13/06/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello there. Weather for the week ahead is almost stuck in repeat.

The weather that we saw for the beginning of the working week

with cloudier conditions,

with some showers up into the north-west

but the sunnier conditions further south

will almost be the same kind of theme

as we move towards the end of the week,

with some subtle variations.

Or by Wednesday, perhaps, not that subtle

as things could get pretty hot indeed.

But high pressure across England and Wales

in the driving seat

and that's just allowing these frontal systems

to deflect to the north of that high

and bring a little more in the way of unsettled weather.

It could potentially, during Tuesday,

bring some heavy rain for a time

across the far north-west of Scotland.

As it drifts its way steadily eastwards,

it'll become fragmented and showery.

Sunny spells and scattered showers for Scotland,

Northern Ireland and northern England.

A little more cloud develops

after a sunny start but it'll be warm in the south,

with highs of 23 Celsius.

Now, as we move out of Tuesday into Wednesday,

the high pressure just drifts a little further over

to the near continent and allows this area of low pressure

to start to squeeze in from the Atlantic

and where the two meet together could turn pretty interesting.

We could potentially drag up some very warm air from the Azores,

right across the country,

but particularly warm

or even hot in that south-eastern corner.

So there'll hardly be a cloud in the sky on Wednesday

across England and Wales,

perhaps the best day of the working week

if you like the sunshine and the heat.

Further north and west, again, on the breezy side,

with showery outbreaks of rain here.

But highs, potentially, of 26 or 27

not out of the question.

And even some of that warmer air. despite the showers,

drifting into Scotland,

with high teens not out of the question too.

As we move out of Wednesday,

we could see a few thundery showers

ahead of that frontal system pushing in

but it will drive in some slightly fresher conditions

during the course of Wednesday into Thursday.

It's a slow-moving, weak affair,

not that much in the way of showery rain

and temperatures are not going to going to dip that much

but we'll see mid-20s in the south-east,

perhaps high teens further west.

Now, as we move out of Thursday into Friday,

we've still got high pressure dominating the story

across the south, keeping things relatively quiet

and, again, still these weather fronts toppling over the top.

So, again, further spells of wet weather,

bit more of a breeze on Friday into the far north-west,

with the heaviest of the rain to the north-west of the Great Glen.

Best of the sunshine in the south-east,

although a little more cloud generally across England and Wales.

So, what's been happening?

Well, the jet stream at the moment is set with

a defined kink to the west in the Atlantic

and that's deflecting these areas of low pressure

across the north of the UK.

By the weekend, we might see that jet stream evening out a little.

There is a level of uncertainty as to just

where it's going to be sitting

and that will dictate the dry weather to the south

and the more unsettled weather to the north.

But not for long because the jet stream reverts back

to that kink out in the west

and allows the high pressure to sit across the UK

and once again drive in some pretty warm or hot air

across the near continent.

Low pressure never too far away, though,

Low pressure never too far away, though,

so there is going to be a bit more of an uncertainty

as we get to the longer six to ten day period.

as we get to the longer six to ten day period.

But it does look as though we keep the rain at times

in the north, it'll be dry and warm elsewhere,

but the question mark is just for how long?

Of course, we'll firm up on the details on that

over the next few days. Enjoy.

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