Part One EU Referendum - The Result

Each one of us as have the chance to say what kind of country we want to

live in. At ten o'clock, the polling stations close after weeks, months

and years of argument. We will have the answer to the question that has

haunted British politics for so long, do we want to be in or out of

the EU? There has been the usual round of main players casting their

votes. David Cameron was out early in Westminster to cast his ballot.

Other leading figures on both sides of the debate as well. There has not

been, for many years, a choice that has aroused such passion, splitting

families, dividing friends. This is a vote with a difference. No

constituencies, no first past the post, every vote will count as equal

as this country defines itself. Jeremy Vine is going to be watching

for the first sign of a trend, one way or another. I'll be making my

way along Downing Street, through the night, watching the votes pilot.

Blue for leave, yellow for Remain. Could it be this close? Together, we

will find out who is in the lead by the morning. They will be counted

locally at 382 centres right across the United Kingdom and one in

Gibraltar. We have reporters watching at some of the centre is

likely to declare early. Babita Sharma is in Newcastle. Newcastle

has been pipped to the post in general elections by local rivals

Sunderland. Tonight, it is hoping to become the first area to declare a

result in this historic referendum. They think, maybe, possibly, they

will have a result here as early as midnight. We will be taking in the

results announced locally and analysing them to build a picture of

how the country voted and what the result is likely to be. John Curtice

and his team have been working for months on how to interpret the early

numbers to give us some clue to the answer. Laura Kuenssberg, the BBC

political editor, is here to bring news from the two camps and to

speculate on the look of the political world we will live in once

the referendum is over. Above us, Emily Maitlis, with guests,

defectors and the vanquished is and the vanquished. As the story

unfolds, we will look at which parts of the campaign worked, which

flopped, and if British politics will ever look the same again. The

ballot box is open for just a few moments more, and the referendum

night drama can begin. When Big Ben strikes ten in a

general election, we released the exit poll to give the first

indication of who has won. For the referendum, it is not going to be

possible. Exit polls work, if they do, by comparing one election with

another and measuring the change. It would be crazy to compare this

referendum with the one held 41 years ago. So, patience is the

watchword as we wait for the first actual declarations to come through.

So, Big Ben has struck ten o'clock. We can now start trying to discover

which side has carried the day come on the basis of the results that

come in. Some of the polls are staying open because the weather has

been so frightful in parts of Britain. If you are queueing up to

vote, it stays open until you get the chance to vote. We have one bit

of news from Gibraltar. It is one hour ahead, so their polls closed an

hour ago. At the last general election, they have 71% turnout.

This time, 84%, big turnout in Gibraltar. Enthusiasm for the vote.

It is one of the things we have been looking for, how big the turnout is.

The bigger the turnout, well, you will tell us? The expectation is

that the bigger the turnout, the better it is for the In side. The

assumption has been that the Out can have the enthusiasm, they have been

racing to get to the polls, I have heard, anecdotally, stories of high

turnout in almost every part of the country. Politicians have been

really struck by that come anecdotes of a turnout of 70 or 80% in some

places. The assumption that it helps the Remain side is just that, it is

an assumption. Some politicians in the last couple of weeks have also

said they have had voters in the kinds of parts of the country where

people do not often bother to vote saying that this might motivate them

for the first time. Nigel Farage said that his supporters were...

What was it? They would crawl over broken glass. That's right. Anyway,

the count is done in each area in the 382. It all comes together in

the end, in one place. Jo Coburn is in Manchester Town Hall, where the

Electoral Commission, as it is called, is overseeing the referendum

with a very different procedure from a parliamentary election. Yes,

David. You can hear the announcement is being made behind me. I'm at the

command and control centre of the whole operation, here in the

splendour of Manchester Town Hall. This is where the national result

will be announced, on that podium just behind me over my shoulder.

That is the announcement of some of the procedure that is going on this

evening. Before the national result is announced, we will have other

points to make you aware of. Things like the turnout, the critical

turnout figure for the national picture, that will be made at some

point through the night. We don't know exactly when. That will give us

an idea of the tipping point on which side will have won, the 50,

plus one, we are calling it, where it is mathematically impossible to

catch the other. We have been told by the Electoral Commission that

could be a decision by both campaigns to say, you can go ahead

and announce the winner and the loser ahead of the official national

result. There are other things going on as well. We will have the

regional turnout figure for the North and we will have the result

for that same region as well. Otherwise, through the evening, we

will be seeing campaigners on both sides gathering here to see when

they will be able to tell which way the land lies. The thing everybody

has been asking me, I expect the same with you, Jeremy, when do we

first get an inkling? What is the first result to watch for? People

are so keen to see the way that the wind is blowing. What is going to be

the moment, and how are we going to be able to tell what is happening?

Well, join me here in Downing Street. We thought we should look at

the door of Number 10 for a moment. It was the man behind that door that

took the gamble on calling this referendum. David, yes, the sequence

tonight is very important. Blue for Leave, yellow for Remain, we are

going to build the votes up down Downing Street as they come in.

Let's look at what we expect by way of timing. You peer down to the end

of Downing Street, you can see the first votes appearing. None of them

have been counted yet. We are putting them in, 50-50, to show what

we are expecting. By midnight, we think Newcastle will be in first,

head of Sunderland, probably voting to stay. That is by midnight. Now,

after that, by 1am, we are expecting a rather interesting collection,

Swindon, which is thought to be voting Out, if previous polls are

anything to go by. Bury is 50-50, we should have that by that time of

night. We will probably have Orkney as well. Then we move forward, 2am,

we started here from London, places like barking, most of London is

expected to vote Remain. Westminster and dealing by about 2am. By 3am,

some of the big city results, the big numbers coming from the cities,

the cities are very powerful because every vote is equal right around the

country. By 3am, we think we will hear from Glasgow, Sheffield and

Edinburgh. If it starts to be looking very tight around this time

of night, 3am, 4am, that could favour Leave. It is thought that the

later results will go that way. Let's see. Bye 4am, results are

rushing in. We will have a torrent of places like Plymouth, Horsham,

Solihull and the biggest, Birmingham, with 700,000 voters by

4am. It is thought to be edging towards Leave, but it is too close

to have any idea. We don't really know which way any of these are

going, we are waiting for the first signs. By 5am, could it be this

close? Liverpool and Manchester coming in. By six, if we don't know,

we are waiting for Winchester and Leicester. If it is this tight by

6am, we might get the result when waved me comes in last. Will it be

that close? We will be building the votes up, blue for Leave, yellow for

Remain. A night of great suspense. We have put them 50-50, but we don't

know what will happen. We are joined by Nicky Morgan, the Education

Secretary, from Westminster. We do not know anything, you obviously do,

you are at the heart of this. What do you think is happening? Obviously

we have a long night ahead. We are confident and hopeful that there

will be a victory for the Remain campaign. We will have to see. I

would agree from anecdotal evidence that there has been a high turnout,

certainly in my own area. We think there was an 85% turnout of postal

votes in the charm would cancel area. We will have to see how things

transpire. Have you heard, as I have just heard, Nigel Farage has said

that Remain might just edge it? Have you heard that? I have just been

told that. We will see what happens. Certainly, from the campaigning I

was doing, speaking to colleagues across the country, there was a lot

of support for the Remain campaign, a lot of people contacting me in the

last couple of days, constituents, saying they had made up their minds

to decide to support the Remain campaign. This has obviously been a

hard-fought contest, great passion on both sides, people are very

committed to the arguments. Let's see what happens. I think,

obviously, if Remain have won, we will be able to go back to our

domestic agenda on Monday has a Government and get on with

delivering other important manifesto commitments. Will that apply even if

it is a very narrow victory for Remain? Or won't be -- the whole

world have changed? If there is a clear win, that is sending a

message. One of them is in limiting the reform deal that the Prime

Minister secured back in February. The other thing we should not forget

is that this Conservative Prime Minister has delivered an in-out

referendum, something that was promised, only a year after the

general election, it has been delivered, and now there are lots of

other things to get on with. The campaign is over, you are a loyal

supporter of the Prime Minister, what do you think of the tone of the

campaign? Many people, on both sides, say it has been fought in a

particularly vicious, rather bitter way that people didn't expect when

it began? As I said just now, I think passions run high on both

sides. People feel very strongly about this issue. Many people have

been campaigning on one side or another for decades. You are going

to expect that people are going to make their case with great

conviction and not necessarily pull punches. I think we have made a

positive campaign on the Remain side, a week ago I was launching the

Women For The Main Campaign, setting out the views of women ministers in

the Government across a range of areas, positive reasons to remain in

the EU, and that is what we have been doing for the last few months.

No doubt there have been some rather unpleasant sentiments expressed. The

Nigel Farage poster, the leave.EU picture, when they tried to get

tangled up in the dreadful events in Orlando. I don't think that has been

very tasteful at all. People won't forget that, necessarily. It is

important now that we see what the result is. As I say, then we have

lots more reform in the EU, but also making sure that we can then deliver

the domestic agenda we were elected on a year ago. We were watching the

ballot boxes arriving in Sunderland, there is a battle going on between

Sunderland and Newcastle. Some people say Sunderland is expected to

vote Out, and they are not keen to get it counted too soon, because

they depend on Nissan and other car companies that are likely to want to

be inside the EU, but that is just a bit of mischief, really. They are

rivals on the football field, so if Newcastle do win, there will be loud

cheers in Newcastle and maybe Sunderland will not be too

miserable. I have just heard from Nicky Morgan, one of the leading

figures in the Leave campaign, Iain Duncan Smith, you heard what Nicky

Morgan said, let me ask what you think has happened. People are

watching your face, like they were watching her face. I hope they are

not watching too hard, I have been around too long for them to be

scared before we begin this process. We don't want you to be inscrutable?

Having campaigned all this time, I'm very glad to find myself at the end

of this, it has been pretty exhausting. I have been out all day,

banging on doors, getting out the vote for Vote Leave. I genuinely

don't have a sense. We are in uncharted territory. We have never

have this kind of a referendum. Certainly most people's living

memory, yes, in the early days when we first joined. It was different

then, pretty much a foregone conclusion. This has been very

tight. I was talking to Tom Watson, and we both said, we are in strange

territory. Normally, we can be talking to constituencies, with

constituency MPs and they will say how it is going in their areas.

Here, every single vote counts for the first time. That is quite

difficult. Nigel Farage seems to think he knows how it has gone? You

roll your eyes? I never quite follow what he says, he often says two

things at the same time. A couple of things I have picked up on today,

one was that the turnout in council estates is very, very high. I have

been in politics 24 years now. I don't think I will have seen

turnouts like this in council estates. Turnout is high, I think,

everywhere. Are you saying they will vote Leave?

All I know is with a I got back from the council estates in Essex is they

are up at 80%. You would would be lucky to get 30%-40% % In a general

election? We don't know where we are. That makes it difficult call.

People who don't normally vote are certainly voting. I'm saying, it's

been hard-fought. It's been in many senses great fun. It's been if

difficult much we will have to wait a bit and see what the results are.

What about the tone of the campaign which, for the Tory party, for

instance, people have endlessly said, it got out of hand. Do you

think it got out of hand? Look, this is... There really doesn't get a

bigger question than this which is, who governs you. That's just so big

you're bound to end up families will be split, parties will split, you

know, on both sides... You insulting the Chancellor of the Exchequer? You

know. You see his nose growing longer. I was thanked by cartoonists

for that comment. I don't know how I thought of that. It's the insult we

didn't expect. Lies, lies... There has been a bit of that. Passions are

high. I don't make bones about it. When are you dealing with an issue

as big as this, that matters as much as this. Nothing matters more,

really at the end of the day, it boils down to govern you. When it's

like that it gets really tense. You know, as well as I, do tensions in

parties are much more difficult to contain when there are differences

than they are between parties. Between parties it's quite standard,

you know, Conservative versus Labour, Liberal Democrats you know

what they are going to do. Once a party loses their cohesion for a

period, because they are in difficult sides, families break

apart for things like this for a while and take chunks out of each

other. But they will come back - The Tory party has been torn apart - The

Conservative Party has an instinct ultimately I sense when the argument

is over they will want to be back. We are in Government. We have to get

on with Government whatever happens. As Churchill once said, when asked

by a young MP who arrived in after the war he said, wonderful Mr

Churchill on the other side are the enemy and all around are our

friends. He said, no, no, on the other side are the Opposition all

around you are the enemy much you know that as well as I do. People

disagree in parties more passionately than with parties on

the other side. If it's a narrow victory for Remain, there will be a

price the Prime Minister has to pay? For instance, the Chancellor of the

Exchequer has been particularly insulted, reviled by people on your

side for his Budget, punishment Budget, he was going to have. Will a

head roll and it might be his to bring people like you, I'm not

saying you are going back into Government, to bring the party back

together? I don't make a presuggestions on this one. I have

been very clear about the Prime Minister. I said that whatever

happens the Prime Minister has a mandate. We want him to continue.

Clearly, he has to make decisions about who governs with him and who

doesn't. That is his decision, either Remain or Leave there. Are

lots of disagreements. Fundamentally disagreed with the Chancellor's

position with regards to the Emergency Budget. Lots of us did.

You know, that may well be gone. That's the end of it, really. You

will stick around for a bit, aren't you? If you would like me to stick

around. I would like you to. You are the only person we have here at the

moment. On that very high ticket I will stick around. Within an hour we

might have something more substantial to talk about. Thank you

very much, Iain Duncan We are going Smith. Over to Brussels to our

Europe editor, Katya Adler. Can Katya, good evening. We know

Brussels have been watching this all very, very closely. What's the mood

there tonight? Are they all, sort of, watching the telly and trying to

interpret what's happened? Oh, yes. Of course, this was a referendum

held in Britain, whether the UK stays in or leaves the EU that has

huge implications for the rest of Europe. So this is being watched

very closely, not just here in Brussels, but in Warsaw, Paris,

Berlin, across Europe. Also across Europe today, town halls flew the

Union flag in a sign of solidarity. There are plenty of Europeans who

looked at the referendum today in the UK with a big dose of envy. They

share a lot of those criticisms of the EU that were highlighted by the

Leave campaign. So their worried leaders have talked about reform.

Our referendum is seen as a warning that the EU in its current form

isn't working and it needs to change. You but the big question in

Europe tonight is - can leaders push for reform in the EU alongside

Britain? If it votes to Remain. Or will tomb the start of more awkward,

rusty relations if the UK chooses to leave? I don't want to be a sceptic

about it. Hasn't the EU said it has to work to change, be more

democratic, more open open, got to do this and does that and very

rarely does anything? Yes, got to be closer to the people. I have been

following European politician for a long time thech have constantly said

it and never managed it. What is different now, in all the years I've

been watching politics. I started in 1996, I have never felt the mood in

Europe be more eurosceptic. If you you look across Europe, on the whole

that means they want the EU to change. They are not necessarily

calling for it to leave. Their leaders are worried. They are

looking over their shoulders at increasingly influential

eurosceptic, more nationalist minded parties. They know they need to do

something. There is a push for reform from the countries of Europe.

The 27 countries, apart from the UK. They say that whether or not the UK

remains in the EU, they will be pushing for change, but we do know

Brussels, change can take some time. Thank you very much, Katya. We will

be back with you later on when we get... Well, some results in, I

should say. Thank you for joining us. There is news, several

Conservative Vote Leave MPs have this evening sent a letter to David

Cameron saying he has, "a duty to stay on regardless of the outcome of

the referendum" signatures include Boris Johnson and Michael Gove. Do

they include Iain Duncan Smith? I wassen asked to sign the letter. I

have been public all along to say he has a duty to stay. These are all

Cabinet Ministers? I'm not in Government any longer. I assume that

is why I wasn't asked. It tells you there is a significant chunk of Out

Conservative MPs who feel passionate natly about this who want it get on

with it after the result, whatever way it goes. It tells you that

people who are loyal to the Prime Minister are worried enough about

the outcome that they have felt the need, very strongly, to put in place

a, sort of, scaffolding around him to try to protect him, whether or

not it's an Out vote, even if it's a very close Remain. That bad feeling

you discussed with Ian during this campaign among Conservative MPs has

damaged the Prime Minister's reputation in the party as well as

the Chancellor's. We can go to Newcastle and see if we are near

getting this first result in. Well, we have had pretty dramatic scenes

here within the last 15 minutes or so. There are several ballot boxes

who have arrived in the hall here. The first one came in a few minutes

after the polls closed here at 10.00pm. Fascinating to see the

system they have got in place here in Newcastle. What they want to do

is two things tonight. They want to beat their longstanding rivals,

Sunderland, to declare a result before them. They also want to be

the first area in this historic referendum to declare a result. Now,

what they've got is a system of runners. Students, around 30 of

them, getting in the boxes from the drivers in the car park, running

them in, into the tables that you can see here. Their aim is to make

sure that not a single table you can see is without counting taking

place. There are 129 polling stations in the city of Newcastle.

That means 129 ballot boxes need to make their way here. From what we've

been hearing from the delivery, counting can take between 20 and 25

minutes. Some people here are particularly optimistic that they

may be able to get a result by 11.30pm tonight. Others, a bit more

cautiously optimistic, saying midnight. It's interesting to note

that, whatever happens here, in terms of the timing, 11.30pm,

midnight, 12. 30am it's about voter turnout, that equates to more ballot

papers. From what we have been hearing the turnout has been hide.

In the region 68% to 70%. It could be higher than that. Newcastle is

one of the 30 areas in the UK where the Remain camp are expected to do

particularly well. This city has benefitted from EU investment to the

tune of ?90 million within the last seven years or so. For a lot of

people we have been speaking to it's very much about the economy and job

creation in the city that they want to make sure it's secure, whatever

the result is tonight. Like I say, the activity continues to flow here

in the hall. Yeah, we think, if we're optimistic, possibly, let us

hedge our bets, ahead of Sunderland 11.45pm. Thank you very much. It

will be important. It will be the first thing we can chew over. Emily

has with her two people who are already prepared to say something

about all of We will talk about the markets. Their reaction to what they

think is happening overnight. First, we will talk to our polling God

here, John Curtis. David mentioned there is no exit poll. Explain to us

why not. We have what we might call a last on the day poll from YouGov?

There isn't ant exit poll. A poll where people have been asked outside

the polling station what they have done. YouGov have done what they did

at the time of the Scottish independence referendum and last

year's general election which is to get hold of people who they have

been interviewing during the campaign and ask them - what have

you done? On the basis of that YouGov are saying that Remain have

got 52% of the vote and Leave have got 48% of the vote. This is the

first bit of public intelligence we have about the outcome of this

referendum. I'm sorry there isn't an exit poll. As David already

explained, methodology of that, which got it right, YouGov's poll

didn't get it right last year, that relies on us being able to compare

the results this time withlet results last time. Of course, there

is no last time. It's, therefore, much more difficult to do. Kamal

Ahmed is here, our economics editor, on the strength partly of this and

partly what they think has been the sentiment of the week we have seen a

strong pound Absolutely. If the markets were deciding this

referendum they would already have called it for Remain. The pound is

absolutely surging on the markets post-10.00pm post that poll that put

Remain ahead. Nearly 150 to the dollar. That's a record high for

this year. The pound has had its strongest week, one of its strongest

weeks, for nearly 30 years. Clearly, investors think, from the evidence

they are seeing from the polls. We think some hedge funds have taking

their private polling, and looked at that. They think Remain has had a

good day. They know not a lot more than we know here. Certainly in

terms. Data there, the FTSE 100, the shares on the FTSE 100 have had a

strong day on the markets. Certainly, the signals are that

remain has won. Markets aren't political, particularly. They are

not saying Remain has won, that is very, very good news. All they mean

is, therefore, the uncertainty of what Leave could have brought, they

#3w4r50e6d, won't now happen. So, therefore, we can start focussing on

the other type of issues, the other problems that Europe has, but one of

them won't be that Britain has actually left. John, in terms of

early indicators, some are saying Gibraltar is the new Sunderland.

When you look at that narrow gap from YouGov, what does that suggest

to you are the factors at play there? Gibraltar we expect to vote

for Remain. The turnout at 84% is extraordinary high. Gibraltar the

implications of the UK leaving with its relation with Spain is

fundamental. Newcastle and Sunderland are different. Newcastle

has substantial university, plenty of graduates living there. That is

the place where we expect Remain to do relatively well. In contrast,

Sunderland, much more working-class. Smaller university community. That

is somewhere where we would expect leave Leave not to do #w8, but

relatively well. If the Remain side were to win in Sunderland that would

be good news for them. That would be an indication that, perhaps, indeed

we have voted to remain. The truth is, even if the 52-48 from YouGov is

right. The Leave side might narrowly lead in Sunderland. We have had

different weather in the north and south of the country, we wonder

whether that will have played out? Back to David.

We are so wet here, we thought people wouldn't turn up, we thought

I might do the broadcast on my own. You will see it when we go to

Broadcasting House, this is the facade of Broadcasting House in

London. All Saints Church on the right, this famous building, home to

the BBC, from which the voice of the BBC has gone out across the world

for scores of years. Tonight, there will go the figures. You will see

the scoreboard that tells us Britain's future. Passers-by on the

street, that are not watching the television or listening to the

radio, will be able to see what has happened. So, we will have more back

here, but let's just first of all have, as important, as always, a

round of the news. Counting has begun of millions

of votes cast across the UK A record 46 million people

were entitled to vote on whether to Remain In or to Leave

the European Union. The first results are likely to be

announced in the early hours of tomorrow morning,

with the final outcome expected In the south-east flooding,

caused by heavy rain, led to several polling stations

having to be relocated. Here's our political

correspondent, Iain Watson. This report contains some flashing

images. After an intense four

month long campaign, it was perhaps hardly surprising

that David Cameron and his wife, Samantha, were keen to vote not long

after the polls opened this morning. Tonight, some Conservative MPs have

sent a letter of support, urging him to stay on, no matter what the

result. Boris Johnson was amongst the last to vote to Leave, declaring

that democracy has been served. He was also a signatory to the letter

urging David Cameron to stay in post.

The last referendum on EU membership was four decades ago, in 1975,

some voters will remember it well, others were having their say

And, yes, that even includes Nigel Farage, he's made this

referendum the mission of his entire political career.

I've wanted this vote, you know, all my adult life.

It is now reported he thinks Remain might have the edge.

The SNP had warned that Brexit could lead to another referendum

on Scottish independence, but in Glasgow the party's pro-EU

leader, Nicola Sturgeon, voted to Remain and sounded

The Electoral Commission said voting had been busy and brisk and some

voters had to demonstrate greater determination than the politicians

Some refused to be put off by a little bit of rain,

but one polling station, in south-West London,

In this referendum, every vote counted.

There were no marginal contituencies, so decisions taken

by each of us, in polling stations like this up-and-down the country,

will now reverberate, not just at Westminster,

not just in Brussels, but in major capitals

The official UK-wide result will be delivered here, in Manchester,

It could of course be close, but what would happen

If it's a dead heat, then it's a dead heat.

It's an advisory referendum and that's what I would declare.

Whatever the voters' verdict, this referendum will have

It's not clear yet whether there'll be an outpouring of peace and love

between former opponents or whether divisions

The pound has risen to its highest level this year against the dollar

and is on track for one of the strongest weekly performances for

many years. When the New York stock exchange closed, it was trading at

just over $1. A man has been jailed for life

for plotting a beheading on the streets of London,

inspired by so-called Islamic State, which could have

targetted a poppy seller. 23-year-old Nadir Syed

was arrested in November 2014, One of the world's longest running

civil wars, in Colombia, has been brought to an end

after more than 50 The so-called FARC rebels have

signed a deal to lay down their arms following three

years of negotiations. More than 200,000 people were killed

during the conflict. As we've been hearing,

storms and heavy rain have caused serious flooding in parts of London

and in south-east England. Several commuter and Underground

lines in the capital suffered There were more problems this

evening as commuters tried to get Players from the three

Home Nations who've made it through to the knockout stages

of Euro 2016 - England, Wales and Northern Ireland -

have been speaking of their hopes. England face Iceland

on Monday, but it's Wales and Northern Ireland that are first,

going head-to-head on Saturday. Our sports correspondent,

Olly Foster, reports. Between them, they've been waiting

88 years to see their teams play on the big stage,

win or lose, the fans have been The Wales and Northern Ireland

players have given their all and been rewarded -

a match against each other, The atmosphere we'll be tremendous,

as good as maybe any You know, our fans have been

terrific. You've seen what we've all seen,

you know, how good they've been And the Welsh fans will be

very, very similar. Northern Ireland found out that

they'll be playing Wales after this result last night,

the Republic of Ireland's late winner against Italy that

saw them go through. Their fans' unwavering support has

been a tournament highlight. National pride is certainly

something that will be driving on the Welsh as they get ready

for the Northern Irish. All happy to be playing for Wales

and honouring the nation, trying to do everybody proud and,

for us, that's, I suppose, the biggest responsibility we've got

is to make our country proud of us That match in Paris on Saturday

of course guarantees that there's going to be a Home Nation

in the quarter-finals. Here at their training camp

in Chantilly, England should be feeling much happier

about their chances That's because they're facing

Iceland, the lowest-ranked With a population the size

of Leicester, this is how the commentator on national

television described their injury-time winner

against Austria. England's job will be

to keep him quiet. They've done well so far,

but we know it's going to be a tough It's important we play with a real

high-tempo and make them work, try and tire them out and then take

the chances when they come. We have to be ruthless and try

and punish them them England's punishment for finishing

behind Wales in their Group is a path towards the final,

fraught with danger. European giants lie in wait

beyond the next round. The trouble is, Iceland

won't be scared either. Olly Foster, BBC News,

Chantilly. I'll be back with more updates

throughout the night. And now the waiting -

to find out if London is in favour of remaining

in the European Union or leaving. Let's cross now to our political

editor, Tim Donovan, who is at Guildhall where the result

will be declared sometime There is a' the hope and intention.

No counting going on heemplt the counting is going on in the 33

London boroughs. The votes currently being taken to those locations, from

3,800 polling stations. Speculation that the weather may affect the

delivery of those votes but, on the other hand, the reports are turnout,

anecdotally, anyway, has been high and London could have, as we know,

an important impact with 5 million voters. It's mayor, new mayor, Sadiq

Khan voted earlier this morning. No secret about the way he was going.

He has been very vocal in calling for London and the UK to remain.

It is the most important vote of my generation.

The European Union, imperfect as the European Union is,

it is crucial for jobs, for trade, for investment, for low prices and

if we have decided to leave, then we've left for good.

So each of the boroughs will do its own counting. Relate result here. So

we will get results of boroughs through the night. It is thought

Wandsworth may be the first one, around 12.30. The City of London,

where we are here, could follow soon after. But the realistic expectation

is you won't get London-wide declaration until at least 5.00am

and we know recent experience shows us, doesn't it, Riz, that things

don't always go smoothly in the capital.

It certainly does. Commuters had a difficult journey

home tonight after flash flooding brought widespread disruption

to parts of the capital. A month's worth of rain fell in just

a couple of hours overnight. This was the scene at Waterloo

earlier this evening. the transport network.

and cancellations across Fire crews battled throughout

the day to pump out water Most of the water's gone

but the mess remains, hours Didn't really understand

what was going on. I thought I was in a dream

and then realised I wasn't. It was a morning of cleaning up

the best they could. Dozens of homes here finding

themselves under a foot of water Liz Owen managed to rescue

lots of her valuables. Sewage was coming

out of the toilets. We're just trying to make plans

to pack up what we can and find some This basement flat around

the corner faired no better. We were in about this

much worth of water. We are all basements,

so it was everywhere. All in the bottom of our drawers,

all in the bottom of the wardrobes. He was floating around

like he was in an arc. Outside was the worst and you know,

it was at least a foot, The flooding also caused roads to be

shut in Battersea but out in Romford 60 homes were flood

when the River Rom burst its banks and in Canning Town,

the DLR station was shut And on referendum day,

Kingston upon Thames one of the boroughs that had to move

polling stations Commuters, too, have faced

difficult journeys with tube We have been successful in

progressively opening more railway The rain is forecast to stop this

evening and we have more people out this evening and throughout

the night to improve the resilience of the network,

so we can deliver the best service we can this evening

but I would advise people The Fire Brigade said it dealt

with more than 500 calls in just They've spent the day cleaning

up across the capital. The world's longest

and tallest tunnel slide opens The Orbit slide, on the Queen

Elizabeth Olympic Park, is not As our reporter Marc Ashdown

found out. Welcome to the top

of the Orbital Tower. We're 76m above street level

and you can see Now from tomorrow, getting down

from here is going to be A 40 second descent,

at speeds of a 15 miles per hour. A little wit woozy,

a little wit woozy. Well, that pleasurable experience

will set you back ?15. Well, you can judge

for yourself from tomorrow. Well, after today,

let's get the latest Certainly a roller coaster wlth over

the past day. The vicious thunderstorms that caused the

problems problems a fading and tomorrow a decent day. It won't be

as humid. Quite humid and muggy tonight. A another difficult night

for sleeping. Not as warm as last night, dropping down to 15 by dawn.

Tomorrow, decent day, dry, bright sunny spells and it won't be that

humid A few showers during the day, maybe. In the sunshine feeling warm,

22, 23. One or two showers possible in the evening but most places

staying dry overnight. A fine start to the weekend. There will be

showers on Saturday. Sunday looks dry and hopefully Monday dry, too,

the start of Wimbledon. That's all from the London

team this evening. Tom Watson has joined us. Good

evening. Do you know something we don't know? No. Ian was saying he

has seen an 80% turnout on council estates. The Leave campaign are

hoping it is the Brexit vote coming out. Do you think it was a likely

interpretation? I don't know how anybody can say that. All around the

country, our teams say there has been a good turnout. During the

campaign, you were quite critical in a polite, famously gentle and polite

way, about the way Labour was perceived by the voters. We have to

redouble our efforts, you said. What was the problem?

It was certainly in the mid part of the campaign. I think we have

improved on that in the last sort of 10 days of the campaign. We just had

very difficult... It was difficult for us to get air time. When you

have these kind of big figures and the Government slugging it out it

was difficult to get our message over. We took an early decision we

wanted a separate Labour In campaign because we thought we had things we

had to say that David Cameron couldn't or wouldn't say,

particularly about, woers' rights, particularly about the kind of

social Europe, a workers Europe we wanted to see in the future. Your

leader, Jeremy Corbyn, famously said, when asked, on a scale of one

to ten, are in in favour of the EU he said seven-and-a-half? He did.

Not a great battle cry for the Labour Party? He said it in

fantastic style in a white fur coat as well. It deeply impressed me,

David. What I think it showed was. He is in touch with with where the

British people are. He consistently said he wanted us to remain in the

European Union but reform the European Union. You know, he sees it

as an imperfect institution that needs reform. You can only do that

if you're around the negotiating table. On one of the key issues,

immigration, you will remember he was asked whether there was any

upper limit, he said no. You feel that, actually, Labour should focus

on the levels of immigration if it's to keep the support of party

members? We certainly both agree we needed to look at at the impact of

the rules across the EU on the other hand how that lites labour markets.

We did try in the campaign to get positive suggestions over. We think

there are things you can do now. We wanted to reinstate the Migrant

Impact Fund. It helps communities dealing with migrants with school

provision and GP provision. We also think the Government could end this

unscrupulous practice of some employers advertising jobs in the UK

abroad but not in the UK. It's manifestly unfair. Do you think that

Labour supporters will divide 50/50 on this issue of whether to stay in

or out? I think we - we will ask Iain Duncan Smith, he's here. A lot

of people on the Brexit side will be saying that those are the people who

are going to vote for Leave? I simply don't know. I can only go on

what the recent polls say. Of course, we shouldn't believe that

anything we read in the polls these days. It certainly seemed to me

about 68% of Labour supporters were voting to Remain. If that turns out

to be the case it will show that more of our supporters supported our

position than any other political party much I don't think we can tell

that either. Do you agree with that Iain? I haven't seen any real

figures about it. You were talking about 80% turnout in council estates

and thinking that was going to benefit the Leave side? I wasn't

making a pregeneral election. The high turnout in the housing estates

suggests something peculiar. Something has engaged them and they

want to turn out. There have been big issues in the campaign which

have a lot of the debate centred around what has been the impact of

uncontrolled migration from the European Union on low skilled

workers and some of the Bank of England staff made it very clear

that has pushed wages down. This has posed a big challenge for Labour,

Tom will be the first to accept admit this, in various areas,

particularly around northern England, there has been an issue

about this and the east of England where they feel nobody has been

talking to them. That is the big debate on theest states they say -

no-one bothers with us and we have a real When we get problem. Our first

result in, what we and you will be looking for is some indication of

what it means. Now, we've tried to work out a way of assembling these

382, we have to call them, they are actually local authorities, where

the count is done, these counting centres, 382 of them. We have worked

out a way... Well, Jeremy and John Curtice have, of trying to measure,

when you get the first result or second result in, what does it

actually mean. You have to watch quite carefully. It's complicated

but it makes very good sense. I think it did when I saw it. Let me

show you our counting index. He we will come back to it again and

again. 382 county areas. On the wall here they are in alphabetical order.

They are in size is crucial here. The bars size denotes the number of

people in that counting area. For example, over here, Northern

Ireland, for our purposes counting as one area, the longest bar. A tiny

one just there, a small bar. We have put 50/50, blue for leave, yellow

for remain, we have no results in. It's a way of showing you the

counting areas laid out in an index. We can go one better. Let me show

you what happens if I order them, based on the analysis we've done

from most Leave to most Remain. Right over here, the counting areas

that we think are most likely to vote Leave, based on an analysis of

how many pensioners who are likely to vote Out, how many graduates

likely to vote In and other factors. Right at the far end you can see how

many there are, 382, the most likely to vote Remain. As results come in,

we will see where the counting area is on this index. We will be able to

say - that's maybe not what we expected. It's a surprise or perhaps

the Leave vote is stronger than we thought, etc lechlt me focus a bit

for you and show one end of this index. We flashed the 40. The most

Leave areas. I will show you on the map. You can see where they are

gathered. A lot in the east of England, Thames gateway, etc. I will

name them for you. The most Leave area, according to our analysis, in

the country, the place most likely to vote Out is Boston in

Lincolnshire. Crucial to us are one or two areas that are coming in

early. Which might give us an early sign. Castle Point, for example, on

the far end of euroscepticism. Also, let's have a look, one other we are

being looking for Basildon. We will put the colours in proportionately

according to the vote. The winning colour will be on the top. Worth

watching out for Basildon and Castlepoint to see whether the Leave

vote is as strong in the areas as we expect I will take you to the Remain

end. We will look at the 40 here. We talked a lot about Newcastle coming

in first and so on. That's far off to this end on Remain much I will

show you where. This will be a result to watch for. Here are the

Remains. Wandsworth here, thought to be early, before 1.00am much we will

watch for Wandsworth. On the far end of Remain, the most euro

enthusiastic Remain, Gibraltar. You can guess them, the student profile,

academics voting to stay in In. City of London expected early. 7,000

voters there in the Square Mile of the City of London. Newcastle, which

we think will be first, it's in the Remain end. The 40 areas we think

most likely to vote Remain. The significance of that. If the Leave

vote is strong in Newcastle, you might start to think something is

up. I will take you baccalaureate to our index. We have the colours now

because we have no results. When the results come in I grey them out. We

will see whether this index can give us an early sense of the drift of

the results, David. Thank you, Jeremy. Tom Watson and Iain Duncan

Smith are slow on the takeup on this one! No, I worked it out. Oh, you

worked it out, did you? They were looking at it saying - I said, do

you understand it? Oh, I don't know. Jeremy, perhaps just one thing to

clarify. Blue is Out, yellow is Remain. Yes. How have you worked out

the likeliest to be exit and the likest to be Remain. What are the

assumptions you made and maybe they will understand it. Half a dozen

factors. Things like the greater number of pensioners in an area, the

more likely it is to vote Out. More senior citizens tend to vote Out.

Got it. Not looking at you there, Iain. Got it. The more graduates in

an area, the more likely it is to vote In. You look at the number of

ethnic minority voters in an area. You look at Ukip support in the last

elections. We have half a dozen, put them together - Tom is looking

doubtful here - He's getting it. Slowly. What will be interesting, we

could have a situation where the eskwens is correct it moves one way

or the another. Later on we will show you the middle 40. That is

where the action will be. We expect those to go 50/50 in the event of a

split result across the country. That is the place you look for - A

little bit more detail, do you think. He wants it in more detail.

4.00am! What we could say simply. It's like a litmus test of each

result. Do you know what a litmus test is? Yes, of course I do. To

take a crazy example. We said Boston comes out for Remain, very early on,

Laura will be all over that. Saying, my goodness this is extraordinary

much you will get a sense, I think, of what the results mean. Right.

Well, while we absorb all that, let us go

to Sunderland. We were told Sunderland didn't want to come first

they didn't want to upset Nissan. They are not counting quite as fast

as Newcastle, true? Well, I tell you what, well, I tell you what, I'm

looking at those counting here and we've been talking to some of the

count being officers. They are employing bank tellers who are

really experienced at counting money really, really quickly. They are

frantically counting. I don't know if those who are counting want to

delay the result for Newcastle, I can't comment on that at all. What I

can tell you is that so far we understand that Sunderland has

around 207,000 people on the Electoral Register. Interestingly,

89,000 of those registered for postal votes. That may delay some of

the counting and some of the time that we get back when we are

expecting to return am we are expecting - we were told to expect a

result around 12.30am thatle might slip back to 1.00am. Those in the

Remain camp spoke to the BBC saying that they were taking a look at

gauging the postal results. The effort they have been putting in

from the Labour campaign, the Labour Remain campaign, 26 Labour MPs in

this region. 25 of those for the Remain camp much they have made a

concerted effort on the doorsteps. They think they have made a

difference to the Remain call or for people to back them in the Remain

camp. That is the picture here so far. Expecting a result around

00.30am to 1.00am it is likely to be after Newcastle. Sunderland came

first in the general election. It's not going to happen this time

around. Before we go to Basildon. Nigel Farage has now unconceded

having - What did I tell you! You said it. I said he would do it. You

said he would do both things. Some he has. Clive Myrie is in Basildon.

How are things there and when do you expect to come... Incidentally,

what's the turnout there, has it been very big? It's been huge,

actually, David. One of the officials told me that they reckon

turnout is anything from 70% to 75%. Much higher than for a normal

general election. They have been counting here for about 45 minutes

now. Pretty much all the ballot boxes are in. They have been pushing

them in on Asda shopping trolleys, which has been a bit of a sight to

behold. Bearing in mind both sides have been shopping for votes over

the last few weeks maybe it's not surprising. Given that Ukip was the

only party here, David, to increase its number of seats on the borough

council in the local elections, you get a pretty good sense of how the

wind is blowing here. This is eurosceptic country. There is no

question about that. The real issue is how big the proportion of the

vote the Leave campaign wins tonight. As I said, turnout has been

very high. That will be crucial. The weather has been awful here

throughout the day. You have needed waders to cross the road at times

today. The turnout has been enormous. The percentage of the vote

has been high, too. Local polls coming into the referendum today

suggested that Leave might get something like 70%-75% of the vote.

If that is bourne out, with the final referendum result, that could

potentially suggest that Leave might do well nationally. Basildon has

been a bellwether in general elections. It could be a bellwether

in this referendum as well. If the Leave vote is lower than that,

anything from 60%-65% that suggests that Remain have done a little bit

better that could mean that Remain have done a little bit better

nationally as well. We are expecting the result here about 00.30am going

on to 1.00am. It will be fascinating to see what happens. Thank you very

much. Let's go to Swindon. Swindon is less

Brexit, but what has the turn been? We are hearing from both sides that

turnout has been very high. There has been consistent polling all day

long. We know in terms of postal votes there has been a particularly

high return. One of the main electoral officials was telling me

that by mid-afternoon, 85% of all postal votes had already been

returned. That is considerably up on a general election, getting on for

20% higher than you would expect at a general election. That is

interesting. Here in Swindon, all boxes are here. They are all back.

That happened, getting on for 15 minutes ago. They are steaming

ahead, counting of the postal ballots began on the dot of ten

o'clock this evening. Apologies if it sounds as if I am broadcasting

from a nightclub, it feels like I am. We have had some very loud music

playing. The killjoys at the BBC had it turned off for a while, I said it

makes it very hard to hear David Dimbleby. They tended off and came

back and said, sorry, we are putting the music back on because we can

tell everybody is counting far quicker with the music on. That is

why it is rather loud and difficult to hear you. I will come back to you

in a moment. At this point, we welcome viewers, good evening, or

good morning, watching BBC World News, with the referendum results of

this important referendum that took place in Britain today. We haven't

yet got any figures. We are waiting for that. We have a slight inkling

it might be a narrow win for Remain, but we don't actually know, we have

not had any results. We hope you find the whole thing interesting and

revealing. It is a very important moment for Britain, for Europe and

the rest of the world. Jane, when you expecting to get your result?

Yes, we think they are pretty much on track, that is what we are being

given from both sides. It could be about 12:45am. Swindon has two MPs,

both conservatives. One of them said, we cancel each other out,

there is one Remain and one Leave. They think Swindon, as per the

modelling, Swindon will vote to leave, but perhaps only marginally.

The modelling suggests that the Leave vote would be much bigger than

that in Swindon if that was going to be the picture nationally. The

Conservative MPs, even though one voted one way and one the other,

they are both telling me they are pretty confident the overall

national picture, for what it is worth, will be Remain. There could

be a slight, narrow win for Leave in Swindon. We should know that by

about 12:45am. I think people should be very cautious at this stage, 11

o'clock, about predicting. Of course, people on the Remain side

are keen to say they think it is in the bag. Nigel Farage said first of

all they thought they might have lost on the Leave side, and then he

said that he not conceding. Tom Watson, you spoke a bit about the

Labour campaign, what you think lies ahead for the Tory party if there is

just a narrow victory? It is not really for me to predict what David

Cameron's future is, but I see the MPs signing that letter, he must be

in trouble if they are signing a letter of support at one minute

after ten. It seems there is a challenge for David Cameron, or

whoever leads the Conservative Party, let's face it, we end the

referendum with the country more divided than it was at the start of

the referendum. It seems that some points we had been slipping into

intolerance. I think it is incumbent on David Cameron to try to bridge

the divide, heal some of the wounds the referendum campaign has brought

about in the country. That means his leadership over the next four or six

weeks is very important. How can he do that, with these divisions, which

Iain Duncan Smith has been talking about, we said earlier on, families

and people divided. It is a very... What can I call it? An abrupt

breaking point for Britain. They have been presented with just one

question. We need to hear what people were telling us. The Labour

Party have to do that. We have to understand what people are saying.

What can you do about it? For me, there are many, many people who did

not hear or would not listen to the argument that the EU has made us a

more prosperous country, and I think there is a reason for that. Over the

last 30 years, the evidence has shown that the prosperity has only

been shared with a very rich people. One way or another, half the country

is going to be disaffected, with the politicians or the other half of the

country, whichever side has won? Of course, these things will take a

while to heal, in the country and in politics. Isn't that optimistic? You

have asked people to make up their mind what kind of country Britain

should be, half of the people that voted are going to find the other

half does not want what they want? Leaving aside party politics, we are

told 80% of people answering this question? Within this referendum, I

agree with Tom, there have been some real thing is that political parties

have now got to stop and think about. The distancing of Westminster

and politics from communities far away from Westminster has been quite

revealing. For the Labour Party, there is a big issue where they are

worrying about how they are getting out of touch with people that they

have always considered to be strong Labour supporters. For my party,

it's a big issue that people that have been taken for granted as

conservative for some time have become quite angry about this

debate, because they feel, for the first time, they are being asked a

question which they have been trying to get across about what has

happened to them. It is not a case of... Tom is right, by the way, many

people on low incomes do not feel like, at any stage, over the last

ten years, they have at all been benefited by anything. In fact, they

have seen incomes fall, and that has caused quite a lot of turmoil. There

is a huge moment, for the first time we don't rely on safe and unsafe

constituencies and marginals, every place in Britain has a voice now.

Many places in the present system have never been able to tell us

anything because nobody was asking them because they didn't matter in a

general election. They do now. This is a huge reason why David Cameron's

handling of this in the next few weeks will be critical. He ended up

calling this referendum, conceding having to hold a referendum, really,

to try to settle a problem on the right of British politics inside his

own party and to hold off Ukip. What it risks unleashing his forces that

the political classes, who have been surprised it even ended up feeling

this close, didn't really anticipate. Many of them discovered

they were more cut off from traditional bases than they

realised. The handling of that is going to be absolutely critical in

the weeks ahead. Let's have a look at the morning papers. It's an

old-fashioned thing to do, really, considering most stuff comes through

online! Anyway... They have had to make the headlines... Well, The

Times saying the closest call for Britain. The Telegraph, Brexit MPs

pledge allegiance to Cameron. The Prime Minister. The Daily Mail,

again, not much of a story... Well, a big story, 100 billion parasite

bankers. We are talking about the city, working through the night to

make a killing on the referendum result. Project Reunite, The Mirror.

A famous picture, we love you, we love you, Britain! The EU on the

left, kissing in Britain on the right. The Sun, Bremad? I don't know

what that means. Is that Glastonbury? Maybe it is a railway

station! I don't know why we are mocking these headlines. We have

another one coming up. The Guardian, party leaders reach out to a divided

nation. You have seen it here at this table, after the bitter EU

referendum. We can vouch for that. The Metro, Farage, I think it's all

over, a remarking has now distanced himself from, saying he has

unconceded! Nothing new there. Remember at the general election,

when he unresigned? Emily? I'm going to speak to Chris

Grayling. Thanks for joining us. I wonder what you're hearing about

Nigel Farage? Has he conceded defeat, has he unconceded? Terrible

word! I'm puzzled, frankly, I think it is too early to concede all

unconcede. Have not seen any results at all. There has been a high

turnout, but there has been a high turnout in areas expected to back

Leave. We are getting polls suggesting Remain has won. I

genuinely don't know what has happened. We need to wait until we

see a proper picture. Can you confirm if your name is on this

letter we are talking about? 84 signatories from Tory MPs, calling

for David Cameron to stay on. Was your name one of those? Yes, it was.

It's really important now that the Conservative Party, having won a

general election, having promised to give the country a referendum and

delivered it, and we have have a lively debate, we are going to see

what the view of the people is, after that we get on with the job of

governing the country, that means uniting behind David Cameron and

delivering the manifesto we were elected on. You would like David

Cameron to stay on if it is a narrow victory for Remain? I want him to

stay regardless of the result. He has been a good Prime Minister. If

we win the referendum tonight on the leave aside, we will need his skills

to take us out of the European Union. If we are not successful, we

need him to continue delivering the change he has been doing for the

last six years. We need to get behind David Cameron and do the job

we have to do for the country, as well as keeping what is a very left

wing Labour opposition at bay. Do you feel the same degree of warmth

towards the Chancellor? Were you one of the signatories saying they would

stand against his austerity budget? I was not. I always took that with a

bit of a pinch of salt. I don't think it would have happened. The

reality is that this has been a lively debate, strong views on both

sides. Now is the moment to say the polls are closed, it is now down to

the counting of the votes of the British people. We have to accept

the verdict and get on with governing as good friends and

colleagues, people with a mission across this parliament to make a

difference to this country. How easy is that going to be? You have 65 or

so MPs signing the letter against the Chancellor. It is a mammoth task

to unite a party that has seen divisions right through its heart?

Of course there have been bruises as a result of the campaign, that was

inevitable. This is an issue that attracts strong sentiments on both

sides of the argument. There is far more that unites us as conservatives

than divides us. If you look at what the Chancellor has achieved over six

years, turning the economy around from the brink of Greek style ruin,

to when we have the lowest payments of unemployment benefit since the

1970s, he has done a great job, the government matter as to make great

job, we are midway through a process of social reform that I think will

make a lasting difference. We need to accept the view of the British

public, we need to carry on delivering the manifesto. We have

another 21 bills to get through in this Parliament, that is part of

what we were elected on. It is beholden on us to unite and get on

with the job. You will concede it is quite curious to hear those that

have been on the opposite side for weeks now talking about their

wonderful record in government. Just this week, I think you talked about

the south-east becoming a very different sort of place if

immigration went on and checked. Do you think that is a message that

will go through to your leader? -- unchecked? It is clearly the case

that if Remain wins it will be more challenging to deal with

immigration. But that will not stop us has a Government listening to the

will of the British people, acting on what they decided for us in

relationship to the membership of the European Union, get on with

doing what we can... So you can presumably negotiate with the EU if

it is Remain, do you believe that? We have to carry on working within

the European Union to get what is right for Britain, delivering change

is what make a difference in the country. We will carry on doing

everything we can in the interests of the country, off the back of the

mandate we got 15 months ago. Thank you.

Thank you very much indeed much we are hearing that Theresa Villiers

has said she understands that Remain have edged it. We should put a

massive caveat in at this point of the night. An hour on air. We have

not had a single result in, so the night awaits us. David. Kettering

has it its turnout. The turnout, 76%. It was 67% at the general

election. More people have registered and the turnout is 76%.

It is probably even more actual people voting. Look, I've just been

joined by Douglas Carswell, the only Ukip MP. Now, we've got this mixed

messages coming from your leader, Nigel Farage, if you still see him

as your leader. Saying he thought Remain had done it, now saying he is

unconceded? Well, I think we should take this with a large pinch of

salt. Which bit, all of it? On the night of the general election

similar pro general elections about Thanet South going the other way,

which turned out to be slightly offkey. Let's look at the facts. We

will see Sunderland fairly soon. Let us look at hard facts before we

know. What we do know is that it's likely to be very, very close. Who

would have thought, after everything that has been thrown at the Leave

campaign, taxpayer funded propaganda and the rest of it. Who would have

thought it would be this close? I think it's been an extraordinary

campaign. I think Vote Leave has done incredibly well to narrow the

gap and reduce the lead, perhaps not quite enough, perhaps they have done

it quite enough. What's the future of Ukip and Ukip supporters as a

party if it's not a victory for Leave? Many people after this

campaign, in all parties, who perhaps feel that the leaders of

their parties, on the issue of Europe and many other things, have

more in common with one another in Westminster than they do with

ordinary folk across the country. Many people will conclude that

politics is a cartel wef need to break that cartel and need new up

start parties like Ukip to break that cartel. Physical Ukip is an

optimistic party that wants change and that looks to reshape the

country for 2030, 2040, not back to 1950, we can be that change. Sitting

ondown your left is Amber Rudd, Energy and Climate Secretary. Thank

you for joining us. You were quite rude about Boris Johnson in one of

the debates saying you thought the only number he understood was Number

Ten, that's where he wanted to be. The mood of the campaign, the style

of it, was very vicious within the Tory party I would like to think I

made interesting points about climate change and women's They may

have equality. Got lost at the insults levelled at Boris Johnson

Boris Johnson is made of porcelain. We have a good relationship. He is

not the man you want to drive you home at the end of the evening. What

does that mean We should not get in the car and let him drive us out of

the European Union. It's perfectly clear. You mistake me completely.

Ah. There has been a lot of talk about people having disagreements

within the Tory party. As Chris Grayling said earlier there has been

robust discussions, there is also, I feel already, a coming together this

evening, people who had strong views on different parts of the

Conservative Party, already reaching out to each other and say - whatever

the outcome, as Douglas said, it's too early to say, we're hopeful we

will unite again afterwards. Conservative Party united is one

thing. What Douglas Carswell is referring to is large numbers of

voters being disaffected by that. Assume for a moment, make no

assumptions about who won or lost. The country was asked to make a

decision between black-and-white, are you for or against? A difficult

decision. Countless people have been saying - I don't know how, I can't

make up my mind. Once they made up their mind and find the other half

of the country has gone the other way. They are bound, aren't they, to

look for - somebody else. Some ideas to represent - There may be people

who think - I was out campaigning in Hastings today. What I heard was a

lot of enthusiasm from people coming up to me and saying - we rather

enjoyed this period of thinking about why the European Union works

for us and how Britain is stronger because of being in. It they have

enjoyed the campaign. It brought them together and you canned talk

about it. I think it hes has had a binding affect on people. Yes or no,

In or Out? Thinking where Britain's place is in the world or whether we

are better served being in the European Union or not? It will be

close. A sizeable chunk of the electorate feel they haven't got

their way. I want to see a new consensus. I don't want to spend 20

years having divisions over Europe like we had over the past years. I

would like to reach out tho those who have concerns, with the new

consensus take into account those concerns. Similarly, if it is

reremain we need to make sure that considerable number of people who

voted to leave the European Union are represent and some of their

views are taken on board. How can he this be takenen board. You say the

EU doesn't rigs listen and won't alter. Than is why you want to

leave? After the Scottish result there was a consensus there intoed

to be devolution of powers to Scotland. If it's a narrow Remain we

need to recognise that that considerable significant proportion

of the electorate, who voted to leave, need to have some

representation. Are you saying that the EU, after all the arbiter of

these things, will listen to the voice of people who said they wish

to leave and change their policy and their way of doing business? Do you

think that would happen I think it might happen. Can I pick up

something with Douglas. The Prime Minister said he never said he was

fighting for the status quo. We are fighting to make sure the UK has a

stronger role within Europe and it's good for the UK to be able to do

that. We don't want things to stay still much we want to make sure we

can influence the European Union so it's in our interests and is in

stronger. What I agree with Douglas about is there have been issues that

came out of this campaign which no Government would ignore. We need to

engage with them more, listen to people more about it and address

them. How do you do that? It was part of David Cameron's campaign if

you stayed in you were voting for a reformed Europe. This week the

President of the EU Commission, Jean-Claude Juncker, was plain as

plain could be he said there would be no more change after the February

deal. February deal that David Cameron had promised was so bold,

most people concede is actually pretty much tinkering around the

margins? We know what the President was saying don't expect a

renegotiation if you want a another referendum. My interpretations what

he said is different to what you suggested. It's saying - don't come

back and ask uses to have a different deal - So many members of

the public want something else from the European Union We will hope to

influence that to take place by, working with other European partners

to do that. Also, on the renegotiation, I think people

dismiss it too quickly. The fact, is on the crucial case of immigration,

he got a renegotiation, the Prime Minister, whereby European Union

citizens come here to work. They can't take out until they put in.

They can't get full benefits for four years. That's a fundamental

change. Once we vote, if we do, to Remain, that will be a change that

people will appreciate. You know very well that the Prime Minister is

not able to get as much as he wanted on immigration. He has not been able

to get what he went in on that negotiation You under estimate what

he did achieve. I don't think anyone should be under the impression

because of the way people voted on Thursday the fundamental problems

that affect the European Union are magically going to disappear. It's a

fundamentally flawed project and the failures within it and to it will

become Evermore pronounced. I think we need to recognise that. The

European Union, whether we vote to leave or stay, is fundamentally

flawed in it is current form. I hope if we vote to stay you will try to

work within parliament to make sure we get the best for the country by

working with the European Union, not always taking the position that we

should leave the European Union if that's the outcome of the British

people. Let's see what the result is. Indeed. I think it's going to be

neck and neck. Let's hear more about the result from Jeremy, who had his

beautifully explanation a moment ago about the size of the constituencies

and the size of the counts. The mechanics, David much I wish I could

give you the result. The way it's, working. We are used to Westminster

elections and parliamentary constituencies, 650 in Westminster,

roughly the same size. It's not like that for this referendum we have

here a proportionate map. Each counting area is difficult. Some are

bigger than others. The smallest here. The Isles of Scilly. There we

are. Just down off the south-east coast. Very, very small indeed. Next

to it, a big stalk here, Cornwall. Cornwall counts as one county. The

height of the stalk represents the number of people in the counting

areas. Later we will turn them blue and yellow according to came first.

We can't do that yet, obviously. The biggest stalk here in the Midland is

Birmingham. Just there. We will focus in a minute on London. There

is an awful lot of votes, 33 different boroughs all reporting

singly. Scotland. A lot of votes in Glasgow and Edinburgh. Not so many

elsewhere. Scotland thought to be going much more for Remain than any

other part of the whole of the UK and, therefore, Scotland may well be

a crucial part in all of this. If I take you down towards London, you

will see this forest of stalks which represents the density of population

in the south-east of England. Let's zoom in on London here. We can see

those 33 boroughs, including the City of London, it's tiny, 7,000

electorate there. The height of the stalk represents the number of

people who can vote. It's possible, with Remain sentiment high in

London, all that a of these turn yellow by the end of the night. If

they don't. If some of them go blue, blue for Leave, you might expect

them, based on the analysis so far on the counting areas to be on the

east side of the London, Barking, Dagenham, Havering, Bexley, so on.

Our map, we clear it down. Once we start getting results we will show

you the margin of victory for Leave or Remain in each particular area.

More there about the meal cans of it all. -- mechanics. North to

Scotland. A country still recovering from its independence referendum two

years ago. It had its second referendum in two years. A Leave

vote by the UK many people have said could have Scotland wanting to

change its mind on independence and leave the UK to stick with the EU.

In Falkirk this evening is Scotland editor, Sarah Smith. Good evening.

Good evening, David. What's the story that you can see there?

Everybody said it was going to be very much remain, does that pro-

Seem to be the feeling? That's what we're largely expecting. We will get

the first result in here. This is the central count where every result

for each of the 32 local authority areas across Scotland will be

announced. The first one about 1.00am from Auckney. First mainland

result, 1.30am from Sterling. Glasgow, Edinburgh, Aberdeen we

won't get until 2.00am to 3.00am. If any of them vote to Leave David

Cameron should be very worried. We are expecting a Remain result in

most of Scotland, everywhere apart from the borders, Dumfries or

Galloway. Edinburgh could have the highest proportion of Remain voters

in any district across the whole of the UK. It's not how Scotland vote

that matters. It's what the UK voters decide. That could have

profound implications here in Scotland. Perhaps we should go to

Wales. James Williams is in Deeside, this evening. What is the position

there? David, we expect the turnout to be high here. I spoke to sources

from all parties and both campaigns right across the country. We are

expecting turnout to be between 70% and 75%. But all the sources I spoke

to aren't willing to guess which way the result is going to go. What has

been fascinating about this Welsh referendum campaign is that the long

held assumption that Wales is a massively pro-EU country has been

challenged robustly time and time again. Despite the vast majority of

Welsh politicians wanting us to remain, despite the fact that Wales,

unlike the UK, receives more cash from the EU than we pay in. We are a

net beneficiary. Despite the fact that migration, as a proportion, is

lower here than in any other UK country it seems that the result

here is precariously balanced on a knife edge. That could be very

significant. As one Leave Brexit campaigner was telling me, a few

days ago, look, if there is a narrow Brexit result across the UK, then

it's important that it isn't just England that pulls the UK out of the

EU. Given we expect Scotland and Northern Ireland to vote to Remain,

what happens in Wales, in that context, could be very significant

indeed. Of course, over the last few years the emergence of Ukip has been

a big political story #. They broke new electoral ground in May winning

seats in the Welsh Assembly for the very first time. It's those Labour

strongholds where we will be keeping an eye tonight. Places like,

Flintshire in the north-east, according to our-John Curtice's

analysis is the most eurosceptic place in Wales. The local Labour MP

is telling me is heartened by what he has seen so far. In this context

that means a narrow victory for Brexit. We will be looking at the

council areas in the south Wales Valleys. According to Labour sources

I have spoken to down there they are more confident they pulled some of

their supporters back to the Remain campaign. It could be a case of

damage limitation in some of those areas. As for the Remain camp, they

are hoping to record big victories in the Welsh speaking heartlands.

They are hoping for a big result in the capital city, Cardiff. We are

expecting the results to start trickling in from 1.30am in the

morning. We expect to give you the all-Wales picture around

4.00am-5.00am. We will keep you updated in the meantime. Thank you.

We go to Northern Ireland, Belfast. They have a different way of

counting here, which Chris Buckler, who is there, good evening, Chris,

he will explain it to us. A Northern Ireland result will be

announced here. It is the same accounting as in the UK, a simple

case of Leave Laura Main. The polling has indicated there is a big

difference between how nationalists and unionists will vote. It has

seemed very clear that nationalists were very likely to vote Remain.

Unionists, it will split 50-50. The key thing for unionists was to get

the vote out from some of those in the Leave side. The DUP is the party

that has been campaigning for the Leave side, argue against the other

big storm and parties. Speaking to both sides, they believe they have a

big turnout, probably double figures on what the Assembly election was

just six weeks ago. They say in the polling stations they have seen

people voting today who did not vote in the Assembly election or the

general election. There are different people there. From the

Unionist side, talking to Leave campaigners, they say they have seen

people from working class Unionist areas who have been very motivated.

Remain campaigners say there have been more younger people out. When

you take a look at the figures as far as nationalists being much more

likely to vote and unionists being about 50-50, I think it is clear we

will get a Remain vote in Northern Ireland. We expect that to be

announced sometime after four. We will get results constituency by

constituency so we can get it sooner. We have talked about

Newcastle being first with a result, it seems to be a possibility

Gibraltar will be first. James Neish is in Gibraltar. Tell us what is

going on. Hello, from the southernmost tip of Europe, where

the count has finished. 20,000 passionate voters exercising their

right to vote in this EU referendum with a massive turnout of 84% on the

rock of Gibraltar. The early indication is that the result will

overwhelmingly be in favour of a Remain vote. I have been speaking to

members of the Stronger In Campaign, they are hoping for 90% for Remain.

The result is imminent. We expected to be declared in the next ten or 15

minutes. The count has finished and the results have been sent to the

south-west region. They will come back to the counting officer and he

will declare. An interesting aspect of this campaign in Gibraltar is

that Stronger In have run an intense campaign. Leave have been tactically

invisible. That is why everybody that is here behind me, all of the

supporters and campaigners, they are really hoping this is going to be in

the European Union. 20,000 votes, so not a big number to give us the

wider picture for the UK. There will be many people not sleeping tonight,

hoping that this is now going to be replicated, at least as far as an i

vote is expected when the declaration comes in the morning.

For people slightly puzzled about this, explain how Gibraltar came to

be in the EU and voting on this? I was speaking to Gibraltar's Chief

Minister earlier today. He was telling me that this is British

Gibraltarians being part of the British family. They stand united as

one. The links between the UK and Gibraltar go back more than 300

years. It was the Prime Minister, David Cameron, who gave Gibraltar

the guarantee because of how Gibraltar would be affected by

Brexit. It was given by the Prime Minister when he called the

referendum, that the people of Gibraltar will have a right to

exercise their say. That is why everybody here is hoping that the UK

and Gibraltar will remain in the European Union. They say that Brexit

would severely damage the high quality of life that Gibraltarians

enjoy today. We look forward to... I think they will be the first

results, we look forward to that. This is Kirklees. Counting stopped,

it has just resumed. They have a minute's silence for the MP, Jo Cox,

killed last week. The same in Leeds, counting stopped and it has now

resumed. I think we can go to the news. I don't know if it will have

changed. There is the front of Broadcasting House. The result, it

will show you not much at the moment, because we have had no

results. There we go, count underway. Sometime later, we will

have that. Let's get a round-up of the news.

Counting has begun of millions of votes cast across the UK

A record 46 million people were entitled to vote

on whether to Remain In or to Leave the European Union.

The first results are likely to be announced in the early hours

This report contains some flashing images.

Big Ben has struck, ten o'clock. It was the moment that polling

stations closed, the UK had given its verdict. Now the waiting, a

night of counting ahead. Sunderland began the traditional race to be the

first to complete the count. As ballot boxes were opened in Swindon,

politicians said it looked like turnout was high. People that often

don't vote are suddenly voting. That makes it a little bit problematic.

I'm simply saying it has been hard-fought, in many senses it has

been great fun and difficult, but now we have to wait and see the

results. With rumours doing the rounds about who is ahead, it is a

nervous wait for campaigners. In the United States, a lot of people are

telling me they were going to Vote Leave or they had. I don't believe

that the book is always get it right. It has emerged prominent

Leave campaigners Boris Johnson and Michael Gove are among a group of

MPs that have signed a letter calling on David Cameron to carry on

whatever the result. It has been a ferocious and fractious campaign and

there are wounds that need to be healed.

As the world waits for the UK's decision, the pound has risen

to its highest level this year against the dollar -

and is on track for one of its strongest weekly performances

When the New York Stock Exchange closed a short while ago,

the pound was trading at just under one dollar and 49 cents.

The FTSE 100 Share Index also closed UP over 1 percentage point today.

As we've been hearing, storms and heavy rain have caused

serious flooding in parts of London and in south-east England.

Several commuter and Underground lines in the capital suffered

There were more problems this evening as commuters tried to get

Police in Germany have shot and killed a masked gunmen at a terror

alert at a cinema complex. It happened near Frankfurt. The man

entered the complex and took some people hostage, before being shot.

Police say nobody else was injured. Jenny Hill is in Berlin. Security

services and police sources have told local media that it looks as if

this was not a terror, IS inspired attack, rather it was perhaps the

work of a confused individual who appears to have been acting alone.

There were some witness reports that suggested that the man himself

appeared very confused during the incident. Police have yet to

disclose whether the weapon that he was carrying was real or fake. Just

before 3pm they were called to the scene, as you saw, and a very

dramatic scene it was as well. Really, the incident serves to

highlight, yet again, how Germany and many other European countries

are on a real state of high alert. A man has been jailed for life

for plotting a beheading on the streets of London,

inspired by so-called Islamic State, which could have

targeted a poppy seller. 23-year-old Nadir Syed

was arrested in November 2014, One of the world's longest running

civil wars, in Colombia, has been brought to an end

after more than 50 The so-called FARC rebels have

signed a deal to lay down their arms following three

years of negotiations. We have the result from Gibraltar.

Let's go to James Neish. 20100 and 73. The number of votes

cast in favour of remaining in the European Union was 19300 and 22.

You could barely hear that, but you can see it on screen, the result.

Just 823 wanting to leave the EU. 19322 wanted to remain. I'm not

quite sure why we cannot hear that clearly. That is the first

declaration, the first result of the 382 we are going to get by 6am. That

is the first result. It is absolutely no surprise, it was well

known that Gibraltar was going to go entirely... I don't know who the 823

are, or what their motive is, Douglas Carswell, probably friends

of yours? Did you think that Gibraltar should vote Out? They will

have their own distinct respective and we need to respect that. I hope

North Clacton and does that result. We will see. A couple of tasters

from around the country, two different sources suggesting that

Sunderland, one of the other early results, we expected to be for

Leave, it might be very, very clearly for Leave. Sampling suggests

as high as 62% for Leave, that is, of course, way off being the

official result, but it would be very important, because it would be

an indication of how strong the Leave vote might be in other parts

of the country. Leave were expected to be ahead, but if it is as much as

that, it would be quite something. Nigel Farage, arriving at the

headquarters of his part of the Leave campaign. Apparently, he now

says his views about what had happened was based on what he had

heard from his friends in the financial markets. That was when he

said he thought that, by a whisker, the Remain campaign had won.

Nigel Farage, of course, the man that actually got the whole

referendum thing off the ground with Ukip, and has had a campaign, he has

been quite cross quite a lot of the time with the Leave campaign for

excluding him and refusing to turn up at places, and actually running

his own campaign, being criticised rather robustly for some of the

things, particularly that famous poster showing refugees from Syria,

which Douglas Carswell and others complained about. Apparently he did

speak. I don't know why the pictures are so rough, you would think they

were done on an iPhone. Ladies and gentlemen, good evening! I want to

say a massive, massive thanks to every single voter today who have

the guts to defy their party political leaders, to defy the

establishment, to defy the elites and big boys. I can't imagine any

other campaign were ordinary folk have been subjected to so many

threats. I have to say, it has been a long campaign. In my case, 25

years. Whatever happens tonight, whoever wins this battle, one thing

I am completely certain of is we are winning this war. Euro scepticism

was considered to be fringe, fruitcake, to quote the Prime

Minister, pretty odd. Tonight, it looks like maybe just under half,

maybe over half the country, is going to vote for us to leave the

European Union. I promise you this. If the result is that we vote to

Leave, we must make sure the government carries out the will of

the people. If the vote is that we haven't quite made it, then we have

a lot to look forward to, as continued EU members. Tomorrow, the

foreign affairs Minister will launch their big new global initiative,

including defence. Next week, talks begin for Turkey to join the

European Union. In July or August, we look forward to the third Greek

bailout. What has dominated this campaign has been an issue that

Westminster finds very difficult to talk about. An issue for which I

have been demonised for much of the last ten years. An issue, and I will

never remember going to Bolton, a lady grabbing my hands, tears in her