06/06/2017 The Election Wrap


06/06/2017

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Transcript


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Hello and welcome to The Election Wrap, your guide

:00:20.:00:20.

Now put down the game console, and listen up.

:00:21.:00:26.

Yes you, dear young voters, aged 18 to 25.

:00:27.:00:31.

You could be key to who wins the election.

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main parties face questions from a youthful Newsbeat audience,

:00:35.:00:38.

in Manchester, in the final TV debate of the campaign.

:00:39.:00:43.

We'll be in Bradford West, one of the youngest constituencies

:00:44.:00:45.

in the country, to find out the issues that matter

:00:46.:00:50.

to the under 25s, dear oh dear, the most apathetic group of voters

:00:51.:00:53.

With crucial Brexit talks due to start just 11

:00:54.:00:57.

days after the election, it's claimed the debate surrounding

:00:58.:01:00.

leaving the EU has hardly figured in the campaign.

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We'll have the view from Brussels on our election.

:01:05.:01:10.

And we should do more of this - bring together in peace

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and harmony voices usually hoarse from shouting at each other.

:01:13.:01:15.

Gina Miller, the woman who took the government to court

:01:16.:01:17.

over Article 50 and won, talks Brexit, with the former Ukip

:01:18.:01:20.

I do not understand the inflexible way we're going towards

:01:21.:01:35.

negotiations. Why not just leave, why negotiate. So civilised.

:01:36.:01:39.

And mulling all this over, my guests political commentator

:01:40.:01:41.

Jo Phillips and Times columnist Iain Martin.

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Let's bring you up to date with the latest developments

:01:50.:01:52.

Theresa May returns to her central message that only the Conservatives

:01:53.:01:57.

offer stable government and warns that the election could

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If we lose just six seats then the government loses its majority. And

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if we lose just six seats we could see Jeremy Corbyn in Number Ten

:02:13.:02:18.

Downing St. Diane Abbott looking after our national security. John

:02:19.:02:27.

McDonnell at the Treasury with our economy. And the strings being

:02:28.:02:29.

pulled by Nicola Sturgeon. Jeremy Corbyn remains

:02:30.:02:32.

hopeful he can win. He says he's attracted thousands

:02:33.:02:34.

of people to back Labour because it offers hope

:02:35.:02:39.

and campaigned on a We are nearly at the end of this

:02:40.:02:49.

campaign and we have done dozens of events all over the country and you

:02:50.:02:53.

know what, everywhere we go the crowds get bigger, people are

:02:54.:02:58.

determined to show that this election can be won by Labour but we

:02:59.:03:04.

are also offering something very different to the Conservatives. We

:03:05.:03:07.

are offering hope that they are offering something else.

:03:08.:03:13.

And Nicola Sturgeon reckons the outcome in Scotland could be vital.

:03:14.:03:24.

And Paul Nuttall insisted that his party is the patriotic party and its

:03:25.:03:28.

policies on immigration and foreign aid will come to be seen as ahead of

:03:29.:03:30.

their time. The Lib Dem leader, Tim Farron,

:03:31.:03:32.

thinks it's possible what he terms the Conservatives'

:03:33.:03:34.

arrogance at this The approach they took to this

:03:35.:03:48.

election, assuming a landslide and taking the people of the country for

:03:49.:03:52.

granted. So a vote for the Conservatives on Thursday will be

:03:53.:03:56.

heard by Theresa May as an endorsement of the dementia attacks

:03:57.:04:00.

but also police cut and cuts to health and school as well.

:04:01.:04:08.

A lot of talk about security inevitably but the parties now

:04:09.:04:14.

perhaps returning to their core messages? They're trying to get it

:04:15.:04:21.

back but I think the issue of course of the tragic and appalling events

:04:22.:04:26.

of Saturday is overshadowing everything. And there are questions

:04:27.:04:30.

about police numbers, about security. Questions about prevention

:04:31.:04:37.

of extremism and how we fund and support the security services. That

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is not going to go away and neither should it because it is a big issue.

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And whoever aspires to be in Downing Street on Friday needs to address

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those issues very clearly. They're trying to get back but this has been

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a fractious election. Very difficult. We had those appalling

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attacks, we had leaders who have their own issues in getting their

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message out and that has been hampering them. And the Tories so

:05:09.:05:13.

far ahead of the beginning of this campaign and pegged right back. It

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has been fascinating in many respects. Some of the viewers might

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disagree! At full price -- for precisely the reason you have said,

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one party starting with an enormous lead which has been eroded. I think

:05:27.:05:32.

you have those closing messages returning to the message with which

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they began the campaign, it is about getting out the vote, turning out

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their existing voters. You are beyond the stage in the campaign we

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could hope to convert anyone so the Tories are going back to that strong

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and stable position and Jeremy Corbyn with his hope and all the

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rest of it. And now it is about maximising the vote, the get out the

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vote operation. I think the biggest fear is because it has been such a

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ghastly campaign, and probably all the party leaders would agree, the

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biggest fear is no one bothers on Thursday. And there is a low turnout

:06:11.:06:15.

and dreadful weather. And that is not good for any of us. I think it

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is particularly fascinating election because we are seeing a big sea

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change, ostensibly returned to the 2-party politics, the disappearance

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of Ukip potentially, the Liberal Democrats staggering, and the

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re-emergence of quite a strong labour tribal vote.

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Well, could the youth vote be key to this election?

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Tonight the seven main parties face questions from a Newsbeat audience

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of 18-to-25-year olds in Manchester in the final TV debate.

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I think we're going to hear from the audience tonight a lot of passion,

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we talk about young voters being apathetic but having gone around the

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UK in this election talking to merrily under 25 about how they're

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going to vote and why they're not, a lot of care about the issues, low

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wages, their chances of going to university, equal rights. What turns

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them off is the language of politics and performance of politicians on

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the TV and radio. Jonathan Blake. Fewer than half of young people

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voted in the 2015 general election - so will they be more likely to turn

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out this time round? We've been in Bradford West,

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one of the youngest constituencies in the country, talking to a group

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of under 25s. Labour have the biggest poll lead

:07:33.:07:42.

amongst the young voters so what does not make of the party the

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Jeremy Corbyn? I think he is a great party leader. I worry if he becomes

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Prime Minister, would he be able to talk internationally. So not

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everyone convinced. And what about Prime Minister Theresa May question

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mark she is good as party leader but they have been in power for 18 years

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now and I do not feel as a student I have got what I wanted from them. So

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what do these bright young things one from the party they vote for?

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Mental health is a big issue at the moment. There should be much more

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emphasis on helping those who have mental health issues. The NHS should

:08:28.:08:31.

be posted because of the cuts to funding. With Jeremy Hunt going

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against junior doctors, that has put pressure on the NHS and a lot more

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funding needs to be put in. I believe if you are capable of going

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to university you should not have to pay a fee. Because you worked hard

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to get there. And what about the Brexit word, 73% of the Young voted

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to stay in the EU. I voted to stay in. I voted to stay. Remain. I feel

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the Lib Dems are more open about Brexit and talking about a second

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referendum before the final deal goes through. We do not normally

:09:10.:09:22.

associate young voters for some reason with the Conservative Party.

:09:23.:09:26.

There is a long tradition of this is voters tend to move towards the

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centre or a little bit right as they get older. But the Tory party has a

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particular problem this time and that is compounded by the fact that

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I think they just expected that not to matter. They did not anticipate a

:09:42.:09:46.

surge amongst young voters for Jeremy Corbyn. The question is

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whether they will turn out. But also the Tories took the bizarre step of

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declaring war on older voters through the so-called dementia

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attacks. Voters they thought were signed, sealed and delivered, those

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older voters, it is striking that the Conservatives do not in a

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manifesto merely have a message of opportunity or aspiration for young

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voters about getting on housing ladder. All of that kind of stuff.

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Is there any policy designed to get to someone under 30? It is strange

:10:23.:10:25.

because although the Conservatives have had a problem with younger

:10:26.:10:33.

voters, they have been quite good, Margaret Thatcher, McMillan, David

:10:34.:10:38.

Cameron, in terms of talking about that ladder of opportunity. They

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have had a way of appealing to aspiration. But it is striking and

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you see it and hear it from focus groups and use it in the vox pops.

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People of that age just a bit baffled, why they would vote

:11:01.:11:05.

Conservative. Then again you have the young Jeremy Corbyn fans. They

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only have to pay ?1 to join the party and he is galvanising them.

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They think that money grows on trees! If Jeremy Corbyn is offering

:11:17.:11:27.

or peddling hope, that is what use is all about, hope. But I think it

:11:28.:11:33.

is astonishing that the Tories went out of their way to is not alienate

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but certainly sow seeds of doubt amongst their coffee -- their core

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voters. If that was their attempt to say we know that young people should

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not be paying the fuel allowance for rich pensioners, they did not do

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that in a good way. Of course the answer is you want a strong economy

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and entrepreneurial stuff, but nothing about aspiration. And the

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Lib Dems, you know, and the SNP... Well the Lib Dems had their

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manifesto launch in a discotheque! Appealing to young people!

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Will our friends at BBC economy have put together a little Malaysian

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appealing to younger voters. Is there an argument that of the more

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all the problems in Britain they might just go away? Historically

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there has not been the case. The CBA is represented all over the UK and

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we are getting bigger and bigger. In Manchester in 2015 56% of registered

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voters did not vote. Most of them were young people. We are proud of

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them. They are shaping the future of this country without even lifting a

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finger. Those are used to upload pictures of their food. So join the

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CBA party today. It is easy, you do not have to do anything. The CDA

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party, ignore the problems of the UK and they might just go away. CBA

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party? Are we allowed to say that? Can't be bothered. Now the turnout

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for 18 to 24-year-old in the referendum campaign was 64%. Which

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is pretty good. You have to ask why David Cameron did not at that stage

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lower the voting age to 16 for the referendum. And why would you not do

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that and then making voting compulsory. That is part of the

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Labour manifesto. I think they do want to do that. And the Lib Dems as

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well and the SNP have already done it. But that apathy, it was

:14:10.:14:16.

suggested by Jonathan Blake, is apparently because politicians of a

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certain age do not know how to talk to young people. This has always

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been the case, I do a lot of work with schools and debating groups and

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I find young people are incredibly engaged about politics. That is at

:14:29.:14:33.

school. And I cannot wait to vote. I was involved with the Home Office

:14:34.:14:39.

with John Denham in getting out the youth vote. But in fact what happens

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is by the time they get to 19, 20, 25, they're so busy with their own

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opinions but they forget actually that you have to make that effort

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and get your name on a register and get down to the polling station

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before ten o'clock at night. And for the Labour fortunes to go up and

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down on Thursday, those young people have got to put down their game

:15:08.:15:11.

console or whatever, generalising ridiculously, but they've got to get

:15:12.:15:16.

out and make the effort. So much of the election depends on precisely

:15:17.:15:19.

that. If you look at the opinion polls in the last few weeks which

:15:20.:15:25.

put Labour much closer to the the pollsters that have narrowed the gap

:15:26.:15:32.

are predicated there being a high turnout. Something like 75, 80% of

:15:33.:15:37.

young voters which has never happened before. But anything is

:15:38.:15:45.

possible, we live in the era of Brexit and Donald Trump. There has

:15:46.:15:48.

been a lot of big increases in terms of voter registration, Labour might

:15:49.:15:53.

be doing something underneath the surface on social media. That has

:15:54.:15:57.

not really been picked up on yet. So it is possible. Well if the

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Conservatives can be bothered to increased their majority on Thursday

:16:08.:16:12.

they will have to do well to win some of the seats they won in 2015.

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One of their top target seats is Newcastle-Under-Lyme

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Labour have held the seat since 1922, but they are defending

:16:19.:16:22.

What do voters there want to see from their politicians?

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It is the birthplace of the man who created the modern-day circus.

:16:26.:16:35.

Newcastle-under-Lyme in North Staffordshire. We created the circus

:16:36.:16:48.

ring. The foreman has come to town with his act, not that different to

:16:49.:16:53.

the general election. Political spin, juggling campaigns, and

:16:54.:16:58.

performance. Sound familiar? Politics can sometimes feel like a

:16:59.:17:03.

bit of the circus so what will the candidates here do? Police numbers

:17:04.:17:06.

in terms of neighbourhood policing have stayed the same and that is

:17:07.:17:11.

important in terms of intelligence gathering feeding through. As we've

:17:12.:17:15.

seen from Theresa May we need to look again at what legislation might

:17:16.:17:21.

be needed as the world and technology evolves. We've said we

:17:22.:17:25.

will invest in the security services, in more policemen on the

:17:26.:17:31.

front line and beef up our security apparatus. Under Theresa May after

:17:32.:17:34.

six years at the Home Office it has been cut and cut and cut. The

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impression some people get is that we in the Lib Dems think we allowed

:17:39.:17:43.

too much freedom to too many people and therefore we're not going to put

:17:44.:17:51.

the procedures in place to restrain those people incline towards

:17:52.:17:54.

terrorism. That is not the case. Voters have returned Labour MP here

:17:55.:18:00.

since 1919, 98 years. Can they do it again? But this time around the

:18:01.:18:05.

candidates are walking a tightrope. Labour contend with a slim majority

:18:06.:18:10.

of 650 in 2015, it is a balancing act. The marginal seat has attracted

:18:11.:18:16.

celebrities aboard. Steve Coogan out for Labour at the new Vic Theatre.

:18:17.:18:19.

But the real drama is coming on Thursday. Who will wobble, who will

:18:20.:18:24.

fall and who will be the last man standing?

:18:25.:18:35.

650 votes separating the parties. Theresa May we are hearing has just

:18:36.:18:39.

said that she will beef up some human rights laws if they stop us

:18:40.:18:44.

from tackling terrorism. Is that the kind of tough rhetoric that could

:18:45.:18:47.

swing it in a constituency where there are just a handful of votes?

:18:48.:18:52.

It might do. I wonder, I would question whether the terrible events

:18:53.:18:58.

of the last few weeks on the terror front, I would wonder if it is that

:18:59.:19:03.

simple for the Conservatives. Because there is only questions to

:19:04.:19:07.

answer, for example about the Borough Market three, why they were

:19:08.:19:14.

not picked up. And the record of Theresa May in Home Office. I would

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question with so little time to go where they really that makes a

:19:20.:19:23.

difference. It suggests the Conservatives after a pretty rugby

:19:24.:19:28.

campaign are worried. You wrote an article which has been quoted by a

:19:29.:19:34.

lot of people, a few days ago, that suggested that this was the worst

:19:35.:19:39.

Conservative campaign since what, the Second World War? Since the

:19:40.:19:47.

First World War. Since 1906. Where they went backwards. I think to

:19:48.:19:54.

begin with such an enormous lead and such a weak opponent, and then to

:19:55.:20:01.

really make quite a spectacular mess of it, I cannot remember an election

:20:02.:20:08.

in which the Conservative campaign has been so vulnerable as this. I

:20:09.:20:13.

think also there's something about her quality of leadership and the

:20:14.:20:19.

way in which she has been exposed to the public and found wanting. To an

:20:20.:20:26.

extent. The strong and stable, build everything around Theresa May,

:20:27.:20:31.

addiction the Conservative brand, that is fine and then things began

:20:32.:20:36.

to go wrong with a manifesto, Labour fought a better campaign than

:20:37.:20:40.

anticipated. In the last ten days, Lynton Crosby, the Australian

:20:41.:20:48.

election guru who had not been in full control, has effectively taken

:20:49.:20:51.

full control of the campaign. And they've tried to move it on to a

:20:52.:20:55.

much more disciplined and clear message. But one of the fascinating

:20:56.:21:01.

things, when it is all over on Friday, no matter the size of

:21:02.:21:04.

majority think they will be a lot of Tory disquiet about how a lead of 20

:21:05.:21:13.

points was potentially squandered. Those shortcomings suggested in

:21:14.:21:19.

Theresa May and her campaign but Jeremy Corbyn on the campaign stump

:21:20.:21:24.

has been brilliant. That is a fact. Absolutely and he engages with

:21:25.:21:27.

people and they like him, they find him affable. That's a different

:21:28.:21:32.

question as to whether you want him running the country and Diane Abbott

:21:33.:21:37.

at the Home Office. That is the Tory argument. Exactly. But he is much

:21:38.:21:41.

better with people. I think Theresa May, she does not have that kind of

:21:42.:21:50.

human warmth. Frankly we're not voting for our friends, but for

:21:51.:21:53.

someone we think is the best leadership. But the Tories have

:21:54.:22:01.

always been absolutely bang on with discipline, disciplined getting

:22:02.:22:07.

their supporters, sticking to the message, and that was what Tony

:22:08.:22:10.

Blair and Alastair Campbell brought to the 1997 election campaign, they

:22:11.:22:14.

learned the only way to do it by discipline. And it has just gone to

:22:15.:22:21.

pot. Astonishingly bad. We have got one more full day of campaigning to

:22:22.:22:27.

go. Do you expect that tomorrow, Brexit, Brexit, Brexit from the

:22:28.:22:32.

Conservatives? 11 days before the substantive talks begin on a

:22:33.:22:38.

sleeping. They have done the strong and stable tough -- stuff today and

:22:39.:22:43.

the final message I think will have a lot to do with Brexit. The logic

:22:44.:22:47.

makes perfect sense. I think we might look back on the campaign and

:22:48.:22:51.

think that the Tories closed in the final few days in quite a clever way

:22:52.:22:57.

and I think that is about the Brexit message, motivating former Ukip

:22:58.:23:01.

voters of that is the key for the Tories. David Cameron won the last

:23:02.:23:07.

election with 35% of the vote, and if after some wobbling as the polls

:23:08.:23:13.

suggest, there is a large chunk of that 4 million Ukip vote, say 2

:23:14.:23:19.

million, swapping over to the Conservatives, in the right places,

:23:20.:23:22.

that takes the Conservatives into the majority of 50, 60, 70

:23:23.:23:29.

territory. For the Ukip voter, hearing the Brexit word is very

:23:30.:23:36.

important. I think Labour are going to try to get it back onto that.

:23:37.:23:43.

What happens is beyond anyone's control and that may swing things

:23:44.:23:50.

but I think they had a plan and I think the Labour Party will get it

:23:51.:23:54.

back and try to go for the Carter, Reagan thing. Jeremy Corbyn wants to

:23:55.:24:02.

offer hope and to a certain extent Theresa May is offering clear. So

:24:03.:24:07.

we're back to that whole Brexit campaign which was based on fear or

:24:08.:24:12.

threat. I think that is damaging for us as a democracy. A lot of people I

:24:13.:24:20.

think, and particularly Theresa May will be glad when Friday comes but I

:24:21.:24:24.

think what happens afterwards, if we have a hung parliament, Jeremy

:24:25.:24:30.

Corbyn unassailable because probably he will get more votes than Ed

:24:31.:24:35.

Miliband. Theresa May now probably holed below the water line unless

:24:36.:24:38.

she can pull something out of the bag. Very interesting indeed.

:24:39.:24:47.

With the general election round the corner, my colleague

:24:48.:24:49.

Victoria Derbyshire's been organising a series

:24:50.:24:51.

of Election Blind Dates - a lunch between two people with very

:24:52.:24:54.

This time it's the turn of Gina Miller - the woman who took

:24:55.:24:58.

the government to court over Article 50 and won - and Godfrey Bloom,

:24:59.:25:01.

a former UKIP politician known for making controversial remarks -

:25:02.:25:03.

I'm Godfrey Bloom. I was a founder member of Ukip but it is not for me.

:25:04.:25:17.

But every time I see Theresa May on television my pen hovers over the

:25:18.:25:20.

ballot vote. She's very good at running a church fete but as from

:25:21.:25:25.

running a country I rather not. I would hope that this is not a date

:25:26.:25:30.

with someone who has no respect for women. I'm Gina Miller, I took the

:25:31.:25:34.

government to court. My voting history has been for the Labour

:25:35.:25:37.

Party because it is all but Brexit so I will vote Lib Dem. Hello! How

:25:38.:25:49.

lovely to see you. And you. Do you think we have given already more

:25:50.:25:57.

away with the Brexit negotiations then we should have done. Rather

:25:58.:26:02.

than getting too much away to Ali I think it is the mood, all the

:26:03.:26:06.

Europeans on the other side of the table must be now looking at us and

:26:07.:26:11.

thinking we can be as strict as possible because this Prime Minister

:26:12.:26:15.

will buckle under pressure. I do not understand the inflexible way we're

:26:16.:26:19.

going towards these negotiations. Why are we negotiating, why not just

:26:20.:26:25.

leave? What happens next if we just leave? When I left my club, my

:26:26.:26:30.

London club, I wrote a very nice letter and said it was marvellous

:26:31.:26:34.

and goodbye. They said sorry to lose you, goodbye. What are we

:26:35.:26:38.

negotiating? The question I asked was what happens next. What happens

:26:39.:26:47.

next is we just leave. They have already said it's not that simple.

:26:48.:26:53.

Do people know what they voted for? You're saying people are stupid and

:26:54.:26:59.

do not understand what they voted for? I have been hearing a lot of

:27:00.:27:11.

this. If why the day before the referendum the biggest Google search

:27:12.:27:14.

was what is the European Union. That was the biggest search by millions.

:27:15.:27:22.

Always the same when you meet your fellow, so much more common ground

:27:23.:27:25.

than you ever imagined. What is positive, we can disagree and agree

:27:26.:27:32.

but have a civilised conversation. It was pretty civilised, at the

:27:33.:27:37.

beginning! It drifted off a bit at the end. Mr Bloom Megan Giglia the

:27:38.:27:43.

British public knew what they were voting for. -- Mr Bloom making it

:27:44.:27:57.

clear. A second referendum? I do not think so, we are where we are. So I

:27:58.:28:02.

think not. I do not think there is the public appetite for that. But

:28:03.:28:07.

the idea of a hard Brexit, is that what people voted for? I think they

:28:08.:28:15.

voted to leave the European Union. And we believe in a number of

:28:16.:28:18.

different ways. But the Lib Dems have had problems, the country has

:28:19.:28:24.

moved on. Those who voted for Brexit are glad it is happening and the

:28:25.:28:29.

other half who voted to remain, they it is going to happen. That is about

:28:30.:28:33.

three quarters of the country. It has been great to have you, thank

:28:34.:28:38.

you very much. And that is it from Election Wrap for today. Thank you

:28:39.:28:40.

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