27/10/2011 GMT with George Alagiah


27/10/2011

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A done deal. Yuers leaders agree to a plan to fix the region's debt

:00:11.:00:16.

crisis. The markets breathe a sigh of relief for now, but when will we

:00:16.:00:26.
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Welcome to GMT. Also in the programme. Thousands of people flee

:00:35.:00:45.
:00:45.:00:46.

the Thai capital Bangkok as floodwaters don't wreak havoc. --

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continue to wreak havoc. Two of Africa's biggest music stars lead a

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campaign on the silent killer, the growing market in fake medicines.

:00:59.:01:04.

It is 12.30 here in London. 7.30am in Washington and 1.30 in Brussels

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where a sense of leaf has replaced one of anxiety that was felt 24-

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hours ago. European leaders have reached an agreement to tackle the

:01:14.:01:17.

eurozone's debt crisis. First of all, private banks holding Greek

:01:17.:01:22.

debt are to accept a loss of 50% and that would help to reduce the

:01:22.:01:25.

country jeevers A-level all debt. The eurozone's main bail out fund

:01:25.:01:31.

will be increased, to 1 trillion euro, a significant increase boost

:01:31.:01:41.

to its firepower and banks will be forced to raise more capital. Our

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correspondent Andrew Walker is following events and the fall out

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in Brussels. So they have finally done it. It was a painful

:01:51.:01:56.

experience, but the deal was done. Now, the agree was rubber-stamped

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here in Brussels but it is always worth remembering that the real

:02:00.:02:04.

muscle behind the eurozone, s its existence and any prospect of

:02:04.:02:09.

clambering its way out of this crisis is in Germany. It is the

:02:09.:02:14.

financial muscle of the German economy. That is why we report from

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Berlin. It was billed as a make or break summit. The leaders of Europe

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negotiating over who picks up bills of billions of euros. Late in the

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night, agreement on how to ease the burden on Greece, and boost the

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rescue fund. The world wanted to see we could stand the test of this

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deep economic crisis and I think that tonight we Europeans have

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shown that we have made the right decisions. I believe the result

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will be greeted with satisfaction by the world. Today I think we can

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close a chapter. I think we can now start with all our strength to

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start working on a new future for our country. In all the dams

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involved there is a feeling that the agreement has prevented a

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potential serious collapse of economies. We moved a big step

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ahead to stabilise the euro and solve the problems in Greece. Not

:03:09.:03:13.

just in the short-term, but it opened the door for threatty

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changes. These good measures, and this is our demand, must lead to

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their fixation in the Lisbon Treatys. Here at the German

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Parliament the common view is it was a triumph for America. She got

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what she wanted in her negotiations with France for example ifrplt has

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been perceived as strengthening her in German politics and in European

:03:35.:03:41.

politics. The rescue fund for the euro, the European Financial

:03:41.:03:45.

Stability Facility, will be beefed- up by complicated financial device,

:03:45.:03:49.

so it acts more like an insurance fund, but details remain to be

:03:49.:03:59.
:03:59.:04:00.

decided. We have identified two approaches for the ESFF. It aims at

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Griffing credit enhancement to bonds issued by member states, and

:04:04.:04:08.

the second approach, the fund could set up one or several special

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purpose vehicles to finance its operations. Each option could lead

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to leverage of up to four or five times. And the banks have agreed to

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write off half of what they lent to Greece, but some are conceding that

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this won't break them. The second biggest bank in Germany will lose

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750 million euros. Half the profit it made last year. Whether the

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agreement works will depend on economic growth. If recession

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returns in Europe, and North America, then the finances of all

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countries get worse. But if economies pick up, then the

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measures agreed by leaders have a fighting chance of success. And of

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course, there is this great sense of relief that a deal has been done,

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but there are plenty of uncertainties about it. Not least

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the amount of detail that still needs to be filled in. And of

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course all these eurozone leaders were determined to make their voice

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heard during these talks, but also they had to convince the

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international community, the rest of the world that they know what

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they are doing. Christian Frazer tweeted that President Sarkozy has

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spoken to the Chinese premier in the last hour. The message now I

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suppose is we need help, we need support, but we are on top of this.

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They need to send a message to financial marks to generate

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confidence there, but yes, they are also seeking financial help from

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some of the big emerging economies, the likes of China and President

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Sarkozy has been speaking, and in addition, the head of the European

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Financial Stability Facility, the bail out agency is planning to go

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to China, to try and persuade them to invest in some new fund. There

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will be more of that kind of initiative to try and beef up the

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resources that are available for putting a backstop behind

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struggling European Governments. will see how it pans out. Thank you.

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With me here is David Buik from BGC Partners. The deal is done, but of

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course, we have heard from Sally, we were looking at the business new,

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we heard from Andrew the devil is in the detail, they need to

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convince the world it will work. Absolutely. To pick up the point

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about Hu Jintao phone call from Nicolas Sarkozy. China has its own

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problems. That is pes Mick tick. they are going to step up to the

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plate they are hard bargainer, one of the things we were talking about

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in the detail is where does this 1.4 billion dollars or euros come

:06:51.:06:57.

from. How it is going to work? How much of it is insurance policy? How

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much will be segregated to sov win wealth fund, hopefully if things

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are sorted out properly they will come up to the plate and deal with

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it. This is a big ask. Sounded woundful the way President Sarkozy

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said 1.4 million dollar, I repeat dollars, because this is a global

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situation. He is dead right. But I wouldn't count too much on the

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Chinese. Don't take a job in impert naiting French Presidents in the

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future. Of course! No longer can it be seen, the eurozone can't be seen

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as France and Germany driving the economy, it is a whole area, that

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that is in trouble and it need to grow. How is the world economy

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going to be affected? It will be affected really by what the banks

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can do to help for growth, and if they are going to have to increase

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the level of dam, which will mean almost certainly selling off asset,

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their ability to lend money to deserving causes is going to be

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much more restricted. Therefore it will be very important not only as

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the European Union got to drive for growth which is incredibly

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important, u otherwise we will fall into a vortex of recession, which

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we don't want to see. More important is they have to cut the

:08:07.:08:10.

debt. People like Silvio Berlusconi of Italy who has a very difficult

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job, running the most difficult coalition Government in Italy

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imaginable. He will have to sell off five billion euros worth of

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debt every year, in probably the next ten years. It is a huge ask

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when you think if you draw a line under the Po valley all the wealth

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is above that and be loit they have serious problems ch? We talk about

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how the world looks tat eurozone economy and the impact of that.

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What about me? What about our viewers? How will it affect our

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purses our wallets? Where will we feel the pinch? Is it going to

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improve? A start has been made. That is why markets rally. Banks

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are up 9%. From a serious trash level. That is a relief rally. No

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more, no less. The rest of the companies are mean and lean and

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they will drive decent profit, to you and I, my grandchildren and my

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great-grandchildrem are going to pay for this. It will be very tough

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going in the next five to ten years. It is going to require an absolute

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global approach to balancing out the imbalances of the world's

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economy. It will need China in a big way, it will need the United

:09:23.:09:27.

States to stop taking political stances, and help deliver what can

:09:27.:09:34.

be the recovery of the world's economy. It will need it very badly.

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So December -- despite the few for owe you have been -- euphoria, you

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have been a reality check. It will have to take fantastic resolution

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from everyone. Thank you. Let us look at some of the other stories

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round the world. Thousands of people are fleeing the Thai capital

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Bangkok after the Government warped larged parts of the city could be

:10:00.:10:05.

inundated by floodwater. There is an expected flow with one front

:10:05.:10:09.

headed for central Bangkok. A five day holiday has been declared in

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the worst affected regions to allow people time to pack up and move.

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Our correspondent is following developments from the capital. I

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think it is fair to say anxiety has been rising over the past few days,

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in line with the floods. The water keeps rising and creeping deeping

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and as it does people look on nervously, those who can are in

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large numbers now heeding the authorities advice to get out of

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the city, at least for the next few days. This special holiday has been

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declared for flood after fens effected province, but that is 27

:10:44.:10:47.

including Bangkok. Those who can are trying to get out-of-town.

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There are plenty of others who are choosing to stay or have nowhere

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else they feel they can gox and they have been stock up on

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provision, so we have seen a decline in basic food stuffs like

:10:59.:11:02.

canned food, but crucially bottled water. The Government says it is

:11:02.:11:06.

trying to import more supplies but there are distribution problems as

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well as trying to source them in the first place. Severe flooding

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has hit several parts of Italy killing at least five people with

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eight more missing. Buildings and roads have been damaged and a huge

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clear up operation is under way. The worst affected areas are

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Tuscany and Liguria. A former Argentine naval intelligence

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officer known as the Blonde Angel of Death has been given a life

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sentence for torture and murder. Alfredo Astiz's victims included

:11:37.:11:42.

Human Rights activists and two French nuns. Others have being

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sentenced. Israel has agreed to another prisoner exchange, this

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time with Egypt. It is swapping 25 Egyptian prisoners for Israeli-

:11:50.:11:55.

American grap, he was arrested in June accused of spying. The deal

:11:55.:11:57.

comes days after houference Palestinian prisoners were

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exchanged for Gilad Shalit. The death toll from major earthquake

:12:02.:12:07.

that hit eastern Turkey on Sunday has climbed to 534. Rescuers

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continue to search through the rubble though hope is fading of

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finding many more alive. Many survives have complained about the

:12:14.:12:21.

slow distribution of aid. Queen Elizabeth is continuing her tour of

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Australia, she landed in Perth to continue her ten day tour of the

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country, there she visited a cookery class at a Aboriginal high

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school where kangaroo stew was on the menu. It included a display of

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dancing, before Her Majesty was presented with an Australian rules

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football. The Queen will depart for London on Saturday after hoping the

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Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting. On the agenda of that

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meeting is the question of succession in the Royal Family. We

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will hear from Canada and Jamaica in a moment but first Nicholas

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Changes to both the British monarchy and the Commonwealth

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itself will be discussed at the meeting. Leaders of the 16

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countries which have the British monarch as head of state will

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consider a proposal from the British government that in future

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the eldest child of the heir to the throne should succeed to the throne,

:13:20.:13:24.

irrespective of whether they are male or female. Gender equality in

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the line of succession, a fundamental change in prospect.

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Then the leaders of all 53 countries will consider

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recommendations for what is known as the eminent Persons Group to try

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to make the Commonwealth more relevant. They are suggesting a

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commissioner for human rights and good governance, more power to the

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Commonwealth Secretary General and a Commonwealth charter. This does

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have the potential for disagreement, not least because one of the

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recommendations is that homosexuality should be legalised

:13:53.:13:58.

throughout the Commonwealth. When you consider that in around 40 of

:13:58.:14:02.

the 53 Commonwealth countries, sexuality is at the moment illegal,

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you see the potential for disagreement. Here in Canada, prime

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minister Stephen Harper says he supports what he recalled -- calls

:14:13.:14:16.

reasonable modernisation when it comes to the Commonwealth

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succession laws but says it is not a priority for Canadians and does

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not want to open up the debate in Parliament. In fact he says he has

:14:23.:14:27.

to concentrate on creating jobs and the economy. The royal family in

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Canada is very popular and this was evident in the summer when the Duke

:14:31.:14:34.

and Duchess of Cambridge came here and celebrated after their wedding

:14:34.:14:38.

and drew huge crowds in a media frenzy. Let's hear what other

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Canadians have to say about the possible change. I think it is a

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positive change. And I think it is something that would help keep the

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institution relevant, because otherwise they are alienating a

:14:54.:14:58.

huge group of people, young women. I think it is a potential change

:14:58.:15:02.

that should have been done a long time ago. I think that is just a

:15:02.:15:07.

sign of the Times that we are maybe growing a little bit more instead

:15:07.:15:12.

of being Neanderthal men. I don't think Canadians care one way or

:15:12.:15:17.

another, whether it is a male or female successor. Most people see

:15:17.:15:22.

their role as a figurehead role. For for many people in Jamaica they

:15:22.:15:28.

do not care about the Commonwealth they mean nothing. The idea that a

:15:28.:15:32.

woman should not be a monarch even if she is born first or has a

:15:32.:15:38.

brother later seems ridiculous. In this country some 45 % of

:15:38.:15:43.

households have a female at the head. The reigning king or queen

:15:43.:15:48.

doesn't make a difference to me or any way. It wouldn't make a

:15:48.:15:52.

difference in society, male or female, anyway. I think Jamaicans

:15:52.:15:57.

are more immersed in their own social and economic problems to be

:15:57.:16:04.

looking at the monarchy as any sort of panacea for their current ills.

:16:04.:16:08.

What bothers many Jamaicans here about the Commonwealth heads of

:16:08.:16:11.

government meeting is the fact that there is going to be a motion put

:16:11.:16:19.

forward that homosexuality's banner here the reverse. In this Christian

:16:19.:16:23.

country people do not want see things changed. Groups fighting for

:16:23.:16:26.

gay rights see things have to move forward, but for Jamaican see if

:16:26.:16:36.
:16:36.:16:39.

they want things to stay as they are. Still to come: we have a big

:16:39.:16:43.

problem. It is time for you to kick bad habits about medicine as deadly

:16:43.:16:50.

weapons. A powerful warning about the deadly threat of fake medicines.

:16:50.:17:00.
:17:00.:17:02.

We will be live in Nairobi to learn Time for the business news, and

:17:02.:17:05.

there is some euphoria in the market. The Yes, the markets have

:17:05.:17:09.

reacted favourably to the Eurozone deal. Investors now feel something

:17:09.:17:13.

definite has been done. However, as the day goes on there will be lots

:17:14.:17:17.

of questions. They want to recapitalise the banks, meaning

:17:17.:17:21.

they have to hold more money. If the banks have to hold more money,

:17:21.:17:25.

where will they get it from a what does that mean for us? Will the

:17:25.:17:28.

banks be able to lead the same amount of money they have been able

:17:28.:17:32.

to? And the bail-out fund as well, where again is the money coming

:17:32.:17:37.

from to strengthen that? Some say that although the markets are

:17:37.:17:45.

acting favourably at the moment, reality will probably soon sink in.

:17:45.:17:49.

The markets we have seen today with spreads tightening and the equity

:17:49.:17:53.

rebounding, that is likely to be a short-lived phenomenon. Once the

:17:53.:17:58.

questions are not answered, the uncertainty will come back in the

:17:58.:18:03.

financial markets. OK, a reality check. I suppose the deal marks the

:18:03.:18:07.

start of a very long process. have been talking about a marathon

:18:07.:18:11.

not a sprint. It has taken 14 summits to get here, so you can

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imagine how much more we will have in terms of talking and thrashing

:18:15.:18:19.

out the deal. But everybody is pleased that there is something

:18:19.:18:22.

definite in place, and also what is more pleasing to a lot of people is

:18:22.:18:27.

that there is a definite road map. We have got other milestones in the

:18:27.:18:31.

diary. Nick Fothergill is from the Royal Bank of Canada and he says at

:18:31.:18:38.

least there is a definite timeline that people can relate to. We have

:18:38.:18:42.

the G20 summit and then the euro- zone finance meeting, the ESF

:18:42.:18:46.

framework by November and even dear old Italy has got to come up with

:18:46.:18:49.

its first reaction to the pram by mid-November. European heads of

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state, eight on 9th December, then finally you have the signing of the

:18:56.:19:00.

treaty at the end of December. Nick Fothergill there. For months,

:19:00.:19:04.

we have been talking about this and we have been waiting throughout the

:19:04.:19:08.

14 summits, and the markets are doing well. It is an interesting

:19:08.:19:13.

point, because usually we have just seen changes are 0.5 %, but

:19:13.:19:17.

different today. It is very much a euphoric rally and a sigh of relief

:19:17.:19:21.

in some ways. Looking at the markets you will see the FT-SE 100

:19:21.:19:27.

is up 2.6 %, but looking at the bottom, the Italian stock exchange,

:19:27.:19:32.

up 777 points. Italy is a crucial point of the deal going forward. It

:19:32.:19:37.

has to, with its own austerity measures, but at the moments the

:19:37.:19:42.

market's reacting favourably and a sigh of relief that something that

:19:42.:19:45.

looks like a proper road map going forward. But as we keep saying, the

:19:46.:19:51.

devil is in the detail. D Taylor is the crucial word and also, at the

:19:51.:20:01.
:20:01.:20:07.

Mona -- detail is the crucial word. I'm Naga Munchetty.

:20:07.:20:12.

The headlines: European stock markets have risen after European

:20:12.:20:16.

leaders worked late into the night to agree a plan to cut the Greek

:20:16.:20:24.

debt mountain and deal with the wider financial crisis.

:20:24.:20:27.

Residents of the Thai capital, Bangkok have been warned that parts

:20:27.:20:34.

of the city could be under water Members of South Africa's main

:20:34.:20:36.

opposition party, the Democratic Alliance, have elected a new leader

:20:36.:20:41.

for their party in parliament. They've chosen, Lindiwe Mazibuko,

:20:41.:20:44.

who becomes the first black leader of the official opposition, in the

:20:44.:20:47.

National Assembly. The vote's being seen as a big test for the

:20:47.:20:50.

Democratic Alliance as it tries to throw off its white image. Our

:20:50.:21:00.
:21:00.:21:02.

Southern Africa Correspondent Karen The annual opening of Parliament is

:21:02.:21:07.

a colourful affair in every sense of the word. The ANC, South

:21:07.:21:11.

Africa's Party of Liberation, in government for the past 17 years,

:21:11.:21:15.

yet the opposition, historically supported by white voters, has just

:21:15.:21:21.

elected its first black leader of the National Assembly. This

:21:21.:21:24.

election is not a referendum on whether there is a place for black

:21:24.:21:34.

South Africans. Lindiwe Mazibuko. She is the face of the new

:21:34.:21:37.

Democratic Alliance. We have to crucially capture the disaffection

:21:37.:21:42.

people are feeling with the ANC at the moment. She was pitted against

:21:42.:21:46.

this man, a well-respected heavy weight. The Prix are going to be a

:21:46.:21:49.

party for all South Africans they must be a place for me and others.

:21:49.:21:55.

Although this is a contest in the main other parliament, it is also

:21:55.:22:00.

seen as a campaigning tool to woo black voters to a party still

:22:00.:22:06.

criticised for being far too wide. -- white. But look how things are

:22:06.:22:16.

Didier is trying to gain a foothold in the South African black

:22:16.:22:21.

provinces. -- the DEA. Scenes like this in Soweto would have been

:22:21.:22:27.

unthinkable years back, and critics say promoting the lady appeared to

:22:27.:22:29.

be window-dressing, but she does appear to have support at the top.

:22:29.:22:37.

The ANC Youth League has demeaned her as simply a servant. She is a

:22:37.:22:42.

puppet and per role must remain in the kitchen for making the tea.

:22:42.:22:46.

ugly racial reference to the bust. But some predict a strong black

:22:46.:22:50.

figure leading the opposition would help erode the ruling party's

:22:50.:22:55.

traditional power base. -- and ugly racial reference to the past.

:22:55.:22:59.

Staying with Africa now. Two of its biggest music stars, South Africa's

:22:59.:23:01.

Yvonne Chaka Chaka and Senegal's Youssou N'Dour, have put their

:23:01.:23:04.

names and voices to a campaign to combat a silent killer -

:23:04.:23:07.

counterfeit medicines. It's been estimated that in Africa, as well

:23:07.:23:10.

as some parts of Asia and Latin America, more than 30% of medicines

:23:10.:23:13.

on sale are fake. The World Health Organisation says these counterfeit

:23:14.:23:19.

have harmful effects and can be deadly. The range of fake drugs on

:23:19.:23:21.

the global market spans across all manner of medicines including

:23:21.:23:28.

antibiotics, steroids, anti- depression and anti-cancer pills.

:23:28.:23:31.

In the largest operation of its kind this year, an Interpol-

:23:31.:23:35.

supported task force seized drugs worth $6.3 million. They also shut

:23:35.:23:41.

down almost 13,500 websites that were engaged in illegal activity.

:23:41.:23:44.

Before we talk to Yvonne Chaka Chaka, let's have a look at the

:23:44.:23:54.
:23:54.:24:15.

music video to the new song, which Proud, proud to be... Yvonne Chaka

:24:15.:24:18.

Chaka is launching the song tonight in Nairobi. She joins me live from

:24:18.:24:24.

our studio there. I would get the details of how you recorded the

:24:24.:24:27.

song and what was involved, but what inspired you to take up the

:24:27.:24:36.

cause? Thank you for having me. We are here in Nairobi today as a

:24:36.:24:41.

goodwill ambassador, which prompted me to do this, because we cannot be

:24:41.:24:46.

shouting and telling President to make sure that we want political

:24:46.:24:51.

will, and we cannot have women walking 40 kilometres to go and get

:24:51.:24:57.

medication whereas on the other side people are making sure that

:24:57.:25:05.

these counterfeit drugs... What a shame. Yvonne, can you hear me?

:25:05.:25:11.

Perhaps we can hear you rather than see you? How unfortunate. I do

:25:11.:25:16.

apologise for the loss of vision there. There has been a launch of a

:25:16.:25:24.

music video and a song called Proud to Be. The idea was to create this

:25:24.:25:29.

song to help highlight the issue of fake medicines on the market which

:25:29.:25:33.

are killing many, many people. If we can get her back, we will, but

:25:33.:25:36.

in the meantime we will will look at the fact that population growth

:25:36.:25:40.

is affecting us all, because in less than a week the Earth will be

:25:40.:25:44.

home to 7 billion people officially. We are running a series of special

:25:44.:25:48.

reports on population growth around the globe. Our China Correspondent

:25:48.:25:54.

finds out how mobile job-hunting is helping migrant workers.

:25:54.:25:59.

The booming city of changing it was where China's economic thrust first

:25:59.:26:05.

began. For over 30 years it has been a magnet for migrants in

:26:05.:26:09.

search of factory jobs. But now it is attracting a new breed of

:26:09.:26:15.

Chinese worker. I am a born entrepreneur. My father used to be

:26:15.:26:19.

an air force pilot. What I learned from him was to take calculated

:26:19.:26:23.

risks and then I started my business. Five years ago this man

:26:23.:26:28.

sold his house to finance a start- up. It began with just by people.

:26:28.:26:33.

But now the software firm has over two were hundred employees. He has

:26:33.:26:37.

designed an application that connects workers with factories. He

:26:37.:26:43.

was successful because the application was tailored to the

:26:43.:26:50.

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