05/07/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


05/07/2016

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Hello there.

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If you're feeling hard done by the summer so far,

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it's easy to understand

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when we look at the Met Office stats for the month of June.

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It was a particularly dull month as far as sunshine

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amounts are concerned, especially for England and Wales.

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The grey colours indicating where sunshine fell well

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short of where we normally expect this time of year.

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It was to eastern and southern areas where we saw

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some of the wettest conditions, the dark blue colours -

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parts of Aberdeenshire, and down towards East Anglia and the

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south-east, seeing over double their normal June rainfall.

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It was driest to the north and to the west.

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This week, though, we switch things around a little bit.

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The jet stream, compared to last week,

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has moved a bit further north, and so it's going to be further north

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and west where oncoming low-pressure systems will be centred.

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That was the case on Monday,

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one pushing across the northern half of the UK,

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and it will be the case with this area of cloud

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and low pressure pushing in for Wednesday.

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Followed by this one later on Thursday.

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Now, at the moment, we've got a break between the weather systems,

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Tuesday will be a drier day for many, a brighter day as well.

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There will be lots of showers across Scotland and some of those

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will transfer into north-east England later on.

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But quite a blustery start to the day, meaning that with those winds

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from the north-west it will feel a bit fresher out there

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compared with some of you experienced on Monday.

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But by comparison,

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a bit more sunshine across western Scotland and Northern Ireland,

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and parts of northern England - certainly welcome.

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Now the rain that we do see,

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and the showers to take us into the first part of Tuesday night,

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will quickly depart. Going into Wednesday, most places will be dry.

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Away from the towns and cities,

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though, it will be a rather cool start with temperatures

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down into single figures but it should be a bright start to the day.

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We start Wednesday with a little ridge of high pressure

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keeping things dry initially,

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but I mentioned low-pressure systems in the Atlantic,

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one will be slowly working its way into the north and the west.

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Bringing rain through the morning into Northern Ireland

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and eventually into the afternoon - western parts of Scotland.

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One or two spots of western England

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and Wales could see some rain at times later on.

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Most of you, though, will have a drier Wednesday

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and it will start to feel a little bit warmer again.

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Warmer still for those in the south and east as we go into Thursday,

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that low-pressure system links into the next one,

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but starting to bring in the winds from the south

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and the west.

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Boosting temperatures and boosting the mugginess across southern

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parts, where, to the south-east, it could stay dry all day.

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Not a bad day in north-eastern Scotland,

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but in between lots of cloud, some patchy rain or drizzle.

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And through the day that rain or drizzle will get heavier

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and heavier from the west.

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That system, though, clears off into the near Continent,

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through Thursday night into Friday, fizzling as it goes.

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Another brief ridge of high pressure builds in across the UK,

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the flow is still coming in from the south-west, generally speaking,

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so temperatures will hold up quite nicely.

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And when the sun comes out, it will feel another warm

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and muggy day, especially to the south and east.

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So varying amounts of sunshine, most places dry,

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but rain into the north-west later.

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And then to find out what happens for the weekend, we have to take

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ourselves over to the States and what happened on July the fourth.

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Big storms across eastern areas, that forms an area of low pressure

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which will get picked up by the jet stream,

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developed into quite a nasty low and spun up to the north-west.

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I think we will avoid the worst stage of that low-pressure

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system but certainly for Saturday it will bring outbreaks of rain,

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certainly into northern and western areas,

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some pushing its way eastwards. Quite a blustery day too,

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the strongest of the winds in north-west Scotland,

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but elsewhere with the winds coming from the south -

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note the temperatures, probably the warmest day of the week.

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That low-pressure system works across into Sunday,

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next week the jet stream still dominates,

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so we're going to see that alternating pattern of some drier,

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sunnier, warmer moments with the cooler and wetter weather too.

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Coolest and wettest always to the north-west of the UK,

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much like this week. Sunniest and warmest, at times,

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for the south and the east.

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We'll keep you updated.

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You're going to have to keep your head down, Michael. No!

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