22/11/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


22/11/2017

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Snow, there I said it. There's no going back now.

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More of us will have seen our first snow of the season

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by the weekend even if it is

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in a passing wintry shower.

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We have mild air across us now

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but by the end of the week that will have gone.

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Last to clear from southernmost parts of the UK.

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Tries to cling on even into Friday.

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But by Saturday it will have been

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pushed south away from us

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as the cold air comes back, coldest air of the season so far

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and a strong wind as well with those wintry showers.

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More about what we can expect coming up.

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Right now it's the mild air across us and we're more concerned

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in the short term about rain and strengthening winds

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during Wednesday as we see these

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frontal systems coming into the UK.

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Looks like the heaviest rain will be effecting parts of north Wales,

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north-west England and into southern Scotland.

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Maybe up to 100mm of rain and gales developing into England and Wales,

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gusts widely around 50mph late in the day and into Wednesday night.

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It's the sort of day when you head out in the morning it may seem

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fine but there could be some travel disruption as you come home.

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Parts of eastern England will stay dry.

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Even see some sunshine and be very mild but even here it becomes very

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windy and stays that way Wednesday

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night and into Thursday morning.

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During Thursday winds ease but look at this, snow.

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Northern Scotland, the colder air

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coming back in, even to low

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levels we could see accumulating snow on Thursday morning.

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Much more coming down on hills

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so keep up to date with that part of the forecast.

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Generally turning drier on Thursday, even some sunshine around,

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still very mild to the south and south-east.

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Colder air is beginning to filter in but there's

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a fly in the ointment that stops it reaching southern

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parts on Friday, this area of low pressure.

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But a lot of uncertainty about

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where the rain from this will be.

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It could look like this on Friday,

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it may be further south, this rain,

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but parts of southern England run the risk of seeing heavy rain

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Friday into Friday night before that pulls away.

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Scotland and Northern Ireland will see sunny spells,

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maybe a few showers.

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Once this latest system is gone it's then that the cold air completes

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its journey southwards across the UK at the start of the weekend.

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The cold feel enhanced by a strong wind.

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There will be some good sunny

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spells around but there will be these

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wintry showers, especially northern and western parts of the UK.

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Wintry showers, what does that mean?

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There may be some rain but we're more likely to get sleet,

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hail or snow out of these showers as they move on through.

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A similar picture into Sunday,

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showers may ease in the west later in the day.

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Over the weekend more of us will see our first snow of the season.

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For many, non-disruptive,

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just a passing wintry shower.

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But into the hills and mountains, we are

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going to some accumulating snow in places as these showers move

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through, particularly if one comes after another, after another.

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We're starting with the cold air in place

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but we're going to try to bring

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a less cold Atlantic weather system

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in but again it's a cold air that

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could bring a risk of some snow.

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Although Atlantic weather systems

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may try to come in next week

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it looks like overall the cold air will always come back once

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they've moved through keeping a mainly cold theme.

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Brief milder interludes with these Atlantic weather systems.

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Bringing some rain perhaps but also a risk of snow as they move in to

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cold air and then as they pull away with the cold air following behind.

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That's how next week is shaping up.

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Winter is coming although apparently it happens every year

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so it may not be breaking news.

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