25/12/2015 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello. Let's see what the weather is up to over the next few days

and, as promised, a very mild Christmas.

In fact, the Met Office is saying December is likely to be

the warmest December since records began.

Hardly surprisingly when we have had temperatures of around 14, 15,

16 and even higher over the last few weeks.

This is Storm Eva, sweeping the north-west of the British Isles

and the last 24 hours or so.

In between weather systems in this gap

and then this area of low pressure cloud approaching

the south-west of the UK on Christmas Day so more rain, a bit of a breeze

and certainly mild weather reaching the south-west of the country.

10am, raining across parts

of the South West, Central, Southern England, Southern Wales too.

But, for many of us,

Christmas Day is actually going to start off quite bright.

Quite pleasant actually if you are going out for a walk at this time.

Some sunshine in the East Midlands, across Yorkshire.

Northern Ireland, a chilly, crisp start.

Feeling quite Christmassy actually. And the same goes for Scotland.

There might even be some wintry showers

so for a few it will be a white Christmas but only in the Highlands.

Then through the day on Christmas Day,

this weather front moves ever northwards.

It crosses the Midlands in the middle of the afternoon.

Behind it we have got milder weather.

In fact, temperatures will be in the mid-teens in the evening

on Christmas Day. Much colder in Scotland.

Or like 4 or 5 degrees for Aberdeenshire

and into the Western Isles. That's Christmas Day.

Into Boxing Day, unfortunately, this weather front could cause trouble.

It looks as if it is making a beeline,

at this stage we are thinking for Cumbria.

It has prompted the Met Office to issue an amber warning for Cumbria

because the rain will be very heavy and the impact could be significant.

We could see more flooding across this part of the country but it may

just take a nudge of this weather front a bit further south or north

to reduce or increase the amount of rainfall we will get across Cumbria.

But the large swathe of the UK will actually be dry on Boxing Day.

Dry and mild across the south, 14 or 15 degrees.

Then that wet weather in the north-west

and southern parts of Scotland.

And the north of Scotland colder, around six, seven, eight degrees.

On Sunday, a huge area of low pressure dominating the Atlantic.

It is scooping up all that mild air that is sitting in

the southern climes across the Azores and shunting it into our direction.

That means on Sunday it will be a mild one.

Winds south or even south-easterly.

That means the mild air in the south will be pushed northwards.

It could be around 13, 14, 15 degrees in some areas.

On Monday, low pressure dominates the Atlantic

and what we are keeping an eye on is these baby lows

developing to the south and pushed by a powerful jet stream.

These will be developing, spinning up quickly and heading in our direction.

The first set of weather fronts arrives on Monday.

There will be some rain. Not too bad, maybe even a bit of sunshine.

Temperatures will be around 13 degrees in the south,

double figures even in Scotland.

Monday night into Tuesday, the jet stream becomes more powerful,

it swings in our direction and develops this area of low pressure.

It is still too early to say how nasty this low will be

but, if we look at the pressure pattern,

you can see an awful lot of isobars here.

That means very strong winds,

severe gales blowing across a number of areas.

For the lead up into the New Year, it is looking stormy.

Stay in touch with the latest weather updates

if you are travelling across the country.

That's it. Have a very Merry Christmas.

KNOCKING

Can I help you? Yes, are you the surgeon?

Close enough. Why? There's a medical emergency.

Do I know you? You most certainly do not.

My husband is dying.