08/01/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


08/01/2016

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Hello. Last night, John talked to you about the potential for

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some drier weather into next week. That potential is still with us.

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But, for the here and now, once again the rain today has left severe

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flood warnings out across parts of eastern Scotland.

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That means a danger to life.

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This is the floodline number.

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There are numerous flood warnings in force

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as well as the severe flood warnings.

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And still the amber warnings for further rain to come overnight

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and through Friday from the Met Office.

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As well as that, it is likely to turn to snow over the hills 200-300m

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and it will turn pretty icy with temperatures close to freezing.

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We could also have a smattering of snow

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for the hills of Northern Ireland, northern England, southern Scotland

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and that's a little too close for comfort

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to the central lowlands for the Friday morning rush.

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So it could be an awkward mix of rain and sleet and snow.

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Quite slippery conditions, potentially, a real taste of winter.

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Yet, still the rain falls across the east and north of Scotland.

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Further south across England and Wales, more likely that we'll

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have some hail showers, some heavy showers around with blustery winds.

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Not as windy as it was during the day on Thursday, and those showers

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should move through allowing some sunshine in between.

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Eventually, we should see things drying up

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a little for Aberdeenshire, Angus, Tayside as well, as that rain

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becomes stuck across Caithness, Sutherland and into Orkney as well.

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Still that cold strong wind,

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still the potential for snow even at lower levels in western areas here.

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And it's a cold day, only 2 for Glasgow.

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We talked about snow, it's no surprise,

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perhaps double figures in the south.

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Then, as we move into the weekend,

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the devil's in the detail, as John mentioned last night.

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This low pressure meanders in across the UK.

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It's where it comes to settle is

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where we'll see longer spells of rain.

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But with low pressure across us, all of us will see yet more rain

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over the weekend and that does pose the risk of further flooding,

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particularly for those areas seeing some sizeable amounts of rainfall.

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The ground is so saturated at the moment, it doesn't take much.

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So you saw all those winds dragging that rain north through Saturday.

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Into Sunday, it's still with us.

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The potential for some snow over the hills. It's still pretty cold air.

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The winds around the periphery of that area of low pressure

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will be strong to gale force as well.

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Still around in the north on Sunday night into Monday

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and then we turn our attention to the potential for this

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low pressure to skip close by to southern areas on Monday.

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Some question mark as to how far north that is going to come

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and obviously that has implications for our wind and rain.

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But, thereafter, there's still the hint that the jetstream will

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move further southwards so that will drag the areas of low pressure,

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the rainmakers, further south, we think, across many parts of France

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towards Italy across the Alps and perhaps Iberia as well.

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However, as that happens, we get into the true cold air as well.

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So, a hint of cold weather anyway for the next three or four days,

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with an ongoing risk of frost and ice.

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But we could see even colder weather next week,

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which will keep those weather fronts at bay as well.

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A blast of Arctic air,

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what it should feel like, really, through the middle of the winter.

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We've got a blocking high-pressure system up towards the north

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and east and that will push those low pressures away from our shores.

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However, there is a question mark for later next week,

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just a question mark at this stage,

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that there could be some windier weather

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and therefore wetter weather coming back in.

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But at the moment, it is looking notably colder

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with a risk of frost, ice, wintry showers around

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and for a time, at least, drier than it has been recently.

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But, again, it's a case of watch this space.

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All the warnings are on the website.

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