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This is the inside story of a disaster | 0:00:10 | 0:00:13 | |
that seems unimaginable in our time. | 0:00:13 | 0:00:15 | |
How can an airliner full of people vanish without a trace? | 0:00:18 | 0:00:22 | |
26 nations joined the hunt for Malaysia Airlines Flight 370. | 0:00:27 | 0:00:31 | |
It was almost a relief to narrow it down to a hemisphere. | 0:00:36 | 0:00:40 | |
It's a daunting task. | 0:00:40 | 0:00:41 | |
Family members should prepare themselves for the worst. | 0:00:45 | 0:00:48 | |
When MH370 disappeared, | 0:00:48 | 0:00:50 | |
the families of those on board were plunged into a nightmare... | 0:00:50 | 0:00:54 | |
..and the world needed answers. | 0:00:55 | 0:00:57 | |
SHE WAILS | 0:00:57 | 0:01:00 | |
This film is a forensic examination of events. | 0:01:00 | 0:01:03 | |
It follows the scientists and engineers | 0:01:03 | 0:01:05 | |
who unearthed a trail of clues where there were none. | 0:01:05 | 0:01:09 | |
I was delighted that the calculation had worked | 0:01:09 | 0:01:12 | |
but, of course, you feel the... | 0:01:12 | 0:01:14 | |
the depth of this, the severity of it. | 0:01:14 | 0:01:17 | |
It reveals the location where their data suggests the plane went down - | 0:01:17 | 0:01:22 | |
a location yet to be searched... | 0:01:22 | 0:01:24 | |
..and pieces together what might have happened on board. | 0:01:26 | 0:01:29 | |
..and that flammability hazard exists... | 0:01:29 | 0:01:32 | |
Finding MH370 is fast becoming | 0:01:34 | 0:01:38 | |
the most challenging search in human history. | 0:01:38 | 0:01:41 | |
Kuala Lumpur International Airport - | 0:02:02 | 0:02:05 | |
the gateway to 43 countries across Asia and beyond | 0:02:05 | 0:02:09 | |
for tourists, business travellers, people going home. | 0:02:09 | 0:02:13 | |
On Friday 7th March, 2014, | 0:02:18 | 0:02:21 | |
the pilots of Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 to Beijing | 0:02:21 | 0:02:25 | |
were filmed crossing from landside to airside. | 0:02:25 | 0:02:28 | |
Whatever these men did in the hours that followed, | 0:02:30 | 0:02:33 | |
or whatever happened to them, | 0:02:33 | 0:02:35 | |
lies at the heart of this mystery. | 0:02:35 | 0:02:37 | |
The relationship between pilots and air traffic controllers | 0:02:49 | 0:02:53 | |
is crucial to flying safely. | 0:02:53 | 0:02:54 | |
It's a very important relationship. | 0:02:55 | 0:02:57 | |
Any time you try and get an aircraft from A to B, | 0:02:57 | 0:03:00 | |
it's a matter of teamwork. | 0:03:00 | 0:03:02 | |
And air traffic control are a vital member of that team. | 0:03:02 | 0:03:04 | |
There's a real bond between controllers and pilots. | 0:03:07 | 0:03:09 | |
They understand the job that each other is doing | 0:03:10 | 0:03:14 | |
and it's a really, really important part | 0:03:14 | 0:03:16 | |
of the safety culture of aviation. | 0:03:16 | 0:03:18 | |
So how did MH370 slip the surveillance technologies | 0:03:24 | 0:03:27 | |
the air traffic controllers rely on? | 0:03:27 | 0:03:30 | |
These are the actual recordings of what happened this night. | 0:03:31 | 0:03:35 | |
Just as the flight had so many times before, at 12.41am, | 0:03:47 | 0:03:52 | |
the Malaysia Airlines Boeing 777 lifted off into the night, | 0:03:52 | 0:03:57 | |
bound for Beijing. | 0:03:57 | 0:03:58 | |
On board were 227 passengers and 12 crew. | 0:04:00 | 0:04:05 | |
It was a very normal flight. | 0:04:06 | 0:04:08 | |
Everything was calm, ordered. | 0:04:08 | 0:04:09 | |
It's exactly what you would have been expecting on the day. | 0:04:09 | 0:04:12 | |
There was no drama. | 0:04:12 | 0:04:14 | |
There was no reason to think anything unusual is happening. | 0:04:14 | 0:04:18 | |
Stephen Landells is an experienced 777 pilot | 0:04:22 | 0:04:26 | |
with a comprehensive knowledge | 0:04:26 | 0:04:27 | |
of the state-of-the-art systems on board. | 0:04:27 | 0:04:30 | |
'This is a Boeing 737-800 series. | 0:04:32 | 0:04:36 | |
'This cockpit is very similar to the 777 cockpit.' | 0:04:36 | 0:04:39 | |
Positive climb. Gear up. | 0:04:41 | 0:04:43 | |
Like all modern passenger planes, | 0:04:45 | 0:04:47 | |
the Boeing 777 is a technological marvel. | 0:04:47 | 0:04:51 | |
In service for 19 years, its safety record is excellent. | 0:04:51 | 0:04:56 | |
Its systems are so advanced, it can virtually fly itself. | 0:04:56 | 0:05:00 | |
A lot of the systems are automated. | 0:05:02 | 0:05:04 | |
But it is just a computer. | 0:05:04 | 0:05:06 | |
You use the automatics a lot, | 0:05:06 | 0:05:08 | |
but have you to control them | 0:05:08 | 0:05:09 | |
and make sure they're doing the right thing. | 0:05:09 | 0:05:11 | |
And that's what the pilots do. | 0:05:11 | 0:05:13 | |
The pilots can communicate from anywhere on the globe | 0:05:16 | 0:05:19 | |
using very high frequency and high frequency radio, | 0:05:19 | 0:05:23 | |
a text messaging service called ACARS | 0:05:23 | 0:05:26 | |
and a satellite link for voice calls and sending data. | 0:05:26 | 0:05:29 | |
I've been sitting over Greenland, listening to the HF radio, | 0:05:31 | 0:05:35 | |
and I've heard someone having a conversation with Mumbai. | 0:05:35 | 0:05:37 | |
When it comes to navigating, | 0:05:39 | 0:05:41 | |
the aircraft follows a route that's already been programmed in. | 0:05:41 | 0:05:44 | |
You'll load your route into the navigational computer. | 0:05:46 | 0:05:50 | |
And you can actually load that | 0:05:50 | 0:05:51 | |
all the way from your start point to the end point. | 0:05:51 | 0:05:54 | |
Less than a minute after take-off, | 0:05:58 | 0:06:00 | |
the crew of MH370 were told to modify their route to Beijing. | 0:06:00 | 0:06:04 | |
The crew were told to turn right on a more direct route to Beijing, | 0:06:16 | 0:06:19 | |
via a waypoint called Igari. | 0:06:19 | 0:06:22 | |
Waypoints are code names for coordinates on the map | 0:06:22 | 0:06:25 | |
that air traffic controllers and pilots use to navigate. | 0:06:25 | 0:06:29 | |
I'm going to add Igari. | 0:06:31 | 0:06:33 | |
I-G-A-R-I. | 0:06:33 | 0:06:36 | |
'The airways, the motorways in the sky, are... | 0:06:36 | 0:06:39 | |
'They're set routes. | 0:06:39 | 0:06:41 | |
'And they are defined by waypoints.' | 0:06:41 | 0:06:44 | |
Near Igari, responsibility for MH370 | 0:06:46 | 0:06:50 | |
will pass from air traffic controllers in Malaysia | 0:06:50 | 0:06:53 | |
to their counterparts in Vietnam. | 0:06:53 | 0:06:55 | |
26 minutes into the flight, | 0:07:04 | 0:07:07 | |
the last ACARS message sent automatically from the aircraft | 0:07:07 | 0:07:10 | |
showed normal routing all the way to Beijing. | 0:07:10 | 0:07:13 | |
As MH370 headed out over the South China Sea, | 0:07:20 | 0:07:25 | |
air traffic controllers were tracking it | 0:07:25 | 0:07:27 | |
using a technology developed in the 1930s - | 0:07:27 | 0:07:30 | |
radar. | 0:07:30 | 0:07:32 | |
It was developed mainly by the British for the Second World War | 0:07:34 | 0:07:37 | |
as a device for protecting the UK shores. | 0:07:37 | 0:07:40 | |
The technology has changed a lot, | 0:07:42 | 0:07:44 | |
but the concept has remained very much the same. | 0:07:44 | 0:07:47 | |
Well, this is a primary surveillance radar, | 0:07:48 | 0:07:50 | |
very similar to the one that's in Malaysia. | 0:07:50 | 0:07:53 | |
And you can see the bottom half of that is the main radar itself. | 0:07:53 | 0:07:57 | |
Air traffic controllers used two main types of radar. | 0:07:59 | 0:08:03 | |
Primary radar detects where aircraft are | 0:08:06 | 0:08:08 | |
by sending out pulses of electromagnetic radiation | 0:08:08 | 0:08:11 | |
and collecting their reflections | 0:08:11 | 0:08:13 | |
when they bounce off objects in the sky. | 0:08:13 | 0:08:16 | |
Its range varies, but modern systems can reach around 100 miles. | 0:08:16 | 0:08:21 | |
The range is limited by the power that this radar can put out. | 0:08:25 | 0:08:29 | |
The electromagnetic pulse has got to travel all the way out there, | 0:08:29 | 0:08:33 | |
bounce off the aircraft and travel all the way back. | 0:08:33 | 0:08:36 | |
So therefore the power, when it gets back, | 0:08:36 | 0:08:38 | |
is going to be very low indeed. | 0:08:38 | 0:08:40 | |
The other main problem is that the radar is not terribly accurate. | 0:08:40 | 0:08:45 | |
And it certainly can't identify the target either. | 0:08:45 | 0:08:47 | |
So all it can say is, "There's an aircraft there, | 0:08:47 | 0:08:51 | |
"at this range, in that position." | 0:08:51 | 0:08:53 | |
To extend their surveillance of the skies, | 0:08:54 | 0:08:57 | |
air traffic controllers rely on a more sophisticated type of radar | 0:08:57 | 0:09:01 | |
called secondary radar. | 0:09:01 | 0:09:02 | |
The top rectangular part is the secondary radar. | 0:09:05 | 0:09:09 | |
What that will do is it's an interrogator. | 0:09:09 | 0:09:12 | |
Secondary radar has a far longer range than primary radar | 0:09:13 | 0:09:17 | |
because it doesn't rely on detecting reflections. | 0:09:17 | 0:09:20 | |
Instead, it sends a signal out to the aircraft, | 0:09:22 | 0:09:25 | |
which interrogates a piece of equipment on board | 0:09:25 | 0:09:28 | |
called a transponder. | 0:09:28 | 0:09:29 | |
And it's the transponder that sends a new signal back, | 0:09:29 | 0:09:33 | |
identifying the aircraft, its height and course. | 0:09:33 | 0:09:37 | |
Controllers controlling the flights on long range, | 0:09:39 | 0:09:41 | |
they will nearly always rely totally on the secondary radar system | 0:09:41 | 0:09:45 | |
because the primary radars are just not providing the information. | 0:09:45 | 0:09:48 | |
38 minutes into the flight, air traffic controllers in Malaysia | 0:09:56 | 0:09:59 | |
could clearly see MH370 on their secondary radar. | 0:09:59 | 0:10:03 | |
As the aircraft neared the limit of Malaysian airspace, | 0:10:05 | 0:10:08 | |
the crew were told to contact air traffic controllers in Vietnam. | 0:10:08 | 0:10:12 | |
These are the last words from the cockpit: | 0:10:13 | 0:10:16 | |
At 21 minutes and four seconds past one, | 0:10:26 | 0:10:29 | |
Malaysian air traffic controllers saw the plane passing over | 0:10:29 | 0:10:33 | |
waypoint Igari on their secondary radar. | 0:10:33 | 0:10:35 | |
Nine seconds later... | 0:10:35 | 0:10:37 | |
..the radar screens went black. | 0:10:39 | 0:10:42 | |
The aircraft's transponder, | 0:10:49 | 0:10:51 | |
crucial to its visibility on secondary radar, | 0:10:51 | 0:10:54 | |
had stopped working. | 0:10:54 | 0:10:55 | |
The plane had vanished. | 0:10:57 | 0:10:59 | |
And the mystery that's touched millions of lives began. | 0:11:03 | 0:11:07 | |
What happened next is one of the key unanswered questions. | 0:11:14 | 0:11:17 | |
The crew made no radio contact with air traffic controllers | 0:11:19 | 0:11:22 | |
in Vietnam and the plane never re-appeared on secondary radar. | 0:11:22 | 0:11:26 | |
17 minutes elapsed before the Vietnamese controllers | 0:11:27 | 0:11:30 | |
contacted Malaysia. | 0:11:30 | 0:11:32 | |
What does seem very odd is that, | 0:11:36 | 0:11:40 | |
after the aeroplane was told to contact Ho Chi Minh | 0:11:40 | 0:11:46 | |
air traffic control, it was a full 17 minutes between then and | 0:11:46 | 0:11:52 | |
Ho Chi Minh phoning back to Malaysia to say, "Where is Malaysia 370? | 0:11:52 | 0:11:57 | |
"He's not speaking to me." | 0:11:57 | 0:11:59 | |
17 minutes is an incredible length of time. | 0:11:59 | 0:12:03 | |
Within a couple of minutes you would normally be looking to see | 0:12:03 | 0:12:07 | |
what's happened here. | 0:12:07 | 0:12:09 | |
Now the Vietnamese and Malaysian air traffic controllers began | 0:12:11 | 0:12:15 | |
looking for the aircraft. | 0:12:15 | 0:12:18 | |
Professor Stupples can reveal why they were struggling to find it. | 0:12:18 | 0:12:22 | |
At this point, here, that's the point | 0:12:24 | 0:12:27 | |
where it disappeared from the secondary radars. | 0:12:27 | 0:12:31 | |
What I've done here is put an overlay of the secondary surveillance radars | 0:12:31 | 0:12:35 | |
and can you see here, there's almost a complete coverage | 0:12:35 | 0:12:39 | |
and so therefore, so long as the transponder is working correctly, | 0:12:39 | 0:12:43 | |
the whole of this route is covered by the secondary radar. | 0:12:43 | 0:12:48 | |
But once MH370 was lost from secondary radar, | 0:12:48 | 0:12:52 | |
the air traffic controllers had no other surveillance to fall back on. | 0:12:52 | 0:12:57 | |
After removing the overlay for the secondary surveillance radar, | 0:12:58 | 0:13:03 | |
we're now left with the coverage of the primary surveillance radar. | 0:13:03 | 0:13:08 | |
Only about 50% to 60% of the journey so far is covered | 0:13:08 | 0:13:12 | |
by the primary surveillance radar. | 0:13:12 | 0:13:15 | |
The point at issue also is, at this point, where the transponder | 0:13:15 | 0:13:19 | |
stopped working, you can see from this diagram, | 0:13:19 | 0:13:22 | |
it is completely outside the range of any of | 0:13:22 | 0:13:25 | |
the primary surveillance radars. | 0:13:25 | 0:13:27 | |
Essentially, this aircraft has now become invisible. | 0:13:27 | 0:13:30 | |
MH370 was lost in a primary radar blind spot. | 0:13:33 | 0:13:37 | |
Such blind spots are common, | 0:13:46 | 0:13:48 | |
because it's estimated only 10% of the globe is covered by radar. | 0:13:48 | 0:13:52 | |
Aircraft often fly across oceans and remote regions beyond its reach. | 0:13:54 | 0:13:59 | |
In one of the busiest radar blind spots, Hudson Bay in Canada, | 0:14:03 | 0:14:07 | |
air traffic controllers are solving the problem with a revolutionary, | 0:14:07 | 0:14:11 | |
new kind of surveillance. | 0:14:11 | 0:14:13 | |
Between 100 and 300 aircraft are flying over Hudson Bay every day. | 0:14:15 | 0:14:20 | |
Most of them are aircraft coming from Europe, | 0:14:21 | 0:14:24 | |
going to the western coast of the United States. | 0:14:24 | 0:14:27 | |
The rest of them are coming from North America, | 0:14:27 | 0:14:29 | |
going to Asia over the North Pole. | 0:14:29 | 0:14:31 | |
That's quite a busy airspace. | 0:14:31 | 0:14:34 | |
There is no radar coverage of Hudson Bay. | 0:14:34 | 0:14:38 | |
When air traffic controllers had no other means to track planes, | 0:14:38 | 0:14:41 | |
they had to rely on pilots to stay in touch. | 0:14:41 | 0:14:46 | |
The orange one is a flight that is not at the moment captured by radar. | 0:14:46 | 0:14:51 | |
So this one at the moment we are not 100% sure he is there. | 0:14:51 | 0:14:56 | |
This plane's position is an approximation, | 0:14:57 | 0:15:00 | |
derived from its flight plan and regular updates from the aircraft. | 0:15:00 | 0:15:04 | |
When you have no radar, in non-radar environment, when you have no way | 0:15:06 | 0:15:10 | |
to see planes, actually. You need to rely on estimates from the pilots. | 0:15:10 | 0:15:14 | |
Now, a new technology called | 0:15:18 | 0:15:20 | |
Automatic Dependant Surveillance Broadcast or ADS-B is taking | 0:15:20 | 0:15:25 | |
the guesswork out of tracking flights in radar blind spots. | 0:15:25 | 0:15:30 | |
Aircraft fitted with ADS-B take their position from a GPS satellite | 0:15:30 | 0:15:36 | |
and broadcast it automatically to a ground station. | 0:15:36 | 0:15:40 | |
Unlike radar stations, these ADS-B receivers are robust enough to | 0:15:40 | 0:15:45 | |
be sited in the remote regions where blind spots exist. | 0:15:45 | 0:15:49 | |
We have currently one aircraft under ADS-B coverage at the moment, | 0:15:52 | 0:15:56 | |
this is a United flight from Chicago going to Beijing. | 0:15:56 | 0:16:01 | |
The aircraft in white is using ADS-B to broadcast its exact GPS location | 0:16:01 | 0:16:07 | |
automatically once a second. | 0:16:07 | 0:16:09 | |
We see the aircraft, we know its there. | 0:16:12 | 0:16:14 | |
We know exactly where the aircraft is at all times. | 0:16:14 | 0:16:17 | |
In the future, ADS-B ground stations will be supplemented by satellites. | 0:16:18 | 0:16:24 | |
So planes will be tracked over remote land regions | 0:16:24 | 0:16:27 | |
or the middle of oceans. | 0:16:27 | 0:16:29 | |
Surveillance blind spots will be a thing of the past. | 0:16:29 | 0:16:32 | |
MH370 was broadcasting its position by ADS-B. | 0:16:39 | 0:16:43 | |
And this website was tracking it. | 0:16:43 | 0:16:46 | |
But the system isn't currently used in Malaysia and Vietnam. | 0:16:46 | 0:16:51 | |
And even if it was, it wouldn't have helped the air traffic controllers - | 0:16:51 | 0:16:55 | |
because the technology still relies on the transponder. | 0:16:55 | 0:16:59 | |
When that stopped working, this new tracking system was useless. | 0:16:59 | 0:17:04 | |
The disappearance of MH370 triggered intense speculation | 0:17:11 | 0:17:15 | |
about the fate of the 239 people on board. | 0:17:15 | 0:17:18 | |
The families of the missing needed answers. | 0:17:22 | 0:17:25 | |
Tony Cable is a veteran air crash investigator | 0:17:28 | 0:17:31 | |
who worked on the Lockerbie bombing and the Concorde disaster. | 0:17:31 | 0:17:35 | |
With any investigation, you have to go with the evidence you've got. | 0:17:37 | 0:17:42 | |
And in the case of MH370, it's pretty slim. | 0:17:42 | 0:17:45 | |
It's useful to think about the possible scenarios | 0:17:48 | 0:17:51 | |
based on the available evidence. | 0:17:51 | 0:17:54 | |
So, what could explain the aircraft's sudden disappearance | 0:17:54 | 0:17:58 | |
from secondary radar and the radio silence? | 0:17:58 | 0:18:03 | |
Any aircraft that suddenly disappears, | 0:18:03 | 0:18:05 | |
inevitably, you start talking about the possibilities. | 0:18:05 | 0:18:09 | |
And I guess they range from structural failure, terrorist action, | 0:18:09 | 0:18:13 | |
some other massive technical fault that could cause a loss of control. | 0:18:13 | 0:18:18 | |
A key piece of evidence for investigators | 0:18:22 | 0:18:25 | |
is what MH370 was carrying on board. | 0:18:25 | 0:18:28 | |
This is the MH370 cargo manifest here, | 0:18:31 | 0:18:34 | |
which lists out the various packages and particularly, | 0:18:34 | 0:18:39 | |
anything that is categorised as dangerous cargo. | 0:18:39 | 0:18:43 | |
There is quite an interesting item here of | 0:18:43 | 0:18:47 | |
lithium ion batteries. | 0:18:47 | 0:18:49 | |
"Must be handled with care." | 0:18:49 | 0:18:51 | |
And a "flammability hazard exists if the package is damaged." | 0:18:51 | 0:18:57 | |
Lithium batteries can be found in laptops and mobile phones. | 0:19:00 | 0:19:05 | |
All batteries are flammable, but lithium is one of the most volatile. | 0:19:05 | 0:19:10 | |
MH370 was carrying 200kg of lithium batteries. | 0:19:12 | 0:19:17 | |
There are tight regulations around how they are transported | 0:19:17 | 0:19:21 | |
because they are thought to have caused fires on aircraft before. | 0:19:21 | 0:19:25 | |
There was a Boeing 747 aircraft crash near Dubai in 2010. | 0:19:26 | 0:19:33 | |
The investigation concluded that there was strong evidence that | 0:19:33 | 0:19:38 | |
lithium ion batteries had started the fire. | 0:19:38 | 0:19:42 | |
A fire in the cargo hold could affect the rest of the aircraft. | 0:19:46 | 0:19:49 | |
You can get structural damage, damage to systems, a lot of smoke, | 0:19:52 | 0:19:58 | |
severe visibility problems and also toxic gases. | 0:19:58 | 0:20:03 | |
If there is a serious fire, case history suggests, | 0:20:04 | 0:20:08 | |
unless a plane can land quickly, it is likely to crash. | 0:20:08 | 0:20:11 | |
If there had been a fire on this aircraft | 0:20:13 | 0:20:16 | |
then the tendency would be to look for the aircraft, the wreckage, | 0:20:16 | 0:20:21 | |
at the point where you last had contact with it. | 0:20:21 | 0:20:23 | |
And projecting the flight path a little further forward. | 0:20:24 | 0:20:27 | |
Four hours after MH370 disappeared, a search was triggered | 0:20:30 | 0:20:34 | |
in the China Sea, close to where the aircraft | 0:20:34 | 0:20:38 | |
was last seen on secondary radar - to no avail. | 0:20:38 | 0:20:41 | |
We have not found any wreckage, no wreckage whatsoever. | 0:20:43 | 0:20:48 | |
Now the mystery of what happened to MH370 deepened. | 0:20:55 | 0:20:58 | |
6,500 miles away in London, one scientist was starting to think | 0:21:00 | 0:21:04 | |
the aircraft could not have crashed in the South China Sea. | 0:21:04 | 0:21:08 | |
'BBC news at 11 o'clock...' | 0:21:13 | 0:21:16 | |
I heard the news about the loss of the aircraft, I think | 0:21:16 | 0:21:19 | |
it was on the 11 o'clock BBC News. | 0:21:19 | 0:21:21 | |
'..the search for a missing airliner with almost 240 people on board...' | 0:21:21 | 0:21:24 | |
At that point I thought, | 0:21:24 | 0:21:27 | |
it's probably got Inmarsat equipment on. | 0:21:27 | 0:21:31 | |
'..no distress signal...' | 0:21:31 | 0:21:33 | |
And that maybe we had some data | 0:21:33 | 0:21:35 | |
that was of interest to the investigators. | 0:21:35 | 0:21:39 | |
Alan Schuster-Bruce is a scientist with Inmarsat who provided | 0:21:42 | 0:21:46 | |
satellite communications for MH370. | 0:21:46 | 0:21:49 | |
By looking at the log of the plane's communications, | 0:21:52 | 0:21:55 | |
Alan could see new information about the flight. | 0:21:55 | 0:21:59 | |
What one sees in the data just before take-off, | 0:22:00 | 0:22:03 | |
so when the aircraft is on the stand at Kuala Lumpur, | 0:22:03 | 0:22:05 | |
there's a flurry of activity, the aircraft takes off, there is | 0:22:05 | 0:22:09 | |
a flurry of activity and then everything stops. | 0:22:09 | 0:22:14 | |
The last communication from MH370, like all its satellite traffic, | 0:22:16 | 0:22:22 | |
was logged at a ground station in Perth, Australia. | 0:22:22 | 0:22:25 | |
After 60 minutes of inactivity, the station sends a signal | 0:22:28 | 0:22:33 | |
to the aircraft which says, are you still there? | 0:22:33 | 0:22:37 | |
Then the aircraft just replies yes. | 0:22:37 | 0:22:40 | |
These are what we call the handshakes or pings. | 0:22:40 | 0:22:44 | |
Now Alan made a baffling discovery. | 0:22:46 | 0:22:49 | |
The data log showed there were seven of these electronic handshakes | 0:22:49 | 0:22:53 | |
between the ground station and MH370, each about one hour apart. | 0:22:53 | 0:22:58 | |
They all occurred after the plane had vanished. | 0:22:59 | 0:23:04 | |
Our data indicated that the aircraft had flown on for many, many hours | 0:23:06 | 0:23:11 | |
beyond the last known contact with the aircraft, which clearly | 0:23:11 | 0:23:15 | |
meant the aircraft was unlikely to be in the South China Sea. | 0:23:15 | 0:23:19 | |
The story the data was revealing was | 0:23:20 | 0:23:22 | |
so bizarre it seemed it couldn't be true. | 0:23:22 | 0:23:25 | |
One of the concerns we had was in fact this could be just | 0:23:28 | 0:23:32 | |
one big hoax someone had played on Inmarsat, that the aircraft | 0:23:32 | 0:23:36 | |
went down and someone at the same time pretended to be that aircraft. | 0:23:36 | 0:23:41 | |
But the data checked out. | 0:23:43 | 0:23:45 | |
The aircraft had flown on for nearly seven more hours. | 0:23:46 | 0:23:50 | |
And it could be thousands of miles away from the South China Sea. | 0:23:52 | 0:23:57 | |
At that point it was quite clear something strange had happened | 0:24:01 | 0:24:05 | |
because the plane had flown on for all those many hours. | 0:24:05 | 0:24:09 | |
Where had the aircraft flown for all that time? | 0:24:10 | 0:24:14 | |
MH370 was connected to a communications satellite | 0:24:14 | 0:24:18 | |
called 3F1. | 0:24:18 | 0:24:20 | |
This is the footprint of its beam. | 0:24:25 | 0:24:27 | |
There is no direct way of identifying where MH370 was | 0:24:28 | 0:24:32 | |
within the beam when the seven electronic handshakes occurred, | 0:24:32 | 0:24:36 | |
but deep in the architecture of the system, | 0:24:36 | 0:24:39 | |
a feature had been added that might offer a clue. | 0:24:39 | 0:24:43 | |
'French investigators say they have recovered 400 pieces of debris | 0:24:46 | 0:24:49 | |
'from Air France Flight 447. | 0:24:49 | 0:24:52 | |
'They say the wreckage comes from all areas of the plane.' | 0:24:52 | 0:24:55 | |
In 2009, Alan helped with the investigation into the disappearance | 0:24:55 | 0:25:00 | |
of Air France 447. | 0:25:00 | 0:25:02 | |
They had a couple of brainstorming sessions at Inmarsat. | 0:25:04 | 0:25:07 | |
One of the things we did work out is that we could take some | 0:25:07 | 0:25:13 | |
additional measurements in the stations and that would let us | 0:25:13 | 0:25:17 | |
get a determination of the distance from the satellite to the aircraft | 0:25:17 | 0:25:23 | |
and therefore that would give a one-dimensional position fix. | 0:25:23 | 0:25:27 | |
So, after the Air France disaster, Alan decided to keep timing data | 0:25:29 | 0:25:34 | |
in the electronic handshakes that might help track an aircraft. | 0:25:34 | 0:25:38 | |
I was thinking we might need it one day. | 0:25:41 | 0:25:43 | |
It might be useful, might not be useful, but I had no idea | 0:25:43 | 0:25:48 | |
it would essentially be the only evidence in town. | 0:25:48 | 0:25:53 | |
To try to find MH370, Alan now began analysing the type of data | 0:25:55 | 0:26:00 | |
stored in electronic handshakes. | 0:26:00 | 0:26:03 | |
He knew the position of the 3F1 satellite above the Indian Ocean. | 0:26:06 | 0:26:11 | |
Using the timing data in each handshake, | 0:26:11 | 0:26:13 | |
he could work out how long it took for the signal | 0:26:13 | 0:26:16 | |
to travel between the satellite and the aircraft. | 0:26:16 | 0:26:20 | |
From that he could work out the distance between the satellite | 0:26:20 | 0:26:23 | |
and the aircraft when each handshake occurred. | 0:26:23 | 0:26:26 | |
Plotting those distances created | 0:26:27 | 0:26:29 | |
seven circles on the surface of the Earth around the satellite | 0:26:29 | 0:26:33 | |
which the plane must have crossed as it flew. | 0:26:33 | 0:26:36 | |
The last circle came at 8.19 in the morning. | 0:26:40 | 0:26:43 | |
The aircraft did not reply to the satellite 57 minutes later. | 0:26:45 | 0:26:49 | |
We obviously knew that that was most likely indicative | 0:26:51 | 0:26:55 | |
of the time the aircraft was lost. | 0:26:55 | 0:26:58 | |
Later that week, | 0:27:01 | 0:27:02 | |
Inmarsat sent their analysis to the Malaysia authorities. | 0:27:02 | 0:27:06 | |
The search carried on in the South China Sea. | 0:27:06 | 0:27:09 | |
Clearly, they've got all sorts of information coming in. | 0:27:11 | 0:27:15 | |
They were also probably sent information that the plane was | 0:27:15 | 0:27:18 | |
in the Pacific by other people, | 0:27:18 | 0:27:20 | |
so I'm sure it's very difficult for them. | 0:27:20 | 0:27:22 | |
Alan and the team began to think their methods might yield | 0:27:25 | 0:27:29 | |
the ultimate clue. | 0:27:29 | 0:27:30 | |
We suddenly realised, if you knew the initial position of the aircraft, | 0:27:32 | 0:27:37 | |
together with the likely speed of the aeroplane, there was | 0:27:37 | 0:27:42 | |
a good chance that maybe one could get the track of the aircraft. | 0:27:42 | 0:27:46 | |
A telephone call was arranged with Malaysia Airlines to get | 0:27:47 | 0:27:51 | |
the information they needed. | 0:27:51 | 0:27:52 | |
They did provide that information. | 0:27:54 | 0:27:55 | |
But certainly there was a lot of reluctance | 0:27:55 | 0:27:58 | |
because the last known position was based on radar data | 0:27:58 | 0:28:02 | |
and there was a lot of concern about the sensitivity of the radar data. | 0:28:02 | 0:28:06 | |
Using this new information, | 0:28:07 | 0:28:09 | |
Inmarsat could rule out areas of the final circle | 0:28:09 | 0:28:12 | |
the aircraft could never have reached with the fuel it had. | 0:28:12 | 0:28:16 | |
MH370 must have ended its flight | 0:28:17 | 0:28:20 | |
crossing one of these two arcs. | 0:28:20 | 0:28:23 | |
We had two possible scenarios. | 0:28:23 | 0:28:26 | |
It had either turned left and gone south or turned right and gone north. | 0:28:26 | 0:28:30 | |
We didn't know which one. | 0:28:30 | 0:28:32 | |
After several days of no traction for the new evidence, | 0:28:35 | 0:28:38 | |
suddenly the story broke from an unlikely source. | 0:28:38 | 0:28:42 | |
Based on new information, an additional search area may be opened in the Indian Ocean. | 0:28:42 | 0:28:47 | |
It seemed the Americans hoped to push the Malaysians to act. | 0:28:47 | 0:28:51 | |
It was a bit strange that it was the White House announcing it | 0:28:53 | 0:28:56 | |
as opposed to the Malaysian government which is what one | 0:28:56 | 0:28:59 | |
would have expected, that it would come from the Malaysian government. | 0:28:59 | 0:29:02 | |
I think there was a certain amount of relief that finally the secret | 0:29:02 | 0:29:07 | |
that we were holding was now out in the public domain. | 0:29:07 | 0:29:11 | |
For those trying to find the aircraft, | 0:29:13 | 0:29:16 | |
the search had been narrowed, but it was still vast. | 0:29:16 | 0:29:20 | |
More than two million square miles | 0:29:20 | 0:29:22 | |
stretching from Kazakhstan in the north to the southern Indian Ocean. | 0:29:22 | 0:29:26 | |
The mystery of MH370 had taken a staggering twist. | 0:29:31 | 0:29:35 | |
The sensitive information Inmarsat had used to help work out the arcs | 0:29:36 | 0:29:41 | |
turned out to be top-secret military radar data that | 0:29:41 | 0:29:45 | |
showed MH370 made an inexplicable turn west, off its course | 0:29:45 | 0:29:50 | |
to Beijing, after it disappeared. | 0:29:50 | 0:29:54 | |
It then flew across the Malaysian Peninsular... | 0:29:55 | 0:29:58 | |
..before making another turn, this time north-west. | 0:30:01 | 0:30:05 | |
It was last recorded near the Andaman Islands at 2.22am. | 0:30:05 | 0:30:11 | |
This new radar data raised a sinister possibility. | 0:30:11 | 0:30:16 | |
These movements are consistent | 0:30:16 | 0:30:19 | |
with deliberate action by someone on the plane. | 0:30:19 | 0:30:25 | |
From the available evidence, | 0:30:28 | 0:30:30 | |
hijacking is clearly one plausible possibility. | 0:30:30 | 0:30:34 | |
The fact that MH370 had deviated from its course after it had | 0:30:35 | 0:30:39 | |
become invisible to secondary radar suggested the aircraft's | 0:30:39 | 0:30:43 | |
transponder could have been turned off deliberately. | 0:30:43 | 0:30:47 | |
It's actually such an important part of your navigational equipment | 0:30:48 | 0:30:51 | |
on modern aircraft that you wouldn't want to turn it off. | 0:30:51 | 0:30:54 | |
But those with a criminal intent might. | 0:30:55 | 0:30:58 | |
It's fairly common that the hijackers know enough | 0:30:59 | 0:31:03 | |
about aircraft that they will require the transponder | 0:31:03 | 0:31:07 | |
either to be switched off or left on its original code. | 0:31:07 | 0:31:10 | |
Investigators began a trawl for suspects. | 0:31:13 | 0:31:16 | |
The passenger list was a crucial starting point. | 0:31:16 | 0:31:19 | |
Police quickly focused on two Iranians who were | 0:31:19 | 0:31:22 | |
travelling on forged passports, but they were ruled out. | 0:31:22 | 0:31:25 | |
The pilots themselves came under intense scrutiny, | 0:31:27 | 0:31:30 | |
but no evidence of a terrorist link has been found so far. | 0:31:30 | 0:31:34 | |
That, of course, does not demonstrate that there was not | 0:31:36 | 0:31:40 | |
a hijacking by crew or passengers - that is a possibility. | 0:31:40 | 0:31:46 | |
It's just that the things against hijacking in this case is | 0:31:46 | 0:31:49 | |
that nobody has claimed responsibility, which is | 0:31:49 | 0:31:52 | |
pretty unusual, I think, for a terrorist act. | 0:31:52 | 0:31:54 | |
More than a week after MH370 vanished, no sign | 0:32:00 | 0:32:04 | |
of the aircraft had been found, despite the efforts of 26 countries. | 0:32:04 | 0:32:10 | |
That gave many of the families of those on board | 0:32:12 | 0:32:15 | |
hope that they would be found alive. | 0:32:15 | 0:32:17 | |
At Inmarsat in London, | 0:32:25 | 0:32:27 | |
a new attempt was being made to help target the search. | 0:32:27 | 0:32:30 | |
They knew the plane had ended up crossing one of two arcs. | 0:32:32 | 0:32:36 | |
Chris Ashton was trying to work out | 0:32:38 | 0:32:41 | |
whether the aircraft had gone north or south. | 0:32:41 | 0:32:45 | |
Of course, the big question is which route was taken? | 0:32:45 | 0:32:49 | |
There was one more avenue to explore in the electronic handshakes, | 0:32:50 | 0:32:54 | |
a second piece of data - | 0:32:54 | 0:32:56 | |
the frequency at which the signal from the aircraft | 0:32:56 | 0:32:59 | |
arrived at the ground station. | 0:32:59 | 0:33:01 | |
We had a northern | 0:33:01 | 0:33:02 | |
and a southern route that were | 0:33:02 | 0:33:04 | |
so very different, so very far apart, | 0:33:04 | 0:33:06 | |
the frequency information at that stage | 0:33:06 | 0:33:08 | |
was something that was probably going to be good enough | 0:33:08 | 0:33:10 | |
to discriminate between those two routes. | 0:33:10 | 0:33:12 | |
The satellite MH370 was in contact with | 0:33:16 | 0:33:19 | |
doesn't stay still in the sky. | 0:33:19 | 0:33:21 | |
The satellite moves north and south over the equator... | 0:33:23 | 0:33:26 | |
..and because the plane is also moving, there is | 0:33:28 | 0:33:30 | |
a variation in the frequency of the signals between them. | 0:33:30 | 0:33:35 | |
Since that variation, known as the Doppler effect, | 0:33:35 | 0:33:38 | |
is predictable, it can be used to work out the direction | 0:33:38 | 0:33:41 | |
the plane is travelling in. | 0:33:41 | 0:33:43 | |
The calculations were incredibly complex | 0:33:58 | 0:34:01 | |
and there was no guarantee of success. | 0:34:01 | 0:34:04 | |
We'd attempted this calculation two or three times and abandoned it, | 0:34:06 | 0:34:09 | |
as we were working at it for a long time and not getting a good match | 0:34:09 | 0:34:14 | |
between the measured data and the predicted data. | 0:34:14 | 0:34:17 | |
But then came the break. | 0:34:21 | 0:34:23 | |
We'd been working on the Doppler analysis all day long, | 0:34:27 | 0:34:31 | |
the end of a week of investigating and collecting data. | 0:34:31 | 0:34:34 | |
Quite late on the Friday night, about eight o'clock in the evening, | 0:34:35 | 0:34:39 | |
suddenly the graphs matched, the data worked, the calculation was solved. | 0:34:39 | 0:34:43 | |
Chris had eliminated a hemisphere, but he didn't yet know which. | 0:34:45 | 0:34:52 | |
That was quite a nice feeling, that we'd got the calculation to work, | 0:34:52 | 0:34:57 | |
and then I checked to see which of the flight paths it was | 0:34:57 | 0:35:00 | |
and we then identified it was, in fact, the southern route. | 0:35:00 | 0:35:03 | |
That meant flight MH370 must have flown south. | 0:35:08 | 0:35:12 | |
Then, there's, of course, the realisation that this is the... | 0:35:14 | 0:35:17 | |
This is not good news for the people on the plane. | 0:35:17 | 0:35:20 | |
This isn't the aircraft is hijacked and is flying up to Kazakhstan, | 0:35:20 | 0:35:23 | |
landing safely and everybody's in a hangar, this was the specific one | 0:35:23 | 0:35:28 | |
where it flies south into the middle of the Indian Ocean. | 0:35:28 | 0:35:31 | |
You feel the depth of this, the severity of it. | 0:35:31 | 0:35:36 | |
It means very little chance for the people on the aircraft. | 0:35:36 | 0:35:40 | |
There was no land there. There's nothing at the end of the route | 0:35:40 | 0:35:45 | |
and so the elation didn't last for very long | 0:35:45 | 0:35:47 | |
when you realised what this meant. | 0:35:47 | 0:35:49 | |
Chris's evidence was sent to the Malaysian authorities. | 0:35:51 | 0:35:55 | |
According to this new data, | 0:35:56 | 0:36:01 | |
Flight MH370 | 0:36:01 | 0:36:06 | |
ended in the southern Indian Ocean. | 0:36:06 | 0:36:11 | |
The fact that we'd done a calculation that indicated | 0:36:15 | 0:36:19 | |
a lot of people had died | 0:36:19 | 0:36:20 | |
and was being used by the Malaysian government to inform | 0:36:20 | 0:36:23 | |
the next of kin that they believed that their relatives had died | 0:36:23 | 0:36:28 | |
was quite, um, humbling, let's say. | 0:36:28 | 0:36:30 | |
Science had broken open the mystery of what had happened to MH370, | 0:36:38 | 0:36:44 | |
generating evidence where none existed. | 0:36:44 | 0:36:46 | |
From Kuala Lumpur, the plane had been tracked by secondary radar | 0:36:50 | 0:36:54 | |
until it disappeared here. | 0:36:54 | 0:36:56 | |
Then it had been tracked by military primary radar to here. | 0:36:59 | 0:37:02 | |
Then, in the absence of other surveillance, | 0:37:05 | 0:37:08 | |
Inmarsat's analysis had shown the plane must have turned south | 0:37:08 | 0:37:12 | |
crossing each arc as it flew on for six hours. | 0:37:12 | 0:37:16 | |
From now on, locating the crash site becomes a matter of prediction, | 0:37:18 | 0:37:23 | |
probability and possibility. | 0:37:23 | 0:37:25 | |
What might explain the drastic course change south | 0:37:29 | 0:37:33 | |
and the long flight over the ocean? | 0:37:33 | 0:37:35 | |
The veteran crash investigator Tony Cable believes | 0:37:45 | 0:37:49 | |
an earlier air disaster might help explain the final southward turn. | 0:37:49 | 0:37:52 | |
In 2005, the crew of a Helios Airline's Boeing 737 failed to | 0:37:56 | 0:38:01 | |
make radio contact with the ground, just like MH370. | 0:38:01 | 0:38:06 | |
The aircraft was intercepted by a couple of F-16s | 0:38:08 | 0:38:12 | |
and they flew alongside and saw the captain's seat empty, the co-pilot | 0:38:12 | 0:38:17 | |
slumped over the controls and oxygen masks hanging down in the cabin. | 0:38:17 | 0:38:23 | |
There was a fault with the aircraft's pressurisation system, | 0:38:25 | 0:38:29 | |
but the crew hadn't realised. | 0:38:29 | 0:38:31 | |
There is a quantity called "time of useful consciousness" | 0:38:32 | 0:38:37 | |
after a depressurisation, and at 35,000 feet, | 0:38:37 | 0:38:41 | |
the average is something like 30 to 60 seconds. | 0:38:41 | 0:38:46 | |
The pilots passed out from lack of oxygen, | 0:38:46 | 0:38:50 | |
but the aircraft kept flying on autopilot. | 0:38:50 | 0:38:54 | |
What might explain what happened to MH370 | 0:38:54 | 0:38:57 | |
is what the fighter planes saw next. | 0:38:57 | 0:39:00 | |
They saw one of the cabin attendants enter the flight deck | 0:39:01 | 0:39:05 | |
and sit in the captain's seat. | 0:39:05 | 0:39:08 | |
Now, he presumably had a cabin attendant oxygen set | 0:39:08 | 0:39:14 | |
which will probably last quite a long time | 0:39:14 | 0:39:18 | |
and was presumably attempting to control the aircraft. | 0:39:18 | 0:39:22 | |
If the pilots of MH370 had become incapacitated, | 0:39:24 | 0:39:28 | |
might somebody else have tried to fly the aircraft? | 0:39:28 | 0:39:32 | |
If the plane was on autopilot, making a controlled turn | 0:39:32 | 0:39:36 | |
or a series of turns, is something anyone could have done. | 0:39:36 | 0:39:39 | |
We can command the autopilot directly ourselves | 0:39:41 | 0:39:44 | |
through the mode control panel up here. | 0:39:44 | 0:39:47 | |
So we can do that quite easily by selecting a new heading | 0:39:47 | 0:39:52 | |
through this knob here. | 0:39:52 | 0:39:53 | |
So now the aircraft is banking to the left and we're gradually... You see | 0:39:54 | 0:39:58 | |
outside, we are banking to the left and turn onto that heading. | 0:39:58 | 0:40:01 | |
So could somebody other than one of the pilots | 0:40:01 | 0:40:04 | |
have turned the aircraft off its course? | 0:40:04 | 0:40:07 | |
The kind of thing that happened on the Helios 737 might be | 0:40:09 | 0:40:13 | |
a possibility for this aircraft. | 0:40:13 | 0:40:16 | |
And if there was somebody conscious for longer than the others, | 0:40:16 | 0:40:20 | |
possibly could explain the track corrections | 0:40:20 | 0:40:25 | |
before they also were incapacitated. | 0:40:25 | 0:40:27 | |
Even if everybody on board was unconscious, the autopilot | 0:40:28 | 0:40:32 | |
could have kept the aircraft flying until it ran out of fuel. | 0:40:32 | 0:40:35 | |
But how and why MH370 came to be so far off course heading south | 0:40:37 | 0:40:43 | |
is still to be established for certain. | 0:40:43 | 0:40:46 | |
There are several possible scenarios for this accident. | 0:40:46 | 0:40:49 | |
I don't have any feeling about which is the more likely. | 0:40:49 | 0:40:54 | |
As an investigator, you can only go on the evidence that is there. | 0:40:54 | 0:40:58 | |
For those touched by this disaster, the best hope of finding answers | 0:41:03 | 0:41:08 | |
lies somewhere at the bottom of the Indian Ocean. | 0:41:08 | 0:41:12 | |
Piecing together what really happened depends on finding | 0:41:13 | 0:41:18 | |
one piece of equipment the aircraft was carrying. | 0:41:18 | 0:41:21 | |
This is what they call a black box, | 0:41:25 | 0:41:28 | |
but I've never seen one that's actually black. | 0:41:28 | 0:41:31 | |
This makes it more visible in wreckage | 0:41:31 | 0:41:34 | |
and indeed it's got reflective tape on it, | 0:41:34 | 0:41:37 | |
so that if it's at night, a torch will light it up | 0:41:37 | 0:41:40 | |
or if it's under the water, a diver's light will make it more visible. | 0:41:40 | 0:41:45 | |
The black box is a data recorder which continually stores | 0:41:45 | 0:41:49 | |
a record of how the aircraft is performing. | 0:41:49 | 0:41:53 | |
From that information, you can recreate in detail | 0:41:53 | 0:41:56 | |
what happened to the flight. | 0:41:56 | 0:41:58 | |
You are looking at an animation of the data taken from a recorder. | 0:42:00 | 0:42:04 | |
You've got the actual way the aircraft is moving through space, | 0:42:04 | 0:42:08 | |
and on the left is a representation of the cockpit instruments - | 0:42:08 | 0:42:12 | |
what the pilot would be seeing. | 0:42:12 | 0:42:14 | |
The data in the black box is crucial to finding out what happened... | 0:42:14 | 0:42:19 | |
..if you can find it. | 0:42:21 | 0:42:22 | |
If it's in water, the underwater locator beacon, | 0:42:24 | 0:42:29 | |
which emits a ping every second or so can be homed in on. | 0:42:29 | 0:42:33 | |
But the batteries that power the locator beacon | 0:42:33 | 0:42:37 | |
only last for about 30 days. | 0:42:37 | 0:42:40 | |
In the southern Indian Ocean, | 0:42:44 | 0:42:46 | |
in an area dubbed as close to nowhere as it's possible to be, | 0:42:46 | 0:42:50 | |
the race to find the black box was on. | 0:42:50 | 0:42:54 | |
Aircraft and ships from eight nations | 0:42:56 | 0:42:59 | |
were scouring 620,000 square miles of ocean. | 0:42:59 | 0:43:02 | |
Could anything be done to help target the search? | 0:43:05 | 0:43:08 | |
Back in London, Inmarsat had been scrutinising probable flight paths | 0:43:13 | 0:43:18 | |
MH370 could have taken. | 0:43:18 | 0:43:19 | |
And what they had discovered was astonishing. | 0:43:21 | 0:43:24 | |
By modelling a flight with a constant speed | 0:43:25 | 0:43:29 | |
and a constant heading consistent with | 0:43:29 | 0:43:31 | |
the plane being flown by autopilot, | 0:43:31 | 0:43:34 | |
they had found one flight path that lined up with all their data. | 0:43:34 | 0:43:39 | |
We can identify a path that matches exactly | 0:43:41 | 0:43:44 | |
with all those frequency measurements | 0:43:44 | 0:43:47 | |
and with the timing measurements and lands on the final arc at a particular location, | 0:43:47 | 0:43:50 | |
which then gives us a kind of hotspot area on the final arc | 0:43:50 | 0:43:54 | |
where we believe the most likely area is. | 0:43:54 | 0:43:57 | |
But as the battery life of the black box ran down, | 0:44:01 | 0:44:05 | |
events in the Indian Ocean were unfolding fast. | 0:44:05 | 0:44:08 | |
At the forefront of the search was the Ocean Shield, | 0:44:16 | 0:44:19 | |
a 6,500 tonne Australian Navy support vessel, | 0:44:19 | 0:44:23 | |
carrying an elite team of deep-ocean salvage experts. | 0:44:23 | 0:44:27 | |
We left port on approximately day 23 of the pinger, | 0:44:29 | 0:44:34 | |
the battery life on the pinger - | 0:44:34 | 0:44:37 | |
this countdown clock, so to speak. | 0:44:37 | 0:44:40 | |
30 was the magic number. | 0:44:40 | 0:44:42 | |
Suddenly, a new lead emerged, and Ocean Shield responded. | 0:44:43 | 0:44:48 | |
A British vessel seemed to have found a clue | 0:44:52 | 0:44:54 | |
to the location of the black box. | 0:44:54 | 0:44:56 | |
HMS Echo believed they had detected a 37.5 kilohertz pulse in the water. | 0:44:58 | 0:45:05 | |
So we headed to that area and came up with a search plan. | 0:45:05 | 0:45:10 | |
Now, Ocean Shield joined the hunt for signals from the black box, | 0:45:11 | 0:45:16 | |
working its way south-east, away from HMS Echo. | 0:45:16 | 0:45:20 | |
To try to detect the elusive underwater pings, | 0:45:26 | 0:45:29 | |
the team used a device they call the towed pinger locator. | 0:45:29 | 0:45:33 | |
The towed pinger locator looks much like a bat wing | 0:45:36 | 0:45:39 | |
and designed that way on purpose | 0:45:39 | 0:45:41 | |
so when it's pulled from its tow point here, | 0:45:41 | 0:45:44 | |
it's flying pretty smoothly through the water. | 0:45:44 | 0:45:47 | |
The real meat of this is underneath it. | 0:45:47 | 0:45:50 | |
What you see here is the electronics | 0:45:51 | 0:45:54 | |
that is housed in a 6,000 metre pressure vessel. | 0:45:54 | 0:45:57 | |
You can get down 6,000 metres, | 0:45:57 | 0:45:59 | |
that's covering about 80% of the world's ocean depths. | 0:45:59 | 0:46:03 | |
And what you see on the back here is the omnidirectional hydrophone. | 0:46:03 | 0:46:07 | |
It's a microphone, a big microphone, hemispherical. | 0:46:07 | 0:46:09 | |
It can see 180 degrees to each side and down. | 0:46:09 | 0:46:12 | |
We're fishing for sound in this case. Patience is key throughout. | 0:46:12 | 0:46:17 | |
Even if you can detect the sound of a black box pinger, | 0:46:21 | 0:46:24 | |
locating its origin is a huge challenge, | 0:46:24 | 0:46:28 | |
especially in an ocean four and a half kilometres deep. | 0:46:28 | 0:46:32 | |
The pinger locator is lowered until it is a kilometre above the sea bed | 0:46:34 | 0:46:39 | |
where it is towed as it listens with its hydrophone. | 0:46:39 | 0:46:42 | |
PINGING | 0:46:42 | 0:46:45 | |
At that depth, it avoids plankton | 0:46:45 | 0:46:47 | |
and changing water temperatures above, | 0:46:47 | 0:46:49 | |
which can affect the way the sound travels. | 0:46:49 | 0:46:52 | |
And what's more, the sea bed itself can obscure the origin of any sound. | 0:46:53 | 0:46:58 | |
Wreckage can deflect the sound path, the topography of the bottom. | 0:47:00 | 0:47:05 | |
We are seeing a lot of steep hills, valleys, ridges, | 0:47:05 | 0:47:10 | |
the sound will find a path of least resistance. | 0:47:10 | 0:47:14 | |
As Ocean Shield worked its way | 0:47:16 | 0:47:18 | |
along one of MH370's possible flight paths, there was bad news. | 0:47:18 | 0:47:23 | |
During that survey leg, HMS Echo was able to deduce | 0:47:25 | 0:47:30 | |
that the 37.5 kilohertz pings they were hearing were not valid. | 0:47:30 | 0:47:35 | |
The trail had gone cold. | 0:47:38 | 0:47:40 | |
We're running our line this way along the projected flight path. | 0:47:40 | 0:47:42 | |
At that point, we regrouped | 0:47:42 | 0:47:44 | |
and went back to our best known last position, | 0:47:44 | 0:47:47 | |
being the eight minute arc. | 0:47:47 | 0:47:49 | |
And our intention was to work our way south. | 0:47:49 | 0:47:52 | |
South was determined to have a higher probability, | 0:47:52 | 0:47:55 | |
a more probable flightpath. | 0:47:55 | 0:47:58 | |
North-west side to the south-east. | 0:47:58 | 0:48:01 | |
The search area referred to as the eight-minute arc | 0:48:01 | 0:48:04 | |
is based on the final handshake | 0:48:04 | 0:48:06 | |
between MH370 and the Inmarsat satellite. | 0:48:06 | 0:48:09 | |
It came eight minutes after the previous handshake | 0:48:09 | 0:48:12 | |
and contained new information. | 0:48:12 | 0:48:15 | |
The data revealed the system on the plane was actually booting up, | 0:48:16 | 0:48:20 | |
just as it would have done at the start of its flight. | 0:48:20 | 0:48:23 | |
Why it would do this may hold a clue to the plane's final resting place. | 0:48:23 | 0:48:29 | |
It's theorised to have been | 0:48:30 | 0:48:32 | |
that the plane was going down, low on fuel. | 0:48:32 | 0:48:35 | |
It did a roll. | 0:48:37 | 0:48:39 | |
When the plane rolled, the fuel then... | 0:48:39 | 0:48:42 | |
The engine was able to restart and part of the start-up sequence | 0:48:42 | 0:48:46 | |
was initialised in this handshake with the Inmarsat. | 0:48:46 | 0:48:50 | |
And it was an incomplete handshake. | 0:48:54 | 0:48:56 | |
So we're working on the premise that perhaps this last handshake | 0:48:59 | 0:49:03 | |
is where the plane was in its final stages. | 0:49:03 | 0:49:07 | |
We were towing for 24 hours a day for days on end, | 0:49:21 | 0:49:25 | |
for as long as the battery is going to last. | 0:49:25 | 0:49:28 | |
The hunt for the black box | 0:49:33 | 0:49:34 | |
was not so much like trying to find a needle in a haystack. | 0:49:34 | 0:49:38 | |
Chris and his team hadn't even found the haystack. | 0:49:39 | 0:49:43 | |
But what if they didn't have to search at all? | 0:49:44 | 0:49:46 | |
In Ottawa in Canada there's a new technology | 0:50:03 | 0:50:06 | |
that is bringing the black box into the 21st century. | 0:50:06 | 0:50:11 | |
To see it, you need to visit a part of the plane | 0:50:11 | 0:50:15 | |
passengers never normally go to. | 0:50:15 | 0:50:17 | |
OK, so this is the E bay of the 767, | 0:50:25 | 0:50:29 | |
and this is really the heart of the electronics for the aircraft. | 0:50:29 | 0:50:33 | |
The data is fed from all the various sensors and equipment | 0:50:33 | 0:50:36 | |
to the flight data recorder. | 0:50:36 | 0:50:38 | |
What's unique about what we've done | 0:50:38 | 0:50:40 | |
is we've added this unit here, which is the AFIRS. | 0:50:40 | 0:50:44 | |
The Automated Flight Information Reporting System | 0:50:44 | 0:50:48 | |
examines the data generated by the aircraft | 0:50:48 | 0:50:50 | |
as it is being sent to the black box. | 0:50:50 | 0:50:52 | |
The flight data recorder is a passive device. | 0:50:54 | 0:50:57 | |
It takes the information and stores it, | 0:50:57 | 0:50:59 | |
it doesn't actually look at it. | 0:50:59 | 0:51:01 | |
This is actually analysing the data as it's going into the box. | 0:51:01 | 0:51:05 | |
So it's actually reading the files. It's looking at them | 0:51:05 | 0:51:08 | |
and seeing, "What's happening with this aeroplane? | 0:51:08 | 0:51:10 | |
"Is everything working correctly?" | 0:51:10 | 0:51:12 | |
And if it's not, it tells people, it lets them know. | 0:51:12 | 0:51:15 | |
Aircraft fitted with this technology | 0:51:17 | 0:51:20 | |
automatically stream black-box data to the ground | 0:51:20 | 0:51:23 | |
if anything unusual happens. | 0:51:23 | 0:51:25 | |
'Flight CFFNE flight stream activated.' | 0:51:27 | 0:51:30 | |
Rather than having to recover the physical black box, | 0:51:30 | 0:51:34 | |
now its data can build a picture of what happened | 0:51:34 | 0:51:37 | |
before a flight even ends. | 0:51:37 | 0:51:39 | |
It would seem to make a lot of sense | 0:51:43 | 0:51:45 | |
to seriously consider real-time transmission of data. | 0:51:45 | 0:51:50 | |
And in a case like MH370 | 0:51:50 | 0:51:52 | |
it may make it redundant to, | 0:51:52 | 0:51:55 | |
from the accident investigation point of view, | 0:51:55 | 0:51:58 | |
to actually go and find the wreckage, | 0:51:58 | 0:52:00 | |
which is clearly going to be very, very difficult, | 0:52:00 | 0:52:03 | |
very expensive, very time-consuming. | 0:52:03 | 0:52:05 | |
Finding MH370 is a huge challenge. | 0:52:08 | 0:52:11 | |
But advances in technology could mean | 0:52:11 | 0:52:14 | |
that no aeroplane is ever lost again. | 0:52:14 | 0:52:17 | |
In Montreal, aviation is being brought into the digital age. | 0:52:25 | 0:52:29 | |
So here's the Piaggio Avanti P180 flight research aircraft | 0:52:31 | 0:52:34 | |
we'll be flying today. | 0:52:34 | 0:52:35 | |
It is the world's fastest civilian turboprop. | 0:52:35 | 0:52:39 | |
Many of the technologies we are testing | 0:52:41 | 0:52:44 | |
are surveillance technologies, | 0:52:44 | 0:52:45 | |
because surveillance is the next wave of evolution | 0:52:45 | 0:52:48 | |
of flight operations. | 0:52:48 | 0:52:50 | |
John has been testing new ways | 0:52:51 | 0:52:53 | |
of using Automatic Dependant Surveillance Broadcast - | 0:52:53 | 0:52:57 | |
the technology that is revolutionising air-traffic control. | 0:52:57 | 0:53:01 | |
They're up and indicating. | 0:53:04 | 0:53:07 | |
John's aircraft doesn't just transmit ADS-B signals - | 0:53:07 | 0:53:12 | |
crucially, it receives them too. | 0:53:12 | 0:53:14 | |
With ADS-B in, I can see the traffic, I can see the direction they're moving in, | 0:53:16 | 0:53:20 | |
and we can see if they're a threat, | 0:53:20 | 0:53:21 | |
and we can see if they're climbing and descending as well. | 0:53:21 | 0:53:24 | |
These two are potentially a threat. This one is 1,900 feet above us. | 0:53:24 | 0:53:29 | |
With ADS-B in, we could actually, with that data, | 0:53:29 | 0:53:32 | |
even recreate what that aeroplane is seeing from its cockpit. | 0:53:32 | 0:53:35 | |
This live view of the flight John is making | 0:53:40 | 0:53:42 | |
could be viewed by anyone, anywhere in the world, | 0:53:42 | 0:53:45 | |
at any time, via ADS-B and the internet. | 0:53:45 | 0:53:49 | |
When you go to an autonomous node, which is what this aircraft becomes, | 0:53:50 | 0:53:54 | |
you open up enormous possibilities. | 0:53:54 | 0:53:57 | |
You know where everybody is for the first time, | 0:53:57 | 0:53:59 | |
no matter where they are in the world. | 0:53:59 | 0:54:01 | |
Perhaps what's most surprising about this technology | 0:54:01 | 0:54:05 | |
is that it isn't already a fact of life in the skies. | 0:54:05 | 0:54:08 | |
You no longer have helpless recipients | 0:54:10 | 0:54:13 | |
of radar energy flying around. | 0:54:13 | 0:54:14 | |
You have contributors to a big information picture | 0:54:14 | 0:54:17 | |
that everyone can use. | 0:54:17 | 0:54:19 | |
Losing aircraft would become a thing of the past. | 0:54:19 | 0:54:22 | |
Using advanced aviation technologies | 0:54:23 | 0:54:26 | |
like live black-box streaming, | 0:54:26 | 0:54:28 | |
and the total surveillance offered by ADS-B, | 0:54:28 | 0:54:32 | |
could mean that losing an aircraft like MH370 | 0:54:32 | 0:54:35 | |
should never be possible again. | 0:54:35 | 0:54:37 | |
But the promise of the future | 0:54:46 | 0:54:48 | |
is a world away from the challenges of the present. | 0:54:48 | 0:54:51 | |
Back in the Indian Ocean, | 0:54:56 | 0:54:57 | |
on the day before the battery on the black-box pinger | 0:54:57 | 0:55:00 | |
was predicted to die, | 0:55:00 | 0:55:02 | |
Chris and his team thought they heard something. | 0:55:02 | 0:55:05 | |
The towfish is at about 3,800 metres of depth | 0:55:07 | 0:55:11 | |
and we're doing about two and a half knots. | 0:55:11 | 0:55:15 | |
It started growing louder and louder. | 0:55:17 | 0:55:19 | |
And we had a detection. | 0:55:23 | 0:55:25 | |
Big moment. | 0:55:30 | 0:55:32 | |
Are you sure that's what we heard? | 0:55:32 | 0:55:34 | |
Are you sure that's what we're... Is it not us, you know? | 0:55:34 | 0:55:39 | |
It was a elation and panic and self-doubt. | 0:55:39 | 0:55:43 | |
Wonderment, to "let's get busy and find this thing, | 0:55:43 | 0:55:47 | |
"let's track it down." | 0:55:47 | 0:55:48 | |
They tracked the ping for two hours and 20 minutes before losing it. | 0:55:55 | 0:56:00 | |
They detected another, 11 kilometres away. | 0:56:01 | 0:56:04 | |
And then two more two days later. | 0:56:06 | 0:56:08 | |
My thoughts were they were probably going to traverse down the final arc | 0:56:11 | 0:56:15 | |
to go over our hotspot area | 0:56:15 | 0:56:17 | |
but, of course, they found their ping detection very early on. | 0:56:17 | 0:56:21 | |
Ocean Shield could not ignore the detections it had heard. | 0:56:21 | 0:56:26 | |
The search entered a new phase. | 0:56:28 | 0:56:31 | |
The decision was made that | 0:56:32 | 0:56:34 | |
we had had enough detections | 0:56:34 | 0:56:36 | |
and it was time to shift over to the AUV ops. | 0:56:36 | 0:56:39 | |
The Autonomous Underwater Vehicle | 0:56:41 | 0:56:44 | |
began searching the ocean floor for wreckage. | 0:56:44 | 0:56:47 | |
It was a monumental task. | 0:56:48 | 0:56:50 | |
The unexplained disappearance of MH370 | 0:57:01 | 0:57:04 | |
has left the families of those on board | 0:57:04 | 0:57:08 | |
needing the kind of certainty | 0:57:08 | 0:57:10 | |
that only finding the wreckage will bring. | 0:57:10 | 0:57:12 | |
Ocean Shield spent two months | 0:57:17 | 0:57:19 | |
searching 850 square kilometres of sea bed, | 0:57:19 | 0:57:22 | |
inspired by the pings they heard. | 0:57:22 | 0:57:24 | |
Ocean Shield had chased down leads as they emerged. | 0:57:25 | 0:57:29 | |
But they turned up nothing. | 0:57:29 | 0:57:30 | |
It was by no means an unrealistic location, | 0:57:36 | 0:57:39 | |
but it was further to the north-east | 0:57:39 | 0:57:42 | |
than our area of highest probability. | 0:57:42 | 0:57:45 | |
Perhaps the best place to look for MH370 | 0:57:46 | 0:57:49 | |
was always further to the south. | 0:57:49 | 0:57:51 | |
Inmarsat's hotspot on the final arc | 0:57:51 | 0:57:53 | |
where their data says MH370 is most likely to have crashed | 0:57:53 | 0:57:58 | |
is here... | 0:57:58 | 0:57:59 | |
On Saturday 8th March 2014, | 0:58:03 | 0:58:06 | |
MH370 took off on a routine flight to Beijing. | 0:58:06 | 0:58:11 | |
Just under 40 minutes later it vanished. | 0:58:12 | 0:58:16 | |
There have been many theories as to the fate of the plane | 0:58:18 | 0:58:22 | |
and the global effort continues | 0:58:22 | 0:58:24 | |
to try to solve the mystery | 0:58:24 | 0:58:26 | |
and bring closure to the families of those who lost their lives. | 0:58:26 | 0:58:29 |