02/02/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


02/02/2016

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Hello there. It seemed we barely had time to catch our breath

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after Storm Gertrude left the UK before hot on its

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heels was Storm Henry, our eighth named storm of the winter season.

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It made for some dramatic Weather Watchers' pictures,

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but it also brought some damaging gusts of wind.

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And in fact, we will continue to see those damaging

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gusts of wind for the first half of Tuesday.

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Severe gales, perhaps storm force, into the far north, slowly

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easing down through the afternoon but still a windy day for all of us.

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On top of that, there will be some relentless rain and some

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snow to the tops of mountains, blizzard-like conditions here.

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A scattering of showers along west-facing coasts,

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but some brightness elsewhere,

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but a windy afternoon and temperatures struggling,

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perhaps, to get into double figures, six to ten degrees at the very best.

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Now, as we move out of Tuesday into Wednesday, we will continue to see

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the remnants of Henry with this dying weather front as it

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continues to push its way steadily south.

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For a time, winds will strengthen through the Irish Sea,

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affecting north-west England, and on the leading edge we could see

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some snow across the Pennines and perhaps higher ground of Wales.

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More importantly, behind it a colder night to come with

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a widespread frost and maybe some ice on untreated surfaces.

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So, we start off on Wednesday with the remnants of that dying

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weather front, but it is a dying one

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and just really a band of cloud by the middle of the day

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on Wednesday, with the odd spot or two of showery rain.

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After that chilly start,

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there'll be some sunshine into the far north as the winds swing

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round to a north-westerly direction, so a cooler feel here,

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four or five degrees.

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To the south of that band of cloud

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we should see temperatures sitting at around eight or nine.

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As we move into Thursday, still a quieter story.

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There is the potential for persistent rain in the north-west.

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We'll need to keep an eye on that. It may lead to localised flooding.

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And again, the winds swing back to a south-westerly,

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driving in milder air. Temperatures return back to double figures.

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Another weather front waiting in the wings for Friday.

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And there is a level of uncertainty as to the timings of this weather

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front and how quickly it's going to sink its way south and east.

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More importantly, it's dragging in milder southerly air for a time,

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and there will be heavy rain, as well, we'll need to keep an eye on.

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But as that weather front sinks south and east -

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and, as I say, timing's a little uncertain at the moment -

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I need to draw your attention to this area of low pressure

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developing into the south-west.

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That could cause some issues as we move into the weekend.

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If you've got weekend plans,

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you'll need to keep abreast of the weather forecast.

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One thing is for certain -

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as that front does continue to clear its way south and east,

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yet again it will allow colder air to flood back in across the country.

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The jet stream is going to be sitting to the southern

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flank of the UK,

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allowing that colder air from Iceland to filter further south.

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But we talk about the jet stream as this ribbon of fast-moving

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air driving areas of low pressure towards the UK,

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so there's the potential of that low that we were

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talking about down into the south-west to

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move across the southern portion of the UK into the weekend.

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If that happens, we could see some windy weather,

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and for a time, as it bumps into the cold air,

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we might on the leading edge see a little bit of snow, as well.

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That's why I say keep watching the forecast.

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However, we are expecting the jet stream to then drift further

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north and sit across the UK, and then it's all change yet again.

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So, into the first half of next week, it looks as though

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it'll be windy, showery with milder temperatures starting to develop.

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Anywhere to the north of that jet stream will stay cold, to the

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south a little bit warmer. That's it. Take care.

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