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Our sun. | 0:00:02 | 0:00:03 | |
The heart of the solar system. | 0:00:05 | 0:00:07 | |
The giver of light, heat... | 0:00:07 | 0:00:10 | |
..and, of course, life. | 0:00:12 | 0:00:14 | |
But what does its future hold? | 0:00:15 | 0:00:17 | |
Scientists are looking to the stars to find out. | 0:00:20 | 0:00:23 | |
Between these two stars is what's going to happen to our sun. | 0:00:24 | 0:00:28 | |
Scientists today are almost like modern-day prophets. | 0:00:31 | 0:00:34 | |
They foresee an apocalyptic future. | 0:00:34 | 0:00:37 | |
Imagine the ball is Andromeda Galaxy | 0:00:39 | 0:00:41 | |
on a head-on collision with the Milky Way Galaxy. | 0:00:41 | 0:00:44 | |
The fate of the Earth hangs in the balance. | 0:00:45 | 0:00:49 | |
Wow! Look at this! | 0:00:49 | 0:00:50 | |
The temperature at the surface of the Earth | 0:00:50 | 0:00:53 | |
will be enough to melt rock. | 0:00:53 | 0:00:55 | |
Enough to melt the whole surface of the Earth. | 0:00:55 | 0:00:58 | |
Unfortunately, nobody will be around to see it, which is a pity. | 0:00:58 | 0:01:02 | |
This is the story of how our sun | 0:01:07 | 0:01:10 | |
will transform the solar system it binds together. | 0:01:10 | 0:01:13 | |
Before bringing it to a spectacular end. | 0:01:16 | 0:01:19 | |
Peoria, Illinois. | 0:01:44 | 0:01:45 | |
An average city in Midwest America. | 0:01:48 | 0:01:50 | |
But it has one claim to fame that's out of this world. | 0:01:53 | 0:01:56 | |
In the middle of the town, there's a 46-foot-wide mosaic of the sun. | 0:02:00 | 0:02:04 | |
The centrepiece of a huge scale model of our solar system, | 0:02:08 | 0:02:12 | |
created by local astronomer, Sheldon Schafer. | 0:02:12 | 0:02:15 | |
And here we are at the sun. And, boy, is it hot! | 0:02:16 | 0:02:19 | |
It's about 10,000 degrees here at the surface. | 0:02:19 | 0:02:23 | |
And over a million Earths could fit inside of the sun. | 0:02:23 | 0:02:26 | |
Peoria's solar system, | 0:02:28 | 0:02:29 | |
99 million times smaller than the real thing, | 0:02:29 | 0:02:32 | |
accurately reveals the relative sizes of our sun and its planets. | 0:02:32 | 0:02:37 | |
OK, we're all together? | 0:02:37 | 0:02:39 | |
And the distances between them. | 0:02:39 | 0:02:41 | |
My job title is curator of the solar system. | 0:02:44 | 0:02:47 | |
And we just went 33 million miles | 0:02:47 | 0:02:50 | |
until we got to this tiny little two-inch Mercury. | 0:02:50 | 0:02:53 | |
All right, so we're headed off to Venus! | 0:02:53 | 0:02:56 | |
From Mercury, the inner planets are strung along | 0:02:58 | 0:03:00 | |
a picturesque riverside park, all the way to Mars. | 0:03:00 | 0:03:05 | |
These planets are relatively close together. | 0:03:05 | 0:03:08 | |
The outer planets are much further away, | 0:03:12 | 0:03:15 | |
in some bizarre locations. | 0:03:15 | 0:03:17 | |
Five miles from the image of the sun, | 0:03:20 | 0:03:22 | |
above the local airport's check-in desks, | 0:03:22 | 0:03:25 | |
is five-foot-wide Jupiter. | 0:03:25 | 0:03:28 | |
If you're going to have a planet, you may as well have the biggest! | 0:03:29 | 0:03:32 | |
So it's fun to have Jupiter. | 0:03:32 | 0:03:35 | |
Occasionally, we have birds that decorate, | 0:03:35 | 0:03:37 | |
so we've had to clean it. But not very often. | 0:03:37 | 0:03:40 | |
While the children's section of a neighbouring town's library | 0:03:42 | 0:03:47 | |
is home to Saturn. | 0:03:47 | 0:03:48 | |
Uranus is in Princeville, Illinois. | 0:03:56 | 0:03:59 | |
From there, it's a 10-mile drive along Route 91, | 0:04:01 | 0:04:05 | |
or almost a billion miles in cosmic terms, | 0:04:05 | 0:04:08 | |
to the old railroad depot in Wyoming, Illinois, and Neptune. | 0:04:08 | 0:04:14 | |
And finally, in a furniture store | 0:04:19 | 0:04:22 | |
40 Earth miles away from the centre of the sun | 0:04:22 | 0:04:25 | |
in Kewanee, Illinois is distant Pluto. | 0:04:25 | 0:04:29 | |
Peoria's models are a perfect likeness of the solar system today. | 0:04:34 | 0:04:39 | |
But it won't always be this way. | 0:04:39 | 0:04:41 | |
Scientists know that one day, the sun will fundamentally change. | 0:04:45 | 0:04:49 | |
And transform the planets. | 0:04:52 | 0:04:54 | |
Imagine fast-forwarding through the next seven billion years | 0:04:57 | 0:05:01 | |
to watch the end of the solar system. | 0:05:01 | 0:05:05 | |
Dr Eva Villaver can predict this future. | 0:05:11 | 0:05:14 | |
Because everything that will happen to our sun | 0:05:17 | 0:05:19 | |
is already happening to countless other stars. | 0:05:19 | 0:05:22 | |
Some, known as solar twins, | 0:05:25 | 0:05:28 | |
are remarkably similar to our own. | 0:05:28 | 0:05:30 | |
The studies we are doing is because they are very important | 0:05:33 | 0:05:36 | |
to understand not only the sun, | 0:05:36 | 0:05:38 | |
but they tell us how the future of our own solar system will be. | 0:05:38 | 0:05:42 | |
In 2013, a solar twin called CoRoT Sol 1 was discovered. | 0:05:44 | 0:05:48 | |
CoRoT is over there, in the constellation of Monoceros. | 0:05:50 | 0:05:54 | |
It's a star, like the sun, | 0:05:54 | 0:05:55 | |
and has the same mass. Exactly the same mass. | 0:05:55 | 0:05:58 | |
But astronomers found one particularly significant difference. | 0:05:58 | 0:06:02 | |
It had a lower concentration of the element lithium, | 0:06:03 | 0:06:06 | |
which helped them to accurately calculate its age. | 0:06:06 | 0:06:10 | |
It's a star that is a little bit older than the sun. | 0:06:10 | 0:06:14 | |
A few billion years older. | 0:06:14 | 0:06:17 | |
And if we observe a star that is older than our sun, | 0:06:17 | 0:06:19 | |
we know what will happen to the sun. | 0:06:19 | 0:06:22 | |
This older version of our sun was giving out more radiation. | 0:06:24 | 0:06:28 | |
So it helped us put the pieces together. | 0:06:34 | 0:06:37 | |
As the sun will get older, | 0:06:37 | 0:06:39 | |
it will become brighter. Much brighter. | 0:06:39 | 0:06:41 | |
Our sun's luminosity is slowly increasing | 0:06:47 | 0:06:51 | |
because of a change deep inside the sun. | 0:06:51 | 0:06:54 | |
Where two opposing forces are in constant battle. | 0:06:58 | 0:07:01 | |
Similar forces to those that act on a hot-air balloon. | 0:07:04 | 0:07:07 | |
Pushing up and out is the immense pressure of hot gas. | 0:07:12 | 0:07:17 | |
In the sun, this is created by nuclear fusion. | 0:07:17 | 0:07:20 | |
The sun has been burning hydrogen into helium | 0:07:27 | 0:07:30 | |
for thousands of millions of years now. | 0:07:30 | 0:07:33 | |
This is like the propane bottles here. | 0:07:33 | 0:07:36 | |
It's like generating heat that warms up the air | 0:07:36 | 0:07:39 | |
that keeps the balloon going. | 0:07:39 | 0:07:41 | |
That's what happens in the sun, too. | 0:07:41 | 0:07:43 | |
But pulling down into the core of the sun | 0:07:47 | 0:07:50 | |
is an equally powerful force - gravity. | 0:07:50 | 0:07:54 | |
The life of the sun is nothing but a battle against gravity. | 0:07:54 | 0:07:58 | |
We have the gravitational force trying to pull the stars, | 0:07:58 | 0:08:01 | |
crush the stars together. | 0:08:01 | 0:08:02 | |
I mean, like pushing it in, and then we have | 0:08:02 | 0:08:06 | |
the thermal pressure of the gas pushing outwards. | 0:08:06 | 0:08:09 | |
So the balance between the two forces is what keeps the sun stable. | 0:08:09 | 0:08:13 | |
For 4.5 billion years, | 0:08:18 | 0:08:20 | |
the two forces have been in perfect balance. | 0:08:20 | 0:08:23 | |
But as time passes, this balance is shifting. | 0:08:25 | 0:08:28 | |
As the sun fuses hydrogen, | 0:08:31 | 0:08:33 | |
it produces around 600 million tonnes of helium every second, | 0:08:33 | 0:08:38 | |
which is a denser gas. | 0:08:38 | 0:08:40 | |
This change in density | 0:08:42 | 0:08:44 | |
has a profound effect on the nuclear reactions. | 0:08:44 | 0:08:46 | |
As the core gets denser, hydrogen is burned at a higher rate. | 0:08:49 | 0:08:53 | |
It's like turning the burners up. | 0:08:53 | 0:08:55 | |
I mean, we are increasing the energy | 0:08:55 | 0:08:57 | |
that is coming out of the core at that point. | 0:08:57 | 0:09:00 | |
As a result, our sun is getting 10% brighter every billion years. | 0:09:02 | 0:09:07 | |
So the older it gets, the more it heats up the solar system. | 0:09:11 | 0:09:15 | |
And scientists know that will one day have serious consequences... | 0:09:18 | 0:09:22 | |
..for Walter Kinsman's favourite planet. | 0:09:26 | 0:09:28 | |
The Earth is my favourite planet to paint. | 0:09:30 | 0:09:33 | |
I never get my fill of it. | 0:09:34 | 0:09:36 | |
He's painted all the planets in the Peoria solar system model, | 0:09:38 | 0:09:42 | |
except Jupiter, which was too big to fit in his house. | 0:09:42 | 0:09:45 | |
He's now painting a spare Earth for the local museum. | 0:09:47 | 0:09:51 | |
I'm in the process of painting a storm system | 0:09:51 | 0:09:54 | |
in the southern Indian Ocean. | 0:09:54 | 0:09:57 | |
The beautiful white clouds | 0:09:57 | 0:09:59 | |
up against the blue oceans is breathtaking. | 0:09:59 | 0:10:03 | |
The Earth only has its oceans and clouds | 0:10:05 | 0:10:08 | |
because it orbits in a band around the sun called the habitable zone. | 0:10:08 | 0:10:12 | |
Which means it's just the right temperature for liquid water. | 0:10:14 | 0:10:19 | |
And that makes it the only planet in the solar system | 0:10:19 | 0:10:21 | |
where we know life can thrive. | 0:10:21 | 0:10:23 | |
But as the sun becomes more powerful, | 0:10:28 | 0:10:30 | |
the habitable zone will move. | 0:10:30 | 0:10:33 | |
For a vision of the Earth in two billion years' time, | 0:10:37 | 0:10:40 | |
astrobiologist Professor Lynn Rothschild | 0:10:40 | 0:10:44 | |
believes we should look to Venus. | 0:10:44 | 0:10:46 | |
Venus is up in the sky there. | 0:10:54 | 0:10:56 | |
It's the brightest object after the sun and the moon. | 0:10:56 | 0:10:59 | |
It's right near Jupiter this morning. | 0:10:59 | 0:11:01 | |
It's just an absolutely spectacular day to see it. | 0:11:01 | 0:11:04 | |
Venus and the Earth formed out of the same materials. | 0:11:08 | 0:11:11 | |
They're roughly the same size. | 0:11:11 | 0:11:13 | |
The difference is that Venus is closer to the sun. | 0:11:13 | 0:11:16 | |
The surface of Venus is the most hellish planetary surface | 0:11:23 | 0:11:27 | |
in our entire solar system. | 0:11:27 | 0:11:28 | |
The winds are ridiculous. They're 350 miles per hour. | 0:11:32 | 0:11:35 | |
And then the temperature is unbelievably hot, | 0:11:35 | 0:11:38 | |
about 900 degrees or so Fahrenheit. | 0:11:38 | 0:11:42 | |
So this is not a place that you'd want to be. | 0:11:42 | 0:11:45 | |
It's no surprise Venus is warmer than Earth, | 0:11:48 | 0:11:51 | |
but strangely, Venus is even hotter than Mercury, | 0:11:51 | 0:11:54 | |
despite being further from the sun. | 0:11:54 | 0:11:57 | |
In 2006, the Venus Express probe | 0:12:08 | 0:12:10 | |
launched towards our nearest planet | 0:12:10 | 0:12:13 | |
to analyse the Venusian atmosphere in unprecedented detail. | 0:12:13 | 0:12:18 | |
It found a vital clue among the clouds | 0:12:21 | 0:12:24 | |
to how Venus became so hot. | 0:12:24 | 0:12:26 | |
Venus Express allowed us to see that | 0:12:28 | 0:12:32 | |
there was a lot of deuterium, which is a heavy form of hydrogen, left. | 0:12:32 | 0:12:36 | |
And that's indicative of the fact that there was once water here. | 0:12:36 | 0:12:40 | |
It soon became clear that in the past, | 0:12:41 | 0:12:43 | |
Venus was a very different world. | 0:12:43 | 0:12:45 | |
So here was this beautiful water world, | 0:12:48 | 0:12:51 | |
not too dissimilar to maybe what the Earth is like today. | 0:12:51 | 0:12:55 | |
There was liquid water and reasonable atmospheric pressure | 0:12:55 | 0:12:58 | |
and organic compounds. | 0:12:58 | 0:13:00 | |
There's no reason that there shouldn't have been life. | 0:13:00 | 0:13:03 | |
The evidence suggests that Venus was once in the habitable zone. | 0:13:13 | 0:13:17 | |
But, as the sun grew brighter three billion years ago, | 0:13:20 | 0:13:23 | |
it would have had a dramatic effect on the planet's water. | 0:13:23 | 0:13:26 | |
As the sun started to get hotter, | 0:13:29 | 0:13:31 | |
the surface of Venus started to get hotter. | 0:13:31 | 0:13:33 | |
And therefore, the water turns into steam. | 0:13:33 | 0:13:36 | |
And steam is a greenhouse gas, | 0:13:36 | 0:13:38 | |
so that means it traps the solar radiation. | 0:13:38 | 0:13:41 | |
And therefore, just like a greenhouse, | 0:13:41 | 0:13:44 | |
it starts to get hotter and hotter. | 0:13:44 | 0:13:46 | |
It seems a runaway greenhouse effect | 0:13:48 | 0:13:50 | |
caused Venus to become the hottest planet in the solar system. | 0:13:50 | 0:13:54 | |
Mercury, although closer to the sun, has no atmosphere and no water. | 0:13:58 | 0:14:02 | |
Earth has both. | 0:14:05 | 0:14:07 | |
And as the brighter sun evaporates our oceans, | 0:14:07 | 0:14:10 | |
the effect is likely to be far more intense | 0:14:10 | 0:14:14 | |
than the man-made global warming we see today. | 0:14:14 | 0:14:16 | |
Over the next two billion years, temperatures on Earth will rocket. | 0:14:19 | 0:14:23 | |
Life here must adapt...or die. | 0:14:25 | 0:14:30 | |
Yellowstone National Park in North America | 0:14:48 | 0:14:51 | |
is a natural laboratory for Lynn to study | 0:14:51 | 0:14:53 | |
how life can survive in extreme conditions. | 0:14:53 | 0:14:56 | |
The reason it's so great is that we have the whole range, | 0:14:59 | 0:15:02 | |
from the top predators, things like wolves and bears and so on, | 0:15:02 | 0:15:07 | |
all the way down to the beavers and the herbivores | 0:15:07 | 0:15:11 | |
and down to the very tiny organisms | 0:15:11 | 0:15:13 | |
and even some incredible microbes. | 0:15:13 | 0:15:15 | |
Life here is used to dealing with extremes. | 0:15:19 | 0:15:22 | |
But in about half a billion years' time, | 0:15:23 | 0:15:26 | |
these extremes will go in the opposite direction | 0:15:26 | 0:15:29 | |
as temperatures could climb by up to 20 degrees in some places. | 0:15:29 | 0:15:33 | |
By then, life as we know it will have evolved to be very different. | 0:15:38 | 0:15:42 | |
But just as some of today's animals | 0:15:45 | 0:15:47 | |
have adapted to survive harsh winters, | 0:15:47 | 0:15:49 | |
in the future, they may use similar strategies | 0:15:49 | 0:15:53 | |
to cope with scorching summers. | 0:15:53 | 0:15:55 | |
As the sun gets hotter, you could imagine the winter | 0:15:55 | 0:15:58 | |
as being the very pleasant season | 0:15:58 | 0:16:00 | |
and the summers become unbearably hot. | 0:16:00 | 0:16:04 | |
So if you're thinking about a bear that lives in an area like this | 0:16:04 | 0:16:08 | |
that would normally hibernate in the winter, | 0:16:08 | 0:16:10 | |
if you turn the thermostat on the Earth high enough, | 0:16:10 | 0:16:13 | |
it might be the reverse. | 0:16:13 | 0:16:14 | |
So that now, animals would be hibernating in the summer | 0:16:14 | 0:16:17 | |
and be active in the winter. | 0:16:17 | 0:16:19 | |
And grasses would be setting seed now, in the spring, | 0:16:19 | 0:16:23 | |
the seeds would be what would carry the plant through this harsh summer, | 0:16:23 | 0:16:26 | |
and then, as the rains started again in the autumn, | 0:16:26 | 0:16:29 | |
they would germinate and you would get the lush green in the winter. | 0:16:29 | 0:16:33 | |
In less than a billion years' time, | 0:16:38 | 0:16:41 | |
the greenhouse effect is expected to take off. | 0:16:41 | 0:16:43 | |
Sending temperatures soaring. | 0:16:45 | 0:16:47 | |
As it gets hotter and hotter on the land, | 0:16:54 | 0:16:56 | |
eventually, even the winters will be too hot | 0:16:56 | 0:16:59 | |
for most organisms, certainly, to live. | 0:16:59 | 0:17:02 | |
So if you have a large animal, like, say, a bison, | 0:17:04 | 0:17:08 | |
that's also warm-blooded, as it gets hotter and hotter, | 0:17:08 | 0:17:10 | |
it won't be able to cool down and it will eventually die. | 0:17:10 | 0:17:14 | |
And so ultimately, large animals like that will go extinct. | 0:17:16 | 0:17:19 | |
In just over a billion years from now, | 0:17:21 | 0:17:23 | |
the land could be nothing but a parched desert, devoid of life. | 0:17:23 | 0:17:28 | |
The air is going to heat up much more quickly than water will. | 0:17:29 | 0:17:33 | |
And so I predict that, just like the ancestors of whales | 0:17:33 | 0:17:37 | |
and dolphins and so on moved from the land to the water, | 0:17:37 | 0:17:40 | |
so will the descendants of bison, if they want to survive. | 0:17:40 | 0:17:43 | |
But models suggest that in two billion years' time, | 0:17:45 | 0:17:48 | |
even the water will have gone. | 0:17:48 | 0:17:50 | |
As it boils away, the Earth would increasingly resemble Venus today. | 0:17:52 | 0:17:57 | |
For those of us who are interested in the future of planet Earth, | 0:18:01 | 0:18:04 | |
Venus is a really good model system. | 0:18:04 | 0:18:08 | |
As the sun heats up and the oceans turn into steam, | 0:18:10 | 0:18:13 | |
we will have a world that's not too dissimilar | 0:18:13 | 0:18:16 | |
from what you see behind me in Yellowstone, | 0:18:16 | 0:18:17 | |
where you see the hot water coming up to the surface | 0:18:17 | 0:18:21 | |
and then turning into steam and going away. | 0:18:21 | 0:18:24 | |
In less than three billion years' time, | 0:18:24 | 0:18:26 | |
it's thought that the searing sun and a runaway greenhouse effect | 0:18:26 | 0:18:30 | |
will have wiped out virtually all life on Earth. | 0:18:30 | 0:18:33 | |
But intelligent life may just find a way out. | 0:18:35 | 0:18:38 | |
We have something that the other organisms out there don't have. | 0:18:40 | 0:18:43 | |
And that is we have technology. | 0:18:43 | 0:18:45 | |
And we're going to have the option of going to other planets. | 0:18:45 | 0:18:48 | |
As it gets too hot for the Earth, Mars will start to warm up. | 0:18:48 | 0:18:52 | |
And so that means that it's just possible | 0:18:52 | 0:18:56 | |
Mars will become a better place for life. | 0:18:56 | 0:18:58 | |
Who knows? I have great faith in our descendants. | 0:18:58 | 0:19:01 | |
By then, Mars is expected to be in the habitable zone. | 0:19:01 | 0:19:05 | |
So it could provide a refuge. | 0:19:06 | 0:19:09 | |
But not for ever. | 0:19:09 | 0:19:11 | |
Because the next threat will be to the entire solar system. | 0:19:11 | 0:19:15 | |
From 100 billion stars racing towards us. | 0:19:20 | 0:19:24 | |
The Andromeda Galaxy. | 0:19:27 | 0:19:29 | |
Scientists have long suspected | 0:19:33 | 0:19:35 | |
it will one day crash into our galaxy, the Milky Way. | 0:19:35 | 0:19:39 | |
But until recently, no-one had been able to say for sure. | 0:19:43 | 0:19:47 | |
In 2012, Dr Tony Sohn stepped up to the plate. | 0:19:51 | 0:19:55 | |
He and his team set out to precisely measure Andromeda's path | 0:19:57 | 0:20:00 | |
and discover if it would be a near miss, | 0:20:00 | 0:20:04 | |
a glancing blow... | 0:20:04 | 0:20:06 | |
..or a head-on hit. | 0:20:07 | 0:20:08 | |
To predict the outcome, he used a technique | 0:20:10 | 0:20:12 | |
familiar to baseball players. | 0:20:12 | 0:20:15 | |
I ran a experiment that can help explain how we measure | 0:20:15 | 0:20:18 | |
the motion of Andromeda. | 0:20:18 | 0:20:19 | |
Imagine a game of baseball. | 0:20:19 | 0:20:21 | |
The batter is waiting for the ball thrown by the pitcher. | 0:20:21 | 0:20:25 | |
To work out if the ball is on target, | 0:20:27 | 0:20:29 | |
the batter needs to see whether it's drifting to the side or not. | 0:20:29 | 0:20:33 | |
So they instinctively compare the motion of the ball | 0:20:34 | 0:20:37 | |
against the background. | 0:20:37 | 0:20:39 | |
Tony needed to apply the same principle | 0:20:41 | 0:20:43 | |
to discover if Andromeda was heading towards us. | 0:20:43 | 0:20:46 | |
But in order to measure the galaxy's motion, | 0:20:47 | 0:20:50 | |
he had to find fixed points behind Andromeda to compare it to. | 0:20:50 | 0:20:54 | |
A daunting task. | 0:20:56 | 0:20:59 | |
Most of the stars we see in the sky are in our galaxy, | 0:20:59 | 0:21:02 | |
so they cannot be used as background objects. | 0:21:02 | 0:21:06 | |
Instead, Tony had to search for distant galaxies | 0:21:07 | 0:21:10 | |
hundreds of millions of light-years away. | 0:21:10 | 0:21:13 | |
Only one telescope was up to the job. | 0:21:14 | 0:21:16 | |
We used the Hubble Space Telescope to do this project | 0:21:18 | 0:21:21 | |
because we needed a very stable instrument | 0:21:21 | 0:21:24 | |
and we needed to be above the Earth's atmosphere | 0:21:24 | 0:21:26 | |
to get very high resolution of the image. | 0:21:26 | 0:21:29 | |
With data from Hubble, | 0:21:29 | 0:21:30 | |
Tony painstakingly tracked stars in Andromeda | 0:21:30 | 0:21:34 | |
against distant galaxies. | 0:21:34 | 0:21:36 | |
Just like a batter tracks a ball. | 0:21:38 | 0:21:40 | |
Imagine the ball is Andromeda Galaxy | 0:21:41 | 0:21:43 | |
and the fence behind that are background galaxies. | 0:21:43 | 0:21:47 | |
And what we did was we compared the position | 0:21:47 | 0:21:50 | |
of the Andromeda galaxies against the background galaxies over time. | 0:21:50 | 0:21:54 | |
And that's how we measure the sideways motion. | 0:21:54 | 0:21:57 | |
The results were conclusive. | 0:21:57 | 0:21:59 | |
The sideways speed of Andromeda we measured was effectively zero. | 0:22:01 | 0:22:05 | |
So we can say with certainty that Andromeda | 0:22:05 | 0:22:08 | |
is on a head-on collision with the Milky Way Galaxy. | 0:22:08 | 0:22:11 | |
Tony's team confirmed that over 100 billion stars | 0:22:13 | 0:22:16 | |
are on course for a strike | 0:22:16 | 0:22:18 | |
at 2,000 times the speed of a fastball. | 0:22:18 | 0:22:22 | |
But since it's so far away, the galaxies won't collide | 0:22:26 | 0:22:30 | |
until nearly four billion years from now. | 0:22:30 | 0:22:33 | |
Tony's precise measurements allow him to predict | 0:22:36 | 0:22:39 | |
how this clash of the titans will look. | 0:22:39 | 0:22:42 | |
To anyone on Earth, it would be a spectacular sight. | 0:22:44 | 0:22:48 | |
We'll see the Andromeda Galaxy getting bigger and bigger on the sky | 0:22:50 | 0:22:54 | |
and then eventually, in about four billion years from now, | 0:22:54 | 0:22:57 | |
we'll see the collision of the two galaxies. | 0:22:57 | 0:22:59 | |
On impact, clouds of dust will be crushed together. | 0:23:06 | 0:23:09 | |
With sensational results. | 0:23:11 | 0:23:13 | |
What we'll see is a lot of stars getting formed, | 0:23:16 | 0:23:18 | |
and this will look something like stellar fireworks on the sky. | 0:23:18 | 0:23:22 | |
Tony can even calculate the odds that our solar system | 0:23:30 | 0:23:33 | |
will crash into one of Andromeda's billions of stars | 0:23:33 | 0:23:36 | |
during the collision. | 0:23:36 | 0:23:38 | |
Perhaps surprisingly, the prognosis is good. | 0:23:40 | 0:23:44 | |
Galaxies are essentially empty space. | 0:23:44 | 0:23:47 | |
So the chance of stars colliding with another star is very slim | 0:23:47 | 0:23:51 | |
because this distance between the stars is vast. | 0:23:51 | 0:23:55 | |
So when the collision happens, the solar system | 0:23:55 | 0:23:57 | |
will pass through an empty space between the stars. | 0:23:57 | 0:24:00 | |
After passing like ghosts in the night, | 0:24:04 | 0:24:07 | |
the irresistible pull of gravity will draw them back together | 0:24:07 | 0:24:10 | |
over the next two billion years. | 0:24:10 | 0:24:13 | |
To finally settle as a new super-galaxy, nicknamed Milkomeda. | 0:24:14 | 0:24:20 | |
Our galaxy will no longer exist. | 0:24:24 | 0:24:27 | |
Yet calculations suggest the solar system will survive. | 0:24:27 | 0:24:32 | |
It will merge into one big galaxy | 0:24:34 | 0:24:36 | |
and it will look like a giant ball on the sky. | 0:24:36 | 0:24:39 | |
Sadly, it's unlikely anyone will be on Earth | 0:24:41 | 0:24:44 | |
to witness this colossal galactic collision. | 0:24:44 | 0:24:47 | |
But there's a slim chance an extreme form of life | 0:24:52 | 0:24:55 | |
could be clinging on as the two galaxies meet, | 0:24:55 | 0:24:59 | |
despite the searing heat from the ageing sun. | 0:24:59 | 0:25:03 | |
In Yellowstone, Professor Lynn Rothschild has found evidence | 0:25:08 | 0:25:12 | |
of what those last remaining Earthlings might be like. | 0:25:12 | 0:25:16 | |
This area of Yellowstone is extremely acidic, and it's also hot. | 0:25:18 | 0:25:22 | |
You can see the steam rising. | 0:25:22 | 0:25:24 | |
So in other words, it's sort of like boiling battery acid. | 0:25:24 | 0:25:27 | |
Very few living things can actually live at this high temperature. | 0:25:27 | 0:25:32 | |
But there are a couple of organisms that are very well adapted for it | 0:25:32 | 0:25:35 | |
and you can see the beautiful colours behind me. | 0:25:35 | 0:25:38 | |
The kaleidoscopic colours of Yellowstone springs | 0:25:40 | 0:25:43 | |
are caused by heat-loving microbes. | 0:25:43 | 0:25:45 | |
We can pretty much use these as a thermometer. | 0:25:53 | 0:25:55 | |
Anything that is green means | 0:25:55 | 0:25:57 | |
that it's got chlorophyll, just like plants. | 0:25:57 | 0:26:00 | |
And once they get to a temperature above about 73 degrees or so, | 0:26:00 | 0:26:05 | |
their chlorophyll breaks down. | 0:26:05 | 0:26:07 | |
And so when you start getting warmer than that, | 0:26:07 | 0:26:10 | |
you start to move into other sorts of organisms. | 0:26:10 | 0:26:12 | |
Organisms that, for example, eat iron. | 0:26:12 | 0:26:15 | |
And then you see these beautiful orange colours. | 0:26:15 | 0:26:18 | |
Once all the water on Earth has turned to steam, | 0:26:18 | 0:26:21 | |
it's possible that heat-loving microbes could continue to live. | 0:26:21 | 0:26:24 | |
In the clouds. | 0:26:26 | 0:26:28 | |
We know some of the earliest organisms on the Earth were thermophiles. | 0:26:29 | 0:26:33 | |
Organisms that lived at high temperature. | 0:26:33 | 0:26:35 | |
And so at some point, it may be organisms like this | 0:26:35 | 0:26:38 | |
that once again inherit the Earth. | 0:26:38 | 0:26:40 | |
The microbes will have their day. | 0:26:43 | 0:26:46 | |
But their reign will inevitably be cut short. | 0:26:46 | 0:26:48 | |
Because when the sun is twice the age it is now, | 0:26:52 | 0:26:55 | |
astronomers foresee a turbulent new phase...written in the stars. | 0:26:55 | 0:27:01 | |
On a clear night, many of the stars | 0:27:05 | 0:27:07 | |
you can see with your naked eye today | 0:27:07 | 0:27:09 | |
are going through this phase. | 0:27:09 | 0:27:12 | |
You can tell which ones they are because of their colour. | 0:27:12 | 0:27:16 | |
They're known as red giants. | 0:27:16 | 0:27:18 | |
It's very easy to see red giant stars because they are very bright. | 0:27:22 | 0:27:25 | |
They are giant and they are bright. | 0:27:25 | 0:27:27 | |
So they are everywhere in the sky. | 0:27:27 | 0:27:30 | |
Some red giants are so large, | 0:27:30 | 0:27:32 | |
you could fit our own sun inside them - millions of times over. | 0:27:32 | 0:27:36 | |
Yet astronomers are confident our sun will one day grow | 0:27:38 | 0:27:42 | |
to become one itself. | 0:27:42 | 0:27:44 | |
So these stars are a glimpse of our future. | 0:27:44 | 0:27:48 | |
If we study the stars that grow in size, we can tell the fate | 0:27:52 | 0:27:55 | |
of the planetary systems that are orbiting in them. | 0:27:55 | 0:27:58 | |
Stars like that give us already clues | 0:27:58 | 0:28:00 | |
about what will be the future fate of our own solar system. | 0:28:00 | 0:28:04 | |
The transformation of our sun into a red giant | 0:28:08 | 0:28:11 | |
will begin deep below its surface, | 0:28:11 | 0:28:14 | |
where all the heat is generated. | 0:28:14 | 0:28:17 | |
The burning core is the only place hot enough for hydrogen to fuse. | 0:28:20 | 0:28:25 | |
And yet it makes up less than 2% of the sun's total volume. | 0:28:25 | 0:28:28 | |
For the next five billion years, | 0:28:31 | 0:28:33 | |
it's thought the core will be stable, | 0:28:33 | 0:28:36 | |
finely balanced between two phenomenal opposing forces. | 0:28:36 | 0:28:40 | |
The crushing pull of gravity... | 0:28:42 | 0:28:44 | |
..and the explosive push of nuclear-heated gas. | 0:28:46 | 0:28:50 | |
But, like a hot-air balloon, | 0:28:54 | 0:28:55 | |
the core will eventually run out of fuel. | 0:28:55 | 0:28:58 | |
Just as gravity pulls the spent balloon down, | 0:29:00 | 0:29:03 | |
in the sun, gravity will pull on the core, unopposed. | 0:29:03 | 0:29:08 | |
When the balance is broken, | 0:29:10 | 0:29:12 | |
because the hydrogen runs out in the core, | 0:29:12 | 0:29:14 | |
the dominant force will be gravity. | 0:29:14 | 0:29:16 | |
It will try to squeeze the core. | 0:29:16 | 0:29:18 | |
But the sun will be far from spent. | 0:29:20 | 0:29:22 | |
As gravity crushes the core, | 0:29:22 | 0:29:24 | |
it will trigger a transformation in the rest of the sun. | 0:29:24 | 0:29:27 | |
For the first time, the hydrogen gas surrounding the core | 0:29:29 | 0:29:33 | |
will begin to fuse, | 0:29:33 | 0:29:35 | |
giving the sun access to far more fuel than it's already burnt. | 0:29:35 | 0:29:39 | |
We ran out already of one bottle of propane, | 0:29:41 | 0:29:43 | |
but we have three more. | 0:29:43 | 0:29:46 | |
So...it's like the sun. | 0:29:47 | 0:29:49 | |
The burning shell of hydrogen releases so much heat | 0:29:53 | 0:29:57 | |
that gravity is overwhelmed. | 0:29:57 | 0:29:59 | |
Tipping the balance in favour of rapid expansion. | 0:30:00 | 0:30:03 | |
Gravity is not winning the battle, | 0:30:04 | 0:30:07 | |
so the star expands as a red giant. | 0:30:07 | 0:30:10 | |
Astronomers predict that in about five billion years, | 0:30:14 | 0:30:18 | |
the sun will start to grow into a vast, seething ball of fire. | 0:30:18 | 0:30:22 | |
A red giant. | 0:30:26 | 0:30:28 | |
Sending temperatures soaring across the solar system. | 0:30:29 | 0:30:33 | |
The inner planets will become far too hot to support any kind of life. | 0:30:36 | 0:30:40 | |
But the distant outer planets | 0:30:41 | 0:30:44 | |
will bask in the warm glow of the sun for the first time. | 0:30:44 | 0:30:48 | |
The habitable zone, where life can exist, will sweep out. | 0:30:51 | 0:30:56 | |
In Peoria's solar system model, it would mean the habitable zone | 0:31:01 | 0:31:06 | |
would leave town and head for the outskirts. | 0:31:06 | 0:31:09 | |
Here, at the airport, is Jupiter. | 0:31:12 | 0:31:17 | |
You got your bag sheet? | 0:31:17 | 0:31:19 | |
You're all good, you're going to go to gate number ten. | 0:31:19 | 0:31:21 | |
-And it is delayed until 1:30? -Yes, ma'am. | 0:31:21 | 0:31:25 | |
My favourite planet, I would say, is Earth, | 0:31:27 | 0:31:30 | |
but Jupiter's second, for sure. | 0:31:30 | 0:31:32 | |
It's very cool. It's very cool. | 0:31:32 | 0:31:34 | |
When the sun grows, Jupiter will come in from the cold. | 0:31:39 | 0:31:42 | |
And although life as we know it | 0:31:45 | 0:31:47 | |
could never survive on gassy Jupiter, | 0:31:47 | 0:31:49 | |
the solar system's biggest planet has several icy moons. | 0:31:49 | 0:31:54 | |
These are likely to melt and become cosmic watering holes | 0:31:57 | 0:32:01 | |
for any refugees fleeing the parched inner solar system. | 0:32:01 | 0:32:05 | |
Astronomers have speculated that Jupiter could change colour. | 0:32:07 | 0:32:10 | |
As clouds of ammonia vaporise, | 0:32:14 | 0:32:17 | |
it might turn a deep shade of blue. | 0:32:17 | 0:32:20 | |
After Jupiter, astronomers expect the habitable zone | 0:32:25 | 0:32:28 | |
to move swiftly towards Saturn. | 0:32:28 | 0:32:31 | |
On Saturdays, we'll have families making that interplanetary trip | 0:32:33 | 0:32:37 | |
from one planet to the other in our area. | 0:32:37 | 0:32:39 | |
I think Saturn is more interesting because of the rings. | 0:32:39 | 0:32:43 | |
If Saturn still has its icy rings by then, | 0:32:46 | 0:32:49 | |
they're forecast to vaporise and disappear. | 0:32:49 | 0:32:52 | |
But, like Jupiter, Saturn's icy moons could melt | 0:32:59 | 0:33:04 | |
and be safe havens for life. | 0:33:04 | 0:33:06 | |
Then, models predict the habitable zone | 0:33:13 | 0:33:16 | |
will sweep out faster and faster, | 0:33:16 | 0:33:18 | |
past the solar system's most distant planets and their moons. | 0:33:18 | 0:33:22 | |
First, Uranus. | 0:33:23 | 0:33:25 | |
Then, deep-blue Neptune. | 0:33:32 | 0:33:34 | |
Astronomers think they, too, will be transformed. | 0:33:36 | 0:33:39 | |
But exactly how they'll look in the future is still a mystery. | 0:33:39 | 0:33:43 | |
Eventually, the habitable zone is forecast to pass beyond | 0:33:48 | 0:33:52 | |
all the planets and their moons. | 0:33:52 | 0:33:54 | |
But although Neptune's the final planet, | 0:33:58 | 0:34:00 | |
the solar system doesn't finish there. | 0:34:00 | 0:34:03 | |
At the Good's furniture store in Kewanee, Illinois... | 0:34:07 | 0:34:10 | |
..adjacent to a wide selection of cabinets and coffee tables, | 0:34:12 | 0:34:16 | |
is ex-planet Pluto | 0:34:16 | 0:34:19 | |
and its large moon, Charon. | 0:34:19 | 0:34:22 | |
In 2006, Pluto was downgraded to a dwarf planet. | 0:34:24 | 0:34:28 | |
They say planet Pluto is no longer a planet, | 0:34:30 | 0:34:32 | |
but to us, it will always be a planet. | 0:34:32 | 0:34:34 | |
People are so amazed at how small planet Pluto is. | 0:34:36 | 0:34:39 | |
They get up real close with their camera, | 0:34:39 | 0:34:41 | |
just a couple of inches away to snap a really close shot. | 0:34:41 | 0:34:43 | |
Astronomers have tried to predict what will happen | 0:34:46 | 0:34:49 | |
as this distant outpost of the solar system warms. | 0:34:49 | 0:34:52 | |
But because it's so small and remote, | 0:34:55 | 0:34:58 | |
this world was shrouded in mystery... | 0:34:58 | 0:35:01 | |
..until recently. | 0:35:03 | 0:35:04 | |
In July 2015, the New Horizons' mission | 0:35:10 | 0:35:14 | |
finally revealed Pluto's secrets. | 0:35:14 | 0:35:17 | |
The first clear images ever captured of the dwarf planet | 0:35:23 | 0:35:27 | |
revealed some startling terrain. | 0:35:27 | 0:35:29 | |
Strange troughs, cliffs... | 0:35:31 | 0:35:34 | |
and even dunes. | 0:35:34 | 0:35:36 | |
Professor Lynn Rothschild is fascinated | 0:35:43 | 0:35:46 | |
by this tiny world and its potential for life. | 0:35:46 | 0:35:50 | |
With the New Horizons' mission, | 0:35:52 | 0:35:54 | |
we really knew almost nothing about Pluto. | 0:35:54 | 0:35:57 | |
And our knowledge of Pluto has just blossomed enormously. | 0:35:57 | 0:36:02 | |
In fact, it's not blossomed, it's exploded. | 0:36:02 | 0:36:04 | |
One of the most unexpected features is a towering series of peaks. | 0:36:11 | 0:36:15 | |
Much, I think, to everyone's surprise, | 0:36:19 | 0:36:21 | |
there were huge mountains that were found on Pluto. | 0:36:21 | 0:36:24 | |
These things are as high as 11,000 feet. | 0:36:24 | 0:36:26 | |
Sort of like the mountains behind me, here in the Rockies in Montana. | 0:36:26 | 0:36:30 | |
Here on Earth, the chemical bonds that bind rock | 0:36:32 | 0:36:36 | |
are strong enough to defy gravity by holding up mountains. | 0:36:36 | 0:36:41 | |
Yet Pluto's crust is not made of rock, but ice. | 0:36:42 | 0:36:46 | |
The -220 degree temperatures there | 0:36:58 | 0:37:01 | |
alter the chemical bonds in Pluto's ice. | 0:37:01 | 0:37:04 | |
And make it as strong as rock is here. | 0:37:06 | 0:37:09 | |
Strong enough to hold up ice mountains as high as the Rockies. | 0:37:11 | 0:37:16 | |
But the arrival of the habitable zone would change this. | 0:37:22 | 0:37:25 | |
Pluto's frosty peaks could be destroyed. | 0:37:27 | 0:37:29 | |
As the sun becomes hotter and hotter, | 0:37:32 | 0:37:34 | |
the ice mountains will start to collapse, I would imagine, | 0:37:34 | 0:37:37 | |
under their own weight because at that point, | 0:37:37 | 0:37:40 | |
the ice won't be as hard as it is today. | 0:37:40 | 0:37:43 | |
And at some point, it may in fact be warm enough | 0:37:43 | 0:37:46 | |
for all this ice on Pluto to melt. | 0:37:46 | 0:37:48 | |
Amid the destruction, something remarkable could emerge. | 0:37:50 | 0:37:55 | |
A water world at the edge of our solar system. | 0:37:56 | 0:37:59 | |
Once you have liquid water and little energy, | 0:38:01 | 0:38:04 | |
that's very good news for life. | 0:38:04 | 0:38:07 | |
At that point, it'll be warm enough | 0:38:07 | 0:38:10 | |
that even, even Pluto will be in a habitable zone. | 0:38:10 | 0:38:13 | |
It will finally have its moment in the sun. | 0:38:13 | 0:38:16 | |
After a 12 billion year long winter, | 0:38:18 | 0:38:21 | |
the expanding sun may bring spring to Pluto. | 0:38:21 | 0:38:24 | |
But while the red giant nurtures Pluto... | 0:38:30 | 0:38:33 | |
..it poses a grave threat to the planets of the inner solar system. | 0:38:34 | 0:38:38 | |
They face total annihilation. | 0:38:39 | 0:38:43 | |
In 2012, Dr Eva Villaver stumbled across grisly evidence | 0:38:48 | 0:38:52 | |
of what red giants can do to their inner planets. | 0:38:52 | 0:38:56 | |
A search for distant worlds had led to the constellation of Perseus, | 0:38:58 | 0:39:02 | |
where a star called BD+48740 | 0:39:02 | 0:39:07 | |
caught her attention for two reasons. | 0:39:07 | 0:39:10 | |
There we have a star, a red giant, | 0:39:12 | 0:39:16 | |
that was very peculiar | 0:39:16 | 0:39:17 | |
because the star itself has a very high content of lithium. | 0:39:17 | 0:39:21 | |
And that's very unusual for this type of star. | 0:39:21 | 0:39:24 | |
So that was one of the pieces of the puzzle and the other one was | 0:39:24 | 0:39:29 | |
that it has a Jupiter-like planet orbiting the star | 0:39:29 | 0:39:32 | |
that has an orbit that is very unusual. | 0:39:32 | 0:39:35 | |
Eva thought the two strange features must be somehow connected. | 0:39:36 | 0:39:40 | |
Something had happened that had affected | 0:39:41 | 0:39:43 | |
both the planet and the star itself. | 0:39:43 | 0:39:46 | |
The team analysed the possible causes... | 0:39:49 | 0:39:51 | |
..and concluded there was only one event that could explain both. | 0:39:52 | 0:39:56 | |
The most simple explanation is that something very violent happened. | 0:39:58 | 0:40:02 | |
We think that the star had a multiple planetary system | 0:40:04 | 0:40:07 | |
and what we see is just the leftover planet, | 0:40:07 | 0:40:10 | |
but there was another planet that was eaten by the star. | 0:40:10 | 0:40:13 | |
As one planet was engulfed by the star, it destabilised the other. | 0:40:16 | 0:40:21 | |
Then it triggered lithium production by stirring the hot gases. | 0:40:23 | 0:40:26 | |
So this star has eaten one of its planets | 0:40:30 | 0:40:33 | |
as the star became a red giant. | 0:40:33 | 0:40:36 | |
Eva had found compelling evidence | 0:40:39 | 0:40:41 | |
that ageing stars can grow so large, | 0:40:41 | 0:40:44 | |
they devour their inner planets. | 0:40:44 | 0:40:46 | |
In around 5.5 billion years, | 0:40:51 | 0:40:53 | |
our own sun will enter this extraordinary phase of its life. | 0:40:53 | 0:40:57 | |
Evidence suggests its surface will reach out towards Mercury, | 0:40:58 | 0:41:02 | |
Venus and Earth, | 0:41:02 | 0:41:05 | |
threatening their very existence. | 0:41:05 | 0:41:08 | |
Local astronomer Sheldon Schafer | 0:41:11 | 0:41:13 | |
is leading his weekly inner-planetary bicycle tour. | 0:41:13 | 0:41:17 | |
With the sun's surface hot on his heels. | 0:41:18 | 0:41:21 | |
So right now, we're going at about four miles an hour. | 0:41:21 | 0:41:24 | |
That's about half the speed of light. | 0:41:24 | 0:41:26 | |
This peaceful Midwestern town is about to go on the ride of its life. | 0:41:26 | 0:41:33 | |
And here we are, approaching Mercury. | 0:41:33 | 0:41:35 | |
You can see it's easily a stunt double for the Earth's moon. | 0:41:39 | 0:41:42 | |
It's a heavily-cratered world | 0:41:42 | 0:41:44 | |
without an atmosphere, hot in the sun | 0:41:44 | 0:41:46 | |
and cold in the darkness. | 0:41:46 | 0:41:48 | |
But the solar system's smallest planet will get hotter still. | 0:41:48 | 0:41:53 | |
Off to Venus! | 0:41:53 | 0:41:55 | |
Because astronomers predict | 0:41:55 | 0:41:56 | |
that less than a billion years into the red giant phase, | 0:41:56 | 0:42:01 | |
the sun's surface will reach Mercury. | 0:42:01 | 0:42:03 | |
After more than ten billion years of relative calm, | 0:42:06 | 0:42:10 | |
the solar system will lose a planet. | 0:42:10 | 0:42:14 | |
And the sun will continue to expand. | 0:42:20 | 0:42:23 | |
Growing ever closer to Venus. | 0:42:25 | 0:42:28 | |
OK, so here we are. We've come about 66 million miles | 0:42:32 | 0:42:36 | |
and, er...Venus, you might notice, | 0:42:36 | 0:42:38 | |
is almost exactly the same size as the Earth. | 0:42:38 | 0:42:41 | |
And for that reason alone, it's been called the Earth's sister planet. | 0:42:41 | 0:42:45 | |
But Earth will probably lose its sibling. | 0:42:45 | 0:42:48 | |
Because most models of the sun's evolution | 0:42:50 | 0:42:53 | |
show it easily enveloping Venus. | 0:42:53 | 0:42:56 | |
The next planet...is Earth itself. | 0:43:11 | 0:43:17 | |
You can see from wherever you're standing | 0:43:19 | 0:43:21 | |
that the Earth is blue, with lots and lots of liquid water. | 0:43:21 | 0:43:24 | |
By the time the sun engulfs Venus, | 0:43:25 | 0:43:28 | |
the Earth's oceans are expected to have boiled away. | 0:43:28 | 0:43:32 | |
The ultimate fate of our world appears to be on a knife edge. | 0:43:34 | 0:43:39 | |
-A fortune cookie. -SHE CHUCKLES | 0:43:46 | 0:43:48 | |
For years, scientists have been unsure | 0:43:50 | 0:43:53 | |
what fortunes await the Earth. | 0:43:53 | 0:43:54 | |
Uh-oh! | 0:43:54 | 0:43:56 | |
Will it be swallowed by the sun? | 0:43:56 | 0:44:00 | |
"The world will end in fire." | 0:44:00 | 0:44:02 | |
Or will it outlive the sun, to face a frozen eternity in space? | 0:44:03 | 0:44:07 | |
"The world will end in ice." | 0:44:07 | 0:44:10 | |
Maybe! | 0:44:13 | 0:44:15 | |
In 2001, astronomer Dr Robert Smith decided to investigate. | 0:44:15 | 0:44:19 | |
His first calculations had ominous results. | 0:44:21 | 0:44:23 | |
What we found, to our disappointment, | 0:44:25 | 0:44:27 | |
was that the sun will expand to something like | 0:44:27 | 0:44:31 | |
250 times its present size | 0:44:31 | 0:44:35 | |
and the Earth's orbit is only about 215 times | 0:44:35 | 0:44:40 | |
the present size of the sun. | 0:44:40 | 0:44:41 | |
So it will certainly go beyond the present orbit of the Earth. | 0:44:41 | 0:44:47 | |
But Robert foresaw that there was still hope for our planet. | 0:44:48 | 0:44:51 | |
Another factor that could potentially save the Earth | 0:44:54 | 0:44:57 | |
from the sun's clutches. | 0:44:57 | 0:44:59 | |
He realised the Earth's destiny | 0:45:08 | 0:45:10 | |
hangs on something called the solar wind. | 0:45:10 | 0:45:13 | |
Highly-charged particles that stream out from the sun | 0:45:13 | 0:45:17 | |
as its hot surface evaporates. | 0:45:17 | 0:45:20 | |
Like the wind on Earth, this stream of particles is invisible. | 0:45:20 | 0:45:25 | |
But you can see its effects. | 0:45:25 | 0:45:26 | |
You can see the tail is always downwind of the kite. | 0:45:29 | 0:45:32 | |
And you get the same kind of phenomenon with comets, for example. | 0:45:32 | 0:45:37 | |
You can see that the tail of a comet, | 0:45:37 | 0:45:40 | |
it's not always behind the direction of the comet, | 0:45:40 | 0:45:42 | |
it's streaming away, always away from the sun. | 0:45:42 | 0:45:45 | |
The solar wind also affects the sun itself. | 0:45:47 | 0:45:50 | |
Solar wind is carrying away particles, so it does reduce the mass. | 0:45:52 | 0:45:56 | |
As the sun loses mass, | 0:45:57 | 0:45:59 | |
so the gravitational field of the sun gets weaker. | 0:45:59 | 0:46:03 | |
It pulls less strongly on the planets | 0:46:03 | 0:46:06 | |
and so the planets tend to move out, the orbits get bigger. | 0:46:06 | 0:46:10 | |
As a red giant, the sun will lose a lot of mass through the solar wind. | 0:46:12 | 0:46:17 | |
Robert wanted to know if it would be enough | 0:46:18 | 0:46:21 | |
for the Earth to escape the advancing sun. | 0:46:21 | 0:46:23 | |
So initially, it was just sheer curiosity. | 0:46:23 | 0:46:27 | |
What happens to the Earth when the sun becomes a red giant? | 0:46:27 | 0:46:31 | |
Robert and his colleague calculated how the sun would evolve. | 0:46:34 | 0:46:38 | |
And, in particular, how much mass it would lose | 0:46:38 | 0:46:41 | |
after it becomes a red giant. | 0:46:41 | 0:46:43 | |
There was an amazing amount of interest in this. | 0:46:48 | 0:46:50 | |
We found that the mass of the sun itself | 0:46:50 | 0:46:53 | |
would go down by something like 20% | 0:46:53 | 0:46:56 | |
at the end of the red giant stage. | 0:46:56 | 0:46:58 | |
As the sun loses mass, the planets will shift further from its centre. | 0:47:02 | 0:47:07 | |
Robert predicts that the Earth will move out millions of miles... | 0:47:10 | 0:47:13 | |
..as the sun expands. | 0:47:16 | 0:47:18 | |
So here we are at Mars, the last of the terrestrial planets. | 0:47:22 | 0:47:27 | |
But in seven billion years' time, | 0:47:27 | 0:47:29 | |
calculations show that Mars will no longer be here. | 0:47:29 | 0:47:32 | |
Instead, the red planet is forecast to have moved all the way out | 0:47:34 | 0:47:38 | |
to where the asteroid belt is today. | 0:47:38 | 0:47:40 | |
With the Earth in its place. | 0:47:44 | 0:47:46 | |
According to Robert Smith's calculations in 2001, | 0:47:49 | 0:47:52 | |
the sun would then stop growing | 0:47:52 | 0:47:54 | |
when it's still ten million miles away from the Earth. | 0:47:54 | 0:47:58 | |
And our world would survive. | 0:47:59 | 0:48:02 | |
We were quite pleased when we found that the Earth would escape. | 0:48:02 | 0:48:06 | |
Unfortunately, nobody will be around to see it, which is a pity. | 0:48:06 | 0:48:11 | |
But within a few years, scientists began to realise | 0:48:16 | 0:48:20 | |
that there was another effect they hadn't considered... | 0:48:20 | 0:48:23 | |
..which could potentially draw the Earth back towards the sun. | 0:48:24 | 0:48:28 | |
Dr Eva Villaver has analysed these so-called tidal interactions | 0:48:34 | 0:48:39 | |
that exist between all red giants and their planets. | 0:48:39 | 0:48:42 | |
She foresees that the same forces | 0:48:44 | 0:48:46 | |
will one day act between the sun...and the Earth. | 0:48:46 | 0:48:51 | |
I have a third experiment that maybe can help understanding | 0:48:53 | 0:48:57 | |
how the Earth and the sun will interact | 0:48:57 | 0:48:59 | |
as the sun becomes a red giant. | 0:48:59 | 0:49:02 | |
Imagine that you have a carousel, which is the sun, | 0:49:02 | 0:49:05 | |
and you have a bicycle orbiting it, | 0:49:05 | 0:49:07 | |
going around it, and the bike is the Earth. | 0:49:07 | 0:49:09 | |
As the sun expands, the rate it spins will slow down. | 0:49:11 | 0:49:15 | |
So by the time it reaches its maximum size, | 0:49:15 | 0:49:18 | |
the Earth will be going around the sun | 0:49:18 | 0:49:21 | |
much faster than the sun itself is turning, | 0:49:21 | 0:49:24 | |
which has a critical effect. | 0:49:24 | 0:49:26 | |
The rotation of both is going to be connected. | 0:49:28 | 0:49:30 | |
So imagine that you have a rope tied on the bike. | 0:49:30 | 0:49:34 | |
If the carousel rotates more slowly than the bike, | 0:49:34 | 0:49:37 | |
it will pull whatever is rotating around it. | 0:49:37 | 0:49:42 | |
And as a consequence of that, the planet will be forced to slow down. | 0:49:42 | 0:49:47 | |
So that's basically the tidal force, | 0:49:48 | 0:49:50 | |
this connection between the carousel and the bike. | 0:49:50 | 0:49:53 | |
As a result, the Earth would lose speed. | 0:49:54 | 0:49:58 | |
The planet will be moving more slowly | 0:49:58 | 0:50:01 | |
and as a consequence of that, | 0:50:01 | 0:50:03 | |
the Earth would get closer to the surface of the sun. | 0:50:03 | 0:50:06 | |
Our world would be drawn towards the sun. | 0:50:08 | 0:50:11 | |
Could the Earth be doomed after all? | 0:50:21 | 0:50:23 | |
Dr Robert Smith went back to work | 0:50:25 | 0:50:27 | |
to calculate whether the tidal force pulling the Earth in | 0:50:27 | 0:50:31 | |
could counteract the solar wind | 0:50:31 | 0:50:33 | |
reducing the sun's grip on our planet. | 0:50:33 | 0:50:35 | |
Unfortunately, we found that | 0:50:37 | 0:50:39 | |
the tidal effect was really quite important. | 0:50:39 | 0:50:42 | |
And it caused the Earth to spiral in towards the sun. | 0:50:42 | 0:50:47 | |
And the overall effect was that | 0:50:47 | 0:50:49 | |
the Earth actually was swallowed by the sun. | 0:50:49 | 0:50:52 | |
Well, that was a very disappointing result | 0:51:01 | 0:51:04 | |
because we had hoped that the Earth would still nonetheless escape, | 0:51:04 | 0:51:08 | |
but unfortunately, that's the way things are. | 0:51:08 | 0:51:11 | |
And the Earth, by that stage, wouldn't have been liveable on, | 0:51:11 | 0:51:15 | |
so perhaps it doesn't matter too much. | 0:51:15 | 0:51:18 | |
For a vision of those final days on Earth, | 0:51:24 | 0:51:27 | |
Dr Eva Villaver has come to a unique facility in Odeillo, France. | 0:51:27 | 0:51:33 | |
The world's largest solar furnace. | 0:51:33 | 0:51:36 | |
As the sun becomes a red giant, | 0:51:39 | 0:51:41 | |
we will have a red star occupying most of the sky. | 0:51:41 | 0:51:46 | |
And the energy that every single inch of the Earth | 0:51:46 | 0:51:49 | |
will receive will increase. | 0:51:49 | 0:51:51 | |
And here, this is exactly what these mirrors are doing. | 0:51:51 | 0:51:54 | |
Around 10,000 mirrors focus the sun's rays, | 0:51:56 | 0:51:59 | |
like a giant magnifying glass. | 0:51:59 | 0:52:02 | |
Which allows them to replicate the conditions the Earth will face | 0:52:03 | 0:52:07 | |
when the sun becomes a red giant. | 0:52:07 | 0:52:10 | |
Eva calculates that the radiation shining on the Earth's surface | 0:52:15 | 0:52:18 | |
will be nearly 3,000 times more intense than today. | 0:52:18 | 0:52:22 | |
So, to simulate our future, | 0:52:29 | 0:52:31 | |
the solar furnace has magnified the sun's power by 3,000 times. | 0:52:31 | 0:52:36 | |
We are focusing the light of the sun in a bin | 0:52:40 | 0:52:42 | |
and trying to see what will be the effect on a rock. | 0:52:42 | 0:52:45 | |
Because the Earth is a rock floating around the sun. | 0:52:45 | 0:52:48 | |
Wow, look at this! | 0:52:56 | 0:52:58 | |
There it goes. | 0:53:04 | 0:53:05 | |
The temperature at the surface of the Earth at that point | 0:53:11 | 0:53:14 | |
will be of the order of 1,400 degrees. | 0:53:14 | 0:53:17 | |
Enough to melt rock. | 0:53:17 | 0:53:20 | |
Enough to melt the whole surface of the Earth. | 0:53:20 | 0:53:22 | |
It's thought the planet will be covered in a vast ocean of molten lava. | 0:53:27 | 0:53:31 | |
But even after the Earth's surface has melted, | 0:53:34 | 0:53:36 | |
the heat is expected to increase further as the planet is engulfed. | 0:53:36 | 0:53:41 | |
The maximum intensity of the solar furnace | 0:53:42 | 0:53:44 | |
is 16,000 times the sun's power today. | 0:53:44 | 0:53:49 | |
Still only a fraction of what the Earth would encounter | 0:53:51 | 0:53:54 | |
inside the red giant. | 0:53:54 | 0:53:56 | |
The rock would be stripped away, | 0:53:59 | 0:54:00 | |
leaving just the planet's iron core. | 0:54:00 | 0:54:03 | |
Wow, look at this! | 0:54:12 | 0:54:14 | |
Just the sun's radiation. | 0:54:14 | 0:54:16 | |
That's iron being melted by the radiation of the sun. | 0:54:18 | 0:54:21 | |
This is how the last moments of our world would be. | 0:54:23 | 0:54:26 | |
So everything, the whole material of the Earth, | 0:54:28 | 0:54:31 | |
will melt all the way down through the core. | 0:54:31 | 0:54:33 | |
Even the iron core will melt. | 0:54:33 | 0:54:35 | |
The whole material of the Earth will be part of the material of the sun. | 0:54:35 | 0:54:39 | |
Everything will be mixed together. | 0:54:39 | 0:54:41 | |
According to the latest calculations, | 0:54:42 | 0:54:44 | |
the world will end in fire. | 0:54:44 | 0:54:47 | |
But our solar system's story is not quite over yet. | 0:54:51 | 0:54:54 | |
Because the final phase of the sun's life | 0:54:56 | 0:54:58 | |
will be the most spectacular of all. | 0:54:58 | 0:55:01 | |
-There's Seven Sisters... -It's like an upside-down owl. | 0:55:04 | 0:55:06 | |
Nick, you wanted to see the Andromeda? | 0:55:06 | 0:55:08 | |
-It's really cool. -Wow! | 0:55:08 | 0:55:11 | |
In Peoria, every Saturday night, | 0:55:11 | 0:55:13 | |
the Astronomy Society meets | 0:55:13 | 0:55:16 | |
by the Northmoor Observatory at the edge of town. | 0:55:16 | 0:55:19 | |
And between these two stars is the remnant | 0:55:20 | 0:55:23 | |
of what's going to happen to our sun. | 0:55:23 | 0:55:26 | |
So we're going to move the telescope | 0:55:27 | 0:55:29 | |
and, Brian, do you want to move the dome? | 0:55:29 | 0:55:31 | |
Tonight, Sheldon is searching for a distant, dying star. | 0:55:32 | 0:55:36 | |
The Ring Nebula. | 0:55:38 | 0:55:40 | |
OK, that's good, Brian. | 0:55:42 | 0:55:44 | |
Ha! I think it's there. | 0:55:46 | 0:55:47 | |
OK. So come on over and take a look. | 0:55:49 | 0:55:52 | |
Look through the eyepiece and you should see a lot of stars | 0:55:52 | 0:55:55 | |
and then right in the middle, do you see that little smoke ring? | 0:55:55 | 0:55:57 | |
-Yes. -It's just barely there, right? -Yeah. | 0:55:57 | 0:56:01 | |
-Wow! -So this is a star that, after the red giant stage, | 0:56:01 | 0:56:06 | |
it puffs off shells of itself. | 0:56:06 | 0:56:08 | |
It expels most of its matter into, like, bubbles of gas. | 0:56:08 | 0:56:13 | |
The planetary nebulae produced by dying stars | 0:56:14 | 0:56:17 | |
are some of the most spectacular celestial objects in the night sky. | 0:56:17 | 0:56:21 | |
When our sun dies, it, too, could make a nebula. | 0:56:23 | 0:56:26 | |
Astronomers have calculated that up to half of the sun's mass | 0:56:28 | 0:56:32 | |
would be thrown off into space as gas and dust. | 0:56:32 | 0:56:36 | |
Including much of the material that came from the Earth. | 0:56:37 | 0:56:40 | |
And then the star itself shrinks from the red giant | 0:56:43 | 0:56:46 | |
down to a white dwarf, | 0:56:46 | 0:56:47 | |
which is a star about the size of the Earth. | 0:56:47 | 0:56:50 | |
Very, very hot, but extremely tiny. | 0:56:50 | 0:56:52 | |
And, er...then the shells of gas | 0:56:52 | 0:56:55 | |
are really the only thing that's left to see. | 0:56:55 | 0:56:58 | |
The vaporised remains of half the solar system | 0:57:01 | 0:57:04 | |
would glow brilliantly for around 10,000 years. | 0:57:04 | 0:57:08 | |
Then, as it spreads into space, | 0:57:12 | 0:57:15 | |
the light would slowly fade. | 0:57:15 | 0:57:17 | |
And our solar system will end. | 0:57:20 | 0:57:23 | |
But in a sense, it's just a new beginning. | 0:57:27 | 0:57:31 | |
The materials that make up our bodies | 0:57:35 | 0:57:37 | |
may well ultimately get spat out into the cosmos | 0:57:37 | 0:57:43 | |
and be the raw materials for another generation of stars, | 0:57:43 | 0:57:47 | |
planets and maybe even life forms. | 0:57:47 | 0:57:49 | |
We're all famously made of star stuff. | 0:57:53 | 0:57:57 | |
One day, we may return to a star. | 0:57:59 | 0:58:01 | |
Our sun. | 0:58:03 | 0:58:05 | |
But then, in an extraordinary process of cosmic rebirth, | 0:58:08 | 0:58:13 | |
the sun would return our atoms to interstellar space. | 0:58:13 | 0:58:17 | |
To form new worlds... | 0:58:19 | 0:58:22 | |
..and perhaps new life. | 0:58:24 | 0:58:27 |