13/08/2014 Politics Scotland


13/08/2014

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Good afternoon and welcome to Politics Scotland.

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The focus is on welfare, as the Scottish Government claims

:00:19.:00:21.

a yes vote is the answer for those facing benefit cuts.

:00:22.:00:25.

Those supporting the union say the issue is about policy rather

:00:26.:00:28.

Employment in Scotland has reached a new record high,

:00:29.:00:32.

We'll drill down into the details of the figures.

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And the Prime Minister is back from his holiday and straight into

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a storm at Westminster as pressure grows for him to consider direct UK

:00:44.:00:46.

Scottish Government ministers are claiming today that more than

:00:47.:00:53.

100,000 people in Scotland will lose disability benefits under UK-wide

:00:54.:00:56.

Leading the charge is the Deputy First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon,

:00:57.:01:02.

who has said individuals currently claiming Disability Living Allowance

:01:03.:01:05.

The UK Government has hit back saying its reforms are not all about

:01:06.:01:11.

cost cutting and that reforms will target resources more effectively

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Let's go to the garden lobby of the Scottish parliament and our

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Let's just deal with this issue from the Scottish Government. They are

:01:21.:02:17.

worried about the SNP is saying this includes regular checks on people,

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like if you can walk 50 metres and now it is 20 metres.

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Be phased in over the next the BBC has been speaking to some of these

:02:31.:02:39.

people today. They talk about some people with health problems, but

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that could be someone with HIV, someone with MS, someone in a

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wheelchair or who is blind or has a combination of a huge number of

:02:48.:02:56.

different problems. The counter is that these changes are absolutely

:02:57.:03:02.

essential and it is all about value for money and the taxpayer. It is

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about targeting those who most need the funding.

:03:07.:03:07.

for money and the taxpayer. It is about targeting those who That is

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why they are doing regular assessments. They do not want

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someone to be on an allowance for the rest of their lives without

:03:13.:03:17.

someone assessing whether the condition has changed. The BBC has

:03:18.:03:25.

been told the changes are essential. It is thought this is part of an SNP

:03:26.:03:31.

tactic to remove the focus that has been recently on the currency on

:03:32.:03:36.

what Plan B might be in the event of independence. The Scottish

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Conservatives this morning have been disputing the figures and saying

:03:41.:03:45.

that many of those who may lose this disability living allowance could,

:03:46.:03:48.

in future guy get universal credit and would therefore get different

:03:49.:03:57.

funding but funding all the same. -- in future get universal credit.

:03:58.:04:04.

Edge-macro he is talking about enshrining the principles of the NHS

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in a written constitution. Another hugely emotive issue. While the NHS

:04:12.:04:17.

is much criticised, it is still a much loved institution. Alex Salmond

:04:18.:04:21.

has been drawing on that this morning. He has been talking about

:04:22.:04:26.

it being a fundamental part of Scotland 's national identity. He

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has accused Westminster of having scorned and betrayed its founding.

:04:33.:04:36.

The Scottish Cup and has set out plans for a written constitution if

:04:37.:04:40.

Scotland does indeed vote for independence on the 18th of

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September that is the case. He is saying if there is that

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constitution, the NHS should be enshrined within it, protected from

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privatisation by stealth that has befallen the NHS in England.

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Political opponents are not happy with this approach. They say these

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comments are designed to scare voters. They say that overall

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branding to the NHS has increased. Earlier today, the Scottish Liberal

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Democrat leader Willie Rennie described the comments by Alex

:05:11.:05:13.

Salmond as dishonest, desperate and disgraceful. He said across the UK

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these things unite people like our NHS and that these principles are

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unique and injuring. Thank you very much indeed. There will pick up on

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some of those points shortly. -- we will pick up.

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And official figures released today show unemployment has fallen

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in Scotland by 2,000 between April and June, to 176,000.

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The UK total fell by 132,000 to 2.08 million.

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And employment in Scotland has reached a new record high.

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The number of people in work increased by 9,000 between April

:05:43.:05:45.

Our business correspondent, David Henderson, reports.

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The search for work at Partick Jobcentre in Glasgow this morning.

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Staffware help matching job-seekers with vacancies. They have seen a

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surge in new call centre jobs and hotels and restaurants. In recent

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months the economy has shown signs of recovery. Employers have been

:06:15.:06:19.

taking on new staff. Here, they have noticed a rise in the number of jobs

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available. The number of people in Scotland who are out of work and

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looking for a job has fallen this month to 176,000. At the same time,

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the workforce has risen a job has fallen this month to 176,000. At the

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same time, the workforce has risen again that is the same for the UK as

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a whole. Staff at Jobcentres have noticed people seem more confident

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in recruitment plans. Part-time and temporary vacancies have increased.

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We are seeing the trend turn around and more and more vacancies are

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coming on which are full and part-time. The jobs market is fluid,

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a bit like this wine shop in Barrhead. Peter is one of a record

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number of self-employed Scots. He tops up his work here with

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wine-tasting classes and consultancy work. Coming from a background where

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I had a job, not necessarily a job for life, but a job where I had an

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income. Every month the mortgage would be paid. That transition to

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being in a work position, where, if the work is not their comic you do

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not get paid and the mortgage does not get paid. Some of the new jobs

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we have seen maybe seasonal, like down to the Commonwealth Games.

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Well, joining me now our commentator for the day, Hamish Macdonell.

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Also here is our business correspondent, David Henderson.

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Just put these figures into a wider context. Another step on the road to

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recovery. We are seeing a steady stream of new jobs in Scotland. 9000

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new jobs in the last quarter. 63,000 more in the last year. It means that

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employment in Scotland is now... The rate is at an all-time high. The

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sums are pretty good for the UK as a whole as well. In the last we have

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seen employment rising by more than 100,000. A real surge there. Of

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course, employment, unemployment is a lagging indicator. It is a most

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important indicator of the health of the economy. It falls into line with

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a lot of the other signs we have seen in recent months, signs of

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growth are very strong. The private sector in Scotland that Italy is

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growing strongly. All in all it is pointing in the right directions.

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The UK Government this morning was quick to say it shows that working

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as part of the United Kingdom with a stable market and growing economy

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and a stable currency is creating more jobs and more opportunities for

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Scotland. They are also keen to make the claim that the strong medicine

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we have seen in relation to managing the economy in recent years, as far

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as they are concerned, is paying off because we are starting to see the

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growth rate and employment has picked up quite sharply across the

:09:27.:09:29.

United Kingdom. The Scottish Government has said, the recovery we

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have seen is happening despite not because of anything that is going on

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from the UK Government at Westminster. Instead they are

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pointing to targeted measures they have introduced in relation to

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getting women and young people back into work. They say that is starting

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to bear fruit and that Scotland can be an independent country and it

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follows, they say, that if he gives Scotland full powers over the

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economy then we can grow the economy even more. Nothing like politicians

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falling over themselves to take credit for good news. Here we are,

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five weeks out from the referendum, and unemployment figures have become

:10:12.:10:14.

a football in that particular battle. It is not surprisingly close

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the economy, unemployment is essential to the economy and that is

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critical to the referendum debate. The UK Government has said, we are

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doing this well because we are part of the one market. I think there is

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a sense in which oddly enough both could be right. The Scottish

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governing could well be right. If small, targeted measures for a

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Scottish economy were taken on after independence, that could help grow

:10:44.:10:47.

jobs in certain sectors but the UK Government is right as well. A

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market which encompasses the whole of the UK is busy going to do better

:10:52.:10:56.

for jobs, particularly for companies that operate across the border. This

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contributes to the debate about the referendum. John Swinney laid out

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the ten point economic plan that he would act in an independent

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Scotland. If one were to be cynical, for a second, if you look at what

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the SNP will happen in an independent Scotland, the NHS will

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be sacrosanct, we will have full employment. The Royal mile will flow

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with whiskey and honey, to a certain extent. That is an aspiration but

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other governments in the UK have had that aspiration as well. Full

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employment has been an aspiration for every different colour. We are

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heading to the levels, I think it is probably 2%, 3% is the rational

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level where you can say you have full employment, it may be

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achievable with independents or without. Thank you very much.

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The Cabinet Secretary for Training, Youth Women's Employment, Angela

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Constance, is making a statement on a Scottish government review

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This was a report by trade unions, business leaders and academics.

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Let's listen into what the Cabinet Secretary has to say.

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Scotland 's businesses compete internationally delivering long-term

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prosperity and high-quality jobs. We need to support the type of growth

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that produces inequalities and helps everyone, not just those closest to

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the labour market to realise the potential. We need the type of

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growth that reduces disparities between different parts of Scotland

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and we need the type of growth that is sustainable and resilient and

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which focuses on maximising returns from work. Through existing devolved

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powers, the Scottish Government has taken forward a range of ambitious

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initiatives, including opportunities for all, investment in childcare,

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sustained investment and reform of education, record numbers of modern

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apprenticeships and programmes such as community jobs Scotland and the

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youth employment Scottish fund. We will do more. For Example, we will

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implement the recommendations of the young workforce commission. We will

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deliver world casts -- class education. I announced ?4.5 million

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of funding in earlier response to the recommendations. We share

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aspirations to reduce youth unemployment by 40%. The economy

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will only achieve its full potential when they maximise quality as well

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as quantity of work. We need to grow skills, apply the skills and boost

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business productivity. We need to bed progressive workplace policies.

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As such, I therefore welcome the publication of the report to the

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working together review. I am grateful to all the members, Chris

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Park, Mary, Graeme Smith, Patricia Findlay, and I am particularly

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grateful to the review group chair. They were asked to review

:14:15.:14:19.

progressive workplace policies in the public and private sectors,

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identifiable agility is for innovation which would enhance

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productivity, highlight good practice and recommend how we build

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on that to optimise the relationships that linked with

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unions and governments. As expected, the report is substantive. In the

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recommendations section, it says, and I quote directly, our report

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provides a great deal of evidence which confirms the many unions,

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employers and employees are already reaping the benefits of working

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together to construct their own business or sector specific models

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of modern, cooperative industrial relations. We welcome that recognise

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it is one of Scotland 's existing economic strength and we are

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ambitious to build on that. I fully endorse that statement. The Scottish

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Government regards trade unions as key social partners, playing an

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important role in sustaining effective democracy in society,

:15:21.:15:24.

particularly at the workplace, and sees the existence of good

:15:25.:15:28.

employment practices as a key contributor to economic

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competitiveness and social justice. While some may not share that view,

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engaging and empowering and ploys is a widely recognised factor in

:15:37.:15:42.

success. The report challenges businesses and employers, trade

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unions, members and officials, and government, to learn to adapt and to

:15:46.:15:51.

evolve. It identifies four action priorities, building capacity,

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ongoing dialogue, real partnership opportunities and a willingness to

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learn from hard work. The Scottish Government will consider the report

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and the recommendations fully, engaging directly with business and

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trade unions and prepare a formal response. We want Scotland to be an

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innovative and high productivity economy that competes in

:16:26.:16:29.

international markets and focuses with high-value goods and services.

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This will build greater opportunities for a framework to

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better utilise unique strengths and deliver a more resilient economy.

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The Scottish government would have greater access to levers to support

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the labour market. I am pleased that the review, while adopt thing a

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neutral position on the referendum, and rightly so, has endorsed a

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fairer employment framework and recommend nation... I recommend

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focusing on diversity in all its forms in the work ways and

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particularly for women and young people. I endorse the importance of

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capturing and applying evidence of what really works in all levels. The

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independent body proposed by the review to read joint work by unions,

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and government, which produce sustainability and economic growth,

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adds weight to Arlington National Convention unemployment and Labour

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relations. That was Angela Constance, and we will have more

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reaction a little later. Let us get reaction from some of today's

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stories from Holyrood. I am joined with Jackson Carlaw, and Bob Doris,

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who is deputy convener of the Health and Sport Committee. Good afternoon.

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Let us start with the issue of welfare, Jackson Carlaw, highlighted

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today by Nicola Sturgeon. She says independence could mean 100,000

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people being affected by welfare changes at Westminster not having

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their benefits cut. Do you accept that the welfare changes promoted by

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your party have led to hardship? The first thing to say is that when she

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addressed the Health and Sport Committee at the start of the

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Parliament, she said she accepted the principles of welfare reform,

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but has not accepted the changes made to them, which is all about

:18:35.:18:38.

trying to get as many people off benefits and back into work. We have

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seen a significant fall in unemployment, a record number the

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number of families where no one had worked for over ten years, this has

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fallen to magically. Getting people into jobs is the best response. Anju

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being dismissive for those people who have been affected by these

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problems? Now, but I think for her to give that impression that if she

:19:11.:19:15.

sets the principles, all the welfare reforms they have in would be

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reversed and everyone would receive greater benefits is not to tackle

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the problem or be honest, she has not said how this would be paid for.

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Today, we know that billions less money was made through the oil shows

:19:36.:19:42.

that they are making up the figures as they go along. With there be

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reform in an independent Scotland? An independent Scotland would review

:19:57.:19:59.

the tax and benefits in the normal way. I am surprised that Jackson

:20:00.:20:03.

Carlaw cannot see the difference between reforms and cuts. The

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Scottish government has given an absolute guarantee that 100,000

:20:08.:20:13.

disabled people would otherwise be ?120,000 worth of... Can you say

:20:14.:20:24.

that no one would be worse off? You have to let me develop this point

:20:25.:20:31.

because 100,000 disabled people will be ?1020 worse off you can -- every

:20:32.:20:38.

year if this goes through. Scottish Government has given absolute

:20:39.:20:41.

clarity that we will halt that process. And the minimum wage will

:20:42.:20:46.

go up by at least the cost of living, we have given guarantees

:20:47.:20:48.

that tax credits and benefits will go up. How much does all of this

:20:49.:20:56.

cost? We are currently paying for that just now as part of the UK

:20:57.:21:00.

because we pay more than our fears year. Every country runs a fiscal

:21:01.:21:09.

deficit from time to time. The UK government will be ?1.3 trillion in

:21:10.:21:14.

debt, and you do not solve it by attacking the purist in society. An

:21:15.:21:18.

independent Scotland would allow us to defend the crudest. We have to

:21:19.:21:24.

tackle not just income inequalities but the health and well-being of the

:21:25.:21:32.

people of Scotland. Ultimately the government at Westminster is trying

:21:33.:21:35.

to save money on the backs of the most vulnerable. Welfare reform is

:21:36.:21:41.

not saving money, it is going to cost more in the next few years.

:21:42.:21:45.

Nicola Sturgeon does not say that there are a number of disabled

:21:46.:21:51.

people who are going to receive more in benefit because we are targeting

:21:52.:21:54.

it to them because they are the ones in greatest need. She also doesn't

:21:55.:21:59.

say that a number of people who will lose will also receive more in

:22:00.:22:06.

employment allowances. And 242,000 Scots have been removed from paying

:22:07.:22:11.

income tax altogether, that is tackling people at the margins and

:22:12.:22:13.

ensuring people have a great standard of living. Let me ask you

:22:14.:22:24.

about the NHS, people say that if we vote -- in the event of a No vote,

:22:25.:22:29.

there will be a threat. Is the scaremongering? There is a very real

:22:30.:22:36.

threat. And act in England estimated that it will save the UK over ?1

:22:37.:22:42.

billion per year, so if that is successful, privatising the NHS, the

:22:43.:22:51.

budget Barnett cut to Scotland will be ?100 million less coming to

:22:52.:22:55.

Scotland and Leicester Scotland's NHS because of the Tory Lib Dem cuts

:22:56.:23:02.

in England. That is no way to run a Scottish budget or health service.

:23:03.:23:05.

We are investing in the health service in Scotland. It has been

:23:06.:23:11.

privatised in England, I am very alarmed by this. But the budget has

:23:12.:23:17.

gone up in recent years, and the spending choices in terms of how

:23:18.:23:22.

much money goes into the NHS in Scotland rests with John Swinney. So

:23:23.:23:26.

the budget for the NHS in Scotland could be preserved if he chose to do

:23:27.:23:34.

so. The health budget is from a thick Scottish budget we get from

:23:35.:23:39.

the UK. If UK privatisation reforms are successful, the Scottish budget

:23:40.:23:44.

will go up by ?600 million less than it otherwise would. That will have a

:23:45.:23:49.

direct financial cost. All these welfare cuts coming to Scotland, 6

:23:50.:23:55.

billion welfare cuts, the Scottish government is trying to mitigate

:23:56.:23:59.

that with it can. Today it has mitigated it to the tune of ?250

:24:00.:24:05.

million, which should have been spent on devolved Scottish concerns,

:24:06.:24:08.

but because of the incompetent UK Tory Government, we are targeting

:24:09.:24:13.

that money to help the most vulnerable in society. Something has

:24:14.:24:17.

got to get somewhere, which is why we need independence. So the changes

:24:18.:24:26.

south of the border could have a financial impact on the Scottish

:24:27.:24:30.

NHS? Two this is the most depressing point we have got to in the

:24:31.:24:35.

campaign. The Barnett formula consequential is, by the

:24:36.:24:40.

government's own admission, have generated an increase in Scottish

:24:41.:24:47.

health service spending during this Parliament of ?1.3 million. --

:24:48.:24:50.

billion pounds. It is more significant than that because if you

:24:51.:24:53.

look at the increases in health spending, there has been no

:24:54.:24:59.

additional money whatsoever from the government in Scotland's core

:25:00.:25:08.

budget. Everything has come as a result of the Barnett formula

:25:09.:25:13.

consequential 's. There is a target to receive -- achieve efficiencies,

:25:14.:25:17.

and any money that is saved and health in England has been ring

:25:18.:25:21.

fenced by David Cameron, and has been reinvested. This is an enormous

:25:22.:25:29.

scaremongering story, and today over 60% of doctors said they are going

:25:30.:25:36.

with the No vote. There are more scare stories going around with the

:25:37.:25:53.

SNP. In that poll, only a couple of hundred doctors responded, so it is

:25:54.:25:58.

not very representative. But the stories are without foundation. It

:25:59.:26:02.

is depressing. The Scottish government brought all of the

:26:03.:26:06.

parties together and said, can we take the politics out of health

:26:07.:26:10.

because we have to work together if we are going to make a success of

:26:11.:26:13.

health care in future. All of the parties agreed that... The SNP are

:26:14.:26:22.

painting the most lucid portrait can. A quick response from Bob

:26:23.:26:28.

Doris. Jackson Carlaw would say that, trying to tell us everything

:26:29.:26:31.

is OK. We know that hundreds of thousands of children pushed into

:26:32.:26:36.

poverty, hundred thousand disabled adults at knife edge of cuts, ?600

:26:37.:26:41.

million coming out of the Scottish NHS if there is a No vote, it is my

:26:42.:26:51.

duty to stand up for these and only myself can do that. O back to

:26:52.:26:55.

Holyrood, where Angela Constance is taking questions on workplace

:26:56.:27:04.

relations. That gives an opportunity that is part of the procurement

:27:05.:27:08.

process that we can consider some wider workforce issues in terms of

:27:09.:27:13.

conditions and the page, and that is very important in terms of standards

:27:14.:27:18.

of living for people struggling with the rise in cost of living, and

:27:19.:27:31.

indeed business, and I have met many progressive employers, and workplace

:27:32.:27:46.

policies, and their importance to the success of the business. Many

:27:47.:27:53.

members are seeking to ask questions, so please BP. Westminster

:27:54.:28:02.

forced the minimum wage, forcing some of the hardest pressed families

:28:03.:28:08.

to bear the burden of the mismanaged budget. Can he confirm that any

:28:09.:28:13.

future independence government of which she is a part will ensure the

:28:14.:28:17.

minimum wage always keeps pace with inflation? Yes, ensuring the minimum

:28:18.:28:27.

wage keeps pace with the cost-of-living would be a key

:28:28.:28:38.

priority of the cost-of-living, and come this October there will be

:28:39.:28:55.

150,000 people... I see fair pay as a mark of a civic society, and

:28:56.:29:02.

something we could make a lot of road race on. The Minister said

:29:03.:29:09.

Scotland's economy will only achieve its full potential when we maximise

:29:10.:29:14.

the quality and quantity of work, but Murdo Fraser is right, we could

:29:15.:29:22.

have taken a step forward with that by guaranteeing a living age. Why

:29:23.:29:29.

would the Minister and her colleagues not work together with us

:29:30.:29:33.

and the trade unions to make that happen? I do think it is unfortunate

:29:34.:29:46.

that Mr Gray has such a short memory. My recollection was that Mr

:29:47.:29:51.

Gray and trade union colleagues worked very closely together with

:29:52.:29:54.

the Government. While there was disagreement as to what was and was

:29:55.:29:59.

not possible under EU legislation, I think considerable progress was made

:30:00.:30:02.

under the procurement legislation and in the fact that the amendments

:30:03.:30:09.

proposed by the Deputy First Minister included the living wage.

:30:10.:30:13.

We do, of course, all live with the difficulty of the fact we have a

:30:14.:30:18.

national minimum wage is enforceable in law which is much lower to the

:30:19.:30:23.

living wage, which is not enforceable by law and I think there

:30:24.:30:28.

has been very clear guidance from the commission. It is a shame we

:30:29.:30:32.

cannot recognise where progress has been made. Procurement have to be

:30:33.:30:37.

used as a power of good and to improve working conditions for

:30:38.:30:41.

people to the width and breadth of this country. The debate has moved

:30:42.:30:45.

forward. We will was look to see what more we can do and the

:30:46.:30:48.

consultation which starts now is very important.

:30:49.:30:51.

Still here, political commentator Hamish Macdonell.

:30:52.:30:57.

Firstly, the NHS. It has become a hot potato regarding the

:30:58.:31:07.

independence referendum. Those on the yes side seem convinced there

:31:08.:31:10.

could be a problem with NHS funding if there is a no vote. The element I

:31:11.:31:15.

think they have a point regarding funding but are well off the point

:31:16.:31:21.

when it comes to protecting the NHS. The NHS is devolved. The Scottish

:31:22.:31:28.

health service comes under the jurisdiction of the Scottish

:31:29.:31:31.

Government. If the Scottish Government wants to keep it as a

:31:32.:31:36.

national service without private contractors, it can do it. The main

:31:37.:31:41.

issue is money but I do not see the reason to say only independents can

:31:42.:31:45.

guarantee it, it is surely up to the Scottish Government before or after

:31:46.:31:50.

independence to keep that in place. The first minister is talking about

:31:51.:31:55.

it guaranteed. He is talking about enshrining the principles of the

:31:56.:32:01.

NHS, particularly free at the point of delivery in an independent

:32:02.:32:08.

Scotland. As far as I am concerned, the constitution is there to

:32:09.:32:12.

enshrine the rights of the country. It is not there to put policy

:32:13.:32:16.

decisions in now. The first minister has already said he wants to

:32:17.:32:19.

enshrine the right to a free education, the right not to have

:32:20.:32:23.

nuclear weapons, and now he wants to enshrine the right to have a free

:32:24.:32:28.

NHS. There may be a huge majority people in Scotland who back at least

:32:29.:32:33.

on the NHS and education but it does not mean they should be written into

:32:34.:32:36.

the constitution and bind every single future government in Scotland

:32:37.:32:40.

to what are essentially policy decisions. Let's talk about welfare

:32:41.:32:52.

with Nicola Sturgeon 's comments. What we do not have so far from the

:32:53.:32:57.

Scottish Government are costings on all of this. That is very

:32:58.:33:02.

important. The points that have been brought up, it is all very well to

:33:03.:33:07.

say we will not do this and pensioners and people living on

:33:08.:33:10.

disability allowances will be better off in an independent Scotland if we

:33:11.:33:13.

do not know whether money will come from. It is no surprise, if you look

:33:14.:33:17.

at the context of this in political terms, that he we have a key

:33:18.:33:22.

demographic, a key demographic is Labour voters, particularly those in

:33:23.:33:26.

poorer areas who are seen as most liable to become yes voters come

:33:27.:33:33.

September the 18th. This is aimed at them. This is a political point to a

:33:34.:33:38.

certain extent by the Deputy First Minister to say to these people, you

:33:39.:33:42.

may be Labour voters in the past, you may be wavering, if you vote

:33:43.:33:47.

yes, we will make sure you are better off. Health, welfare and the

:33:48.:33:53.

economy are the big issues. Jackson entered new statistics on oil

:33:54.:33:57.

production. The Conservatives seem to be claiming these figures are

:33:58.:34:03.

Scottish, did not want to publish but the Scottish Government is

:34:04.:34:05.

telling us they were not published inadvertently, the statistics,

:34:06.:34:08.

regularly. It seems that figure is a drop of 1.5 billion barrels of oil,

:34:09.:34:16.

?1.5 billion in terms of oil generated in the most recent period.

:34:17.:34:20.

This will be a pretty important story, not in terms of whether the

:34:21.:34:24.

figures were put out inadvertently or not. The key point is whether or

:34:25.:34:29.

not oil revenues are up to the point the SNP government says they should

:34:30.:34:33.

be to really make Scotland thrive as an independent country. What these

:34:34.:34:37.

figures seem to be saying is that oil revenues of round about ?4

:34:38.:34:43.

billion between ?3 billion and ?4 billion less than the Scottish

:34:44.:34:45.

Government hoped they would be all would like them to be to carry

:34:46.:34:49.

Scotland forward. If there is a whole of that extent in the finances

:34:50.:34:54.

of Scotland under independence, it is going to put the Government that

:34:55.:34:58.

takes over in some kind of trouble. Oil is central to the whole argument

:34:59.:35:03.

about independence. It is so important in revenue terms to an

:35:04.:35:07.

independent Scottish economy. We will talk again before the end of

:35:08.:35:08.

the programme. More questions in the Chamber at

:35:09.:35:11.

Holyrood on workplace relations. Let's head back to Edinburgh to hear

:35:12.:35:13.

how this session is progressing. With regards to recommendation 24,

:35:14.:35:26.

and I have to apologise, I did not answer part of Murdo Fraser 's

:35:27.:35:35.

question. The recommendation 24 is that the Government should legislate

:35:36.:35:40.

to ensure there is effective worker representation from representative

:35:41.:35:42.

trade unions on the board of every public sector body. We will

:35:43.:35:47.

certainly be taking a close look at that recommendation, taking it

:35:48.:35:52.

seriously and investigating it. It chimes very clearly with aspirations

:35:53.:35:56.

and plans to increase representation of women on boards in Scotland and

:35:57.:36:00.

we have laid down our intentions and, if necessary, our ability and

:36:01.:36:12.

desire to register. The UK Government policies on welfare cuts

:36:13.:36:15.

are hitting women hardest. Does the cabinet secretary agree that by

:36:16.:36:20.

increasing the participation of women in the workplace damages in

:36:21.:36:24.

the gender pay gap that exists in some professions, Scotland could see

:36:25.:36:32.

clear economic benefits? The Joseph Rowntree foundation and those

:36:33.:36:36.

working together reviewed the report which made a very salient point

:36:37.:36:42.

about inequality. When we are discussing and debating inequality,

:36:43.:36:46.

we talk about welfare reform and tax policies. Rightly so. We must not

:36:47.:36:52.

forget to say that well rewarded, high-quality workplace is the best

:36:53.:36:56.

route out of poverty. Ken Macintosh now. Can I thank the Minister for

:36:57.:37:06.

the direction of travel she has indicated in and sustainable

:37:07.:37:14.

employment? I reserve it stands in contrast with government support

:37:15.:37:18.

which is given to union avoiding and tax avoiding companies like Amazon

:37:19.:37:26.

on. Can I ask the minister whether she will introduce progressive

:37:27.:37:34.

policies like Labour with regard to wage ratios? I look at the detail of

:37:35.:37:39.

any recommendations that Ken Macintosh wishes to forward to me. I

:37:40.:37:47.

will unite with them and see -- and agree that everyone should pay no

:37:48.:37:50.

tax. At Westminster,

:37:51.:37:54.

David Cameron is chairing a meeting of the Government's COBRA

:37:55.:37:56.

emergency committee on the crisis in Iraq after returning early

:37:57.:37:58.

from his family holiday. Let's speak to our Westminster

:37:59.:38:01.

correspondent, David Porter. Where does this pressure come from?

:38:02.:38:11.

Pressure is coming on the Prime Minister on a number of fronts.

:38:12.:38:14.

There are a number of MPs who say the scale of what is happening in

:38:15.:38:19.

Iraq and the potential loss of life under threat to life is so serious

:38:20.:38:23.

that really Britain ought to step up its aid programme and perhaps

:38:24.:38:32.

consider arming the Kurds who are taking on ISIS, now known as I S.

:38:33.:38:38.

David Cameron has made a brief statement. He says detailed plans

:38:39.:38:42.

are being made for more humanitarian aid to try to get the people of the

:38:43.:38:46.

mountain and tried to get them to places of safety. He said that

:38:47.:38:50.

Britain would be fully involved in that operation. What he did not do

:38:51.:38:54.

was give any more facts about the role that Britain would be playing.

:38:55.:38:58.

We know that there have been a number of humanitarian aid drops,

:38:59.:39:02.

three so far, from the aria. We also know as well that the number of

:39:03.:39:07.

generic helicopters are being sent to Cyprus, where they can fly to

:39:08.:39:19.

Iraq if necessary. Their role is to bring troops in, get aid in and

:39:20.:39:22.

bring troops out as well. He was asked if it was time to recall

:39:23.:39:27.

Parliament. He chose his words carefully. He said it was a

:39:28.:39:31.

humanitarian operation did not think parliament would have to be

:39:32.:39:35.

recalled. He said if the situation changed, he may change his mind.

:39:36.:39:41.

That is a developing story. Let me ask you about remarks by Mark

:39:42.:39:44.

Carney, who gave a press conference today. Is that the Bank of England

:39:45.:39:50.

had contingency plans in the event that the referendum in September

:39:51.:39:52.

raises financial stability issues. What does he mean by that? What he

:39:53.:39:57.

means by that, he made it plain that any decision on the currency and how

:39:58.:40:01.

currency would operate potentially in an independent Scotland would be

:40:02.:40:06.

for the politicians to decide. He said the Bank of England 's key role

:40:07.:40:11.

was to try and ensure there was stability in the financial markets.

:40:12.:40:15.

He went as far as to say their work contingency plans. He did not spell

:40:16.:40:21.

them out. He said he would be looking at all the options and made

:40:22.:40:25.

it plain that as far as the Bank of England are concerned that the

:40:26.:40:31.

priority is whatever the politicians and voters decided would be to try

:40:32.:40:36.

to maintain stability and certainty in financial markets. This is

:40:37.:40:40.

uncharted territory. It would be surprising if the bank did not have

:40:41.:40:45.

contingency plans. He was at pains to say any decision on currencies

:40:46.:40:49.

which would and would not be used, that would be for the politicians.

:40:50.:40:53.

He said his job would be to implement what the politicians

:40:54.:40:57.

decided that they wanted to happen. His key role and the key role of the

:40:58.:41:02.

Bank of England is to try and ensure stability and, yes, I think it would

:41:03.:41:06.

have been extraordinary if he had put it another way and said, no, we

:41:07.:41:11.

do not have any plans whatsoever. That is more likely to have spooked

:41:12.:41:17.

the financial markets. Let's have a final word with my guest. How much

:41:18.:41:21.

pressure is David Cameron under? I think he is under great pressure.

:41:22.:41:28.

Every Prime Minister in the last 25 years would have been cursing the

:41:29.:41:31.

name of Iraq. It has been a running sore for years and years and years

:41:32.:41:35.

and it has come again -- come up again. The issue behind the story is

:41:36.:41:41.

whether or not Britain takes a move to stop humanitarian aid, or

:41:42.:41:44.

continue with humanitarian aid and move to more monetary aid as well.

:41:45.:41:48.

That is where David Cameron has been very careful about the language he

:41:49.:41:53.

has used, leaving open the possibility of recording parliament

:41:54.:41:55.

if there is any suggestion of that. Quite clearly, learning lessons from

:41:56.:42:01.

the past where Parliament was not consulted as fully as it might have

:42:02.:42:05.

been on the circumstances behind the decisions that have been made. Let's

:42:06.:42:09.

talk about the oil issue. The Scottish Cup and has given more

:42:10.:42:13.

information on this. Scottish Conservatives are saying these are

:42:14.:42:17.

inadvertently revealed figures which suggest the Scottish gunmen saying

:42:18.:42:21.

they were released as planned. It made clear that record investments

:42:22.:42:24.

in the North Sea would reduce revenues in the short term and that

:42:25.:42:27.

is what we are seeing. When they talk about the investment in the

:42:28.:42:33.

industry, production increases by 14% between 2013 and 2018. When it

:42:34.:42:37.

comes to oil predictions, you pay your money and take your choice. As

:42:38.:42:44.

investment goes up, revenues go down because the tax revenues are not

:42:45.:42:47.

that and the companies are putting more money into investment. The

:42:48.:42:51.

point is that we cannot predict. You cannot project what the revenues

:42:52.:42:54.

will be like when you're to the next. It will be foolish or anyone

:42:55.:43:00.

on any side to make any judgments about how much money a Scottish

:43:01.:43:03.

Government would have, an independent Scotland, based on tax

:43:04.:43:08.

revenues which would go up wildly from year to year. People are going

:43:09.:43:14.

to continue to speculate on that one for the next few weeks. Get a Mac

:43:15.:43:17.

with a Scottish Government has got itself into a bit of a fix. -- the

:43:18.:43:25.

Scottish Government has got itself into a bit of a fix. It would not

:43:26.:43:29.

any finance and independence column that paper the old fund as well. --

:43:30.:43:34.

but pay for the old fund as well. Tonight on Reporting Scotland,

:43:35.:43:39.

the First Minister, Alex Salmond, will be in the studio

:43:40.:43:43.

for an extended interview. The Better Together leader

:43:44.:43:45.

Alistair Darling will be I'll be back

:43:46.:43:47.

at the same time next week. I'm Jo Brand and I'm serving up

:43:48.:43:51.

an Extra Slice of Bake Off action I'll shine a spotlight

:43:52.:44:34.

on all the goings-on in the tent - the good, the bad

:44:35.:44:39.

and the soggy-bottomed. And every week, I'll be joined by

:44:40.:44:41.

the latest baker to leave the tent. Hi, I'm Richard Osman

:44:42.:44:50.

and why not join me

:44:51.:44:52.

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