26/11/2013 Politics Scotland


26/11/2013

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Good afternoon. Welcome to a special edition of Politics Scotland. Well,

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it all happened here this morning, at the Science Centre in Glasgow.

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Scotland's future was launched. The white paper on independence was hot

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off the printing press. All 670 pages of it. 650 questions were

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answered. The First Minister, Alex Salmond, says Scotland's future is

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now in Scotland's hands. It won't be decided by me. It won't be decided

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by our opponents. It won't be decided by the media. It will be

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decided by the people. Scotland's future is now in Scotland's hands.

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The Scottish ministers and yes Scotland team are over to Edinburgh.

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We will have full coverage of the statement in Parliament a questions

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too. Glenn Campbell is in the capital. Over to you.

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Here we are on a wet Tuesday afternoon, just ahead of that

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statement to Parliament from the deputy First Minister, Nicola

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Sturgeon, who has been in charge of preparing the white paper on

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Scotland's future. Your guide to an independent Scotland is how it's

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framed. Actually the online version you can search to get answers to the

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questions that you may have. Alex Salmond reckons this is the most

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comprehensive prospeck Tuesday for an independent -- prospectus for an

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independent country. Critics for his proposals for Scotland to leave the

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United Kingdom say it is full of risk and uncertainty. One man who

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has scanned it cover to cover, not saying he's read every word yet,

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Professor John Curtis, Professor of politics at Strathclyde University.

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Much that may seem familiar, other aspects that are less familiar. For

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you, what are the headlines? I think the first headline is that indeed it

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is extraordinarily familiar. Perhaps in particular on that central issue

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of the economy, the issue on which most voters seem are going to decide

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whether to vote yes or no, this document doesn't come up with

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anything very new. At the end of the day, the argument that an

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independent Scotland will be a prosperous Scotland lies on the

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belief that because she'll be making her own decisions, she'll be more

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likely to make the right decisions for her economy and would be more

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prosperous. That's the argument. What's very interesting,

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economically, is that although this document says that Scotland's public

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finances in 2016, the first year of independence, would be relatively

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healthy, as compared with those of the rest of the UK, but at the same

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time, would still be in deaf us -- deficit, it says what you will not

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find in this document is virtually anything in the way of a suggestion

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that an independent Scotland is going to provide much in the way of

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tax cuts or public spending increases. There's a promise on

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child care, but beyond that, for personal individuals, at least, it's

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not obvious how the taxation and spending system would make much much

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difference. What extent is this document a blueprint for an

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independent country and to what extent is it a negotiating position

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from the SNP? Much of this quite clearly is a negotiating position.

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It begins with the currency, where again, as we've long known, the SNP

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wish Scotland to use the pound as part of a monetary union with the

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rest of the UK. The document repeats the argument as to why that should

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happen. They think it's in England's interest. We know the UK Government

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and the Labour Party in Westminster are very reluctant. We learned that

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the public service broadcaster in Scotland would still have a close

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relationship with the BBC. But that, again, is something that would

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require agreement with the UK Government. We learn equally, for

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example, on university funding, we are still going to be apparently

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part of the same system of UK-wide research councils. That requires

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agreement with the UK. There are other examples. The truth is, this

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is a document which lays out what Scotland would like to do as an

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independent country, but much rests on decisions with Europe or the UK.

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The big decision to decide this is the referendum next year. The SNP

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Government allows 18 months for negotiations with the rest of the UK

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and international organisations, but in this document, also, another a

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policy promises, if the SNP became the Government of an independent

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Scotland. How should we disentangle those promises from the structure of

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the new country? The first thing one has to realise is the first that

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would happen is that there would be an election in 2016, May 2016, as is

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currently scheduled. Maybe the SNP would win that election, maybe

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they'd get an overall majority again, but maybe not. There's no

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guarantee that the SNP would necessarily inherit the earth even

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if they delivered it. Thank you very much. As we wait for the deputy

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First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon, to address the Parliament, let's

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reflect on some of the remarks that she and her boss, the First

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Minister, Alex Salmond, made at the launch of the white paper on

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independence in Glasgow this morning.

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Good morning, ladies and gentleman. This white paper is the most

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detailed blueprint that any people have ever been offered anywhere in

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the world as a basis for becoming an independent country. It puts beyond

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doubt that an independent Scotland would start from a position of

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strength. In fact, we become independent in more promising

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circumstances than any other nature in history. That reflects our

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underlying strengths, an independent Scotland could have the eighth

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highest economic output and the 10th highest per national income per head

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of population in the developed world. We have contributed more in

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taxes per person for the -- than the rest of the UK for the every single

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one of the last 32 years. It reflects our vast Poe ten shall as a

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country. We -- potential as a country. We have astounding cultural

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heritage, natural resources and a skilled and exciting people. We need

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to seize opportunities to build a fairer nation, but also to face our

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major challenges. Because we will also have to tackle a legacy of

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debt, of low growth, of social inequality, bequeathed to us by

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Westminster's control of our economy. The white paper sets out in

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detail how Scotland would become independent. It explains the choices

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that independence gives us. It addresses 650 reasonable questions

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which we've been asked, real people asking real questions, but

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ultimately, at the heart of this debate, there's only one question or

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one choice: Do we, the people who live and work in Scotland, believe

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that we are the best people to take the big decisions about our future?

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That question will be the subject for an impassion and, I hope, a

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positive debate between now and next September. I want people to consider

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the issues, to put forward opinions, to reach conclusions together,

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because that's the most important thing about this referendum. It

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won't decided by me. It won't be decided by our opponents. It won't

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be decided by the media. It will be decided by the people. Scotland's

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future is now in Scotland's hands. Scotland's future is a

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forward-looking, ambitious, and aspirational guide to the

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opportunities and benefits of independence. It is built on the

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simple, but powerful belief that decisions about Scotland should be

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taken in Scotland by the people who live and work here. It sets out the

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economic, social and democratic case for independence. It explains how,

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as a nation, we can make the journey from a yes vote in the referendum

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next September to taking our place as an independent member of the

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family of nations on the 24th March, 2016. Independence is not just an

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end in itself. It is the means to building a wealthier and fairer

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Scotland. That's why Scotland's future illustrates, through a series

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of policy choices, that this Scottish Government would make, how

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we can grow our economy faster and make our society fairer. At its

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heart is a proposal to transform child care, to give children the

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best start in life and support more women to enter the work place. This

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is a policy that will have a positive impact on the life chances

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of children and parents alike, create jobs and grow our economy. We

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would also call a halt to damaging Westminster policies that are

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pushing so many people into poverty, abollish the bedroom tax and ensure

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the incomes of the lowest paid keeps track with the cost of living. We

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will make sure our pensions are there with the triple lock. We will

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ensure that our country has strong defences but that Trident nuclear

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weapons are removed as soon as is safe live possible. Our message to

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the people of Scotland is this: Take the opportunity to read Scotland's

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future, compare it with the relentless negativity of the other

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side of this debate and make up your own mind. As of today, Scotland's

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future really is in Scotland's hands.

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The deputy First Minister at the launch this morning. You probably

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saw from those pictures there were plenty of journalists from home and

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abroad in attendance at that event. Although some of those based at

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Westminster wondered if Alex Salmond had already declared independence

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when they were issued with not domestic media passes but

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international media passes. Alex Salmond joked, in effect, that he

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could see into the future, beyond the referendum. Of course, at this

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stage, yes tends to trail no in most opinion polls. Lots are undecided in

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their voting intentions. The First Minister hopes that the waverers can

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be decided. It addresses border control, currency and child care

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going back to this morning's event, one journalist asked the First

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Minister if it was incompatible to want to have more inward migration

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to Scotland and no formal border controls. No. I think if you examine

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the document, we examine the difference of being, for example,

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Irish immigration policy compared to UK immigration policy. We have

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common travel between the United Kingdom and the Irish Republic. But

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we argue to the green card system, similar to the system the Irish

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Republic have per sued. I think there is a difference in attitude in

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serms of -- terms of the importance, firstly, of providing the

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opportunity for skilled young firstly, of providing the

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to work -- Scots to work in our country if they choose to do so.

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Freedom of movement is one of the great assets of the modern world.

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People should have the opportunity to deploy their skills in their own

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country if that's what they wish. Secondly, we don't have this

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negative view of the importance of skilled young people, many of whom

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we have educated in Scotland, some of the 30,000 international students

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that we educate, if they wish to come and work and contribute to the

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Scottish economy. That would be an extremely positive thing. We want to

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break the cycle, which other-wise awaits us of low growth, low

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population growth. We want to break that and break it decisively and we

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set forward policies which will enable us to do that.

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REPORTER: Isn't it the case if there was a governance arrangement with

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the Bank of England, Scotland still wouldn't get the interest rates that

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suit it, because it would be out voted in that arrangement? Well, one

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of the arguments that you probably saw in the firstical commission

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paper -- fiscal commission paper, our paper is based on the work of

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the commission, which put forward that the reasons why sterling area

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would work in the best interests of Scotland and the UK. I've talked

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about trade relationships, but one of the arguments is that Scottish

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productist is -- productivity is identical to the UK anding. --

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average. Our employment is higher than the UK average. Our labour

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dissipation is higher than the UK average. These things haven't always

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been the case in Scotland, but we've established them over the last few

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years. Therefore the monetary policy, over an area where

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productivity is identical is one of the arguments contained in the

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fiscal commission Working Group. REPORTER: One of the eye-catching

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policies is a commitment to free child care for all preschool

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children, over 1100 hours virtually every child in Scotland would get

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free child care, would transform Scotland you say. Do you need

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independence to deliver that? Can't it just be done through the Scottish

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Parliament and how much would it cost? The whole point of

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transformation of child care is not just to make sure that we're giving

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children the best start in life, but as I indicated in my opening remarks

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to ensure that we support women into the work place. Our female

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participation rate in the work place is higher than the UK as a whole,

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but lower than many comparable European countries. So women

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generate tax revenues and grow the economy. Welcome back to the studio.

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That was Nicola Sturgeon speaking at the press conference a short while

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ago. Now she's making her statement in Parliament. The independence of a

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country that has ever been published. The Government promised

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the people of Scotland and indeed this parliament detailed proposals

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for independence, the opportunities of independence, the benefits for

:15:16.:15:18.

individuals and communities and our nation and the practicalities of how

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we move from a yes vote in September next year to becoming an independent

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country in March 2016. Scotland's future provides all of this detail

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and more. I realise that members will need time to read and digest

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the contents of this landmark document. The Government has

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therefore made time for a full debate tomorrow afternoon and I am

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sure that there will be many opportunities to discuss and debate

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the detail of it, both here in parliament and across the country in

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the months leading up to the referendum. Today I want to set out

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the key themes of Scotland's future and provide information on how the

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Government intends to raise awareness of it and ensure that the

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public knows how to access the guide and the detailed information that it

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contains. As members will be aware, the guide is in five parts. Part one

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gives an overview of the compelling case for independence and describes

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what our newly independent Scotland will look like. Part two sets out

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the financial strengths of our country, forecasts Scotland's fiscal

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position at the point of independence and makes clear how

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this Government, if elected in 2016 to be the first Government of an

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independent Scotland would deliver our priorities within sound public

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finances. Part three details the benefits and opportunities of

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independence across the entire range of Government responsibilities that

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will transfer from Westminster to the Scottish parliament in the event

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of a yes vote and illustrates through a set of Scottish Government

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policy choices how we can start to use the new powers of independence

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to grow our economy and tackle the inequality that is so unacceptable

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in a rich country. Part four describes how we will become

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independent, the negotiations, agreements and preparations that

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will be required in the transition period between a yes vote next year

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and independence day on 24th March 2016. It also considers the

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opportunity independence will give us to develop a modern written

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constitution fit for the 21st century. Part five provides a

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comprehensive set of answers, 650 in all, to the range of questions that

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we have been asked about the benefits and practicalities of

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independence. I will talk about the contents of each of these parts in

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more detail. The case for independence that is set out in part

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one rests on three key pillars, democracy, prosperity and social

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justice. The Scottish Government wants Scotland to become an

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independent country because we believe that decisions about

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Scotland should be taken by the people who care most about the

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future of Scotland, those of us who live and work here. It is better and

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right that decisions are made here in our democratically elected

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parliament and not by Westminster governments that are very often in

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Government despite having lost the election in Scotland. That is the

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democratic case for independence. We want Scotland to become independent

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because we believe that access to our own vast resources and the

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ability to take decisions that will grow our economy faster are

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essential to put our economy and our public finances on a strong and

:18:31.:18:34.

sustainable footing and ensure that our country can reach its full

:18:35.:18:40.

potential. That is the economic case for independence. We want Scotland

:18:41.:18:45.

to become independent because we believe that being part of one of

:18:46.:18:49.

the most unequal countries in the developed world is simply not

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acceptable. And that with independence we can choose to do

:18:55.:18:57.

things differently. We can ensure that our children get the best

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possible start in life and that we have public services to be proud of.

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We can ensure that the incomes of the lowest paid keep pace with the

:19:06.:19:08.

cost of living and we can design a system of social protection that

:19:09.:19:13.

invests in the potential of people, one that supports people into work

:19:14.:19:17.

but provides a decent safety net for those who can't. That is the social

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justice case for independence. Part one of Scotland's Future also sets

:19:25.:19:28.

out some of the real consequences for Scotland if there is a no vote

:19:29.:19:33.

in the referendum. The fact is there will be no guarantee whatsoever of

:19:34.:19:37.

any more powers for our parliament, there will be a real threat to

:19:38.:19:41.

Scotland's budget from the review of the Barnet formula that senior

:19:42.:19:45.

politicians in all UK parties now seem to favour and there will be a

:19:46.:19:50.

real and present risk that Scotland could be taken out of the European

:19:51.:19:54.

Union against our will. These are the real consequences of voting no

:19:55.:19:59.

in the referendum next year. Part two of this document on our national

:20:00.:20:05.

finances demonstrates that we are a wealthy and productive country, with

:20:06.:20:08.

independence we would be the 8th richest country in the OECD in terms

:20:09.:20:13.

of output per head of population and the 10th richest country in terms of

:20:14.:20:19.

income per head. We more than pay our way, for every one of the last

:20:20.:20:22.

30 years whether oil prices have been high or oil prices have been

:20:23.:20:26.

low, estimates show that we have generated more tax per head than the

:20:27.:20:32.

UK as a whole. Our financial foundations are solid, even with a

:20:33.:20:37.

population share of UK debt, our debt to GDP ratio is projected to

:20:38.:20:43.

belower than the UK's. Our starting point is a strong one. But the

:20:44.:20:48.

starting point is just that, a starting point. The benefit, the

:20:49.:20:53.

real benefit of independence is the ability it gives us to shape our own

:20:54.:21:00.

future. Beyond 2016 our future prosperity will depend on the

:21:01.:21:04.

decisions we make as a nation and that is the whole point of

:21:05.:21:08.

independence. We will have a chance to make different and better

:21:09.:21:12.

decisions for Scotland. We will not simply continue with the same old

:21:13.:21:15.

Westminster policies that have failed us in the past and will fail

:21:16.:21:20.

us again in the future. Instead we can take the action that is needed

:21:21.:21:25.

to grow our economy and ensure that we have a growing healthy and

:21:26.:21:33.

skilled population. Part three sets out exactly how we can start to do

:21:34.:21:38.

this. It provides a comprehensive analysis of the benefits that

:21:39.:21:42.

independence will bring across the entire range of policy areas and

:21:43.:21:46.

sets out just some of the ways in which this Government would use the

:21:47.:21:50.

new powers of independence, I will highlight here just a few. Firstly,

:21:51.:21:56.

with control of our own resources we could embark on a transformational

:21:57.:22:01.

expansion of child care. It is our aim that all children from age one

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to when they enter school will have access... Order. To a guaranteed 30

:22:08.:22:13.

hours of child care per week for 38 weeks of the year. The same number

:22:14.:22:16.

of hours as children spend at primary school. By the end of the

:22:17.:22:19.

first term we intend to have delivered this policy for all three

:22:20.:22:23.

and four-year-olds and vulnerable two-year-olds. This policy will

:22:24.:22:26.

provide our children with the best start in life. It will enable many

:22:27.:22:31.

more women to join the workforce to fulfil their potential, provide for

:22:32.:22:35.

their families and contribute tax revenues to our economy.

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APPLAUSE It will create 35,000 new jobs.

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Independence allows us to ensure that the economic benefits from

:22:48.:22:51.

increased growth and, therefore, increased tax revenues, will stay in

:22:52.:22:55.

Scotland, rather than flow straight to the Westminster treasuary. That

:22:56.:23:01.

is why we need independence to successfully deliver this

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ground-breaking policy. APPLAUSE

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Secondly, we would call a halt to the damaging Westminster policies

:23:12.:23:15.

that are pushing so many people into poverty. We would abolish the

:23:16.:23:21.

bedroom tax within a year of the first election, to the first

:23:22.:23:24.

independent parliament. We would choose not to proceed with the

:23:25.:23:29.

rollout of universal credit and personal independence payments.

:23:30.:23:32.

These programmes are mired in controversy and delay and they will

:23:33.:23:37.

cause misery to some of our most vulnerable citizens. Independence

:23:38.:23:40.

will give us the chance informed by the ongoing work of our expert group

:23:41.:23:45.

on welfare to build a fair and efficient social protection system

:23:46.:23:50.

that is fit for purpose. Thirdly, because we know that a fair society

:23:51.:23:54.

needs a strong economy, we will ensure that our business taxes are

:23:55.:23:58.

competitive and support growth. We will do this as part of an

:23:59.:24:03.

industrial and economic policy to grow our economy, boost jobs and

:24:04.:24:06.

increase participation in the workforce. This paper contains many

:24:07.:24:12.

other detailed proposals for an independent Scotland. The advantages

:24:13.:24:16.

for farmers and fishing communities, for broadcasting, for a transport

:24:17.:24:20.

connection and our universities. It sets out exactly how we will effect

:24:21.:24:23.

the transition from being a member of the EU as part of the UK, to

:24:24.:24:27.

being a fully independent member with a seat at the top table and the

:24:28.:24:32.

ability to protect our vital national interests. It sets out how

:24:33.:24:36.

the governance of our nation would be underpinned by a written

:24:37.:24:40.

constitution to protect our freedom and our rights. It describes in

:24:41.:24:44.

detail the arrangements we will put in place to secure and defend our

:24:45.:24:49.

nation. It sets out our clear aim that during the first parliamentary

:24:50.:24:54.

term of an independent Scotland nuclear weapons of mass destruction

:24:55.:24:58.

will be removed from our country once and for all.

:24:59.:25:04.

APPLAUSE These are just some of the benefits

:25:05.:25:08.

of Scotland becoming an independent country. Part four sets out how we

:25:09.:25:13.

will make the transition from a yes vote in the referendum to becoming

:25:14.:25:18.

that independent country in March 2016. It describes the preparations

:25:19.:25:22.

and the legal processes that will be required and the range of

:25:23.:25:25.

negotiations that we will have with Westminster, the European Union, and

:25:26.:25:30.

other international partners. These negotiations will include

:25:31.:25:34.

arrangements for the equitable division of assets and liabilities,

:25:35.:25:37.

the delivery of public services across Scotland and the rest of the

:25:38.:25:41.

UK and our continued membership of the EU and other international

:25:42.:25:47.

organisations. On all of these we set out reasonable, rationale and

:25:48.:25:51.

common sense proposals that are in the interests of Scotland and in the

:25:52.:25:56.

interests of the rest of the UK. Finally, part five answers the range

:25:57.:26:02.

of questions that have been asked of us in recent months. This ex-tensive

:26:03.:26:08.

and detailed Q and A which is searchable online will be a valuable

:26:09.:26:12.

resource for everyone in Scotland, indeed for everyone in this Scottish

:26:13.:26:17.

parliament. This guide to independence is intended for the

:26:18.:26:20.

public. We want as many people as possible to read it. Let me turn now

:26:21.:26:25.

to what we will do to ensure that everyone in Scotland has the

:26:26.:26:29.

opportunity to read it. This guide has an initial print run of 20,000

:26:30.:26:33.

copies but it will be made available to everyone who requests a copy. It

:26:34.:26:37.

has been designed to be as accessible and reader friendly as

:26:38.:26:41.

possible. A summary document is also available in print and online. A

:26:42.:26:45.

fully searchable document is available at WWW. Scotreferendum.com

:26:46.:26:51.

and reference copies will be available in local libraries. An

:26:52.:26:58.

e-book copy is available on website and from Itunes store and Amazon.

:26:59.:27:07.

You can request a copy by e-mailing or they can phone 03000121809.

:27:08.:27:16.

Copies for individuals in the UK will be free while bulk and overseas

:27:17.:27:22.

order will attract a charge of ?10 plus posting and packaging. Public

:27:23.:27:25.

information campaigns will be launched this week using radio,

:27:26.:27:30.

press and outdoor advertising and an information postcode will be sent to

:27:31.:27:34.

every household advising people how they can access the guide. The total

:27:35.:27:38.

cost of the public information campaign will be ?450,000. A final

:27:39.:27:43.

figure for the printing of the document will not be available until

:27:44.:27:46.

we know what the final demand for hard copies turns out to be but I

:27:47.:27:50.

will of course update parliament further on that in due course. In

:27:51.:27:55.

the 1997 devolution referendum alongside publication of the White

:27:56.:27:59.

Paper a leaflet was posted to every house and a promotional video

:28:00.:28:00.

produced by the then Scottish Office. There is lfr a precedent.

:28:01.:28:14.

Presiding Officer, we face a historic year in Scotland. Two key

:28:15.:28:20.

dates are now firmly established, the 18th September 2014 when we

:28:21.:28:27.

choose our future and the 24th March 2016 when we will, I believe, become

:28:28.:28:32.

an independent country. I believe that with this comprehensive set of

:28:33.:28:37.

answers about the practicalities of independence and detailed proposals

:28:38.:28:40.

on the benefits of independence Scotland's future will now be the

:28:41.:28:44.

document that drives this debate. It sets out the vision and the detailed

:28:45.:28:50.

plan. There is simply no equivalent on the no side. With Scotland's

:28:51.:28:54.

Prour providing positive case for a yes vote the absence of detail and

:28:55.:28:58.

vision from the no side will no longer be enough. Today's

:28:59.:29:06.

publication changes the dynamic of this debate. The challenge is now

:29:07.:29:10.

for those who oppose independence to move beyond project fear and give us

:29:11.:29:14.

their vision for Scotland's future and to answer the important

:29:15.:29:17.

questions about what happens to Scotland if we don't vote yes.

:29:18.:29:21.

Presiding Officer, our message to the people of Scotland is this, take

:29:22.:29:26.

the opportunity to read Scotland's Future. Consider the positive

:29:27.:29:29.

opportunities that independence offers our country. Compare and

:29:30.:29:33.

contrast it with the relentless negativity of the other side and

:29:34.:29:39.

make up your own mind. As of today, Scotland's Future really is in

:29:40.:29:44.

Scotland's hands. APPLAUSE

:29:45.:29:49.

The Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon speaking live there, laying

:29:50.:29:54.

out her case for independence, speaking to the Scotland's Future

:29:55.:30:00.

document. She will now take questions from the other members

:30:01.:30:05.

just now. There were three key pillars, how to make Scotland more

:30:06.:30:09.

democratic, a more prosperous country and how to make it a fairer

:30:10.:30:13.

society. She said there was a whole point about different and better

:30:14.:30:18.

decisions for Scotland. The Labour leader is now on her feet. What we

:30:19.:30:25.

have today doesn't mark the end of the United Kingdom, but perhaps it

:30:26.:30:28.

marks the beginning of the end of the yes campaign.

:30:29.:30:42.

670 pages, yes, but 670 pages of assertion, uncertainty amplified the

:30:43.:30:47.

statement from the Deputy First Minister which was a full exercise

:30:48.:30:51.

in assertion without evidence. So still no guarantee on the currency.

:30:52.:30:58.

The much vaunted legal opinion on our EU membership noticeable only by

:30:59.:31:03.

its absence. And the headline offer - another promise on child care

:31:04.:31:08.

which the Scottish Government could deliver now, but refuses to do so.

:31:09.:31:16.

Children denied the chance of proper care until their parents vote the

:31:17.:31:23.

way the SNP wants them to. How cynical is that? Beyond today's

:31:24.:31:30.

events, the fundamental questions remain unanswered. Does the Deputy

:31:31.:31:35.

First Minister not accept that she cannot guarantee Scots what currency

:31:36.:31:39.

they would have for their wages, their mortgages, their pensions and

:31:40.:31:45.

savings. She cannot guarantee because her plan to reply on the

:31:46.:31:49.

goodwill of the rest of the United Kingdom, the same people... Order.

:31:50.:31:57.

It requires her to rely on the goodwill of the rest of the United

:31:58.:32:00.

Kingdom, the same people she claims are doing us down and it's why we

:32:01.:32:05.

need to leave the United Kingdom in the first place. But of course, the

:32:06.:32:10.

Deputy First Minister says if Scotland isn't allowed to keep the

:32:11.:32:15.

pound, we shall simply default on our debts. The reality is this: The

:32:16.:32:21.

SNP are asking for a divorce but they want to keep the joint bank

:32:22.:32:33.

account. So, is Plan B simply to do a runner? Order.

:32:34.:32:38.

APPLAUSE Order. It's good to know on this

:32:39.:32:46.

important day for Scotland, Joanne Lamont is her usual, cheery self.

:32:47.:32:52.

LAUGHTER Order. One thing that is certain...

:32:53.:32:58.

Order. Whenever she gets the opportunity she manages to strike

:32:59.:33:04.

entirely the wrong tone and note. It doesn't surprise me, it really

:33:05.:33:09.

doesn't surprise me to hear Joanne Lamont's questions. I could have

:33:10.:33:11.

written that script at any time over the past few weeks. There was an

:33:12.:33:17.

article in the Spectator magazine a couple of weeks ago Order. Saying

:33:18.:33:23.

they had seen the no side's rebuttal to the white paper before it was

:33:24.:33:27.

published.. Know what the no side will say. It's hardly a surprise,

:33:28.:33:32.

you're trying to persuade people to vote no. Let me take the two issues

:33:33.:33:37.

she raised. On the European Union, we set out a clear, reasonable and

:33:38.:33:41.

rational position fully consistent with the legal advice that shows how

:33:42.:33:45.

Scotland will make the transition to being a member of the EU as part of

:33:46.:33:49.

the UK to being an independent member of the EU, able to properly

:33:50.:33:53.

represent our national interests. You know something, the only risk

:33:54.:33:57.

that exists right now to Scotland's membership of the European Union is

:33:58.:34:04.

the in-out referendum offered by David Cameron, that risks taking us

:34:05.:34:07.

out of the European Union against our will. On currency, let me make

:34:08.:34:11.

it clear to Joanne Lamont in case she missed it, Scotland will

:34:12.:34:15.

continue to use the pound. That pound is as much ours as it is the

:34:16.:34:19.

rest of the UK's. That position is not just put forward as a reasonable

:34:20.:34:23.

and rational position in the interests of Scotland, it is put

:34:24.:34:26.

forward because it is a reasonable and rational position in the

:34:27.:34:30.

interests of the rest of the UK as well. For three reasons: Firstly,

:34:31.:34:34.

our trading relationship. Scotland is the rest of the UK's second

:34:35.:34:40.

biggest export market. They export 60 billion of goods into Scotland.

:34:41.:34:43.

It would make no sense for a Westminster Government to force its

:34:44.:34:46.

own businesses into a different currency. Secondly, our massive

:34:47.:34:51.

contribution to the UK's balance of payments. If we take our 40 billion

:34:52.:34:56.

of oil and gas exports out of the UK's balance of payments, it leaves

:34:57.:35:00.

rather a big hole that would be extremely damaging to a sterling

:35:01.:35:06.

currency. Thirdly, the point that she alluded to, I'm not making

:35:07.:35:09.

threats, I leave that to the other side of this campaign, I'm simply

:35:10.:35:14.

making the point that any sensible negotiation, we talk about assets

:35:15.:35:17.

and liabilities. I think Scotland should take a fair share of

:35:18.:35:21.

liabilities of the UK, but I also think we should get a fair share of

:35:22.:35:25.

assets and you don't have one without the other.

:35:26.:35:32.

APPLAUSE Ruth Davidson. Thank you. The people

:35:33.:35:36.

of Scotland have been waiting a long time to get answers on what

:35:37.:35:39.

independence might look like. I think people right across the

:35:40.:35:42.

country will have looked at the launch of this white paper today and

:35:43.:35:47.

have thought - is this it? Is this why we should break apart a United

:35:48.:35:51.

Kingdom that Scotland has spent 300 years helping to build? Is this why

:35:52.:35:57.

we should sacrifice one half of our shared nationhood, hour dual

:35:58.:36:01.

identity? Is this why we should walk away? The truth is there was very

:36:02.:36:04.

little new that we haven't heard before. Little except that pledge on

:36:05.:36:12.

child care. Now for six years, the deputy First Minister has sat in a

:36:13.:36:15.

Scottish Government with full powers over child care. For six years the

:36:16.:36:20.

Scottish Conservatives, the Labour Party and the Liberal Democrats have

:36:21.:36:24.

been urging her Government to give more people with child care to

:36:25.:36:30.

Scottish families. Now, suddenly, after six years, we get this

:36:31.:36:35.

promise. It was illuminating that when the deputy First Minister was

:36:36.:36:39.

asked this morning why, in six years, she had not helped families

:36:40.:36:43.

in this way, when she had the powers to do so? She answered that she

:36:44.:36:46.

hadn't helped, when she could, because the tax receipts of women

:36:47.:36:50.

going back to work would have gone to the UK Treasury. Now, if the

:36:51.:36:58.

Deputy First Minister wants to prove that this pledge isn't retail

:36:59.:37:02.

politics, it isn't jotted down on the back of a fag packet, can she

:37:03.:37:06.

tell us how much the policy would cost, how much per year - 1,140

:37:07.:37:15.

hours of child care for ages one to school will cost? And why is the

:37:16.:37:20.

costing no the in the document? Can I say firstly, I would be happy to

:37:21.:37:24.

allow the people of Scotland to judge this document. That's why we

:37:25.:37:30.

are taking great pains to make sure everybody has copy. -- has access to

:37:31.:37:36.

a copy. The question for the other side of the debate is where is your

:37:37.:37:40.

equivalent. We have the case for independence. Where is the case for

:37:41.:37:43.

the no proposition. On the specific issue of child care, I mean, I think

:37:44.:37:47.

it's interesting that Ruth Davidson comes to this chamber and completely

:37:48.:37:52.

distorts a quote that I gave on the radio this morning. We will put that

:37:53.:37:56.

to one side. The fact is this Government has been increasing child

:37:57.:37:59.

care provision all through the time we have been in Government and we're

:38:00.:38:02.

continuing to do it right now. But if we want to make not just

:38:03.:38:07.

incremental increases but a transformational change in the

:38:08.:38:12.

provision of child care we need to access the increased revenues that

:38:13.:38:16.

flow from that policy. If we able, just as if an example, to bring --

:38:17.:38:24.

as an example, to bring female participation in the workforce to,

:38:25.:38:29.

say, Sweden, we would have increased tax revenue to the tune of ?700

:38:30.:38:33.

million every year. That revenue funds that policy. That's the reason

:38:34.:38:40.

you need independence to do this. If Ruth Davidson had been watching the

:38:41.:38:43.

live stream of the launch this morning, she'd have heard me give

:38:44.:38:46.

the answers to the question about costing, part two of this document

:38:47.:38:50.

sets out how we will deliver priorities within sound public

:38:51.:38:54.

finances. ?100 million within the first budget for phase one. ?600

:38:55.:38:59.

million by the time we get to the end of the first Parliament. By

:39:00.:39:02.

then, we see increased revenues from having more women able to

:39:03.:39:04.

participate in the workforce. It's the kind of ambitious,

:39:05.:39:08.

transformational, life-changing policy that independence gives us

:39:09.:39:12.

the ability to do. If the opposition would raise their sights and

:39:13.:39:16.

ambition, they might find it within themselves to support it.

:39:17.:39:22.

APPLAUSE Order. Can I advise members that I

:39:23.:39:27.

have 20 members who wish to ask a question. It is unlikely I'm going

:39:28.:39:31.

to get through everybody. But if the questions are brief and the answers

:39:32.:39:35.

are brief, then we might make considerable progress. Can I remind

:39:36.:39:38.

members, we are having a debate tomorrow, so can you keep the

:39:39.:39:42.

questions as questions and answers as brief as possible. Thank you. The

:39:43.:39:51.

thing that excites me most about independence is the opportunities to

:39:52.:39:56.

make transformational changes to our society and economy. That's why I

:39:57.:40:02.

welcome so much the comment in regards to child care in Scotland's

:40:03.:40:07.

future. Can the Deputy First Minister provide detail how with

:40:08.:40:11.

independence we can transform child care for Scotland and explain to the

:40:12.:40:16.

doom sayers how this policy will not only help Scottish families, but

:40:17.:40:20.

help the Scottish economy and create jobs to boot.

:40:21.:40:28.

Bruce asks an excellent question... LAUGHTER

:40:29.:40:32.

He highlights exactly what people out there want to hear and want to

:40:33.:40:36.

know. They want to know what the benefits of independence are to

:40:37.:40:41.

them, to their families, to their communities. This child care

:40:42.:40:46.

proposal is one that would benefit families the length and breadth of

:40:47.:40:50.

this country. It would give our youngest people, our children, the

:40:51.:40:53.

best start in life. It would give parents, in particular women, the

:40:54.:40:57.

opportunities that many of them are priced out of just now because of

:40:58.:41:01.

the prohibitive costs of child care, the opportunity to participate in

:41:02.:41:05.

the workforce. It would grow the economy and increase revenues as

:41:06.:41:11.

well, allowing us to make that policy affordable and sustainable.

:41:12.:41:15.

Into the bargain, the fact of delivering this kind of

:41:16.:41:19.

transformational policy would create 35,000 new jobs, the people needed

:41:20.:41:23.

to look after the children. This is the kind of ambitious policy that I

:41:24.:41:27.

believe will galvanise this campaign and be at the heart of the deaf bait

:41:28.:41:32.

as we move forward -- of the debate, as we move to the referendum. Does

:41:33.:41:43.

the Deputy First Minister accept that the people of England, Wales

:41:44.:41:46.

and Northern Ireland have a right to say no to a eurozone-style currency

:41:47.:41:52.

union, and is she hearing the many voices from England, Wales and

:41:53.:41:55.

Northern Ireland who are saying it is seriously unlikely? No, I

:41:56.:42:00.

actually hear no politicians say that because they are in a campaign

:42:01.:42:04.

trying to persuade people to vote no, so it hardly comes as a

:42:05.:42:09.

surprise. Can I say to Drew, we are not talking about a eurozone-style

:42:10.:42:13.

shared currency. Scotland an the rest of the UK has been described by

:42:14.:42:18.

a range of eminent experts as an optimal currency zone, unlike the

:42:19.:42:23.

eurozone, where the richest parts are Germany and the poorest parts of

:42:24.:42:27.

Greece are coexisting within a currency. The reason why I believe

:42:28.:42:32.

it's the right policy are not just because it's in the be interests of

:42:33.:42:36.

Scotland, but because it's in the best interests of people in the

:42:37.:42:39.

other parts of the UK. Perhaps those on the other side of the argument

:42:40.:42:42.

would care to take the time to explain why on earth a Westminster

:42:43.:42:46.

Government would want to see to its own businesses that export into

:42:47.:42:50.

Scotland, no, no, Scotland wants to stay in our currency with you, but

:42:51.:42:54.

we're going to force you into the transaction costs and lost jobs that

:42:55.:42:58.

would come from having a separate currency. Why would the Westminster

:42:59.:43:01.

Government want to take out of balance of payments the ?40 billion

:43:02.:43:05.

that flow from oil and gas exports. This is a common sense, rational,

:43:06.:43:09.

reasonable proposition. That's perhaps why the 'No' campaign don't

:43:10.:43:10.

recognise it. I found it difficult to hear there.

:43:11.:43:25.

As we know, UK Civil Service jobs continue to be cut by Westminster in

:43:26.:43:30.

contrast to Scottish Government policy of no compulsory

:43:31.:43:35.

redundancies. This affects the east kill bride constituency, may I ask

:43:36.:43:39.

what Scotland's future says about improving job security? Can I refer

:43:40.:43:49.

you to two parts of the white paper, page 365 and part four of the white

:43:50.:43:52.

paper which details some of the workforce issues in terms of the

:43:53.:43:56.

transfer of Civil Service and public service employees from UK Government

:43:57.:43:59.

employment into Scottish Government employment, where they would get the

:44:00.:44:05.

benefit of the no compulsory redundancy policy that we have. She

:44:06.:44:10.

might with her constituency responsibilities be interested in

:44:11.:44:13.

page 49 of the document which is in part one, where it makes clear that

:44:14.:44:19.

Scotland's military HQ would be at Faslane but with delivery functions

:44:20.:44:23.

in east kill bride. I'm sure she will find that of interest. I like

:44:24.:44:28.

optimism as the rest deputy First Minister, but she must be the only

:44:29.:44:32.

person on the planet who believes that there is not one single down

:44:33.:44:37.

side to independence worth mentioning in the white paper. And

:44:38.:44:43.

that dozens of other countries and organisations agree to every single

:44:44.:44:47.

demand of hers, when the currency on NATO, on the EU and so much more.

:44:48.:44:55.

Yet, if she is wrong, this is the gamble she has taken. It's the

:44:56.:44:58.

gamble that Scotland will pay the price for. One area in which she is

:44:59.:45:04.

definitely wrong is on child care. The Scottish Government has the

:45:05.:45:09.

worst child care arrangements in the British Isles. And yet, the Deputy

:45:10.:45:15.

First Minister has said that she is delaying the introduction of early

:45:16.:45:18.

education for two-year-olds until after the referendum. Even though it

:45:19.:45:23.

is already -- it has already been delivered with the powers in

:45:24.:45:27.

England, she has the powers now - why the delay? Firstly, can I say in

:45:28.:45:34.

response to the first part of the question, we, like every other

:45:35.:45:38.

country in the world, live in a world that is at times difficult,

:45:39.:45:43.

challenging, and uncertain. But I happen to believe that just as this

:45:44.:45:46.

is true for every other independent country in the world, in that

:45:47.:45:49.

uncertain world it's always better to be in the driving seat of your

:45:50.:45:53.

own destiny than leave decisions to be taken elsewhere. That's why I

:45:54.:45:57.

believe that in any circumstances it is better to be independent.

:45:58.:46:01.

Secondly, on the currency union, there were two words I forgot to use

:46:02.:46:06.

in describing a currency union. Those two words were logical and

:46:07.:46:11.

desirable. These aren't actually my words, these are the words of

:46:12.:46:15.

Alistair Darling, when he was telling the truth about it before

:46:16.:46:19.

the no campaign got hold of him and made him change his tune. In respect

:46:20.:46:23.

of child care, you are just wrong about the Scottish Government's

:46:24.:46:26.

child care position. I seem to recall it was his UK leader Nick

:46:27.:46:29.

Clegg, the deputy prime minister of the UK Government, that at one point

:46:30.:46:32.

was forced to speak out against the child care policy of his own

:46:33.:46:36.

Government. We are making progressive changes to the provision

:46:37.:46:40.

of child care but we want to transform the provision of child

:46:41.:46:44.

care and if he has been listening to this session so far, as I am sure he

:46:45.:46:48.

has, he will know why we need the powers of independence to do that so

:46:49.:46:51.

that we can provide that policy, grow revenues and allow those

:46:52.:46:55.

revenues to make that policy sustainable and affordable. I

:46:56.:46:57.

believe this is the policy that will capture the imagination of people

:46:58.:47:03.

around Scotland and given his creditable track record on this

:47:04.:47:06.

issue, I think he will be better advised to get behind it.

:47:07.:47:14.

Will the Deputy First Minister tell us what discussions she has had with

:47:15.:47:19.

her opposite numbers at Westminster in relation to the delivery of

:47:20.:47:24.

national security, the document indicates gft's first responsibility

:47:25.:47:32.

to renekt MI5, MI6, GCHQ and national cyber threats with her

:47:33.:47:35.

security and intelligence agency and give us confidence of her costings.

:47:36.:47:42.

Well, I know Graham with his interest and his expertise on these

:47:43.:47:45.

issues will be interested to read the document from page 261 onwards

:47:46.:47:52.

which sets out the proposals around security and intelligence, including

:47:53.:47:54.

the establishment of a new security and intelligence agency. On the

:47:55.:48:00.

issue of discussions with Westminster counterparts, I am glad

:48:01.:48:03.

he raised this issue, because I said repeatedly and I will say again

:48:04.:48:07.

today, I would welcome discussions with UK counterparts about how we do

:48:08.:48:11.

take forward negotiations in the event of a yes vote next year, now I

:48:12.:48:17.

am not expecting we prenegotiate the settlement, but it would be in

:48:18.:48:21.

everybody's interests to have sensible discussions. The position

:48:22.:48:23.

of the Westminster Government is they're not prepared to have those

:48:24.:48:26.

discussions. If Graeme Pearson wants to take the matter up with the

:48:27.:48:28.

Westminster Government and encourage them to change their tune I would be

:48:29.:48:33.

happy for him to do so and I, the Government our entire civil service

:48:34.:48:38.

are at the disposal to sit down and talk about these issues any time

:48:39.:48:43.

they like. Does the Deputy First Minister agree that at a time when

:48:44.:48:47.

the UK Government is contemplating UK withdrawal from the EU and

:48:48.:48:51.

Scotland's future inside the EU can only be guaranteed by independence

:48:52.:48:55.

and under any scenario an independent Scottish Government

:48:56.:48:57.

taking its place at EU top table is the only way of ensuring Scotland's

:48:58.:49:02.

best interests are represented in EU legislative and policy decisions?

:49:03.:49:08.

Well, two points in response to that question which I think is an

:49:09.:49:13.

absolutely vital question in terms of Scotland's representation within

:49:14.:49:16.

the European Union. Our interest would be much better served by

:49:17.:49:20.

independent membership of the European Union and anybody who

:49:21.:49:23.

doubts that would only need to speak to Richard Lockhead about the

:49:24.:49:27.

disgraceful situation around agriculture payments over the last

:49:28.:49:32.

few weeks when Scotland's interests were not served by the UK

:49:33.:49:36.

Government. The second point is absolutely the correct one, the risk

:49:37.:49:39.

to Scotland's membership of the European Union is not independence,

:49:40.:49:43.

the risk is the in-out referendum being proposed by David Cameron and

:49:44.:49:45.

the Conservatives and the UK Government. That is the risk. If

:49:46.:49:49.

Scotland doesn't become independent there is a very real risk that in

:49:50.:49:53.

that referendum the UK as a whole votes to come out, Scotland votes to

:49:54.:49:57.

stay in and we get taken out of the European Union against our will with

:49:58.:50:01.

all of the serious implications for our economy. That's the risk to

:50:02.:50:05.

Scotland and that's one of the many reasons we should vote yes in the

:50:06.:50:11.

referendum. The Deputy First Minister will know that pensions

:50:12.:50:15.

make up about 40% of the social security budget but not one word

:50:16.:50:18.

about pensions in the statement. Is it because she has no answers, no

:50:19.:50:23.

answers on how cross-border pension schemes will be funded? No answer to

:50:24.:50:27.

the fact that pensions will cost more in Scotland due to the

:50:28.:50:31.

population ageing faster? And no answer to the cost of pensions

:50:32.:50:36.

overall? Isn't it the case that the office for national statistics, the

:50:37.:50:42.

Institute of Fiscal Studies, the Scottish Government's own fiscal

:50:43.:50:47.

commission and even John Swinney acknowledged maintaining pensions

:50:48.:50:50.

would present a huge problem. Isn't it true that the pensioners in

:50:51.:50:55.

Scotland do face a stark choice, either believe the facts from

:50:56.:51:00.

experts or believe the assertions from the SNP Well, it's only been a

:51:01.:51:05.

few hours since the document was published and she may not have had

:51:06.:51:08.

time to read it yet but Wye recommend to her pages 138 onwards

:51:09.:51:13.

which sets out in detail the position around pensions. Let me

:51:14.:51:18.

give her highlights. Pensioners receive pensions as now on time and

:51:19.:51:21.

in full, accrued rights will be honoured. Planned reforms will be

:51:22.:51:26.

rolled out. Triple lock will be guaranteed for the first term of an

:51:27.:51:33.

independent. Let me make a couple of other points about pensions. Right

:51:34.:51:40.

now we pay a smaller proportion of our GDP on social protection,

:51:41.:51:46.

including things like pensions we start from a stronger more

:51:47.:51:50.

affordable position. We have an ageing population. We are not unique

:51:51.:51:53.

in that. Actually, it's a good thing, it's something we should

:51:54.:51:57.

celebrate, not moan about. You can argue about whether our population,

:51:58.:52:01.

our ageing population is a more acute problem for Scotland than in

:52:02.:52:05.

other countries, actually the proportion of our population over

:52:06.:52:09.

pension age is increasing slightly lower than the UK, if you take the

:52:10.:52:14.

whole depencency ratio, it's better, if you look at the ratio just for

:52:15.:52:18.

pensioners it's slightly worse. But the key point is this, what do we do

:52:19.:52:25.

about it? The way you deal with an ageing population, the way you

:52:26.:52:29.

support an ageing population is to grow your working age population.

:52:30.:52:35.

How do you do that? You attract immigration, rather than the UK

:52:36.:52:38.

Government's policies to try to, for example, get rid of the post-study

:52:39.:52:44.

visa. You take measures to grow your economy, to create jobs, to grow tax

:52:45.:52:48.

revenues. That's how you deal with and support an ageing population and

:52:49.:52:53.

we are far better able to do it with independence than we will be as part

:52:54.:53:00.

of the Union. Does the Deputy First Minister agree

:53:01.:53:03.

that one of the biggest gains of independence is a social security

:53:04.:53:07.

system that is in line with the wishes of the people of Scotland?

:53:08.:53:10.

Can the Deputy First Minister outline what measures are set out in

:53:11.:53:14.

the White Paper to achieve this fair and prosperous future? Can I thank

:53:15.:53:20.

the member for that question. And refer him to part three, chapter

:53:21.:53:24.

four, where our proposals on welfare and social protection are set out. I

:53:25.:53:30.

do agree that the Westminster assault on our welfare state is one

:53:31.:53:35.

of the many reasons for supporting independence. Our welfare state

:53:36.:53:40.

cherished by all of us is being dismantled by the Westminster

:53:41.:53:43.

Government before our very eyes. If we want to protect it the best way

:53:44.:53:47.

to protect it is to vote yes. We set out clear policies in this White

:53:48.:53:52.

Paper. We will abolish the bedroom tax within the first year of being

:53:53.:53:55.

elected as the first Government of an independent Scotland. We will

:53:56.:53:58.

take the decision not to proceed with universal credit and personal

:53:59.:54:02.

independence payments. These are programmes mired in controversy,

:54:03.:54:06.

delayed and seriously damaging to some of the most vulnerable in our

:54:07.:54:09.

society. We will build on the work being done by the expert group on

:54:10.:54:13.

welfare to make sure we can design a social protection system that is fit

:54:14.:54:17.

for Scotland's purposes, that helps people into work but provides the

:54:18.:54:20.

decent safety net for those who can't that I believe we all want to

:54:21.:54:31.

see. On page 305 of the White Paper it says that the Scottish Government

:54:32.:54:36.

would look to establish an oil fund immediately on independence to

:54:37.:54:39.

stabilise the economy. What it doesn't say is where the money for

:54:40.:54:46.

that fund will come from. Will it come from... Order. Order. Let us

:54:47.:54:59.

hear the member. I think you will find it doesn't say where the money

:55:00.:55:02.

for that fund will come from. The question is, will it come from

:55:03.:55:07.

increased taxation? Will it come from cuts in public spending? Or, do

:55:08.:55:14.

they seriously propose, as is rather implied, do they propose to borrow

:55:15.:55:20.

the money to save in an oil fund in the world's biggest payday loan?

:55:21.:55:30.

Surely that is not the common sense so beloved of the Deputy First

:55:31.:55:40.

Minister? Well, I would point out to Iain Gray, in case he has forgotten

:55:41.:55:48.

this fact, Norway now has an oil fund of 450 billion. That's one of

:55:49.:55:51.

the very big benefits of being independent. Now, in relation to the

:55:52.:55:58.

questions, the thing is Ian Grey knows the answer because I am sure

:55:59.:56:02.

being the careful, prepared person that he is, that he has read the

:56:03.:56:06.

fiscal commission's work on the oil fund. It proposes a fund with two

:56:07.:56:12.

purposes, one to smooth the volatility of oil revenues, we would

:56:13.:56:16.

make a cautious forecast of revenues and when the actual revenues exceed

:56:17.:56:20.

that we will put the excess into an oil fund. Secondly, we would have an

:56:21.:56:24.

oil fund with the purpose of saving for future generations, something

:56:25.:56:27.

that Westminster governments over generations have failed to do and we

:56:28.:56:30.

would start paying into that when the deficit reached a point below

:56:31.:56:36.

3%. That's very, very clear. The key thing here is this, if we leave

:56:37.:56:40.

Westminster in charge then the next, however many years of our oil

:56:41.:56:43.

revenues will be squandered in the same way as the last 40 years have

:56:44.:56:48.

been, if we are independent we can steward them for the future. Yet

:56:49.:56:51.

another reason to vote yes and become independent. Whatever Alex

:56:52.:57:02.

Salmond says, an independent Scotland using the pound is not

:57:03.:57:05.

under his control. It will be under the control of a foreign country.

:57:06.:57:11.

The White Paper at page 111 concedes a possibility of, and I quote, a

:57:12.:57:15.

different arrangement. If the currency negotiations to use the

:57:16.:57:20.

pound fail, can the Deputy First Minister clarify what is the

:57:21.:57:24.

different arrangement? If the euro, the Aberdeen dollar, what is plan B?

:57:25.:57:31.

The point drawn attention to about arrangements acknowledges the fact

:57:32.:57:38.

in future - I see Patrick here, different parties might take a

:57:39.:57:44.

different view. Willie Rennie's party as recently had entry theure

:57:45.:57:49.

still as -- euro still as their preferred option. Clearly there are

:57:50.:57:52.

differences of opinion on what the best currency option is. Our view,

:57:53.:57:57.

our firm view is that a shared currency is in the best interests of

:57:58.:58:00.

Scotland and in the best interests of the UK. Wye have thought -- I

:58:01.:58:07.

would have doubt and bel Goldie whose party gave Alistair Darling

:58:08.:58:10.

such a warm standing occasion at their conference, that it's logical

:58:11.:58:16.

and desirable. Can the Deputy First Minister advise

:58:17.:58:20.

the chamber of what discussions have taken place with EU member states is

:58:21.:58:26.

to back up the statement that in order to ensure the current UK

:58:27.:58:30.

obligations and provisions apply to an independent Scotland they, I

:58:31.:58:34.

quote, necessary treaty amendments will be taken forward with the

:58:35.:58:37.

agreement of member states? In the event that the consent of EU member

:58:38.:58:43.

states has not already been obtained, does she agree that it

:58:44.:58:46.

would be more honest for the document to explore what concessions

:58:47.:58:51.

might have to be made in order to secure EU membership and can she

:58:52.:58:55.

indicate to the chamber which of the UK opt-outs she would be prepared to

:58:56.:59:01.

concede in order to ensure Scotland's membership? Well, can I

:59:02.:59:06.

say we have discussions with different EU members on a range of

:59:07.:59:14.

issues on a range of different occasions. She will be as aware as I

:59:15.:59:20.

am that no other European member state would want to be seen to say

:59:21.:59:25.

anything that could be deemed to be interfering in the domestic debate

:59:26.:59:29.

Scotland is having. This goes back to an answer earlier, we would be

:59:30.:59:33.

happy to discuss these matters with the European Commission, the

:59:34.:59:36.

commission has made clear those discussions would have to be

:59:37.:59:40.

initiated by the member state which is the UK and the UK for reasons

:59:41.:59:46.

best known to itself doesn't want to discuss these. But the question that

:59:47.:59:52.

the no campaign has to answer is why would any member of the European

:59:53.:59:56.

Union not want Scotland to continue in membership? Scotland is a

:59:57.:00:00.

contributor to the European Union in many, many different ways and it

:00:01.:00:03.

would be in the interests of Scotland and other EU members that

:00:04.:00:09.

that continued. In terms of her question about opt-outs, and I am

:00:10.:00:13.

sure she will if she hasn't already, read the detail of this in the White

:00:14.:00:17.

Paper. We are arguing for a transition on the basis of

:00:18.:00:21.

continuity of effect. We are in the asking for special arrangements to

:00:22.:00:24.

apply to Scotland. We are arguing for the same arrangements that apply

:00:25.:00:28.

to us now as part of the UK to continue when we are an independent

:00:29.:00:31.

country. Again that is a reasonable and sensible position as are all the

:00:32.:00:36.

positions laid out in this document published today. Can I ask the

:00:37.:00:45.

Deputy First Minister what analysis is carried out in the white paper as

:00:46.:00:47.

to the opportunities of independence to reverse the trend of widening

:00:48.:00:51.

inequality which has been presided over by successive Westminster

:00:52.:00:56.

governments of whatever hue, decade in and out. ? The inequality gap is

:00:57.:01:06.

again one of the reasons why we need power over the levers of social and

:01:07.:01:11.

economic policy to deal with that. I have spoken about the child care

:01:12.:01:15.

proposal, which I think we'd have -- would have a huge effect, over time,

:01:16.:01:19.

on raising attainment and dealing with the inequality. We set out

:01:20.:01:24.

proposals to ensure that the minimum wage rises at least in line with

:01:25.:01:29.

inflation. Tax credits and benefits rise in line with inflation. That's

:01:30.:01:32.

important because it stops the lowest paid in our society falling

:01:33.:01:35.

further and deeper into poverty. There's a range of measures in here,

:01:36.:01:42.

but not overnight, but over time will address that gap in Scotland

:01:43.:01:46.

and help to make our country not just wealthier but fairer as well.

:01:47.:01:49.

It's that ambition that drives everything in this white paper and

:01:50.:01:52.

our support for that independence that we seek. I would love to fund a

:01:53.:02:02.

child care revolution by scrapping the weapons of war instead of

:02:03.:02:07.

cutting other public services... Order. Even if the Better Together

:02:08.:02:12.

parties don't share the desire for the freedom to make that choice,

:02:13.:02:15.

doesn't it show the depths to which they have sunk that they describe

:02:16.:02:20.

that proposal as a child care bribe. Since when did any politician with

:02:21.:02:23.

any integrity describe public services in such a demeaning term?

:02:24.:02:33.

Can I agree 100% with Patrick Harvey on that. It is a sign of where

:02:34.:02:37.

things have come to when we don't just have Conservative politicians

:02:38.:02:41.

describing public service policies like child care, universal care, in

:02:42.:02:45.

these terms, which perhaps doesn't come as a huge surprise. But we have

:02:46.:02:49.

Labour politicians queueing up to join them in doing so. The Better

:02:50.:02:55.

Together Labour/Tory alliance which wants to hold Scotland back. I'm

:02:56.:03:01.

proud to be part of a cross-party yes campaign to wants to take

:03:02.:03:06.

Scotland forward to a better future. I'm sure the Deputy First Minister,

:03:07.:03:11.

like me, believes that Democrats across this chimer and around --

:03:12.:03:15.

chamber and around Scotland will be excited that the opportunity an

:03:16.:03:19.

independent Scotland gives for a written constitution. Given the

:03:20.:03:22.

historic and social significance of this, can I ask the deputy First

:03:23.:03:26.

Minister what thoughts have been given to make this a truly

:03:27.:03:29.

participative process with innovative forms of engagement

:03:30.:03:33.

techniques so that everyone can feel and be part of the process of

:03:34.:03:42.

writing this constitution? She raises one of the genuinely exciting

:03:43.:03:46.

opportunities of being independent, the chance to have the opportunity

:03:47.:03:51.

to design a written constitution. We are one of the only countries,

:03:52.:03:53.

certainly in Europe and the world, that doesn't have a written

:03:54.:03:57.

constitution, setting out clearly the relationship between the citizen

:03:58.:04:01.

and the state, protecting our freedoms and our rights. We've been

:04:02.:04:04.

clear as a Government the kind of things we would want to see in that

:04:05.:04:08.

written constitution - social and economic rights, a ban on nuclear

:04:09.:04:13.

weapons, for example, but this is not a written constitution that

:04:14.:04:15.

should be written by the Scottish Government. It should be one that is

:04:16.:04:21.

written from a collaborative way in part four of the white paper sets

:04:22.:04:24.

out that process. That process should be determined by the

:04:25.:04:27.

independent Scottish Parliament, elected in 2016. If we get that yes

:04:28.:04:31.

vote and become independent, I look forward to being part of, but only

:04:32.:04:40.

part of, that exciting process. Only 12 days ago, Deputy First Minister,

:04:41.:04:45.

you said ship building was dear to your heart. It was vital to the

:04:46.:04:49.

Scottish economy. 178,000 words later, can the 35 words that refer

:04:50.:04:53.

to ship building in any way at all match up to a new future or even a

:04:54.:04:59.

sustainable future? Where are the assurances, the guarantees for my

:05:00.:05:06.

constituents who work in the industry that it will have a secure

:05:07.:05:12.

future in an independent Scotland? Well, ship building is very dear to

:05:13.:05:17.

my heart, which is why I always try to avoid taking any opportunity to

:05:18.:05:21.

use it as a political football. I think ship building... Order. Is

:05:22.:05:26.

more important than that. What this white paper does is two things: It

:05:27.:05:30.

sets out in some detail, when you go through the defence part of it, it

:05:31.:05:35.

sets out what the procurement requirements will be for independent

:05:36.:05:38.

Scottish Defence Forces. It talks about something that has been talked

:05:39.:05:42.

about far too little within the Westminster system - diversification

:05:43.:05:47.

in terms of defence and the ship building industry. Of course, I will

:05:48.:05:53.

repeat what I've said previously, post independence, the Clyde will

:05:54.:05:57.

remain as it is today, the best place to build the type 26 frigates.

:05:58.:06:07.

Alistair Carmichael, I think said, article 346 of the European Union

:06:08.:06:11.

treaty somehow prevented the UK Government placing these contracts

:06:12.:06:16.

in the Clyde. He sat next to a Defence Minister at a House of

:06:17.:06:18.

Commons committee a couple of weeks ago, where the Defence Minister

:06:19.:06:21.

contradicted him and said there was nothing that provented these

:06:22.:06:26.

contracts being placed on the Clyde. They will come because it's the best

:06:27.:06:29.

place with the best people and the best facilities to build them. It

:06:30.:06:33.

would make sense, given the detail set out in here, for that in future,

:06:34.:06:38.

post independence, to be a joint procurement, joint procurement in

:06:39.:06:41.

the interests of cost effectiveness is what the UK Government goes on

:06:42.:06:47.

about all the time time . Following a yes vote, what further steps will

:06:48.:06:51.

the Scottish Government take to realise Scotland's ambition to be an

:06:52.:06:58.

active and good global citizen? In the section of the document that

:06:59.:07:02.

deals with international relations and defence it sets out in detail

:07:03.:07:06.

our commitments around international aid, just as I believe we have a

:07:07.:07:10.

responsibility to the poorest in our own country, so too as a relatively

:07:11.:07:15.

rich country do we have a responsibility to the poorest around

:07:16.:07:19.

the world. We set out here our commitment to secure and ensure the

:07:20.:07:24.

0. 7% of GNI in terms of international aid and a range of

:07:25.:07:27.

ways in which we would work with international part iners to be that

:07:28.:07:33.

good, global citizen, to help to tackle global poverty, climate

:07:34.:07:35.

change, build on the world leading work this Parliament has already

:07:36.:07:38.

done around climate change and the opportunities of independence in

:07:39.:07:44.

that are many and varied. Can I welcome the Cabinet Secretary's

:07:45.:07:47.

aspirations on child care, though I would give more emphasis to

:07:48.:07:51.

two-year-olds and do it now. But how could she deliver that...

:07:52.:07:54.

APPLAUSE How could she deliver that or any of

:07:55.:07:58.

her spending wishes with a neo-liberal economic policy, higher

:07:59.:08:01.

interest rates and a hope for the best relationship with the rest of

:08:02.:08:04.

the UK? Does she not realise how absurd the Government looks when the

:08:05.:08:08.

white paper says the Bank of England will be a lender of last resort? And

:08:09.:08:12.

does she not understand that even if there was a currency union, there

:08:13.:08:16.

would be no fiscal independence, contrary to what she said on the

:08:17.:08:22.

radio this morning? Is she not leading project wish against project

:08:23.:08:25.

reality as will become increasingly clear over the months ahead? Order.

:08:26.:08:37.

APPLAUSE I understand the vehemence with

:08:38.:08:41.

which Malcom makes his argument. Somebody who has the greatest eof --

:08:42.:08:48.

of respect for Malcom, I believe he doesn't believe it in his heart of

:08:49.:08:52.

hearts. Actually he will be inspired by this as I am. I don't know where

:08:53.:08:55.

the higher interest rates that were chucked into that question came

:08:56.:08:56.

from. I think he's perhaps been... chucked into that question came

:08:57.:09:07.

little too much. Independence ors the opportunity in Scotland to take

:09:08.:09:12.

the steps to get our economy going, that create jobs, that creates the

:09:13.:09:16.

wealth for us to share that wealth with equally and deal with the

:09:17.:09:21.

inequality that I know Malcom loathes as much as I do. I will not

:09:22.:09:25.

give up hope before 18th September next year in getting Malcom onto the

:09:26.:09:32.

yes side of this debate, where his heart lies. Can I first of all

:09:33.:09:37.

congratulate the Government on producing what I think is a very

:09:38.:09:41.

workman like document. It's going to start many of the debates, I hope,

:09:42.:09:44.

that we should be having in Scotland. Can I gently say that she

:09:45.:09:51.

shouldn't dismiss what Malcom Chisholm has just said because it's

:09:52.:09:55.

what a lot of us feel - it looks too easy. I know it's going to be

:09:56.:09:59.

difficult. That's when you get to negotiations when we talk about

:10:00.:10:03.

negotiations, shouldn't we think of tapping into all of the talent, all

:10:04.:10:07.

of the experience that there will be in Scotland after the yes vote?

:10:08.:10:12.

There are people who have been on the front benches of Cabinets, there

:10:13.:10:17.

are people who have done international negotiations, they're

:10:18.:10:20.

called Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling, but leave out one or two

:10:21.:10:25.

others. I was quite seriously, think of the whole country, not just of

:10:26.:10:30.

the Scottish National Party. I made a speech, I think, round about a

:10:31.:10:35.

year ago just now where I set out clearly that while if we get a yes

:10:36.:10:39.

vote this Government as a Democratically elected Government of

:10:40.:10:41.

Scotland would lead the negotiations, we would do so as part

:10:42.:10:45.

of a team Scotland approach. I would very much want to see people like

:10:46.:10:50.

darling Darling -- Alistair Darling, Gordon Brown, in those negotiations

:10:51.:10:54.

with us making sure that all of us on Scotland's side get the best deal

:10:55.:10:59.

for Scotland that we possibly can. I think that's a key point. We will

:11:00.:11:04.

have the yes/no debate and have it passionately over these next few

:11:05.:11:07.

months. We will be on opposite sides, those of us in this chamber.

:11:08.:11:12.

The minute Scotland votes yes, we stop being on sop sit sides. We --

:11:13.:11:18.

on opposite sides. We have the opportunity to take our country

:11:19.:11:22.

forward. I agree with the proposition just put forward. Given

:11:23.:11:26.

that women in Scotland need to worry just as much about the sticky floor

:11:27.:11:30.

than the glass ceiling, can I ask what proposals are set out in the

:11:31.:11:33.

white paper to increase female participation in the workforce and

:11:34.:11:36.

what impact these proposals would have on the economy of an

:11:37.:11:41.

independent Scotland? I've spoken at some length today about the child

:11:42.:11:45.

care proposal, which would do great things to help women participate in

:11:46.:11:50.

the workforce. We have talked about what we would try to do to increase

:11:51.:11:54.

women's representation on company and public boards and legislate for

:11:55.:11:58.

that, if necessary. Because one of the practical things that transfers

:11:59.:12:02.

from Westminster to the Scottish Parliament with independence is

:12:03.:12:06.

legal responsibility for equality issues and that is one of the,

:12:07.:12:10.

perhaps, little things that won't get the headlines in the white

:12:11.:12:15.

paper, that I think is absolutely worth supporting. That ends the

:12:16.:12:21.

statement from the Deputy First Minister.

:12:22.:12:25.

STUDIO: That was the presiding officer wrapping up the business in

:12:26.:12:28.

Parliament there. Questions and answers to the Deputy First

:12:29.:12:31.

Minister, Nicola Sturgeon. Let's stay in Edinburgh now. Our business

:12:32.:12:35.

and economy editor joins me from just outside the Parliament. Good

:12:36.:12:38.

afternoon, Douglas. Thanks very much for joining me. You've been

:12:39.:12:44.

digesting the weighty tomorrow that we have -- tomb that we have here.

:12:45.:12:50.

What are your key points, the key highlights in this document? I think

:12:51.:12:56.

overall, there are two things I'd take out of this document. One is

:12:57.:13:00.

the new stuff, discussion there about child care, clearly an

:13:01.:13:03.

important economic issue in terms of getting more people into the

:13:04.:13:07.

workforce and supporting family budgets, that's part of what is a

:13:08.:13:13.

document which shows us what the SNP wants to offer in 2016. This is a

:13:14.:13:18.

party manifesto in many ways. The will acknowledge, while they're

:13:19.:13:21.

offering this, that there will be other brands available. It's up to

:13:22.:13:25.

the Scottish voters if there's a yes vote, if they get the powers of

:13:26.:13:28.

independence, then to decide which parties they're going to trust.

:13:29.:13:33.

Maybe one party, maybe several. The other thing that really leaps out at

:13:34.:13:38.

me about this, which is partly economic, but across the range of

:13:39.:13:40.

things they're talking about, is that it's very safe, reassuring.

:13:41.:13:45.

There's no Big Sur prizes. They had -- there's no big surprises. This is

:13:46.:13:50.

a steady progress towards the goal they set themselves. It is safe and

:13:51.:13:57.

quite small "c" conservative in that the offers in terms of independence

:13:58.:14:00.

are not to change things that people like, often to protect things that

:14:01.:14:03.

have been achieved through Britain and which may be getting changed by

:14:04.:14:07.

more radical action at Westminster. No change in what kind of currency

:14:08.:14:13.

we might be using, but criticism from opposition MSPs that there's no

:14:14.:14:18.

Plan B if the UK Government says an independent Scotland can't use

:14:19.:14:24.

sterling. Indeed. You had to sympathise with the ministers

:14:25.:14:26.

putting forward this argument, because if they conceded to a Plan

:14:27.:14:30.

B, if they said well, here's another option that they've got, immediately

:14:31.:14:33.

people would be paying attention to that, if it got the to the stage

:14:34.:14:37.

where the markets were particularly interested in this at the stage of

:14:38.:14:41.

achieving ind that level of uncertainty and weakness would be

:14:42.:14:46.

seized upon. It would be a dangerous thing to do. While we're debating

:14:47.:14:50.

whether it's the right road to go down, this is the issue, whether in

:14:51.:14:53.

the chamber or press conference, it's the issue that dominates. It's

:14:54.:14:57.

probably the most difficult issue that the SNP ministers face. It's an

:14:58.:15:02.

issue on which others within the yes Scotland campaign are uncomfortable.

:15:03.:15:07.

You heard from Margo McDonald. She's no fan of sticking with sterling. It

:15:08.:15:14.

speaks to the issue of negotiating, that the SNP have set out things

:15:15.:15:19.

that will happen or should happen because it's telling the UK what

:15:20.:15:24.

interests it should be. The response coming back from the UK is that you

:15:25.:15:28.

can't be so sure. The interests of the rest of the UK may be very

:15:29.:15:31.

different. There will be push back, even if you get pefrg you want, EU

:15:32.:15:35.

membership and the currency union and so many deals they want to

:15:36.:15:40.

strike, if you get that, there may be conditions attached which you may

:15:41.:15:47.

not like. Let's pick up on some of those points with our two

:15:48.:15:51.

commentators here for the afternoon, Lucy Adams from The Herald and Dr

:15:52.:16:09.

Nicola McEwen from Edinburgh University. This is the most hotly

:16:10.:16:15.

anticipated document, he said, since the tablets of stone came down from

:16:16.:16:21.

Mount Sinai, not sure if it's quite that exciting but people have been

:16:22.:16:23.

waiting for this for a long time. We already knew a lot of the content

:16:24.:16:27.

but the presentation this morning was obviously very slick. We had

:16:28.:16:32.

journalists from around the UK putting very poignant questions to

:16:33.:16:36.

Alex Salmond and Nicola Sturgeon. What came across strongly is she

:16:37.:16:40.

knows this document back-to-back and she really, really believes in it. I

:16:41.:16:45.

think she's, across very, very well and consistently across the day.

:16:46.:16:48.

Obviously we have the headline-grabbing features which is

:16:49.:16:52.

that the child care and the fact they're talking about giving people,

:16:53.:16:59.

I think it's 38 hours a week - sorry 30 hours a week for 38 weeks of the

:17:00.:17:03.

year and initially that will be for three-year-olds and four-year-olds,

:17:04.:17:06.

but also saying that will be for every child from the age of one

:17:07.:17:11.

upwards. It's obviously a fairly strident and interesting view. We

:17:12.:17:15.

don't know the detail of that and we have not had the costings. The

:17:16.:17:19.

question was put to her in the chamber, how much will this cost? We

:17:20.:17:24.

don't know. She didn't lay that out. Now, we have been looking at one of

:17:25.:17:28.

the key points there. Let's look at the graphic now with some of the

:17:29.:17:32.

other key points being highlighted. Lucy mentioned that, 30 hours of

:17:33.:17:38.

childcare per week. The housing benefit reform to be

:17:39.:17:42.

abolished and a halt to the rollout of universal credit. That's another

:17:43.:17:48.

kind of key point. It is. Similar to child care, it's

:17:49.:17:53.

another one that's the Deputy First Minister's stamp all over it, in a

:17:54.:17:57.

sense. This is not just about the economy. It's not just about

:17:58.:18:01.

defence, we may talk about that in a moment, it's also about society, the

:18:02.:18:04.

future of Scotland. There is a strong social element running

:18:05.:18:07.

throughout the document. I think linked to that is the idea of a

:18:08.:18:11.

different kind of welfare state, both in terms of child care and also

:18:12.:18:16.

in terms of a system of social protection. Now the welfare reform

:18:17.:18:20.

agenda of the UK Government has been extremely unpopular in a variety of

:18:21.:18:25.

quarters, affecting lots of vulnerable groups. I think the

:18:26.:18:29.

deputy firs Minister is -- First Minister is trying to capitalise on

:18:30.:18:37.

that. Let's look at the other point on the graphic.

:18:38.:18:40.

Triedent nuclear weapons removed within the first parliament. Lucy,

:18:41.:18:44.

you were checking out some of the detail on that. That gives us a

:18:45.:18:50.

time-scale of 2016-2021 probably. Which is a much shorter time-scale

:18:51.:18:54.

than we actually anticipated. The recent discussions talked about it

:18:55.:18:58.

being ten years, whereas obviously this brings it forward quite

:18:59.:19:01.

considerably. Whether it is presented in this way as a

:19:02.:19:06.

bargaining tool, obviously the document itself makes a lot of very

:19:07.:19:11.

bold assertions which some will see as assumptions. It says yes, the

:19:12.:19:14.

Bank of England will be the bank, yes, sterling will be the currency.

:19:15.:19:20.

Whereas obviously the UK as a whole is saying, and we have already

:19:21.:19:25.

comments from Alistair Darling and others saying this is not the case.

:19:26.:19:30.

If triedent is going to be a bargaining tool perhaps that's why

:19:31.:19:32.

they've brought that date forward, I am not sure. The anticipation was

:19:33.:19:37.

there would be a longer lead-up for that movement of it. Nicola, bold

:19:38.:19:45.

assertions. Douglas was teasing that point out too, in the document

:19:46.:19:49.

things will happen or should happen. It does seem definite, doesn't it?

:19:50.:19:55.

Most people might see it as the first stage in negotiations. Yes, it

:19:56.:19:58.

can be quite difficult to know which tone to strike I guess, if there was

:19:59.:20:02.

doubt in here then that would be picked up on and used, as well.

:20:03.:20:09.

There's a lot in here about the shared arrangements, not just on big

:20:10.:20:14.

ticket items like a currency, but a host of things where there's

:20:15.:20:18.

envisaged to be joint ventures with the BBC, for example. Or continuity

:20:19.:20:25.

of the Civil Aviation Authority or the National Lottery, all these

:20:26.:20:27.

things would require an agreement to be put in place, not just for a

:20:28.:20:33.

transition, but for long term arrangements, too. That's all

:20:34.:20:36.

subject to negotiation and agreement. What do you think about

:20:37.:20:39.

that? I think that the whole document as we have said is based on

:20:40.:20:43.

those assertions and I think that is going to be what is argued about

:20:44.:20:48.

over the next ten months. UK has to enter into these negotiations but it

:20:49.:20:54.

doesn't necessarily have to agree to everything put forward in this

:20:55.:20:57.

document. The currency is the biggest - one of the biggest issues

:20:58.:21:01.

which is going to go on and on. We know that this document there is no

:21:02.:21:06.

plan B. That's quite right, otherwise everyone would have leapt

:21:07.:21:10.

on that. It's up for negotiation. It's a bold statement. One of the

:21:11.:21:13.

things picked up on that was interesting, is that it doesn't

:21:14.:21:18.

necessarily point to the fact that this is going to be very difficult.

:21:19.:21:21.

It's going to be a struggle. It's not just about the fact that it's a

:21:22.:21:25.

decision which happens on September 18th, it's what happens after that.

:21:26.:21:41.

From overseas embassies, to the BBC and different things We don't know

:21:42.:21:44.

how negotiations will go at this stage. That will be the interesting

:21:45.:21:57.

next stage. OK. What do you think ordinary voters might make of this?

:21:58.:22:01.

It's very weighty. And it's very long. But I find it quite accessible

:22:02.:22:11.

It has downsides in some detail is perhaps lacking in some proposals

:22:12.:22:16.

around costings, for example. I am not sure how many people will invest

:22:17.:22:20.

in reading the entire document but I am sure there will be summaries

:22:21.:22:28.

available. How will ordinary voters deal with this? Does it change the

:22:29.:22:32.

terms of the debate now that we have a lot of these answers laid out for

:22:33.:22:37.

us? It lays out the answers but there are already a huge number of

:22:38.:22:41.

people who have very strongly entrenched opinions on these

:22:42.:22:44.

different things. Many of these areas have already been laid out in

:22:45.:22:48.

the media and the public domain. Already today we have seen on

:22:49.:22:52.

Twitter there is a sort of flurry of excitement about the paper and some

:22:53.:22:56.

of the different aspects and details of it. But there is again a lot of

:22:57.:22:59.

disagreement because people are saying this is from the SNP, how do

:23:00.:23:04.

I know that I can actually trust this? People are asking for agreed

:23:05.:23:08.

evidence, rather than a paper from one side or the other side.

:23:09.:23:12.

Something in the middle that you can take home and say I know that is a

:23:13.:23:16.

fact. But obviously as we know this is about things that will happen in

:23:17.:23:19.

future, there will always be a level of uncertainty. That's what the

:23:20.:23:27.

public are crying out for, they want impartial facts presented to them.

:23:28.:23:30.

The academic community are doing their best to provide that and so

:23:31.:23:34.

there's a lot of evidence out there, there's a lot of comparative

:23:35.:23:39.

examples out there. Sometimes that's our best guide, we can't predict the

:23:40.:23:44.

future, but we can look elsewhere to see how things work in practice. One

:23:45.:23:48.

of the things I wanted to mention was around the child care emphasis,

:23:49.:23:54.

Nicola Sturgeon says it's a transformational expansion of child

:23:55.:23:56.

care, one of the interesting things to see is whether it has a

:23:57.:24:01.

transformational impact on how female voters intend to vote. There

:24:02.:24:05.

is a huge gender imbalance in how people will say they will vote in

:24:06.:24:08.

the referendum, men are far more likely to vote yes than are women at

:24:09.:24:13.

the moment. One suspects there's a little bit of an appeal to the

:24:14.:24:18.

female voter in this document. That's a key point, trying to

:24:19.:24:23.

attract these female voters to the yes cause. Absolutely. We knew they

:24:24.:24:26.

were going to try to do that. Obviously, Nicola Sturgeon is a

:24:27.:24:29.

female minister, that is the first part of the presentation. The

:24:30.:24:33.

question is what will independence deliver for me? That's one of the

:24:34.:24:37.

questions in the paper. The first part of that is free child care.

:24:38.:24:41.

They talk about it being transformational, but will it

:24:42.:24:46.

deliver. Thank you both. Let's go straight back to Holyrood now and

:24:47.:24:50.

speak to the Deputy First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon. She has made her

:24:51.:24:54.

way from the chamber to our position outside Holyrood. Thank you very

:24:55.:24:57.

much for joining me so quickly from the Parliament. Now, we have this

:24:58.:25:05.

weighty tomb here. It's an important document, landmark document, as you

:25:06.:25:09.

say. Is it really just an aspirational wish list? No, I

:25:10.:25:15.

believe it sets out clearly the benefits of independence, the

:25:16.:25:17.

opportunities for individuals, families, communities around

:25:18.:25:21.

Scotland. It sets out some very hard practical detail about the

:25:22.:25:24.

transition from a yes vote to becoming an independent country and

:25:25.:25:29.

it answers a range of very detailed questions, 650 in all. Yes, there

:25:30.:25:34.

are issues that will require negotiation. On these we set out the

:25:35.:25:38.

common sense, reasonable, rational positions that are in the best

:25:39.:25:40.

interests of Scotland and also in the best interests of the UK. This

:25:41.:25:45.

is undoubtedly the most detailed blueprint for the independence of a

:25:46.:25:49.

country that has ever been published. We're the best prepared

:25:50.:25:52.

and equipped country to become independent and I think this will

:25:53.:25:56.

change the dynamic of the debate. The challenge now to the no side is

:25:57.:26:01.

where is your equivalent? The key new fact is the provision of child

:26:02.:26:05.

care under independence. How much will that cost? I don't think you

:26:06.:26:10.

can have answered that in Parliament. How much will it cost

:26:11.:26:13.

and are you doing this to attract female voters? Well, I did answer it

:26:14.:26:17.

in Parliament. I answered it at the press conference this morning. We

:26:18.:26:21.

estimate, we have set out a staged George Bush yip towards the end --

:26:22.:26:26.

staged journey towards the end point of this policy, by the end of the

:26:27.:26:30.

first independent Scottish Parliament that cost would rise to

:26:31.:26:34.

?600 million a year. But the key point of this policy is yes, it will

:26:35.:26:38.

make sure our children get the best start in life, but it's also and

:26:39.:26:43.

crucially, it's about increasing female participation in the

:26:44.:26:47.

workforce. If we increase our female participation in the labour market

:26:48.:26:50.

to bring it to the same level of Sweden, for example, we would

:26:51.:26:54.

increase tax revenues by p ?00 million a year -- ?700 million a

:26:55.:26:59.

year. We need to make sure we have access to the revenue benefits of

:27:00.:27:03.

this policy to make it sustainable in the long-term. That's why we need

:27:04.:27:06.

independence to deliver it. It's the kind of issue that people out there

:27:07.:27:09.

want to hear. What will independence mean for me? What are the benefits

:27:10.:27:14.

of independence? I think this one, I know this one has massive benefits

:27:15.:27:19.

for people, particularly mothers. We keep hearing about Sweden and the

:27:20.:27:25.

Nordic model and so on, if you saw Alan Little's excellent documentary

:27:26.:27:27.

last night about Sweden, two thirds tax rate there to pay for the child

:27:28.:27:33.

care, and you seem to have laid out some aspirational, low-tax,

:27:34.:27:38.

high-spend kind of Scotland. Well, first, we aspire in many ways to be

:27:39.:27:44.

like other small comparable European countries. Scotland is not any of

:27:45.:27:48.

these other countries. We have to chart our own course. We learn

:27:49.:27:51.

lessons where we think it's best to learn them from. The

:27:52.:27:55.

characterisation of the white paper is plainly wrong. In part two of the

:27:56.:28:00.

document it sets out in great detail the fiscal position that we would

:28:01.:28:04.

inherit at the point of independence. It sets out clearly

:28:05.:28:07.

some of the savings we would seek to make, ?500 million on defence

:28:08.:28:13.

spending, for example. It sets out what our early priorities would be

:28:14.:28:16.

and how we will deliver those priorities within sound public

:28:17.:28:20.

finances. We are a Government, after all, a devolves Government,

:28:21.:28:24.

admittedly, that has delivered its commitments within balanced budgets.

:28:25.:28:28.

Now we have to deliver balanced budgets, but nevertheless, we have

:28:29.:28:33.

exercised the fiscal dis-Palestinian. It's that --

:28:34.:28:39.

discipline. It's that we would exercise in an independent

:28:40.:28:42.

Government. These are policies that are important for their own sake and

:28:43.:28:46.

also vital to get our economy growing faster, because we've got

:28:47.:28:50.

big challenges that will be inherited from the Westminster

:28:51.:28:54.

system of Government, debt, low growth and we need to get our

:28:55.:28:56.

economy growing in order to tackle these as well as deal with some of

:28:57.:29:00.

the other issues and get our economy to a point where it's fairer and

:29:01.:29:05.

wealthier. If we stay on the economy and finances, let's look at

:29:06.:29:10.

currency. No Plan B laid out if an independent Scotland cannot use the

:29:11.:29:15.

pound. We were hearing from the Scottish Secretary at the weekend

:29:16.:29:18.

that your plan was unworkable. What's the plan if an independent

:29:19.:29:22.

Scotland is not allowed to use the pound? I've answered this question

:29:23.:29:25.

several times today. I've answered it several times in the previous

:29:26.:29:29.

weeks and months. We are arguing a proposition on currency that we

:29:30.:29:33.

believe to be the right one. It's in the best interests of Scotland and

:29:34.:29:35.

for the reasons I set out in Parliament, it's the in the best

:29:36.:29:39.

interests of the rest of the UK because of our trading relationship,

:29:40.:29:42.

because of the substantial contribution Scotland makes to the

:29:43.:29:45.

UK's balance of payments. Of course, we would have a negotiation around

:29:46.:29:49.

assets and liabilities. The pound is every bit as much ours as the rest

:29:50.:29:54.

of the UK's. I understand that Alistair Carmichael and Alistair

:29:55.:29:57.

Darling are going to say at this stage, no, that's impossible. We

:29:58.:30:00.

can't do that. Although, interestingly, neither of them rule

:30:01.:30:05.

it out, because I think they faux how sensible -- they know how

:30:06.:30:08.

sensible it is. After we vote yes, the situation changes. We have two

:30:09.:30:14.

governments negotiating in the best interests of the people of Scotland

:30:15.:30:17.

and the rest of the UK. Alistair Darling described the currency union

:30:18.:30:21.

as logical and desirable. These are the words he used before he got into

:30:22.:30:24.

the heat of the no campaign and decided to change his tune. A very

:30:25.:30:29.

busy d for you. Thank you very much for joining us.

:30:30.:30:35.

Let's go back to our commentators here. A difintive statement on how

:30:36.:30:43.

much child care would cost. Yeah, I think it's great to get that answer

:30:44.:30:46.

and know that they, obviously England, Wales knew they would have

:30:47.:30:50.

priced that. The question is where is that money going to come from?

:30:51.:30:53.

She's talking about the fact that it will be 500 million less spent on

:30:54.:30:57.

defence. We know that they're wanting to scrap Trident and the

:30:58.:31:02.

costs of astronomical. She's pin pointing savings and they've said

:31:03.:31:07.

that once they can get that female workforce in place then there will

:31:08.:31:11.

be tax revenue from that and they're talking about an extra 35,000 people

:31:12.:31:17.

employed in order to be the child care professionals, to look after

:31:18.:31:21.

those children. I think that helps to clear up those different areas.

:31:22.:31:27.

Also, she makes a good point that this is now the SNP, the Scottish

:31:28.:31:32.

Government, this is them laying out their tall stall -- stall. What do

:31:33.:31:37.

we have from the other side? Staying with child care, alluded to the

:31:38.:31:43.

Nordic model, what we're seeing from Sweden, but it's a very high tax

:31:44.:31:47.

rate there to pay for that. I was putting that point to Nicola

:31:48.:31:51.

Sturgeon. Ambitions or aspirations to have a Nordic-type Welfare State,

:31:52.:31:58.

but we have seen plans to cut taxes. Good rates of corporation tax and so

:31:59.:32:03.

on. Yeah, I think the Deputy First Minister made a Valid Point that you

:32:04.:32:06.

can be inspired by other countries, you can learn and transfer some

:32:07.:32:10.

policies from there, but you have to adapt it to circumstances in the

:32:11.:32:15.

context here in Scotland. One of the things that is interesting about the

:32:16.:32:18.

Nordic and perhaps, particularly the Swedish system of child care, is

:32:19.:32:23.

that it is founded on an assumption that women will be in the work

:32:24.:32:27.

place. There's an implicit assumption in the document that you

:32:28.:32:31.

need the tax revenues from women in the work place in order to fund

:32:32.:32:35.

child care. That raise issues about how soft an obligation there would

:32:36.:32:40.

be on women to enter the work place. Would they be encouraged or given

:32:41.:32:43.

the opportunity or helped, or would they be expected to take part in the

:32:44.:32:47.

labour market. That's a slightly different policy. How Lucy, we were

:32:48.:32:53.

hoping to hear from Ruth Davidson, the leader of the Scottish

:32:54.:32:55.

Conservatives, representing Better Together. She's not been able to

:32:56.:32:58.

make it to our live point outside Holyrood. How are they going to deal

:32:59.:33:05.

with the campaign now? What's their strategy for the Better Together

:33:06.:33:08.

side now that we've got this document? We know that in the longer

:33:09.:33:12.

term, in terms of the next ten months, we know that they are

:33:13.:33:16.

looking at a September 19th strategy. So if Scotland votes no,

:33:17.:33:20.

this is what we will do in terms of enhanced powers. I think we had Lord

:33:21.:33:26.

Purvis talking about that last week in terms of here are going to be the

:33:27.:33:30.

inducements - if you vote no, we will still give you additional

:33:31.:33:36.

tax-raising powers. We will give you more respect as your own country, as

:33:37.:33:40.

your own people without going the whole hog in terms of independence.

:33:41.:33:43.

Certainly, we know that's going on behind-the-scenes. We've had a

:33:44.:33:50.

number of papers week by week in terms of science, in terms of the

:33:51.:33:54.

economy, of why Scotland should not vote for independence and why it

:33:55.:33:58.

should remain part of the UK. There will be more of that. Just briefly,

:33:59.:34:04.

Alistair Carmichael, the Scottish Secretary, that point was put to

:34:05.:34:07.

him, saying you've been too negative. He said no, we've put out

:34:08.:34:13.

positive case -- some positive case for staying in the union. How does

:34:14.:34:17.

he take the debate on? It will be interesting to see. One of the

:34:18.:34:20.

things that we ought to see a little bit more of is a bit more scrutiny

:34:21.:34:25.

of the other side, in a sense. Because we've talked a lot about so

:34:26.:34:30.

much of this would be negotiated and agreed and we don't know whether or

:34:31.:34:34.

not it would be in the interests of the rest of the UK or the UK

:34:35.:34:37.

Government to agree. The Scottish Government cannot say what would be

:34:38.:34:40.

in the UK estate agency interest really, but they can, and we ought

:34:41.:34:46.

to be asking them a little bit more. There's doubts raised about currency

:34:47.:34:50.

unions and so on. But nothing really definite. I think we need a little

:34:51.:34:57.

bit more definite for the voters. Well, thank you both very much for

:34:58.:35:01.

joining me here. Thanks for your company this afternoon. That's all

:35:02.:35:06.

from us this afternoon. We're back tomorrow at 2. 30pm, with our

:35:07.:35:10.

regular Politics Scotland programme. For more on today's events, be sure

:35:11.:35:15.

to catch a special one-hour edition of Reporting Scotland on BBC One

:35:16.:35:18.

this evening at 6. 30pm. There will be full coverage on the white paper

:35:19.:35:24.

on independence, the latest reaction from the political spectrum and

:35:25.:35:28.

expert analysis for what it means for us. That's it. See you tomorrow.

:35:29.:35:29.

Bye-bye.

:35:30.:35:35.

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