03/02/2018 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello. Thanks for joining me.

As ever, we'll be taking a detailed look at the next few days,

then we'll push it further

into the six- to ten-day period.

First, I want to do a resume

of January, starting with

starting with temperatures.

The bluer the colour,

below-par temperatures,

and that was the way for Scotland

and Northern Ireland. The pinker

the shades were where you had a wee bit of heat,

and January brought 14, 15 degrees

in one or two spots.

If we look at the rainfall,

it is more of a west east

rather than a north south,

the wettest weather in the west,

the driest conditions in the

northeast of Scotland,

where you had some decent spells of sunshine through the month.

We replicate that scene of the driest weather

over towards the east

as we start Saturday,

because the west has weather fronts

bringing leaden skies,

not an awful lot of rain

but it's there for the greater part of the day.

Over the highest ground,

we'll see some snow -

the Pennines, Southern Uplands,

the Grampians as well.

Perhaps brighter in the far west of Scotland

and Northern Ireland later in the day,

and not too much in the way of rain in East Anglia,

but look at the temperatures -

3 degrees in Birmingham, 3, 4, 5 elsewhere.

Sunday - a different beast.

The front fizzles away,

a lot of cloud around,

the wind across the southeast really notable.

I show 5, 6 or 7 - it will feel much colder.

There may be winteriness about those showers.

With pressure trying to build through that front,

through Sunday so it will tend to fizzle,

Monday - a fairly quiet day

once you take away the strength of the east

and north-easterly winds,

so still feeling pretty raw.

Look at those temperatures -

3, 4, 5 degrees.

It's still a cloudy day

and as we go into Tuesday,

we bring in an Atlantic front in,

initially to the north and west of Scotland,

Northern Ireland,

but this could bring a wee bit of snow

more widely across northern and western

parts of England, parts of Wales,

and no great surprise, given those temperatures.

2, 3, 4, 5 degrees again.

Rather like the front I was talking about for the weekend,

as that tries to work its way through this ridge of high pressure,

so it tends to weaken and fizzle,

and the last of it staggers its way down into

the southeast, maybe still winteriness

across the higher ground here,

brighter skies following on behind,

but over my shoulder is the next set of weather fronts

trying to work their way

in from the Atlantic.

Whenever you see these tongues

of warmth, with the yellows

rather than the blues,

that's where we're expecting to see

the fronts coming in,

with that possibility of a bit of

moisture falling into this cold air,

so there could be wintry showers,

particularly on higher ground,

but you get the sense the mild air

is quite a way away from the

British Isles, and we, for the most part in the coming week,

are stuck with that cold air

close by to us.

But the air isn't flooding at us

from Greenland and Iceland.

More and more, it's coming from

the Eastern Seaboard of the States

so I think the chances of there

being an awful lot of snow reduce

and it'll be outbreaks of rain

and it'll turn slightly less cold

but there are a lot of isobars on that chart.

It could be really quite windy across northern Britain.