17/02/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


17/02/2016

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Hello. Meteorologically, the end of February is the end of the winter,

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but before we get there we're likely to see

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all faces of winter, and for Tuesday it was a face of contrasting

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conditions with some windy and wet weather out to the north and west.

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After a frosty start,

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we had some beautiful sunshine across much of England and Wales.

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And the Weather Watchers' pictures reflected this beautifully, a

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lovely scene in Kent but a different story further north and west.

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Yes, it was a dramatic scene, but unfortunately, there was

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some heavy rain and some big waves in South Lanarkshire.

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Now, that wet and windy weather is continuing to push its way

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steadily south and east through Wednesday.

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There'll be some snow to higher ground,

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but as we go through Wednesday evening,

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it does look as though that rain could turn more to a wintry

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mix of sleet and snow even at lower levels through the Midlands

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and eastern England. It will clear away pretty readily.

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And then on Thursday we see a return to some colder, drier,

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sunnier conditions with a scattering of showers out to the north

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and west and highs of around three to seven Celsius.

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Now, as we move out of Thursday into Friday,

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we start off in sheltered eastern areas dry with some sunshine,

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clouding over,

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and the winds starting to strengthen ahead of this next area of rain.

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Now, the wind's starting to push in from a south-westerly

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so starting to introduce slightly milder air,

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double figures returning into the south-west.

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And this is the indication as we move into the weekend

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as further wet and windy weather pushes in from the west.

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With that system clearing away,

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the winds swing round to more of a westerly.

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It brings some rain,

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some of it heavy, and we'll need to keep a close

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eye on rainfall total amounts up into the extreme north-west.

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But it's introducing this milder air.

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So a real difference with the feel of the weather on Saturday.

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Yes, it's going to be pretty windy and often wet at times,

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particularly further north and west, but look

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at the temperatures, highs of 13 degrees not out of the question.

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Still some pretty wet

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and windy weather to come into the second half of the weekend, but as

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that frontal system starts to clear through,

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the winds will slowly start to swing round to more of a north-westerly

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and eventually, through the second half of the weekend,

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introduce some slightly colder air to the north.

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So we'll start to see blues returning across the northern

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half of the country,

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still the milder yellows down to the south, which basically means

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that those temperatures will still stay at around 11 to 13 degrees.

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Still the potential for some heavy spells of rain,

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as well, through the course of Sunday.

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Once we've got Sunday out of the way, we start to see a change.

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It's all due to the jet stream. Through the weekend,

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a jet is centred through the spine of the country, driving low

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pressures across us and dragging in this milder south-westerly flow.

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But then we've just started to see things will change. Into the early

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half of next week, the low pressure kinks

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and we start to see this high building out to the south-west.

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That's going to introduce colder air from a northerly

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direction again, but it's not expected to last.

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Towards the end of the six-to-ten-day period,

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the jet stream centres itself almost in a parallel

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position across the UK, driving those low pressures in.

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And what does this basically all mean for us?

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Well, it means that we haven't lost the return to that cold weather,

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potentially hard night-time frosts into the early part of next

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week but some beautiful spells of sunshine.

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But it will quickly disappear.

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In the longer ten-day period, we could see a return to some

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milder but wetter and windier weather to come.

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I'll firm up on those details same time, same place tomorrow.

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Until then, keep sending in your Weather Watchers' photos.

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