18/05/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


18/05/2017

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Hello, a familiar cry in recent weeks has been -

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"Well, we really need some rain." Well, it was the turn of a

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large swathe of England to get some much-needed rain

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during Wednesday. In fact, for some it rained all-day long.

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I think some people might have thought, "OK, enough now."

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And it kept on coming. But it really has made a difference.

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Some places have had more than half-a-month's worth of rain

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in 24 hours. But remember we talked about how dry April was

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and looked at some of the record dry locations, from Edinburgh

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and to London's Kew Gardens, which, in the whole of April

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had just a few millimetres of rain. So, in May so far,

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where some of us have seen a lot of rain, how has that changed?

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Do your own drum roll here. Kew Gardens - look at this.

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36mm up to 6pm on Wednesday, in the month so far. That's about

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three quarters of average. But the transformation hasn't taken

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place at the weather station at Edinburgh Gogarbank,

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with just 9mm of rain so far, that's just a fifth of the

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monthly average. So some places have had a transformation and

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thanks to this weather system across England.

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But there is more rain needed, particularly in parts of Scotland.

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And this is how it looks going from Wednesday into Thursday.

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Not a huge amount of rain in the forecast but there will be

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showers falling. But there will be a much fresher feel to proceedings

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as low pressure drags in some cooler, fresher air

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into the UK. I say cooler - where you had all of that rain

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during Wednesday, actually it will feel much warmer

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because there will be some sunshine. But it'll be fresher,

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that's the main thing, the humidity has gone down.

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Lots of sunshine to begin the day, then the showers get going,

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especially for Northern Ireland. There will be some in Scotland

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and a few popping up in England and Wales. As ever with showers,

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they are hit and miss. Catch one, though, could be heavy,

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thundery and there is a risk of hail too.

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Now, some spots in England may get a bit more rain as we go through

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Thursday night and into Friday, as this area of low pressure runs

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into the North Sea, as that pushes up the eastern side of the UK.

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Elsewhere, we are looking at sunshine, and showers get going

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again. You can see where low pressure is located, just to the

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north-west of Ireland here

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and it's around that we are seeing the instability,

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the showers getting going, and again some heavy and thundery ones.

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Now, the temperatures don't look up to much

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but when you are in some sunshine it will be quite pleasant,

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if you are in a shower, though, it will feel quite chilly.

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Now, this is the picture for the weekend - an area of

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low pressure is still very much close by

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and that is still the driving force for getting lots of showers.

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So, each day may start fine but then the cloud builds with the

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heating of the day and we get those showers breaking out.

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And again, there will be some heavy and thundery ones around too,

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they may merge, in some spots, to give a longer spell of rain.

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Now, on Sunday, those showers get going -

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there may not be too many down towards East Anglia

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and south-east England and again, with some sunshine,

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it will feel quite pleasant.

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Now, going into next week...

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Well, it's a bit of a to and fro between low pressure and

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high pressure.

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It looks like we're going to get both at some stage during the week.

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Low pressure, high pressure, then low pressure.

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So it is a changeable picture. When low pressure is close by

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there will be some showers, possibly heavy.

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But when the high pressure is dominant and even in between

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the showers, there will be some drier weather.

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Nothing extreme in terms of temperature. By day, fairly close

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to average, feeling pleasantly warm in some sunshine.

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The nights, though, at times, could still be quite chilly.

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And although there will be some rain at times, it's mainly

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in the form of showers. For more prolonged wet weather,

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in those parts of dry Scotland, the wait may go on.

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