

:37:08.:37:10.

industries, 100 automotive component industries based on Wales that

:37:11.:37:16.

depends on the large investments that come. Look at the facts, the

:37:17.:37:24.

wealth that they are creating, the jobs they are providing. That

:37:25.:37:30.

represents the strength and leadership to attract that of

:37:31.:37:34.

investment and the confidence it has instilled in leaders and nations

:37:35.:37:39.

around the world. I am absolutely content. If you compare that with

:37:40.:37:42.

the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn, that is ultimately what we have to

:37:43.:37:49.

come down to. 11 days. 11 days after the general election would be the

:37:50.:37:55.

first fat bear formal negotiations with the European Commission. -- the

:37:56.:37:58.

first formal negotiations with the European Commission. Who do you want

:37:59.:38:01.

to be sitting around that table in that discussion chamber? Do you want

:38:02.:38:06.

Theresa May and her experience, and her background? The No! I beg to

:38:07.:38:13.

differ. Do you want Jeremy Corbyn sitting there?

:38:14.:38:18.

The Conservative Party only has to lose six seats out of MPs in order

:38:19.:38:24.

to allow Jeremy Corbyn and the coalition of chaos, because he would

:38:25.:38:29.

have to work with nationalists in Scotland, in Wales, and with the Lib

:38:30.:38:34.

Dems, as well as with some MPs from Northern Ireland in order to strike

:38:35.:38:37.

that coalition. That really is the threat that our economy would face

:38:38.:38:41.

from the Brexit, from a bad Brexit deal. There is an issue with the

:38:42.:38:48.

question... We have to move on, we have a lot of ground to cover. Our

:38:49.:38:52.

second question comes from Adam Samuels. With record amounts of

:38:53.:38:59.

people using food banks and austerity failing everywhere else,

:39:00.:39:00.

why on earth would Wales vote Tory? I think there are lots of

:39:01.:39:12.

complicated reasons why people use food banks.

:39:13.:39:17.

There is one in my constituency, there is more than one, and they

:39:18.:39:28.

offer a very good way of bringing people back into the state level

:39:29.:39:31.

support. With each Russell trust, you need to have that voucher from

:39:32.:39:36.

the GP, from the citizens advice bureau, in order to get back into,

:39:37.:39:41.

in order to get the food bank support, and that assists part of

:39:42.:39:46.

the state level support. I think food banks can play a part in

:39:47.:39:51.

bringing people back into the level of support. The level of support

:39:52.:39:56.

they should rightly expect from the state. You mentioned the Trussle

:39:57.:40:10.

Trust, they handed out many food parcels in Wales, why is that,? The

:40:11.:40:20.

best way out of poverty is getting a job. Well, in reality, it is. I am

:40:21.:40:25.

proud of the record of 109,000 new jobs that have been created in the

:40:26.:40:29.

Welsh economy since 2010. When you ally that with Universal Credit,

:40:30.:40:35.

that means you are always better off in a job. It does not have those

:40:36.:40:39.

cliff edges that people used to have previously, when they had to compare

:40:40.:40:46.

the difference between housing benefit, and different kinds of

:40:47.:40:50.

benefits. People can easily cut late how much better off they would be.

:40:51.:40:53.

The calculation of Universal Credit has led to record low unemployment

:40:54.:41:00.

in Wales, since records began. We have had unemployment significantly

:41:01.:41:03.

lower than that across the whole of the UK. I think that demonstrates

:41:04.:41:07.

the investment that we have managed to attract, the jobs we have managed

:41:08.:41:11.

to create, in spite of the threats that we were told by some of our

:41:12.:41:15.

political opponents. Thank you. Let's take a few points from the

:41:16.:41:19.

audience. The lady in the back, and then the gentleman in front. The You

:41:20.:41:23.

say the best way out of poverty is getting a job. What you are not

:41:24.:41:27.

considering is the fact that some people are not well enough to get a

:41:28.:41:30.

job and still are on the poverty line. People that have had benefits

:41:31.:41:36.

cut, just because of the arbitrary assessment system, which is an

:41:37.:41:44.

assessor, not your GP, not the expert in your health. And then they

:41:45.:41:47.

have to go to a food back because they have decided no more money,

:41:48.:41:55.

just like that. A person who creates jobs, a recent company that I

:41:56.:41:59.

started three years ago in Wrexham employs 58 people. I'm very

:42:00.:42:04.

fortunate to work on the new prison infrastructure. I find it difficult

:42:05.:42:09.

to be able to communicate with government, and I am the creator, it

:42:10.:42:15.

is my money, my risk. But I am held down by bureaucracy, red tape,

:42:16.:42:19.

health and safety, employment legislation, is this going to

:42:20.:42:23.

continue? If it does, it will stifle people like me. We are investing

:42:24.:42:27.

abroad now. I travelled throughout the world. That needs to be

:42:28.:42:32.

addressed. Food banks, and maybe austerity? The lady in the front? I

:42:33.:42:40.

did raise my hand for different things. We'll Theresa May have a

:42:41.:42:48.

passport to heart Brexit if she becomes Prime Minister?

:42:49.:42:54.

-- We'll Theresa May have a passport to heart Brexit if she becomes Prime

:42:55.:43:02.

Minister? This is the reality, the people using food banks are in work.

:43:03.:43:07.

A lot of people are using food banks in work. They have not been helped

:43:08.:43:13.

out of poverty by getting a job. They are in work. People on the

:43:14.:43:18.

poverty line are in work and there in work benefits have been cut by

:43:19.:43:20.

your government in the last couple of months. You have got people

:43:21.:43:25.

sleeping in doorways. You've got people dying in hospital corridors.

:43:26.:43:29.

You've got queues of ambulances outside casualty. Those are not the

:43:30.:43:39.

unintended, but the undisclosed consequences of an austerity

:43:40.:43:41.

programme imposed for seven years by your government.

:43:42.:43:43.

Well, there are two issues here. I will come to the last issue

:43:44.:43:57.

secondly. The first issue is when you talk about disabled people. I

:43:58.:44:01.

think it is wrong to simply assess somebody as being disabled and then

:44:02.:44:03.

forget about them. We do need to bring them back into the workplace

:44:04.:44:07.

through modern technology, appropriate changes, legislative

:44:08.:44:10.

changes, to give them stronger rights. There is more we need to do

:44:11.:44:14.

to support disabled people, to bring them back into work. There are some

:44:15.:44:17.

employers that are fantastic in doing that. We need to share best

:44:18.:44:22.

practice, but we also need to legislate, where it is right, when

:44:23.:44:26.

people are not giving respect to disabled people that they should.

:44:27.:44:31.

The issue that was raised about poverty, well, I still stand by the

:44:32.:44:34.

statement that the best way out of poverty is to get a job. If you let

:44:35.:44:42.

me finish... I will take you to meet friends of mine that are using food

:44:43.:44:46.

banks, self-employed people that cannot afford to live because of

:44:47.:44:50.

austerity cuts imposed by your government. Come with me, I will

:44:51.:44:59.

take you. I have a girl that lives next door to me, I will introduce

:45:00.:45:03.

you to her. She can tell you all about what it is like to live under

:45:04.:45:06.

this Tory government and try to make ends meet. Getting a job is

:45:07.:45:11.

absolutely the best way out of poverty. But also, I recognise that

:45:12.:45:15.

people need better paid jobs. The National Living Wage gave close to a

:45:16.:45:21.

7% increase to the lowest paid over the last year. That is a positive

:45:22.:45:25.

step. Hang on, if you let me finish. I hope you would recognise, I hope

:45:26.:45:30.

you agree that is a positive step. The second element that I would say

:45:31.:45:34.

is the increase in the personal tax allowance, our commitment to take it

:45:35.:45:40.

to ?12,500, would take millions of the poorest people, the lowest

:45:41.:45:48.

earners, out of pay -- paying tax altogether. There are the policies I

:45:49.:45:54.

have mentioned already, but we also need to focus on training, skills,

:45:55.:45:59.

giving support to people that might have complicated backgrounds,

:46:00.:46:00.

sometimes mental health is an issue for some people who end up in a

:46:01.:46:07.

difficult situation. Our commitment, in order to support some of the most

:46:08.:46:11.

vulnerable people, I believe it is a strong package. We have had to move

:46:12.:46:15.

on. The next question comes from Derek.

:46:16.:46:21.

How are you planning to reduce the number of immigrants while still

:46:22.:46:28.

attracting those with skills who are essential for the Welsh economy? I

:46:29.:46:32.

think that is a really good question. Immigration is an issue

:46:33.:46:35.

which absolutely needs to be tackled. We have a policy to reduce

:46:36.:46:42.

it to tens of thousands since 2010. Clearly, that hasn't been met. There

:46:43.:46:48.

are lots of technical and complicated reasons for that but

:46:49.:46:51.

there is one fundamental reason I can point to, and that is because

:46:52.:46:57.

there are two parts of the equation, if you like. One is uncontrolled.

:46:58.:47:02.

That is because of the free movement of people that comes from the

:47:03.:47:05.

European Union. It is difficult to achieve the tens of thousands while

:47:06.:47:10.

at the same time we cannot control numbers which come from the European

:47:11.:47:18.

Union. On non-EU immigration... Can I finish? No, non-EU migration which

:47:19.:47:23.

you can control, that is not down to the tens of thousands. That is why I

:47:24.:47:29.

said at the beginning it is a very complicated issue that needs to be

:47:30.:47:33.

tackled at a whole range of levels, because at the same time we are

:47:34.:47:38.

conscious of employers, we heard about people who need the skills

:47:39.:47:43.

here. There is a balance in the economy that takes me back to an

:47:44.:47:47.

earlier point about upscaling, to make sure we provide the skills that

:47:48.:47:54.

our agriculture and manufacturing sector needs. There is no magic

:47:55.:47:59.

bullet. One part of the debate is controlling our borders as a result

:48:00.:48:02.

of exiting the European Union. We will build built to do that as a

:48:03.:48:09.

result of the Brexit negotiations if we get that right and I'm confident

:48:10.:48:12.

Theresa May will be able to get it down to the tens of thousands. Lots

:48:13.:48:20.

of hands up. This lady, thank you. You have been at this for seven

:48:21.:48:24.

years. We have people sleeping in the street. Tell me, why should I

:48:25.:48:28.

believe that things will be any better if you carry on? Thank you.

:48:29.:48:34.

And the gentleman in the blue? What we have seen is you have made this

:48:35.:48:40.

promise of under 100,020 ten and 2015, you have failed on the bit you

:48:41.:48:45.

can control like non-EU migration. If you take international students

:48:46.:48:49.

out of that, I think it is absolutely despicable. Your policy

:48:50.:48:54.

is to deport international students after they finish their course when

:48:55.:48:57.

they have contributed to our society. It is despicable. Any other

:48:58.:49:06.

points on immigration, please? We will get the microphone to you. I

:49:07.:49:16.

have graduated 12 years ago. I have a good humanities degree. Since

:49:17.:49:21.

2002, the problem is getting into work, there is immigration but

:49:22.:49:25.

they're all so these agencies, all these zero-hour contracts. I worked

:49:26.:49:29.

for nine months in the Welsh Assembly doing IT support. I worked

:49:30.:49:32.

in the local council doing this. In the last three months I have spent

:49:33.:49:38.

two months looking for another job. Do you know why people will take

:49:39.:49:43.

jobs for people working from abroad? It is because they will accept lower

:49:44.:49:52.

wages and insecure contracts. And another question -- and on those

:49:53.:49:57.

questions? There is the drag down on public services and also the drag

:49:58.:50:03.

down on potential wages. They would rather it was someone on a lower

:50:04.:50:06.

level rather than upscale. We are increasing the charge an employee

:50:07.:50:11.

would have to pay if they employ an immigrant rather than a local. That

:50:12.:50:15.

is about upscaling people in this country in order to meet the skills.

:50:16.:50:23.

-- up skilling. It cannot happen overnight. I have been working six

:50:24.:50:29.

years as a cleaner because it is the most secure employment I could find.

:50:30.:50:36.

I would like to ask about the student numbers. There are even

:50:37.:50:41.

Welsh colleges which have bases in London and some bogus colleges in

:50:42.:50:45.

London, more than 100 of them had to be closed because they were claiming

:50:46.:50:49.

to be colleges and they weren't. As a result, those are the sorts of

:50:50.:50:53.

measures we have had to pursue in order to reduce the numbers, so that

:50:54.:50:57.

is part of the reason why we do not exclude students. On the second

:50:58.:51:01.

issue about students, some will be leaving because they have finished

:51:02.:51:05.

their courses as others come in so the net number for students is

:51:06.:51:16.

broadly the same, but clearly, for all of our higher education

:51:17.:51:18.

institutions, it is an important source of income and we want to

:51:19.:51:21.

support students in coming here. Alun Cairns, thank you. They should

:51:22.:51:24.

come and follow their course but they should also leave as well.

:51:25.:51:30.

Thank you, time is flying. Our last question, thank you. Is the plan to

:51:31.:51:37.

reopen the debate on fox hunting a throwback to old conservative ways?

:51:38.:51:41.

The Prime Minister has said it will be a free vote so it will be up to

:51:42.:51:46.

each individual member of Parliament how they choose to vote on that bill

:51:47.:51:50.

when it comes. I am told it will be a one line bill. It will be a very

:51:51.:51:56.

short time in the House of Commons and it is up to individuals to vote

:51:57.:52:01.

for the member of Parliament, for the whole package of policies they

:52:02.:52:04.

propose, or whatever manifesto they stand behind, at the same time

:52:05.:52:10.

taking their views on things like animal welfare and other sorts of

:52:11.:52:16.

things that are there. How would you vote? I would vote to repeal the ban

:52:17.:52:22.

because it does not work as it is. Even Tony Blair who was the Prime

:52:23.:52:32.

Minister who committed to introducing it, says he regrets it

:52:33.:52:36.

and secondly says it doesn't work. I think there are a whole host of

:52:37.:52:40.

things we could do that would be far more effective in achieving what we

:52:41.:52:46.

want to achieve. A couple of points on fox hunting, very briefly,

:52:47.:52:51.

please. My question is, with the ban on ivory trade which Theresa May is

:52:52.:52:56.

also planning to repeal, what do you think about that? That is not on

:52:57.:53:03.

hunting but thank you. Theresa May came up to Wrexham, I think it is

:53:04.:53:09.

the first time she came up here, very briefly, I just wonder what was

:53:10.:53:14.

wrong with the guy's bugle and skills this afternoon? OK!

:53:15.:53:20.

Considering the polls say 80% of people are opposed to fox hunting,

:53:21.:53:24.

why don't we have a referendum on it?

:53:25.:53:26.

APPLAUSE Another one? There is another issue

:53:27.:53:34.

I have to highlight which is so important to do with European

:53:35.:53:38.

funding. I think that people should judge Theresa May and me on my

:53:39.:53:44.

record in terms of funding to Wales. We complained, people complained for

:53:45.:53:47.

decades about the amount of money and how the Barnett Formula didn't

:53:48.:53:51.

work for Wales. So last December I signed a deal readily signed by the

:53:52.:53:56.

Welsh Government, so Wales now gets ?120 for every ?100 which is spent

:53:57.:54:04.

in England. As a result of that, please judge us in terms of the

:54:05.:54:07.

support we give financially, based on what we have delivered, rather

:54:08.:54:12.

than the rhetoric. On that point, thank you to Alun Cairns. And thank

:54:13.:54:16.

you to the audience. We are off to bang and tomorrow night it is all

:54:17.:54:22.

about Ukip. Join us if you can at seven o'clock. Good night. --

:54:23.:54:26.

tomorrow night we are off to Bangor. All this week we're bringing you

:54:27.:54:32.

a party leader double feature.

:54:33.:54:35.

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