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Before we have a look at the weather for the next few days, | 0:00:02 | 0:00:04 | |
I just want to show you how dry April has been. | 0:00:04 | 0:00:07 | |
It's been a very quiet weather month, | 0:00:07 | 0:00:09 | |
we've not seen many weather systems | 0:00:09 | 0:00:11 | |
sweep through the UK | 0:00:11 | 0:00:12 | |
and the brown here shows | 0:00:12 | 0:00:14 | |
how very little rainfall | 0:00:14 | 0:00:16 | |
has fallen so far | 0:00:16 | 0:00:17 | |
so we still have to | 0:00:17 | 0:00:18 | |
get through the rest of April, | 0:00:18 | 0:00:19 | |
but it doesn't look like | 0:00:19 | 0:00:21 | |
there'll be a lot of rain coming our way at all, | 0:00:21 | 0:00:23 | |
at least for the remainder of this week and into next week, | 0:00:23 | 0:00:26 | |
it'll stay fairly calm and cloudy, | 0:00:26 | 0:00:30 | |
perhaps a little bit warmer | 0:00:30 | 0:00:31 | |
over the next two or three days | 0:00:31 | 0:00:33 | |
and then beyond that, | 0:00:33 | 0:00:34 | |
we'll see there are some changes on the way, | 0:00:34 | 0:00:36 | |
something perhaps a little bit more dynamic | 0:00:36 | 0:00:38 | |
sweeping off the Atlantic, | 0:00:38 | 0:00:40 | |
but not in the short term. | 0:00:40 | 0:00:41 | |
So, this is Thursday's weather forecast - | 0:00:41 | 0:00:43 | |
just cloudy, a few spits and spots of rain. | 0:00:43 | 0:00:46 | |
That is pretty much it | 0:00:46 | 0:00:48 | |
so a quiet day on the way | 0:00:48 | 0:00:50 | |
for most of us on Thursday. | 0:00:50 | 0:00:52 | |
Friday, high pressure to the south of the UK | 0:00:52 | 0:00:54 | |
so again lots of settled weather. | 0:00:54 | 0:00:55 | |
Not necessarily all that sunny | 0:00:55 | 0:00:57 | |
and a weather front moving in from the north. | 0:00:57 | 0:00:59 | |
Now, this is a weak weather front. | 0:00:59 | 0:01:01 | |
It's going to produce a little bit of rain | 0:01:01 | 0:01:02 | |
into western parts of Scotland. | 0:01:02 | 0:01:04 | |
By the time it sinks southwards, | 0:01:04 | 0:01:06 | |
there's not really going to be | 0:01:06 | 0:01:08 | |
much rainfall on it at all. | 0:01:08 | 0:01:09 | |
Ahead of it, temperatures could just about | 0:01:09 | 0:01:11 | |
warm up to 17 degrees in London. | 0:01:11 | 0:01:14 | |
For most of us, | 0:01:14 | 0:01:15 | |
it'll be a little bit cooler than that. | 0:01:15 | 0:01:17 | |
Then on Saturday, | 0:01:17 | 0:01:18 | |
high pressure establishes itself across the UK. | 0:01:18 | 0:01:21 | |
Again, lots of settled weather. | 0:01:21 | 0:01:23 | |
If the clouds gather, there might be a few spots of rain | 0:01:23 | 0:01:25 | |
here and there, just light, fleeting rain, | 0:01:25 | 0:01:28 | |
but nothing more than that. | 0:01:28 | 0:01:29 | |
Winds will be generally light as well | 0:01:29 | 0:01:32 | |
and actually a fair bit of cloud | 0:01:32 | 0:01:33 | |
so this high pressure is not going to bring | 0:01:33 | 0:01:35 | |
an awful lot of sunshine | 0:01:35 | 0:01:36 | |
and if anything, quite chilly, cloudy conditions | 0:01:36 | 0:01:39 | |
across some of the more northern parts of the UK. | 0:01:39 | 0:01:41 | |
As you can see, only nine degrees there in Newcastle. | 0:01:41 | 0:01:43 | |
And then here's the change. | 0:01:43 | 0:01:45 | |
So, Sunday into Monday, | 0:01:45 | 0:01:47 | |
potentially we could see this nasty area | 0:01:47 | 0:01:49 | |
of low pressure sweeping to the north of Scotland | 0:01:49 | 0:01:52 | |
or over Scotland. | 0:01:52 | 0:01:53 | |
Now, this forecast certainly is a little uncertain | 0:01:53 | 0:01:56 | |
at this stage, but gale force winds are possible | 0:01:56 | 0:01:59 | |
across Scotland and some heavier rain as well. | 0:01:59 | 0:02:02 | |
To the south of that, a lot, lot quieter | 0:02:02 | 0:02:04 | |
because low is quite far away. | 0:02:04 | 0:02:06 | |
London Marathon on Sunday - 16 degrees, I think, | 0:02:06 | 0:02:08 | |
could be the top temperature in the afternoon. | 0:02:08 | 0:02:10 | |
Now, let's focus on this low again. | 0:02:10 | 0:02:12 | |
So, here it is early on Monday, | 0:02:12 | 0:02:14 | |
you can see sweeping across the North Sea | 0:02:14 | 0:02:17 | |
into Norway there | 0:02:17 | 0:02:18 | |
and then its cold front moving southwards. | 0:02:18 | 0:02:20 | |
This could be quite a significant cold front | 0:02:20 | 0:02:22 | |
in terms of just how much cold air | 0:02:22 | 0:02:24 | |
is going to seep out of the Arctic regions. | 0:02:24 | 0:02:26 | |
Look at this cold plunge Monday into Tuesday. | 0:02:26 | 0:02:29 | |
Now, this could be very chilly air indeed | 0:02:29 | 0:02:31 | |
for the time of the year so, for example, | 0:02:31 | 0:02:33 | |
if you're taking a walk | 0:02:33 | 0:02:34 | |
down the North Sea coast, | 0:02:34 | 0:02:36 | |
down one of the promenades there, | 0:02:36 | 0:02:37 | |
it really could be quite cold. | 0:02:37 | 0:02:39 | |
You might need a coat. | 0:02:39 | 0:02:40 | |
Really chilly, gusty winds as well. | 0:02:40 | 0:02:43 | |
Inland, with the strong sunshine, | 0:02:43 | 0:02:45 | |
probably not feeling too cold. | 0:02:45 | 0:02:47 | |
The jet stream really takes a dive | 0:02:47 | 0:02:50 | |
through the middle part of the week | 0:02:50 | 0:02:52 | |
and out of the northern climes, | 0:02:52 | 0:02:54 | |
when we get this dive, we see colder air | 0:02:54 | 0:02:55 | |
always seeping in | 0:02:55 | 0:02:57 | |
so we're on this cold side of the jet. | 0:02:57 | 0:02:59 | |
The warmer air is towards the south | 0:02:59 | 0:03:01 | |
so I think the summary into next week | 0:03:01 | 0:03:03 | |
is there'll be some sunshine around with this cold air | 0:03:03 | 0:03:06 | |
surging in from the north, but that cold air, | 0:03:06 | 0:03:08 | |
combined with the strong sunshine, | 0:03:08 | 0:03:11 | |
may lead to some big rainstorms forming | 0:03:11 | 0:03:13 | |
so we could see some hit and miss very heavy showers, | 0:03:13 | 0:03:16 | |
even some hail in places as well. | 0:03:16 | 0:03:17 | |
So, here's the summary for next week. | 0:03:17 | 0:03:19 | |
That chilly wind out of the north, | 0:03:19 | 0:03:21 | |
thundery showers possible | 0:03:21 | 0:03:22 | |
and overnight, when we get clearer skies, | 0:03:22 | 0:03:24 | |
there is a risk of the frost returning | 0:03:24 | 0:03:26 | |
so not warming up in a hurry. | 0:03:26 | 0:03:28 |