29/06/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello there. Last week was all about the heat, the high temperatures.

This week, at least so far, has been about the rain.

And in 24 hours, some parts of the UK have had

a month's worth of rain already, Middle Wallop for one in Hampshire.

But at Santon Downham in Suffolk, 90 millimetres,

getting on for four inches of rain.

Not just wet here in the UK,

but large parts of central and western Europe have seen some very

stormy weather, a lot of rain and some flooding in places, as well.

Now, we haven't had the thunderstorms,

but we've still got the rain keeping going, actually,

and this area of low pressure actually is pushing that

wetter weather further north, so we're going to find

a change in the weather for Scotland and eventually for Northern Ireland.

The wetter weather setting in across a good part of mainland

Scotland, pushing its way westwards across Northern Ireland.

Still some patchy, lighter rain for northern England, and to the

south one or two showers around.

Still a lot of cloud, but perhaps a hint of sunshine in the south-east,

where temperatures should be a little bit higher on Thursday.

But 13 or 14 under the wind and rain across the northern half of

the UK is really quite poor.

And into the evening, it doesn't really get any better.

Here, the rain continues overnight,

but it does tend to become a little lighter, a little more patchy,

I think, across northern and western parts of the UK.

Signs of some clearer skies, perhaps some breaks in the cloud,

coming into the south-east of England, where temperatures

no lower than 14 or 15 degrees overnight.

Some sunshine, here, perhaps, on Friday. That'll be a welcome change.

But we've still got that cold wind

and some rain for Scotland and Northern Ireland.

Not as wet on Friday,

that rain pushing further into England and Wales, but ahead of it

some warmth in the south-east could trigger one or two heavy showers.

It's a low pressure, though, that's been bringing the rain,

and that is going to slip away from the UK, at least for a while,

and this weather front will push that rain south-eastwards, towards

the south-east of England, early on Saturday morning,

so starting with a few spots of rain but soon brightening up.

Some sunshine coming through,

and for most of us Saturday is going to be a dry day.

It'll feel a bit warmer in the sunshine, as well.

There is going to be a weather front bringing some rain in from

the north-west during the evening and overnight,

but it doesn't really hang about, and many southern areas

of the UK will probably miss the rain altogether.

And again, brightening up across many areas on Sunday,

some sunshine, just one or two showers

mostly across Scotland and Northern Ireland, where it's going to

be windy, those winds touching gale force, perhaps,

around some coastal areas.

But again, this sort of drier theme you can see on Monday,

and a bit warmer, as well, highs of 23 degrees or so, but we will

see some rain, I suspect, coming into Northern Ireland and Scotland.

An area of low pressure bringing that wetter weather for the

beginning of the week, but higher pressure towards the south, and

that's going to be a theme, I think, during the course of next week,

very different to what we've been seeing recently.

This is the jet stream, of course,

and it's been in this sort of position, very bowed and

buckled, and the rain has been quite slow-moving and particularly heavy.

The jet stream by early next week looks very different in terms

of its orientation - a strengthening jet propagating across the Atlantic

will move things on a little bit more quickly across the UK.

We're always going to keep the colder air towards the far

north, mainly up towards Iceland, actually. Warmer air, though,

is trying to nudge in from the south into southern and

eastern areas of the UK.

So we end up with this sort of split, really, next week.

More likely to get some rain in the north-west,

much drier towards the south-east.

I think many parts of the country next week should be a bit warmer,

particularly in the sunshine. That's it from me. Goodbye.