31/10/2011 GMT with George Alagiah


31/10/2011

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It is getting crowded out here. From today, we are sharing the

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earth with 7 billion others. The global population has doubled in

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just 50 years. We will hear how some countries want to get even

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Welcome to GMT. Also coming up - the last few hours of the NATO

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mission in Libya. The allies say it is a major success, but at what

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cost? And a night to chill the soul, as an unseasonal snowstorm hits the

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north-east of the United States. It is lunchtime in London, 8:30am in

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New York. Today is the daily chosen by the United Nations to mark the

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arrival of the 7 billionth occupant on the earth. What matters about

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today is the impact of the soaring population on the planet. We will

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be live in Africa to talk about it in a moment. First, this report

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from our correspondent. It is more about symbols than exact science,

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when it comes to global population. The UN has declared that in each

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country, one baby born on 31st October becomes the 7 billionth

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person. There are mini Tanni candidates. The Philippines'

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contribution is this baby. Blissfully unaware of her celebrity

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status. Born into a crowded public hospital in Manila, she was greeted

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with a chocolate cake and speeches. Family planning is a controversial

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issue in this Catholic country, and her mother has decided to defy

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Church teaching and practise birth control. This little boy is that

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chosen one in Russia. But a quarrel is brewing. In the Far East of the

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country, local politicians have declared another candidate as the

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first to be born on this day. Russia has a shrinking population.

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But India has the opposite problem. It has been projected that in 2025,

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its population will overtake China's. There is also a sex ratio

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problem, because of a cultural preference for boys. So in one

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region, they said they would be nominating seven girls. In 20

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years' time, there will be far less girls than boys at a marriage age.

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That means that girls will be brought in from different states.

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They will be brought in from a different society, and they will be

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less empowered to deal on equal terms with their husband. China is

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also dogged by a shortage of girls. But the government there believes

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its draconian family planning policy has paid dividends. Its

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problem now is not enough young Chinese to support a huge elderly

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population. So, 7 billion and counting. And for many, the key

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question is, how to manage the earth's scarce resources so that

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babies born now have a bright future. Much of the world

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population growth is coming from Africa. In Zambia, half the

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population is aged under 16. Nigeria, already the largest

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country on the continent, is also seeing the demographic boom. Our

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correspondent joins us from Lagos, a city of 15 million and still

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growing. Yes, welcome to what has been called the baby factory by its

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director. This is a maternity hospital in Lagos, the post-natal

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ward, with about 50 women here, who have given birth in the past few

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days. There is an extraordinary atmosphere here, as some of the

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Dad's turn up, nappies are being changed, milk is being fed. There

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is lots of breast feeding going on as well. One of the women worthy of

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much congratulations is this one with me now. How are you and your

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little one doing? Fine, thanks. He is a nice boy. I gave birth on

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Tuesday, it is nearly a week now. He seems fine. Is he your first

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one? Yes, and I would like to have two more. Just two more, that's

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quite small by Nigerian standards. Before, about five years ago...

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sorry, we seem to have lost our correspondent there. Problems with

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the satellite. We can bring you some breaking news coming in from

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Paris. Unesco, the United Nations cultural organisation, has voted in

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favour of giving the Palestinians full membership. 107 votes against

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14, with 15 abstentions. The United States and Israel were firmly

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opposed. It is going to cost Unesco dear, because having approved this,

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they will lose their funding from the US, which amounts to some 22%.

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It is not clear who will step in to meet that. They needed the backing

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of to thirds of the 193 members, but this is another step, really,

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towards the aspiration of full statehood. That news just in.

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Unesco, the world heritage organisation, making that decision.

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Some of the other headlines. The Australian airline Qantas has

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resumed flights following the industrial dispute. The company

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says services will be back to normal by Tuesday. An independent

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tribunal forced the airline and the unions to negotiate. A suicide

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bomber has killed five people in a United Nations building in Kandahar

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in the southern Afghanistan. The Taliban has claim responsibility.

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Floodwaters are still wreaking havoc across much of Thailand,

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swamping suburbs. Much of the capital appears to have escaped the

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worst of the floods. There is worry about disease in the outer suburbs.

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NATO is officially ending its seven-month long mission in Libya.

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The operation began in March, one month after the uprising against

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Colonel Gaddafi started. NATO has been asked to keep a presence in

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the country, and discussions are ongoing. Let's go to Tripoli, to

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speak to our correspondent. Mustafa Abdul Jalil, the head of the NTC,

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asked NATO to stay until the end of the year, so are they disappointed

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about this move? I apologise, the line is not very good, but as far

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as the NTC is concerned, the war against Colonel Gaddafi is over.

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But they definitely want NATO to stay. The Secretary-General of NATO,

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Anders Fogh Rasmussen, is here now. He will be speaking with the

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leaders of the Transitional Council. And he will be talking to them

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about what kind of a role NATO member states can play as Libya

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builds its new future, whether that is securing the borders,

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decommissioning of weapons, or, most importantly, according to the

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defence ministry here, building a national military. On the ground at

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least, the war against Colonel Gaddafi's forces was fought by

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individual militias, nominally loyal to the Transitional Council,

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but there are quite fond of their weapons and their new-found power,

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and it will be difficult to draw Let's go to our central London

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studio, to speak to a Conservative MP, who opposed Britain joining the

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NATO mission in Libya. Anders Fogh Rasmussen says this was one of the

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most successful NATO missions yet - do you accept you called this one

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wrong? Not at all. None of us that doubted that NATO would prevail at

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the end of the day. It was essentially an uneven battle

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against a tinpot dictator. But victory in itself does not justify

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intervention. War Nige to be a measure of last resort, and this is

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why I opposed our interventions in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya.

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were calling for a diplomatic negotiation, but Colonel Gaddafi

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never had any intention of leaving, did he? We must remember here that

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there were alternatives to war before we committed our NATO forces.

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For example, Egypt had a vastly superior air force, was calling for

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un no-fly zone, was in a better position to put it in, and was

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ideally located. We should have explored these options first.

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Intervention should always be a lost resort once we have explored

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all other options, and that includes diplomacy. What about the

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moral high ground in this? Had NATO not intervened, Benghazi could have

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been the scene of a massacre. not know that for sure. I spend

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quite a lot of time there, and when you see the number of tanks and

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artillery which were destroyed by NATO, you realise that Colonel

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Gaddafi was within a few miles of the city. Don't forget, Gaddafi was

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having trouble taking the much smaller town of Misrata in the West.

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But also, Egypt had a vastly superior air force to Libya, it

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could have put in a no-fly zone overnight. I think NATO getting

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involved stretched the UN mandate, and basically, the objective was

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regime change. It was in my view the longest assassination attempt

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in history. If we talk about the humanitarian reasons for

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intervention, we must not forget, why have we not intervened in

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Bahrain, in Yemen? These are locations where tinpot dictators

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are putting down their own people, smaller countries. Answer that

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question, is it just because Gaddafi had no friends? There is an

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element of that, but there has to be some consistency with regard to

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our foreign policy interventions. France's initial reaction to the

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Tunisian uprising was to put the revolt down. I suspect this was

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less to do with humanitarian reasons and more to do with regime

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change, as we saw with the bombing of Gaddafi's homes, and stretching

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the UN mandate to breaking point by With Libya's transition taking

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place, Syria is also feeling the heat. The Arab League is waiting

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for a response from President Assad to its proposals for ending the

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bloodshed. President Assad, in a newspaper interview yesterday,

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warned of another Afghanistan, if foreign forces intervened in Syria,

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as they had in Libya. Our correspondent has been watching

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events from neighbouring Lebanon. Apocalyptic language from President

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Assad yesterday, and really, encapsulating what a lot of the

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region feels about the dilemma, when it comes to dealing with

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That's right. Syria is not a simple knock on the affair from Libya,

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Egypt, Tunisia and so on. The conditions in each of these

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countries are different. But Syria is certainly more complicated than

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any other. It has a very complex internal, sectarian situation and

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an interface with Israel so the whole Arab Israeli conflict comes

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into play with Syria's long history of opposition to Israel. There are

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a lot of consideration Sir that didn't hold true for the countries

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in North Africa, which were in a sense more homogenised and easier

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to deal with. President Asad was saying what everyone knows, that

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there are fault-lines that come together, ethnic and others, which

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means what happens there has a big effect on the region, both in the

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immediate vicinity in countries like Lebanon, Iraq, with sectarian

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issues, and in the wider region, politically. It is a complex case,

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but the bloodshed goes on and on and there are fears that that kind

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of fragmentation could happen anyway unless there is a resolution

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in sight, which is why the outside world is starting to scratch its

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head a bit and think, maybe we should be doing something about

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Syria. There was defiance in the tone of the interview yesterday. He

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said he had interviews -- introduced reforms, and

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pragmatically speaking, does he have the support of the key cities

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in Syria? Damascus and Aleppo are yet to come out and join the

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uprising, which means there are significant social classes,

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especially the Sunni Muslim middle- classes, the middle-class, the

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minorities, like that Christians who are largely with the regime

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because they fear the consequences of regime change. What he is trying

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to do for sale, at least, is a reform process. It took a little

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step forward with the first meeting and it has for months to complete

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its job. From the point of view of the opposition, that is not fast

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enough and they don't take it seriously because the reforms and

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changes they have seek makes no difference on the ground, and the

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bloodshed goes on, the torture, all very well documented and it still

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goes on. So there is a disconnection between the two

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narratives. Jim, thank you very much. In the last few minutes the

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UN group Unesco has planted Palestinians full membership --

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grunted. A small step from a body which protects world heritage site,

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but a significant one in the wider ambitions of Palestine to the

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estate. We can speak to John Dovaston. It would have been a

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surprise had they not done this, but they must be very pleased.

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are very pleased. I have been watching the Palestinian delegation

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celebrating in the hall in Paris and it was an overwhelming victory.

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107 countries voted in favour of Palestinian membership with only 14

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against with 49 abstentions. You are right. This membership of

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Unesco will not give the Palestinians the state they want,

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but they see it as a step, if you like, towards gaining international

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recognition and putting pressure on Israel. I have just lost the sound

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to you, I think, but this was a victory despite huge pressure from

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the United States, Israel and the European Union for the Palestinians

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not to go ahead. The US, for example will probably cut of all

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funding to Unesco under a law that was approved in the 90s that no UN

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body will get funding if Palestine is a full member state. The United

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States give 70 million US dollars a year to Unesco, 20 % of the Budget,

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and despite the threat the membership went ahead and approved

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the membership. We will leave it there if we have lost sound with

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you. You're watching GMT. As the snow falls over Occupy wall Street

:17:35.:17:38.

protesters, we speak to a hedge fund manager who wonders if the

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rift between demonstrators and the companies can ever be bridged.

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Let's see if we can bridge any gaps here. Where shall we start with?

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Qantas? Great news for the 70,000 passengers to have been stranded

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since Saturday since the airline suspended all operations. It is

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back in the sky, and the reason is the Australian independent tribunal

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ordered a permanent end to the industrial strike action which has

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rocked the airline. It is important to explain the background. There is

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expansion in Asia and our sorting, so the unions have been up in arms.

:18:19.:18:24.

Ever since then the reason that the see of Qantas order the suspension

:18:24.:18:27.

was he wanted a permanent end to the strikes, which is what he got

:18:27.:18:32.

that the broader picture is that the Western legacy have to shake-up

:18:32.:18:39.

the business model because they are struggling to compete. It is 20 %

:18:39.:18:43.

more expensive to run than other airlines. Yes, and the reason is?

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Let me see means like pensions, proper working practices and costs

:18:48.:18:50.

which means they have to get them under control which is part of the

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process. He summed up very well. are hearing by when estate

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operations should be back to normal. OK. ECB, Super Mario, why Super

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Mario? He is Italian, and we will get a bat, but he is highly

:19:10.:19:13.

regarded for what he has done in turning round the Italian central

:19:13.:19:18.

bank. Jean-Claude Trichet, it is his last day today and he has held

:19:18.:19:21.

the reins for eight years and the focus is his legacy. It's

:19:21.:19:26.

interesting because the first half of his reign where we saw euro-zone

:19:26.:19:30.

growth and moderate inflation and on top of that the financial system

:19:30.:19:35.

in the Eurozone was stable. It is likely to be overshadowed by the

:19:35.:19:38.

sovereign debt crisis, but all eyes on Super Mario. The biggest problem

:19:38.:19:46.

he may have at the moment is that he is Italian. He has to be

:19:46.:19:52.

regarded as an Italian central banker who likes easy money and low

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interest rates that he is in fact a very conservative central banker

:19:58.:20:06.

and he is going to try and avoid being regarded as a dark -- as a

:20:06.:20:10.

dark, so he might be more conservative. He may be more

:20:10.:20:14.

conservative, but all eyes will be on whether he can continue on the

:20:14.:20:18.

same path as the ECB is following. He is not very keen on buying all

:20:18.:20:22.

of these bonds. The was described as a very German Italian. He might

:20:22.:20:27.

have to be too. A quick look at the markets, I don't know if we have

:20:27.:20:35.

got them. It is more bank and lest ways. The markets are down and it

:20:35.:20:40.

is retreating. We want to hear what you think, so do get in touch with

:20:40.:20:45.

us at GMT. The best way to do that is to go to our website -

:20:45.:20:55.
:20:55.:20:58.

This is GMT from BBC World News. I'm Tim Willcox. The headlines: The

:20:58.:21:00.

world's population hits the landmark figure of seven billion.

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The UN says it has doubled in the last 50 years and it will carry on

:21:04.:21:10.

climbing. NATO is officially ending its seven-month long mission in

:21:10.:21:13.

Libya - the new transitional authorities have asked it to keep a

:21:13.:21:19.

More than three million homes are without power in the United States

:21:19.:21:22.

after an unseasonal snowstorm blanketed the country's north east.

:21:22.:21:26.

At least nine people have died in snow-related accidents. From

:21:26.:21:35.

Washington, Zoe Conway reports. It is being called shock October,

:21:35.:21:38.

freakish no raining down on 60 million Americans. Could it be that

:21:39.:21:42.

Mother Nature has been playing a spectacular Hallowe'en trick? She

:21:42.:21:49.

has certainly broken records. Only four times in the past 135 years

:21:49.:21:53.

has New York's Central Park seen snow this early. I hate it, hate it,

:21:53.:21:58.

hated. I cannot express how much I hate it. This weather is just

:21:58.:22:03.

blowing us away. We are shocked. Misery has been felt across the

:22:03.:22:07.

country as downed power lines knocked out 3 million people

:22:07.:22:09.

electricity. For many residents it could be days before the power

:22:09.:22:16.

comes back. Nine people died in the storm as roads became treacherous.

:22:16.:22:20.

More than 1,000 flights were cancelled and some passengers were

:22:20.:22:24.

trapped on grounded planes for hours. In their autumnal glory, the

:22:24.:22:27.

White House trees were proved that the President hadn't got the date

:22:27.:22:36.

wrong. It is not ideal. Are you doing all right? And the first

:22:36.:22:40.

family were still needed to preside over trick or treating. Good to see

:22:40.:22:45.

you. Well the weather did not prevent him from doing his job, for

:22:45.:22:49.

many Americans it will take time for their lives to return to normal,

:22:49.:22:57.

The snow in New York was a taste of what's to come for the Occupy Wall

:22:57.:23:01.

Street demonstrators camping out in lower Manhattan. The movement

:23:01.:23:03.

against corporate influence in government which began six weeks

:23:03.:23:07.

ago has spread to many cities in the US and around the world, but

:23:07.:23:10.

not without controversy. Over the weekend, police took action against

:23:10.:23:13.

a number of Occupy protests in Virginia, Texas, Oregon and

:23:13.:23:17.

Colorado. On today's GMT, we explore the view from the other

:23:17.:23:24.

angle, the view from Wall Street. We can speak now to James Altucher.

:23:24.:23:32.

He is New York Managing Director of Formula Capital. Many of you guys

:23:32.:23:36.

dismiss the protesters as an incoherent jumble of groups, but

:23:36.:23:41.

you ignore them at their peril, don't you? I don't think so. You

:23:41.:23:46.

said yourself, they are protesting against corporate influence in

:23:46.:23:50.

government, so why isn't there and occupy Washington DC? We always

:23:50.:23:56.

hear about this one, but the people working on Wall Street on normally

:23:56.:24:00.

low level back office administrators and officials of the

:24:00.:24:03.

different banks. They have lost their homes and lost their savings

:24:03.:24:06.

and pensions and now they have to deal with all of these protesters

:24:06.:24:12.

yelling in their faces when they are not guilty. Where is Occupied

:24:12.:24:16.

Washington DC? When you say you people, we are not sure what you

:24:16.:24:21.

mean. I used to live on Wall Street but I don't work on Wall Street.

:24:21.:24:25.

think a lot of the anger is that some of the people in the financial

:24:25.:24:28.

industry are getting richer where is the the rest of this life is

:24:28.:24:34.

getting much tighter. When you say the rest of us, a lot of people

:24:34.:24:38.

want jobs and they don't want their homes foreclose on. They want to

:24:38.:24:44.

have a chance at success and the so-called American dream. Again,

:24:44.:24:48.

who initiated the bail-out? To improve double the compensation? It

:24:48.:24:54.

is not the low level workers -- work is on Wall Street it is the

:24:54.:24:57.

chief executives on Park Avenue or in Connecticut, it is the

:24:57.:25:02.

government in Washington. I think the anger, I understand that, and

:25:02.:25:07.

we are all angry, but let's get to the root of the problem if we want

:25:07.:25:11.

to have changed, and it is not sitting on Wall Street, it is

:25:11.:25:16.

sitting in Washington DC where many of the policies were initiated.

:25:16.:25:19.

Does Wall Street share any of the blame when you look for example at

:25:19.:25:23.

the hedge funds, the derivatives markets, the slicing up a debt,

:25:23.:25:29.

money being made each time that is done. Of course, but all of those

:25:29.:25:32.

see he does have quit or been fired or throw out and had their golden

:25:32.:25:39.

parachutes. All of them? Leman brothers, a lot of the big guys who

:25:39.:25:46.

were there are now gone. Lehmann Brothers is demolished. Meryl Lynch

:25:46.:25:50.

got absorb into Bank of America, which is based in North Carolina,

:25:50.:25:54.

so I think at some point you have to say he will be protesting

:25:54.:26:00.

against? Why I'll be sitting here in a park next to Wall Street when

:26:00.:26:03.

the corporations are maybe thousands of miles away or even

:26:03.:26:07.

just five miles away. What are we protesting about and what do we

:26:07.:26:10.

want? Right now I have heard everything from the banks not

:26:10.:26:15.

lending to health care, and of course a lot of scapegoating and

:26:15.:26:20.

accusations of anti-Semitism coming out of Occupied Wall Street. Who

:26:20.:26:24.

are they protesting against and why the location they are in? I have

:26:24.:26:28.

not heard a reasonable argument. Many of the corporates are still in

:26:28.:26:32.

Washington DC. It is a new phenomenon, so that is what makes

:26:32.:26:35.

it difficult for us to get our heads around, this is spreading

:26:35.:26:39.

almost like the internet. There is a wide range of complaints but they

:26:39.:26:46.

have to focus themselves somewhere. I agree, but look at the last time

:26:46.:26:50.

there were massive demonstrations across the US. 1968, when we were

:26:50.:26:54.

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