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It is 2pm. Welcome back to viewers on BBC Two and the BBC News Channel | :00:26. | :00:36. | |
for our special live coverage of the local election results in England | :00:37. | :00:38. | |
and Wales and Scotland. Thousands of councillors | :00:39. | :00:41. | |
being elected overnight and today, responsible for delivering your | :00:42. | :00:43. | |
essential public services and all of this happening, unusually, | :00:44. | :00:45. | |
during a general election campaign. We'll have results as they're | :00:46. | :00:52. | |
declared and we'll be getting reaction from the parties | :00:53. | :00:59. | |
to what's going on. The Conservatives have had a very | :01:00. | :01:07. | |
good set of results so far. Results coming in within the past | :01:08. | :01:18. | |
hour, they've gained control of the Derbyshire, overall control of | :01:19. | :01:22. | |
Cambridgeshire, and Norfolk. Making gains in Nottinghamshire and parts | :01:23. | :01:25. | |
of Scotland as well. We'll have more details on that. Labour having a | :01:26. | :01:33. | |
turbulent time in England, Scotland and Wales, parts thereof. Strong | :01:34. | :01:41. | |
challenge from the SNP. In Wales they've lost Bridgend and Merthyr | :01:42. | :01:48. | |
Tydfil, keeping hold of Cardiff, Swansea and Newport. In England | :01:49. | :01:52. | |
they've lost more than 100 councillors, many to the Tories. | :01:53. | :02:00. | |
They've won the male role contest in the Liverpool city region. -- lost | :02:01. | :02:05. | |
the mayoral contest. And it has been a terrible night | :02:06. | :02:10. | |
for Ukip, overnight they lost every And the party has been wiped out | :02:11. | :02:13. | |
on councils like Lincolnshire, Their vote share is down | :02:14. | :02:17. | |
dramatically, most of it going In Scotland - the SNP have managed | :02:18. | :02:21. | |
to deprive Labour of an overall majority in Glasgow but we are not | :02:22. | :02:26. | |
yet sure if they have won overall control of Scotland's biggest | :02:27. | :02:32. | |
city for themselves. We're still waiting for most | :02:33. | :02:34. | |
of the results in Scotland. We'll keep a close eye on Birmingham | :02:35. | :02:45. | |
this afternoon. Not least for the Metro mayor race in the West | :02:46. | :02:48. | |
Midlands, set to be a very tight contest between Labour and the | :02:49. | :02:51. | |
Tories. We'll bring you the result in the West Midlands as soon as we | :02:52. | :03:02. | |
have it. There's another Metro mayor race, we'll see if Andy Burnham can | :03:03. | :03:06. | |
win the contest, another significant contest to keep tabs on today. So, | :03:07. | :03:19. | |
we're in the election studio, Peter Kellner resident analyst is with me | :03:20. | :03:23. | |
once again. I'm joined in the studio at this point by Karen Bradley for | :03:24. | :03:27. | |
the Conservatives, John Nicholson for the Scottish National Party and | :03:28. | :03:30. | |
down the line from Manchester, Andrew Quinn, Labour's campaign | :03:31. | :03:35. | |
chair. Thanks for joining us. We'll be with you in a few minutes to have | :03:36. | :03:39. | |
a chat about what's going on and ask you what you think of the trends so | :03:40. | :03:44. | |
far. Before all of that, let's have a look at where we are on the | :03:45. | :03:48. | |
scorecard, the all-important scorecard, to let you know where we | :03:49. | :03:52. | |
are. For all of you joining the coverage, a morning of following the | :03:53. | :03:56. | |
results. Lots of results to come, especially in Scotland. So far the | :03:57. | :04:00. | |
Conservatives, having made significant gains, 365 up in terms | :04:01. | :04:06. | |
of the number of seats. Labour having lost 258 councillors so | :04:07. | :04:08. | |
far... The Lib Dems down 36. The Scottish | :04:09. | :04:19. | |
National Party at this point having made one game in terms of seats. But | :04:20. | :04:24. | |
of course more contests to declare. The Greens have made four gains, | :04:25. | :04:29. | |
they are on 19 seats at the moment. We'll talk more about all of those | :04:30. | :04:33. | |
performances later. I'd like to show you the results before we have a | :04:34. | :04:36. | |
quick update on the news from Derbyshire. Let's have a look at | :04:37. | :04:42. | |
Derbyshire. This is a very, very important contest that has happened. | :04:43. | :04:47. | |
This is where Labour had its big majority of 22 after 2013. Look | :04:48. | :04:52. | |
what's happened, Tories on 37. A game from Labour. 24 to Labour. Look | :04:53. | :04:58. | |
at the difference from 2013, 19 seats up in Derbyshire. It was a | :04:59. | :05:02. | |
Labour stronghold, Labour having lost 19 seats. A punishing result | :05:03. | :05:07. | |
for Labour, a majority of ten in Derbyshire for the Conservatives. | :05:08. | :05:10. | |
It's kind of telling us what's been going on in lots of parts of | :05:11. | :05:15. | |
England. It's a complex picture and we're going to be looking in terms | :05:16. | :05:19. | |
of the trends in Scotland and Wales, too. That's where we are at the | :05:20. | :05:23. | |
moment. I'll be back in a second to talk about it all. It's a good | :05:24. | :05:28. | |
moment to catch up with the election stories, see the memorable images so | :05:29. | :05:31. | |
far, and the day's of the news. Let's say good afternoon to Jane. | :05:32. | :05:36. | |
The Conservatives have made big gains in the local elections, | :05:37. | :05:41. | |
recording their best results since 2008. | :05:42. | :05:42. | |
Many of the votes cast yesterday across England, Scotland and Wales | :05:43. | :05:45. | |
are still being counted, but Labour has fared | :05:46. | :05:47. | |
badly in many areas, including losing control | :05:48. | :05:48. | |
Ukip has seen its vote collapse, only winning a single seat so far. | :05:49. | :05:55. | |
The Liberal Democrats have had a mixed result, | :05:56. | :05:58. | |
and haven't found the breakthrough they had been hoping for. | :05:59. | :06:01. | |
Our first report is from our political | :06:02. | :06:03. | |
It's the Conservatives with the biggest cheers. | :06:04. | :06:14. | |
They gained overall control in nine councils including Derbyshire, | :06:15. | :06:18. | |
Cambridge and Lincolnshire. Tim Charles Bowles is duly elected | :06:19. | :06:23. | |
as the West of England Here in the West of England, | :06:24. | :06:25. | |
the Conservative candidate made history by becoming | :06:26. | :06:29. | |
the regional mayor. In Cumbria, the Tories have replaced | :06:30. | :06:32. | |
Labour as the largest party. But senior Conservatives are playing | :06:33. | :06:35. | |
down expectations ahead The turnout in local elections | :06:36. | :06:37. | |
of course, is much lower So it's wrong to predict what's | :06:38. | :06:43. | |
going to happen on June the 8th. We still have a general | :06:44. | :06:49. | |
election to campaign The Tories are celebrating in Essex | :06:50. | :06:51. | |
too, where this time round, In Lincolnshire, where Ukip's leader | :06:52. | :07:01. | |
Paul Nuttall will fight for a Westminster seat next month, | :07:02. | :07:08. | |
the party was wiped out. And with such big losses, | :07:09. | :07:12. | |
Ukip's future is in question. I've been in Ukip | :07:13. | :07:16. | |
now for four years. The amount of times I've heard | :07:17. | :07:19. | |
the phrase, "Ukip's finished, If I had a pound for every one, | :07:20. | :07:22. | |
I'd probably be quite a rich woman. It's not over until it's over | :07:23. | :07:27. | |
and despite these pretty poor election results so far, | :07:28. | :07:29. | |
it's not over. The party's lost | :07:30. | :07:33. | |
more than 250 seats. And in Glasgow, where Labour has | :07:34. | :07:44. | |
been in power for more than 30 years, it's now | :07:45. | :07:47. | |
lost overall control. These are counties which are | :07:48. | :07:49. | |
the Tory strongholds. It was going to be a tough | :07:50. | :07:51. | |
night for Labour anyway and we are in the middle | :07:52. | :07:54. | |
of a general election campaign, People are voting largely | :07:55. | :07:56. | |
on local issues, not What is coming across is where | :07:57. | :07:59. | |
people were predicting we would be wiped out in places like Wales, | :08:00. | :08:07. | |
we've done very well. The Lib Dems admit so far, | :08:08. | :08:10. | |
it's been a mixed set We held our ground in the face | :08:11. | :08:12. | |
of a massive shift, an enormous shift of Ukip voters | :08:13. | :08:21. | |
to the Conservatives and you know, given that happened, | :08:22. | :08:24. | |
we've done well to stay The Green party says | :08:25. | :08:26. | |
with the Tories dominating, Well I am worried about how well | :08:27. | :08:31. | |
the Conservatives have done in terms of both the Green Party, | :08:32. | :08:38. | |
but more broadly for the future I think that has to be a wake-up | :08:39. | :08:41. | |
call for parties on the left and the centre-left to think | :08:42. | :08:45. | |
about how we work together under For some, the results today have | :08:46. | :08:57. | |
been too close to call. The Tories denied an overall majority in | :08:58. | :09:00. | |
Northumberland after the Lib Dem candidate literally drew the longest | :09:01. | :09:04. | |
straw. For now, it's back to the counting. There is still plenty of | :09:05. | :09:18. | |
that to be done. Mr Rotherham, who represented Liverpool Walton, won | :09:19. | :09:22. | |
with 60% of the vote, he'll lead the region's combined authority in a | :09:23. | :09:27. | |
newly created role. One of the story to bring you, Jean-Claude Juncker | :09:28. | :09:32. | |
has said the English language is losing importance in Europe. | :09:33. | :09:39. | |
I hesitated between English and French. I made my choice. I will | :09:40. | :09:54. | |
express myself in French. APPLAUSE Because... Slowly but surely English | :09:55. | :10:03. | |
is losing importance in Europe. LAUGHTER | :10:04. | :10:10. | |
Jean-Claude Juncker speaking at a conference in Italy. That is all the | :10:11. | :10:14. | |
news for now, more through the afternoon. Now, let's go back to the | :10:15. | :10:17. | |
local election results and Hugh Edwards. | :10:18. | :10:30. | |
We'll be back with Jane later for the news. We are focusing on quite a | :10:31. | :10:37. | |
few big battle grounds this afternoon. There will be lots of | :10:38. | :10:40. | |
results coming in we can try to unpick. One of the biggest ones, | :10:41. | :10:45. | |
certainly, in terms of the power of the person being elected, in terms | :10:46. | :10:49. | |
of the budget of the person being elected, in terms of the real clash | :10:50. | :10:53. | |
of political cultures, is in the West Midlands, the contest for the | :10:54. | :10:59. | |
Metro mayor, the city region mayor, a battle between Labour and the | :11:00. | :11:03. | |
Conservatives. It's taking place under the preference system of | :11:04. | :11:06. | |
voting, so there could be quite a few stages. Let's talk to Patrick | :11:07. | :11:14. | |
Burns in Birmingham. Where are we on this Metro mayor election? Clearly | :11:15. | :11:20. | |
heading towards a photo finish between the Labour candidate Sean | :11:21. | :11:24. | |
Simon and conservative Andy Street. What we had so far is seven separate | :11:25. | :11:34. | |
counts. This is the largest, Birmingham. There is one in each of | :11:35. | :11:37. | |
the major metropolitan council areas in this part of the country. They | :11:38. | :11:41. | |
are bringing these votes together on the first round to see if they need | :11:42. | :11:46. | |
to go through to the second preference votes under the | :11:47. | :11:49. | |
supplementary vote system. A rather complicated thing to explain. | :11:50. | :11:53. | |
Essentially what we now know is Andy Street for the Conservatives, Sean | :11:54. | :11:56. | |
Simon goes through to the second round. On the counter so far, Sean | :11:57. | :12:04. | |
Simon has his nose ahead, if we're heading towards that photo finish. | :12:05. | :12:11. | |
If you factor in the votes potentially from the other | :12:12. | :12:15. | |
candidates now eliminated, second preference votes, there are enough | :12:16. | :12:18. | |
there to tilt the final result one Way Or Another. I'm sorry I couldn't | :12:19. | :12:25. | |
make it any more simple for you, it's a rather complex procedure. We | :12:26. | :12:28. | |
recommend is probably another three hours or so left in this. Both sides | :12:29. | :12:37. | |
say Labour say the battle is in play, the Conservatives say it is | :12:38. | :12:41. | |
too close to call. It confirms the impression I've had during the | :12:42. | :12:44. | |
course of this day, talking to people in the two principal parties | :12:45. | :12:48. | |
camps, neither side is displaying a great deal of confidence, they are | :12:49. | :12:54. | |
hoping for the best at this stage. It's a real knife edge photo finish | :12:55. | :12:59. | |
as we expected it would be. That's exciting, let's hope it comes within | :13:00. | :13:03. | |
the next three hours so we can report it and we're still on her. On | :13:04. | :13:09. | |
the candidates will be eliminated, tell us more about them and where | :13:10. | :13:11. | |
you think those votes could be expected | :13:12. | :13:35. | |
to go the first thing that stands out is that Ukip, as elsewhere in | :13:36. | :13:39. | |
the country, have performed very badly. Where we'll Ukip support go? | :13:40. | :13:42. | |
The logical thing to say is maybe you would expect Ukip switches to | :13:43. | :13:44. | |
head towards the Conservatives. The Greens have polled tolerably well | :13:45. | :13:46. | |
but the Liberal Democrats began there is an anti-Brexit factor. | :13:47. | :13:52. | |
Birmingham itself was evenly balanced between the two. Only 2000 | :13:53. | :14:01. | |
votes Leave and Remain out of a total of. These are very narrow | :14:02. | :14:16. | |
margins. The vote... She finishes a third... When we're most of her | :14:17. | :14:22. | |
second preference votes go? There is obvious speculation both ways, one | :14:23. | :14:25. | |
Way Or Another, I don't want to add to the accumulation of fake news or | :14:26. | :14:29. | |
alternative facts, but I think it's true to say both the main candidates | :14:30. | :14:37. | |
have reason to consider their charge is alive. We'll be back to you if | :14:38. | :14:44. | |
there is a development. That is one of the contest in play. We have a | :14:45. | :14:50. | |
result in this group of six new mayors. They result in Liverpool. | :14:51. | :14:57. | |
We'll join the victor, Labour's Steve Rotherham. Many | :14:58. | :15:05. | |
congratulations to you. Thanks, Huw. I'm wondering what it is in terms of | :15:06. | :15:09. | |
Liverpool, I'll ask you about the national picture in a second. Can we | :15:10. | :15:12. | |
try to unpick the result in Liverpool. What was the campaign | :15:13. | :15:20. | |
fought on there? Well, it was fought on a manifesto that I put forward to | :15:21. | :15:24. | |
the 1.5 million people in our city region who overwhelmingly have | :15:25. | :15:27. | |
supported a Labour vision of the future of our city region, which, | :15:28. | :15:35. | |
when I say overwhelming, 60% overall. 70% in the city of | :15:36. | :15:39. | |
Liverpool alone. Are you disappointed with the turnout? | :15:40. | :15:42. | |
You'll be thrilled with the victory but the turnout was 26%, is it lower | :15:43. | :15:49. | |
than you thought? It was about what we predicted in all honesty, that's | :15:50. | :15:54. | |
because it's a new area, we haven't had a combined authority like other | :15:55. | :15:58. | |
areas, like Manchester have had for 25 or 30 years. So it's a new thing. | :15:59. | :16:05. | |
The first police and crime commission was about 12% so we've | :16:06. | :16:08. | |
done considerably better than that. It's about in line with what we | :16:09. | :16:12. | |
think is the turnout in the rest of the country. What is your message to | :16:13. | :16:17. | |
those Labour colleagues including Stephen Kinnock who we spoke to | :16:18. | :16:20. | |
earlier, saying results across Scotland England and Wales are a | :16:21. | :16:23. | |
disaster for labour and raise questions about the leadership, what | :16:24. | :16:30. | |
is your response to that? It's no surprise Stephen saying that, I know | :16:31. | :16:35. | |
him very well. I play in the Parliamentary football team with | :16:36. | :16:38. | |
Stephen and he's expressed his concerns before. What matters is | :16:39. | :16:42. | |
that in areas like ours we were able to put our message over. We have a | :16:43. | :16:46. | |
very strong mandate and our manifesto will be permitted in the | :16:47. | :16:49. | |
first hundred days. It's the best platform we can have to demonstrate | :16:50. | :16:55. | |
that Labour in power can be trusted. Fighting this campaign during a | :16:56. | :16:59. | |
general election campaign. To what extent where you also having to | :17:00. | :17:04. | |
contend with issues to do with the future of the UK in Europe and the | :17:05. | :17:11. | |
rest of it? There are certainly Brexit on the doorstep, but there | :17:12. | :17:15. | |
are all sorts of issues where that was confused. Local issues, local | :17:16. | :17:19. | |
council issues with what was happening with the Metro Mayor | :17:20. | :17:23. | |
because we've never had one before, so people didn't really understand | :17:24. | :17:25. | |
what the Metro Mayor was. We've got somebody called the Liverpool city | :17:26. | :17:31. | |
region including parts of Cheshire, there was confusion over that. It'll | :17:32. | :17:34. | |
settle down in three years, the people will have another opportunity | :17:35. | :17:39. | |
to decide who their Metro Mayor should be in 2020. I expect it will | :17:40. | :17:45. | |
get a decent mandate again in 2020. Steve Rotherham were to talk to you, | :17:46. | :17:49. | |
congratulations once again on your win in Liverpool. The new city | :17:50. | :17:58. | |
region mayor in Liverpool. Steve Rotherham. 43 needed for a majority | :17:59. | :18:02. | |
in Lancashire, the Conservatives have that. More results to come, | :18:03. | :18:07. | |
this is a partial result. 43 to the Tories, 12 to Labour, two to the Lib | :18:08. | :18:12. | |
Dems, what has happened since 2013? Let's have a look. The Conservatives | :18:13. | :18:17. | |
have put on ten seats in Lancashire, so we have 59 wards declared out of | :18:18. | :18:25. | |
84. Labour have lost nine. We have the Lib Dems 1-1, Ukip plus one, the | :18:26. | :18:32. | |
independents minus one. It's a sense for you of another big battle ground | :18:33. | :18:40. | |
going on. I'm going to bring in Andrew, the Labour campaign chair. | :18:41. | :18:43. | |
He is in Manchester today. Your thoughts, given we've been | :18:44. | :18:51. | |
talking to your colleague Steve Rotherham, on the board Labour | :18:52. | :18:55. | |
performance. Diane Abbott today has said lots of it is disappointing, | :18:56. | :18:58. | |
but she says everything is to play for on June the 8th. What is your | :18:59. | :19:05. | |
take? Of course it's disappointing when we lose that Labour colleagues | :19:06. | :19:11. | |
and good Labour candidates don't get elected. Some of the predictions, | :19:12. | :19:15. | |
particularly in places like Cardiff, Swansea and Newport, haven't come | :19:16. | :19:21. | |
out the way the pollsters suggested they might. We've had a good win in | :19:22. | :19:26. | |
the Liverpool city region and predict a very good win here in | :19:27. | :19:30. | |
greater Manchester. West Midlands is all to play for. It's a very mixed | :19:31. | :19:35. | |
picture but it doesn't underestimate the challenge facing the Labour | :19:36. | :19:39. | |
Party. And in parts of the country we've had results that aren't as | :19:40. | :19:45. | |
good as we would hope. What accounts for that, do you think? I think | :19:46. | :19:50. | |
there is a number of issues. Firstly, when you look at where we | :19:51. | :19:55. | |
are in the national opinion polls, Labour has managed to hold its vote | :19:56. | :20:01. | |
share reasonably well from 2013. What has happened is the Ukip vote | :20:02. | :20:04. | |
has collapsed and it has come in the main, gone to the Conservatives, | :20:05. | :20:08. | |
which has handed them a tranche of seats they lost four years ago. That | :20:09. | :20:14. | |
has been part of the problem. We must also do a lot better. We have a | :20:15. | :20:20. | |
general election on the 8th of June. We have five weeks to determine the | :20:21. | :20:23. | |
future for the next five years for this country. I believe we now need | :20:24. | :20:28. | |
to get on the ground, knock on doors, talking to people. Reminding | :20:29. | :20:35. | |
them Labour values are fundamentally devalues the British people support. | :20:36. | :20:43. | |
You didn't mention leadership as a factor, why is that? The leadership | :20:44. | :20:48. | |
issue was resolved last year when Labour Party members decided Jeremy | :20:49. | :20:52. | |
Corbyn would remain the leader of the Labour Party. We're in a general | :20:53. | :20:57. | |
election and for us it's about setting out that vision of a better, | :20:58. | :21:01. | |
fairer Britain, a Britain that works for the many, not the few. We've got | :21:02. | :21:06. | |
five weeks to hit the ground speaking to people, find out what | :21:07. | :21:11. | |
their hopes and worries are, as well as their dreams and aspirations. I | :21:12. | :21:16. | |
think when we start speaking to people, when we get that | :21:17. | :21:19. | |
transformational manifesto published, we can start to explain | :21:20. | :21:23. | |
the difference that a Labour Party in government for the next five | :21:24. | :21:27. | |
years will make to the communities we seek to represent in every part | :21:28. | :21:33. | |
of the United Kingdom. Labour campaign chair Andrew Gwynne, thank | :21:34. | :21:39. | |
you. We're in a position in BBC election Centre to give you a | :21:40. | :21:42. | |
projected national share of the vote. Let me tell you not what this | :21:43. | :21:47. | |
is but what it isn't. It's not some kind of forecast about Wolverhampton | :21:48. | :21:52. | |
on June the 8th, nothing like that. This is really a figure we've put | :21:53. | :21:56. | |
together, John Curtis and his team have put together, basically saying | :21:57. | :21:59. | |
what would have happened if all the country had voted in these local | :22:00. | :22:03. | |
elections yesterday. That is the sense of it for you. Let's have a | :22:04. | :22:07. | |
look at the projected national share. This is it. Giving the | :22:08. | :22:13. | |
Conservatives 38% on the projected national share. It gives Labour 27%, | :22:14. | :22:25. | |
the Lib Dems 18%, it gives Ukip 5% and the others 12%. If we look at | :22:26. | :22:30. | |
the change from the PNS we offered in 2015, it's showing the Tories up | :22:31. | :22:39. | |
by 3%, Labour down by 2%, Lib Dems up by 7%, Ukip down by 8%, don't | :22:40. | :22:46. | |
forget in 2015, we're not talking about 2013, the last local | :22:47. | :22:51. | |
elections, this is PNS from 2015. No change for the others. It's a very | :22:52. | :22:54. | |
important figure we've just offered you. I'll bring in John Curtis, the | :22:55. | :23:02. | |
resident expert. I want you to explain in clear terms what this | :23:03. | :23:11. | |
figure refers to. This is our estimate for how the country as a | :23:12. | :23:16. | |
whole would have voted if the movement since the English county | :23:17. | :23:19. | |
council election results were last fought over in 2013, if the movement | :23:20. | :23:24. | |
since then had been reflected across the country as a whole. It means the | :23:25. | :23:27. | |
calculation has been done on the same basis. As for the annual round | :23:28. | :23:35. | |
of English local elections. As you've already said, first of all, | :23:36. | :23:39. | |
this is definitely not a forecast of what will happen on June eight, it's | :23:40. | :23:42. | |
not even a statement of what would have happened if the general | :23:43. | :23:47. | |
election had been yesterday. It is an attempt to provide you with a | :23:48. | :23:51. | |
simple summary measure of the overall performance of the parties | :23:52. | :23:55. | |
in the English county council elections put together in such a way | :23:56. | :24:00. | |
we can compare party performances in this year's local elections with | :24:01. | :24:07. | |
2015, 2013, indeed pretty much any other year. With all the health | :24:08. | :24:12. | |
warnings you tacked onto it, what does it tell us about the relative | :24:13. | :24:16. | |
strengths of the party? I've got John Nicholson here, probably | :24:17. | :24:21. | |
looking to see where the SNP is on that, you can tell us that in the | :24:22. | :24:25. | |
second. Let's talk about relative strength as we go towards June the | :24:26. | :24:31. | |
8th. What do you make of it? I guess the thing many people will notice is | :24:32. | :24:36. | |
where the Conservative lead over Labour is substantial, while this is | :24:37. | :24:43. | |
the best performance since 2008 for the Conservatives and the worst | :24:44. | :24:46. | |
Labour performance since it was turfed out of office in 2010, the | :24:47. | :24:50. | |
lead in this projected national share is rather less than the 17 | :24:51. | :24:57. | |
point lead that on average has been in the most recent opinion polls. | :24:58. | :25:03. | |
And the swing since 2015 local elections is around half the swing | :25:04. | :25:06. | |
the national opinion polls have been showing. As we've been trying to say | :25:07. | :25:13. | |
throughout today, it was always clear the Conservatives were well | :25:14. | :25:17. | |
ahead in these local elections, but it still leaves this question of | :25:18. | :25:22. | |
whether they are doing well enough that if it were to be translated | :25:23. | :25:25. | |
into the general election they would get the landslide they are looking | :25:26. | :25:32. | |
for. In 2015 it took seven point lead in the parliamentary election | :25:33. | :25:35. | |
just to get that majority of 12 Theresa May didn't want. It's one | :25:36. | :25:40. | |
obvious technical point. The Liberal Democrats are doing much better in | :25:41. | :25:50. | |
this projected national share. It's par for the course. Liberal | :25:51. | :25:54. | |
Democrats nearly always do better in local elections than general | :25:55. | :25:57. | |
elections, it tends to be the case even on the same day. That | :25:58. | :26:02. | |
arithmetically begins to depress the Conservative lead to a degree. It's | :26:03. | :26:09. | |
not going to account for all of it. For Liberal Democrats themselves, | :26:10. | :26:13. | |
it's relatively good news. The best performance in local elections since | :26:14. | :26:15. | |
they went into coalition with conservatives in 2010. Still well | :26:16. | :26:21. | |
below the 25% figure is the party was getting regularly in the | :26:22. | :26:28. | |
2005-2010 Parliament. It is partial recovery for the Democrats. For | :26:29. | :26:34. | |
Ukip, we only started estimating in 2013 when they did so well in the | :26:35. | :26:38. | |
elections. This is their worst performance so far. Overall the | :26:39. | :26:41. | |
broad picture is what the opinion polls were telling us, Ukip | :26:42. | :26:46. | |
squeezed, that progress by the Liberal Democrats, but not dramatic. | :26:47. | :26:51. | |
Labour heading for a bad result. It's whether the Conservatives are | :26:52. | :26:56. | |
doing well enough to get that big majority Theresa May would like. | :26:57. | :27:01. | |
I'll put some of those points to Karen Bradley in a moment. What do | :27:02. | :27:05. | |
you say to John Nicholson and the SNP? From the data I seen, it takes | :27:06. | :27:11. | |
a while to put it together, because of the boundary changes north of the | :27:12. | :27:16. | |
border. It looks to me as though the SNP might get 40% of the total vote | :27:17. | :27:21. | |
in Scotland, but I'm not sure they are going to get much more than | :27:22. | :27:25. | |
that. In Aberdeen for example, where we have the whole result, the SNP | :27:26. | :27:31. | |
vote wasn't up that much. They failed to win North Ayrshire, that | :27:32. | :27:36. | |
one would have expected them to win if they were doing the kind of | :27:37. | :27:41. | |
performance they got in 2015-2016. I think in truth this is towards the | :27:42. | :27:45. | |
disappointing. From what I've seen so far, limited, much more to come | :27:46. | :27:51. | |
in terms of the expectations we had of the SNP. Karen, your response to | :27:52. | :27:56. | |
the PNS. John suggesting it is a strong performance but not as strong | :27:57. | :28:00. | |
as some have been predicting. You set yourself this isn't a forecast, | :28:01. | :28:06. | |
and local elections are based on local issues. I pay tribute to all | :28:07. | :28:10. | |
those Conservative candidates who have worked so hard over the last | :28:11. | :28:14. | |
few years and months to get elected. Well done to them. There is no way | :28:15. | :28:19. | |
anyone can take that and say, this is a foregone conclusion for June | :28:20. | :28:24. | |
the 8th, absolutely not. It's a different election fought on | :28:25. | :28:27. | |
different issues. That clear choice between who the British public want | :28:28. | :28:32. | |
to be leader, strong and stable leadership with Theresa May, or | :28:33. | :28:36. | |
coalition of chaos with Jeremy Corbyn. Dear, dear, two cliches one | :28:37. | :28:42. | |
after another, Karen, you are the Secretary of State for culture, | :28:43. | :28:45. | |
you're meant to be interested in language, you have to come up with | :28:46. | :28:48. | |
better line than that, really. This is a really important choice, it's | :28:49. | :28:52. | |
vital we make that point. Those lines were written for you, strong | :28:53. | :28:55. | |
and stable leadership and coalition of chaos. It's like being with | :28:56. | :29:00. | |
Stepford wives, the way politicians from the Conservative Party keep | :29:01. | :29:06. | |
churning out the lines. People are frustrated by this patronising tone | :29:07. | :29:09. | |
in the election. We've got to improve... What about the SNP | :29:10. | :29:16. | |
performance? I was very intrigued with what John said, John said the | :29:17. | :29:23. | |
SNP vote wasn't up that much in Aberdeen. The SNP has been in | :29:24. | :29:27. | |
government for 11 years, and the vote is up in Aberdeen. That's meant | :29:28. | :29:30. | |
to be the area where the Tories think they are having a great | :29:31. | :29:34. | |
revival. I've seen the figures, the final figures are SNP 19 | :29:35. | :29:41. | |
Conservatives 11, Labour nine, Lib Dems four. That in Aberdeen. | :29:42. | :29:48. | |
It is a curious criticism that the SNP isn't up that much, but I hope | :29:49. | :29:56. | |
the Conservatives. Pretending there will be a hung parliament. You | :29:57. | :30:03. | |
mentioned Aberdeen. Let's look at Aberdeen, as we know is a hung | :30:04. | :30:09. | |
council. 19 to the SNP, 11 to the Tories, nine to the Labour Party, | :30:10. | :30:19. | |
four seats to the Lib Dems. This is what has happened since 2008. Labour | :30:20. | :30:25. | |
losing nine seats. But is the picture in Aberdeen. Your pieces | :30:26. | :30:29. | |
there is what? They are clearly making progress, the Tories? Ruth | :30:30. | :30:36. | |
Davidson gets up in the morning and she says, let's not talk about | :30:37. | :30:40. | |
independence. She talks about independence all day and then says, | :30:41. | :30:45. | |
I wish the SNP. Talking about independence. Maybe it is working if | :30:46. | :30:51. | |
you look at that result? What she has done is peel away the right wing | :30:52. | :30:55. | |
of the Labour Party. If you look at the votes in Scotland, there is a | :30:56. | :31:01. | |
shift between labour to the Conservatives. The SNP vote is | :31:02. | :31:04. | |
roughly static but the Labour Party is losing ground to the Tories. | :31:05. | :31:09. | |
There seems to be a straight shift from one to the other. How do you | :31:10. | :31:14. | |
explain that, Labour straight to the Tories? I think Bruce has done a | :31:15. | :31:19. | |
great job in Scotland from a very low base. Tributes to be paid to | :31:20. | :31:26. | |
her. The point that this is not going to be a hung parliament, the | :31:27. | :31:31. | |
results are clear. We have seen in Liverpool, 60% of the vote has gone | :31:32. | :31:35. | |
to Labour. There is a real possibility of a Labour government. | :31:36. | :31:42. | |
No there isn't. We will make it clear that is the choice that will | :31:43. | :31:47. | |
be made by people on the 8th of June. We cannot take people for | :31:48. | :31:50. | |
fools, we know what will happen in this election. I don't. I do. You | :31:51. | :32:00. | |
cannot take anything for granted. That is the lying politicians use, | :32:01. | :32:03. | |
but we know there will be a Conservative Government and you will | :32:04. | :32:08. | |
win with a whopping great majority. So the question for voters across | :32:09. | :32:12. | |
the country is, do you want the Tories to have a serious opposition? | :32:13. | :32:25. | |
Conservative MPs make this point privately, it is good to have strong | :32:26. | :32:29. | |
opposition. I think a lot of Tory voters must think, they are going to | :32:30. | :32:34. | |
win, but maybe there should be a strong opposition also. I broadly | :32:35. | :32:39. | |
agree that when you have whopping great majorities, in Scotland in the | :32:40. | :32:47. | |
last general election, there were 56 SNP MPs out of 59. Buy your own | :32:48. | :32:52. | |
arguments, wouldn't it be healthier for Scottish politics if there were | :32:53. | :33:00. | |
slightly fewer SNP MPs and more Unionist MPs? You are comparing | :33:01. | :33:05. | |
apples with pears. SNP MPs at Westminster are not attempting to | :33:06. | :33:11. | |
form a government. They are not opposition bloc. The speaker from | :33:12. | :33:16. | |
the opposition bloc said we are persisted because we support first | :33:17. | :33:25. | |
past the post. We have a result, Tees Valley, the results for the | :33:26. | :33:35. | |
mayor. 21% turnout. So the Conservatives on 40000 and close | :33:36. | :33:39. | |
behind, Sue Jeffery on 39,000 for Labour. If we look at the figures, | :33:40. | :33:49. | |
39%, each. It is a Conservative win in Tees Valley on 48,000 after | :33:50. | :33:56. | |
everything is recalculated and 46,000 for Labour. So, what are we | :33:57. | :34:03. | |
saying at this point? Let's go to College Green and talk to Steve | :34:04. | :34:10. | |
Richards and another journalist. Steve, your take on what is going | :34:11. | :34:14. | |
on? Sometimes politics needs decoding, it doesn't really at the | :34:15. | :34:19. | |
moment. What we see is what is happening, it is interesting to hear | :34:20. | :34:24. | |
Karen Bradley talk up the prospects of a Labour victory. Meanwhile we | :34:25. | :34:27. | |
have Labour candidate saying, you can vote for me, don't worry because | :34:28. | :34:32. | |
we will not win. When you are in that situation, the general | :34:33. | :34:37. | |
narrative is pretty clear, the Conservatives are heading for a | :34:38. | :34:41. | |
significant victory next month. These local election results on the | :34:42. | :34:48. | |
whole, with John Curtis' brilliant qualifications do confirm that | :34:49. | :34:52. | |
pattern. Julia, what are your thoughts? It is absurd to have a | :34:53. | :34:56. | |
situation where the Conservatives are playing down what is a | :34:57. | :35:00. | |
successful date and the Labour Party are trying to talk up what is a | :35:01. | :35:06. | |
disastrous situation. The SNP talking up a Tory victory. The | :35:07. | :35:11. | |
question is, how much we can read in to the general election in a few | :35:12. | :35:16. | |
weeks. An awful lot of us, me included, want to vote on whether my | :35:17. | :35:20. | |
bins are being collected or whether a local councillor is someone you | :35:21. | :35:30. | |
know or not. Very different from general collections. As you have | :35:31. | :35:32. | |
seen with some of the turnout, so few of the people who vote in a | :35:33. | :35:35. | |
general election have turned out to vote. It is dangerous to read | :35:36. | :35:38. | |
anything into what it might mean for the general election, other than a | :35:39. | :35:44. | |
Tory majority. Significant contest, the new mayor of the West Midlands, | :35:45. | :35:48. | |
which is a very powerful position and that is closed between the | :35:49. | :35:52. | |
Conservatives and Labour. These results must not be discounted in | :35:53. | :35:58. | |
terms of what they say? No, if Labour were to lose the contest for | :35:59. | :36:05. | |
the mayor, that would be a big blow to their morale as they then look | :36:06. | :36:08. | |
forward to the general election where morale is pretty dodgy anyway. | :36:09. | :36:13. | |
As Julia said, it is important to remember with the mayoral contest, | :36:14. | :36:18. | |
the local dimensional. What ever happens now and in June when Theresa | :36:19. | :36:23. | |
May is now expected to win big, is that we will have these pockets of | :36:24. | :36:28. | |
power elsewhere, in Birmingham, Manchester, Liverpool. There is a | :36:29. | :36:32. | |
Scottish parliament. It is one of the big differences to the 1980s | :36:33. | :36:37. | |
when Margaret Thatcher won big. When she did, she ruled the whole of the | :36:38. | :36:41. | |
UK, there was virtually no local departments, and a Scottish | :36:42. | :36:44. | |
parliament. But if the Tories were to win this one, there would be a | :36:45. | :36:53. | |
celebration at conservative HQ here because it will tell them what will | :36:54. | :36:58. | |
happen in the general election. One of the big power bases, by the looks | :36:59. | :37:02. | |
of it, will not be the Liberal Democrats. They are the one big | :37:03. | :37:07. | |
party going for the Remain vote. It looks like a lot of leave voters | :37:08. | :37:14. | |
have gone to the Tories and others have voted on the bin collection | :37:15. | :37:17. | |
rather than voting for the Remain party. The party of the 11% rather | :37:18. | :37:23. | |
than the 48% by the end of today. Steve and Julia, enjoy the rest of | :37:24. | :37:31. | |
the results. Ranks for joining us. A little later than planned, we will | :37:32. | :37:36. | |
get the news, not just the election news but the news as well let's join | :37:37. | :37:38. | |
Jane Hill. The Conservatives have made big | :37:39. | :37:45. | |
gains in the council elections in England and Wales, | :37:46. | :37:47. | |
recording their best Many of the votes cast | :37:48. | :37:49. | |
yesterday across England, Scotland and Wales are still to be | :37:50. | :37:52. | |
counted, but Labour have suffered losses and Ukip have | :37:53. | :37:56. | |
lost all but one seat. The kernel Edds have taken 11 | :37:57. | :38:05. | |
councils and gained more than 400 seats and be our head with Billy | :38:06. | :38:09. | |
1500 councillors was but earlier the party was downplaying the | :38:10. | :38:14. | |
significance of these victories. Many votes remain uncounted. | :38:15. | :38:20. | |
I think the early results are encouraging, but | :38:21. | :38:22. | |
We have seen less than a quarter of the vote actually | :38:23. | :38:25. | |
The turnout in local elections, of course, is much, much lower | :38:26. | :38:29. | |
It is wrong to predict what will happen on June 8th. | :38:30. | :38:33. | |
We still have a general election to campaign | :38:34. | :38:35. | |
for and to win after last night, but encouraging signs. | :38:36. | :38:42. | |
Labour is on course to lose control of Glasgow, | :38:43. | :38:46. | |
the party has been in control in the city since 1980. | :38:47. | :38:52. | |
The party has lost five councils over role and more than 270 council | :38:53. | :39:00. | |
seats but the party did hold onto Cardiff. Diane Abbott warned people | :39:01. | :39:03. | |
not to read too much into these results. | :39:04. | :39:05. | |
But I think we have to be careful from extrapolating from local | :39:06. | :39:11. | |
The turnout is much lower and in many cases, people vote | :39:12. | :39:15. | |
But, I'm not pretending that these aren't disappointing results. | :39:16. | :39:24. | |
The results have been disappointing for Ukip. | :39:25. | :39:26. | |
So far the party has only managed to win one | :39:27. | :39:28. | |
of the the seats it has contested, losing 92 previously | :39:29. | :39:31. | |
Including all four seats it held on Bevan County Council. | :39:32. | :39:45. | |
Ukip says it still has sitting councillors in the country, | :39:46. | :39:47. | |
although those positions were not up for election this time. | :39:48. | :39:49. | |
The results have been mixed for the Liberal Democrats. | :39:50. | :39:51. | |
A short time ago the Party had lost 39 council seats. | :39:52. | :39:54. | |
The Lib Dems also failed to retake Somerset Council | :39:55. | :39:56. | |
from the Conservatives, although the Tory leader John Osman | :39:57. | :39:58. | |
was ousted by Lib Dem former MP Tessa Munt. | :39:59. | :40:07. | |
Former Labour MP Steve Rotherham has become Liverpool's | :40:08. | :40:09. | |
Mr Rotherham, a former bricklayer who represented Liverpool Walton, | :40:10. | :40:16. | |
He said people had voted in favour of a bold manifesto and a fresh | :40:17. | :40:31. | |
start. Tim Bowles weren't in the West of England for the | :40:32. | :40:36. | |
Conservatives. Played Comrie in Wales and the Green party have made | :40:37. | :40:41. | |
gains. The Greens are up two seen so far while Plaid Cymru has 33 more | :40:42. | :40:44. | |
councillors. It's not just election season here, | :40:45. | :40:52. | |
in France it's the last day of a contentious campaign to chose | :40:53. | :40:55. | |
a new President. The two candidates, | :40:56. | :40:57. | |
the centrist and favourite Emmanuel Macron, and the right wing | :40:58. | :40:59. | |
Marine Le Pen, are out on the campaign trail | :41:00. | :41:02. | |
for the last time today, before voters go to | :41:03. | :41:04. | |
the polls on Sunday. Christian Fraser is | :41:05. | :41:10. | |
in Paris for us now. What is your sense of it? It has | :41:11. | :41:21. | |
been a long other times bitter campaign. I am not sure it has done | :41:22. | :41:26. | |
much to heal the divisions in France and we have seen more hostility | :41:27. | :41:32. | |
today. Marine Le Pen was at the cathedral which is where they used | :41:33. | :41:36. | |
to crown the old Kings of France. But such is the hostility from the | :41:37. | :41:41. | |
crowds that whether, after she had been around the cathedral, she had | :41:42. | :41:44. | |
to go out through a Robing Room at the back and to a waiting car. | :41:45. | :41:49. | |
Earlier we saw a huge banner that was unfurled under the arches of the | :41:50. | :41:54. | |
Eiffel Tower, it had been put up by Greenpeace which had hash tag resist | :41:55. | :42:01. | |
on it. So the hostility to Marine Le Pen is there. Although a Emmanuel | :42:02. | :42:08. | |
Macron has a big lead, 62-38, the talk is, they don't want anyone to | :42:09. | :42:12. | |
take the vote for granted and they don't want complacency. The biggest | :42:13. | :42:16. | |
threat to him is the abstention rate, which could be quite high. | :42:17. | :42:27. | |
Thank you, Christian. We have been hearing from Michel Barnier at a | :42:28. | :42:33. | |
conference about EU's citizens rights in Florence. He warned there | :42:34. | :42:36. | |
are concerns about the right to free movement which has been given to | :42:37. | :42:38. | |
European citizens. We should not allow populace to take | :42:39. | :42:49. | |
the political debate hostage. But we should not ignore what are often | :42:50. | :42:54. | |
deeply felt opinions and reactions. People are concerned about the free | :42:55. | :43:02. | |
movement of EU workers, not only in the UK, but also in many other | :43:03. | :43:05. | |
member states. That's a summary of the news, | :43:06. | :43:08. | |
now back to Local Elections Welcome back. We are covering the | :43:09. | :43:36. | |
results of the local elections in England, Scotland and Wales and we | :43:37. | :43:40. | |
will be focusing on lots of these results still coming in. Some of | :43:41. | :43:44. | |
them in big contest such as the West Midlands for the new city and | :43:45. | :43:48. | |
regional mad. But the results coming in. Norfolk has come in. This is a | :43:49. | :43:53. | |
conservative gain. A familiar story in lots of parts of England from no | :43:54. | :44:00. | |
overall control, 55 seats to the Conservatives in Norfolk. 17 to | :44:01. | :44:07. | |
Labour, 11 the Lib Dems. It is a familiar picture in terms of the | :44:08. | :44:11. | |
collapse of Ukip. Let's look at the difference because we have 15 games | :44:12. | :44:17. | |
for the Conservatives and 15 losses for Ukip. The East of England | :44:18. | :44:21. | |
telling us quite a familiar story by now. Those are the Norfolk figures, | :44:22. | :44:26. | |
I want to go straight to Andrew Sinclair, our correspondent in Great | :44:27. | :44:31. | |
Yarmouth, that is where he was earlier. Andrew, where are you? I am | :44:32. | :44:36. | |
now at County Hall in Norfolk. With the Wii would come here for the | :44:37. | :44:42. | |
final declaration. This place was technically in no overall control, | :44:43. | :44:45. | |
this Conservatives were just about able to run it for the last year now | :44:46. | :44:49. | |
they have a majority of 26 and across Norfolk, the Conservatives | :44:50. | :44:54. | |
brought in some very impressive majorities, as the counting went | :44:55. | :44:59. | |
ahead. The other headlines in Norfolk, yes, Ukip have been wiped | :45:00. | :45:03. | |
out, as they have been across East Anglia but also the Green party have | :45:04. | :45:08. | |
been wiped out. They were wiped out because of a small Labour surge | :45:09. | :45:12. | |
which we saw in Norwich in the Labour heartland of Norfolk really. | :45:13. | :45:16. | |
This is quite important, because this part of Norwich, the seat was | :45:17. | :45:21. | |
held up the last election by Clive Lewis from Labour. The former | :45:22. | :45:31. | |
Business Secretary, seen by some as being a future leadership contender. | :45:32. | :45:34. | |
He was going to face a big fight in the forthcoming general election. He | :45:35. | :45:37. | |
still does face a fight, but I think he will sleep a little bit more | :45:38. | :45:41. | |
happily the night, knowing Labour have done so well in Norwich. The | :45:42. | :45:46. | |
other bits of news from Norfolk, is we see a bit of a Liberal Democrat | :45:47. | :45:50. | |
surge on the North Norfolk coast. They have taken seats from Ukip and | :45:51. | :45:54. | |
also took one seat from the Conservatives. That will go down | :45:55. | :45:59. | |
with Norman Lamb, the Liberal Democrat health spokesman, who is | :46:00. | :46:03. | |
facing a big challenge from the Conservatives on the North Norfolk | :46:04. | :46:13. | |
coast, because he only has a majority of 4000. At the end of the | :46:14. | :46:15. | |
day, the main story, from the whole of East Anglia is, this Ukip | :46:16. | :46:18. | |
wipe-out. It is significant for this part of the world because this is | :46:19. | :46:22. | |
where Ukip started to see its first signs of support, it won its first | :46:23. | :46:28. | |
ever town council in Ramsey in 2010. Since then, it went on to pick up a | :46:29. | :46:34. | |
load of smaller council seats, District Council level and then in | :46:35. | :46:38. | |
2013, at the last County Council elections, Ukip sprung onto the | :46:39. | :46:45. | |
stage by winning a lot of seats here in Norfolk. So many that at one | :46:46. | :46:49. | |
stage it was the second largest party in the council. It won a lot | :46:50. | :46:54. | |
of seeds in Cambridgeshire and six. The story here, is Ukip has | :46:55. | :46:58. | |
absolutely no seats at a County Council level. That is Norfolk, just | :46:59. | :47:05. | |
putting the figure is up for. Can you talk us through that and it is | :47:06. | :47:10. | |
the Ukip loss and the search for the Conservatives? Yes, that is | :47:11. | :47:15. | |
interesting in Cambridgeshire. Cambridge was put into no overall | :47:16. | :47:20. | |
control. It is normally a solid conservative council, but it went | :47:21. | :47:24. | |
into no overall control, like Norfolk, because Ukip did well. For | :47:25. | :47:29. | |
a while, they brought in changes to something called the cabinet system, | :47:30. | :47:34. | |
which was a change in the way local business was done. They did make | :47:35. | :47:37. | |
quite an impact in Cambridge, but they have lost the seats. A lot of | :47:38. | :47:43. | |
the seats were up in the Cambridge offends, area is seen as traditional | :47:44. | :47:48. | |
Ukip territory. Remember, it was the surge of these seats for Ukip in | :47:49. | :47:56. | |
places like Cambridge, Norfolk and six which made the Conservatives, | :47:57. | :47:59. | |
under David Cameron realise, they had to stay true to their pledge to | :48:00. | :48:06. | |
grant a referendum. But Ukip support has dissipated. Before we left Great | :48:07. | :48:09. | |
Yarmouth, we went into the street to talk to people to say, what do you | :48:10. | :48:14. | |
think has happened to the Ukip vote? Every person we spoke to in Great | :48:15. | :48:18. | |
Yarmouth said the same thing, we think Ukip's job is done. And that | :48:19. | :48:21. | |
echoes Ukip's one former MP, Douglas Carswell, who when he | :48:22. | :48:37. | |
left Ukip two weeks ago, said the same thing- job done. Andrew, thank | :48:38. | :48:39. | |
you very much from Norfolk with the latest picture in the East of | :48:40. | :48:42. | |
England. Peter, talk us through your thoughts of this Ukip collapse on | :48:43. | :48:46. | |
the fact it has fed very strongly into a very big conservative surge | :48:47. | :48:49. | |
in some of these counties. We are being told by some conservatives, it | :48:50. | :48:54. | |
is not all about that, there are other reasons for Conservatives | :48:55. | :48:57. | |
doing well, but we cannot discount this as a very, very big factor? It | :48:58. | :49:04. | |
is a huge factor. I am looking at the seeds Ukip were defending. We | :49:05. | :49:09. | |
have the voting numbers in. In those seats where Ukip 14 years ago, they | :49:10. | :49:15. | |
are now forth. They got fewer votes in their own seats. The Conservative | :49:16. | :49:23. | |
vote has gone up massively in those areas. I think part of the | :49:24. | :49:31. | |
significance is this, one of the reasons why the Conservatives did. | :49:32. | :49:35. | |
Get a bigger majority in 2015 was, a lot of people who would have | :49:36. | :49:40. | |
otherwise voted Conservative, voted Ukip because of the European issue. | :49:41. | :49:45. | |
Those Conservatives have gone back to being Conservative voters. If | :49:46. | :49:50. | |
nothing else changes in the general election, that will deliver a bigger | :49:51. | :49:55. | |
majority to Theresa May. Overall, compared with four years ago, if | :49:56. | :50:00. | |
anything there is an overall swing from right to left, if you add up | :50:01. | :50:05. | |
Tory and Ukip on one side and the Liberal Democrats, labour and the | :50:06. | :50:09. | |
Greens on the other. The Tories have huge gains, Ukip have a number of | :50:10. | :50:14. | |
losses, Labour down, Liberal Democrats down. Under our voting | :50:15. | :50:19. | |
system, this coming together of the right of centre votes behind the | :50:20. | :50:23. | |
Conservatives, where it was more split two years ago, that is | :50:24. | :50:28. | |
terrific news for Theresa May. What ever happens to the Labour vote, | :50:29. | :50:31. | |
people on the left is what they think about Jeremy Corbyn. Barry, | :50:32. | :50:36. | |
we'll be with you in a second. I know Ruth Davidson is also waiting | :50:37. | :50:41. | |
to talk to us, why don't I bring us up today so far on the Scottish | :50:42. | :50:47. | |
result so Ruth Davidson can address some of those. 21 losses in terms of | :50:48. | :50:54. | |
seats for the SNP. The Conservatives, having gained 91 seat | :50:55. | :50:57. | |
so far in Scotland, and the independents down 11. Labour on 122, | :50:58. | :51:10. | |
the Lib Dems on 37. Let's look at Dundee. The SNP losing its control | :51:11. | :51:19. | |
in Dundee, they are on 14 seats, Labour are and nine, and just short | :51:20. | :51:26. | |
of that control, look at the change from the last time in 2012. In | :51:27. | :51:31. | |
Dundee, it the SNP have lost two seats which accounts for the loss of | :51:32. | :51:33. | |
overall control. That is the picture in Dundee, do I | :51:34. | :51:42. | |
have any other Scottish results to show? I have Aberdeenshire. This is | :51:43. | :51:50. | |
a hung council. The Tories on 23, SNP on 21. Lib Dems on 14, | :51:51. | :51:55. | |
independence on ten. This is another case of the Conservatives are making | :51:56. | :52:00. | |
progress. If we look at the change from 2012, they have put on nine | :52:01. | :52:05. | |
seats and the SNP have gone down eight seats in Aberdeenshire. The | :52:06. | :52:11. | |
Lib Dems up two, independents down two and labour are down one seat. I | :52:12. | :52:16. | |
will bring Ruth Davidson in. Thanks for joining us, Ruth. Headline | :52:17. | :52:21. | |
thoughts on where you are today? I think today is shaping up to be a | :52:22. | :52:25. | |
good day for the Scottish Conservatives. It consolidates some | :52:26. | :52:31. | |
of the gains we made last year at the Scottish parliament and became | :52:32. | :52:34. | |
the second party in Scotland. People across Scotland are looking for the | :52:35. | :52:38. | |
Scottish fight back against the SNP where they have tried to create a | :52:39. | :52:44. | |
sense of momentum. Wherever you are, from the Borders to the Highlands, | :52:45. | :52:48. | |
the only party strong enough to lead the fight back is the Scottish | :52:49. | :52:52. | |
Conservatives. We have John Nicholson, and I wonder what he | :52:53. | :52:57. | |
might have to say about that. It is always good to see Ruth, I am | :52:58. | :53:02. | |
looking at her local government leaflet in front of me. She always | :53:03. | :53:06. | |
says, get on with the job and stop obsessing about the constitution. | :53:07. | :53:12. | |
This leaflet doesn't mention bins, transport or education. What it says | :53:13. | :53:17. | |
is, we need to send Nicola Sturgeon a message. What Ruth does, she gets | :53:18. | :53:22. | |
up every morning and she talks about independence all day long. The | :53:23. | :53:27. | |
narrative is, I wish those nationalists would stop talking | :53:28. | :53:31. | |
about independence. Somebody looking on, on the basis of these results, | :53:32. | :53:37. | |
it she is right. All credit to Ruth, she has achieved her aim and she has | :53:38. | :53:42. | |
peeled away the right of the Labour Party and successfully managed... | :53:43. | :53:49. | |
Lets let Ruth answer that. There is a simple way of John and his | :53:50. | :53:54. | |
colleagues to want me to stop talking about independence and that | :53:55. | :53:58. | |
is the Nicola Sturgeon to do what she said you do, respect the | :53:59. | :54:11. | |
decision from the last referendum. Because of electoral rules, we don't | :54:12. | :54:17. | |
mention the individual candidate or individual seats, every one of our | :54:18. | :54:22. | |
candidates put forward their election address that had the key | :54:23. | :54:25. | |
points of their area, had priorities for the local council. It is making | :54:26. | :54:29. | |
sure we do both things, we fight on a national level and local level. I | :54:30. | :54:34. | |
think it is sour grapes on John, a man under pressure in his own seat | :54:35. | :54:37. | |
and has a minority that he has to defend. At least I am fighting my | :54:38. | :54:44. | |
own seat again, Ruth because you had to cross the country to fight for a | :54:45. | :54:52. | |
different seat. Let's not project too much ahead. Peta wants to talk | :54:53. | :54:57. | |
about the voting system which will help viewers understand the | :54:58. | :55:00. | |
situation in Scotland and the dynamics are often different? In the | :55:01. | :55:04. | |
English elections it is traditional first past the post system. In | :55:05. | :55:11. | |
Scottish local elections it is the single transferable vote. If you are | :55:12. | :55:16. | |
wondering how some of these councils are coming up nowhere overall | :55:17. | :55:19. | |
control, because of proportional voting you tend to get nowhere | :55:20. | :55:23. | |
overall control. Unless one party is miles ahead of the others, they | :55:24. | :55:28. | |
might get the majority. But it does raise the question, at local | :55:29. | :55:32. | |
government level, Scotland only works when parties get together and | :55:33. | :55:37. | |
cooperate. Either as a joint Administration, or issue by issue. | :55:38. | :55:42. | |
What we are seeing between John and Ruth, the tone will have to change | :55:43. | :55:47. | |
when the Conservatives in local councils and the SNP in local | :55:48. | :55:50. | |
councils find they have to get together to get things done. We have | :55:51. | :55:55. | |
ruled out any coalition with the Conservatives and we have been | :55:56. | :56:00. | |
clear, that will not be happening. Ruth, on the basis of the results we | :56:01. | :56:04. | |
have already, not just in Scotland, but across England and in Wales, how | :56:05. | :56:09. | |
confident are you as a Conservative, we have Karen Bradley here as well, | :56:10. | :56:14. | |
looking forward to Julia Tooth? We have got to continue to work hard, | :56:15. | :56:19. | |
we take nothing for granted. It is different elections north and south | :56:20. | :56:23. | |
of the border. I will stick with Scotland, Peter is right we have a | :56:24. | :56:27. | |
system in Scotland where it is transferable vote our local | :56:28. | :56:33. | |
elections. We have to look at indicators and it is who got the | :56:34. | :56:37. | |
largest preference share of the votes. If you look across the | :56:38. | :56:43. | |
borders, Perthshire, Aberdeenshire, Angus Robertson's seat, John | :56:44. | :56:48. | |
Nicholson's boss in Westminster, easy it is the Scottish | :56:49. | :56:52. | |
Conservatives. We need to use this as a platform to take this fight to | :56:53. | :56:56. | |
the SNP and lead the fight back against the SNP. Ruth Davidson, | :56:57. | :57:01. | |
thanks for joining us today. We will carry on the debate in a moment and | :57:02. | :57:05. | |
bring Karen Bradley in on Conservative prospects and Barry, we | :57:06. | :57:08. | |
will be in and talking to you as well. | :57:09. | :57:15. | |
In the meantime, what I would like to do is maybe take a quick break | :57:16. | :57:22. | |
and have a look at the weather prospects. Will | :57:23. | :57:28. | |
we are ending the week with similar weather as to what we had at the | :57:29. | :57:34. | |
start. Things haven't changed that much and that means another sunny | :57:35. | :57:36. | |
day across parts of Northern Ireland. The best of the sunshine is | :57:37. | :57:44. | |
across northern areas where we are closest to this area of high | :57:45. | :57:47. | |
pressure. We have had an easterly wind making it feel chilly across | :57:48. | :57:51. | |
the East and extra cloud in the south. That is how it looked earlier | :57:52. | :57:56. | |
on in Devon. There are some breaks in the cloud in southern areas. Not | :57:57. | :58:02. | |
continuously grey skies, there will be a fair amount of blue sky, a | :58:03. | :58:06. | |
mixture of patchy cloud and sunny spells in the East Midlands and | :58:07. | :58:09. | |
Wales. Best of the sunshine in Northern Inman, Scotland. Further | :58:10. | :58:15. | |
west, temperatures up to 19 possibly 20 degrees in places. As we go | :58:16. | :58:19. | |
through this evening, cloud will thicken up across England and Wales | :58:20. | :58:23. | |
I produced the odd spot of drizzle. More persistent rain trying to push | :58:24. | :58:27. | |
into the far south-west, but it will be the far south-west, Cornwall, | :58:28. | :58:31. | |
South West Devon, Channel Islands. It may be cold across Scotland, and | :58:32. | :58:37. | |
Northern Ireland for a touch of frost. This high pressure will try | :58:38. | :58:41. | |
to bring a change, introduce rain into the South. But not having a lot | :58:42. | :58:46. | |
of luck. It will be Cornwall, parts of west and south Devon and the | :58:47. | :58:50. | |
Channel Islands that see the rain tomorrow. More cloud across England | :58:51. | :58:53. | |
and Wales but Northern Ireland and Scotland, is where we will have the | :58:54. | :58:56. | |
best of the sunshine. The far north-east will hold onto low cloud, | :58:57. | :59:01. | |
particularly a wrong coast. It should be a warmer day for the likes | :59:02. | :59:05. | |
of Glasgow and Edinburgh. To Northern Ireland and northern | :59:06. | :59:09. | |
England, sunny spells. East Anglia, Wales and towards the south coast, | :59:10. | :59:12. | |
more in the way of cloud. Writer glimpses and parts of West Devon, | :59:13. | :59:16. | |
Cornwall and the Channel Islands, rain splashing through at times. | :59:17. | :59:20. | |
Even that isn't going to last too long. That will clear away during | :59:21. | :59:24. | |
Saturday evening. On Sunday evening, it looks like more of the same. But | :59:25. | :59:34. | |
a subtle change in the wind direction, more of a North or | :59:35. | :59:36. | |
north-easterly wind. That will feed clouding across northern and eastern | :59:37. | :59:39. | |
Scotland, down the east of England and places exposed to the wind, it | :59:40. | :59:44. | |
will feel chilly. Cooler weather on Sunday across north-west Scotland. | :59:45. | :59:53. | |
What about next week? No changes there, it is going to stay largely | :59:54. | :59:54. | |
dry. Very good afternoon. It is three | :59:55. | :00:14. | |
o'clock, welcome to view was on BBC Two and the BBC News Channel. This | :00:15. | :00:17. | |
is our special live coverage of the local elections in England, Wales | :00:18. | :00:21. | |
and Scotland. We're making good progress getting some results | :00:22. | :00:24. | |
through. Thousands of council has been elected overnight, this morning | :00:25. | :00:28. | |
and this afternoon. They are responsible above all for delivering | :00:29. | :00:31. | |
very important public services in your areas. All of this happening | :00:32. | :00:38. | |
during a general election campaign, it's affected some of the dynamics. | :00:39. | :00:47. | |
It will be getting reaction from the parties as to what is going on. This | :00:48. | :00:53. | |
is where they stand, Conservatives having a very good set of results so | :00:54. | :00:54. | |
far. This afternoon, they've taken | :00:55. | :00:55. | |
Derbyshire council from Labour and they've also won overall control | :00:56. | :00:57. | |
in Cambridgeshire, Lancashire, They've also made gains | :00:58. | :01:00. | |
in Scotland and Wales as well. And the Tory candidate | :01:01. | :01:09. | |
for the Tees Valley mayoralty, in North East England, | :01:10. | :01:17. | |
has narrowly beaten his Labour they've lost control | :01:18. | :01:19. | |
of Glasgow City Council, which they've held | :01:20. | :01:26. | |
for nearly 40 years. And they've now lost over 100 | :01:27. | :01:30. | |
councillors in England and in Wales. But they have won three mayoral | :01:31. | :01:33. | |
contests - in Liverpool, A pretty terrible night and day for | :01:34. | :01:47. | |
Ukip, they've now lost over 100 seats, most of them in England. The | :01:48. | :01:51. | |
party has been wiped out on consuls like Cambridge, Northamptonshire and | :01:52. | :01:58. | |
Essex. Most of that going to the Conservatives. | :01:59. | :02:04. | |
In Scotland - the SNP have managed to deprive | :02:05. | :02:06. | |
Labour of an overall majority in Glasgow but we are not yet sure | :02:07. | :02:09. | |
if they have won overall control of Scotland's biggest | :02:10. | :02:12. | |
But elsewhere in Scotland - the SNP have lost some seats. | :02:13. | :02:20. | |
are on Birmingham this afternoon for the West Midlands mayoral race. | :02:21. | :02:25. | |
It's set to be a tight contest between Labour and the Tories - | :02:26. | :02:29. | |
we'll bring you the result as soon as we have it. | :02:30. | :02:35. | |
It has been created under the devolution strategy of the | :02:36. | :02:40. | |
government. Big budget jobs, big spending jobs, where the new mayor | :02:41. | :02:46. | |
will be in charge of housing and transport in some areas, too. | :02:47. | :02:49. | |
Conservative Andy Street is a fraction ahead on the first round. | :02:50. | :02:53. | |
We'll bring the result as soon as we have it. | :02:54. | :02:54. | |
to see if Labour's Andy Burnham can win the regional | :02:55. | :02:58. | |
Lots to come. It's 3pm. We started at 9am. The Scottish counting | :02:59. | :03:18. | |
started at nine and lots of results coming through. We expect more this | :03:19. | :03:23. | |
afternoon. We're keeping an eye out for those big mayoral contest in the | :03:24. | :03:26. | |
West Midlands and greater Manchester. Peter Kellner is still | :03:27. | :03:30. | |
with me, Karen Bradley from John Nicholson for the SNP, and we have | :03:31. | :03:38. | |
Gary Gardner. You're there, aren't you? We're going to talk to you. -- | :03:39. | :03:47. | |
Barry Gardiner. Lots of people will say, why hasn't he spoken to Barry. | :03:48. | :03:51. | |
We'll come to you in a second. We'll go to the news of Jane Hill. Then | :03:52. | :03:54. | |
we'll be back to talk to Barry Gardiner. | :03:55. | :04:00. | |
The Conservatives have made significant gains | :04:01. | :04:04. | |
in the local elections - with Labour performing poorly | :04:05. | :04:06. | |
The Tories have gained 7 councils - including most recently winning | :04:07. | :04:11. | |
Norfolk from no overall control and taking Derbyshire County | :04:12. | :04:13. | |
Labour have lost 6 councils - including Glasgow City Council | :04:14. | :04:19. | |
Our Political Correspondent Eleanor Garnier has more. | :04:20. | :04:29. | |
It's the Conservatives with the biggest cheers. | :04:30. | :04:32. | |
They gained overall control in nine councils including Derbyshire, | :04:33. | :04:34. | |
The party's won control of Warwickshire, Gloucs, | :04:35. | :04:44. | |
The Conservative Party candidate is elected as mayor for the Tees Valley | :04:45. | :04:51. | |
authority. A huge win in one of Labour's former heartlands saw the | :04:52. | :04:54. | |
Conservative candidate elected mayor. Senior Conservatives are | :04:55. | :05:00. | |
playing down expectations ahead of the general election. | :05:01. | :05:04. | |
The turnout in local elections of course, is much lower | :05:05. | :05:06. | |
So it's wrong to predict what's going to happen on June the 8th. | :05:07. | :05:13. | |
We still have a general election to campaign | :05:14. | :05:15. | |
The Tories are celebrating in Essex too, where this time round, | :05:16. | :05:22. | |
In Lincolnshire, where Ukip's leader Paul Nuttall will fight | :05:23. | :05:26. | |
for a Westminster seat next month, the party was wiped out. | :05:27. | :05:28. | |
And with such big losses, Ukip's future is in question. | :05:29. | :05:37. | |
I've been in Ukip now for four years. | :05:38. | :05:39. | |
The amount of times I've heard the phrase, "Ukip's finished, | :05:40. | :05:42. | |
If I had a pound for every one, I'd probably be quite a rich woman. | :05:43. | :05:47. | |
It's not over until it's over and despite these pretty poor | :05:48. | :05:50. | |
election results so far, it's not over. | :05:51. | :05:57. | |
Steve Rotherham has won the role of mayor of Liverpool city region. | :05:58. | :06:05. | |
Elsewhere it has been a torrid time for the party, losing more than 280 | :06:06. | :06:10. | |
seats so far. In Glasgow where Labour has been in power for more | :06:11. | :06:14. | |
than 30 years, it has lost overall control. | :06:15. | :06:17. | |
These are counties which are the Tory strongholds. | :06:18. | :06:19. | |
It was going to be a tough night for Labour anyway | :06:20. | :06:22. | |
and we are in the middle of a general election campaign, | :06:23. | :06:24. | |
People are voting largely on local issues, not | :06:25. | :06:27. | |
What is coming across is where people were predicting we would be | :06:28. | :06:31. | |
wiped out in places like Wales, we've done very well. | :06:32. | :06:35. | |
The Lib Dems admit so far, it's been a mixed set | :06:36. | :06:39. | |
We held our ground in the face of a massive shift, an enormous | :06:40. | :06:46. | |
shift of Ukip voters to the Conservatives and you know, | :06:47. | :06:48. | |
given that happened, we've done well to stay | :06:49. | :06:50. | |
The Green party says with the Tories dominating, | :06:51. | :06:58. | |
Well I am worried about how well the Conservatives have done in terms | :06:59. | :07:02. | |
of both the Green Party, but more broadly for the future | :07:03. | :07:05. | |
I think that has to be a wake-up call for parties on the left | :07:06. | :07:10. | |
and the centre-left to think about how we work together under | :07:11. | :07:13. | |
For some, the results today have been too close to call. | :07:14. | :07:18. | |
The Tories denied an overall majority in | :07:19. | :07:22. | |
Northumberland after the Lib Dem candidate literally drew the longest | :07:23. | :07:24. | |
There is still plenty of that to be done. | :07:25. | :07:37. | |
We must leave it there because there is a significant result expected. | :07:38. | :07:41. | |
Let's go back to Huw. Welcome back to the election Centre, | :07:42. | :07:59. | |
we expect a result any time in Manchester. This is the result of | :08:00. | :08:04. | |
one of the Metro Mayor contests. We were talking about the West Midlands | :08:05. | :08:08. | |
where there is a big contest between the Conservatives and Labour. | :08:09. | :08:13. | |
Another big contest in Manchester where Andy Burnham is one of those | :08:14. | :08:18. | |
contesting this new post, newly invented post. We expect a | :08:19. | :08:24. | |
declaration soon. Barry Gardiner is with me in the studio with Peter | :08:25. | :08:29. | |
Comer, John Nicholson and Karen Bradley. The significance of these | :08:30. | :08:34. | |
new jobs? There are power bases around the country. What we've seen, | :08:35. | :08:38. | |
if you look to North America, you look at the influence state | :08:39. | :08:43. | |
governors or layers of big cities have, it's a real counterbalance to | :08:44. | :08:48. | |
the weight of the Centre. I think they are important, a new way of | :08:49. | :08:53. | |
getting more democracy into that system, getting government more | :08:54. | :08:57. | |
localised, getting local people to have their say that much better. I | :08:58. | :09:00. | |
think there will also be power bases. The key thing is what | :09:01. | :09:04. | |
resources they are going to get from the centre. What we've seen with | :09:05. | :09:08. | |
this Conservative government is they've given greater responsibility | :09:09. | :09:13. | |
to local government, but given less resource to match the | :09:14. | :09:16. | |
responsibility. That is very difficult then because they say, | :09:17. | :09:19. | |
look, it's not a matter for us in the centre, it's a matter for local | :09:20. | :09:23. | |
government. It's the decisions taken down there. Republicans are saying, | :09:24. | :09:30. | |
if given us the responsibility but not the money to deal with the | :09:31. | :09:35. | |
problems you've given us. Yet this devolution package looking at the | :09:36. | :09:38. | |
city regions has come with quite a big budget attached. These mayoral | :09:39. | :09:44. | |
jobs were conditions attached to that devolved budget in many ways. | :09:45. | :09:48. | |
They will have quite a lot of money to look after, in some cases more | :09:49. | :09:52. | |
than ?1 billion, when you look at the West Midlands and greater | :09:53. | :09:56. | |
Manchester. There are vague resources. The extent to which they | :09:57. | :10:01. | |
can cooperate with local government, let's say Andy Burnham the Labour | :10:02. | :10:04. | |
candidate wins in greater Manchester, what are the prospects | :10:05. | :10:06. | |
for cooperating with centre government? All politicians have to | :10:07. | :10:14. | |
work in the national interest, work in the interest of the people they | :10:15. | :10:20. | |
serve. We may not like the result of the electorate often delivers for | :10:21. | :10:25. | |
us, but nonetheless, it is our job to make the system work for the | :10:26. | :10:32. | |
people who elected us. That is what our mayor, as Andy I expect will be, | :10:33. | :10:37. | |
is elected as mayor of Manchester. I'm sure that's precisely what he'll | :10:38. | :10:42. | |
do. He's a very experienced politician, of course, he's been | :10:43. | :10:45. | |
Shadow Secretary of State, he's been in the cabinets before. Is somebody | :10:46. | :10:50. | |
who knows the workings of Westminster, and I think we'll do a | :10:51. | :10:56. | |
superb job for his city and region. I'm being told there is a | :10:57. | :10:59. | |
declaration imminent in Manchester, so we'll stay with it. I'll bring in | :11:00. | :11:02. | |
Karen Bradley if I may. This devolution strategy was very much | :11:03. | :11:09. | |
something George Osborne for example was in charge of, something he | :11:10. | :11:13. | |
pushed strongly. Is there the same commitment under Theresa May to this | :11:14. | :11:18. | |
strategy of devolving to the big city regions? Theresa May has been | :11:19. | :11:21. | |
clear she wants a country that works for everyone, not just the | :11:22. | :11:25. | |
privileged few, that means the whole country. We've seen the success the | :11:26. | :11:30. | |
Mayor of London has been. We need to counterbalance it with the regions | :11:31. | :11:34. | |
and cities, I represent a seat in North Savage, I want to see strong | :11:35. | :11:40. | |
government in the region, so we can get the kind of infrastructure and | :11:41. | :11:44. | |
facilities we need. And we have the economic growth needed across the | :11:45. | :11:49. | |
country. Discussing resources and budgets, when I ask you about | :11:50. | :11:52. | |
commitment, really it is a resource question. This Theresa May likely, | :11:53. | :11:59. | |
Philip Hammond in future, if re-elected, are they likely to be as | :12:00. | :12:05. | |
committed in terms of the resources to these jobs? Without resources | :12:06. | :12:10. | |
it's difficult to see how these Metro mayors can do the job quickly. | :12:11. | :12:14. | |
There has been a commitment to making sure the funding goes across | :12:15. | :12:19. | |
the whole country. You need a strong economy to do that. The only way you | :12:20. | :12:23. | |
will have a strong economy is if you have strong and stable leadership. | :12:24. | :12:28. | |
If I can bring Peter Kellner in, we have these images of Manchester, the | :12:29. | :12:32. | |
expected result in the Metro Mayor contest in Manchester and greater | :12:33. | :12:37. | |
Manchester, where it's due in the next few minutes. There are people | :12:38. | :12:44. | |
congregating, ready to come forward to the stage. Peter Kellner, A | :12:45. | :12:51. | |
thought about the significance of the restructuring. This is a very | :12:52. | :12:54. | |
big departure in terms of the power base in some of these big regions. | :12:55. | :13:00. | |
It is, yet it has to be said, the voters don't seem to be quite as | :13:01. | :13:07. | |
excited as the politicians, the highest turnout in the mayoral | :13:08. | :13:13. | |
contest is 34%, they've been down as low as 22. I think it'll take time, | :13:14. | :13:18. | |
perhaps five or ten years, when mayors become personalities, things | :13:19. | :13:24. | |
happen, they get rivals that get momentum, maybe turnouts will go up. | :13:25. | :13:27. | |
But at the moment I have to say something like three out of four | :13:28. | :13:32. | |
voters have stayed at home rather than take part. I'm going to gamble | :13:33. | :13:38. | |
a little because I'm thinking, do I have a couple of minutes before the | :13:39. | :13:42. | |
greater Manchester result is true? I'm going to gamble, and going to | :13:43. | :13:48. | |
say, hold these pictures. If you're listening in Manchester, we don't | :13:49. | :13:51. | |
want a declaration in the next couple of minutes, we want you to | :13:52. | :13:55. | |
stay for a second because I have results from Scotland. Let's have a | :13:56. | :13:59. | |
look at Fife, it's come through, a hung council. 29 to the SNP, 24 to | :14:00. | :14:05. | |
Labour, 15 to the Tories, seven to the Lib Dems. What has changed since | :14:06. | :14:12. | |
2012? The SNP have made four games, Labour downturn, the Tories 12 | :14:13. | :14:19. | |
games. It ties in with the conversations we were having earlier | :14:20. | :14:23. | |
about the patterns of support, where conservatives are gaining in some | :14:24. | :14:27. | |
parts of Scotland, Lib Dems have lost three, the independents have | :14:28. | :14:30. | |
lost three as well. If we look at the Scottish Borders, this is one of | :14:31. | :14:34. | |
the areas the Conservatives would be hoping to do well. It's a hung | :14:35. | :14:46. | |
council, shot by three of overall control. Conservatives putting on | :14:47. | :14:50. | |
five, no change for the SNP. The Lib Dems losing ground in the Scottish | :14:51. | :14:55. | |
Borders. That is the hung council in the Scottish Borders. A quick | :14:56. | :15:03. | |
comment? One of the quiet stories, quietly disastrous stories, of the | :15:04. | :15:08. | |
day is how the Lib Dems are performing across Scotland. I know | :15:09. | :15:10. | |
they are doing quite well south of the border, especially in certain | :15:11. | :15:16. | |
areas that voted against Brexit. But in Scotland where I think they are | :15:17. | :15:21. | |
on 7% in the national opinion polls they have encountered the figures, | :15:22. | :15:24. | |
every time I see one of your bar graphs seem to have been down a few | :15:25. | :15:30. | |
seats, held on, certainly not doing well. The idea of the Liberal | :15:31. | :15:33. | |
Democrat fight back in Scotland doesn't seem to be catching fire. A | :15:34. | :15:39. | |
quick recap of the figures in Scotland, the SNP down 17 at the | :15:40. | :15:42. | |
moment but still by far the biggest number of seats. The Conservatives | :15:43. | :15:50. | |
are firmly established in second place. One of the problems for the | :15:51. | :15:56. | |
Lib Dems is its only two years after the last election to memories of the | :15:57. | :16:01. | |
coalition and the bedroom tax, putting up VAT 20%, all the things | :16:02. | :16:05. | |
we remember about the Lib Dems are still fresh in people's memories. | :16:06. | :16:10. | |
Plus we've got Tim Farron coming up with this disastrous line that he's | :16:11. | :16:14. | |
a bit of a Eurosceptic. It reinforces the impression they can't | :16:15. | :16:18. | |
be trusted. I'm sure we'll have a Lib Dem in the studio later. Lib | :16:19. | :16:24. | |
Dems are down in England, Wales and Scotland. Scotland very marginal, | :16:25. | :16:28. | |
they've got 44 councillors, downfall. It may move around a bit. | :16:29. | :16:32. | |
The Lib Dems must be pretty disappointed. They talked up the | :16:33. | :16:35. | |
prospect in the south-west of England which I never understood, | :16:36. | :16:39. | |
because since the south-west of England voted heavily for Brexit, | :16:40. | :16:44. | |
why would people replace a Brexit Tory with an anti-Brexit Lib Dem? | :16:45. | :16:51. | |
One county that will have done well is Oxfordshire, where they had been | :16:52. | :16:55. | |
gaining and it was a Remain county. We haven't had voting... In London | :16:56. | :17:01. | |
where Vince Cable is standing in Twickenham, there is hardly a Ukip | :17:02. | :17:05. | |
vote to squeeze, so Conservatives might be quite vulnerable in some | :17:06. | :17:09. | |
parts of England, where we didn't have votes yesterday. Yesterday's | :17:10. | :17:12. | |
English elections were preponderantly in areas that voted | :17:13. | :17:20. | |
Leave. Twit that is the latest tally in Scotland. We've had some social | :17:21. | :17:25. | |
media messaging from Jeremy Corbyn. Barry will be pleased to see this. | :17:26. | :17:28. | |
Jeremy Corbyn says congratulations to Welsh Labour a specifically Welsh | :17:29. | :17:36. | |
from Jeremy Corbyn. For defying the pundits, he says, winning outright | :17:37. | :17:38. | |
in Cardiff and Swansea and Newport... | :17:39. | :17:45. | |
That is the latest message from Jeremy Corbyn. I suppose there will | :17:46. | :17:52. | |
be people in Welsh politics who will come back to you on that and say, | :17:53. | :17:57. | |
bragging about hanging on to some of these areas which should and always | :17:58. | :18:00. | |
have been Labour is not a big thing to brag about. I don't think it's | :18:01. | :18:06. | |
bragging, I think what he is doing is congratulating the candidates | :18:07. | :18:09. | |
have worked very hard. You will know some of those areas were very, very | :18:10. | :18:13. | |
heavily targeted by the Conservatives. The overall picture | :18:14. | :18:19. | |
in Wales is one we can take heart from, given that it was a key target | :18:20. | :18:24. | |
area. The more interesting picture across the whole of the United | :18:25. | :18:28. | |
Kingdom is the way in which these local elections are really the | :18:29. | :18:31. | |
elections of two referenda. What we've seen both in terms of the | :18:32. | :18:37. | |
referendum in Scotland, the hangover from that, the division in Scotland | :18:38. | :18:43. | |
between the parties is now very much between the Nationalists and | :18:44. | :18:45. | |
unionists. What the Tories have tried to do, clearly with some | :18:46. | :18:50. | |
success, is to paint themselves as the only Unionist option against the | :18:51. | :18:55. | |
Nationalists. And within the rest of the country, of course, it's the | :18:56. | :19:04. | |
Leave and Remain axis working. Interesting, as John was noting, the | :19:05. | :19:08. | |
Liberals haven't picked up the 48%, they are becoming the party of the | :19:09. | :19:14. | |
11 or 12%. It's a very difficult picture for Labour, of course, to | :19:15. | :19:17. | |
actually address this question, because so many of our | :19:18. | :19:24. | |
constituencies, where constituencies were preponderantly people voting to | :19:25. | :19:27. | |
leave, though our party and those members who vote Labour | :19:28. | :19:30. | |
preponderantly those who voted to remain. I think what you're seeing | :19:31. | :19:35. | |
is the Labour Party trying to put a message across which I believe is | :19:36. | :19:38. | |
the right one, which says we mustn't go for this hard deregulated Brexit | :19:39. | :19:45. | |
off the coast of Europe. And equally we have to respect the referendum | :19:46. | :19:49. | |
result by saying we will leave the EU. It's a difficult message, but | :19:50. | :19:53. | |
it's the message we have because we believe it's the weight we unite | :19:54. | :19:58. | |
both the 48 and 52%. What is happening in this election is, we're | :19:59. | :20:02. | |
seeing both those referendums, where the polarisation has taken place | :20:03. | :20:06. | |
between unionists and nationalists, between believers and Remainers, it | :20:07. | :20:10. | |
is then worked to massage the figures in the way we are seeing. | :20:11. | :20:16. | |
Let's have a look at Manchester. Do we have guidance on what is going on | :20:17. | :20:20. | |
in Manchester? OK, they keep telling us it's another few minutes. I don't | :20:21. | :20:24. | |
want to stay on that too long. Let's go to Glasgow. I think Anita is in | :20:25. | :20:31. | |
Glasgow. She has more on the results and what has been going on. Anita? | :20:32. | :20:40. | |
Yes, 55 out of 85 seats declared here in Glasgow, let me give you a | :20:41. | :20:46. | |
tally. The SNP have 24 of those seats, Labour 19, Conservatives six, | :20:47. | :20:51. | |
the Scottish Green party six. Let's analyse what we have so far with our | :20:52. | :20:54. | |
Scotland correspondent Stephen Godden. First of all, can the SNP, | :20:55. | :21:02. | |
based on these figures, still win overall control, have overall | :21:03. | :21:08. | |
majority of Glasgow City Council? Put simply, it's theoretically | :21:09. | :21:12. | |
possible but unlikely, it's fair to say that. This is the fun time of | :21:13. | :21:15. | |
the election count where we have to do the arithmetic. 43 is the magic | :21:16. | :21:21. | |
number in Glasgow. We need 43 seats to have overall majority. The SNP | :21:22. | :21:27. | |
have 23 candidates still in the election at the moment. They would | :21:28. | :21:32. | |
need to return 19 of those. Still a lot of work to do. It's typed. It | :21:33. | :21:39. | |
is. We still have that symbolic moment from this morning. It wasn't | :21:40. | :21:44. | |
unexpected. Labour losing their majority, losing control of the City | :21:45. | :21:48. | |
Council, hugely symbolic for what was traditional heartland for them. | :21:49. | :21:52. | |
The Scottish Conservatives, talking to one MSP earlier, she said they | :21:53. | :21:56. | |
hoped they would need more than a table for four in the Glasgow City | :21:57. | :22:01. | |
Council canteen. They have six so far with more games to come | :22:02. | :22:06. | |
possibly. It's striking where they have made those games. Shettleston, | :22:07. | :22:10. | |
one of the most deprived areas in Scotland, you wouldn't expect | :22:11. | :22:13. | |
Conservatives to make gains in an area like Shettleston. It fits into | :22:14. | :22:18. | |
the national picture, Tories making gains in places they wouldn't | :22:19. | :22:22. | |
expect. Gains in Dundee have made the difference between the SNP | :22:23. | :22:26. | |
losing overall control of their majority of Dundee City Council. The | :22:27. | :22:31. | |
reason they put that down to is they campaigned heavily on this note to | :22:32. | :22:35. | |
second independence referendum. This was about to deliver is council | :22:36. | :22:45. | |
services. Thank you very much. You can pick your headline here in | :22:46. | :22:50. | |
Glasgow. There are lots of them. Let's discuss all these developments | :22:51. | :22:53. | |
with three journalists. We have Richard Walker, consulting editor | :22:54. | :22:59. | |
and co-founder of the pro-independence, the National. | :23:00. | :23:03. | |
Kevin McKenna, columnist for the Herald and Observer and Paul | :23:04. | :23:06. | |
Sinclair, former adviser to Gordon Brown. Hamza Yusuf of the SNP told | :23:07. | :23:15. | |
me it was a huge disappointment for the party not to win overall control | :23:16. | :23:20. | |
and have overall majority in Glasgow at the last local elections. They | :23:21. | :23:25. | |
may end up the biggest party this time but still not have overall | :23:26. | :23:30. | |
control. It's bound to be another disappointment isn't it? We have to | :23:31. | :23:34. | |
keep things in perspective. It's disappointing we haven't got enough | :23:35. | :23:38. | |
members to form a majority in Glasgow, to form an administration, | :23:39. | :23:41. | |
but we'll be able to form one with the Green party, I'm sure. It is a | :23:42. | :23:48. | |
cause for celebration. It's still true Glasgow has rejected the Labour | :23:49. | :23:50. | |
Party. The story of this election is the demolition of the Labour Party | :23:51. | :23:56. | |
in Scotland, transfer of support to the Conservatives. The SNP would | :23:57. | :24:03. | |
want to frame any gains as a vote for another independence referendum. | :24:04. | :24:08. | |
If it doesn't get the majority here, it would suffer loss of control in | :24:09. | :24:13. | |
other Scottish councils. Does that damage that agenda? They would say | :24:14. | :24:19. | |
not. If, as expected, they win a majority of seats, they are the | :24:20. | :24:25. | |
biggest party through Scotland. If, as they are expected to do, they win | :24:26. | :24:29. | |
a majority of seats in the general election on June eight, that will be | :24:30. | :24:36. | |
four national elections either side of the border, which the SNP have | :24:37. | :24:42. | |
won overwhelmingly. And in each of them they carried the message of | :24:43. | :24:49. | |
saying yes to a second referendum. If there had been material and | :24:50. | :24:52. | |
significant changes in the make-up of the UK, which of course we've | :24:53. | :24:57. | |
seen by Theresa May's approach to a hard Brexit. How significant are the | :24:58. | :25:05. | |
losses for Labour year, which has held overall control of this council | :25:06. | :25:10. | |
for 40 years. You've got to look at the fact it was remarkable, they are | :25:11. | :25:13. | |
meant to get an overall majority in 2012. What's important, everything | :25:14. | :25:20. | |
in Scotland is seen through the constitutional prison. Let's look at | :25:21. | :25:24. | |
the trajectory of the vote. This city voted for independence in 2014. | :25:25. | :25:30. | |
55% of people voted SNP in 2015, 53 last year in the Scottish elections, | :25:31. | :25:35. | |
now it looks like the SNP won't get above 45%. They may be winning, but | :25:36. | :25:40. | |
in a downward trajectory. Somebody in the Labour Party I know what it | :25:41. | :25:47. | |
feels like and it doesn't end well. It's very difficult for them, once | :25:48. | :25:52. | |
you start losing momentum it's very difficult to reverse it. I think if | :25:53. | :25:55. | |
the vote, particularly in the general election, goes below 45% of | :25:56. | :26:00. | |
the SNP, if there are more conservative games, and it looks | :26:01. | :26:04. | |
like there will be, at the very hard for Nicola Sturgeon to justify | :26:05. | :26:09. | |
another referendum. I asked if these could be the least local local | :26:10. | :26:12. | |
elections we've had on that constitutional question of whether | :26:13. | :26:18. | |
voters were pro independence or prounion. How important has it been | :26:19. | :26:25. | |
in the Conservative 's success in Glasgow? That's a key question, I | :26:26. | :26:29. | |
was speaking to a senior Labour candidate a few minutes ago who told | :26:30. | :26:34. | |
me she felt heart sorry for the local candidates in these elections | :26:35. | :26:39. | |
of all parties because until Theresa May called the snap election they | :26:40. | :26:41. | |
were campaigning on local issues and services. The referendum dominated | :26:42. | :26:50. | |
everything. It's certainly dominating more now. These are small | :26:51. | :26:55. | |
communities who have a deep sense of identification with their | :26:56. | :26:57. | |
candidates, then they suddenly had to switch and know they would be | :26:58. | :27:01. | |
overwhelmed by the European and Scottish constitution. In a line, | :27:02. | :27:07. | |
are the result is going to have an impact on the general election? This | :27:08. | :27:14. | |
isn't a referendum on independence or a general election. We can see | :27:15. | :27:18. | |
what we might expect in the general election. | :27:19. | :27:23. | |
Keep very much and thanks to your guests. There were several | :27:24. | :27:28. | |
interesting things there, not least this whole issue of campaigning. | :27:29. | :27:33. | |
Indeed the point you raised earlier about the reasons for the success of | :27:34. | :27:37. | |
the Conservative campaign in Scotland, and to what extent with | :27:38. | :27:42. | |
Davidson has managed to nail attention on the prospect of a | :27:43. | :27:46. | |
second independence referendum. On a constitutional issue early on you | :27:47. | :27:50. | |
were clearly irritated by the leaflet you were brandishing. I just | :27:51. | :27:55. | |
made the serious point it may have worked. Irritating is maybe too | :27:56. | :28:01. | |
strong, it is what it is, I think it is a bit disingenuous to run a local | :28:02. | :28:04. | |
government campaign entirely about the constitution while saying how | :28:05. | :28:09. | |
outraged you are about other people talking about the constitution. With | :28:10. | :28:14. | |
couldn't answer that which is why she started talking about Tory | :28:15. | :28:17. | |
election spending and said it was charged to a different budget. That | :28:18. | :28:22. | |
wasn't the point, the point was it didn't mention beans, roads or | :28:23. | :28:25. | |
education. It has been a theme of the Tory election campaign. Is it | :28:26. | :28:31. | |
not unavoidable, the sense this has been such a massive issue, not just | :28:32. | :28:37. | |
in the referendum 2014, but ever since, since the call came for a | :28:38. | :28:41. | |
second referendum and Parliamentary debate, that such high profile it | :28:42. | :28:47. | |
would be difficult to avoid. Bayfront local campaigning and | :28:48. | :28:50. | |
national campaigning, your right to say it was Nicola Sturgeon who | :28:51. | :28:55. | |
raised the prospect of a second referendum, not with Davidson. I | :28:56. | :28:59. | |
think it's absolutely right with Davidson should raise that point and | :29:00. | :29:04. | |
make that point to voters. Local candidates have been fighting on | :29:05. | :29:08. | |
local issues, as they have up and down the whole country across | :29:09. | :29:13. | |
England Scotland and Wales. I want better bins, and I care about | :29:14. | :29:18. | |
independence. It's absolutely intellectual evacuates as a campaign | :29:19. | :29:21. | |
it might be successful, but it hardly reaches the sunlit uplands of | :29:22. | :29:28. | |
political debate, does it? They are not mutually | :29:29. | :29:30. | |
In my own house I've had one leaflet from the Tories in the course of the | :29:31. | :29:38. | |
local government election campaign, and it was exclusively about | :29:39. | :29:41. | |
independence, it did not mention local services. | :29:42. | :29:45. | |
Barry, given the challenge Labour is having and has had in Scotland, on | :29:46. | :29:53. | |
this debate which is meant to be about local issues, to what extent | :29:54. | :29:58. | |
has the massive shadow of the constitutional question really make | :29:59. | :30:01. | |
that campaign for you more challenging? It clearly has. I | :30:02. | :30:06. | |
regard this as an absolute clarion call to people in the Labour Party, | :30:07. | :30:13. | |
that if they want a fairer society, if I want to see better education | :30:14. | :30:18. | |
than the SNP have been able to provide and to end the austerity, | :30:19. | :30:23. | |
both of the Conservatives and indeed of the SNP, but wider in this | :30:24. | :30:28. | |
country. If you look at the way in which services have been cut, if you | :30:29. | :30:32. | |
look at the way in which social care has lost ?4.6 billion, you cannot | :30:33. | :30:38. | |
sit there as a member of the Labour Party and think, I think the right | :30:39. | :30:42. | |
things, I believe in the right policies, you have got to get out in | :30:43. | :30:49. | |
the next four weeks on the doorsteps and campaign for them. It is the | :30:50. | :30:53. | |
only way we will be able to deliver the fairer more equal society we | :30:54. | :30:57. | |
want. You look at what happened today with the government being | :30:58. | :31:01. | |
forced by the High Court to publish its air pollution strategy. We see | :31:02. | :31:05. | |
exactly why we need a government that is going to be able to change | :31:06. | :31:10. | |
this and redress the balance in favour of working people. Let's go | :31:11. | :31:16. | |
straight to Manchester. Andy Burnham and the candidates for the Metro | :31:17. | :31:20. | |
Mayor. We are expecting the declaration to come any minute. All | :31:21. | :31:25. | |
the candidates lined up, an important post, one of six that have | :31:26. | :31:29. | |
been created and we will be looking to the one in the West Midlands | :31:30. | :31:33. | |
where there is a close contest between the Conservatives and the | :31:34. | :31:36. | |
Labour Party. But Andy Burnham is smiling. Yes, Labour had a 20 point | :31:37. | :31:47. | |
lead in Manchester. I Margaret Asquith, returning officer appointed | :31:48. | :31:51. | |
for the district of Bolton at the Greater Manchester combined | :31:52. | :31:56. | |
authority mayoral election, held on the 4th of May 2017, hereby certify | :31:57. | :32:02. | |
and declare that the total number of verified ballot papers was 58,165. | :32:03. | :32:11. | |
The total number of first preference votes given the East candidates was | :32:12. | :32:17. | |
Sean Anstey, the Conservative Party candidate, 16000 and 68. Mohamed | :32:18. | :32:27. | |
Salah 's Lynn, independent, 865. Jane Elizabeth Brophy, Liberal | :32:28. | :32:37. | |
Democrats, 2248. Andy Burnham, labour and co-operative party, | :32:38. | :32:40. | |
34,000... CHEERING and APPLAUSE | :32:41. | :32:51. | |
Marcus Jonathan Farmer, independent, 242. Stephen Morris, English | :32:52. | :33:08. | |
Democrats is putting England first, 1158. The UK Independence Party | :33:09. | :33:17. | |
1378. Will Patterson, the Green party, 868. The total number of | :33:18. | :33:23. | |
first preference votes, 57,477 and the total number of ballot papers | :33:24. | :33:33. | |
rejected but 688. So a declaration. As I understand it, those are the | :33:34. | :33:37. | |
figures for Bolton. Now some of the other figure 's. Returning officer | :33:38. | :33:44. | |
appointed for the district of Berhe at the Greater Manchester combined | :33:45. | :33:48. | |
authority 's mayoral election held on the 4th of May 2017, heh by | :33:49. | :33:55. | |
certify and declare that the total numbers of verified ballot papers | :33:56. | :34:02. | |
was, 45,000 387. The total numbers of first... We are getting the | :34:03. | :34:10. | |
results in four Bury, we have had Bolton. There are ten districts in | :34:11. | :34:15. | |
Greater Manchester. We will be back for the one right at the end where | :34:16. | :34:20. | |
they add them all up and tell us who has won. At the moment, Andy Burnham | :34:21. | :34:28. | |
is looking cheerful. It looks to me as if he has probably improved | :34:29. | :34:33. | |
Labour's share around Manchester from two years ago. We will see when | :34:34. | :34:38. | |
the other figures are in, but this is a strong performance. Whereas, in | :34:39. | :34:43. | |
the West Midlands, where it is very tight, it looks as if this is a less | :34:44. | :34:49. | |
good performance by Labour for the general election. What would account | :34:50. | :34:54. | |
for that, is this a matter of Andy Burnham being a prominent candidate, | :34:55. | :35:00. | |
what else would lend itself to that narrative. He is very popular. Both | :35:01. | :35:09. | |
as a Cabinet minister, attractive personality. And also, around the | :35:10. | :35:15. | |
Hillsborough tragedy, he didn't do it as a partisan politician. He came | :35:16. | :35:21. | |
out as a politician in a really impressive light. That is right. He | :35:22. | :35:29. | |
embedded himself into the spirit of the north-west, right in the heart | :35:30. | :35:33. | |
of the community in that way. His work on that public enquiry was | :35:34. | :35:38. | |
quite superlative. But this was an area in the north-west where the | :35:39. | :35:42. | |
Tories have been expecting to make gains. What this shows is that for | :35:43. | :35:48. | |
all the resources they have put into this, for all the expectation that | :35:49. | :35:52. | |
they've had to make gains in this part of the country and for all the | :35:53. | :35:57. | |
talk they had about northern Powerhouse, that is not going | :35:58. | :36:00. | |
according to plan for them. It doesn't mean that whilst I am | :36:01. | :36:06. | |
delighted for Andy Burnham, I look at these results overall in England. | :36:07. | :36:11. | |
Here we are only defending what are basically the rural constituencies | :36:12. | :36:14. | |
and we only had three councils in the whole of England to defend. But | :36:15. | :36:20. | |
nonetheless, the clear message is that we have gone down in our share | :36:21. | :36:25. | |
of the councils and the seats we have been able to hold onto. , Andy | :36:26. | :36:31. | |
Berman was an opponent of Jeremy Corbyn the first time he stood for | :36:32. | :36:35. | |
the party leadership. He is known not to be a CORBA nights, known as a | :36:36. | :36:40. | |
Labour moderate. He seems to have outperformed labour in most of the | :36:41. | :36:44. | |
rest of England, do you think there is a connection between his very | :36:45. | :36:47. | |
good personal performance and the fact he is a standout and non-Corbin | :36:48. | :36:56. | |
politician? Let me say, Andy Burnham served in Jeremy's Shadow Cabinet. | :36:57. | :37:01. | |
He came back in after the initial resignations, as all others did and | :37:02. | :37:05. | |
decided we would get on with the job of opposing the government because | :37:06. | :37:09. | |
it is the government implementing the cuts to local government, cuts | :37:10. | :37:14. | |
to social care services, cuts to funding in schools... So you don't | :37:15. | :37:22. | |
think there is any connection... He is an immensely popular politician, | :37:23. | :37:30. | |
but what you have to say is this is a concentrated, urban area. The rest | :37:31. | :37:34. | |
of the results we're looking at in these local elections are much more | :37:35. | :37:40. | |
rural constituencies. I don't think there is a straight read across, now | :37:41. | :37:45. | |
don't. That means Labour should be doing better in the West Midlands, | :37:46. | :37:49. | |
rather than it being a close contest with Sean Simon losing. If what you | :37:50. | :37:57. | |
say is right about concentrated urban areas... It goes across the | :37:58. | :38:03. | |
gain your own thesis because Sean Simon was not somebody associated | :38:04. | :38:09. | |
with Jeremy Corbyn. He was somebody with very strong local connections, | :38:10. | :38:15. | |
a well loved local MP. He had 20,000 more votes in Birmingham van Andy | :38:16. | :38:18. | |
Street did where Sean had served as an MP. He is somebody, like Andy, | :38:19. | :38:24. | |
who had the local connection. I don't think there is the read across | :38:25. | :38:28. | |
you want to make about personalities. I deprecate in way | :38:29. | :38:33. | |
our whole political culture is becoming increasingly presidential. | :38:34. | :38:38. | |
I don't want to be America. I want to be be United Kingdom where we | :38:39. | :38:42. | |
talk about policies, we understand the policies of government stands | :38:43. | :38:47. | |
on, that it has in its manifesto, things that matter. Whether it is | :38:48. | :38:52. | |
local government or housing, if you look at Labour councils, labour | :38:53. | :38:55. | |
councils builds on average, 1000 more houses each year than their | :38:56. | :39:01. | |
Conservative counterparts. These are the figures that matter to | :39:02. | :39:05. | |
people'slives. These are the ways in which young people can get on the | :39:06. | :39:09. | |
housing ladder, who are finding themselves trapped in 0-hours | :39:10. | :39:14. | |
contracts, cannot even get a deposit for a mortgage, not even the deposit | :39:15. | :39:19. | |
for rent sometimes. This is the difference Labour councils can make | :39:20. | :39:22. | |
and it is the difference a Labour government can make. Let's go back | :39:23. | :39:29. | |
and listen to what is going on in Manchester. I think they are making | :39:30. | :39:33. | |
steady progress through some of these ten declarations before we get | :39:34. | :39:44. | |
to the end. Independent, 490. Jane Elizabeth Brophy, Liberal Democrats, | :39:45. | :39:52. | |
2187. Andy Burnham, 24,000... CHEERING and APPLAUSE | :39:53. | :40:00. | |
. Going Andy Burnham's way. I think we have reached Oldham or Rochdale | :40:01. | :40:05. | |
in the Greater Manchester declaration, so not many to go. | :40:06. | :40:11. | |
Let's stay on that for a second, because I am wondering if we can | :40:12. | :40:15. | |
bring in Karen quickly just to answer the point about this being a | :40:16. | :40:19. | |
platform for a Labour politician might Andy Burnham to show what | :40:20. | :40:24. | |
Labour might do if it were in power. And in that sense, it is creating a | :40:25. | :40:28. | |
power base for one of your opponents, which you might think | :40:29. | :40:31. | |
down the cause, might be less than helpful? We have been clear we want | :40:32. | :40:39. | |
to see strong devolution and to see strong, local and regional | :40:40. | :40:44. | |
government. I think what this election the show, throughout the | :40:45. | :40:46. | |
course of the afternoon there has been an assumption on the 8th of | :40:47. | :40:51. | |
June this will be a walk in the park for the Conservatives. Clearly, | :40:52. | :40:55. | |
there are votes for Labour and there are people who will vote for Labour | :40:56. | :40:59. | |
and they will vote for parties other than the Conservatives. It comes | :41:00. | :41:03. | |
back to the clear choice people will have on the 8th of June as to | :41:04. | :41:06. | |
whether they want the strong and stable leadership of Theresa May or | :41:07. | :41:13. | |
they want coalition chaos. John has said he would not go into coalition | :41:14. | :41:16. | |
with the Conservatives, so he obviously is prepared to go into | :41:17. | :41:24. | |
coalition with Jeremy Corbyn propping him up. You are right, we | :41:25. | :41:35. | |
have debated the rape clause, which is absurd, we are seeing what the | :41:36. | :41:38. | |
Tories are doing with disability cuts. So on a range of issues, both | :41:39. | :41:44. | |
you and I get on great, the policy is your government is putting | :41:45. | :41:49. | |
through our obnoxious in many areas. Absolutely, we would not help | :41:50. | :41:53. | |
implement them with the Tories. The point is, your Prime Minister called | :41:54. | :42:00. | |
this election, not for the national interest, but purely party political | :42:01. | :42:04. | |
advantage. And we all know it. She thought she had a window in the | :42:05. | :42:09. | |
polls, she had previously known very well when Article 50 was going to be | :42:10. | :42:13. | |
triggered and when the negotiations would start and when they will | :42:14. | :42:18. | |
finish. At that point she said, she would not call a general election | :42:19. | :42:23. | |
until 2020. Now, she has decided to do it at this window because she | :42:24. | :42:30. | |
knows the negotiations are not going to go in the way the British people | :42:31. | :42:33. | |
think is well. Afterwards she doesn't want to be boxed into a | :42:34. | :42:37. | |
general election. That is why she wanted an overwhelming majority. She | :42:38. | :42:41. | |
may find that actually, if you look at the figures, the figures that | :42:42. | :42:44. | |
have been put up by the national share of the vote, it is coming in | :42:45. | :42:50. | |
at 38% for the Conservatives. It is coming in at 27% for Labour and | :42:51. | :42:55. | |
about 18% for the Liberal Democrats. That is why you should be very | :42:56. | :43:00. | |
worried. Because actually, the Liberal Democrats have nine MPs in | :43:01. | :43:05. | |
Parliament, we have 229 and if we have that surge, you will have | :43:06. | :43:09. | |
called a general election for your own benefit and it will not work. | :43:10. | :43:13. | |
She called the election at the only time an election can be held between | :43:14. | :43:21. | |
now and the end of the negotiations of Article 50. This is the only | :43:22. | :43:25. | |
window there is. She said she would not do it. She repeatedly said she | :43:26. | :43:30. | |
would not do that. I don't talk over you. She said she had the mandate | :43:31. | :43:34. | |
that is needed to get the best result for Britain and the right | :43:35. | :43:40. | |
deal with Europe. Seven times she said she wouldn't. She has decided | :43:41. | :43:46. | |
in the national interest to do that. That is not true. Nothing is taken | :43:47. | :43:51. | |
for granted, no politician goes into a general election on the assumption | :43:52. | :43:53. | |
the polls will be working for them, you do it because it is in the | :43:54. | :44:11. | |
national interest and it is the right thing to do. This narrative | :44:12. | :44:14. | |
would work if you had been in lots of troubles in the Commons over | :44:15. | :44:17. | |
Brexit. Can I Askew how many votes on Brexit... We know the answer to | :44:18. | :44:20. | |
that. It is clear, and the House of Lords, they will hamper anything. It | :44:21. | :44:25. | |
is the job of politicians in a democracy to hold the government to | :44:26. | :44:30. | |
account. It is chilling to hear the Prime Minister angrily denouncing | :44:31. | :44:34. | |
the role of the opposition. You haven't lost one vote in the House | :44:35. | :44:39. | |
of Commons over Brexit. Your Prime Minister promised on seven separate | :44:40. | :44:41. | |
occasions that she would not hold an election. She has clearly lost faith | :44:42. | :44:45. | |
with the British public over what she has done. You have gone to the | :44:46. | :44:51. | |
electorate because you know you can whip Labour now and when Brexit | :44:52. | :44:55. | |
starts to go badly wrong in about 18 months' time, there will be no | :44:56. | :45:01. | |
opposition because there will be ranks of Conservative MPs, possibly | :45:02. | :45:05. | |
as much as 100 all tripping through the lobbies. It is bad for | :45:06. | :45:10. | |
democracy. I take issue that any others have lost faith with the | :45:11. | :45:14. | |
British public. We are implementing what the British public asked her to | :45:15. | :45:19. | |
do. I am talking about calling the election. I am going to pause it | :45:20. | :45:29. | |
there because we are representing the Conservatives, the SNP and | :45:30. | :45:33. | |
Labour of course, we want to get the Liberal Democrats perspective. We | :45:34. | :45:38. | |
were talking earlier on to Tom and Jenny, but Tim Farron, the party | :45:39. | :45:42. | |
leader is in Saint all buns today. This is what has been going on | :45:43. | :45:50. | |
there. You guys deserve the applause. Well done. | :45:51. | :45:55. | |
Congratulations. Great news, all of you. Thank you so much all of you | :45:56. | :46:01. | |
for being here. I am not here by accident, St Albans is a wonderful | :46:02. | :46:05. | |
place to visit, but particularly on the day the Liberal Democrats top | :46:06. | :46:12. | |
the poll here in the constituency. It bodes incredibly well for Daisy | :46:13. | :46:15. | |
in five weeks but she could be our new member of Parliament. This is | :46:16. | :46:19. | |
one of many constituencies around the country where the Liberal | :46:20. | :46:26. | |
Democrats top the polls, double our seats, as things would appear at the | :46:27. | :46:29. | |
moment on the general election on the 8th of June. Increasing our vote | :46:30. | :46:34. | |
share by 7%, are best in any election nationally for seven years. | :46:35. | :46:38. | |
Double the increased the Tories have experienced in terms of a shower | :46:39. | :46:42. | |
around the country with the Labour Party utterly imploding and | :46:43. | :46:46. | |
devastated like no other opposition party in recent memory. But there is | :46:47. | :46:49. | |
another lesson to learn from last night about as apart from the | :46:50. | :46:53. | |
Liberal Democrats' revival and success around the country, we still | :46:54. | :47:00. | |
see Britain headed for a Conservative landslide. Now, imagine | :47:01. | :47:03. | |
this, imagine the reason may on the 9th of June with a majority larger | :47:04. | :47:08. | |
than Margaret that should's. Imagine what that means for your family, | :47:09. | :47:12. | |
what it means for you, what it means for your job security, what it means | :47:13. | :47:18. | |
for your hospital, schools with a colossal Conservative majority like | :47:19. | :47:21. | |
that. I don't need to imagine it, I grew up in a community under a | :47:22. | :47:25. | |
government like that. I grew up in a community in the 1980s with a | :47:26. | :47:29. | |
government with that kind of majority taking us for granted. I | :47:30. | :47:33. | |
grew up in a community where half of my mates' parents and me included, | :47:34. | :47:40. | |
spent time out of work because we had a government that at Tate | :47:41. | :47:43. | |
Britain for granted. They can take you for granted, your family for | :47:44. | :47:47. | |
granted. I want to leave the country that says that is not acceptable. I | :47:48. | :47:52. | |
am determined over the next five weeks, we will put an end to that | :47:53. | :47:55. | |
Coronation Theresa May now expects. If you wanted prevent the | :47:56. | :47:59. | |
Conservatives taking you, your family, your schools and hospital | :48:00. | :48:04. | |
for granted, it is only a liberal Democrat who will stand up for you. | :48:05. | :48:08. | |
I want my children to grow up in a country where people are decent to | :48:09. | :48:12. | |
one another and can expect the state to be decent to them. I am | :48:13. | :48:16. | |
determined I will leave that kind of country here in St Albans and in | :48:17. | :48:21. | |
campus places around the country, we have shown it is only the Liberal | :48:22. | :48:25. | |
Democrats who can offer you the hope that Britain will not be led by a | :48:26. | :48:30. | |
1-party state on the 9th of June. Do not let Theresa May take you for | :48:31. | :48:36. | |
granted. Imagine a better Britain. Thank you. Tim Farron in St Albans. | :48:37. | :48:42. | |
He chose St Albans because the one for wards in the city of St Albans | :48:43. | :48:47. | |
and the Liberal Democrats won all four of them. It was 70% Remain. | :48:48. | :48:57. | |
Most of the contests yesterday where in leave England rather than remain | :48:58. | :49:02. | |
England. There are a handful of liberal target seat where people | :49:03. | :49:11. | |
voted remain. These results over the country will be disappointing for | :49:12. | :49:15. | |
the Liberal Democrats. But that result in St Albans gives them hope | :49:16. | :49:19. | |
that it may be half a dozen target seats where there went election just | :49:20. | :49:24. | |
sedate where there was a big Remain vote last year and maybe the Liberal | :49:25. | :49:30. | |
Democrats are back in play. Can I pick up on what Tim Farron was | :49:31. | :49:35. | |
saying? I think that is right, what we may see a few extra liberal seats | :49:36. | :49:41. | |
in those Remain areas because they appealed directly only to the 48% | :49:42. | :49:47. | |
Remain. They ignored the second part of their title, Democrat in ignoring | :49:48. | :49:50. | |
the referendum, but that is another matter. We are just watching Nicola | :49:51. | :49:56. | |
Sturgeon arriving at SNP headquarters. Those are the images. | :49:57. | :50:01. | |
Tim Farron was pointing out we don't want to wake up on June nine in a | :50:02. | :50:07. | |
1-party state. Even if he gets five or six and increases his share of | :50:08. | :50:11. | |
members in the House of Commons by 50, 60%, he will have 14, 15 | :50:12. | :50:18. | |
members. We have 229 in the Labour Party. The only party in the House | :50:19. | :50:22. | |
of Commons who will be able to stop what Tim Farron was talking about | :50:23. | :50:25. | |
which is an monolithic government trampling over people in this | :50:26. | :50:29. | |
country, is the Labour Party and that is why we need to get out on | :50:30. | :50:33. | |
the doorstep and get the message across. This is Nicola Sturgeon, the | :50:34. | :50:38. | |
First Minister, congratulating her campaigners. We will come back to | :50:39. | :50:42. | |
talk about the results in Scotland, including Edinburgh in a moment. | :50:43. | :50:46. | |
Let's go to Manchester because they are now in the final stages of this | :50:47. | :50:51. | |
declaration in the Metro Mayor, that is Andy Burnham. Putting England | :50:52. | :51:03. | |
first, 11,000 115. UK Independence Party, 10500 and 83. Will Patterson, | :51:04. | :51:10. | |
the Green party, 13400 and 24. The total number of first preference | :51:11. | :51:17. | |
votes was 566,000 735. The total number of ballot papers rejected at | :51:18. | :51:22. | |
first count or 6808. Therefore I declare that Andy Burnham is duly | :51:23. | :51:26. | |
elected as the mayor of the Manchester combined authority. Those | :51:27. | :51:36. | |
are the figures. A turnout of 29%. Taking more than 350,000 votes. | :51:37. | :51:42. | |
Conservatives in second place. Let's listen to what Andy Burnham has got | :51:43. | :51:47. | |
to say. Thank you everybody. This is an | :51:48. | :51:52. | |
historic day for Greater Manchester. I want to thank all those who have | :51:53. | :51:56. | |
worked so hard to make it happen, particularly so Howard Bernstein and | :51:57. | :52:01. | |
Tony Lloyd. I want to thank the staff of our ten councils who have | :52:02. | :52:05. | |
been working to count the votes. The combined authority and Greater | :52:06. | :52:09. | |
Manchester Police, who have run the selection so smoothly. I must thank | :52:10. | :52:17. | |
my incredible campaign team chaired by Andrew Quin MP and of course, | :52:18. | :52:24. | |
Kevin Lee. Thanks so much to you all. I want to also thank my fellow | :52:25. | :52:31. | |
candidates, particularly from the main parties under Green Party for | :52:32. | :52:34. | |
making this a friendly and positive campaign which has set the right | :52:35. | :52:38. | |
tone for a new era in Greater Manchester. But most of all I want | :52:39. | :52:41. | |
to thank the people of Greater Manchester. You have given me a big | :52:42. | :52:48. | |
job to do and a big mandate with which to do it. I will give it my | :52:49. | :52:58. | |
all and I will let you down. -- will not let you down. All I can say is, | :52:59. | :53:11. | |
63% of the vote! I hear that down the road in Liverpool, the candour | :53:12. | :53:18. | |
that there got 59% of the vote. I think we can all say today, that is | :53:19. | :53:30. | |
Manchester 1-0. Whether you voted for me or not, it doesn't matter, I | :53:31. | :53:36. | |
will be the mayor for you, for the people, a strong voice for all of | :53:37. | :53:40. | |
Greater Manchester. This is the dawn of a new era, not just for the city | :53:41. | :53:44. | |
region but for politics in our country. It has been to London | :53:45. | :53:50. | |
centric. The old political party structures haven't delivered for all | :53:51. | :53:55. | |
people and all places. They have created this crisis in politics, | :53:56. | :53:59. | |
which we are living through now. And do you know what? We can hold as | :54:00. | :54:03. | |
many general elections as we like and that would never solve the | :54:04. | :54:07. | |
problem. People here have worked hard to get to this moment and we're | :54:08. | :54:12. | |
not going to waste it. Greater Manchester is going to take control. | :54:13. | :54:22. | |
We are going to change politics and make it work better for people. We | :54:23. | :54:28. | |
will give power and purpose to those people and places Westminster has | :54:29. | :54:34. | |
left behind. We will get the voice of the North heard more loudly than | :54:35. | :54:38. | |
ever before. We ask that people are Greater Manchester to help us write | :54:39. | :54:43. | |
the manifesto and now I invite them to help us implement it. We will | :54:44. | :54:48. | |
leave the same old politics behind in Westminster, create a new | :54:49. | :54:52. | |
politics here and involve people in new ways. Here, focus will be on | :54:53. | :54:58. | |
making a difference, not point-scoring. Here, people won't be | :54:59. | :55:03. | |
the target for cuts, you will be the priority for investment. Here, older | :55:04. | :55:09. | |
people won't be labelled bed blockers, but treated with respect. | :55:10. | :55:16. | |
And here, in this great city, we will never accept it as an | :55:17. | :55:21. | |
inevitable fact of modern life, that for some people to succeed, others | :55:22. | :55:24. | |
had to sleep rough on a cold streets. Andy Burnham, the newly | :55:25. | :55:34. | |
elected Metro Mayor, one of six posts created. He thanked the Green | :55:35. | :55:38. | |
Party for the spirit in which the campaign has been conducted. The | :55:39. | :55:44. | |
Greens getting 2% in the Greater Manchester contest. Jonathan Bartley | :55:45. | :55:46. | |
of the Green Party has been waiting patiently to talk to others. Your | :55:47. | :55:52. | |
thoughts on, not just Manchester, but the broad results? I noticed in | :55:53. | :55:56. | |
Edinburgh are you had done well with eight seats, but your thoughts on | :55:57. | :56:01. | |
your performance overall? A tough night for progressive parties. | :56:02. | :56:08. | |
Coming up with national gains, openings from the Isle of Wight 's, | :56:09. | :56:11. | |
the Highlands down to the Somerset levels, we have made gains. I wonder | :56:12. | :56:15. | |
if you should have a word with your boss because you are giving | :56:16. | :56:18. | |
disproportionate coverage to far right politicians from Ukip and they | :56:19. | :56:25. | |
have ended up with one seed. We are going to make in excess of 20 just | :56:26. | :56:29. | |
in England and Wales and we are showing we are a national party. All | :56:30. | :56:33. | |
the other parties are losing seats on the progressive side. Let's have | :56:34. | :56:40. | |
some fair coverage. Show us on the telly, let people see what we have | :56:41. | :56:44. | |
got because when people do see the Green Party, they vote for the Green | :56:45. | :56:48. | |
Party. The total collapse in the Ukip seat numbers is a story, | :56:49. | :56:53. | |
Jonathan, which ever way you look at it? It is a story and there is a | :56:54. | :56:57. | |
lesson to be learned. There was a big surge nationally and it wasn't | :56:58. | :57:01. | |
about engaging with local communities, they went in on the | :57:02. | :57:04. | |
tide and now the tide has gone out and they have collapsed. With the | :57:05. | :57:09. | |
Greens, we are holding a lot of seats and we are working to get the | :57:10. | :57:16. | |
nitty-gritty sorted out, the bins collected and standing up in the | :57:17. | :57:23. | |
context Brexit. What is a local authority if it isn't about | :57:24. | :57:25. | |
protecting the environment and things around us. People do vote for | :57:26. | :57:29. | |
the Greens. I have just been in the Isle of Wight where we have our | :57:30. | :57:33. | |
first counsellor. We hope to make again on the back of that with a | :57:34. | :57:37. | |
surge in the next general election and maybe win the Parliamentary | :57:38. | :57:40. | |
seat. It is about gaining the trust of local communities and offering | :57:41. | :57:46. | |
ourselves as a vote for people to centre Westminster. Why did you lose | :57:47. | :57:51. | |
your representation in Oxford and Norfolk? In Norfolk, there is a very | :57:52. | :57:59. | |
left move within the Labour Party there which came on to some of our | :58:00. | :58:05. | |
territory. Whether they were called and sympathisers, it is harder to | :58:06. | :58:10. | |
distinguish. There are local factors at play but also national factors at | :58:11. | :58:16. | |
play as well. Thank you for joining us. Well, that's it from the | :58:17. | :58:24. | |
election Centre. If you are watching on BBC Two. The BBC News channel | :58:25. | :58:29. | |
coverage will continue. Thanks to my guests in the studio who have been | :58:30. | :58:39. | |
in the studio. Our coverage continues for another couple of | :58:40. | :58:42. | |
hours and there are still results to come, so don't think the story is | :58:43. | :58:46. | |
over. Coverage continues for a couple of hours on the BBC News | :58:47. | :58:51. | |
channel. Lots more to come. Join me then with a new panel in just a | :58:52. | :58:55. | |
moment. But if you are watching on BBC Two, it has been good to have | :58:56. | :58:59. | |
your company, thanks for watching and the bye for now. | :59:00. | :00:21. | |
Good afternoon. It is 4pm. Welcome to our special live coverage of the | :00:22. | :00:29. | |
local elections in England, Wales and Scotland. Lots of results in but | :00:30. | :00:34. | |
quite a few still to come. Thousands of councillors being elected and | :00:35. | :00:38. | |
they are responsible for delivering what's of your essential services. | :00:39. | :00:42. | |
That's the real importance of this democratic exercise. It's all | :00:43. | :00:46. | |
happening under the shadow of a general election campaign which | :00:47. | :00:49. | |
slightly changes things as well. We'll have the results in as they | :00:50. | :00:52. | |
are declared, we've just had the results on the Manchester mayoral | :00:53. | :01:00. | |
contest. The Conservatives having a very good set of results, they've | :01:01. | :01:06. | |
gained over 500 councillors across England, Scotland and Wales. They | :01:07. | :01:09. | |
took Derbyshire from Labour, that was a big result and they've also | :01:10. | :01:19. | |
one two -- they've also won two mayoral contests today. Labour have | :01:20. | :01:26. | |
lost overall control of Glasgow City Council which they've held for | :01:27. | :01:32. | |
nearly 40 years. In wealth they have lost several councils but in Cardiff | :01:33. | :01:40. | |
they kept control, also Swansea and Newport. In England so far they've | :01:41. | :01:45. | |
lost nearly 150 councillors, many of those to the Conservatives. Andy | :01:46. | :01:51. | |
Burnham has been elected to the first Metro Mayor position in | :01:52. | :01:54. | |
greater Manchester. He took 63% of the vote. What about Ukip who did so | :01:55. | :02:04. | |
well four years ago? They've had a terrible time, losing virtually | :02:05. | :02:06. | |
every seat they were defending. They are down by nearly 150 councillors | :02:07. | :02:13. | |
so far. The party has been wiped out in Lincolnshire, Hampshire and | :02:14. | :02:17. | |
ethics and their vote share is down dramatically, most of it going to | :02:18. | :02:21. | |
the Conservatives. We'll be keeping an eye on quite a few areas | :02:22. | :02:24. | |
including Birmingham for that crucial race for the Metro Mayor of | :02:25. | :02:30. | |
the West Midlands, another new position created. This is a fight | :02:31. | :02:35. | |
between Labour and Conservatives, between Andy Street and Sion Simon. | :02:36. | :02:38. | |
We hope that result will be in in the next hour or so. Stay with us | :02:39. | :02:43. | |
for that. Very soon these seats will be filled | :02:44. | :02:55. | |
next to be and we'll have Iain Duncan Smith, John McDonnell for | :02:56. | :03:00. | |
Labour. They are on their way to the studio and Peter Kellner is with me | :03:01. | :03:03. | |
once again and we will be talking about some of the trends we've been | :03:04. | :03:08. | |
spotting today. Let's have a quick look at the scorecard because I'd | :03:09. | :03:09. | |
like to look at that now. We spoke to Jonathan Barkley a few | :03:10. | :03:40. | |
minutes ago. Ukip have lost 139 seats so far, they have the one | :03:41. | :03:47. | |
council seat in these results. It's been a very turbulent time for them. | :03:48. | :03:56. | |
We'll be back in a few minutes to speak to our guests and to pick up | :03:57. | :04:02. | |
on the latest results coming in. In the meantime let's join Jane for the | :04:03. | :04:04. | |
day's news. The Conservatives have | :04:05. | :04:07. | |
made significant gains in the local elections, | :04:08. | :04:10. | |
with Labour performing poorly The Tories have gained 11 councils - | :04:11. | :04:12. | |
including taking Derbyshire County Labour have lost six councils - | :04:13. | :04:17. | |
including Glasgow City Council In the last half an hour | :04:18. | :04:22. | |
Labour's Andy Burnham has been Our political correspondent | :04:23. | :04:28. | |
Eleanor Garnier has more. APPLAUSE | :04:29. | :04:43. | |
It's the Conservatives with the biggest shares. They've gained | :04:44. | :04:48. | |
overall control in more than ten councils, including Derbyshire, | :04:49. | :04:53. | |
Cambridgeshire and Lincolnshire. Conservative Party candidate is duly | :04:54. | :04:56. | |
elected as mayor for the Tees Valley combined authority. And a huge win | :04:57. | :05:02. | |
in one of Labour's former heartlands saw the Conservative candidate | :05:03. | :05:05. | |
become elected mayor. In Cumbria the Tories have replace Labour as the | :05:06. | :05:09. | |
largest party, but senior Conservatives are playing down | :05:10. | :05:13. | |
expectations ahead of the general election. The turnout in local | :05:14. | :05:18. | |
elections is much lower than in a general election. It's wrong to | :05:19. | :05:22. | |
predict what's going to happen on June the 8th. We are still going to | :05:23. | :05:26. | |
have a general election to campaign for and a win after last night. But | :05:27. | :05:33. | |
encouraging signs. The Tories are celebrating in Essex too, where this | :05:34. | :05:36. | |
time round voters turned their backs on Ukip. In Lincolnshire where | :05:37. | :05:41. | |
Ukip's leader Paul Nuttall will fight for a Westminster seat next | :05:42. | :05:45. | |
month, the party was wiped out. And with such big losses, Ukip's future | :05:46. | :05:55. | |
is in question. I've been in Ukip for four years, the amount of times | :05:56. | :05:57. | |
I've heard the phrase Ukip is finished, I've lost count. If I had | :05:58. | :06:00. | |
a pound of everyone I would probably be quite a rich woman. It's not over | :06:01. | :06:04. | |
till it's over and despite these pretty poor results, it's not over. | :06:05. | :06:09. | |
The former Labour MP Andy Burnham is now the new mayor of greater | :06:10. | :06:14. | |
Manchester, and there was success for the party in Liverpool too, | :06:15. | :06:18. | |
where Steve rubber room was elected mayor of the city region. But | :06:19. | :06:23. | |
elsewhere, it's been a torrid time for Labour, losing more than 320 | :06:24. | :06:28. | |
seats so far. In Glasgow where Labour has been in power for more | :06:29. | :06:40. | |
than 30 years, it's now lost overall control. These other counties which | :06:41. | :06:42. | |
other Tory strongholds. It was going to be a tough night for Labour | :06:43. | :06:46. | |
anyway and we are in the middle of a general election campaign. People | :06:47. | :06:48. | |
operating largely on local issues, not necessarily on national ones. | :06:49. | :06:50. | |
What is coming across is that where people were predicting we would be | :06:51. | :06:53. | |
wiped out, in places like Wales we've done very well. You guys | :06:54. | :06:58. | |
deserve the applause! No significant breakthrough for the Lib Dems but | :06:59. | :07:02. | |
they are making the most of their results. The Liberal Democrats are | :07:03. | :07:05. | |
really encouraging, we topped the poll in many more seats than we | :07:06. | :07:10. | |
currently hold. We would double our number of MPs of the result was | :07:11. | :07:13. | |
replicated last night, our best result for seven years. The Green | :07:14. | :07:17. | |
Party says with the Tories dominating other parties need to | :07:18. | :07:21. | |
collaborate. I'm worried about how well the Conservatives have done in | :07:22. | :07:25. | |
terms of the Green Party and for the future of progressive politics. | :07:26. | :07:28. | |
There has to be a wake-up call to parties on the left and centre left | :07:29. | :07:33. | |
a think about how we work together under this incredibly undemocratic | :07:34. | :07:36. | |
system. For some, the results today have been too close to call, the | :07:37. | :07:45. | |
Tories were denied an overall majority in Northumberland after the | :07:46. | :07:48. | |
Lib Dem candidate literally drew the longest straw. Now, it's back to the | :07:49. | :07:50. | |
counting. There's still plenty of that to be done. | :07:51. | :08:00. | |
A scheme to get older, more polluting vans or cars off | :08:01. | :08:02. | |
the roads could be introduced, under draft plans published | :08:03. | :08:05. | |
The proposals are part of efforts to cut air pollution caused by cars | :08:06. | :08:09. | |
There could also be clean air zones in England - | :08:10. | :08:12. | |
which might include charges to enter designated areas. | :08:13. | :08:19. | |
The final day of campaigning is continuing in the French | :08:20. | :08:21. | |
The Far-right candidate Marine Le Pen was heckled | :08:22. | :08:26. | |
during her visit to Reims cathedral, in northern France. | :08:27. | :08:28. | |
The centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron - who has | :08:29. | :08:30. | |
a substantial lead in opinion polls - has visited the southern | :08:31. | :08:33. | |
That's a summary of the news - now back to Local Elections | :08:34. | :08:42. | |
Welcome back. It's coming up to ten past four. Apart from say hello to | :08:43. | :09:08. | |
our guests and welcome them to the studio, is get a quick update from | :09:09. | :09:12. | |
the West Midlands because that is the big result coming in. Probably | :09:13. | :09:16. | |
within the next 90 minutes although who am I to say? Patrick Burns is | :09:17. | :09:21. | |
there. Let's have the latest on this big fight that is happening there. I | :09:22. | :09:26. | |
think we can probably do better than your estimate, I think it might be | :09:27. | :09:31. | |
45 minutes away. I did say earlier on that this had the makings of a | :09:32. | :09:35. | |
photo finish between the Conservative candidate Andy Street, | :09:36. | :09:40. | |
the former John Lewis boss, and Sion Simon the Labour candidate, former | :09:41. | :09:45. | |
minister under Gordon Brown. On the first round of first preference | :09:46. | :09:53. | |
votes, Andy Street had a majority of 6000. If you do the percentages | :09:54. | :10:00. | |
that's just a tiny bit over 1% of the total first preference votes | :10:01. | :10:05. | |
cast. Extraordinarily close. What we have is one of the seven counts. | :10:06. | :10:09. | |
There's one in each of the Metropolitan Council areas around | :10:10. | :10:13. | |
the West Midlands, this is the biggest in Birmingham. What's | :10:14. | :10:17. | |
happening now is that the second preference votes from the vote | :10:18. | :10:21. | |
originally cast further for other candidates, who have now been | :10:22. | :10:25. | |
eliminated, are factored into the totals. Then you get the aggregate | :10:26. | :10:30. | |
figure which leads eventually to the decision over all. A footnote to | :10:31. | :10:36. | |
this is that the two front runners, Andy Street and Sion Simon didn't | :10:37. | :10:41. | |
appear for the declaration of the first round of voting, and the other | :10:42. | :10:47. | |
four who have been eliminated took such a dim view that they've agreed | :10:48. | :10:52. | |
what I might call a Faustian pact, and they have left and are going to | :10:53. | :10:55. | |
boycott the final declaration. So you'll just see the two of them for | :10:56. | :11:03. | |
the final declaration. As we factor in the second preference votes from | :11:04. | :11:07. | |
the other candidates, Andy Street still has just a nose of an | :11:08. | :11:12. | |
advantage in this photo finish analogy. One killer statistic to go | :11:13. | :11:20. | |
back to you with is there have been 55 mayoral elections in England and | :11:21. | :11:23. | |
in only five of those has the candidate who finished second on the | :11:24. | :11:27. | |
first round of first preference is gone on to win. Let's talk about | :11:28. | :11:32. | |
body language because that is a favourite exercise of hours on these | :11:33. | :11:36. | |
occasions. I'm just wondering, when you look at the balance of the other | :11:37. | :11:40. | |
people there and when we look at those eliminated candidates and we | :11:41. | :11:43. | |
try to make sense of where those rates might go, are there any | :11:44. | :11:48. | |
signals from the teams themselves as to whether they think they are onto | :11:49. | :11:53. | |
a better share of that the others? I can tell you the body language among | :11:54. | :11:58. | |
both the Andy Street and Sion Simon camps is anxious, absolutely nerve | :11:59. | :12:04. | |
shredding. As you might understand given the narrowness of it. The | :12:05. | :12:09. | |
other thing that's telling is that before the Liberal Democrat team | :12:10. | :12:15. | |
left, they were sort of in an intriguing position, and they feel | :12:16. | :12:19. | |
the sense they have had of where their second preferences might go, | :12:20. | :12:23. | |
that it feels to them like its 50-50. That adds to this overall | :12:24. | :12:33. | |
sense of knife edge Photofit -- photo finish. The other question is | :12:34. | :12:39. | |
where we'll be 29,000 Ukip second preference votes go, if they did | :12:40. | :12:42. | |
indeed espresso second preference, because it is optional -- express a | :12:43. | :12:52. | |
second preference. The only set second preferences around those of | :12:53. | :12:55. | |
accounts we're getting reports from suggest they may go to the Tories. | :12:56. | :12:59. | |
You reckon 45 minutes? Fingers crossed. We'll be back. We'll hold | :13:00. | :13:09. | |
you to it! Patrick Burns keeping an eye on things in Birmingham. That's | :13:10. | :13:13. | |
a bit of a nailbiter. It is, we knew it would be close. But what now we | :13:14. | :13:18. | |
are down to the scientific language of body language and it shows you | :13:19. | :13:22. | |
how close it really is! I'm disappointed the other candidates | :13:23. | :13:26. | |
aren't going to be there. It's a democracy figure do say, but yes it | :13:27. | :13:30. | |
is close. I suppose, given that you've had a pretty difficult night | :13:31. | :13:35. | |
and day, nobody is pretending you haven't had a difficult time, I'm | :13:36. | :13:42. | |
wondering therefore does this result assume an even greater importance | :13:43. | :13:52. | |
for you and an even greater victory for you? It would give you a big | :13:53. | :13:54. | |
victory to brandish at the end of the day. I think the results have | :13:55. | :13:59. | |
been extremely mixed. We saw Andy Burnham's result. I watched the | :14:00. | :14:03. | |
individual counts, because they announced all ten individually. | :14:04. | :14:08. | |
Winning a majority in virtually every counts as well. The Northwest | :14:09. | :14:17. | |
is web the Conservatives targeted so I found that quite reassuring. We | :14:18. | :14:22. | |
knew it would be close in the West Midlands. I think for us it's been | :14:23. | :14:28. | |
tough, let's admit it, it's been disappointing. But there have been | :14:29. | :14:32. | |
mixed results. Where people were predicting we might have been wiped | :14:33. | :14:36. | |
out, in Wales in particular, and we might have experienced difficulties | :14:37. | :14:41. | |
like in the north-west, that hasn't happened. South Lanarkshire, Labour | :14:42. | :14:45. | |
has lost control of that. As John was speaking to me that came up. Yet | :14:46. | :14:51. | |
another Scottish result, Labour having lost control. The SNP on 27, | :14:52. | :14:58. | |
the Labour Party on 22, the Conservatives on 14. We are probably | :14:59. | :15:01. | |
looking at another conservative surge. Let's look at the difference. | :15:02. | :15:12. | |
Again, in the broad context, I know that the Scottish story clearly is | :15:13. | :15:20. | |
very different parts of England and Wales, the context is different, but | :15:21. | :15:25. | |
you've seen a pretty clear picture there of a Conservative Party in | :15:26. | :15:30. | |
parts of Scotland making inroads, and taking votes from former Labour | :15:31. | :15:35. | |
voters. That's been direct, why is that happening? There's an element | :15:36. | :15:38. | |
of the problems that we've experienced for a number of years in | :15:39. | :15:41. | |
Scotland. We knew it was going to be a long haul to rebuild. I think | :15:42. | :15:46. | |
there's a reaction against Nicola Sturgeon for people wanting to vote | :15:47. | :15:51. | |
for a Unionist party like the Conservatives, even though the | :15:52. | :15:53. | |
Labour Party is strongly in favour of the union. I think there's been | :15:54. | :15:57. | |
that sort of division. I think there's a fair amount of | :15:58. | :16:01. | |
disillusionment with politics in Scotland as well. We've admitted | :16:02. | :16:06. | |
it's going to be a long haul for Labour to regain in Scotland. I'm | :16:07. | :16:12. | |
going to bring in Kezia Dugdale in a second. A quick thought on what | :16:13. | :16:16. | |
we've heard so far. Prospects for a tight contest in the West Midlands | :16:17. | :16:20. | |
and indeed some of the areas of Scotland you've done rather well in. | :16:21. | :16:28. | |
The Conservatives have played this town but I agree with John. What you | :16:29. | :16:33. | |
are seeing is a patchy results and you can't extrapolate from this into | :16:34. | :16:37. | |
a general election result. The cities in Manchester and Liverpool | :16:38. | :16:42. | |
have elected Labour. So, there's a different picture emerging. If I | :16:43. | :16:45. | |
want to focus on Scotland for a second, what is great and macro | :16:46. | :16:50. | |
quite interesting in Scotland is in areas and South Lanarkshire is | :16:51. | :16:53. | |
traditionally a conservative area, and in parts of Glasgow, is a very | :16:54. | :16:59. | |
deprived area where you are beginning to see Conservative | :17:00. | :17:01. | |
candidates coming through. I'm pleased in one sense, but the | :17:02. | :17:06. | |
Conservatives are taking a message to some of the more deprived areas | :17:07. | :17:09. | |
and getting that message across which is an important thing for | :17:10. | :17:13. | |
rebuilding the Conservative Party in Scotland. But overall this isn't a | :17:14. | :17:18. | |
moment for extrapolating to the general election because these are | :17:19. | :17:20. | |
council elections and we have to be cautious about where this takes us. | :17:21. | :17:25. | |
Indeed we do. Let's have a look at the Edinburgh result. Edinburgh is a | :17:26. | :17:29. | |
hung council. What's the difference between today | :17:30. | :17:41. | |
and 2012? We heard earlier on from our | :17:42. | :17:54. | |
correspondent in Edinburgh about the areas of the city that have been | :17:55. | :17:56. | |
doing well for the Conservatives. Labour losing nine in Edinburgh. | :17:57. | :18:03. | |
It's a good moment for us to bring in Kezia Dugdale, the Labour leader | :18:04. | :18:06. | |
in Scotland. Thank you for talking to us. Can we have your overall | :18:07. | :18:12. | |
judgment so far? It's undoubtedly a disappointing result for Labour in | :18:13. | :18:16. | |
Scotland. Not particularly a surprise here. The polls in Scotland | :18:17. | :18:21. | |
have consistently shown labour around 15%. A number of newspapers | :18:22. | :18:25. | |
last week said we would lose every single one of our councils. The | :18:26. | :18:29. | |
reality is that we are topping the tables in at least four areas across | :18:30. | :18:34. | |
the country in Inverclyde, East Lothian, Midlothian, North Ayrshire | :18:35. | :18:37. | |
Labour at the top of the results today. In many towns and cities its | :18:38. | :18:42. | |
Labour that other strong opposition to the SNP. What happened today is | :18:43. | :18:47. | |
you seen the constitutional politics biting Scotland once again. It's yes | :18:48. | :18:57. | |
versus no in that regard. You are down 103 seats, I'm just saying that | :18:58. | :19:01. | |
the viewers to understand what has gone on. The Conservatives up 142 in | :19:02. | :19:07. | |
Scotland, the SNP down 17. Let's talk about Glasgow which has been | :19:08. | :19:10. | |
such a Labour stronghold. How much of a blow was that? You've got to | :19:11. | :19:16. | |
remember that Glasgow Warriors a very strong yes city. I think this | :19:17. | :19:21. | |
is a disappointing result for the SNP in Glasgow. They were screaming | :19:22. | :19:26. | |
and shouting in the chambers but the reality is the SNP tick every seat | :19:27. | :19:32. | |
in that city in 2015, every seat in 2016, they should have walked it. | :19:33. | :19:38. | |
Their vote share is falling from the mid-50% to around 40%. It's not | :19:39. | :19:43. | |
clear what the results in Glasgow is going to be but once again | :19:44. | :19:46. | |
constitutional politics to the fore. It is the case that wherever you are | :19:47. | :19:50. | |
across Scotland, it's Labour that offers the strong opposition to the | :19:51. | :19:55. | |
SNP. That's what we are going to do, we are going out on the streets | :19:56. | :19:58. | |
tomorrow and start the campaign for the general election. By voting | :19:59. | :20:02. | |
Labour you can reject a second independence referendum and also | :20:03. | :20:05. | |
vote for your public services. I heard Iain Duncan Smith trying to | :20:06. | :20:10. | |
declare victory for the Tories in the East End of Glasgow. That's not | :20:11. | :20:13. | |
people putting their faith in the Tory plans for public services, that | :20:14. | :20:17. | |
is constitutional politics. Once again it will turn to the Labour | :20:18. | :20:21. | |
Party to reject the cut off by the SNP and the Tories and that's what | :20:22. | :20:24. | |
every single one of our local champions elected today is going to | :20:25. | :20:29. | |
do. Just understand, on the basis of this performance and the fact you | :20:30. | :20:34. | |
suffered quite heavy losses in this context in Scotland, how confident | :20:35. | :20:38. | |
can you be looking ahead five weeks to June the 8th? I hope we are going | :20:39. | :20:43. | |
to make progress in the general election. East Lothian is an example | :20:44. | :20:47. | |
of that, seat currently held by the SNP, Labour has won that today. | :20:48. | :20:50. | |
We've got an excellent candidate the general election. I think you'll see | :20:51. | :20:55. | |
in things like that across the country, Labour coming to the fore. | :20:56. | :21:01. | |
Rejecting independence, rejecting a second referendum but also focusing | :21:02. | :21:04. | |
on the bread and butter issues, living standards, the housing | :21:05. | :21:07. | |
crisis, investment in school than the NHS. Labour is going to do what | :21:08. | :21:11. | |
it's always done and focus on representing the many, not the few. | :21:12. | :21:19. | |
Thank you for joining us. The Highland result is in, just for us | :21:20. | :21:22. | |
to give you the latest result from Scotland. The independents have a | :21:23. | :21:29. | |
big presence in the Highland, it's a hung council. | :21:30. | :21:35. | |
The Conservatives again making the biggest gains there in council | :21:36. | :21:56. | |
seats. So, looking at that Lib Dem figure, I was looking across | :21:57. | :22:02. | |
Scotland actually. We are down at two overall in Scotland. Really, | :22:03. | :22:06. | |
where you were in a sense in the Scottish picture. It's interesting | :22:07. | :22:10. | |
because we've made some losses but we've also made some gains. What's | :22:11. | :22:15. | |
really encouraging for Scotland and elsewhere is that we've made gains | :22:16. | :22:19. | |
and topped the poll in places like Edinburgh West and East and Barton | :22:20. | :22:22. | |
share where we had the seats before in 2015. From our perspective it's | :22:23. | :22:28. | |
encouraging because we are seeing the great back in the seats we will | :22:29. | :22:32. | |
be fighting for in five weeks' time. Just to underline that, I'm | :22:33. | :22:35. | |
wondering where would you pick out for us specifically on the basis of | :22:36. | :22:39. | |
the performance last night and today, and we are still seeing some | :22:40. | :22:43. | |
results coming in of significance for the Lib Dems, when you look | :22:44. | :22:53. | |
ahead five weeks. When you say you have a realistic hope, where is | :22:54. | :22:56. | |
that? Certainly the seat somebody mentioned and some seats in the | :22:57. | :23:01. | |
although not the amount people were expecting. There's absolutely no | :23:02. | :23:05. | |
doubt that if the percentage share of the vote being projected an hour | :23:06. | :23:10. | |
ago of 18%, then you look in the microclimate areas of specific | :23:11. | :23:13. | |
seats, where we are topping the poll, Cambridge for example, that's | :23:14. | :23:17. | |
really strong for us and we will be expecting to make gains from | :23:18. | :23:20. | |
conservatives and Labour. The Prime Minister has been talking about | :23:21. | :23:24. | |
these elections and maybe giving us a few hints about what might be in | :23:25. | :23:29. | |
course in a few weeks' time. The Prime Minister today has been in | :23:30. | :23:35. | |
Brentford and she's just been speaking. Since I became Prime | :23:36. | :23:40. | |
Minister, I've been determined to make sure that this is a government | :23:41. | :23:44. | |
that works for the whole country, and it is encouraging that we have | :23:45. | :23:49. | |
won support across the whole of the UK. But I won't take anything for | :23:50. | :23:53. | |
granted and neither will the team I lead, because there is too much at | :23:54. | :23:58. | |
stake. This isn't about who wins and who loses in the local elections, it | :23:59. | :24:03. | |
is about continuing to fight for the best Brexit deal for families and | :24:04. | :24:09. | |
businesses across the UK, to lock in the economic progress we've made and | :24:10. | :24:12. | |
get on with the job of making a success of the years ahead. The | :24:13. | :24:20. | |
reality is that today, despite the evident will of the British people, | :24:21. | :24:25. | |
we have bureaucrats in Europe who are questioning our resolve to get | :24:26. | :24:30. | |
the right deal. The reality is that only a general election vote for the | :24:31. | :24:36. | |
Conservatives in 34 days' time will strengthen my hand to get the best | :24:37. | :24:42. | |
deal for Britain from Brexit. So today, I will continue my efforts to | :24:43. | :24:48. | |
earn the support of you, the people. The Prime Minister. Picking up the | :24:49. | :24:51. | |
theme that she developed the other day in Downing Street in those | :24:52. | :24:57. | |
outspoken remarks, when she was telling people what she thought | :24:58. | :25:01. | |
about the latest reports coming out of Brussels to do with the Brexit | :25:02. | :25:04. | |
process. We'll talk a bit about that with my guests, but we are joined by | :25:05. | :25:08. | |
Andy Burnham who has just been elected as the new method greater | :25:09. | :25:11. | |
Manchester. Many congratulations on the result. -- the new mayor of | :25:12. | :25:19. | |
Manchester. Thank you. I should also congratulate you on the longest | :25:20. | :25:25. | |
declaration of all time. It's a big place greater Manchester! What are | :25:26. | :25:29. | |
you going to do with the powers you've been given. They are | :25:30. | :25:34. | |
significant powers, there's a big budget attached to this, it was all | :25:35. | :25:38. | |
down to the plan George Osborne and David Cameron put into effect. What | :25:39. | :25:41. | |
are you going to do with those powers? Change politics. We are | :25:42. | :25:49. | |
going to build a whole new way of doing things here. That was the call | :25:50. | :25:52. | |
from people in greater Manchester and we are going to respond. We are | :25:53. | :25:56. | |
going to start Monday morning on homelessness. That was the issue of | :25:57. | :26:00. | |
the campaign. It troubles me it's barely featured in the general | :26:01. | :26:03. | |
election campaign but people are worried about it, they don't like to | :26:04. | :26:07. | |
see at, and so they know the government has created debt but they | :26:08. | :26:11. | |
want action and I will take action. Monday morning we will set up a new | :26:12. | :26:20. | |
homelessness fund and get on with the job. That's how devolution can | :26:21. | :26:23. | |
change things. We can, tissues from a different direction. That's what | :26:24. | :26:26. | |
we are going to do. -- we can redirect issues. Your election is in | :26:27. | :26:33. | |
contrast to Labour performances elsewhere in England and Wales, how | :26:34. | :26:37. | |
would you describe the party's performance? It's a very mixed | :26:38. | :26:43. | |
picture. It's not encouraging in some places. There is an emphatic | :26:44. | :26:48. | |
result here, I'm proud of the result that we have achieved here. It's not | :26:49. | :26:53. | |
a day for me to comment on everywhere else, I've been running a | :26:54. | :26:57. | |
strong campaign here in greater Manchester about how we're going | :26:58. | :27:02. | |
change things. And really help the North Finder 's political voice. | :27:03. | :27:06. | |
That is what I've come into this contest to do. Westminster isn't | :27:07. | :27:10. | |
going to solve things. We could have as many general elections as we | :27:11. | :27:14. | |
like, in my view it's not going to change the London centric politics | :27:15. | :27:18. | |
we've got. Or my focus is on taking this mandate and using it to change | :27:19. | :27:22. | |
politics for the better and give the law a stronger political voice than | :27:23. | :27:27. | |
had before. All of this has been taking place in the context of a | :27:28. | :27:31. | |
general election, we just the Prime Minister say again that in her view | :27:32. | :27:36. | |
this election all about continuing the fight for the best Brexit deal | :27:37. | :27:39. | |
for families and businesses across the UK. Do you accept that this does | :27:40. | :27:48. | |
come down to a Brexit process and if so, where does that leave Labour? | :27:49. | :27:55. | |
Personally I think this is an unnecessary general election, | :27:56. | :27:59. | |
because Parliament triggered Article 50, it voted in that way to respect | :28:00. | :28:03. | |
the referendum result. I think this is a self-serving politics from a | :28:04. | :28:06. | |
power hungry Prime Minister. We should be getting on with the job | :28:07. | :28:11. | |
right now of getting that good deal, building bridges with Europe, not | :28:12. | :28:14. | |
burning those bridges as the Prime Minister seems to be doing. She | :28:15. | :28:17. | |
wants to make it all about Brexit and nothing else. There are rising | :28:18. | :28:23. | |
numbers of people huddled in the doorways of greater Manchester, | :28:24. | :28:25. | |
we've got schools sending begging letters home to parents, and NHS in | :28:26. | :28:30. | |
growing crisis. What about those issues? When will they be debated | :28:31. | :28:34. | |
properly? What I see is a self-serving move by the | :28:35. | :28:38. | |
Conservative Party. They wanted all on their own terms, they call an | :28:39. | :28:41. | |
election and bingo running unprepared to face the public and | :28:42. | :28:45. | |
the TV debates. It's not good enough in my view. We will get on with the | :28:46. | :28:51. | |
job here. People want to see devolution work. To be honest, it's | :28:52. | :28:55. | |
frustrating the primers to call the general election in the middle of | :28:56. | :28:58. | |
this election which was quite a big change in the way our country is | :28:59. | :29:02. | |
run. I think people want to see this process work and not have it | :29:03. | :29:06. | |
completely overshadowed by the general election. A final word on | :29:07. | :29:11. | |
the turnout which was 29%, it's got to be a sort of disappointment to | :29:12. | :29:12. | |
you. It is a new role and when you look | :29:13. | :29:23. | |
at the Mayor of London, it was a similar turnout. A moment ago, at | :29:24. | :29:29. | |
the crucial moments of the campaign, the Prime Minister decided to call a | :29:30. | :29:32. | |
general election. To be honest, I find that very frustrating. A | :29:33. | :29:38. | |
dysfunctional Westminster has intruded into this situation, which | :29:39. | :29:42. | |
I would argue is the best solution we have got to reconnect people with | :29:43. | :29:46. | |
politics. Instead, the old way of doing things has crowded that | :29:47. | :29:50. | |
thinking out. Greater Manchester will take this moment to change the | :29:51. | :29:55. | |
way we do politics, make it work better for people here, make it more | :29:56. | :29:58. | |
meaningful and involve people in different ways. We are living | :29:59. | :30:01. | |
through a political crisis now and I don't think the Westminster system | :30:02. | :30:10. | |
knows how to solve it. We do. We asked people for their ideas in the | :30:11. | :30:13. | |
manifesto we put forward and now we will ask the people of Greater | :30:14. | :30:16. | |
Manchester to help us deliver it. Andy Burnham, the new Metro Mayor | :30:17. | :30:21. | |
for Greater Manchester. He is enjoying his victory but we will | :30:22. | :30:25. | |
talk about the broader themes of the campaign that will come up. I am | :30:26. | :30:29. | |
hoping to talk to Nicola Sturgeon, the First Minister of Scotland in a | :30:30. | :30:35. | |
moment. Before that, Andy Burnham made a few serious accusations | :30:36. | :30:38. | |
against the Prime Minister, for the reasons she has called the election | :30:39. | :30:41. | |
and the way she is trying to manipulate it, as he sees it around | :30:42. | :30:49. | |
Brexit. What is your answer? First of all, I congratulate him for being | :30:50. | :30:57. | |
so successful, wish him all the best. I don't agree with him in the | :30:58. | :31:01. | |
sense of why she called it. There are some good reasons why. She | :31:02. | :31:06. | |
really does need a personal mandate in these negotiations to show that | :31:07. | :31:10. | |
as an elected Prime Minister she is able to conduct those negotiations | :31:11. | :31:14. | |
in Europe in a strong way. She has talked about strong and stable | :31:15. | :31:19. | |
leadership. And also, somebody said he will recall that because you | :31:20. | :31:23. | |
don't want to run into the election. There is a good reason why. If you | :31:24. | :31:30. | |
are conducting negotiations that have a two-year limited timescale | :31:31. | :31:33. | |
and if the other side knows your focus will move quickly to an | :31:34. | :31:37. | |
election, it is in their interest to delay quite a lot of that and let it | :31:38. | :31:41. | |
run because the pressure would build on the British negotiating team | :31:42. | :31:44. | |
because they know they will have to start preparing for an election. By | :31:45. | :31:49. | |
clearing this away and giving us another two years she ensures there | :31:50. | :31:52. | |
is no lack of focus in the general election. Finally, everybody from | :31:53. | :31:58. | |
the Labour Party, the Scottish Nationalists, everybody, has a | :31:59. | :32:01. | |
charge against Theresa May saying, you haven't got a personal mandate. | :32:02. | :32:07. | |
We hope she is going to get that now. What Andy Burnham says, this is | :32:08. | :32:12. | |
not a foregone conclusion. It is very feasible but Labour could do | :32:13. | :32:15. | |
much better in the general election and therefore we have to fight hard | :32:16. | :32:19. | |
and put the issue of strong and stable leadership at the forefront | :32:20. | :32:23. | |
against chaotic leadership of the Labour Party. I want to go to | :32:24. | :32:27. | |
Glasgow because we will talk about leadership there because the First | :32:28. | :32:31. | |
Minister, Nicola Sturgeon joins us now. Good afternoon to you. Hello. | :32:32. | :32:46. | |
What do you make of your performance so far? I am looking at the Scotland | :32:47. | :32:49. | |
scoreboard. I will show it to the viewers now. It is showing me the | :32:50. | :32:52. | |
SNP so far are on 350 council seats, they have lost 17 the Tories have | :32:53. | :32:56. | |
surged and they are in second place with Labour in third. How would you | :32:57. | :33:02. | |
describe the SNP's performance? I am delighted. We have more votes, more | :33:03. | :33:07. | |
seats and we are the largest party with more councils than any other | :33:08. | :33:13. | |
party in Scotland. It is a clear and emphatic victory for the SNP. We are | :33:14. | :33:18. | |
the largest city in Edinburgh, Dundee and Aberdeen and in Glasgow, | :33:19. | :33:22. | |
where we have today ended 40 years of Labour control of Glasgow City | :33:23. | :33:27. | |
Council. This is a fantastic victory. In terms of the Tory | :33:28. | :33:32. | |
support, that has come from Labour. It is not the SNP losing ground to | :33:33. | :33:37. | |
the Tory. If you look at the Labour and Tory support they are almost a | :33:38. | :33:41. | |
mirror image of each other. The soul-searching in Scotland today has | :33:42. | :33:45. | |
to be done by the Labour Party. For the SNP, I am delighted it is | :33:46. | :33:50. | |
another clear election victory and a great springboard for the general | :33:51. | :33:55. | |
election. John Curtis was saying earlier, your performance as a party | :33:56. | :34:08. | |
is not as strong as it was in 2015, 16 and he pointed out you had a | :34:09. | :34:10. | |
realistic expectation of taking control of Glasgow City Council. Why | :34:11. | :34:13. | |
didn't that happen? As John Curtis knows, we have proportional | :34:14. | :34:18. | |
representation. The majority is the exception and not the rule. We set | :34:19. | :34:23. | |
out to win Glasgow and we have. In terms of the comparison with 2015 | :34:24. | :34:30. | |
and 2016, those who are Parliamentary elections, this is a | :34:31. | :34:35. | |
council election. The SNP vote has held up our share and the seats have | :34:36. | :34:39. | |
held up and we will be the largest party in more councils. Perhaps the | :34:40. | :34:44. | |
majority of councils, although that is not absolutely clear yet. There | :34:45. | :34:49. | |
is no way anybody can spin this result as anything other than a very | :34:50. | :34:54. | |
clear and emphatic win for the SNP. It puts us in pole position to | :34:55. | :34:58. | |
protect services and gives us a great springboard for the general | :34:59. | :35:05. | |
election. It is clear the Tories are on track to win the general | :35:06. | :35:09. | |
election, so if people in Scotland won strong voices and a strong | :35:10. | :35:12. | |
opposition to the Tories, that can only come from the SNP. You keep | :35:13. | :35:18. | |
saying clear and emphatic and I wonder how that squares with the | :35:19. | :35:23. | |
outcome in Dundee where you lost overall control? We were one seat | :35:24. | :35:28. | |
short. I come back to the point, people who pay close attention to | :35:29. | :35:33. | |
the elections will understand we have a single transferable vote for | :35:34. | :35:37. | |
council elections in Scotland, proportional representation. | :35:38. | :35:40. | |
Majorities are not usual, they are the exception and not the rule. | :35:41. | :35:46. | |
There may well be in Scotland that has majority control after this | :35:47. | :35:50. | |
election, but we are the largest party in not just Dundee, but | :35:51. | :35:55. | |
Aberdeen, Edinburgh, Glasgow, a whole host of other councils across | :35:56. | :36:00. | |
the country. In very simple terms, the SNP will emerge from this | :36:01. | :36:07. | |
election with more votes than any other party by some distance, with | :36:08. | :36:10. | |
more seats than any other party and in the driving seat of more councils | :36:11. | :36:15. | |
than any other party. By anybody's standards, that is a clear and | :36:16. | :36:19. | |
emphatic win for the SNP in this election. Bear with us, we have | :36:20. | :36:23. | |
north Lanarkshire in. I want to show the viewers. It is a hung council, | :36:24. | :36:30. | |
33 to your party, 32 to Labour, tend to do Conservatives and two to the | :36:31. | :36:39. | |
Liberal Dems. Labour have lost 12 and the Tories, this is a pattern we | :36:40. | :36:43. | |
have seen a lot of, the Tories have gained ten seats on North | :36:44. | :36:46. | |
Lanarkshire Council. To go back to your reasoning as to why the | :36:47. | :36:52. | |
Conservatives are making a few inroads here, your colleague, John | :36:53. | :36:56. | |
Nicholson was in effect complaining because he thought Ruth Davidson had | :36:57. | :37:01. | |
gone on about the concept of the Constitution and independence | :37:02. | :37:04. | |
referendum. It was put to him that the strategy has worked in lots of | :37:05. | :37:11. | |
these areas. What do you say? North Lanarkshire illustrates my point | :37:12. | :37:14. | |
very well. It is not the only council to do so. North Lanarkshire, | :37:15. | :37:19. | |
like Glasgow, they use two-way the Labour vote, the SNP is now the | :37:20. | :37:25. | |
largest party. If you look at North Lanarkshire, the SNP has improved | :37:26. | :37:28. | |
its standing and what you see is almost a mirror image of Labour and | :37:29. | :37:34. | |
the Conservatives. Labour have seeds that have fallen and the Tories have | :37:35. | :37:38. | |
gone up. So the question about the Tory performance, with the greatest | :37:39. | :37:42. | |
of respect, are not questions for me because it is not the SNP who has | :37:43. | :37:46. | |
lost ground to the Tories. The questions about the Tory support our | :37:47. | :37:50. | |
questions for the Labour Party. We saw the start of this last year, we | :37:51. | :37:55. | |
have seen a collapse in the Labour Party vote and that is where the | :37:56. | :37:59. | |
Tories are picking up their support. It is not coming from the SNP | :38:00. | :38:04. | |
because the SNP continues to be strong and continues to win these | :38:05. | :38:09. | |
elections. Understood, but we are interested in your view. Bear with | :38:10. | :38:13. | |
us, John McDonnell is here and your thoughts and why the First Minister | :38:14. | :38:20. | |
thinks Labour has suffered in parts of Scotland? I think Nicola Sturgeon | :38:21. | :38:23. | |
should be worried because the SNP surge has come to a halt. Whatever | :38:24. | :38:28. | |
she is saying at the moment, they were expected to take Glasgow, they | :38:29. | :38:32. | |
were expecting greater gains than this. What reflects is an increasing | :38:33. | :38:38. | |
rejection of any concept of further independence referendum. Those votes | :38:39. | :38:43. | |
have gone to the Tories. I am disappointed at Labour's position in | :38:44. | :38:48. | |
a number of areas, but it means the SNP's surge we have seen has come to | :38:49. | :38:52. | |
a halt. They are beginning to fall back and that is a rejection of any | :38:53. | :38:56. | |
concept of the independence referendum. That is certainly right. | :38:57. | :39:02. | |
The SNP have been going backwards and it is clear, talking to | :39:03. | :39:06. | |
colleagues in Scotland a couple of weeks ago, the Conservatives' | :39:07. | :39:14. | |
literature was full of know the independence referendum two. Iain | :39:15. | :39:20. | |
Duncan Smith? It was the First Minister herself, who made a big | :39:21. | :39:24. | |
issue about independence referendum. She put it on the table, she called | :39:25. | :39:29. | |
for it and told Theresa May she wanted it ASAP. I don't think when | :39:30. | :39:34. | |
the Scottish Nationalists complain about there being an issue about the | :39:35. | :39:39. | |
referendum, they have any ground to stand on because they raise this as | :39:40. | :39:42. | |
the single issue they felt was important in Scotland. I think it is | :39:43. | :39:47. | |
the right, legitimate tactic, but if you look at other literature, it was | :39:48. | :39:52. | |
often about local issues as well. This is a huge feather in the for | :39:53. | :39:56. | |
Ruth Davidson, it is a personal leadership issue, she has become the | :39:57. | :40:00. | |
person to take on the First Minister and Scottish Nationalists and is | :40:01. | :40:07. | |
making ground. This is very good for politics in Scotland. First | :40:08. | :40:10. | |
Minister, thoughts on your prospects as you see them in five weeks on the | :40:11. | :40:17. | |
8th of June? I am looking forward to the general election and the | :40:18. | :40:20. | |
performance of the SNP is a great springboard for that campaign. I | :40:21. | :40:25. | |
will come back to that in a second, but if I may pick up on some of the | :40:26. | :40:28. | |
points I have been listening to. If the Tories want to say it was a | :40:29. | :40:34. | |
campaign about independence, the Tories have to face up to the fact | :40:35. | :40:39. | |
they put that centre stage and the SNP have won this election in | :40:40. | :40:42. | |
Scotland and the Tories have lost it. As far as John McDonnell is | :40:43. | :40:46. | |
concerned, I know Labour doesn't have much to smile about in any part | :40:47. | :40:51. | |
of the UK, but Labour has seen its vote collapse in Scotland. Those in | :40:52. | :40:56. | |
the Labour ranks who support independence have long since started | :40:57. | :41:00. | |
to vote for the SNP and now we see those who don't support | :41:01. | :41:06. | |
independence, going to the Conservatives. Labour is in a sorry | :41:07. | :41:09. | |
state. I am standing in a city that I have been politically active in | :41:10. | :41:13. | |
for most of my a dull life. They used to weigh the Labour voting | :41:14. | :41:19. | |
Glasgow, now the SNP holds every constituency and we are now the | :41:20. | :41:23. | |
largest party at council level about to form an administration. In terms | :41:24. | :41:28. | |
of the general election, it is a clear on the back of the English | :41:29. | :41:32. | |
results, Theresa May is on course to win the election. What the question | :41:33. | :41:36. | |
is for Scotland is, do we want to make sure we have strong voices the | :41:37. | :41:41. | |
Scotland with an opposition that can hold the Tory government to account? | :41:42. | :41:46. | |
It is clear Labour cannot do that, they are barely fit for opposition | :41:47. | :41:49. | |
and certainly not fit for government. If you want that from | :41:50. | :41:53. | |
Scotland, it can only come from the SNP and that is a very good spring | :41:54. | :41:58. | |
board as we go into the 8th of June. I have to make this point, two years | :41:59. | :42:04. | |
ago, the vote of the SNP in the general election was greater than | :42:05. | :42:08. | |
that of the three main Unionist parties put together, Labour, | :42:09. | :42:11. | |
Conservative and liberal Democrat. Looking at these results, as of | :42:12. | :42:17. | |
yesterday, a fairly substantial majority for the three Unionist | :42:18. | :42:24. | |
parties combined over the SNP. A reasonably substantial vote. It may | :42:25. | :42:29. | |
be very different in five weeks, but the question I would like to ask | :42:30. | :42:33. | |
Nicola Sturgeon, given first past the post, you are bound to come out | :42:34. | :42:37. | |
with a clear majority of seats in Scotland. But if the vote for the | :42:38. | :42:42. | |
Unionist parties is substantially greater than the vote for the SNP, | :42:43. | :42:46. | |
does that affect your thinking about another referendum? No, it doesn't. | :42:47. | :42:53. | |
With the greatest respect, I am focusing on winning the general | :42:54. | :42:56. | |
election. We have just won council election. What I think is | :42:57. | :43:00. | |
interesting, forgive me there is a result been declared here, so I am | :43:01. | :43:05. | |
not hearing very much at the moment. But it is interesting we have other | :43:06. | :43:11. | |
parties in Scotland who are seeing the SNP winning election, at the | :43:12. | :43:15. | |
election, at the election, who are trying to redefine what victory and | :43:16. | :43:18. | |
defeat means because they know they cannot win. I will continue to focus | :43:19. | :43:22. | |
on getting more seats and votes than any other party and by any | :43:23. | :43:26. | |
definition that will be the SNP continuing to win the election. I am | :43:27. | :43:31. | |
not taking anything for granted for the general election, we have a | :43:32. | :43:34. | |
campaign ahead and part of the success for the SNP over the last | :43:35. | :43:38. | |
decade has been not taking voters for granted. In Glasgow, what | :43:39. | :43:48. | |
happens to parties when they take the electorate for granted as Labour | :43:49. | :43:50. | |
has done over many years. First Minister, banks are battling against | :43:51. | :43:52. | |
the noise in the background. Thank you. Nicola Sturgeon. An interesting | :43:53. | :44:00. | |
point in terms of the reconfiguration and your question | :44:01. | :44:03. | |
about what that change the thinking on a second independence referendum. | :44:04. | :44:07. | |
We had a straight response, which you would expect, but it is an | :44:08. | :44:13. | |
interesting point. Under the local election, under proportional | :44:14. | :44:16. | |
representation, it is hard for any party to win out right and the SNP | :44:17. | :44:21. | |
won fewer votes and seats than the three Unionist parties put together. | :44:22. | :44:26. | |
General election, back to first past the post so you could have a | :44:27. | :44:31. | |
situation where the SNP win 40, 40 5% of the vote for examples and | :44:32. | :44:35. | |
maybe win 50 out of 59 seats. But when you add together the votes of | :44:36. | :44:41. | |
the three Unionist parties, if you had had the local election in the | :44:42. | :44:44. | |
general election, it wouldn't be so clear cut that Scotland is the being | :44:45. | :44:51. | |
of the SNP. If you are making a crude calculation of when to go for | :44:52. | :44:56. | |
another independence results, this result would make you think twice. | :44:57. | :45:02. | |
John, I will have to go to the West Midlands. The total number of valid | :45:03. | :45:09. | |
second preference votes cast for each of the remaining candidates is | :45:10. | :45:16. | |
as follows... Andy Street, the Conservative Party candidate, 7690. | :45:17. | :45:26. | |
Simon Sean Llewelyn, Labour and co-operative party, 10300 and 82. | :45:27. | :45:33. | |
Total number of valid second preference votes is 31,000 488. The | :45:34. | :45:40. | |
total number of rejected ballot papers is 2988. Thank you. | :45:41. | :45:51. | |
Thank you, Kate. As returning officer for the West Midlands, the | :45:52. | :45:58. | |
election for the mayor on the 4th of May 20 17th, I hereby certify that | :45:59. | :46:05. | |
the total number of valid second preference votes cast for each of | :46:06. | :46:08. | |
the remaining candidates is as follows... Andy Street, the | :46:09. | :46:15. | |
Conservative Party candidate, 22,000 348. Simon Sean Llewelyn, Labour and | :46:16. | :46:29. | |
cooperative party, 24,603. The total number of ballot papers rejected at | :46:30. | :46:34. | |
the second count is as follows, 7515. The total number of valid | :46:35. | :46:41. | |
first and second preference votes for each of the remaining candidates | :46:42. | :46:48. | |
is as follows. Andy Street, the Conservative Party candidate, first | :46:49. | :46:58. | |
preferences, 216,000 280. Second preferences, 22,000 348. Total, | :46:59. | :47:12. | |
238,000 628. Simon Sean Llewelyn, Labour and cooperative party. First | :47:13. | :47:23. | |
preferences, 210,000 259. Second preferences, 24,000 603. Total, | :47:24. | :47:34. | |
234,000 862. Andy Street, the Conservative Party candidate, is | :47:35. | :47:39. | |
duly elected as mayor for the West Midlands authority. | :47:40. | :47:50. | |
Andy Street is elected as Metro Mayor in the West Midlands for the | :47:51. | :47:53. | |
Conservatives. OK, thank you all. I think it is | :47:54. | :48:12. | |
customary to say if few words on occasions like this and they should | :48:13. | :48:16. | |
start with my thanks, of course. First of all that must be to Martin | :48:17. | :48:20. | |
and his team of returning officers across the West Midlands. It has all | :48:21. | :48:23. | |
been conducted brilliantly today said thank you very much, Martin and | :48:24. | :48:28. | |
all of your team, including all the counters. Thank you. Secondly, I do | :48:29. | :48:35. | |
want to say an enormous thank you to all of my fellow candidates. The | :48:36. | :48:41. | |
Beverly, James, Pete, Graham and above all else to Sean. Because I | :48:42. | :48:45. | |
honestly think we have conducted this in a very cordial way in the | :48:46. | :48:52. | |
best tradition of British politics. Sean, thank you. I should also say | :48:53. | :49:00. | |
thank you to Council bobsleigh has combined the West Midlands combined | :49:01. | :49:05. | |
authority of the best point, so thank you for all you have done to | :49:06. | :49:08. | |
get to this point. I should thank my own team, I am only going to mention | :49:09. | :49:14. | |
Dolly my election agent, but you all the what you have done in that team | :49:15. | :49:18. | |
and we have come an enormous distance. Thank you very much | :49:19. | :49:26. | |
indeed. Now, talking... Talking of journeys. In September when we | :49:27. | :49:29. | |
started, I talked about what I wanted to achieve in the campaign. I | :49:30. | :49:34. | |
said I wanted it to reach every single community across the West | :49:35. | :49:39. | |
Midlands. I said I wanted it to be moderate, tolerant and inclusive and | :49:40. | :49:43. | |
I said I wanted to present practical solutions to difficult issues. And | :49:44. | :49:49. | |
that is exactly what we have done. Judging by the results, we have | :49:50. | :49:52. | |
reached every area across the West Midlands and we have won support in | :49:53. | :49:57. | |
every single community. What we have seen here today is what I would call | :49:58. | :50:03. | |
the rebirth of the new urban conservative agenda. It is | :50:04. | :50:15. | |
defined... Andy Street giving his victory speech in the West Midlands. | :50:16. | :50:21. | |
Just to recap, it is quite a narrow victory, Andy Street, the former | :50:22. | :50:25. | |
boss of John Lewis, Conservative candidate who has been victorious in | :50:26. | :50:28. | |
the West Midlands in probably the most powerful of these positions | :50:29. | :50:31. | |
that have been created, the six Metro Mayor is we have been talking | :50:32. | :50:36. | |
about today, which have been elected. We have had Greater | :50:37. | :50:38. | |
Manchester and we have spoken to Andy Burnham. But there we have Andy | :50:39. | :50:43. | |
Street, who has defeated John Simon in a very tough race. John McDonnell | :50:44. | :50:49. | |
is with me. Thoughts on what is symbolically, as well, if I may say | :50:50. | :50:56. | |
so, symbolically, a tough result for Labour? It is, I am so sorry for | :50:57. | :51:03. | |
Sean Simon. It was always going to be close and to be that close. They | :51:04. | :51:07. | |
have worked really hard. It is disappointing, but we knew it was | :51:08. | :51:12. | |
going to be tied. I thought maybe he would be able to get it. It looks | :51:13. | :51:16. | |
like a game in the second preference, the Ukip votes have | :51:17. | :51:23. | |
collapsed into the Tories. I think this is what has happened again. | :51:24. | :51:29. | |
29,000 new kit boats in the first round and 20,000 additional votes | :51:30. | :51:34. | |
for Andy Street. But there are 50,000 lost centre-left votes. If | :51:35. | :51:39. | |
you go to the Liberal Democrats and the Greens. I suspect a lot of them | :51:40. | :51:46. | |
voted for each other. It meant they weren't counted at all the second | :51:47. | :51:50. | |
time round. While you had come if you like on the first count, 52-48 | :51:51. | :51:56. | |
lead the party is on the left and the parties on the right. Because of | :51:57. | :52:01. | |
those wasted second votes, you have a narrow victory for the candidates | :52:02. | :52:04. | |
on the right over the candidates on the left. In Ireland, people get | :52:05. | :52:11. | |
used to a proportional representation system. I am | :52:12. | :52:17. | |
tremendously disappointed. It has been said several times about Andy | :52:18. | :52:22. | |
Street's campaign, but he has been accused several times of spending | :52:23. | :52:27. | |
just about ?1 million on the very early stages of the campaign and | :52:28. | :52:32. | |
that undoubtedly, say his opponents, helped him unfairly. Is it a factor | :52:33. | :52:38. | |
or not? Can I congratulate Andy Street, I know his campaign was one | :52:39. | :52:42. | |
very hard and I like him as an individual, he is a decent person | :52:43. | :52:56. | |
and he will do his best for his May are tea. The rules are the rules, he | :52:57. | :53:00. | |
can spend what he did come in hasn't broken any rules. He has been quite | :53:01. | :53:07. | |
open about it. He said he thinks the campaign is worth spending the money | :53:08. | :53:10. | |
on because he wants to be elected and wants to do the right thing for | :53:11. | :53:16. | |
his area. The reality is, when you have these head to head elections, | :53:17. | :53:22. | |
you will get a different pattern of how that goes about. If someone | :53:23. | :53:25. | |
wants to change the rules, that is a different matter and if they want to | :53:26. | :53:29. | |
look at the rules again, then fine. But Andy Street won a fair fight and | :53:30. | :53:33. | |
it was a very close fight. Congratulations to Simon for going | :53:34. | :53:41. | |
all the way. I am a great believer in mayoral elections because they | :53:42. | :53:45. | |
would bring local focus and the man. But it does remind us we have lost | :53:46. | :53:48. | |
some around the country. The Labour Party has been solid in places like | :53:49. | :53:53. | |
Manchester, Liverpool and others. It shows my colleagues we cannot be | :53:54. | :53:57. | |
complacent. You have to fight harder the election and make sure we get | :53:58. | :54:00. | |
Theresa May elected. It is all beginning now. We have had the | :54:01. | :54:06. | |
Manchester and Midlands results in the last hour or so. Real contrast | :54:07. | :54:12. | |
compared with the general election votes two years ago. In West | :54:13. | :54:16. | |
Midlands, it looked like a 5% swing from Labour to the Conservatives. In | :54:17. | :54:21. | |
Manchester, there was something like a 9% swing from the Conservatives to | :54:22. | :54:26. | |
the Labour Party. There is a real difference. I won't go into the | :54:27. | :54:37. | |
reason, but the Liverpool result from two years ago looks more like | :54:38. | :54:43. | |
the Midlands the Manchester. Just pause for a second, I want to go to | :54:44. | :54:48. | |
West Sussex and we spoke to Peter Henley, our correspondence. We were | :54:49. | :54:52. | |
talking about West Sussex earlier which is a conservative hold. I can | :54:53. | :54:56. | |
show viewers the figures now because they are worth underlining. 56 | :54:57. | :55:11. | |
seats. A big conservative wing. Labour, losing ten. And 11 games for | :55:12. | :55:20. | |
the Tories in West Sussex. Peter, what is the kind of take, what is | :55:21. | :55:25. | |
your take on what has happened? All of those Ukip seats went to the | :55:26. | :55:37. | |
Conservatives. This is a big leave area. Nigel Farage is the MEP for | :55:38. | :55:42. | |
the south-east of England and I wonder if things have changed. | :55:43. | :55:46. | |
Theresa May has taken over as the person who is doing the job on | :55:47. | :55:51. | |
Brexit. So those Ukip voters have switched to the Conservatives. By | :55:52. | :55:57. | |
contrast that with Oxfordshire. Another conservative county, | :55:58. | :55:59. | |
struggling with cuts in school funding and in a dull social care or | :56:00. | :56:05. | |
even contrast it with Surrey he was asking for a 15% increase in its | :56:06. | :56:10. | |
council tax at one stage. The Conservatives just level pegging in | :56:11. | :56:14. | |
Oxford. The Liberal Democrats up from 16% share of the vote to 25% | :56:15. | :56:19. | |
and in Oxfordshire, Labour holding steady on 21% of the vote. The | :56:20. | :56:24. | |
difference between the leave and remain areas and what people are | :56:25. | :56:28. | |
doing is interesting. Thank you for the update. We are going to go and | :56:29. | :56:34. | |
have a weather update in a minute, but just a quick comment, because he | :56:35. | :56:38. | |
spoke about Oxfordshire and traditionally there is a strong Lib | :56:39. | :56:43. | |
Dem element, your thoughts on what has happened there. It repeats what | :56:44. | :56:48. | |
I was saying earlier, we have seen substantial swings to us both in | :56:49. | :56:52. | |
Oxford West and Abingdon but in Witney where we have the by-election | :56:53. | :56:55. | |
before Christmas. I am not surprised. Whilst West Sussex, the | :56:56. | :57:02. | |
Ukip seats might have gone to the Conservatives, that is not true in | :57:03. | :57:06. | |
Eastleigh where we gained three seats from Ukip. We will pick up | :57:07. | :57:10. | |
again in a moment. We will get a quick update on the weather. | :57:11. | :57:16. | |
It has been a lovely day across large parts of the UK. This is a | :57:17. | :57:24. | |
picture from the Highlands. Blue sky and snow on the peaks, it has been | :57:25. | :57:29. | |
melting all week. Not sunny everywhere. We have this cloud in | :57:30. | :57:33. | |
Essex. Look at the satellite sequence and you can see sunshine is | :57:34. | :57:37. | |
widespread and there is the breeze dragging the cloud into the | :57:38. | :57:40. | |
southernmost counties but even there, there is breaks in the cloud | :57:41. | :57:44. | |
and it is dry virtually everywhere. In the evening there will be the | :57:45. | :57:48. | |
burial cloud across southern counties come increasing and | :57:49. | :57:52. | |
spreading north. Might generate the odd spot of rain in the Midlands | :57:53. | :57:56. | |
coming to Wales as well. More persistent rain clipping into | :57:57. | :57:59. | |
Cornwall. Not as chilly as it was last night. But a touch of frost | :58:00. | :58:04. | |
developing in the north of Scotland. Scotland tomorrow will be lovely | :58:05. | :58:08. | |
with plenty of sunshine. Through the evening we have wet weather drifting | :58:09. | :58:12. | |
a little bit further up into the south-western corner of the UK. Into | :58:13. | :58:16. | |
tomorrow and it will be a lovely day, in the north of the UK, with | :58:17. | :58:20. | |
plenty of sunshine and on the western side of Scotland. Northern | :58:21. | :58:23. | |
Ireland will do well in the morning but more cloud in the afternoon. | :58:24. | :58:29. | |
Generally cloudy across Northern Ingham, Wales and East Anglia but | :58:30. | :58:33. | |
dry virtually everywhere. Into the afternoon, western Scotland doing | :58:34. | :58:37. | |
well. Always more low cloud on the north coast which will keep the | :58:38. | :58:40. | |
temperature is 11 or 12 degrees. Quite warm in the sunshine in the | :58:41. | :58:46. | |
West. Northern Ireland seen 14, 15, 16 degrees. Cool on the North Sea | :58:47. | :58:56. | |
coast. But had further inland, temperatures a bit higher, 15, 16 | :58:57. | :58:59. | |
degrees for Cardiff and Bournemouth. But the wet weather down towards the | :59:00. | :59:01. | |
south-west. That will move away Saturday evening. Wetter weather for | :59:02. | :59:04. | |
the south-west and for the Channel Islands as well. Heading into | :59:05. | :59:08. | |
Sunday, we have this breeze coming from the North from the North Sea | :59:09. | :59:13. | |
coastal areas. Great with light rain and drizzle, but had further west | :59:14. | :59:16. | |
and the wind is lighter, brighter skies and sunshine. Maybe a few | :59:17. | :59:21. | |
showers in the far south-west but doing well in terms of temperatures. | :59:22. | :59:25. | |
Middle to upper teens in the south-west but cooler along the | :59:26. | :59:29. | |
North Sea coast. Looking ahead to next week and for the most part it | :59:30. | :59:32. | |
will stay dry for the early part. The might start seeing things on | :59:33. | :59:36. | |
settled later on next week. Good afternoon, it's 5pm, welcome to | :59:37. | :00:26. | |
our special live coverage of the local elections in England, Wales | :00:27. | :00:31. | |
and Scotland. The final hour of coverage on the BBC News channel | :00:32. | :00:35. | |
today, thousands of councillors elected overnight and today, they | :00:36. | :00:42. | |
are the ones responsible for delivering local services but of | :00:43. | :00:46. | |
course other things are happening as well. There is a general election | :00:47. | :00:49. | |
campaign happening and that is part of the story we are telling today. | :00:50. | :00:54. | |
We will have the last results to be declared hopefully in the next hour | :00:55. | :00:57. | |
or so and we will get reaction from the political parties as to what has | :00:58. | :01:04. | |
gone on. Within the past few minutes and the street has been elected as | :01:05. | :01:08. | |
the first ever Metro Mayor of the West of England. Sorry, that's the | :01:09. | :01:18. | |
West Midlands. And Sean Simon losing in a tight contest. The | :01:19. | :01:23. | |
Conservatives have gained around 550 councillors, they took Derbyshire | :01:24. | :01:26. | |
from Labour this afternoon, big result for them. Pretty difficult | :01:27. | :01:34. | |
time for Labour as John McDonnell has been telling us, losing overall | :01:35. | :01:38. | |
control of Glasgow City Council for the first time in decades, losing | :01:39. | :01:42. | |
over 100 councillors in England and in Wales and Scotland if you add | :01:43. | :01:47. | |
them together they have lost over 300. But Andy Burnham has been | :01:48. | :01:51. | |
elected Metro Mayor for Manchester. He took 63% of the vote. Ukip have | :01:52. | :01:59. | |
had a terrible time losing virtually every seat they were defending, down | :02:00. | :02:05. | |
by almost 150 councillors and the party has been wiped out on councils | :02:06. | :02:10. | |
such as Lincolnshire, Hampshire and Essex. The vote share is down | :02:11. | :02:13. | |
dramatically, most of that going to the Conservatives. Here in the | :02:14. | :02:24. | |
studio we will get some reaction in the next hour or so from John | :02:25. | :02:30. | |
McDonnell of Labour and Iain Duncan Smith, thank you for giving us | :02:31. | :02:35. | |
company and Peter Kellner is here to give us analysis and we'll be joined | :02:36. | :02:39. | |
by Professor John Curtis who will give us his latest take on the days | :02:40. | :02:45. | |
events. All that, but let's look at the scorecard, the scoreboard at the | :02:46. | :02:50. | |
moment. This is where we are, in terms of council seats, these are | :02:51. | :02:54. | |
the numbers of councillors, if you are just joining us this is where we | :02:55. | :02:59. | |
are virtually at the end of this day. 550 gained for the | :03:00. | :03:10. | |
Conservatives, 385 losses for Labour, independence losing 12, the | :03:11. | :03:15. | |
Lib Dems as we speak having lost 36, the SNP having lost seven and Plaid | :03:16. | :03:22. | |
Cymru having gained 33. The greens are on 40 as we speak, they have put | :03:23. | :03:29. | |
on six overnight and today. And Ukip as I was saying, look at that | :03:30. | :03:36. | |
figure, a losses from their high point in 2013, just one single seat | :03:37. | :03:45. | |
I think in Lancashire. Lots of chat to come and we'll be getting as much | :03:46. | :03:49. | |
reaction as we can trying to draw the schemes together for you in the | :03:50. | :03:54. | |
next hour or so so we can get a good take on what these elections mean | :03:55. | :03:57. | |
and maybe rather cautiously looking ahead five weeks as well to the | :03:58. | :04:01. | |
general election. All that to come but let's catch up with the day 's | :04:02. | :04:04. | |
news, the election news and all the rest of the news with Jane. | :04:05. | :04:07. | |
The Prime Minister says they are taking nothing for granted as too | :04:08. | :04:17. | |
much is at stake following their local election success. | :04:18. | :04:19. | |
The Conservatives are enjoying their best results | :04:20. | :04:21. | |
for more than a decade in the local elections. | :04:22. | :04:23. | |
They are the only party to make significant gains, | :04:24. | :04:25. | |
The Tories have taken 11 councils including some which had | :04:26. | :04:29. | |
previously been staunchly Labour - like Derbyshire. | :04:30. | :04:32. | |
Labour have performed poorly - losing more than 300 council seats. | :04:33. | :04:37. | |
The Liberal Democrats have lost 35 seats. | :04:38. | :04:41. | |
In the election of Metro Mayors, Andy Street has taken | :04:42. | :04:44. | |
the West Midlands for the Tories, and Andy Burnham won | :04:45. | :04:46. | |
Our political correspondent Eleanor Garnier has the full story | :04:47. | :04:50. | |
It's the Conservatives with the biggest cheers. | :04:51. | :04:56. | |
They've gained overall control in more than ten councils, | :04:57. | :04:58. | |
including Derbyshire, Cambridgeshire and Lincolnshire. | :04:59. | :05:02. | |
The Conservative Party candidate is duly elected as mayor for | :05:03. | :05:05. | |
And a huge win in one of Labour's former heartlands saw | :05:06. | :05:11. | |
the Conservative candidate become elected mayor. | :05:12. | :05:34. | |
Theresa May struck a cautious note I head of the general election. I'm | :05:35. | :05:40. | |
not taking anything for granted, I will be going out for the remaining | :05:41. | :05:44. | |
weeks of this general election campaign to earn the support of the | :05:45. | :05:49. | |
British people. But also as I have said, only a Conservative vote at | :05:50. | :05:52. | |
the general election will strengthen my hand to get the best Brexit deal | :05:53. | :05:57. | |
for people across the whole of the United Kingdom. The Tories are | :05:58. | :06:02. | |
celebrating and Essex to wear at this time around voters turned their | :06:03. | :06:07. | |
back on Ukip. In Lincolnshire were Ukip leader Paul Nuttall will fight | :06:08. | :06:11. | |
for Westminster seat next month the party was wiped out. And with such | :06:12. | :06:17. | |
big losses the future of Ukip is in question. I have been Ukip for four | :06:18. | :06:21. | |
years and the number of times I have heard we are finished I have lost | :06:22. | :06:25. | |
count, if I had a pound for every one I would be quite a rich woman. | :06:26. | :06:30. | |
It's not over until it's over and despite these pretty poor election | :06:31. | :06:36. | |
results so far it's not over. I declare Andy Burn duly elected as | :06:37. | :06:40. | |
the mayor of the greater Manchester combined authority. -- Andy Burnham. | :06:41. | :06:47. | |
Andy Burnham is now the new mayor of greater Manchester and success for | :06:48. | :06:49. | |
the party in Liverpool as well where Steve Rotherham was elected mayor of | :06:50. | :06:55. | |
the city region. Elsewhere it's been a torrid time for Labour losing more | :06:56. | :07:02. | |
than 320 seats so far. In Glasgow where Labour has been in power for | :07:03. | :07:07. | |
more than 30 years it's now lost overall control. These are the | :07:08. | :07:10. | |
counties which are Tory strongholds. It was going to be a tough night for | :07:11. | :07:16. | |
us anyway and we are in the middle of a general election campaign so | :07:17. | :07:20. | |
mixed motives, people are voting on local issues not necessarily | :07:21. | :07:23. | |
national ones. But what's coming across is that where people were | :07:24. | :07:27. | |
predicting we would get wiped out in places like Wales we have done very | :07:28. | :07:33. | |
well. The SNP has replaced Labour is the biggest party in Glasgow but | :07:34. | :07:38. | |
fell short of a majority. The SNP vote has held up, our share of the | :07:39. | :07:41. | |
seats have held up and we will be the largest party in more councils, | :07:42. | :07:47. | |
perhaps a majority of councils but that's not absolutely clear yet. But | :07:48. | :07:51. | |
there is no way anyone can spin this result as anything other than a | :07:52. | :07:56. | |
clear and emphatic win for the SNP. You guys deserve the applause. No | :07:57. | :08:01. | |
significant breakthrough for the Lib Dems but making the most of their | :08:02. | :08:10. | |
results. It's been a good day for the green party which has picked up | :08:11. | :08:12. | |
some new councillors. For some the results today have been too close to | :08:13. | :08:15. | |
tall, the Tories denied an overall majority in Northumberland after the | :08:16. | :08:19. | |
Lib Dem candidate literally drew the longest straw. For now it's back to | :08:20. | :08:23. | |
the counting, there is still plenty of that to be done. | :08:24. | :08:28. | |
The final day of campaigning is continuing in the French | :08:29. | :08:31. | |
The Far-right candidate Marine Le Pen was heckled | :08:32. | :08:35. | |
during her visit to Reims cathedral, in northern France. | :08:36. | :08:38. | |
The centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron - who has | :08:39. | :08:40. | |
a substantial lead in opinion polls - has visited the southern | :08:41. | :08:43. | |
A man has been critically injured in a helicopter | :08:44. | :08:50. | |
Emergency Services said the helicopter landed | :08:51. | :08:54. | |
on its side when it came down at Wycombe Air Park this morning. | :08:55. | :08:57. | |
That's a summary of the news - now back to Local Elections | :08:58. | :09:07. | |
Welcome back to the election Centre on the BBC News Channel, in the next | :09:08. | :09:31. | |
45 minutes or so we will take you through the main themes as we see | :09:32. | :09:35. | |
them and the results which have come in, one or two still to come but | :09:36. | :09:39. | |
it's worth taking stock and looking at different parts of the UK, talked | :09:40. | :09:43. | |
about Scotland and we will come back to that but we've not talked about | :09:44. | :09:47. | |
Wales for a while because that was an interesting challenge for several | :09:48. | :09:51. | |
parties not least Labour and with lots of talk last week of a big | :09:52. | :09:54. | |
Conservative surge led me show you the Welsh figures as they stand. | :09:55. | :10:00. | |
This is the scorecard, Labour having lost a councillors in Wales. John | :10:01. | :10:07. | |
McDonnell might say that is not as bad as some have forecast. | :10:08. | :10:21. | |
Ukip down by two with no seat at the moment on the board. Looking at | :10:22. | :10:28. | |
Monmouthshire, this was a result which came in earlier today, it was | :10:29. | :10:33. | |
a Conservative gain from a hung council back in 2012, 25 Tory seats. | :10:34. | :10:46. | |
Monmouthshire a strong conservative tradition has been sending Labour | :10:47. | :10:49. | |
MPs to Parliament in the past but mainly conservative. You will see | :10:50. | :10:59. | |
lots of independent representation in quite a few of the Welsh | :11:00. | :11:04. | |
councils. Bridgend, the backyard of Carwyn Jones, the Welsh First | :11:05. | :11:11. | |
Minister for Labour. Look at this, 11 for the Conservatives, you might | :11:12. | :11:14. | |
think they are in third place but if you look at what happened last time | :11:15. | :11:20. | |
that the story, ten games for the Conservatives and 13 losses for | :11:21. | :11:24. | |
Labour and Bridgend traditionally a very strong web area. -- very strong | :11:25. | :11:32. | |
Labour area. Cardiff, the capital city, this has been quite a big | :11:33. | :11:39. | |
fight in terms of control of the Council and Labour had some fears | :11:40. | :11:45. | |
they would lose overall control but they have not, they have held on. We | :11:46. | :11:54. | |
need to look at the change to get the real story probably, some losses | :11:55. | :11:59. | |
for Labour, sex, but they still hold on. The Tories surging by 13 seats | :12:00. | :12:04. | |
which puts them in a different place. The Lib Dems will be | :12:05. | :12:11. | |
disappointed losing five seats in Cardiff where in Cardiff Central we | :12:12. | :12:13. | |
have had strong representation in the past, again for Plaid Cymru, I | :12:14. | :12:20. | |
think that will disappoint them. And the independence losing three. I | :12:21. | :12:27. | |
don't want to take too much time on the figures because we are at city | :12:28. | :12:34. | |
hall, I've taken us to lots of the results, why don't you tell us where | :12:35. | :12:37. | |
you see the parties this evening and what they can be pleased about and | :12:38. | :12:40. | |
what they should be disappointed about. No doubt I think Labour in | :12:41. | :12:48. | |
Wales will be disappointed. But let's not forget in the last | :12:49. | :12:53. | |
election they made 200 games so with all the expectation they were going | :12:54. | :12:56. | |
to implode in Wales they have not done as badly as expected. But it | :12:57. | :13:01. | |
was a mixed evening in some ways overnight, it began terribly badly | :13:02. | :13:06. | |
with losing the leader in Merthyr Tydfil, losing the majority in | :13:07. | :13:13. | |
Bridgend, where Carwyn Jones has his assembly seat, but it picked up I | :13:14. | :13:18. | |
think when the news came with Cardiff, holding onto that, it was a | :13:19. | :13:22. | |
significant victory because they held onto Newport, they've just held | :13:23. | :13:28. | |
on to Swansea, so the three big cities in South East Wales being | :13:29. | :13:33. | |
held was a huge boost. What was looking like a poor evening turned | :13:34. | :13:38. | |
out to be not quite as bad. You mentioned Plaid Cymru, they have | :13:39. | :13:45. | |
taken, they have held on, one of the results coming in since we last | :13:46. | :13:49. | |
spoke was Carmarthenshire, they have just missed out on gaining a | :13:50. | :13:53. | |
majority there. They have increased their numbers in Gwynedd but no one | :13:54. | :14:01. | |
has overall control. The other two which are interesting since we last | :14:02. | :14:06. | |
spoke is the Vale of Glamorgan, even though there is no overall control | :14:07. | :14:09. | |
the Conservatives have made significant gains, just one shy of a | :14:10. | :14:16. | |
majority so possibly they will look to rule that council with a | :14:17. | :14:20. | |
minority. No doubt the Tories will be pleased with how they have done | :14:21. | :14:26. | |
in Wales, taking a lot of seats from the Labour Party, Labour will be | :14:27. | :14:30. | |
disappointed. I think Plaid Cymru will be disappointed in not gaining | :14:31. | :14:34. | |
another council or two but they have made gains so that's a positive for | :14:35. | :14:37. | |
them while the Lib Dems have imploded in Wales and Ukip have not | :14:38. | :14:43. | |
moved at all. A mixed picture but I think the Labour Party as I say, | :14:44. | :14:48. | |
when the Cardiff result came in the tide changed, it was more positive | :14:49. | :14:54. | |
after what was looking like a difficult evening. But where does | :14:55. | :14:58. | |
that success in Cardiff live? Does it lie with the Labour Party in | :14:59. | :15:05. | |
Wales or centrally because talking to people on their doorstep they | :15:06. | :15:09. | |
said the influence of Jeremy Corbyn had impacted their vote but it does | :15:10. | :15:13. | |
not seem to have implicated that much in the local election vote. | :15:14. | :15:18. | |
Stephen Kinnock talking year earlier and he was healing the leadership of | :15:19. | :15:22. | |
Carwyn Jones and John McDonnell who you have in the studio was seeing | :15:23. | :15:27. | |
the success in Cardiff was down to Jeremy Corbyn's recent visit. But | :15:28. | :15:33. | |
where he was Labour lost their four seats so who should get the plaudits | :15:34. | :15:40. | |
for keeping hold of Cardiff? I am not sure. I think it's a big victory | :15:41. | :15:47. | |
and it will be a significant one to making sure today has not been as | :15:48. | :15:52. | |
bad as people expected. Carwyn Jones has had his say, saying it's a mixed | :15:53. | :15:57. | |
night for Labour in Wales and he is focusing on regrouping and | :15:58. | :15:59. | |
campaigning for the general election next month. Thank you. I want to go | :16:00. | :16:06. | |
to Birmingham because I think I'm joined by Sean Simon the Labour | :16:07. | :16:10. | |
candidate who lost two and a street in the Metro Mayor, commiserations | :16:11. | :16:18. | |
on what has happened, I wonder what your thoughts are on such a narrow | :16:19. | :16:25. | |
defeat? It's very disappointing, obviously. I keep being asked, you | :16:26. | :16:36. | |
lost in your heartlands, we won in Birmingham, Coventry, Wolverhampton, | :16:37. | :16:39. | |
Soundwell, where we really lost was the Conservative heartland of | :16:40. | :16:44. | |
Solihull which the Conservatives having spent millions of pounds had | :16:45. | :16:53. | |
a turnout of bird higher bull tweet third higher than the regional | :16:54. | :16:56. | |
balance and that tipped the balance. But I will not pretend that he did | :16:57. | :17:03. | |
not hear coming back from the doorsteps of the areas we did win in | :17:04. | :17:07. | |
our heart lines a message from Labour voters that their confidence | :17:08. | :17:18. | |
is waning in our strength as a party in the traditional Labour values. | :17:19. | :17:28. | |
Are you still with us? I am the still with you. Making a point about | :17:29. | :17:32. | |
what voters are telling you about having confidence in the party, I am | :17:33. | :17:37. | |
transcending this properly in that you're talking about leadership | :17:38. | :17:43. | |
here? I am talking about values actually. The issues which came back | :17:44. | :17:51. | |
on the doorstep were about values about our regional campaign | :17:52. | :17:55. | |
overshadowed by national political issues all the time. We should have | :17:56. | :18:00. | |
been talking about transport and housing and taking back control of | :18:01. | :18:04. | |
our region from London which has let us down but we ended up talking | :18:05. | :18:10. | |
about defence and immigration and Brexit and on those issues Labour | :18:11. | :18:16. | |
voters in Labour areas were saying we do not feel confident that you | :18:17. | :18:21. | |
are strong enough in our traditional Labour values, which we always have | :18:22. | :18:24. | |
been here and that's the lesson we need to learn as a party. Are you | :18:25. | :18:31. | |
saying that Labour as it currently stands has lost contact with its | :18:32. | :18:36. | |
voters? I am saying there is a portion of our traditional Labour | :18:37. | :18:42. | |
votes right across the West Midlands which whilst it has remained | :18:43. | :18:50. | |
faithful to the Labour Party has nevertheless been less so and the | :18:51. | :18:57. | |
less so consists of people consistently saying we are not quite | :18:58. | :19:00. | |
confident at the moment that you are strong enough in our core Labour | :19:01. | :19:06. | |
values that matter to us. That's the lesson we need to learn as a party, | :19:07. | :19:14. | |
and quickly. To what extent have people been bringing up the name of | :19:15. | :19:18. | |
Jeremy Corbyn in the reasoning or has that not been part of your | :19:19. | :19:25. | |
experience? Personalising and blaming individuals is not something | :19:26. | :19:31. | |
that I am going to get into. The conversations I have been having on | :19:32. | :19:36. | |
the doorstep on about values more than anything, a sense that our | :19:37. | :19:44. | |
voters, some of our voters, don't have confidence any more or at the | :19:45. | :19:51. | |
moment that we share the court Labour values as we have done with | :19:52. | :19:59. | |
the kind of strength they want to see from us. If that is the case who | :20:00. | :20:07. | |
is responsible for that? The Labour Party is to blame. We are | :20:08. | :20:12. | |
responsible to our electorate and our people. It's our responsibility | :20:13. | :20:18. | |
as a party to represent the real values of the people we seek to | :20:19. | :20:22. | |
serve. What has happened in this election, as I said earlier, let's | :20:23. | :20:27. | |
not forget, what has also happened is the Tories have spent millions of | :20:28. | :20:32. | |
pounds which in our campaign we simply have not had access to. We | :20:33. | :20:36. | |
have not had access to a fraction of the millions the Tories have spent | :20:37. | :20:40. | |
and they have spent that money in Conservative heartland areas on | :20:41. | :20:45. | |
raising the turnout by a third more than the regional average and it's | :20:46. | :20:49. | |
that actually that has swung this election in their favour. But at the | :20:50. | :20:56. | |
same time it is true our people in the areas we did win, even the areas | :20:57. | :21:01. | |
we did win like Birmingham, Wolverhampton, Coventry, sand well, | :21:02. | :21:06. | |
people have been saying consistently on the doorstep we are not confident | :21:07. | :21:10. | |
in Labour values any more. That's a pretty clear message, it's | :21:11. | :21:26. | |
an incredibly serious thing to say, that the party is not in a position | :21:27. | :21:31. | |
at the moment where it can connect, convincingly, with lots of the | :21:32. | :21:35. | |
people he was trying to get to vote for him. That does not seem to be | :21:36. | :21:43. | |
reflected elsewhere, Manchester, 63% majority, 59% in Liverpool, and in | :21:44. | :21:50. | |
Birmingham I think we had a 20 point lead. So I will listen to Andy and I | :21:51. | :21:59. | |
think we have to get that more effectively across, our values. This | :22:00. | :22:05. | |
election seems to have been won on the turnout in Solihull were a lot | :22:06. | :22:09. | |
of money was spent and I think we need to start looking at election | :22:10. | :22:12. | |
expenditure in some way so it becomes a more equal and even | :22:13. | :22:18. | |
battle. I will ask about that, we picked it up earlier as a theme, it | :22:19. | :22:28. | |
is a serious thing to say, he is a former MP, MEP, an experienced | :22:29. | :22:32. | |
campaigner, several years going into this campaign and the whole process | :22:33. | :22:36. | |
of getting an elected mayor, he has clearly talked to an incredibly | :22:37. | :22:42. | |
broad range of people, in the Labour Party family and outside it. If he | :22:43. | :22:46. | |
is saying one of the reasons he's lost this important context is that | :22:47. | :22:50. | |
the party is not actually upholding the kind of values that gets people | :22:51. | :22:53. | |
on board that is a very serious thing. Of course it is and we will | :22:54. | :23:01. | |
have that conversation. Bridge are not convinced? In other areas that | :23:02. | :23:03. | |
is not the report we are getting back. We lost by under 5000 votes | :23:04. | :23:13. | |
but if you look at the vote in Bristol getting majorities in | :23:14. | :23:16. | |
parliamentary constituencies. We will listen to all the lessons and | :23:17. | :23:19. | |
in the next five weeks get our message across and if in that area | :23:20. | :23:23. | |
there are issues picked up by the party in this issue about Labour | :23:24. | :23:26. | |
values we will listen hard to make sure we get the message in the | :23:27. | :23:32. | |
campaign on the streets. Earlier Clive Lewis treated seeing given | :23:33. | :23:37. | |
today's results I hope someone reappraise is the strategy of | :23:38. | :23:42. | |
triangulating our own Brexit position and I think that's a | :23:43. | :23:45. | |
serious problem for Labour. I think it's one of the reasons we've gained | :23:46. | :23:50. | |
substantial Labour vote in the areas we are strong and remain areas as | :23:51. | :23:56. | |
well. In the first quarter of this year the Lib Dems raised more money | :23:57. | :24:00. | |
than Labour and I think web are understanding the issues smaller | :24:01. | :24:03. | |
parties face when one party can go out and raise millions at the drop | :24:04. | :24:11. | |
of a hat. I think that is true. It's come up again, this spending issue, | :24:12. | :24:15. | |
you actually said earlier if the rules need to be revisited they | :24:16. | :24:20. | |
should be revisited, what are your thoughts now on the whole concept of | :24:21. | :24:23. | |
spending a huge amount of money before the rules start in the actual | :24:24. | :24:28. | |
campaign? No rules were broken but it is to do with spending a lot of | :24:29. | :24:34. | |
money. A little bit of sour grapes here, the rules are the same for | :24:35. | :24:38. | |
everyone, Andy Street fought a tough campaign, raising the money himself. | :24:39. | :24:46. | |
The rules are the rules. It's a lot of money to spend the of reaction. | :24:47. | :24:53. | |
People wanted him to get collected so they've given him the support. | :24:54. | :24:58. | |
The Conservatives have consistently refused to look at changing these | :24:59. | :25:01. | |
fund-raising arrangements and we have been fighting for a long time. | :25:02. | :25:06. | |
I understand all this but let's be honest it's a little bit of sour | :25:07. | :25:10. | |
grapes, he won the election, people did not have devoted for him, he had | :25:11. | :25:18. | |
to persuade them. This showing in Birmingham tells me what Theresa May | :25:19. | :25:23. | |
said was correct, you cannot take anything for granted, it's a fight | :25:24. | :25:29. | |
between us and the Labour Party. I am not sure money makes as much | :25:30. | :25:33. | |
difference as people say, the Liberal Democrats years and decades | :25:34. | :25:37. | |
gone past you were the people who gained five, six, seven percentage | :25:38. | :25:41. | |
points in a campaign, and you were spending far less. Do you remember | :25:42. | :25:48. | |
the referendum party 20 years ago, ?20 million and they lost almost all | :25:49. | :25:53. | |
of their deposits. I think money places much smaller part than people | :25:54. | :26:01. | |
think. We have talked to Sion Simon in the West Midlands and talked | :26:02. | :26:05. | |
about Wales, let's get a recap on the position in Scotland coming up | :26:06. | :26:11. | |
to 5:30pm, 5:25pm. The Scottish scorecard is as follows. | :26:12. | :26:32. | |
A quick look at Glasgow because that's the result we were boxing on | :26:33. | :26:43. | |
earlier. The loss of Labour's control of Glasgow however this is | :26:44. | :26:47. | |
now no overall control. I think it's fair to say quite a few in the SNP | :26:48. | :26:50. | |
had hoped they would be in a position to say they were in control | :26:51. | :26:55. | |
but they are not. Look at the difference between today and 2012, | :26:56. | :27:02. | |
eight up to the SNP, Labour down by 16, the Tories up by seven, greens | :27:03. | :27:12. | |
up by three. This is also a hung council, nine to the SNP. What has | :27:13. | :27:20. | |
happened? Another conservative addition in terms of the table, up | :27:21. | :27:26. | |
by five. It's a hung council. With all that in mind I want to go to | :27:27. | :27:31. | |
Anita McVeigh who we have not spoken to in a while and she will bring us | :27:32. | :27:38. | |
date with Glasgow. Thank you, just picking up on that point, not a | :27:39. | :27:43. | |
single majority Council in Scotland which is a fascinating picture if | :27:44. | :27:46. | |
you look back at the last local elections are in a quarter of the | :27:47. | :27:51. | |
councils the party that was the largest party did not go on to form | :27:52. | :27:55. | |
the administration saw a lot of trading to be done in the days ahead | :27:56. | :28:01. | |
to form lots of coalitions. Any number of interesting stories coming | :28:02. | :28:04. | |
out of the count in Glasgow, let's get an overview of that with our | :28:05. | :28:10. | |
Scotland correspondent, what are your thoughts? The SNP, the largest | :28:11. | :28:14. | |
party in Glasgow but falling short of a majority by four seats. We | :28:15. | :28:18. | |
heard at the start of the day that in 2012 it was a target and they | :28:19. | :28:23. | |
were disappointed not to have achieved that. Since then Glasgow | :28:24. | :28:27. | |
was a yes city in the referendum, the SNP winning all the seats at the | :28:28. | :28:32. | |
Holyrood and Westminster elections but if there is disappointment here | :28:33. | :28:37. | |
it not been expressed publicly. Labour not unexpectedly losing | :28:38. | :28:41. | |
control of the council but still hugely symbolic and the | :28:42. | :28:43. | |
Conservatives winning seats in places you would not have expected | :28:44. | :28:47. | |
them to such as Shettleston here in Glasgow which feeds into the | :28:48. | :28:50. | |
national picture of the Conservatives gaining seats | :28:51. | :28:54. | |
primarily at the expense of Labour. Thank you. Let's assess the | :28:55. | :29:03. | |
developments here again today with Duncan Hamilton, former SNP MSP, | :29:04. | :29:09. | |
Adam Tomkins, the Conservative MSP and Tom Harris the former Labour MP, | :29:10. | :29:14. | |
thank you for waiting to talk to us here on BBC News. Thank you and | :29:15. | :29:22. | |
first of all, Duncan, four vote short of the overall majority, | :29:23. | :29:27. | |
Nicola Sturgeon seeing an emphatic victory, saying nobody can spin it | :29:28. | :29:33. | |
otherwise, it must be a disappointment not to get that | :29:34. | :29:37. | |
overall majority here in Glasgow? Let's start with about a | :29:38. | :29:48. | |
on any view it's a victory for the SNP despite what anyone wants to say | :29:49. | :29:56. | |
and do not a minute underplay the symbolic importance as you have | :29:57. | :30:00. | |
heard about what has happened, 37 years since Labour was not in | :30:01. | :30:05. | |
control here. To lose that in a city where a Glasgow has already lost all | :30:06. | :30:09. | |
of the constituencies both at Westminster and in Holyrood really | :30:10. | :30:14. | |
means there is a huge, clearly a huge problem for Labour and the | :30:15. | :30:18. | |
story of the election in Scotland is of the loss of Labour votes straight | :30:19. | :30:23. | |
to the Tories which is haemorrhaging votes. Let me pick up on that with | :30:24. | :30:29. | |
Adam, the Conservatives had one seat on Glasgow council and they have now | :30:30. | :30:33. | |
got eight, has that largely been as Duncan was saying Conservative | :30:34. | :30:39. | |
gaining at the expense of Labour? I think so, at 10% swing in the | :30:40. | :30:46. | |
Holyrood elections and that momentum we got last year has been maintained | :30:47. | :30:52. | |
in these local government elections, moving from one councillor to eight | :30:53. | :31:00. | |
and they have been elected across all parts of the city. Working-class | :31:01. | :31:04. | |
neighbourhoods, middle-class neighbourhoods. There is now no go | :31:05. | :31:14. | |
area and Glasgow for the Scottish Conservatives. No street in Scotland | :31:15. | :31:17. | |
where there is not a conservative voter. Where does Labour ago now in | :31:18. | :31:23. | |
Glasgow and supplementary to that what do you think it means for | :31:24. | :31:29. | |
voters hear the fact there is no overall majority? No overall | :31:30. | :31:35. | |
majority will be dealt with quickly, the green party are essentially | :31:36. | :31:39. | |
Scottish Nationalists. Without hesitation they will go into | :31:40. | :31:42. | |
coalition with the SNP just as they support the minority government at | :31:43. | :31:48. | |
Holyrood. I think before today it's fair to say some Labour friends were | :31:49. | :31:54. | |
quite despondent, they thought they would be wiped off the map in | :31:55. | :31:58. | |
Glasgow given as Duncan said the SNP already control every single one of | :31:59. | :32:03. | |
the constituencies at Westminster and Holyrood level. For them to have | :32:04. | :32:08. | |
retreated to a fairly firm base is a little bit of a silver lining but of | :32:09. | :32:12. | |
course it's a dark cloud, this is Glasgow and Labour has lost Glasgow | :32:13. | :32:17. | |
for the first time since 1980 when we took it control of an SNP | :32:18. | :32:24. | |
Conservative coalition. Thank you very much gentlemen, definitely a | :32:25. | :32:28. | |
sense of a changing of the guard here at Glasgow City Council, a hive | :32:29. | :32:33. | |
of activity behind me, almost everyone has gone, they are packing | :32:34. | :32:38. | |
up shop and in the days ahead a lot of meetings going on to try to form | :32:39. | :32:43. | |
a coalition, likely to be the SNP and the greens, back to you. | :32:44. | :32:49. | |
Thank you to you and your guests for that take on the position this | :32:50. | :32:53. | |
evening in Scotland. For the next half hour or so we will be looking | :32:54. | :32:58. | |
at some of the big mayoral contests we've not discussed, and looking at | :32:59. | :33:03. | |
those figures you can see on the screen, projected national share and | :33:04. | :33:07. | |
we will be explaining what we mean by that and what that tells us and | :33:08. | :33:11. | |
what it might tell us about what could happen in five weeks' time, we | :33:12. | :33:15. | |
will explain why we need to be cautious around those percentages as | :33:16. | :33:18. | |
well but it's an interesting story to tell. What we are going to do now | :33:19. | :33:24. | |
at 5:33pm is get the latest on the day 's news. | :33:25. | :33:29. | |
The Conservatives are enjoying their best results | :33:30. | :33:31. | |
for more than a decade in the local elections. | :33:32. | :33:36. | |
It was a difficult night for Labour and Ukip has seen export collapse. | :33:37. | :33:43. | |
The Conservatives have taken 11 councils. The Prime Minister has | :33:44. | :33:50. | |
responded to the Conservatives success saying she is taking nothing | :33:51. | :33:55. | |
for granted because there's too much at stake. Since I became Prime | :33:56. | :33:59. | |
Minister I been determined to make sure this is a government that works | :34:00. | :34:05. | |
for the whole country and it's encouraging we have won support | :34:06. | :34:07. | |
across the whole of the United Kingdom but I will not take anything | :34:08. | :34:11. | |
for granted and neither will the team I lead because there's too much | :34:12. | :34:17. | |
at stake. This is not about to wins and loses in the local elections | :34:18. | :34:21. | |
it's about continuing to fight for the best Brexit deal for families | :34:22. | :34:27. | |
across the United Kingdom, to lock in the economic progress we've made | :34:28. | :34:32. | |
and get on with the job of making a success of the years ahead. Labour | :34:33. | :34:36. | |
has admitted having a tough night after losing ground to the | :34:37. | :34:39. | |
Conservatives in England and struggling in some of its heartlands | :34:40. | :34:44. | |
in Wales. In Scotland the party lost control of Glasgow City Council, an | :34:45. | :34:50. | |
authority they have held since 1980. They have lost seven councils | :34:51. | :34:53. | |
overall and more than 380 council seats but the party held on to | :34:54. | :34:58. | |
Cardiff, Jeremy Corbyn has insisted there are some positive signs for | :34:59. | :35:03. | |
Labour. We have got councillors elected all over the country. | :35:04. | :35:07. | |
Everyone predicted we would lose in Cardiff and we won, everyone said | :35:08. | :35:11. | |
the same in Swansea and we increased the majority, we came within 5000 | :35:12. | :35:15. | |
votes of winning the West of England which everyone said was impossible. | :35:16. | :35:18. | |
We've had disappointing results in other parts of the country, yes we | :35:19. | :35:22. | |
have to go out there in the next four weeks and get the message out | :35:23. | :35:28. | |
of the kind of country we could be. And the results have also been | :35:29. | :35:32. | |
disappointing for Ukip, so far the party winning just one of the seats | :35:33. | :35:37. | |
it contested losing a previously held council seats. Ukip says it | :35:38. | :35:41. | |
still has sitting councillors in the country although these are positions | :35:42. | :35:44. | |
which were not up for election yesterday. And the results have been | :35:45. | :35:50. | |
mixed for the Lib Dems, the party is down by 38 council seats, the Lib | :35:51. | :35:56. | |
Dems also failed to retake Somerset Council from the Conservatives but | :35:57. | :36:00. | |
Tim Farron said the results are good news. Increasingly vote share by 7%, | :36:01. | :36:06. | |
the best vote share in any election nationally, double the increase the | :36:07. | :36:09. | |
Tories have experienced in terms of vote share around the country with | :36:10. | :36:14. | |
the Labour Party utterly imploding and devastated like no other party | :36:15. | :36:19. | |
in recent memory. But there is another lesson to learn, apart from | :36:20. | :36:23. | |
the Lib Dems revival and success arrow in the country we still see | :36:24. | :36:29. | |
Britain headed for a Conservative landslide. The Scottish National | :36:30. | :36:32. | |
Party still has the largest number of councillors in Scotland however | :36:33. | :36:37. | |
they lost control of one council and have so far lost 14 council seats, | :36:38. | :36:42. | |
the leader of the SNP Nicola Sturgeon said her party had still | :36:43. | :36:47. | |
enjoyed an emphatic victory. The SNP vote has held up, our share of the | :36:48. | :36:51. | |
seats has held up and we will be the largest party in more councils, | :36:52. | :36:55. | |
perhaps a majority but that's not absolutely clear so there is no way | :36:56. | :37:01. | |
that anybody can spin this result as anything other than a clear and | :37:02. | :37:05. | |
emphatic win for the SNP and it fits is in pole position to protect local | :37:06. | :37:10. | |
services the length and breadth of the country and gives us a great | :37:11. | :37:14. | |
springboard for the general election. Elections have also been | :37:15. | :37:18. | |
taking place for Metro Mayers in various cities, in the last hour the | :37:19. | :37:23. | |
former boss of John Lewis Andy Street has taken the West led Minz | :37:24. | :37:27. | |
for the Tories and Labour's Andy Burnham was elected mayor of | :37:28. | :37:31. | |
Manchester winning with more than 63%. Another victory for Labour in | :37:32. | :37:36. | |
Merseyside where the former Labour MP Steve Rotherham was elected. | :37:37. | :37:52. | |
Plaid Cymru and the green party have also made gains, the greens up three | :37:53. | :38:00. | |
seats so far lost Plaid Cymru has 33 more councillors. We will take a | :38:01. | :38:07. | |
look at some of the other main stories today and France goes to the | :38:08. | :38:12. | |
polls on Sunday to pick a new president, the two candidates, the | :38:13. | :38:16. | |
centrist Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen are out on the campaign trail | :38:17. | :38:20. | |
for the last time today, correspondent Christian Frazier | :38:21. | :38:25. | |
following the campaign in Paris, not many hours of campaigning left, what | :38:26. | :38:30. | |
is your reading? We are into the last few hours of what has been a | :38:31. | :38:34. | |
bitterly fought campaign, I am sure it's not done much to hear much of | :38:35. | :38:39. | |
the divisions but Emmanuel Macron looks as if he's going to become the | :38:40. | :38:51. | |
next it's become a little bit hostile for Marine Le Pen, she was | :38:52. | :38:56. | |
egged on one of her tours yesterday, yesterday she was at a cathedral, | :38:57. | :39:01. | |
beautiful cathedral where they used to grow in the old Kings of France | :39:02. | :39:05. | |
but they did not go too well, she had to go out at the back of the | :39:06. | :39:10. | |
cathedral to a waiting car at the back just to avoid some hostile | :39:11. | :39:15. | |
crowds at the front. Tomorrow will be a day of reflection for the | :39:16. | :39:19. | |
French, will have to consider everything they've heard and we will | :39:20. | :39:25. | |
have the vote on Sunday, a special programme on BBC News on Sunday | :39:26. | :39:29. | |
evening from 6:30pm and we'll bring you a result when we get it. The one | :39:30. | :39:33. | |
thing we'll have to watch the abstention rate, in UK terms the | :39:34. | :39:41. | |
participation sounds quite a lot but it will be the lowest | :39:42. | :39:53. | |
turnout if there is a big abstention we might have a big shock on our | :39:54. | :39:59. | |
hands, I would not put my house on actual Macron, but we have seen what | :40:00. | :40:04. | |
happened with Brexit and Donald Trump. The Russian Defence Ministry | :40:05. | :40:12. | |
has announced an agreement to set up safe dawns will come into force at | :40:13. | :40:19. | |
midnight tonight local time, agreement was reached between Russia | :40:20. | :40:23. | |
and Iran which both backed the Syrian government. Turkey which | :40:24. | :40:27. | |
supports the rebels is also reported to have agreed to act as a guarantor | :40:28. | :40:31. | |
but some representatives of the rebels have also rejected the plan. | :40:32. | :40:41. | |
That's the latest from here in the newsroom back to the latest on the | :40:42. | :40:42. | |
local elections. Welcome back to the election studio, | :40:43. | :40:59. | |
still getting some results, talking earlier about the results in the | :41:00. | :41:03. | |
West Midlands, these Metro Mirror posts which have been created, | :41:04. | :41:07. | |
another one to give you, Cambridge and Peterborough, this result, I win | :41:08. | :41:14. | |
for the Conservatives, these are the first preference votes we have on | :41:15. | :41:18. | |
screen because it's another system of voting where people have | :41:19. | :41:21. | |
preferences and if the person doesn't cross the threshold there is | :41:22. | :41:26. | |
a second-round and we have James Palmer on 76,000. A turnout of 33%, | :41:27. | :41:40. | |
if we look at the percentage of the votes we then see the Tories... What | :41:41. | :41:49. | |
happened then, because it went to a second round where all the others | :41:50. | :41:56. | |
were eliminated, they have their preferences shared and this is what | :41:57. | :42:02. | |
happened, James Palmer for the Conservatives on 88,000 and the Lib | :42:03. | :42:12. | |
Dems in second place a majority of 21,000 in Cambridge and | :42:13. | :42:16. | |
Peterborough, the latest in our results and I win for the | :42:17. | :42:21. | |
Conservatives on that second preference round, we have a quote | :42:22. | :42:24. | |
from the Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, this is the key line, of | :42:25. | :42:33. | |
course I'm disappointed he says, we have to get our supporters out to | :42:34. | :42:37. | |
vote in June, talking about the general election on the eighth, we | :42:38. | :42:41. | |
have to get our message across and I'm determined to do that and maybe | :42:42. | :42:47. | |
that can be seen in the context of what Sion Simon was telling us, that | :42:48. | :42:52. | |
he had difficulty getting the Labour message across in terms of the | :42:53. | :42:56. | |
values people perceive the party to have although he was not | :42:57. | :42:59. | |
personalising it to that extent, with all of that in mind, let's go | :43:00. | :43:10. | |
to college green. We are going to examine what these results mean, | :43:11. | :43:15. | |
we're going to talk to representatives from both wings of | :43:16. | :43:21. | |
the Labour Party, I have the person who ran the Jeremy Corbyn campaign | :43:22. | :43:29. | |
and a man from the progress group, are these results because of Jeremy | :43:30. | :43:33. | |
Corbyn's leadership, these disappointing results as he's | :43:34. | :43:37. | |
described them? It's a difficult day for Labour. We've not done as badly | :43:38. | :43:46. | |
as people have said but that result in the West Midlands, I think Sion | :43:47. | :43:51. | |
Simon will be disappointed with that and rightly so. Is it because of the | :43:52. | :43:57. | |
leadership of Jeremy Corbyn? Again and again his leadership coming up | :43:58. | :44:07. | |
on the doorstep. The collapse of the Labour voter ship in two Ukip which | :44:08. | :44:11. | |
is now going to the Tories and I think that's a double issue which | :44:12. | :44:14. | |
has been exasperated massively by the referendum and Brexit. I was on | :44:15. | :44:25. | |
the doorstep in Nottinghamshire, ten miles in nine hours in ten different | :44:26. | :44:28. | |
council wards, time and again one name always mentioned was the Labour | :44:29. | :44:36. | |
leader and it's been a damning verdict and I say this with the | :44:37. | :44:39. | |
heaviest of hearts because Labour councillors are being punished | :44:40. | :44:43. | |
around the country, if this result carries on Labour MPs will get, | :44:44. | :44:50. | |
punished and Teresa May is heading towards a landslide and that's | :44:51. | :44:53. | |
deeply regrettable, its lacklustre so far, little of the big concerns | :44:54. | :45:02. | |
of people being talked about, it's time to get out of first gear. On | :45:03. | :45:07. | |
the basis of these results, if they were projected onto a general | :45:08. | :45:10. | |
election no way Jeremy Corbyn could ever be Prime Minister. | :45:11. | :45:33. | |
Over party member needs to get out there and so that this is a very | :45:34. | :45:38. | |
clear choice. If you don't want a hard Tory Brexit in which jobs will | :45:39. | :45:41. | |
be put at risk, the economy is not going to be bought its knees, | :45:42. | :45:43. | |
because companies are already fleeing this country we will be in a | :45:44. | :45:45. | |
very tough situation. Livelihoods are at risk, the NHS is under | :45:46. | :45:48. | |
threat, education is getting hammered and we have to say, what do | :45:49. | :45:52. | |
you want? Do want Brexit that can deliver for ordinary people, put | :45:53. | :45:59. | |
money in your back pocket. But if Labour does badly in the general | :46:00. | :46:03. | |
election as in his council elections, will Jeremy Corbyn stand | :46:04. | :46:06. | |
down? Should he stand down, in your opinion, as a man he ran his | :46:07. | :46:11. | |
leadership -- leadership campaign? Everyone in labour will be | :46:12. | :46:14. | |
reflecting on their position and how they take ourselves forward. We have | :46:15. | :46:19. | |
got four weeks. We have closed some of the opinion poll gaps in the | :46:20. | :46:22. | |
national polls. These are clearly difficult results. In London, in | :46:23. | :46:28. | |
Andy Burnham's area of Greater Manchester and on Merseyside, we | :46:29. | :46:33. | |
have 10 million people looking to labour for leadership and we need to | :46:34. | :46:36. | |
get out there and fight to get the rest of the country to look to us | :46:37. | :46:40. | |
for the bishop. In a word, she Jeremy Corbyn stand down if these | :46:41. | :46:44. | |
are carried on into the general election? The D fighting the | :46:45. | :46:49. | |
marginal seats. Justin Pipe Labour safe once. We are in a defensive | :46:50. | :46:53. | |
strategy and to stop a hard Brexit the need to return as many Labour | :46:54. | :46:57. | |
MPs as possible. Richard Angell and Sam Parry, representing both wings | :46:58. | :47:00. | |
of the Labour Party, many thanks. Back to the studio. What did you | :47:01. | :47:06. | |
make of that, John? Richard Angell, to be frank, has been one of | :47:07. | :47:12. | |
Jeremy's most betrayal that critics from the minute that Jeremy got on | :47:13. | :47:16. | |
the ballot paper so I'm not surprised. Are you disappointed? The | :47:17. | :47:21. | |
message is clear. We are Tyson soon be disappointed. Of course we are. | :47:22. | :47:25. | |
We have five weeks to go. We must get that message out there. We have | :47:26. | :47:30. | |
seen a mixed bag of results. Some areas like Manchester and Liverpool | :47:31. | :47:33. | |
and even in the West of England we have had some good results. Not | :47:34. | :47:36. | |
wiped out in Wales the way that people predicted. Our share of the | :47:37. | :47:41. | |
vote has been better than in the opinion polls. It is all to fight | :47:42. | :47:44. | |
for in the next five weeks. What we're going do now is, we're going | :47:45. | :47:50. | |
to bring in John Curtice who has joined us once again. Welcome. Wigan | :47:51. | :47:55. | |
to talk about these figures that we have on the screen, the projected | :47:56. | :48:00. | |
national share. And they are, as they stand on 138% for the Tories, | :48:01. | :48:08. | |
27 for Labour, 18% for the Lib Dems, 5% Ukip and 12% to the others. When | :48:09. | :48:13. | |
people look at these figures, John, just again to underline, lots of | :48:14. | :48:17. | |
people have joined us since we last spoke about this. Can we just | :48:18. | :48:20. | |
underline what these figures are, and what they signify? These figures | :48:21. | :48:26. | |
are a summary measure of the way in which the parties performed in the | :48:27. | :48:29. | |
English County Council elections and, to do that we have taken the | :48:30. | :48:34. | |
results and projected them into what they would be from national vote of | :48:35. | :48:42. | |
the country voted along the votes of the English county elections. We can | :48:43. | :48:46. | |
concern... Not only the four years ago with the local elections that | :48:47. | :48:51. | |
took place on the same day as the last general election. | :48:52. | :48:55. | |
Ukip are doing badly but you look at the evidence that's the case. One | :48:56. | :49:03. | |
suspects after June 8th Ukip will think about what is their future as | :49:04. | :49:06. | |
a party and what are they going to be able to say that persuades voters | :49:07. | :49:12. | |
to stick with them. The second key point, it's perfectly clear that the | :49:13. | :49:16. | |
Conservatives are a long way ahead in these local elections, though, | :49:17. | :49:20. | |
however, not necessarily as far ahead as they would want to be on | :49:21. | :49:26. | |
June 8, because the 11-point lead that we think they have in these | :49:27. | :49:32. | |
local elections is probably not sufficient to deliver the land slide | :49:33. | :49:36. | |
of the kind that Theresa May is evidently looking for. Conversely, | :49:37. | :49:41. | |
however, yes, John McDonnell is right, Andy Burnham takes the prize | :49:42. | :49:44. | |
for producing the best Labour result of the day. The truth is the odd | :49:45. | :49:53. | |
occasion when Labour did better against expectations, are relatively | :49:54. | :49:58. | |
rare and going backwards as compared with a poor performance four years | :49:59. | :50:01. | |
ago is not the best way to start a general election campaign. The | :50:02. | :50:04. | |
Liberal Democrats made progress. They're still not doing as well as | :50:05. | :50:09. | |
they did in local elections before going into coalition with the | :50:10. | :50:13. | |
Conservatives. At least they are in somewhat better position, as the | :50:14. | :50:16. | |
opinion polls suggested they were. Crucial thing to remember, however, | :50:17. | :50:20. | |
all of this is a summary of how well the parties have done in the local | :50:21. | :50:25. | |
elections, we're not saying this is how the parties would have performed | :50:26. | :50:30. | |
if there had been a general election yesterday. We're not saying that | :50:31. | :50:33. | |
this is what's going to happen on June 8. It gives an indication of | :50:34. | :50:39. | |
how, in these local contests, the parties have stood and by comparing | :50:40. | :50:43. | |
these local contests with other recent contests we give some idea of | :50:44. | :50:47. | |
who is up and who is down. Peter, some thoughts on this? John, you're | :50:48. | :50:52. | |
absolutely right that these local elections should be regarded with | :50:53. | :50:56. | |
caution. Comparing like with like, local elections in years gone by, | :50:57. | :51:00. | |
this 11% projected Conservative lead is exactly the same as they got in | :51:01. | :51:05. | |
1982 in the middle of the Falklands War. If one looks at past patterns | :51:06. | :51:12. | |
of local elections and national elections, the Conservatives almost | :51:13. | :51:16. | |
always do noticeably better in general elections than in the local | :51:17. | :51:19. | |
elections that build up to them. Labour never does better or in the | :51:20. | :51:24. | |
past has never done better in national elections than in local | :51:25. | :51:27. | |
elections. It may all be different this time. Can I say one other | :51:28. | :51:33. | |
thing, local votes, local seats. In votes the big story is Ukip crashing | :51:34. | :51:39. | |
down, Tories up. Not much change Labour, down a little compared with | :51:40. | :51:43. | |
2013. Look at seats, Ukip have disappeared. Labour has done very | :51:44. | :51:47. | |
badly in seats. Here's the problem for Labour going into the general | :51:48. | :51:52. | |
election is if Labour stands still in votes, there'll be a lot of seats | :51:53. | :51:58. | |
probably where the Ukip vote will go to the Conservatives and Labour will | :51:59. | :52:03. | |
lose seats not because necessarily Labour is massively unpopular but | :52:04. | :52:09. | |
because the Tory vote will rise above the Labour vote by virtue of | :52:10. | :52:14. | |
Ukip's collapse. That is the substantive challenge that Labour | :52:15. | :52:18. | |
has. John, what do you make of that? Peter's absolutely right. You can | :52:19. | :52:21. | |
see this in what happened to the Liberal Democrats in these | :52:22. | :52:24. | |
elections. The Liberal Democrat vote is up as compared with 2013, but the | :52:25. | :52:29. | |
number of seats they've got is actually down slightly. Why? Because | :52:30. | :52:33. | |
the Liberal Democrats when they were facing a local Conservative | :52:34. | :52:37. | |
challenge, even if they managed to increase their vote locally, | :52:38. | :52:39. | |
discovered that the Conservatives did better and in some cases | :52:40. | :52:42. | |
overtook the incumbent Liberal Democrat. We should remember under | :52:43. | :52:46. | |
first-past-the-post system in the end it's not how well you do, but | :52:47. | :52:51. | |
how well you do relative to your opponents. The problem faced Labour | :52:52. | :52:54. | |
and the Liberal Democrats at the moment is that the Conservatives are | :52:55. | :52:58. | |
doing rather well, thank you very much, and therefore whatever | :52:59. | :53:03. | |
progress they might make is looking relatively small compared with the | :53:04. | :53:06. | |
iceberg that is seemingly coming down from the Conservative Party, | :53:07. | :53:09. | |
potentially threatening to put a hole both in the Labour and the | :53:10. | :53:13. | |
Liberal Democrat ships. Do you see that iceberg coming or not? No I | :53:14. | :53:18. | |
don't. These were County Council elections and mayoral elections. It | :53:19. | :53:20. | |
didn't include London, for example. I was watching the counts in say | :53:21. | :53:25. | |
Manchester and Liverpool, where the individual boroughs were responding | :53:26. | :53:27. | |
and we were getting sizeable majority. It was the same in the | :53:28. | :53:31. | |
west of England, in the Bristol seats, we were getting Labour jorts, | :53:32. | :53:37. | |
on the basis of the first preference votes, like first-past-the-post. You | :53:38. | :53:41. | |
don't think you can extrapolate in that sense. In terms of the share of | :53:42. | :53:44. | |
the vote, that overall share of the vote that we've seen from today's | :53:45. | :53:50. | |
performance, I think, is challengeable and manageable. We can | :53:51. | :53:53. | |
close that gap. It's going to take a lot of work on the ground getting | :53:54. | :53:56. | |
our mess anning across. Now we can get fair balance, with the greatest | :53:57. | :54:00. | |
respect, in terms of broadcast media, I think there's a real | :54:01. | :54:03. | |
opportunity to do that. I go back to it time and again, I'd like to see | :54:04. | :54:07. | |
Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn debate in the same was as has happened in | :54:08. | :54:11. | |
the French elections. Why don't we have that televised debate? In that | :54:12. | :54:15. | |
way people have the fair opportunity of putting their policies across and | :54:16. | :54:20. | |
display their leadership qualities. John's expression of hope or | :54:21. | :54:22. | |
confidence there about making something up in the next five weeks, | :54:23. | :54:26. | |
on the basis of past form, you're saying, is what - unlikely? I think | :54:27. | :54:32. | |
it would be a remarkable achievement if Labour manage to do it. One bit | :54:33. | :54:36. | |
of history that helps Labour a bit, the last time we had a snap election | :54:37. | :54:41. | |
governed by a single issue, is when Edward Heath went to the country in | :54:42. | :54:46. | |
'74, on the three day week, the miners strike. The Conservatives | :54:47. | :54:48. | |
were ahead in the poll. As the election went on, in the way that | :54:49. | :54:52. | |
John describes, on television, the issue changed in people's minds from | :54:53. | :54:57. | |
the coal miners' strike to jobs and the cost of living. Labour caught | :54:58. | :55:03. | |
up. Edward Heath was thrown out. Though that precedent is of help to | :55:04. | :55:06. | |
the Labour Party, all the others I can think of are more in the | :55:07. | :55:11. | |
Conservatives favour. The Conservatives are trying to present | :55:12. | :55:15. | |
this as a Brexit campaign. The other issues are intruding. In addition, | :55:16. | :55:18. | |
people are linking those other issues like jobs in particular to | :55:19. | :55:21. | |
the Brexit issue. That's why I think the debate is widening. I think what | :55:22. | :55:26. | |
Theresa May said earlier on is right. The reality is here, these | :55:27. | :55:31. | |
results tell us whilst we can be pleased with having done well in | :55:32. | :55:34. | |
these council elections, they are after all, council elections. The | :55:35. | :55:39. | |
point being made both by everyone who's talked about this, John Curtis | :55:40. | :55:43. | |
was saying it earlier, this is not enough to Chancellor change -- to | :55:44. | :55:50. | |
change the political position to give her a strong enough majority. | :55:51. | :55:56. | |
Her message is good, but we can't take that frob granted. The -- for | :55:57. | :56:04. | |
granted. This is a straight fight to make sure that the Labour Party | :56:05. | :56:09. | |
doesn't get elected. The key issues are that you are going to the polls, | :56:10. | :56:12. | |
the British people are going to the polls to decide the number one | :56:13. | :56:16. | |
premiere issue, which is to give the Government a strong mandate to get | :56:17. | :56:20. | |
the best deal out of the Brexit negotiations and the person that | :56:21. | :56:23. | |
needs to do that is the one that shows the greatest strength and | :56:24. | :56:26. | |
stability in the course of that. I knew it was coming. Listen, strength | :56:27. | :56:31. | |
and stability is the issue. Can't help yourself. It's like having | :56:32. | :56:37. | |
Daleks. I didn't interrupt you. I was just asked what is the single | :56:38. | :56:41. | |
issue, the single issue - I asked whether it would be a single issue. | :56:42. | :56:49. | |
The single issue is who governs you. As the Prime Minister wishes to | :56:50. | :56:53. | |
define it, but the Liberal Democrats, other parties, will wish | :56:54. | :56:57. | |
to define it otherwise. Part of the issue, the problem we face is | :56:58. | :57:01. | |
Theresa May saying as a very clear hard Brexit approach. She's going to | :57:02. | :57:04. | |
try and get a good deal, if not she'll walk away. The Liberal | :57:05. | :57:07. | |
Democrats say actually you need us as a strong Opposition. Labour | :57:08. | :57:10. | |
aren't strong on this particular issue. We want to fight for the NHS | :57:11. | :57:15. | |
because a year ago, we were being promised extra money by the Leavers, | :57:16. | :57:19. | |
?350 million a week for the NHS. The NHS is still in crisis. That is | :57:20. | :57:23. | |
going to be a key issue. They don't want a rerun of the referendum. We | :57:24. | :57:26. | |
have to respect the referendum result. What people don't want | :57:27. | :57:30. | |
increasingly is the type of Brexit that Theresa May is threatening. | :57:31. | :57:34. | |
Philip Hammond would threaten we would become a tax haven. Yoo you're | :57:35. | :57:41. | |
right, why on earth did support Theresa May and triggering Article | :57:42. | :57:44. | |
50. Because the referendum result had to be respected. People should | :57:45. | :57:48. | |
have the final say. What you have here is an arguing coalition which | :57:49. | :57:51. | |
ends up chaotic politics in Government. I have to say, I didn't | :57:52. | :57:58. | |
get this in earlier on. I haven't spoken to Linton. I'm not even in | :57:59. | :58:02. | |
Government. Let's have the live debate. I'm happy for Theresa May to | :58:03. | :58:10. | |
stand on the single platform of strong and stable leadership. Are | :58:11. | :58:13. | |
you going to have the debate. Stop running away. Your man's run away | :58:14. | :58:17. | |
from the other debate. We are about to be running away from the studio. | :58:18. | :58:22. | |
Our time's nearly up. One very, very quick sentence from John Curtis, if | :58:23. | :58:27. | |
you were summing up today's contests, one sentence, what is the | :58:28. | :58:32. | |
end thought today? The end thought is that the general election is not | :58:33. | :58:37. | |
all done and dusted. There is going to be a vital fight for whether or | :58:38. | :58:41. | |
not the Conservatives can get the land slide majority they want. | :58:42. | :58:45. | |
Meanwhile, north of the border, the SNP look as though they have a | :58:46. | :58:49. | |
rather bigger job on their hands than perhaps they thought 24 hours | :58:50. | :58:52. | |
ago. Thank you, John. Thank you to my guests. Thank you for watching, | :58:53. | :58:56. | |
coverage continues on the BBC News channel, but we'll see you later on. | :58:57. | :58:58. | |
Bye for now. | :58:59. | :59:04. |