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Hello. I'm sure you know the score by now. | 0:00:02 | 0:00:04 | |
We do the detail for this week then look at the trends | 0:00:04 | 0:00:06 | |
that may affect the British Isles in the forthcoming week. | 0:00:06 | 0:00:09 | |
But first of all to the here and now, almost. | 0:00:09 | 0:00:12 | |
Watch out for the dry start, | 0:00:12 | 0:00:14 | |
because it could be an icy start across central, northern | 0:00:14 | 0:00:17 | |
and eastern parts of the British Isles, having had overnight rain. | 0:00:17 | 0:00:20 | |
And then don't be fooled by the dry start, | 0:00:20 | 0:00:22 | |
because here comes the first belt of weather for the day, | 0:00:22 | 0:00:25 | |
moving from west to east on what is going to be a milder day | 0:00:25 | 0:00:28 | |
across the southern parts of the British Isles. | 0:00:28 | 0:00:30 | |
Further north, still on the cool side, | 0:00:30 | 0:00:32 | |
and into that cool air we push more moisture. | 0:00:32 | 0:00:34 | |
And look, significant snowfall just in time for the evening rush hour | 0:00:34 | 0:00:38 | |
quite widely across northern parts of the British Isles. | 0:00:38 | 0:00:41 | |
Here we are on Thursday. We've got a belt of weather | 0:00:41 | 0:00:45 | |
just gradually tracking its way ever further towards the east. | 0:00:45 | 0:00:48 | |
Behind it, a lot of isobars there. | 0:00:48 | 0:00:50 | |
It'll be a windy old do, especially in the southern | 0:00:50 | 0:00:52 | |
half of Britain as we get on through Thursday, | 0:00:52 | 0:00:54 | |
yet again urging copious showers, | 0:00:54 | 0:00:56 | |
some of these wintry in nature, across England and Wales. | 0:00:56 | 0:01:01 | |
Look at this, close by to Glasgow and Edinburgh, throughout | 0:01:01 | 0:01:04 | |
the day we could have a period of continuous snow, something to watch. | 0:01:04 | 0:01:09 | |
We'll update you on that, of course, | 0:01:09 | 0:01:11 | |
as we move through the next 24 hours or so. | 0:01:11 | 0:01:14 | |
As I say, Thursday a windy day, | 0:01:14 | 0:01:16 | |
but with the wind in the west and south-west. | 0:01:16 | 0:01:18 | |
But look, out of Thursday into Friday, | 0:01:18 | 0:01:21 | |
we get these isobars running | 0:01:21 | 0:01:22 | |
- and we've done this to you before - north to south. | 0:01:22 | 0:01:26 | |
So, cold air streaming down these isobars. | 0:01:26 | 0:01:29 | |
The shower distribution around the shoulders of the British Isles, | 0:01:29 | 0:01:33 | |
down the spine a lot of sunshine, a lot of dry weather, | 0:01:33 | 0:01:35 | |
not a lot of heat. | 0:01:35 | 0:01:37 | |
But that is a short, sharp shock, because through the day on Saturday, | 0:01:37 | 0:01:41 | |
we're just beginning to crank the isobars back to a north-westerly, | 0:01:41 | 0:01:45 | |
and at the same time we'll just see the first signs, | 0:01:45 | 0:01:49 | |
as we get on through the weekend, of milder air trying to displace | 0:01:49 | 0:01:52 | |
that pool of cold air off towards the near Continent. | 0:01:52 | 0:01:56 | |
That is a very slow process. | 0:01:56 | 0:01:58 | |
Do not expect to see this transformation in the eastern | 0:01:58 | 0:02:01 | |
parts of the British Isles | 0:02:01 | 0:02:03 | |
until perhaps into the start of the forthcoming week. | 0:02:03 | 0:02:06 | |
Here we are on Saturday, a cold and frosty start, a north-westerly | 0:02:06 | 0:02:09 | |
breeze urging the showers into some of these northern and western parts. | 0:02:09 | 0:02:13 | |
Out east, the very best of the sunshine, | 0:02:13 | 0:02:15 | |
but you've probably got the strongest of the breezes. | 0:02:15 | 0:02:17 | |
And it won't feel particularly warm. Remember what I said, | 0:02:17 | 0:02:20 | |
it's going to take a while before all the mild air ahead of this | 0:02:20 | 0:02:23 | |
next Atlantic front really makes it right across the British Isles. | 0:02:23 | 0:02:27 | |
That weather front robs northern and western parts of their sunshine | 0:02:27 | 0:02:31 | |
as we get on into Sunday, | 0:02:31 | 0:02:33 | |
but we do see the first signs of that upping of the temperatures | 0:02:33 | 0:02:37 | |
across these western areas - eight, nine, ten or eleven. | 0:02:37 | 0:02:40 | |
And we complete the process as we get on into Monday. | 0:02:40 | 0:02:43 | |
The disturbed weather locked across northern parts of the British Isles, | 0:02:43 | 0:02:46 | |
further south, drier, finer conditions break out, and | 0:02:46 | 0:02:50 | |
they're coupled with temperatures | 0:02:50 | 0:02:52 | |
that are on eight, nine, ten or eleven degrees. | 0:02:52 | 0:02:54 | |
Further ahead, we rather stick in that pattern. | 0:02:54 | 0:02:58 | |
Having established, I would have thought, | 0:02:58 | 0:02:59 | |
the first part of the forthcoming week we'd see the wet | 0:02:59 | 0:03:02 | |
and windy fare confined to northern | 0:03:02 | 0:03:04 | |
and north-western parts of the British Isles | 0:03:04 | 0:03:07 | |
- it could be really quite windy at times, as well - further south, | 0:03:07 | 0:03:10 | |
there's a chance of something a little bit drier, | 0:03:10 | 0:03:12 | |
a little bit finer and nowhere near as cold as we've seen it. | 0:03:12 | 0:03:15 | |
Temperatures, I think, will be for the most part higher than | 0:03:15 | 0:03:19 | |
we would have expected for this time of year. | 0:03:19 | 0:03:21 | |
It will, however, especially in the north, be often windy. | 0:03:21 | 0:03:24 | |
That pattern really opens the door to very changeable conditions. | 0:03:24 | 0:03:28 |