24/08/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


24/08/2017

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Hello. Summer warmth made a vague attempt

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at a return earlier on this week, but it was swept away dramatically

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by some heavy downpours

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over the last day or so.

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One example of some disruption

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caused by those heavy downpours was

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here in North Yorkshire,

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but as the rain cleared away

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on Wednesday, things did improve.

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There were some spells of sunshine

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and things do generally look

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a lot less dramatic in our forecast

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for the week ahead.

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A lot of that is down to the Jet Stream

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which, at the moment,

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is diving right down here to the south.

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That will develop an area of low pressure

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just off the coast of Iberia

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and what it leaves us with is

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a very, very slack pressure pattern indeed.

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Not a lot of white lines on the charts,

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not a lot of isobars.

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That means the winds aren't particularly strong.

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There's nothing much to push the weather around.

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So, what you get during Thursday

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is going to be very similar to

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what you'll get on Friday and Saturday as well.

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Thursday will bring some showers

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across Northern Ireland, western Scotland,

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some into northern England.

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Further south and east, it'll be largely dry

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with some spells of sunshine

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and temperatures of 18 to 22 degrees.

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Now, some outbreaks of showery rain continue

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in the north-west as we go through

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Thursday night into Friday.

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Further south, it stays largely dry.

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There could be the odd mist patch,

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temperatures around 12 to 14 degrees

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and Friday is essentially a repeat performance.

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Southern and eastern areas staying dry

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with a good deal of sunshine.

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The further north and west you are,

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the more cloud there will be,

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the greater chance of some showery rain,

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particularly for Northern Ireland

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and western Scotland.

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Here, temperatures of 17 degrees

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in Glasgow and Belfast,

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but in the sunshine towards the south-east,

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it will actually feel pleasantly warm

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with highs of around 24.

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We keep our rather slack pressure pattern

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as we go into the start of the weekend.

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You can see, still not many white lines,

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not many isobars on the chart.

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The winds still relatively light,

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our showers still stranded up to the north-west,

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so Scotland, Northern Ireland,

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seeing some showers.

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Some of these could be heavy.

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Largely dry the further south and east you are

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and still pretty warm as well,

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25 degrees the high, there, in London.

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A bit of a change on Saturday night -

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potentially, there is the risk

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that we'll see some showers or thunderstorms

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just clipping into the south-east

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and East Anglia.

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It is just a risk at this stage.

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Some of those could hang around

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as we go on through the day on Sunday.

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Still some showers up to the north-west,

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you'll notice, where it'll be a bit breezy.

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Generally a lot of dry weather

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and some spells of sunshine.

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Now, as we get on into Monday,

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which is a bank holiday for many, of course,

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things begin to turn a little more lively.

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You can see the white lines squeezing together,

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a bit more of a westerly wind

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and a more concerted band of rain looks likely

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to push into Scotland, Northern Ireland,

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but then sinking southwards into northern England,

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Wales, perhaps the south-west.

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Still at this stage,

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the south-east largely dry,

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the winds beginning to pick up a little bit,

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and that is just the first sign

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of something a bit more mobile,

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a little bit more lively

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as we go on through next week -

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our Jet Stream, at this stage,

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looks likely to be pushing right

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across the Atlantic and blowing

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right across the British Isles.

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But even then, it is

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a little bit half-hearted.

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This area of high pressure

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doesn't make much progress

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in across the country.

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This area of low pressure really

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just affects the far north.

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What does that mean? Well, it means next week,

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in northern areas, there's likely to be

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some rain at times, and generally quite

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a cool feel to the weather.

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Further south, closer to that area

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of high pressure, it'll often be dry

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and, especially in the sunshine,

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it'll feel pleasantly warm.

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But certainly things look a little bit less dramatic

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as we go through the next few days.

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