Fukushima: Is Nuclear Power Safe? Horizon


Fukushima: Is Nuclear Power Safe?

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Fukushima, north-east Japan.

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This is as close as you can get

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to the site of a partial nuclear meltdown six months ago.

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But the events still unfolding here have consequences for us all.

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Energy is the lifeblood of our civilization.

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But where it comes from and how we get

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is something that touches all our lives.

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It's also, I think, one of the most important questions for science.

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We all need an energy supply that's reliable,

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but it also has to be safe.

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Around the world, many questions are now being asked

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about nuclear power.

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Some countries are looking to abandon it,

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but what lessons should we learn from the events at Fukushima?

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What I love most about Tokyo is the night-time.

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That's when the city comes alive with such energy,

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that's when it glows so brightly.

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But it's not glowing so brightly tonight.

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Things just don't look the way they normally do.

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By night, unnecessary lights are turned off.

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By day, machines stand stationary.

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And people resist turning on their air conditioning.

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A country for whom using energy

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has become as natural as breathing air,

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suddenly, very uncomfortably,

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must hold its breath.

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And that's because since the earthquake and tsunami struck

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over 100 miles away,

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electricity use has been rationed here.

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Here in Japan, the mood has turned against nuclear power.

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You can understand why.

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But is that the right reaction?

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I'm a professor of nuclear physics,

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but I have no agenda,

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no axe to grind.

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I'm not in the pay of the nuclear industry,

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nor the environmental movement.

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Let me lay my cards on the table.

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I've always believed that nuclear power is a good thing.

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It provides vast amounts of cheap and reliable energy.

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But I want to see how it's running, out in the real world.

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How reliable is it?

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How safe is it?

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I want to leave the politics and economics to one side

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and focus only on the science.

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After all, I am a scientist.

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But I'm also a husband and a father,

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and I want to know what's the safest option for my family's future,

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just like you.

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I want to start by going to the heart of the place

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that has shattered many people's confidence -

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Fukushima.

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Soon after the Tsunami struck,

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news spread that the nuclear power station had been damaged.

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There was a partial meltdown in one,

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and possibly three of the reactors.

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The situation appeared to be running out of control.

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Very rapidly, the perception of nuclear power began to change

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and governments reacted.

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The German's have said

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they'll shut down their nuclear reactors by 2022.

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The Swiss announced

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that none of their existing nuclear plants would be replaced.

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A referendum in Italy

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rejected plans to return to nuclear power generation.

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And an explosion at a nuclear reprocessing plant in France two days ago

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will only have stoked these fears further.

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For the past few years,

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there'd been talk of a Nuclear Renaissance.

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Not any more.

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I've come here to separate fact from emotion,

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to see the reality for myself.

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I want answers to a couple of questions.

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Firstly, just how bad was it,

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what was the human impact?

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And secondly,

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how lasting is the damage really likely to be?

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But first, I'm heading to the exclusion zone,

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which is as close as I can get to the plant.

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'Hours after the first explosion at the power station,

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'this evacuation zone was set up.'

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Well, ahead of me are some guards blocking the road.

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They look like they mean business.

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'Eventually, anyone living within a 20km radius of the plant

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'was evacuated from their homes.

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'Nearly 80,000 people.'

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Well, the clean-up operation carries on at the plant

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and these are returning workers...

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..who are just coming out of the exclusion zone.

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And this is, essentially, the boundary, this is the border.

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Beyond it, 20km in that way,

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is the Fukushima nuclear plant.

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But what is striking

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is that for 20km in that direction

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and a further 20km down the coast, beyond the plant,

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is complete emptiness.

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Apart from the nuclear workers,

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no-one is allowed in,

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no-one lives there any more.

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That's a lot of empty space for a country as crowded as Japan.

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'But what happened to cause this?'

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We can't get inside the Fukushima Daiichi plant,

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but in May this year,

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an international group of scientists

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went inside to investigate what went wrong.

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There's now a well-established story

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of what happened at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant on March 11th.

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First, the earthquake hit,

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followed by the tsunami,

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wiping out the vital power supply

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needed to cool the reactors once they shut down.

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And they did shut down.

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This is the moment the tsunami struck the power station.

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As the 14-metre wave hit,

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it overwhelmed the sea wall,

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and swamped the diesel pumps.

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The resulting loss of power

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shut off cooling to the reactors.

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This was crucial,

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because even though the reactors were shut down,

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they were still generating heat.

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Heat remained within the reactors and they slowly started to cook.

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This led ultimately to the build-up of pressure and explosions.

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Not nuclear explosions, but gas explosions.

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Accompanied by them was the release of radioactive particles

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out into the atmosphere.

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There was a release of steam and radioactive material,

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including isotopes of caesium and iodine.

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But there was perhaps a less well-known part of the design

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which contributed to the explosions.

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To understand why,

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it's helpful to understand how a nuclear reactor works.

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The science behind nuclear power is actually quite simple.

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At the heart of a nuclear plant are pellets like these,

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called fuel pellets.

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They contain radioactive uranium.

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Now, the way the energy is released

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is when the nucleus of a uranium atom

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is hit by a neutron.

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Now, this splits the uranium nucleus in two, releasing energy.

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But it also releases two or three other neutrons,

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and these fly off and hit further uranium nuclei,

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forcing them to split as well.

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This process is called a controlled chain reaction.

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This all takes place inside zirconium cylinders like this.

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These contain the fuel pellets.

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As the chain reaction goes on inside, releasing energy,

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these fuel rods heat up.

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Essentially, they act just like the elements of a kettle.

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Just like in a kettle, they're surrounded by water,

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which they heat up, turn to steam,

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which is used to drive turbines that generate electricity.

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Now, it's the same in a nuclear power plant,

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just as it is in any other type of power plant.

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They're all essentially giant kettles.

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At Fukushima, when cooling was lost,

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the zirconium fuel rods began to overheat.

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They reacted with steam around them

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and produced hydrogen.

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This was vented out into the reactor building

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where it mixed it with oxygen...

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and exploded.

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Now, the reason part of the design

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of this particular variety of boiling-water reactor at Fukushima

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might have contributed to the sequence of events,

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is because it made it harder

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to deal with the steam building up in the reactor.

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Let me explain. In a boiling-water reactor,

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the reactor is connected to a condensation chamber

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which acts as relief for some of the steam.

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Now, in an old reactor like Fukushima's,

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this condensation chamber was probably too small.

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Had it been larger in size,

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it would have been able to cope with more of the steam,

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giving the safety workers crucial time to deal with the problem.

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This was an old nuclear plant,

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commissioned around 40 years ago,

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but even though there was a partial meltdown here,

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much of the radiation was kept inside the plant.

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The thing about the accident that happened here

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is that we can find reasons for it -

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the well-told story

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that the sea wall wasn't built high enough to withstand the tsunami.

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But the thing about the failure of this nuclear plant

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is that it was an old nuclear plant,

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old in design, old in technology.

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And where you look elsewhere

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at nuclear power stations of a similar age,

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they've mostly been either retired off or upgraded.

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Understandably, many countries around the world

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are now examining the safety of their reactors,

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but I believe we should be careful not to make a blanket judgment

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about all nuclear power

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on the basis of what happened here.

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But the people here still need to deal with the consequences.

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This gym in Minamisoma is today serving as a meeting point

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for some of the people forced from their homes.

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Today is the first time they've been into the exclusion zone

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since it was created.

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A route is planned to take them home.

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They must wear dose meters

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and there's a strict time limit of two hours.

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How do you feel about today? Are you excited? Are you nervous?

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TRANSLATION FROM JAPANESE:

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We aren't allowed into the zone,

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so former resident Kunitomo Tokuzawa

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is taking a camera for us

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to chart his trip back home with his mother.

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Two hours later,

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everyone returns with their carefully selected belongings.

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They're allowed to bring out just one bagful,

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measuring 70cm by 70cm.

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TRANSLATION FROM JAPANESE:

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'Kunitomo returns with the camera

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'and a glimpse into an abandoned world.'

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Good to see. OK, well, come and tell me all about it.

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No-one knows when these people will be allowed to return to their homes, if ever.

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Many have been forced to move to a new city in search of work.

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And for a disturbing number, their lives are still in limbo.

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Nearby is Haramachi Junior High School.

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But for now, it's also serving as an emergency evacuation centre

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for those who were living close to the nuclear plant.

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Konichiwa.

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I met Shizuo Konno, an evacuee whose home is now a classroom floor.

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Your home is just a few miles away.

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How frustrating must this be for you?

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TRANSLATION FROM JAPANESE:

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Are you angry

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with the way the situation has been dealt with,

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making you leave your home?

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Arigato.

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Shizuo is facing up to the fact that he may never work on his farm again.

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I caught up with the director of the evacuation centre, Iwao Hoshi.

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So how many people are actually living now

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in this evacuation centre?

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TRANSLATION FROM JAPANESE:

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And thousands of people

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still remain in temporary and makeshift accommodation.

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You know, some of the stories I've heard today have been heartbreaking

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and it's quite tragic to think

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that there are tens of thousands of other stories

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just like the ones I heard.

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But let's get things into perspective.

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The earthquake and tsunami killed over 20,000 people.

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No-one has died as a result of the fall-out from the nuclear plant.

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The International Atomic Energy Agency have said that, to date,

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no confirmed long-term health effects to any person

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have been reported as a result of radiation exposure.

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Around 30 workers were exposed to high doses initially,

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and for these people, there may be a small percentage increase

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in their risk of eventually incurring some health effects.

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I'm in Japan, four months after the tsunami struck the plant.

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What remains of the radiation now?

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And does it justify the exclusion zone?

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This is the village of Iitate,

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population usually 6,165.

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But it's been completely evacuated,

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even though it's outside the exclusion zone.

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That's because radioactive particles from the Fukushima reactor

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have been carried here by the weather.

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Now it's entirely abandoned.

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Every house, every street...

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even this school.

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I've come here today to witness something I've never seen before.

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In fact, it's an event

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that's only happened a few times during my lifetime,

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and that's part of a radioactive clean-up operation.

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And so, as a precautionary measure,

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I'm wearing these wellington boots,

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just to make sure that I don't get any contamination

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from any dust on the ground

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as I walk around.

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Today, scientists from Fukushima University

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will take measurements of the soil,

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which is where most, or all, of the radioactive particles will be now,

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because they've fallen from the air to the ground.

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They're looking for two toxic elements

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which escaped from Fukushima.

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In particular, radioactive iodine

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and radioactive caesium.

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But one of these elements, radioactive iodine,

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is only present for a short time.

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TRANSLATION FROM JAPANESE: Right now, because about four months has passed,

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I predict the iodine has disappeared.

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And that's because radioactive elements decay over time,

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eventually changing into stable, non-radioactive forms.

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It's the half-life of an element

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that's a good measure of how quickly this happens.

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TRANSLATION: So, only traces of caesium 137 and 134

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are being detected.

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So, there will only be caesium in the soil.

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How dangerous is this? How long will it remain in the ground?

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TRANSLATION: The half-life of caesium is said to be close to 30 years.

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So, for a long time, caesium will be the biggest problem.

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Back in the lab, they've found high levels of radiation

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in the top 2.5 centimetres of the soil.

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Other studies from nearby

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found levels more than 500 times higher than normal.

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Removing this topsoil here would be an expensive option

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and Iitate isn't even in the exclusion zone.

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Recently, the Japanese Government

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has been monitoring the radiation level

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across 50 sites inside the zone.

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They've set their safety limit at 20 millisieverts per year,

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which is the same limit

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as for people working in the nuclear industry in the UK.

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What they've found is that 35 of the sites exceeded this level

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and the highest reading was 500 millisieverts.

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The tests will help decide whether these people can go home.

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The government has decided to keep the exclusion zone in place,

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but that's a more complex decision than it looks.

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For perspective,

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you'd get around that level,

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20 millisieverts a year,

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from two CT scans per year.

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On one hand, setting such a limit

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protects people's health effectively,

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but on the other, that comes at a cost -

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the upheaval of 78,000 lives.

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So let's take stock.

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Certainly, governments around the world

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are looking to Japan to help them make a decision.

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Of course, they're going to be influenced by the fact

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that tens of thousands of people had to be evacuated,

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and that the exclusion zone carries with it an economic cost,

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as well as the human one.

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But it's also true

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that the containment process around the reactor largely worked.

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Most of the radiation was kept in,

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which is pretty remarkable for such an old and flawed reactor.

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And, most importantly, no-one died.

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And there have been no associated radiation health risks so far.

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One of the questions that Fukushima raises is this -

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how do we judge what level of radiation can be considered safe?

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This question has been relevant to one place in particular -

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the site of the biggest nuclear accident in history.

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Pripyat.

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A ruined and deserted city in the former Soviet Union.

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On 26th April 1986,

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three kilometres away at the Chernobyl power plant,

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a reactor exploded...

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releasing three tonnes of nuclear fuel.

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28 of the workers who were first on the scene

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received extremely high doses of radiation

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and died within four months.

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But there's another question I'm interested in.

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What was the effect of the radiation released on another group -

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not those working at the site or helping with the clean-up,

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but the general population living here?

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Galina Chayka was among those living in Pripyat

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at the time of the Chernobyl accident.

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Today she's returning to her home for the first time in 25 years.

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TRANSLATION: Here is our entrance.

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And here is the door.

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Now everything is broken, nothing is left.

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Oh, my flat, meet me 25 years after!

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When the accident happened,

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Galina and her children were there to witness it.

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TRANSLATION: We went out and watched it,

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how the reactor was burning like Bengal fires,

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and kids climbed the roofs and watched it,

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until somebody said it was dangerous and made us stay inside.

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They weren't evacuated for another two days.

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Galina believes that the accident's impact began soon after.

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TRANSLATION: Soon after the accident I started to have headaches,

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terrible headaches.

0:30:370:30:39

I got high blood pressure, heart problems,

0:30:390:30:42

my stomach started to hurt because of all the nerves,

0:30:420:30:46

and maybe I've got some sort of radiation.

0:30:460:30:49

It's a situation that constantly occupies her mind.

0:30:550:30:59

TRANSLATION: Now I mostly live in fear of poor health,

0:31:030:31:06

disease, illnesses, death.

0:31:060:31:09

You live in fear every day

0:31:090:31:12

that today you are alive, and tomorrow you get ill.

0:31:120:31:16

This is the everyday fear.

0:31:160:31:17

Galina is not alone.

0:31:240:31:27

Many more people share the same fears.

0:31:270:31:31

But it's difficult, scientifically,

0:31:310:31:34

to show a link between any one person's illness

0:31:340:31:38

and their exposure to radiation.

0:31:380:31:40

But, 20 years after the accident,

0:31:430:31:46

a large-scale international project,

0:31:460:31:48

the Chernobyl Forum,

0:31:480:31:50

set out to understand the impact of the release of this radiation.

0:31:500:31:54

I've come to meet Professor Mykola Tronko,

0:31:590:32:02

who is in charge of the Institute of Endocrinology here in the Ukraine.

0:32:020:32:07

Initially, many doctors expected Chernobyl

0:32:090:32:12

to cause different types of cancer in hundreds of thousands of people.

0:32:120:32:17

But what actually happened was very different.

0:32:170:32:20

TRANSLATION: Starting from 1990,

0:32:230:32:26

we saw the increase of thyroid cancer incidents among children.

0:32:260:32:30

It certainly caused a big discussion in the scientific world.

0:32:300:32:35

'Despite this wave of cases of thyroid cancer,

0:32:370:32:41

'there were no confirmed increases in any other type of cancer

0:32:410:32:45

'in the general population.'

0:32:450:32:46

TRANSLATION: We can say that problem number one,

0:32:500:32:52

as far as the medical effects of the Chernobyl accident are concerned,

0:32:520:32:56

is the problem of pathologies of the thyroid gland,

0:32:560:32:58

particularly thyroid cancer.

0:32:580:33:01

How many thousands of people

0:33:020:33:04

have been diagnosed as having thyroid cancer,

0:33:040:33:08

as a result - as far as you can understand - of the accident itself?

0:33:080:33:12

TRANSLATION: For all cases of thyroid cancer,

0:33:120:33:16

the institute has a register of patients who were operated on

0:33:160:33:20

for thyroid cancer.

0:33:200:33:22

In this register, 2,000 - 2,500 refer to radio-induced thyroid cancer.

0:33:220:33:29

The thyroids were removed, studied and stored here.

0:33:340:33:39

They found that radioactive iodine from the fallout

0:33:420:33:46

had been taken up into the thyroid gland,

0:33:460:33:50

and there it had caused tumours.

0:33:500:33:53

It affected children more because the rate of cell division

0:33:550:33:59

is faster in the thyroid when you're young.

0:33:590:34:02

This might have been prevented.

0:34:040:34:07

Iodine tablets contain the stable form of iodine

0:34:070:34:10

which your body takes up in preference to the radioactive form,

0:34:100:34:14

so cancers don't start.

0:34:140:34:17

But, unlike Fukushima,

0:34:200:34:22

in Chernobyl, these tablets weren't immediately made available.

0:34:220:34:27

How many deaths has this resulted in so far?

0:34:270:34:33

TRANSLATION: There were a few cases of deaths.

0:34:330:34:36

The number of deaths for these patients, to be more exact,

0:34:360:34:39

aged 0-18 at the time of the accident, was seven.

0:34:390:34:44

That's an incredible survival rate for this type of thyroid cancer.

0:34:450:34:50

Yes, a high survival rate.

0:34:500:34:53

After five years, we had a survival rate of 99.5%.

0:34:530:34:57

Once the findings of scientists

0:35:000:35:02

from across other contaminated areas of Belarus and Russia were added in,

0:35:020:35:08

they found a total of 15 deaths

0:35:080:35:11

amongst 6,000 cases of thyroid cancer,

0:35:110:35:15

Within a population of some six million.

0:35:150:35:18

People will listen to you, and they will say,

0:35:230:35:27

"Yes, of course, he is in the Ukraine."

0:35:270:35:30

"He has the old Soviet mentality of sticking to a particular line."

0:35:300:35:37

"Why should we believe him?"

0:35:370:35:40

TRANSLATION: It has already been recognised

0:35:400:35:42

by the world's scientific medical community.

0:35:420:35:46

WHO recognised it, the United Nations recognised it.

0:35:460:35:50

These results have been published

0:35:500:35:52

in the most respected scientific journals,

0:35:520:35:55

in particular, in Nature, in Science, and many, many others.

0:35:550:35:59

At a human level, these deaths are, of course, significant,

0:36:060:36:11

as are the cases of cancer.

0:36:110:36:14

But they are lower than almost anyone expected.

0:36:140:36:17

I think a lot of people will be really surprised

0:36:190:36:22

to hear what Professor Tronko had to say.

0:36:220:36:25

I am pretty convinced by this work on thyroid cancer.

0:36:250:36:29

The numbers are very low. But the statistics seem solid.

0:36:290:36:35

The research is highly respected and acknowledged around the world.

0:36:350:36:39

Of course, it remains to be seen whether this number will grow.

0:36:390:36:44

But it's certainly not this figure that's bandied around -

0:36:440:36:50

tens or hundreds of thousands of cases -

0:36:500:36:53

that seems to be purely a myth.

0:36:530:36:57

The full outcome of Chernobyl is not yet known.

0:37:040:37:08

But the data so far is feeding into an ongoing debate

0:37:080:37:12

about the effects of low-level radiation.

0:37:120:37:16

The thing is, radioactivity is all around us.

0:37:180:37:23

It's in the air that we breathe, it comes out from the ground.

0:37:230:37:26

It's inside our bodies.

0:37:260:37:29

The food that we eat is radioactive.

0:37:290:37:32

All living tissue, for instance, contains radioactive carbon 14.

0:37:320:37:36

This banana cake contains potassium 40. As do these brazil nuts.

0:37:360:37:43

So, every time I have food like this,

0:37:430:37:45

I'm increasing the amount of radioactivity within my body.

0:37:450:37:49

There's a constant background radiation

0:37:490:37:52

that does us no harm at all.

0:37:520:37:56

It's when the level of radiation increases above that background

0:37:560:38:00

that the controversy arises.

0:38:000:38:04

The scientific consensus has been that

0:38:040:38:07

any dose of radiation above the background can cause damage.

0:38:070:38:13

And so, the picture would look like this.

0:38:130:38:17

Harm, against dose, gives a straight line.

0:38:170:38:21

But even low-dose levels could be harmful.

0:38:210:38:26

This remains the consensus.

0:38:260:38:27

But there are a number of scientists who believe

0:38:270:38:30

there may be a different theory. It goes like this.

0:38:300:38:35

Low doses may not be harmful at all.

0:38:350:38:38

There's a certain threshold level above which the harm begins to rise.

0:38:380:38:43

It's a quite different way of thinking about radioactivity,

0:38:430:38:48

and its harmful effects.

0:38:480:38:51

This isn't just different, it's highly controversial.

0:38:530:38:57

There's an ongoing debate over the shape of the curve,

0:38:570:39:01

because it's difficult to collect evidence at such low levels.

0:39:010:39:07

And it's possible that there's a small section of the population

0:39:070:39:11

that may be more sensitive than others to low-dose radiation.

0:39:110:39:16

While the scientific debate continues,

0:39:210:39:24

the people of Pripyat must continue to live their lives.

0:39:240:39:29

They've spent more than 25 years

0:39:290:39:32

trying to understand the impact of radiation on their bodies.

0:39:320:39:37

TRANSLATION: What will it do to me?

0:39:420:39:45

I will die. What else can it do to me?

0:39:450:39:47

Illnesses, suffering and death.

0:39:470:39:49

What other result?

0:39:490:39:51

The studies suggest that it's unlikely that most of these people

0:39:560:40:01

will die, or get ill, from the radioactive fall-out.

0:40:010:40:04

But instead, they live in constant fear

0:40:040:40:07

of what the radiation might have done to them.

0:40:070:40:10

Fear and horror. Horror and fear.

0:40:130:40:16

Or sadness and grief.

0:40:180:40:21

SHE SOBS

0:40:210:40:24

It's a large-scale problem, as Dr Marino Gresko knows first-hand.

0:40:320:40:38

She specialises in counselling Chernobyl evacuees.

0:40:380:40:43

But she's also one herself.

0:40:430:40:45

At the time of the accident, she was a nine-year-old,

0:40:450:40:48

attending school here.

0:40:480:40:50

TRANSLATION: As a rule, the most widespread are still

0:40:540:40:58

depressive moods, anxiety symptoms, worry for the future,

0:40:580:41:02

including worry for their own health and their children and grandchildren.

0:41:020:41:07

Suicidal moods and thoughts are generally present among people

0:41:100:41:13

and some have problems of alcohol abuse.

0:41:130:41:16

Doctor Gresko sees these problems herself,

0:41:190:41:22

in large proportions of evacuees.

0:41:220:41:25

TRANSLATION: Out of all people who were evacuated, about 70% suffer from anxiety and depression.

0:41:260:41:33

And about 40% possibly have alcoholism problems.

0:41:330:41:36

Dr Gresko's statistics refer only to her own patients.

0:41:420:41:47

But there's much wider support for this view.

0:41:470:41:51

The UN-backed Chernobyl Forum report has stated that

0:41:510:41:56

the mental-health impact of Chernobyl is the largest public health problem

0:41:560:41:59

unleashed by the accident to date.

0:41:590:42:02

So what does this mean for the people of Fukushima who have had their lives

0:42:150:42:20

turned upside down by the tsunami and then the nuclear evacuation?

0:42:200:42:25

It seems the greatest threat to their health now may be

0:42:310:42:35

fear of radiation, and the stress of evacuation.

0:42:350:42:38

But of course, the events in Japan have a much wider importance.

0:42:450:42:51

We all face choices over the coming years about how we get our energy.

0:42:520:42:59

It's a question that's made all the more urgent by the issue of climate change.

0:42:590:43:03

If we carry on burning fossil fuels - coal, oil and gas - at the rate we're doing,

0:43:080:43:13

then we risk changing our planet's climate, the effects of which could be devastating.

0:43:130:43:19

And, to my mind, this can never be purely a scientific problem.

0:43:210:43:25

It's indisputably tied up with economics and politics.

0:43:250:43:30

You'll have your views, and I'll have mine.

0:43:310:43:34

But it's a debate that needs to be informed by an assessment of the scientific risks.

0:43:340:43:40

The influence of politics and economics on nuclear power is, of course, nothing new.

0:43:450:43:50

And really from the moment scientists first started to understand

0:43:500:43:54

the power bound up inside the atom, it was inevitable that

0:43:540:43:57

politicians would be drawn to this irresistible bounty of energy.

0:43:570:44:01

And I think these politics have had an impact on my science.

0:44:040:44:08

The science of nuclear physics

0:44:080:44:10

and its attempts to find the safest way to unleash the power of the atom.

0:44:100:44:16

The creation of the atomic bomb was one of the most monumental

0:44:280:44:31

scientific projects of the 20th century.

0:44:310:44:34

It brought terrible destruction.

0:44:450:44:47

But it also demonstrated the power of nuclear physics

0:44:470:44:51

and shortened America's war in the Pacific.

0:44:510:44:55

After the Second World War,

0:44:580:45:00

physicists were lionised as heroes, and there was this tremendous faith

0:45:000:45:06

in science to provide solutions and answers to all the world's problems.

0:45:060:45:10

And as for nuclear technology, well, the belief was that it had brought

0:45:110:45:16

an end to the war, and now, it will provide us with electrical power.

0:45:160:45:21

The atomic age was born. A giant of limitless power at man's command.

0:45:250:45:31

But in the new atomic age,

0:45:310:45:34

there were deep connections between the civilian programme

0:45:340:45:37

for nuclear power, and earlier military projects to build the bomb.

0:45:370:45:41

This is Bentwaters Park on the Suffolk coast.

0:45:580:46:03

It used to be a US Air Force base and was at the forefront of the Cold War.

0:46:030:46:08

This bunker, and every one of these, was a store for one thing -

0:46:110:46:16

nuclear weapons.

0:46:160:46:17

Each one of them was packed full of warheads,

0:46:200:46:23

bombs that could have been used against Soviet Russia in the event of a war.

0:46:230:46:27

Plutonium in warheads could come from both military reactors and the earlier civilian reactors.

0:46:330:46:41

And more generally, the bomb programme and the civilian power programme that followed

0:46:450:46:52

shared the same reactor physics, based on uranium.

0:46:520:46:58

But it didn't have to be that way.

0:47:040:47:06

And at the time there were some who thought it shouldn't be that way.

0:47:060:47:11

Scientists continued to experiment with other ways of producing

0:47:110:47:16

nuclear power - not just from uranium - and the story of what happened

0:47:160:47:21

with one of these alternative fuels is a fascinating one.

0:47:210:47:25

It's one of the most overlooked elements in the periodic table.

0:47:260:47:30

Thorium.

0:47:300:47:32

Some scientists have made great claims for its potential -

0:47:320:47:37

it's more efficient, it burns more completely,

0:47:370:47:40

and it's more abundant than uranium -

0:47:400:47:43

but others see it as a difficult element to work with.

0:47:430:47:47

It's harder to trigger and sustain a nuclear reaction.

0:47:470:47:50

Crucially though, thorium reactors don't produce plutonium

0:47:500:47:55

in a form that can be readily used in weapons.

0:47:550:47:57

One extraordinary man was keen to drive through

0:47:580:48:02

thorium as an alternative nuclear fuel.

0:48:020:48:04

His name was Alvin Weinberg.

0:48:040:48:07

Now, strangely, Weinberg was one of the architects of

0:48:070:48:10

the very earliest uranium nuclear power plants in the US,

0:48:100:48:14

but despite his involvement with these reactors,

0:48:140:48:17

Weinberg was keen to find safer alternatives.

0:48:170:48:20

He became convinced that thorium reactors were the way to go.

0:48:200:48:27

As head of a Government nuclear lab from 1955,

0:48:290:48:32

Weinberg pushed forward his suggestion

0:48:320:48:36

for what he thought was a potentially safer way of producing nuclear power.

0:48:360:48:40

This was a moment when the politics were faced with a choice.

0:48:400:48:46

They could either continue with the thorium reactors

0:48:460:48:49

and explore other safer options...

0:48:490:48:52

..or they could stick with the uranium-based reactors they knew and had invested in.

0:48:560:49:00

They chose uranium.

0:49:050:49:06

Weinberg's plans were sidelined and, after 18 years as director

0:49:110:49:16

of a key government nuclear lab, he was forced out.

0:49:160:49:20

I'm not saying that thorium was, in some way, the lost saviour of nuclear power.

0:49:250:49:31

But Weinberg's story was representative of something different -

0:49:320:49:37

the shutting down of scientific options.

0:49:370:49:40

Now, things have changed.

0:49:450:49:50

The Cold War is long over.

0:49:500:49:54

And there's a renewed interest in finding safer ways to approach nuclear power.

0:49:540:50:00

People are exploring new ideas.

0:50:030:50:06

And some are returning to those which were shelved in the 1970s.

0:50:060:50:11

And revisiting the work of scientists such as Alvin Weinberg.

0:50:110:50:16

What Weinberg had planned was a radically different kind of nuclear reactor.

0:50:160:50:21

Not only did he propose using thorium instead of uranium as a fuel, but to use it in liquid form.

0:50:210:50:29

It's quite incredible to think that so many of Weinberg's

0:50:290:50:33

revolutionary ideas can be found in this book that's over 50 years old.

0:50:330:50:37

And it's a real shame that when the US government closed down

0:50:370:50:41

Weinberg's thorium research, they also stopped all work on liquid-fuel reactors.

0:50:410:50:46

It's perhaps too early to judge whether thorium will realise

0:50:560:51:00

its potential and live up to its promise as a nuclear fuel.

0:51:000:51:05

There are many technical and scientific challenges to overcome.

0:51:050:51:10

But the reason it excites me, as a nuclear physicist,

0:51:140:51:18

is because of the intellectual ambition of the work.

0:51:180:51:23

There are already glimmers of what might be achieved if we do experiment.

0:51:290:51:33

I think one of the most exciting prospects to come out of recent research

0:51:360:51:40

is how to deal with nuclear waste.

0:51:400:51:43

Long-term waste remains radioactive for tens of thousands of years.

0:51:430:51:49

So how to deal with it is a very thorny issue.

0:51:490:51:53

At the moment, the only accepted thing to do

0:51:530:51:56

is to bury it, deep underground, in geologically sealed sites.

0:51:560:52:01

But there's an obvious problem with this.

0:52:010:52:04

It simply sits there as a legacy for future generations.

0:52:040:52:08

Here in Grenoble, in the southeast of France, they're working on

0:52:110:52:15

how to transform long-term waste into something which can be disposed of more effectively.

0:52:150:52:22

Doctor Ulli Koester is in charge of researching this process here.

0:52:270:52:32

It's called transmutation.

0:52:320:52:35

We can turn one element into another.

0:52:370:52:39

So we can destroy long-lived radioactive waste by turning it,

0:52:390:52:44

with this transmutation,

0:52:440:52:46

into short-lived isotopes which go away quickly.

0:52:460:52:49

Ultimately, what happens in any nuclear reactor

0:52:520:52:55

is that by splitting atomic nuclei an element is transformed into other different elements.

0:52:550:53:02

And what they do here is rather similar, just accelerated.

0:53:020:53:07

They take heavy elements that are radioactive for tens of thousands of years and split them

0:53:070:53:13

into lighter ones that are radioactive for just tens or hundreds of years.

0:53:130:53:18

Transmutation is an alchemist's dream, where people try to convert

0:53:210:53:24

lead into gold - which is actually possible

0:53:240:53:27

with a strong accelerator - but the gold price has to go a long way

0:53:270:53:30

before it becomes interesting economically.

0:53:300:53:33

To perform this work they need a specialised nuclear reactor.

0:53:360:53:41

They then take a small piece of radioactive material - in this case, americium 241 -

0:53:450:53:53

and load it remotely into the reactor's core.

0:53:530:53:56

Once deep inside, it's bombarded with a high flux of neutrons, triggering fission

0:54:080:54:15

of as many nuclei in the waste as possible, so burning it up more completely.

0:54:150:54:22

So here we have a 50-times higher neutron flux compared to

0:54:220:54:27

a power reactor, which means we can accelerate the process by a factor of 50.

0:54:270:54:31

Instead of waiting for 50 years for something to happen, we can shorten it down to one year.

0:54:310:54:36

And this blue light in the shielding water is a sign that transmutation is happening.

0:54:390:54:45

It's called Cherenkov radiation

0:54:450:54:48

and it's created by the products released as one element is changed to another.

0:54:480:54:53

After 50 days or so in the reactor, the americium, which had a half-life

0:54:560:55:01

of 430 years, has been transformed into completely different elements.

0:55:010:55:08

Each peak represents a fingerprint for an individual isotope.

0:55:080:55:12

If you find this peak we can look it up and we will find it is a decay

0:55:120:55:19

of Krypton 87, which has a much shorter half-life

0:55:190:55:22

of a couple of hours, so it will decay away very quickly.

0:55:220:55:27

It's a process that can be applied to other, more toxic waste products,

0:55:270:55:31

which can be radioactive for thousands of years.

0:55:310:55:35

It's not yet a working solution for our nuclear-waste problems.

0:55:350:55:39

But it shows what might be possible if scientists are able to pursue wider options.

0:55:390:55:45

So, there is an important question that many of us are wrestling with -

0:55:550:56:01

should Fukushima really be the end of the road for nuclear power?

0:56:010:56:05

And, I think, my answer would be no.

0:56:070:56:10

Nothing is perfect.

0:56:100:56:12

There are, of course, consequences when things go wrong,

0:56:120:56:15

when there's an accident. But then, of course, this is true of all power - coal, oil, gas, renewables.

0:56:150:56:23

What's special about nuclear power is our dread of radiation.

0:56:230:56:30

But my hope is, whatever we decide,

0:56:300:56:33

it will be based on a careful assessment of rational science.

0:56:330:56:38

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