01/01/2018 Weather for the Week Ahead


01/01/2018

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Hello there. Storm Dylan made an appearance

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on the last day of the year, signalling some very unsettled

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weather for the first week of the New Year.

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Dominated by low pressure on New Year's Day,

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this is actually the storm which is spinning its way towards France,

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could bring some damaging winds here.

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We're very much just on the edge of that, it's more likely to be a spell

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of rain that runs its way eastwards across southern parts of England

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and Wales, mainly in the morning, then some sunshine.

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But then more showers, gusty winds for Northern Ireland,

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pushing across Scotland, down into northern England, Wales,

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perhaps into the Midlands by the end of the day.

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Snow over the Scottish hills, going to be quite cold here.

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Those temperatures are little bit lower than we've seen recently,

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but fairly typical for this time of year.

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As the showers fade away, the winds drop, temperatures fall away,

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it'll be a colder night on Monday night, Tuesday morning.

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Maybe some frost in rural areas.

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Towards the South West, it won't be as cold, because by morning,

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some rain arriving here. So too across Northern Ireland.

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And the spell of rain will push eastwards,

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some snow over the Pennines briefly, and over the Scottish hills,

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before we get sunshine and showers to end the day

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on a stronger, westerly wind.

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That's a milder wind, so temperatures towards the South West

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much higher compared with the North East,

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where it's going to be quite cold and wet.

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That front out of the way, around the base of that big low pressure,

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another weather system comes in, it's going to be bringing

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with it some rain and strong-to-gale force winds so overnight.

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Into Wednesday, the worst of that clears away.

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Stays quite windy, we're going to find showers and sunshine.

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Nearer to the centre of the low pressure,

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somewhat more organised wet weather coming into

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the northwest of Scotland and perhaps across Northern Ireland too.

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So, temperatures six degrees, seven degrees. Glasgow and Belfast

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as high as 10, also towards London and the South East.

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That low pressure is out of the way, we're still left with this

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filling low pressure, so that's going to weaken ahead of another

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low pressure coming in from the Atlantic - there's a theme here.

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We've got a colder start, probably, on Thursday.

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Fewer showers around,

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But another spell of rain coming in fairly quickly.

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That rain can be quite heavy, does tend to split apart.

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One dose of heavy rain heading into the near constant,

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then we're left with this area of low pressure.

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This will hang around for a few days.

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That's Friday, and we're dominated by low pressure.

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This band of rain sitting towards the North East, into Scotland,

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really wet and cold in the wind here.

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Strong winds around the low will bring wetter weather

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across Northern Ireland,

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back over the Irish Sea into western parts of England and Wales.

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This is how we end the week, and we start the new weekend.

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Low pressure across the UK, windy and wet.

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But things will change.

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High-pressure up towards Iceland, that looks like,

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in the longer term, it will drift across to Scandinavia.

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At the same time, our low pressure moves into the near continent,

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allowing us to get an easterly wind, which means, basically,

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it'll turned much colder.

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We're on the colder side of the jet, which is

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certainly buckling in the outlook, close to the UK.

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However, there is a stronger surge of winds

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coming from the Atlantic, which may break down that colder

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block of air and turn things more unsettled from the Atlantic.

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That transition is going to be very tricky.

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Basically, it's going to turn much colder for the outlook.

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Probably going to turn drier as well,

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but if we get these Atlantic winds coming in eventually,

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then in that cold air there is the threat of some significant snow.

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All to play for.

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