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Hello there. Storm Dylan made an appearance | 0:00:02 | 0:00:04 | |
on the last day of the year, signalling some very unsettled | 0:00:04 | 0:00:07 | |
weather for the first week of the New Year. | 0:00:07 | 0:00:10 | |
Dominated by low pressure on New Year's Day, | 0:00:10 | 0:00:13 | |
this is actually the storm which is spinning its way towards France, | 0:00:13 | 0:00:16 | |
could bring some damaging winds here. | 0:00:16 | 0:00:18 | |
We're very much just on the edge of that, it's more likely to be a spell | 0:00:18 | 0:00:22 | |
of rain that runs its way eastwards across southern parts of England | 0:00:22 | 0:00:25 | |
and Wales, mainly in the morning, then some sunshine. | 0:00:25 | 0:00:28 | |
But then more showers, gusty winds for Northern Ireland, | 0:00:28 | 0:00:31 | |
pushing across Scotland, down into northern England, Wales, | 0:00:31 | 0:00:33 | |
perhaps into the Midlands by the end of the day. | 0:00:33 | 0:00:36 | |
Snow over the Scottish hills, going to be quite cold here. | 0:00:36 | 0:00:38 | |
Those temperatures are little bit lower than we've seen recently, | 0:00:38 | 0:00:41 | |
but fairly typical for this time of year. | 0:00:41 | 0:00:43 | |
As the showers fade away, the winds drop, temperatures fall away, | 0:00:43 | 0:00:47 | |
it'll be a colder night on Monday night, Tuesday morning. | 0:00:47 | 0:00:49 | |
Maybe some frost in rural areas. | 0:00:49 | 0:00:51 | |
Towards the South West, it won't be as cold, because by morning, | 0:00:51 | 0:00:54 | |
some rain arriving here. So too across Northern Ireland. | 0:00:54 | 0:00:57 | |
And the spell of rain will push eastwards, | 0:00:57 | 0:00:59 | |
some snow over the Pennines briefly, and over the Scottish hills, | 0:00:59 | 0:01:03 | |
before we get sunshine and showers to end the day | 0:01:03 | 0:01:06 | |
on a stronger, westerly wind. | 0:01:06 | 0:01:08 | |
That's a milder wind, so temperatures towards the South West | 0:01:08 | 0:01:11 | |
much higher compared with the North East, | 0:01:11 | 0:01:13 | |
where it's going to be quite cold and wet. | 0:01:13 | 0:01:15 | |
That front out of the way, around the base of that big low pressure, | 0:01:15 | 0:01:18 | |
another weather system comes in, it's going to be bringing | 0:01:18 | 0:01:21 | |
with it some rain and strong-to-gale force winds so overnight. | 0:01:21 | 0:01:25 | |
Into Wednesday, the worst of that clears away. | 0:01:25 | 0:01:27 | |
Stays quite windy, we're going to find showers and sunshine. | 0:01:27 | 0:01:30 | |
Nearer to the centre of the low pressure, | 0:01:30 | 0:01:33 | |
somewhat more organised wet weather coming into | 0:01:33 | 0:01:35 | |
the northwest of Scotland and perhaps across Northern Ireland too. | 0:01:35 | 0:01:38 | |
So, temperatures six degrees, seven degrees. Glasgow and Belfast | 0:01:38 | 0:01:42 | |
as high as 10, also towards London and the South East. | 0:01:42 | 0:01:45 | |
That low pressure is out of the way, we're still left with this | 0:01:45 | 0:01:49 | |
filling low pressure, so that's going to weaken ahead of another | 0:01:49 | 0:01:52 | |
low pressure coming in from the Atlantic - there's a theme here. | 0:01:52 | 0:01:55 | |
We've got a colder start, probably, on Thursday. | 0:01:55 | 0:01:58 | |
Fewer showers around, | 0:01:58 | 0:02:00 | |
But another spell of rain coming in fairly quickly. | 0:02:00 | 0:02:03 | |
That rain can be quite heavy, does tend to split apart. | 0:02:03 | 0:02:06 | |
One dose of heavy rain heading into the near constant, | 0:02:06 | 0:02:10 | |
then we're left with this area of low pressure. | 0:02:10 | 0:02:12 | |
This will hang around for a few days. | 0:02:12 | 0:02:15 | |
That's Friday, and we're dominated by low pressure. | 0:02:15 | 0:02:19 | |
This band of rain sitting towards the North East, into Scotland, | 0:02:19 | 0:02:23 | |
really wet and cold in the wind here. | 0:02:23 | 0:02:26 | |
Strong winds around the low will bring wetter weather | 0:02:26 | 0:02:28 | |
across Northern Ireland, | 0:02:28 | 0:02:30 | |
back over the Irish Sea into western parts of England and Wales. | 0:02:30 | 0:02:33 | |
This is how we end the week, and we start the new weekend. | 0:02:33 | 0:02:37 | |
Low pressure across the UK, windy and wet. | 0:02:37 | 0:02:40 | |
But things will change. | 0:02:40 | 0:02:42 | |
High-pressure up towards Iceland, that looks like, | 0:02:42 | 0:02:45 | |
in the longer term, it will drift across to Scandinavia. | 0:02:45 | 0:02:48 | |
At the same time, our low pressure moves into the near continent, | 0:02:48 | 0:02:53 | |
allowing us to get an easterly wind, which means, basically, | 0:02:53 | 0:02:56 | |
it'll turned much colder. | 0:02:56 | 0:02:58 | |
We're on the colder side of the jet, which is | 0:02:58 | 0:03:00 | |
certainly buckling in the outlook, close to the UK. | 0:03:00 | 0:03:03 | |
However, there is a stronger surge of winds | 0:03:03 | 0:03:05 | |
coming from the Atlantic, which may break down that colder | 0:03:05 | 0:03:08 | |
block of air and turn things more unsettled from the Atlantic. | 0:03:08 | 0:03:11 | |
That transition is going to be very tricky. | 0:03:11 | 0:03:14 | |
Basically, it's going to turn much colder for the outlook. | 0:03:14 | 0:03:18 | |
Probably going to turn drier as well, | 0:03:18 | 0:03:20 | |
but if we get these Atlantic winds coming in eventually, | 0:03:20 | 0:03:23 | |
then in that cold air there is the threat of some significant snow. | 0:03:23 | 0:03:28 | |
All to play for. | 0:03:28 | 0:03:29 |