18/03/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


18/03/2016

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Hello. Our dry week of weather set to continue.

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In fact, Thursday was a beautiful day.

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Lots of spring sunshine and some warmth in the story as well.

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We had numerous glorious Weather Watcher pictures sent in.

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This is just one to illustrate the point in Cambridge,

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hardly a cloud in the sky.

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But the lion's share of the sunshine

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and the warmth was reserved for Braemar

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in the Highlands of Scotland.

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19 degrees, that's 66 Fahrenheit,

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but just down the road, barely 60 miles away in Aberdeen,

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a disappointing cool, grey afternoon with 8 degrees.

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And on the exposed coast,

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temperatures barely above 6 degrees.

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There was a lot of coastal fog. It was cooler here.

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But it does look as though that cloud will continue to be

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a story into Friday's weather, creeping in at the North Sea

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and drifting steadily westwards throughout the day.

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It's going to be a cooler, cloudier scenario through Friday.

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The best of the sunshine, really reserved for

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just the west-facing coast and Northern Ireland.

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Highest values perhaps of around 11 degrees, feeling cooler

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and disappointing with the cloud thick enough for the odd

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spot or two of drizzle along North Sea coasts.

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The high pressure that has been in the driving seat for so long,

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starts to drift its way steadily south and west.

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That marks a change to continue as we move into the weekend.

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Certainly, it's going to be

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a cloudy theme as we move towards the weekend.

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Predominantly dry,

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but all the time that cloud thick enough perhaps for the odd

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spot or two of drizzle, the breeze more of an issue

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and a cooler feel across the south-east.

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But predominantly dry on Saturday.

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The high then starts to allow a few weather fronts to push in

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to the far north and west.

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So some subtle changes to come for the second half of the weekend.

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The winds will strengthen in the far north-west

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and that's going to introduce the risk of a few scattered showers,

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something we've not seen for a time

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and certainly a noticeably cooler feel generally across Scotland,

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highs of 7 to 10 degrees.

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The winds strengthen again into Monday

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and we could see more significant outbreaks of showery rain

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into the far north and west by the end of the day.

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But, predominantly still a quiet, dry but overcast story.

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That weather front will just squeeze its way

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potentially across the UK during Wednesday.

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Subject to change, but there is the potential for a subtle,

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slow change to develop through the middle of the week,

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with outbreaks of showery rain.

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So it's a subtle change across the UK.

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Where is this change coming from?

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We need to look towards the United States where there is nothing

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subtle about the weather story into next week.

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There's the potential for a cold northeaster,

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a snowstorm may be moving its way through the Great Lakes

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before a plume of warm air moves in from the south-west.

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These boundaries between the cold and warm air,

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that's where the jet stream is lying.

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That, really, is going to inject some oomph,

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some power into the jet stream perhaps across the Atlantic.

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Which means that we could start to see a change in this

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blocking pattern that we've had for so long.

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This week, we've had this high pressure in control,

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but this oomph, this energy,

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is just going to allow the jet stream to amplify,

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to squeeze a little bit closer together

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and allow the high pressure to continue to drift west, which means

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that we might see the winds increase and the risk of more showers.

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I'm sure it's not escaped your attention that the end

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of our 8 to 10 day period is the Easter weekend.

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So, that means that there is an increasing risk, potentially,

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of some rain.

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It's not all doom and gloom, there should be some spring sunshine

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to come, but it will continue to feel on the chilly side

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