15/04/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


15/04/2017

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What a difference a week makes.

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Last weekend, and you've probably forgotten by now,

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it was 25 degrees Celsius across the south of the UK.

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This weekend, it's closer to 10 degrees across some parts of

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the country, 15 at best.

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And it is going to stay pretty chilly because the air is

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coming in all the way from the Arctic.

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Now, this time of the year, Arctic air doesn't feel that cold

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because we got some strong sunshine about,

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and there has been a bit of sunshine around during the course of Friday,

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but, overall, a lot of cloud, there are some showers around as well, and

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this cool pattern with plenty of cloud and spots of rain,

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on and off, is going to continue, not just through the whole of

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Easter, but it looks like well into next week as well.

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So, these are the temperatures for Saturday.

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Single figures in the far north of the country.

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Maybe 15 in London, briefly,

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depending on how much sunshine we are going to get.

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And, then, into Easter Day, so, the early hours of Easter Day can

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see some rain getting into north-western parts of the UK.

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It will start off dry in the far south, and in fact,

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if you are up very early in the morning, for some of us,

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Easter Day is going to start off quite sunny, but very quickly,

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the clouds will stream in off the Atlantic, and there is

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still uncertainty, exactly, where this lump of rain is going to go.

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It could go a little bit further south,

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a little bit further north, but the thinking is that closer towards

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the south west, the weather is going to be just that little bit better.

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Now, on Easter Monday, this sort of flabby air of high pressure

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close to our neighbourhood is actually out west.

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And with low pressure here, the winds are coming in from

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the north, so we still keep that cool airstream.

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Look at that - single figure temperatures with showers

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all the way down to the Norfolk coast.

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Now, finally, as we get into Tuesday,

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high pressure anchors itself across the UK

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so that means that winds fall light, there will be clear skies.

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But with clear skies, there is a good chance of some frost,

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ground frost at the very least, and in fact, air frost in some places.

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So, first thing on Tuesday in rural areas,

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it could be down to freezing or below.

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Then, during the day, struggling to around 10 or 11 degrees,

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again just that little bit warmer in London.

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And, then, on Wednesday, this weak weather front

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just about squeezes itself into this area of high pressure.

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When this happens,

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it generally means there is not an awful lot of oomph to the weather

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front, not an awful lot of rain,

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it may just be an area of cloud sitting on top of Scotland

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but to the south of that,

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it does look as though it's going to be dry.

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And, then, this high pressure sticks around just to the west of us.

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You've got broadly low pressure here.

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The winds blow around like so so we keep getting that flow of

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north-westerly winds but actually with the high-pressure fairly close

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to us on Thursday, in the centre of it,

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there's not going to be much wind around at all.

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So, it may end up being quite nice day.

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And, next week, broadly speaking,

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the high pressure is just again to the west of us.

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Low pressure to the east. If you were watching yesterday,

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it hasn't really changed.

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Between these two, the air keeps on coming in from the north,

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we're not getting anything from the South.

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As long as that happens, it is not going to be warming up in a hurry.

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Now, the thinking is that later next week,

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that high pressure may drift away little bit and when that

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happens, it opens the doors for low pressure to kind of sneak in.

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But they are not going to be very big or wet or windy areas of

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low pressure, it is because the jet stream is very weak.

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When we get a week slow-moving jet stream -

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and again I was talking about that yesterday - the lows aren't

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particularly intense, so the weather is kind of neither here nor there.

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So, the best way to describe it - it's looking pretty chilly,

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there will be some sunshine, and just be prepared for a few showers.

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