05/10/2016 Politics Scotland


05/10/2016

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Hello and welcome to Politics Scotland.

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Coming up on the programme this afternoon: Her government

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will stand up for the weak and stand up to the powerful,

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Theresa May tells her party conference.

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But is the new prime minister's pose as champion

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of the dispossessed credible - or ludicrous?

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And is the Scottish Government's Finance Secretary showing

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Theresa May has given her speech to close the Conservative party

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She says it's the Tories who are now the party of ordinary

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working class people, that the Brexit vote

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was a vote for change and that change is going to come.

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In this week, some big questions were hanging in the air. Do we have

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a plan for Brexit? We do. All we ready for the effort it will take to

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see it through? We are. Can Boris Johnson stay on message for a full

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four days? APPLAUSE

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Just about. But I know there is another big question people want me

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to answer. What is my vision for Britain? My philosophy? My approach?

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Today, I want to answer that question very directly. I want to

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set out my vision for Britain after Brexit. I want to lay out my

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approach things I believe, I want to explain what a country that works

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for everyone means. For the referendum was not just a vote to

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withdraw from the EU, it was about something broader, something the

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European Union has come to represent. It was about a sense,

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deep, profound and, let's face it, often justified, that many people

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have today, that the world works well for a privileged few but not

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for them. It was a vote not just to change Britain last night

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relationship with the EU, but to call for a change in the way our

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country works and the people for whom it works forever. Our economy

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should work for everyone. But if you are Paea has stagnated for several

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years and fixed items of spending keep going up, it doesn't feel like

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it is working for you. -- if your pay. Our democracy should work for

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everyone. If you've been trying to say things did change for years and

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your complaints following deaf ears, it doesn't feel like it is working

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for you. And the roots of the revolution run deep because it

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wasn't the wealthy who made the biggest sacrifices after the

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financial crisis, but ordinary working-class families.

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APPLAUSE And if you're one of those people

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who lost their job, who stayed in work on reduced hours, took a pay

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cut as household bills rocketed, or, and I know of people don't like to

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admit this, someone who find themselves out of work or lower wage

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is because of low skilled immigration, life simply doesn't

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seem fair. It feels like your dreams have been sacrificed in the service

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of others. So change has got to come.

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APPLAUSE And if we believe in the goods that

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Government can do, it is important for people to trust us to deliver

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the change they need. We can start, as I said on Sunday, by doing

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something obvious to stop quibbling, respect what the people told us on

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the 23rd of June, and take Britain out of the European Union.

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APPLAUSE Because it took that typically

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British quiet resolve for people to go out and vote as they did to defy

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the establishment and ignore the threats and make their voice heard.

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So let us have that same resolve now, let's be clear about what is

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going to happen. Article 50 triggered no later than the end of

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March. A great repeal bill to get rid of the European communities act,

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introduced in the next parliamentary session. Laws made, not in Brussels,

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but in Westminster. APPLAUSE

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Our judges sitting not in Luxembourg, but in court across the

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land. It is, of course, too early to say exactly what agreement we will

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reach with the EU. It is going to be a difficult the gauche Asian and

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will require some give and take. While there will always be pressured

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to give a running commentary, it will not be in our national interest

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to do so. Let me be clear about the agreement we see, I wanted to

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reflect the strong and mature relationships we enjoy with our

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European friends. I want it to include corporation on law

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enforcement and counterterrorism work and involve free trade in goods

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and services and to give British companies the maximum freedom to

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trade with and operate within the single market and let European

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businesses do the same here. But let's state one thing loud and

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clear: We are not leaving the European Union only to give up

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control immigration all over again. And we're not leaving only to return

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to the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice, that is not going

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to happen. We are leaving to become, once more, are fully sovereign and

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independent country and the deal is going to have to work for Britain.

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Theresa May giving a speech to the Conservative conference. Afresh as

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leader. Now, speaking before the prime

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minister, the Scottish Conservative leader spoke passionately

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about defending the union Ruth Davidson told Conference,

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that the majority of Scots are telling the First Minister

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to let go of planning another I am aware how the Scottish politics

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can sometimes look. You have seen Nicola Sturgeon on the television

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retailing news and is up in arms, again. Threatening the break-up of

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Britain, asserting that independence is closer now than ever before,

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declaring that separation is somehow inevitable. Today, speaking to be

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from across the UK, I want to make this clear: Don't believe a word of

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it. There is nothing... APPLAUSE

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There is nothing inevitable about the wake of this great nation and I

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for one will fight it with every inch and so will thousands of Scots

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with me. APPLAUSE

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The SNP does not speak for all of Scotland, nor does it have the right

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to. Every nation is bigger than one party, bigger than one person. And

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Scotland is bigger, more varied, more complex than the nation the SNP

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would like to pretend. Next time you seen Nicola Sturgeon picking a fight

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or trying to claim that the UK is over, remember, she does not speak

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for the country. And when she threatens to put yet another

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divisive referendum back on the table the nation is not behind her.

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She is not speaking for the majority because the majority wants us to

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move on. The majority have no wish to return to the divisions of the

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past, we want to seize the opportunity of the future. Most

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Scots have had enough. And they are telling her, for pity's stake, let

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this go. APPLAUSE

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And the problem is that the SNP isn't listening, instead they are

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determined to keep the divisions over the last few years alive. I am

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often accused by those same opponents, those ardent separatists

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that I bank on about independence in the union as much as they do but for

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so long as the SNP keeps us alive, so be it because the union matters

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so much. It matters for economic stability and jobs that our

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partnership brings, it matters for the defence and security of our

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country and matters because of the common bonds we share right across

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the UK. And it matters perhaps even more so now that we are leaving the

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EU. You all know where I stood on the referendum in June. I tell you

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this: I did not vote Remain to see my Butko opted in a fresh SNP

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independence drive. -- to see my vote brought into. I can to use

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something else: Whatever questions Brexit raises, none of them, not a

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single one, is answered by destroying our own union of Nations.

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I urged the SNP Government instead of focusing on a second referendum

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that isn't wanted, why not get back to the day job instead? We will make

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Britain a country that works not for the privileged few, but for of us.

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That is noble, that is right, and that is true. In the months and

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years ahead it must be our guiding principle. More than that, it is our

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duty. Conference: That is why I'm in politics, it is why Theresa May is

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in politics and why you are too. Not for my own ambitions goals but

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because I believe it is our values and mission and our beliefs that

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will make this country a better place. So I'll goals are clear, our

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resolve is firm and together every one of us, let us get down to that

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work and bills that better future. Thank you, so much.

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Listening to that is Scottish Secretary David Mundell.

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Elsewhere in that speech Ruth Davidson made it clear she wanted

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immigrants to feel welcome in this country and in particular she wanted

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the British Government to give guarantees to people from Europe who

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are already living here. Would you agree with her on that? Of course I

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agree with her on that and it is something I've said before and

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something rehearsed set. It is what the Prime Minister said she wants to

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be able to give people from the EU who are already in the UK the

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guarantee that they can stay but she also wants to ensure that British

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citizens who are overseas in the EU can stay there as well. I hope we

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can get that issue resolved quickly. People who are already here are very

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welcome everyone them to stay and we want to resolve the issue of people

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from the UK who are in the EU. There is no prospect now on the broader

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issue of free movement of Labour which Ruth Davidson said she

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supports during the referendum campaign, the SNP Government

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Scotland supports free movement of Labour, there is a zero prospect of

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that continuing given what we've heard from the Tory party

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conference? The Prime Minister on Sunday set out the basis for moving

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forward with the negotiations. As she has said again that speech,

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there is not going to be a running commentary on those negotiations,

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having set the view... She said in the speech that Britain should take

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back control. Yes, exactly, that is what we want to do and we will make

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the decisions about the people who come from the EU into the UK. We are

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now going to go forward with the negotiations on the timetable at the

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Prime Minister has set out but I think it is clear that post-deal,

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whatever framework that takes, people will still be coming from the

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EU to the UK to work, it would just be the basis on which they are doing

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so that will have changed depending on employment or study

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opportunities, for example. Now, the suggestion from Michael Russell, the

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Brexit Minister on Sunday" as Government, that this great repeal

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lock could be voted down by the Scottish Government, what did you

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make of that? There seems to be a consensus that could be overruled by

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the British Government, but nonetheless, it would be pretty

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embarrassing if the Scottish parliament were to vote it down,

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wouldn't it? I think we're in a position where everyone agrees the

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Scottish parliament doesn't have any veto over Britain leaving the EU. Of

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course it will have its say, debates, it will have votes. I would

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be very surprised if there are votes in the Scottish parliament given its

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make up that goes against what might be the UK Government position. What

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is clear is the Scottish parliament will not have a veto over the

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process of the UK leaving the EU. Should the British Government allow

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the Scottish parliament even to vote on this or do you think they should

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find some way of avoiding that situation arising in the first

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place? It is not for the British Government or anyone else to tell

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the Scottish parliament wanted votes on. These are matters for the

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Scottish Parliament to determine. I certainly want to tell them what to

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say, not because I know they wouldn't listen to it but because I

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respect their right to make their own decisions and choices and

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express their own views. But, the framework for leaving the EU is

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quite clear in the sense that it is a UK Government responsibility to

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negotiate this arrangement and implement this arrangement and the

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Scottish parliament does not have a veto. That said, I still remain and

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am very confident that we will be able to engage fully with the

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Scottish Government in the process because despite a lot of' we see in

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public behind-the-scenes we have a very good working relations with the

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Scottish Government officials and the meetings I've had with Mike

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Russell were very positive and the meeting with David Davis was very

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positive, think we will see engagement as we move forward and I

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very much want to see that happening.

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Are you saying the Scottish Government's bark is worse than its

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bite? I am saying that behind the scenes, the Scottish Government are

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approaching these discussions in a professional way. We all know that

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that doesn't mean that politics will not intervene. It may well intervene

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in the sense that despite doing a lot of legwork behind the scenes,

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despite coming up with agreed positions, those might not be

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politically acceptable. But I am confident that if we want to work

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together to have this team UK approach, it can be achieved. People

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in Scotland realised that the way to get the best deal for Scotland is

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for both governments to work together, not to be engaged in

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politicking and point-scoring and needless rows. David Mundell, thank

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you. In the studio today we have

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political commentator You thought Ruth Davidson was

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sticking her neck out a bit on immigration, given that she was

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speaking before Theresa May. This has to be seen in context. Ruth

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Davidson was given the privileged position of being the warm up act

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for the new bra minister. Most people would just praise the Prime

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Minister and take a standing ovation and move on, and yet she made a

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deliberate attempt to say that as far as she is concerned, she wanted

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European citizens here to feel welcome, to feel it was their home

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and that an olive branch should be held out to immigration. That is

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very different from the message that has come across from the conference

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that has been led by Theresa May. It was a brave thing to do for the

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Scottish leader to set out such a different stance just before the

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Prime Minister spoke. What do you make of Theresa May's speech more

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generally? I suppose the big-ticket approach is that she's trying to

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redefine the Conservatives, something they have started to do

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since Brexit, trying to claim that they are now the party of the

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working class, that they represent the interests of working people, not

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Labour, with their wacky internationalist ideas. It was an

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appeal to old-fashioned blue collar Conservatism in one sense. In

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political terms, it was more than that. Theresa May has seen whether

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votes were in the Leave campaign in the EU referendum, and she has said,

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we need to appeal to those people. By doing so, she is also trying to

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undermine the appeal that Ukip has the right wing working class

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conservative base, and tried to take votes away from Labour. Politically,

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it was spreading the conservative wings towards labour and towards

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Ukip and also distancing herself from the elitism that David Cameron

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perhaps came to embody. You could imagine measures to bring in extra

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money for areas where public services have been affected by

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immigration. They have already said Babel abandoned George Osborne's

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budget targets. You could see them trying to portray this as being

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nothing like David Cameron and George Osborne. But every time

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Theresa May mentioned the elites that people have rebelled against,

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back to a big point of the Leave campaign, I couldn't help but think

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she was referring to David Cameron, George Osborne and perhaps even

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Boris Johnson. But you are right, the real test is not the rhetoric,

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but how she delivers. She talked about having a go at those corporate

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to avoid tax. Well, David Cameron said he would do the same, but did

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he? So the rhetoric was great, but the test will be in a few years'

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time, has she delivered? Dev. Away, we will come back to you.

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Well, what kind of reaction did that get from Westminster's

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Our Westminster correspondent David Porter is with a couple of them.

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The clearing up operation is under way. Most representatives have left.

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It is just her Majesty'sfourth estate who are still working hard

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when everyone else has gone home. How are they going to write the

:20:44.:20:47.

story tomorrow morning? Let's find out from two of my colleagues in the

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Scottish written press. Lindsay, two speeches from two leaders today.

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From a Scottish context, how did they do? They were both strong

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speeches, but there was clear water between the two of them,

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particularly on immigration. We have seen this row building up over the

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week, with interventions from Amber Rudd, Liam Fox. Four Ruth Davidson,

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the thing that stood out from her speech was deeply from the

:21:23.:21:27.

Conservative Party and to voters to remember the families behind the

:21:28.:21:29.

numbers when it comes to immigration. In contrast, Theresa

:21:30.:21:34.

May came across as hard line on immigration, as she did on Sunday

:21:35.:21:38.

when she gave her Brexit speech. So there is clear water between them.

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Ruth Davidson invoked the name of John Major about people coming into

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communities and making a contribution. Looking down the road,

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can you see that being a problem between London and Edinburgh as far

:21:56.:21:58.

as the Conservatives are concerned because of the difference in tone on

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immigration? Yeah. Migration is the new dividing line in Britain now,

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certainly when it comes to relations between Scotland and the UK or the

:22:09.:22:12.

Scottish Government and the UK. Obviously, Ruth did not get the

:22:13.:22:15.

anti-immigrant memo. She took her own line on it. That was a huge

:22:16.:22:21.

criticism from other ministers, whose anti-immigrant rhetoric was

:22:22.:22:25.

shocking. Ruth stood her ground and said migrants are welcome and

:22:26.:22:30.

foreign families and people who work here are welcome to stay. That is in

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contrast to what other ministers and Theresa May said. Both speeches were

:22:35.:22:40.

good. Ruth's speech was possibly the speech of the conference. Not if you

:22:41.:22:45.

are a nationalist, of course. But Theresa May had a friend of the

:22:46.:22:51.

working people, vicar's daughter image of a Britain that works for

:22:52.:22:56.

all. She will get that at a price. She has to make a deal with the

:22:57.:23:00.

snarling right-wing of the Tory party, who want hard Brexit and

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controls on migration and they want to play to the fears that were

:23:04.:23:08.

expressed in the Brexit vote, rather than confront the truth of

:23:09.:23:14.

migration, which is that migrants benefit the economy and Scotland

:23:15.:23:17.

would certainly be better off with more migrants. So May has done a

:23:18.:23:22.

deal, and Ruth has been the conscience of the party. The

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strength of the reaction on politicians in Scotland has been

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noticeable. Yes, immediate reaction almost as Theresa May was stepping

:23:33.:23:36.

off the stage. We got strong reaction from the First Minister.

:23:37.:23:40.

She branded it an ugly vision for Brexit. Kezia Dugdale picked up on

:23:41.:23:46.

another story about Diane James quitting as Ukip leader, saying that

:23:47.:23:52.

Theresa May is taking up that Ukip vacancy. So strong stuff from the

:23:53.:23:59.

Liberal Democrats as well. Strong criticism all round from the SNP,

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Lib Dems and Labour. I'm not surprised that Nicola Sturgeon has

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come out as strongly as she has, because it is another opportunity

:24:09.:24:11.

for her to distinguish Scotland, which voted Remain across the board

:24:12.:24:17.

in the EU referendum, from other parts of the UK, particularly

:24:18.:24:22.

England, saying that Scotland is different and we need a different

:24:23.:24:24.

solution in Scotland. She was banging the drum loudly today.

:24:25.:24:31.

Torcuil Crichton, it does set up a clear dividing line politically.

:24:32.:24:37.

Absolutely. Sturgeon has used the independence vote -- in the

:24:38.:24:42.

referendum vote to leave the independence case. And now there is

:24:43.:24:48.

another leave when it comes to opening up to migrants and closing

:24:49.:24:52.

down the anti-immigration rhetoric of Tory ministers. People in

:24:53.:24:56.

Scotland have concerns about migration as well, but politicians

:24:57.:24:59.

sometimes have to lead people on issues and not just become an echo

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chamber for their fears and concerns. People have concerns about

:25:03.:25:11.

immigration, their kids getting work and about competition for jobs and

:25:12.:25:13.

services, but sometimes leaders have to take people by the hand and

:25:14.:25:19.

explain. The Tory party have shown no sign of doing that apart from the

:25:20.:25:23.

mention Ruth Davidson made in her speech. They are playing to the

:25:24.:25:33.

Brexit drum. Theresa May has proved that they are all Brexiteers now in

:25:34.:25:37.

the Tory party. She has really embraced Brexit this week. There has

:25:38.:25:45.

been quite a sea change. Someone who was a reluctant Remainer Na seems to

:25:46.:25:49.

have thought, Brexit is going to happen, I am going to ride his

:25:50.:25:53.

horse. She has made the decision to grab the bull by the horns. She has

:25:54.:25:58.

looked at ease with the rhetoric this week. Perhaps that is all she

:25:59.:26:03.

can do. She has got the three Brexiteers probably pushing from one

:26:04.:26:07.

side, so she is playing into their hands. What did you make of Ruth

:26:08.:26:14.

Davidson's tactics to say very directly to Nicola Sturgeon, forget

:26:15.:26:21.

all this talk about independence - you concentrate on making sure you

:26:22.:26:26.

run Scotland properly? With the Brexit vote, it has obviously raised

:26:27.:26:32.

the prospect of a second independence referendum, Nicola

:26:33.:26:35.

Sturgeon saying after the result that another one was highly likely.

:26:36.:26:40.

But Ruth's woods today were probably two people in England, Wales and

:26:41.:26:45.

Northern Ireland more than people in Scotland. In Scotland, you can't get

:26:46.:26:51.

away from the prospect of a second independence referendum. Ruth could

:26:52.:26:57.

have made that speech any day of the week in Scotland. But this was her

:26:58.:27:02.

speaking to a UK audience, sending a message to the rest of Britain that

:27:03.:27:06.

there was more than one voice coming from Scotland, not just Nicola

:27:07.:27:13.

Sturgeon's. She set herself up by being the strong opposition, and

:27:14.:27:17.

here she was very shrewdly not just speaking to England about Scotland,

:27:18.:27:21.

but framing herself as a UK patriot, making herself look bigger on a

:27:22.:27:26.

British stage. Knew what Ruth Davidson. Watch where she will end

:27:27.:27:31.

up. She's the new Boris of the Tory party. They love her. She can say

:27:32.:27:39.

and do anything. Thank you for joining me. I will let you go and

:27:40.:27:46.

write your copy. Gordon, back to you.

:27:47.:27:47.

Now, plans to raise the council tax for the four highest bands

:27:48.:27:50.

MSPs on Holyrood's Local Government Committee voted to back

:27:51.:27:53.

Our Political Correspondent Andrew Kerr has more.

:27:54.:28:03.

This is a sort of rubber stamp for what we knew before. But a loss of

:28:04.:28:13.

MSPs would like more to be done. That's right. There is controversy

:28:14.:28:17.

about what the Scottish Government are proposing to do with the council

:28:18.:28:23.

tax. The SNP had been in favour of a local income tax and the Labour

:28:24.:28:28.

Party on the Scottish Greens favour more radical reform. But now the

:28:29.:28:34.

SNP, the Scottish Government, are saying they are going to increase

:28:35.:28:37.

the four highest bands. The finance secretary came before the local

:28:38.:28:43.

government committee Parliament today and this was rubber-stamped by

:28:44.:28:49.

them. It was voted through 4-2. But his opponents characterised this as

:28:50.:28:54.

a clever wheeze, because along with getting that money, ?500 million

:28:55.:28:59.

over the course of the Parliament, by raising those four bands, there

:29:00.:29:03.

will be ?100 million from an attainment fund that will be

:29:04.:29:09.

targeted at the poorest pupils and going directly to headteachers,

:29:10.:29:13.

using the free school meals as the determining factor. So the councils

:29:14.:29:18.

still get to keep all the money they raise, but the Scottish Government

:29:19.:29:22.

will decide through the revenue support grant how much money they

:29:23.:29:26.

received essentially. So those well of councils like East Renfrewshire

:29:27.:29:31.

or East Dunbartonshire will get less money through their support grant,

:29:32.:29:35.

but they are raising more money through their council tax. It is an

:29:36.:29:42.

interesting one. Some opposition have been opposed to this. The

:29:43.:29:47.

Conservatives say that is breaking local accountability. Others like

:29:48.:29:53.

the Greens and Labour want Scotland to do more with council tax.

:29:54.:29:55.

The Finance Secretary has promised to give MSPs more details

:29:56.:29:58.

on Holyrood's budget in an attempt to stave off a political row.

:29:59.:30:01.

Derek Mackay took part in a parliamentary debate

:30:02.:30:04.

led by the Finance Committee yesterday, and told MSPs

:30:05.:30:06.

he would provide additional "strategic information" to help them

:30:07.:30:08.

And I will committee supporter move towards a more flexible approach to

:30:09.:30:24.

financial security and scrutiny that might be carried out throughout the

:30:25.:30:27.

year? This should not be viewed as a replacement for scrutiny of the

:30:28.:30:31.

Government's actual spending proposals. The committee recognises

:30:32.:30:35.

that this year is different given the unique set of circumstances that

:30:36.:30:40.

currently exist as a consequence of Brexit is imminent -- and the

:30:41.:30:47.

imminent devolution for the tax powers, the committee sought to work

:30:48.:30:50.

with the Cabinet Secretary and considering what level information

:30:51.:30:55.

could reasonably be provided to support scrutiny top prior to the

:30:56.:31:01.

budget draft being published. The Cabinet Secretary informed the

:31:02.:31:04.

committee on the 7th of September that he would be willing to produce

:31:05.:31:06.

as much scenario planning information as possible. There

:31:07.:31:10.

followed an exchange of letters between the Cabinet Secretary and

:31:11.:31:17.

finance committee. Let me make it clear today as we did in our letter

:31:18.:31:21.

on the 21st of September that the committee would find it unacceptable

:31:22.:31:25.

if he confronts he is not prepared to publish any such information in

:31:26.:31:28.

advance of the draft budget being published. I reiterate my

:31:29.:31:34.

willingness to to provide the committee with additional Tijuca

:31:35.:31:37.

information to assist committees in preparing for the Autumn Statement

:31:38.:31:42.

and draft budget. It on the 7th of September I offered to provide

:31:43.:31:45.

further work and updated economic financial modelling that could

:31:46.:31:48.

provide analysis that demonstrates the impact in changes of economic

:31:49.:31:53.

performance would have on the Scottish budget. I can go further

:31:54.:31:58.

about the detail that the finance committee was requested but I

:31:59.:32:02.

certainly intend to the commitment made to the finance committee about

:32:03.:32:05.

providing further information, what I can't do is provide a draft

:32:06.:32:10.

spending plan and budget, that would be a draft budget. I will hold true

:32:11.:32:14.

to what I promised the finance committee and a happy to take

:32:15.:32:19.

intervention. I'm grateful to the Cabinet Secretary for giving way. He

:32:20.:32:22.

knows very well the committee looked at that letter from him at the

:32:23.:32:27.

beginning of September and sent what it amounted to was unacceptable. He

:32:28.:32:31.

also goes before he gets to speak today that a majority of this

:32:32.:32:34.

Parliament have already formally recorded a for him to put scenario

:32:35.:32:38.

planning information indicative figures into the public domain by

:32:39.:32:43.

the end of the October recess. We could have pushed this and so

:32:44.:32:48.

dramatic headlines at the end of the day and a vote at five o'clock but

:32:49.:32:52.

we bent over backwards I think of the committee has, to give the

:32:53.:32:56.

Cabinet Secretary alternatives to producing a draft budgets because we

:32:57.:32:59.

understand the difficulty he is in. Is he not going to say anything

:33:00.:33:04.

following the position he offered at the beginning of September to go

:33:05.:33:07.

further than he has gone so far and allow Parliament to do it job in

:33:08.:33:11.

budget scrutiny? What I have said to the chamber is that I will honour

:33:12.:33:18.

the commitment given to the finance committee around sharing as much

:33:19.:33:21.

information as I possibly can. But I cannot produce a scenario plan that

:33:22.:33:27.

is a spending draft budget without having all of the information that

:33:28.:33:29.

will come from the Chancellor's Autumn Statement. The finance

:33:30.:33:36.

secretary had a choice when he came into the chamber 's afternoon to

:33:37.:33:39.

either listen to the Parliament which has expressed a number of

:33:40.:33:43.

signature is for the motion and offer concessions to meet Parliament

:33:44.:33:49.

and the finance committee halfway or can and brazen it out, I regret very

:33:50.:33:53.

much he decided to take the latter path in that debates afternoon and

:33:54.:33:58.

brazen it out. By refusing to publish as much information as

:33:59.:34:01.

possible in advance of the publication of the draft budget

:34:02.:34:05.

later this year Derek Mackay is treating this Parliament with

:34:06.:34:09.

contempt. Particularly since he is going back on a promise he has

:34:10.:34:13.

previously made to this Parliament. The late publication of the

:34:14.:34:16.

Chancellor's Autumn Statement has consequences for the budgets, of

:34:17.:34:22.

course, but it isn't sufficient justification for Derek Mackay's

:34:23.:34:25.

refusal to publish indicative figures and budget scenario planning

:34:26.:34:31.

information. As we have heard the Scottish Government has delayed its

:34:32.:34:35.

draft budget until December, leaving Holyrood's it is just a few weeks

:34:36.:34:41.

for scrutiny. Earlier this book to Derek Mackay and asked for his

:34:42.:34:46.

response to criticism he showed contempt for Parliament over his

:34:47.:34:49.

handling of the timetable. Finance committee itself recognised that I

:34:50.:34:55.

had a justifiable case to delay publishing the Scottish draft budget

:34:56.:35:01.

and until on to the Chancellor's autumn 's timid with a of Brexit

:35:02.:35:06.

adding uncertainty into the system. Finance committee said that the

:35:07.:35:09.

Niger likely to have a justifiable case that has been widely accepted.

:35:10.:35:13.

A recognised some members of Parliament were more information,

:35:14.:35:16.

they ask for most of scenario planning and have said I will

:35:17.:35:19.

provide that and have always tried to provide as much information as I

:35:20.:35:23.

possibly can but the crux of this issue is the Chancellor's Autumn

:35:24.:35:27.

Statement will be opportunity for UK Government to reset economic and

:35:28.:35:32.

fiscal policy, that is what they have said they would do. Or reason

:35:33.:35:36.

be the Chancellor said in this Tory party conference speech that the

:35:37.:35:40.

economy would face a roller-coaster ride. I expect some significant

:35:41.:35:45.

announcements in the Chancellor Bosma Autumn Statement which clearly

:35:46.:35:48.

impact the Scottish budget and is also closer to the forecast of the

:35:49.:35:53.

OBR that will drive the title's decisions and I think it is right

:35:54.:35:56.

and proper that three weeks after the Chancellor's Autumn Statement,

:35:57.:36:00.

which is a very significant in the chat calendar of decision-making for

:36:01.:36:04.

the UK Government and respect the Scottish Government so profoundly

:36:05.:36:09.

that I deliver a budget three weeks after that. What a variation are we

:36:10.:36:14.

talking bout roughly? When we take to get the new measures coming to

:36:15.:36:18.

the Scottish Parliament plus the fact that Philip Hammond has said he

:36:19.:36:24.

will not stick by George Osborne's austerity measures, what kind of

:36:25.:36:29.

magnitude of change are we speaking about? We don't know, which is why

:36:30.:36:34.

it is called uncertainty. The title and the Chief Secretary of the

:36:35.:36:37.

Church as Ray has not give me an indication of what it means for

:36:38.:36:42.

Scotland in the barn spending or for tax policy, revenue or capital. We

:36:43.:36:48.

don't really know what is coming in the Chancellor's Autumn Statement so

:36:49.:36:50.

I don't know what impact is about to be in Scotland but based on

:36:51.:36:55.

everything said publicly is likely to be significant of what we also

:36:56.:37:00.

know is all economic consensus is that of Brexit, the vote and

:37:01.:37:04.

outcome, will have a profound impact and a range of different scenarios

:37:05.:37:07.

on the UK and Scottish economy which will have to be taken into account

:37:08.:37:12.

in the Chancellor's decisions in October. Presumably when you and the

:37:13.:37:18.

officials are planning, are you assuming your budget will be cut in

:37:19.:37:24.

either cash or real terms or are you assuming you will have cash for

:37:25.:37:28.

real-time increases? There is already proposed by the UK

:37:29.:37:34.

Government terms reduction cash increase and there has been real

:37:35.:37:38.

terms reduction is to Scotland's budget and that is likely to

:37:39.:37:41.

continue. Are they abandoning their plans? The UK Government has said

:37:42.:37:46.

they are abandoning their targets on fiscal surplus, which is one bid of

:37:47.:37:51.

information but they don't say how they will achieve that what the

:37:52.:37:55.

current skills would be and we can only guess what that means for

:37:56.:38:00.

revenue and capital and really importantly on tax, whatever we do

:38:01.:38:03.

with these new powers coming to the Scottish Parliament on tax, what

:38:04.:38:07.

they do and we do is relative and I might not be able to generate more

:38:08.:38:11.

spending power or resources for Scotland if I don't know what the UK

:38:12.:38:14.

Government is about to do and we have no idea if Philip Hammond will

:38:15.:38:24.

follow the budget. When do you expect to be able to produce a draft

:38:25.:38:28.

budget? I have outlined the Parliament that I would, and this is

:38:29.:38:33.

a challenging timescale but I've committed to it, produce a Scottish

:38:34.:38:38.

draft budget three weeks after the Chancellor's Autumn Statement, which

:38:39.:38:41.

relies on the most up-to-date forecasts and all the information

:38:42.:38:43.

coming from the Chancellor and that would lead to a Scottish draft

:38:44.:38:46.

budget is being published on Thursday the 15th of December. We

:38:47.:38:48.

have to leave it there. Thank you. You think he has been perfectly

:38:49.:39:03.

reasonable? I do have sympathy with Derek Mackay on this. It is pretty

:39:04.:39:07.

difficult if you are down in the end of the line as he is. If Philip

:39:08.:39:15.

Hammond pairing -- preparing his Autumn Statement, he doesn't really

:39:16.:39:18.

think that all about what the Scottish position is and yet Derek

:39:19.:39:22.

Mackay has to wait until the Autumn Statement is delivered and then he

:39:23.:39:26.

has to put his budget together and put it to parliament, it must get

:39:27.:39:29.

put to all sorts of committees and eventually get past and put into law

:39:30.:39:34.

by April. That window is pretty tight. I think Derek Mackay is a

:39:35.:39:38.

difficult position because he cannot plan. Because nobody has any idea

:39:39.:39:43.

except those hobbled away the Treasury exactly what Philip Hammond

:39:44.:39:48.

is going to do. If he produces these indicative figures or whatever he

:39:49.:39:52.

has agreed to, they will be meaningless? The committee has asked

:39:53.:39:55.

for scenario planning which presumably means Derek Mackay says,

:39:56.:40:00.

if the Chancellor cuts this, we can do that but if he gives us more

:40:01.:40:05.

money we will do this. In terms of planning ahead, that is pretty

:40:06.:40:08.

useless because until we get the figures and see exactly what Philip

:40:09.:40:14.

Hammond will do and how he will change things around the net

:40:15.:40:19.

scenario planning is basically useless. I actually only spotted

:40:20.:40:25.

looking back at that interview that his away, one of the things he seems

:40:26.:40:32.

to be saying is it is not just the budget figures I've got to worry

:40:33.:40:36.

about, I've got to get the economic forecast the Treasury make in the

:40:37.:40:40.

budget because we will have to raise taxes and how much of those taxes

:40:41.:40:44.

will amount to be have to take into account the economic forces the

:40:45.:40:48.

Treasury and OBR are making? I think that is very significant in part it

:40:49.:40:53.

has to be seen in the context that the SNP are very keen there at all

:40:54.:40:58.

possible not to raise taxes, particularly in contacts. They will

:40:59.:41:02.

put up the higher rate and they will not bring forward the cuts the UK

:41:03.:41:05.

Government will do to the higher rate but the rest of it they

:41:06.:41:09.

desperately want to keep where it is. Derek Mackay was saying he might

:41:10.:41:13.

have to look at raising taxes but what he will try and do is look at

:41:14.:41:17.

the figures and find any way he possibly can not to raise taxes. You

:41:18.:41:22.

also have to give the SNP hats off to their ability to execute U-turns.

:41:23.:41:29.

On the council tax, there you are, rubber-stamping it away, this was

:41:30.:41:34.

the hated council tax they were willing to abolish. What has

:41:35.:41:37.

happened is you've had after nine years of council tax freeze the

:41:38.:41:40.

complaints from local Government have got louder and louder until the

:41:41.:41:45.

SNP have realised they cannot resist them any more and they have to give

:41:46.:41:49.

councils the ability tourist council tax, which they have done. That was

:41:50.:41:54.

a cornerstone of SNP local Government policy for the past

:41:55.:41:59.

decade and it is gone. Given that have changed these bands and made a

:42:00.:42:05.

song and dance about it, that is a change, OK, but presumably it locks

:42:06.:42:09.

the council tax system in place? It does, there is one more significant

:42:10.:42:13.

change that it creates a fund that could be used for schools around the

:42:14.:42:18.

country, effectively although not officially taking it from the

:42:19.:42:21.

councils that raise the most money. In that sense that is beginning to

:42:22.:42:26.

break the link of local accountability for the money that is

:42:27.:42:30.

raised locally and spent locally. I think as that starts to go through

:42:31.:42:35.

your get more complaints. Democratic complaints about the breaking of

:42:36.:42:40.

that link. Looking at the bigger picture, Derek Mackay is saying you

:42:41.:42:45.

think sensibly, please, I cannot, with DPL figures because I don't

:42:46.:42:48.

know what had Philip Hammond will do, part of this new we are on the

:42:49.:42:54.

side of this working people is the given up the fiscal surplus targets

:42:55.:42:58.

that George Osborne had. Labour are committed to an enormous programme

:42:59.:43:04.

of public spending. Due think it is possible that people like the IMF

:43:05.:43:09.

are more in favour of saying fiscal expansion should have gone together

:43:10.:43:16.

with quantitative easing? There is a shift going on. Yes, and what the

:43:17.:43:19.

Scottish Government are probably expecting is for the UK Government

:43:20.:43:24.

to let them spend much more in capital projects, there is hence in

:43:25.:43:27.

the week that infrastructure is the new big thing to spend money on.

:43:28.:43:31.

What's Derek Mackay is hoping that the UK Government will spend more

:43:32.:43:36.

capital projects and you'll get the Biard consequentialist but what he

:43:37.:43:40.

doesn't know is whether the rest of the revenue money is going to go up

:43:41.:43:43.

and that is the balance that has to be done, it is fine getting billions

:43:44.:43:47.

of pounds extra to build new roads and hospitals, but if there isn't

:43:48.:43:51.

extra money to go into the NHS or teachers that has to be found

:43:52.:43:52.

elsewhere. Again, don't go away. New powers are being devolved

:43:53.:43:56.

to Holyrood that will mean from April 2017, MSPs

:43:57.:43:59.

will for the first time have the ability to design

:44:00.:44:01.

employment services for disabled people and those at risk

:44:02.:44:03.

of long-term unemployment. The Minister for employability and

:44:04.:44:13.

training Jimmy Hepburn is leading the debate for the Scottish

:44:14.:44:16.

Government. We come to the significant point career move to

:44:17.:44:20.

designing services to deliver importantly this Government could

:44:21.:44:25.

potentially deliver new powers for Scotland in interest of the people

:44:26.:44:28.

of Scotland and with dignity and respect central to our thinking. I

:44:29.:44:34.

would like to set out the way forward for the smooth and seamless

:44:35.:44:37.

delivery of new devolved services and how those services will support

:44:38.:44:43.

people into employment. Today I will also set out where will use the

:44:44.:44:48.

powers differently in Scotland, including on how devolved deployment

:44:49.:44:51.

programme will interact with the systems of conditionality and the

:44:52.:44:54.

sanctions that remain reserved to Westminster. Today is also the

:44:55.:44:58.

opportunity for members to set out their views on these matters, I look

:44:59.:45:03.

forward to the debate to be clear at the outset, is to always useful to

:45:04.:45:08.

have clarity at the outset, today we will not be supporting the

:45:09.:45:11.

Conservative amendment but we will be supporting Labour amendment had

:45:12.:45:17.

it been accepted we would also happily it supported the Green

:45:18.:45:20.

amendment. We have a significant and unique opportunity to deliver the

:45:21.:45:25.

employment support in Scotland. I intend to take that opportunity to

:45:26.:45:29.

deliver employment support services that will reflect fair work in

:45:30.:45:33.

social economic conclusion and put emphasis on partnership delivery of

:45:34.:45:37.

building on our strength and boasting public and private sector

:45:38.:45:40.

and local authorities are third sector and specialist delivery and

:45:41.:45:43.

treat service users with respect and have services that will take people

:45:44.:45:47.

with us and encourage and support people into work rather than

:45:48.:45:50.

cajoling them regardless of their individual circumstances.

:45:51.:45:56.

Delivering new powers is not without its challenges. There are

:45:57.:46:02.

limitations in the powers being devised by the UK Government.

:46:03.:46:14.

The devolution committee of the last parliamentary session shared our

:46:15.:46:20.

disappointment that the degree of devolution does not deliver on the

:46:21.:46:24.

Smith commission's recommendation. A week after the publication of the

:46:25.:46:28.

agreement, the UK Government, despite our strong case for swift

:46:29.:46:33.

transfer of powers, announced that rather than devolved services on

:46:34.:46:37.

expiry of the current commercial arrangement in March 2016 as had

:46:38.:46:41.

been agreed, it would actually extend the contract to March 2000

:46:42.:46:48.

17. Then in the UK 2015 autumn Budget Statement, the then

:46:49.:46:51.

Chancellor announced the replacement of current programmes with a new

:46:52.:46:53.

work and health programme in England and Wales. That programme is still

:46:54.:46:58.

undefined, meaning disabled people and those who are long term

:46:59.:47:01.

unemployed in England and Wales still do not know what support

:47:02.:47:07.

services they will have. We are determined to give people in

:47:08.:47:10.

Scotland certainty about the future support programme.

:47:11.:47:11.

Now let's speak to some MSPs at Holyrood.

:47:12.:47:14.

I'm joined by George Adam from the SNP, the Conservatives'

:47:15.:47:17.

Graham Simpson, Daniel Johnson for Labour, and Ross Greer

:47:18.:47:19.

Jawed Adam -- jawed Adam, on the business of helping long term

:47:20.:47:34.

unemployed people get back to work, you have a chance to look at new

:47:35.:47:42.

solutions, look at some of the Scandinavian systems that you claim

:47:43.:47:45.

to admire so much and implement something completely different. What

:47:46.:47:52.

is it? You make a great point. We are at the beginning of something

:47:53.:47:56.

new and more powers that we can take something forward the people in

:47:57.:48:01.

Scotland with. But one point underlined by the Cabinet Secretary

:48:02.:48:04.

was that you have a position where we are getting these powers and the

:48:05.:48:09.

Tory government are taking away 87% of the budget from the DWP at the

:48:10.:48:17.

same time. They are effectively saying, there are your powers, but

:48:18.:48:21.

they are taking away. That is the difference between and it is ?7

:48:22.:48:26.

million. So yes, we are at a place where we can do something different

:48:27.:48:31.

on as the minister said. We have the opportunity to do things

:48:32.:48:35.

differently. We have the ability to treat people with respect. But what?

:48:36.:48:43.

What are you going to do that is different? We will make sure it is

:48:44.:48:48.

all people centred. We will make sure the individual is true to with

:48:49.:48:51.

respect, not like currently, where they just feel like they are a

:48:52.:48:56.

number. What is the new radical system? Actually, treating people

:48:57.:49:04.

with respect is a radical system. That is a good start. We are dealing

:49:05.:49:11.

with people's lives and how they go about them. It is important that

:49:12.:49:15.

respect is at the heart of that. So if you are asking me what is

:49:16.:49:19.

radical, that is a radical start. So you are not going to have a

:49:20.:49:23.

different system, you are just going to be nice to people? I was not as

:49:24.:49:31.

flippant as that, Gordon. I said we would give people an opportunity to

:49:32.:49:33.

build something, but it will take time to see what we can do. Graham

:49:34.:49:46.

Simpson. I was expecting you to appear with a donkey jacket and a

:49:47.:49:50.

scarf and a copy of the morning star under your arm, given Theresa May's

:49:51.:49:53.

speech. Do you have any radical ideas for what the Scottish

:49:54.:49:58.

Government can do? Sorry, I don't own a donkey jacket, never have

:49:59.:50:03.

done. George Adam has given you know answers to the questions, and they

:50:04.:50:08.

never do. They always want to blame somebody else, blame Westminster.

:50:09.:50:12.

Powers are transferring out to the Scottish Government. It is up to

:50:13.:50:17.

them to come up with proposals. You come up with some. Why do I have to?

:50:18.:50:26.

Because you are the main opposition. It is up to the SNP government to

:50:27.:50:30.

tell us what to do with the powers. If you look at the Work Programme as

:50:31.:50:36.

it has been operating, more than 47,000 Scots are now in work, next

:50:37.:50:41.

to the Work Programme. It is up to people like George Adam and his pals

:50:42.:50:44.

to say what has gone wrong with that. Daniel Johnson, let's try

:50:45.:50:51.

third time lucky. Have you got any good ideas, or any ideas? Labour,

:50:52.:50:59.

from the get go, have been talking about devolving and looking at how

:51:00.:51:04.

decisions can be made locally. If the Work Programme is to be

:51:05.:51:07.

effective, it has to respond to local need. So Labour has that

:51:08.:51:13.

proposal. Sorry, I missed what the proposal was. Making it local,

:51:14.:51:20.

making decisions about the Work Programme at a local level. What

:51:21.:51:30.

does that mean? Rather than making centralised decisions, having a one

:51:31.:51:35.

size fits all, we are looking at localised employment issues. We know

:51:36.:51:40.

what is happening in the north-east and we have seen other issues in the

:51:41.:51:43.

steel industry. By making those decisions locally, we can have a

:51:44.:51:51.

more responsive system. Ross Greer, this is your big chance. We have had

:51:52.:51:56.

been nice to people, it is not up to the Tories to come up with ideas,

:51:57.:52:01.

and be local. Have you got anything to be that? Yes. The Greens have

:52:02.:52:05.

done the research and found out that we can stop sanctions in Scotland.

:52:06.:52:09.

We know that the sanctions regime that is part of the Work Programme

:52:10.:52:13.

doesn't help people get into work. It really hurts the people it is

:52:14.:52:19.

affecting. There are 13,000 people in Scotland at risk of being

:52:20.:52:23.

sanctioned once we take full control over social security. We have

:52:24.:52:27.

figured out how to stop those sanctions and it looks like the

:52:28.:52:31.

Scottish Government has agreed. There is one specific proposal, to

:52:32.:52:35.

end the sanctions regime and save dozens from the misery the Tories

:52:36.:52:39.

have been inflicting. Are you saying that if you are on benefits in

:52:40.:52:44.

Scotland, you can just not turn up to any meetings you are supposed to

:52:45.:52:48.

turn up to, and there is no possibility of any consequences? But

:52:49.:52:52.

we know the sanctions regime doesn't work. You are supposed to encourage

:52:53.:52:58.

people into work. We know that punishment doesn't work. Even if

:52:59.:53:03.

people feel it is the right thing to do, which I don't understand, but we

:53:04.:53:07.

know from the evidence that it doesn't work, so why continue to do

:53:08.:53:11.

it when all it is doing is hurting the people being sanctioned? I am

:53:12.:53:18.

not sure what you would get in the Eurovision Song Contest for that,

:53:19.:53:22.

because that is just an idea for not punishing people who do not abide by

:53:23.:53:27.

the rules. You were asking for specific proposals. I have given you

:53:28.:53:32.

one. You said the Scottish Government agree with that. Let's

:53:33.:53:35.

see if George Adam is prepared to agree that people will have no

:53:36.:53:38.

sanctions on them, no matter what they do. We need a balanced system.

:53:39.:53:47.

Ross Greer says you have agreed with his idea of no sanctions. The

:53:48.:53:51.

weather current system is, I constantly have to deal with

:53:52.:53:55.

constituents coming in who have been recently sanctioned and they are

:53:56.:53:59.

tragic cases. But there will always be a situation where we have to have

:54:00.:54:06.

checks and balances. So it is not no sanctions, but different once? You

:54:07.:54:14.

have misunderstood me again, Gordon. We are having a bad day! There will

:54:15.:54:21.

always be a need to checks and balances, but the sanctions regime

:54:22.:54:24.

we currently have is causing heartache throughout Scotland and

:54:25.:54:32.

that has to go. Graham Simpson, as a conservative, you don't want to take

:54:33.:54:36.

a position on any of this? Renaming sanctions, is that a good idea? If

:54:37.:54:42.

you want. Call it incentives if you want. We have had more than half a

:54:43.:54:48.

million people throughout the UK who have got into work through the Work

:54:49.:54:55.

Programme. Your question to Ross Greer was right, and he didn't

:54:56.:55:00.

really cover it. Should you have any sanctions? Of course you should. I

:55:01.:55:08.

thought you didn't have any views on the matter, because you are not the

:55:09.:55:15.

government. You ask me about sanctions. I am giving you an

:55:16.:55:21.

opinion. You call sanctions incentives, but incentives shouldn't

:55:22.:55:27.

drive people to suicide. Can you justify that? Hang on, give Daniel

:55:28.:55:35.

Johnson a chance. So you want local sanctions, presumably? We need to

:55:36.:55:43.

move away from talk about sanctions. Sanctions are not talk. But it is

:55:44.:55:48.

all stick and no carrot, and that is the problem. Excluding people does

:55:49.:55:53.

not work. We have to leave it there. Thank you all for joining us. Hamish

:55:54.:55:59.

is still here. It is an opportunity, isn't it? We talk about Scandinavian

:56:00.:56:08.

systems. They could reinvent the welfare system. Two points to make.

:56:09.:56:12.

Firstly, they were trying to make their way through it. This is

:56:13.:56:15.

extremely complicated. The whole benefits system is just a mire of

:56:16.:56:21.

benefits and Saxons and it is very hard to unpick one part on its own

:56:22.:56:26.

without affecting the other parts. The other part is that social

:56:27.:56:32.

security is being devolved in part. The Scottish Government is not

:56:33.:56:35.

getting complete control of everything the DWP does. So it is

:56:36.:56:40.

limited in what it can do. If it had complete control of that and of the

:56:41.:56:44.

tax system, perhaps it could bring in some Scandinavian changes. But

:56:45.:56:47.

the scope for change is pretty limited. But there is also the point

:56:48.:56:56.

you made there. For example, the Blair government didn't make any

:56:57.:56:59.

serious changes to the welfare system, birth because they realised

:57:00.:57:03.

that it is impossible. No matter what you do with the welfare system,

:57:04.:57:09.

somebody suffers. You are only going to make changes to the welfare

:57:10.:57:13.

system if you want to cut the money going to it. The Blair government

:57:14.:57:16.

decided that if money was going to come in and go out, it would not

:57:17.:57:20.

alter the way it dealt with the benefit system. The Conservative

:57:21.:57:24.

view is different. There is an ideological drive to try and get

:57:25.:57:28.

more people off benefits and to bring more sanctions in, which the

:57:29.:57:33.

Scottish Government want to resist. But it is fiendishly difficult to

:57:34.:57:37.

make the changes that do change the system. OK. And of conference, they

:57:38.:57:49.

are all leaving. The SNP might object to that. But I mean today was

:57:50.:57:52.

the end of the Tory party conference. Do we know anything more

:57:53.:57:57.

about what the governance of Britain will be like over the next few

:57:58.:58:04.

years? We know where Theresa May is coming from. She was a fairly blank

:58:05.:58:09.

piece of paper until the start of this conference. Today, she has set

:58:10.:58:13.

out where she once the party to go. She does want it to be the party of

:58:14.:58:20.

blue collar Conservatism, working-class Conservatism, the

:58:21.:58:22.

people who drifted to Ukip and some who drifted to Labour. She wants to

:58:23.:58:26.

make a complete break with what she sees as the Bullingdon club elitism

:58:27.:58:30.

of the Cameron years, the Chipping Norton set and all of that. And

:58:31.:58:35.

grammar schools is part of it. The meritocracy part of it. We have to

:58:36.:58:38.

leave it there. Join us for First Minister's

:58:39.:58:40.

Questions tomorrow on

:58:41.:58:43.

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