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Snow. If ever there's a word to gain maximum interest | 0:00:03 | 0:00:05 | |
at the start of a forecast, it's that one, | 0:00:05 | 0:00:07 | |
and, given the weather we have had recently, | 0:00:07 | 0:00:10 | |
snow may not be the first thing you are expecting me to talk about. | 0:00:10 | 0:00:13 | |
However, this is the forecast that looks further ahead than the others, | 0:00:13 | 0:00:16 | |
and by next weekend, it looks like we are going to be in air cold enough to | 0:00:16 | 0:00:20 | |
produce snow and for some of us, the first snow we've seen this season. | 0:00:20 | 0:00:25 | |
But, until then, it's proper autumn weather still in control. | 0:00:25 | 0:00:29 | |
More wet and windy weather to come and that's | 0:00:29 | 0:00:32 | |
because we've got an active jet stream driving in these | 0:00:32 | 0:00:34 | |
areas of low pressure across the Atlantic towards us. | 0:00:34 | 0:00:37 | |
One for Monday, one for Tuesday, another for Wednesday | 0:00:37 | 0:00:41 | |
and one always quite close by to northern Scotland. | 0:00:41 | 0:00:43 | |
So let's see how this week pans out day by day. | 0:00:43 | 0:00:46 | |
For Monday, there is a break | 0:00:46 | 0:00:49 | |
from the incessant rain some of us have had over the weekend. | 0:00:49 | 0:00:52 | |
There are showers, though, still towards the north-west of the UK. | 0:00:52 | 0:00:54 | |
Hail and thunder possible with these. | 0:00:54 | 0:00:56 | |
Cold enough to be wintery on the tops of the hills at this stage, | 0:00:56 | 0:00:59 | |
and even stronger winds for a time in northern Scotland producing | 0:00:59 | 0:01:03 | |
here gusts above 70mph, so there could be some further disruption. | 0:01:03 | 0:01:08 | |
And more rain to come from a quick-moving weather system towards | 0:01:08 | 0:01:11 | |
southern parts of the UK Monday night and into Tuesday morning. | 0:01:11 | 0:01:14 | |
Tuesday still very windy across northern Scotland for a time. | 0:01:14 | 0:01:17 | |
Then this low pressure comes in later on Tuesday, | 0:01:17 | 0:01:20 | |
an it's this that promises more rain for areas | 0:01:20 | 0:01:22 | |
that don't need it - | 0:01:22 | 0:01:23 | |
northern England, North Wales, Northern Ireland too. | 0:01:23 | 0:01:26 | |
Northern extent still uncertain. Scotland stays in fairly chilly air. | 0:01:26 | 0:01:30 | |
Still mild to the south. | 0:01:30 | 0:01:31 | |
Strengthening winds, though, | 0:01:31 | 0:01:33 | |
on the southern flank of this area of low pressure. | 0:01:33 | 0:01:35 | |
That means the risk of disruptive gales to parts of South Wales | 0:01:35 | 0:01:38 | |
and southern England, in particular. | 0:01:38 | 0:01:41 | |
So that's something to watch. That's system pulls away on Tuesday night. | 0:01:41 | 0:01:44 | |
There is a very brief ridge of high pressure coming in. | 0:01:44 | 0:01:47 | |
So the winds easing going into Wednesday morning, | 0:01:47 | 0:01:49 | |
especially across northern parts. | 0:01:49 | 0:01:51 | |
Allowing a cold start with a touch of frost. | 0:01:51 | 0:01:53 | |
Bit of a lull, then, first thing Wednesday, | 0:01:53 | 0:01:55 | |
but then that next area of low pressure coming in. | 0:01:55 | 0:01:57 | |
That's bringing rain to parts of Northern Ireland and Scotland, | 0:01:57 | 0:02:00 | |
again with strengthening winds. | 0:02:00 | 0:02:02 | |
Still southern parts of the UK in the unusually mild air with | 0:02:02 | 0:02:06 | |
temperatures into the mid teens. | 0:02:06 | 0:02:08 | |
That system then drives rain south-eastwards late | 0:02:08 | 0:02:11 | |
Wednesday into Thursday morning. | 0:02:11 | 0:02:13 | |
Some heavy bursts, further heavy, squally showers | 0:02:13 | 0:02:16 | |
following on behind to western parts, in particular, on Thursday. | 0:02:16 | 0:02:19 | |
Maybe merging to give some longer spells of rain in Scotland. | 0:02:19 | 0:02:22 | |
Those winds are strong, near gale, | 0:02:22 | 0:02:24 | |
if not gale towards western coasts on Thursday. | 0:02:24 | 0:02:28 | |
Then we begin the gradual transition to colder air right across the UK. | 0:02:28 | 0:02:32 | |
You can see the isobars lining up to the north. | 0:02:32 | 0:02:34 | |
That colder air pushing south Thursday into Friday. | 0:02:34 | 0:02:37 | |
But, as yet, there is some uncertainty about the timing, | 0:02:37 | 0:02:39 | |
and that comes from this weather front close to southern England | 0:02:39 | 0:02:42 | |
that could keep some of us still in the mild air on Friday | 0:02:42 | 0:02:45 | |
and still with some outbreaks of rain. | 0:02:45 | 0:02:48 | |
But if you're not in the cold air by the end of Friday, you will be going | 0:02:48 | 0:02:51 | |
into next weekend and that is going to bring those wintery showers, | 0:02:51 | 0:02:55 | |
those snow showers, | 0:02:55 | 0:02:57 | |
to ever lower levels across the northern half of Britain, but not | 0:02:57 | 0:03:00 | |
necessarily just across the northern half of Britain next weekend. | 0:03:00 | 0:03:03 | |
Again, something we need to be keeping a close eye on. | 0:03:03 | 0:03:06 | |
So, next weekend - cold. Colder still when you factor in the wind. | 0:03:06 | 0:03:10 | |
So wind chill will be an issue, and again, we have that risk of snow. | 0:03:10 | 0:03:14 | |
Nothing unusual for the time of year, | 0:03:14 | 0:03:16 | |
just very unusual compared to what we've had. | 0:03:16 | 0:03:18 | |
It looks as if going into the following week, | 0:03:18 | 0:03:21 | |
temperatures come up a little bit, so this may be a short, sharp shock. | 0:03:21 | 0:03:26 | |
But a reminder that we are getting ever closer to winter. Bye for now. | 0:03:26 | 0:03:30 | |
In this job, we must always be prepared to take risks. | 0:03:31 | 0:03:35 | |
Strike! Strike! | 0:03:35 | 0:03:37 | |
Support your fellow officers. | 0:03:37 | 0:03:41 | |
Wait till someone's vulnerable, then knock 'em down. | 0:03:41 | 0:03:43 | |
Good advice, Dad. | 0:03:43 | 0:03:46 | |
All the pressures of the force. | 0:03:46 | 0:03:47 |