Debate Preview Scotland Decides


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Welcome to historic Kelvingrove Art Gallery and Museum `

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Is one of Scotland's big tourist attractions it pulls in something

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like a million visitors a year. Here in the West End of Glasgow, a

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magnificent sound so don't `` Nickerson sandstone construction. A

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few hundred in fighting guests will listen to the big debate. Alex

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Salmond has 90 minutes to persuade the people of Scotland, the voters

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of Scotland off his vision of an independent Scotland. Alistair

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Darling has 90 minutes to persuade voters that we are better together

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within the United Kingdom. The debate begins at 8:30pm. Let's go

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inside Kelvingrove Museum now to the media room and Lorna Gordon, who

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will set the scene for us. The great and the good of Scottish media are

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assembling here in the media room, sometimes called the spin room, and

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will watch that debate closely. Some may declare afterwards who they

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think is one. With me as Andy Nichol, the Scottish political

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editor of the Sun. What type of wings to your readers want to hit

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tonight? We have a diverse range of readers. The most important reader

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is Mrs Nichol and last she said to me she was fact that Alex Salmond

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went off on a weird tangent, he didn't seem to be taking it

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seriously. He has to be warm on this occasion. Her view was that Alex

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Salmond 's didn't have too bad night but we should have expected more

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from him. Your paper was neutral after the debate. It said stalemate

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but Scotland number wise. Scotland was not the wiser. The polls seem to

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support the decision that we took. The undecided on both sides that

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people have to reach out to have been shaken but not stirred. Things

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have slightly moved towards the yes campaign. The problem is that the

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group of undecideds is getting smaller. The Sunday Herald has

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declared in favour of the yes vote, will your paper come out in favour

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any point? That is a decision above my pay grade. That debate gets

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underway in just under an hour 's time. Lots of activity on social

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media. A couple of tweets here. You can watch this debate on

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television, watch it online and take part using the hashtag on social

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media. Lorna, thanks to now. We will be join you in the media room or as

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the media are calling it the spin room. Polling so far has been fairly

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constant. We've been looking at the what Scotland thinks poll which

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suggests that the yes vote is about 43%, and the no vote is about 57%

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but that is if you exclude the people who don't know and tonight is

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about the people who don't know. When you talk to yes campaigners in

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particular, they say when they knock on doors they ask somebody from 1`10

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how strongly I you in favour of Scottish independence? If people say

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nine or ten like the lady dancing around behind me, they don't bother

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knocking on the door again. If they say one or two they are not that

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interested. If they say four, five or six we are in the middle. We are

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not quite sure. Those are the people who they are trying to appeal to

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delight, as Alex Salmond and Alistair Darling. To talk me through

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some of the finer points of what is going on I am joined by two leading

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Scottish commentators, Ruth Wishart, who is firmly of the yes

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camp I believe and Alex Massie, who has been making the case for better

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together, that the United Kingdom is better together, more or less.

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LAUGHTER Ball less, yes. With some

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reservations. We will come to their in a moment dash more or less. Let

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your mind ourselves of who the two participants in this debate really

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are. If he leads the yes campaign to Victor Riu it will be the pinnacle

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of Alex Salmond's political career and the fulfilment of a light on

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dash of a lifelong ambition. Even if they remain together, he will become

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one of the most influence of figures in Scottish politics over the last

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hundred years. Born in Linlithgow in 1954 he studied economics and

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medieval history at St Andrews University. He became involved in

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student politics there, joining the Scottish National party at a time

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when it was a minority party largely of fringe politics and protest

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votes. He worked for Scotland's Department of agriculture and

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fisheries and then became an oil economist at The Royal Bank of

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Scotland, although politically he was always of the left, a socialist

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and a Republican. In 1987 he became Westminster MP for Banff and Buchan,

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and leader of the SMP in 1990. After considerable internal wrangling is,

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he stood down as leader in 2007, leading the SMP where group at

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Westminster and called for Tony Blair to impeached for the Iraq war.

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Married with no children he is known as a horse racing pundit, a

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supporter of hearts, a very hard`working and shrewd campaigner,

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and a man who could become the very first ever Prime Minister of a fully

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independent Scotland. Alistair Darling is one of those politicians

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highly regarded by political friends and opponents, yet often

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underestimated in the media. He would readily concede he is more of

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a workhorse than a show horse, though the last debate with Alex

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Salmond showed a nose for the jugular. You cannot tell us which

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currency we will have! School in Musselburgh on the outskirts of

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Edinburgh, then University in Aberdeen with a spell as

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career as a lawyer while also becoming a local councillor where he

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led a campaign to defy Margaret Thatcher's rate`capping was. He was

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selected as an MP for Labour constituency, unseating the

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incumbent as part of a long Scottish backlash against Mrs Thatcher's

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politics. When Labour won its 1997 landslide, Darling had spells at the

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Treasury and transport and also as Scotland's Secretary of State,

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before becoming Chancellor of the Exchequer to Gordon Brown at the

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start of the worst financial and economic crisis the 70 years. In

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September 2007 there was the first run on a UK bank since 1860, when

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Northern Rock almost collapsed. Although Labour's economic policies

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have and always will be a source of huge political contention, Alistair

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Darling's: Steadiness has been praised even by political opponents.

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As the head of better together, the ones Marxist who once seated a

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sitting story MP and defied Mrs Thatcher now finds himself on the

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same side as his Tory and Lib Dem opponent. If the no campaign wins

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the vote, he will also be regarded as the man who helped save a 300

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year union. Those are the participants, let's

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have a look at the substance. What do you think Alex Salmond has to do

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to shift those polled more in his direction? He has a number of issues

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to address. Policy about currency is one. Alistair Darling will no doubt

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home in again on the plan B. However, during the week we had the

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chair of the fiscal commission, whose team had to come up with all

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the various scenarios that would be possible in an independent Scotland

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and he laid out the other ones they had examined and declared several of

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them were also viable including sterling eyes Asian. I don't know

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what First Minister will say about that but I imagine he will try to

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finesse that position in some way dash including sterling currency

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being brought in. The NHS is an issue. This was dismissed as

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scaremongering by the no campaign but there is a significantly

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different NHS in Scotland. It hasn't gone down the privatisation route.

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Hang on, we have some features of Alistair Darling arriving at the

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other end. You can just see some of the yes campaigners are making their

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presence felt. Mr Darling the first one to arrive, although we did see

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Alex Salmond earlier today as he looks around the podium and checked

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out I suppose rather like a footballer, the pitch before the

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game. Sorry, I interrupted you there. You were making the point of

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what he has two address. Yes, as I say, the most favourable issues from

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his point of view will be to carry on his assertion that the NHS in

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Scotland is under threat from the fact that the NHS in England has

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taken a significantly different route. It has gone the way of

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partial privatisation. Although there is some use of private

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medicine in Scotland it is used as a backstop to diminish waiting lists.

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There is no competitive tendering with the private sector involved.

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The NHS is probably quite a good issue for female voters. Female

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voters are the one area where the yes campaign has been significantly

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weak. There have always been fewer women prepared to say they will vote

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yes than men and the third issue I guess out of many will be loyal.

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That came back on the agenda this week. How much oil there is left?

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Again that was a big row. Alex Salmond, what do you think he has to

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do tonight? Salmon certainly has to continue... The problem he has is

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essentially the independence cause is on trial and he has to satisfy

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beyond reasonable doubt that the case for independence is robust

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enough to make it a worthwhile venture. Alistair Darling on the

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other hand has a much easier task this evening in some ways. He just

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needs to hug Alex Salmond close. If you think of it in terms of

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football, a dull, scoreless draw will suit Alistair Darling find this

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evening. If there was no football played at all he would be perfectly

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happy. Kill the clock, kill time, prevent anything happening, because

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his main task this evening if you like is to park the bus, avoid

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defeat and avoid giving Alex Salmond and opportunity to have a good

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evening and the momentum he would then be able to exploit as a result

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of that. For Alistair Darling in some ways, it is the worse it is the

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better. Where is Alex Salmond obviously needs a clear`cut victory

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I think tonight, if these debates are to change anything in a

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fundamental way that Alex Salmond really does need that. That evoke a

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point. Alex Allan has the pressure on him to move things although

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expectations have been lowered. Of course they have. I was suggesting

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in another context, another place this week that the first win had

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supposedly been Real Madrid against Wigan athletic and somehow Wigan

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athletic managed to score first against all expectations. I think

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tonight, the debate was about technical matters. I know currency

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is a big issue in the media and a big issue of Alistair Darling and a

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big issue for Alex Salmond to address but that cap the ranch with

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people at home, I think what they are desperate for is some sense of

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vision, some sense of what tomorrow's Scotland could be like

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with a yes vote. Just as importantly what tomorrow's Scotland will be

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like if there is a no vote. I think more vision and less nitty`gritty

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would be important. I'm not putting words in your mouth, but I suspect

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even if it costs Scotland money you would be in favour of going it

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alone? In other words the nitty`gritty issues don't count many

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people who are strongly yes or strongly now? Obviously nobly wants

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to pay more taxes and be insecure but I don't honestly believe that

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will be the case. I'm not voting yes because I think Scotland will be a

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more or less prosperous country although I happen to think it will

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be perfectly prosperous. For me it is quintessentially about values,

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about the kind of society we want to build and maintain. For me,

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everything down south has gone very far to the right, we have the

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prospect of being hauled out of Europe if the Tories have their way

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in 2017. We have the prospect of things becoming even more austere. I

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was interviewing an economist today at the Edinburgh book Festival who

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thinks that this current growth in the economy is a bit of a dead cat

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bounce and we shouldn't get too excited about it. I don't think the

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UK in the current hands of the current coalition has much going for

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it and there is every chance that these hands will still be on the

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tiller after the election. It is a bit about values isn't it? The

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cliche is usually heads and hearts but there was a poll done which

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suggested if you were ?500 better off would you vote one way or

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another, some people said yes but really when you ask people that's

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not how they are thinking. They are much more of emotional and values

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rather than 500 quid here or there. If Scotland really were as left wing

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country as its self regarding left wing media establishment and

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intelligence earlier would have you believe then you would expect Alex

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Salmond and the Nationalists to be winning this race comfortable but it

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isn't true so they are not. Nationalists haven't won the

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economic argument. Polls consistently suggest that most

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people expect that the economy overall would be worse, weaker after

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independence and by an overwhelming majority they think their personal

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circumstances would be drastically worse after independence. But in

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those terms, the surprise is in so much that the Nationalists appear at

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present to be losing but that they are doing as well as they are. That

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is in part because the idea of Scotland is an immensely powerful

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one. There are plenty of people who would vote willingly for

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independence, perhaps a fifth of the electorate, regardless of the

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consequences. Those are the true believers, those who vote SNP in

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each and every election. Equally there are of course perhaps about

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15`20% of the electorate who would always vote no regardless of any

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economic benefit that came from independence because they feel

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British and they think yes, this is a question of identity. Neither side

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really wants to address that during the campaign for their different

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reasons. The Nationalists have been reluctant to address a politics of

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identity because it could be tarred as a neo` Jacobite Bonnie Prince

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Charlie lost cause type thing and they dislike the associations with

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that. It tends to be pundits and commentators from south of the

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border who bring up Braveheart and William Wallace rather than members

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of the SNP. Equally, Unionists would be disinclined to wrap themselves in

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the union flag. Before you get carried away! Before either others

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do, I know you want to come in and say more but we are going to go over

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to Aberdeen for a second before we do that because this is a very

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diverse country, it's not just the central belt, not just people in

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Glasgow and the breath, it is every where from Shetland the Western

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Isles and also Aberdeen which is where the oil comes in. Let's go to

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Kevin who is there now. Yes indeed. We have gathered a group of people

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together in this room who are currently watching the Edinburgh

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Tatsu on BBC1 Scotland and of course from half past eight they will be

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seeing the debate on here, BBC Two of course, in the rest of the UK.

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Nine people in this room whose views we are canvassing, a selection of

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yes, no and undecided people among the three in front of us just now we

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have Gillian Martin on the right and who is a yes vote, Stewart in the

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middle who is a no vote and David who is undecided. what are you

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looking to get out of the debate? I'm looking for the debate not

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looking to get out of the debate? I'm looking for the debate not to be

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about just the European Union, the currency, I'm looking for it to put

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forward the reasons we've got a massive opportunity for

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independence, I'm hoping Alex Salmond will be looking at the

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social side of things, the family, what's in it for mothers, families,

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fathers, children, and less about the money and the administration of

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a transitional period, which seems to be what the debate is stuck on.

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What about performance? Does his performance matter and what was your

:16:50.:16:53.

view of his performance? The message is far more important to me than the

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performance. I think people are a little bit too obsessed with two

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gets the rectory, I don't think anybody necessarily needs to. I

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think the whole point should be making up your mind rather than it

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being a boxing match. `` who get the victory. I think most people find

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that annoying. Stewart, you voting `` you are voting no. Do you agree

:17:19.:17:22.

with that? Will Alistair Darling's performance be under the scrutiny? I

:17:23.:17:30.

agree with what was said, I am open to facts being manipulated by both

:17:31.:17:33.

sides and I would like Alistair Darling to describe why we should

:17:34.:17:37.

stay in the UK, what the benefits are, without getting bogged down in

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data that is not relevant to the debate. I think it is you guys in

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the media looking for a killer blow. Most people want to listen to

:17:49.:17:53.

a sensible debate. Most of the information has already been put out

:17:54.:17:56.

there by both sides so do you anticipate anything new and

:17:57.:18:00.

significant will come out of it? One of the two sides could drop a

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clanger and that will be the headline. I'm actually more

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interested in what the questions are from the audience tonight than from

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Alex Salmond. Brief question to David. You are undecided. Wood

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dropping Clangers make a difference to you? I don't think so. I don't

:18:22.:18:27.

think mistakes make the difference. One of the things I really like is

:18:28.:18:33.

self`determination as an idea but I'm not in favour of dividing

:18:34.:18:38.

countries into smaller bits. If there was any information came out

:18:39.:18:43.

about what sort of self`determination maximum

:18:44.:18:48.

devolution could provide, that would be interesting to me. I will be

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watching your reactions throughout the debate. Thank you for speaking

:18:54.:18:58.

to us. We've got nine people in this room. We'll be hearing from them

:18:59.:19:04.

through this night. This will be going off in the next 45 minutes and

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that is when the debate begins and everybody will be not watching the

:19:10.:19:11.

tattooed but the debate between Alistair Darling and Alex Salmond.

:19:12.:19:21.

Thank you. People all over Scotland do have a vote, people in the rest

:19:22.:19:28.

of the United Kingdom are affected by this but do not have a say. They

:19:29.:19:34.

can voice their opinions, because there may be some movements to

:19:35.:19:37.

reordering relationships up and down these islands as a result of

:19:38.:19:40.

whatever happens on September the 18th. Let's hear from York. This is

:19:41.:19:53.

a public house in the centre of York. All day we've been getting

:19:54.:19:58.

opinions of Yorkshire folk. What do they think about what is happening

:19:59.:20:06.

north of the border? Some themes are emerging. We spoke to the leader of

:20:07.:20:09.

York Council and he was comparing Scotland and Wales to Yorkshire,

:20:10.:20:14.

saying this is a region that demands more exposure. He said Yorkshire and

:20:15.:20:19.

the Humber have a population of around 5 million people the same

:20:20.:20:25.

that live in Scotland. Why could Yorkshire not have a stronger voice

:20:26.:20:30.

in the world? To attract investment, to boost the economy.

:20:31.:20:41.

They've also spoken to ex`patriots `` expatriates, one who is south of

:20:42.:20:50.

the border. Because she is not resident in Scotland she has not got

:20:51.:20:54.

a vote but she strongly believes the union is stronger together, she

:20:55.:20:58.

wanted to have her saying she reeled off a list of questions. If there is

:20:59.:21:02.

Scottish independence, what does it mean for her? Does she have to go

:21:03.:21:07.

back to Scotland? She says the anthers are unknown. Here in the pub

:21:08.:21:13.

we spoke to a couple who lived in Carlisle. They said if there is

:21:14.:21:19.

independence, what happens to the Scottish workers who travelled south

:21:20.:21:25.

to work in Carlisle? They mentioned free prescriptions, tuition fees,

:21:26.:21:28.

these are the issues that mean something to them. These are issues

:21:29.:21:34.

they have plenty of questions on. The role of England and its place in

:21:35.:21:37.

the union at the debate goes north of the border, many here have got

:21:38.:21:41.

questions about what it means for them.

:21:42.:21:49.

Thank you. When we left it to hear from Aberdeen, you were getting

:21:50.:22:02.

angry. Would you like to explain? I was getting irritated by the

:22:03.:22:05.

conflation of the yes cause and the SNP and Alex Salmond. It has been a

:22:06.:22:10.

constant tactic of the Better Together campaign to hang the

:22:11.:22:15.

question of Scottish independence on one man and one party. I have been

:22:16.:22:20.

very promiscuous with my vote over the years. It is not about

:22:21.:22:26.

nationalism, not about politicians, it is about Scotland's future. If we

:22:27.:22:31.

start thinking in these terms rather than party terms, we get into a

:22:32.:22:34.

territory where there is a vast territory where there is a vast

:22:35.:22:40.

swathe of Scotland, about 37% of Labour voters are planning to vote

:22:41.:22:44.

yes and that is because they see a more equitable government in

:22:45.:22:52.

Scotland than they believe are being pursued in London. It is not just

:22:53.:22:57.

about Alex Salmond, and not just the SNP, it is about a vision of

:22:58.:23:01.

Scotland, one vision of Scotland which is positive for me, and the

:23:02.:23:05.

coalition view is negative. Other people do not share that view. But

:23:06.:23:10.

we must get away from the idea that it is a 1`party argument. Here we

:23:11.:23:16.

have it in a nutshell, the remarkable statement that the

:23:17.:23:18.

independence debate is not about Alex Salmond but it is about David

:23:19.:23:23.

Cameron, it is not about Nicola Sturgeon but it is about George

:23:24.:23:27.

Osborne. Oh dear people personalised the First Minister, the leader of

:23:28.:23:37.

the SNP... Apparently Scotland's vision of its principles and values

:23:38.:23:40.

are so different from those in England. There is no polling

:23:41.:23:47.

evidence. I think Alex Salmond is arriving. Let's just see if we can

:23:48.:23:54.

see him walking into the back of the hall. Sorry to stop you in full

:23:55.:24:00.

flow. He was here earlier having a good look around, seeing how the

:24:01.:24:03.

mechanics will work. Looking at the podium and talking to advisers. He's

:24:04.:24:10.

got some supporters here tonight. The Better Together campaign were

:24:11.:24:15.

more conspicuous by their absence. Not many people turning up.

:24:16.:24:25.

Alex Salmond walking into the building, hoping to be the first

:24:26.:24:31.

Prime Minister of an independent Scotland. In some ways, Ruth is

:24:32.:24:35.

right, it is about something bigger and better than the SNP, but they

:24:36.:24:40.

are the government driving it, it is the SNP that published the 600 page

:24:41.:24:44.

White Paper, at least half of which is an SNP manifesto. It is Alex

:24:45.:24:54.

Salmond who has taken to saying the SNP policy represents the sovereign

:24:55.:25:01.

will of the Scottish people. To complain that we are making it about

:25:02.:25:05.

Alex Salmond seems a little disingenuous when he happens to do

:25:06.:25:11.

so himself. A country coming to independence led by one person would

:25:12.:25:16.

not have him as leader for a considerable time, so it is about

:25:17.:25:21.

him. Only in the short term. This is not for Christmas, it is forever.

:25:22.:25:26.

Alex Salmond me or may not be the First Minister at the next Scottish

:25:27.:25:31.

election, but it's not about that. It is bizarre. We have Alex saying,

:25:32.:25:36.

oh dear they produce a 600 page document as if they are in charge,

:25:37.:25:41.

meanwhile we don't have a couple `` more than a couple of leaflets from

:25:42.:25:47.

Better Together. `` how dare they. When people

:25:48.:25:47.

Better Together. `` how dare they. When publish it, they say, we don't

:25:48.:25:52.

mean that kind of information. Some people in Aberdeen said they don't

:25:53.:25:55.

care who wins or loses the debate, they want more information on which

:25:56.:26:00.

to make up our minds. That's a very feeble copout, if viewers feel that

:26:01.:26:05.

way they should look at themselves, because there is no shortage of

:26:06.:26:09.

information. The problem is there are no facts. You have two claims,

:26:10.:26:17.

experts saying conflicting things and in that sense voters are left in

:26:18.:26:20.

the middle wondering who to believe but really all you have to guide you

:26:21.:26:26.

is your judgement. Tonight's debate is a war of experts, my expert knows

:26:27.:26:32.

more than your expert. That will help voters. Let's get a flavour of

:26:33.:26:39.

what happened last time. Both men landed a few punches and the one

:26:40.:26:42.

which many people have referred to was the question of the pound. Any

:26:43.:26:49.

eight`year`old can tell you the flag of a country, the name of the

:26:50.:26:56.

country and the currency. You cannot tell us what currency we will have.

:26:57.:27:04.

I can. Alistair, we will take the pound because it belongs to Scotland

:27:05.:27:09.

as much as it belongs to England. It is our pound as well as your pound.

:27:10.:27:18.

Even Gordon Brown has said, you shall not have the pound. It is

:27:19.:27:22.

counter`productive for your campaign. Why can't we go back to

:27:23.:27:26.

the Alistair Darling of last year saying it was logical and desirable

:27:27.:27:29.

in the interests of Scotland and the rest of the United Kingdom to keep

:27:30.:27:33.

the pound after independence? Logical and desirable. That was one

:27:34.:27:40.

of the big blows landed three weeks ago. This is the other one, the

:27:41.:27:45.

question of whether it could be independent. Your own figures say we

:27:46.:27:51.

would have a much bigger deficit at the time we want independence than

:27:52.:27:55.

the rest of the UK and that would mean some difficult decisions. It is

:27:56.:28:00.

quite simple. Do you agree with David Cameron or not? Do you agree

:28:01.:28:06.

with David Cameron or not? Do you agree with David Cameron? And so

:28:07.:28:13.

Darling could have got out of that Darling could have got out of that

:28:14.:28:17.

simply by saying of course Scotland could be a successful independent

:28:18.:28:21.

country. Most Scots believe it, whether they think it can happen.

:28:22.:28:25.

The sensible thing would have been to tell the truth, which would also

:28:26.:28:31.

be truthful, of course Scotland is feasible. It would be a pretty bad

:28:32.:28:35.

reflection of 300 years of union if it was not. I don't understand why

:28:36.:28:41.

he was so reluctant to agree to that except that he had this paranoia

:28:42.:28:45.

about being tied to the Conservatives, so that if David

:28:46.:28:47.

Cameron agrees tomorrow is Wednesday, Alistair Darling must say

:28:48.:28:55.

it is Tuesday. The SNP are very cleverly wanting to tie them

:28:56.:28:59.

together. Otherwise I don't see why he didn't tell the truth. Knowing

:29:00.:29:03.

which state is take me back to the other point, facts are difficult to

:29:04.:29:08.

get that, had they? There are lots of opinions about. The first thing

:29:09.:29:19.

to say having watched these clips is two men in suits shouting at each

:29:20.:29:22.

other is not going to greatly add to the sum of human knowledge. It is

:29:23.:29:26.

difficult to get what Scotland will be like for any degree of certainty.

:29:27.:29:34.

Any Chancellor of the Exchequer will not tell you what is in their budget

:29:35.:29:41.

next March. It is a guessing game for everybody. We know that some

:29:42.:29:44.

things are true, Scotland is reckoned to be the 14th most

:29:45.:29:48.

prosperous country as opposed to the 18th in the UK. We know that the

:29:49.:29:53.

credit rating could be triple`A. We know that we have huge resources on

:29:54.:30:00.

which to be a prosperous country, not all oil, there are many

:30:01.:30:07.

industries buoyant in Scotland. When people talk about Scotland being

:30:08.:30:14.

prosperous it is estimation. The 14th richest country in the world is

:30:15.:30:18.

a slippery statistic, referring to GDP. Alaska tops the list of US

:30:19.:30:29.

states but nobody thinks those are the best states in the United States

:30:30.:30:35.

to live in. It is slightly dubious. Of course, long`term forecasts are

:30:36.:30:39.

difficult, but it is the Nationalists who launched a project

:30:40.:30:40.

to difficult, but it is the

:30:41.:30:42.

Nationalists tell us everything we like it would remain and nothing we

:30:43.:30:46.

did not like would stay. You're watching BBC News from Glasgow on

:30:47.:30:51.

the Scottish independence referendum debate. Good evening. It's eight

:30:52.:31:05.

o'clock. This is one of the great landmarks of this great city.

:31:06.:31:10.

Tonight the big debate, the second of two debates between Alistair

:31:11.:31:14.

Darling and Alex Salmond. Alistair Darling arrived first. He has 90

:31:15.:31:22.

minutes or so to argue that we are better together in the United

:31:23.:31:26.

Kingdom. He laid some blows up the last debate on the question of the

:31:27.:31:33.

pound. Most of those connected to the campaign think he will attempt

:31:34.:31:37.

to raise similar demands and other doubts about the economic

:31:38.:31:41.

performance. Alex Salmond arrived more recently. He had a good

:31:42.:31:45.

around, checking the podium and the mechanics of the TV studio. He has

:31:46.:31:52.

90 minutes to turn the polls around and argue for his dream which is

:31:53.:31:56.

that of an independent Scotland which he has been dedicated to since

:31:57.:32:00.

he was in his early 20s and a student at university. A lot is at

:32:01.:32:08.

stake for the entire country. And the United Kingdom as well. What is

:32:09.:32:15.

at stake. Once the Scottish actor nominated them they couldn't not

:32:16.:32:21.

take the ice bucket challenge. Alistair Darling was unflappable as

:32:22.:32:25.

ever. Alex Salmond characteristically

:32:26.:32:33.

Glasgow 's magnificent Kelvingrove Museum will host the second TV and

:32:34.:32:38.

counter and this time he was across the UK can watch live. Last time

:32:39.:32:43.

Alistair Darling attacked Alex Salmond on the question of which

:32:44.:32:47.

currency they would use. Supporters say is and is first minute still has

:32:48.:32:54.

no answer to most vital question. What people want are not just quick

:32:55.:32:58.

one`liners but real answers about the currency, about funding for

:32:59.:33:04.

Scotland, the future of our jobs and hospitals. If you doesn't deliver he

:33:05.:33:09.

will get a negative response. Alex Salmond supporters want a more

:33:10.:33:13.

robust performance tonight, and they expect him to challenge Alistair

:33:14.:33:17.

Darling on what they see as Scotland's uncertain future inside

:33:18.:33:22.

the union. To try to put momentum back into the yes campaign Alex

:33:23.:33:26.

Salmond will have to try to turn the tables forcing Alistair Darling on

:33:27.:33:29.

the defensive. We will hear a lot from Alex Salmond on what he sees as

:33:30.:33:33.

the consequences for Scotland's public services, especially the NHS.

:33:34.:33:41.

I'm sure that the First Minister is going to set out the positive case

:33:42.:33:45.

for Scottish independence. Of course it's important to point out how

:33:46.:33:48.

badly we been let down by Westminster and the threats that lie

:33:49.:33:55.

down the road. The polls still put the anti`independence campaign

:33:56.:33:59.

ahead, but that lead narrowed after the last TV debate despite Alistair

:34:00.:34:02.

Darling's strong performance. Will tonight be the pivot on which the

:34:03.:34:09.

campaign will turn? It's perhaps the most important 90 minutes in this

:34:10.:34:10.

long battle. One of the interesting things about

:34:11.:34:19.

this campaign and about the vote in three weeks time is that voters as

:34:20.:34:24.

young as 16 will get a chance to vote on an issue which has been

:34:25.:34:27.

bedevilling many people in Scotland for many years. To find out what

:34:28.:34:34.

some of the younger voters are thinking let's go to the media room.

:34:35.:34:41.

Three of those younger voters who are part of what is called

:34:42.:34:46.

generation 2014 are here in the media room along with 40 or 50

:34:47.:34:51.

Scottish journalists and members of the political parties who are giving

:34:52.:34:57.

their views ahead of the debate to the assembled hacks. With me as

:34:58.:35:09.

Lewis Munro, Sarah Lang and Nathan. Which way are you going to vote?

:35:10.:35:11.

Have you moved from one position to the other? I've looked into both

:35:12.:35:18.

science and I've decided to vote yes. Did you watch the first debate?

:35:19.:35:23.

I was disappointed and thought Alex Salmond could have fought for our

:35:24.:35:27.

side a bit more. I'm hoping that tonight he will really go for it and

:35:28.:35:33.

show them what he can do. You say you are disappointed that he could

:35:34.:35:37.

have fought your corner more. What do you mean? Normally he has a bit

:35:38.:35:43.

more months. Maybe he was listening to people telling him not to be so

:35:44.:35:48.

forward. I hope you will show his passion. You say you were undecided.

:35:49.:35:57.

Why is that? Neither campaign really sways me. I've been undecided for

:35:58.:36:01.

quite some time. I was leading to know originally. Alex Salmond fight

:36:02.:36:08.

very well for his cause and didn't show as much about his actual

:36:09.:36:15.

plans. Tonight we might find out what he has planned. Are there

:36:16.:36:19.

issues you want to hear more about in particular mark? I want to hear

:36:20.:36:27.

about tuition fees and EU membership. You have moved from

:36:28.:36:42.

undecided to no. It's a lack of answers from Alex Salmond. I'm quite

:36:43.:36:51.

a big fan of the union. There was nothing in particular making me want

:36:52.:36:58.

to vote yes. Did these debates help? And they are helpful for

:36:59.:37:04.

undecided people. To see them put in the same places helpful. You have

:37:05.:37:13.

got well`informed opinions. What's going on amongst your school

:37:14.:37:20.

friends, is being debated very much? It's being debated. It's those

:37:21.:37:29.

who are well informed that aren't saying much about it. In general

:37:30.:37:33.

they are talking about what they see on the news. Many people are

:37:34.:37:41.

researching a bit. It will be interesting because this is

:37:42.:37:47.

televised. Thank you very much. Enjoy the debate. You will be

:37:48.:37:53.

watching closely for the next couple of hours. It's not just here in the

:37:54.:37:57.

media room where people will be watching, it's not just a debate

:37:58.:38:01.

that will be watched closely in Scotland that this is a debate that

:38:02.:38:04.

will be watched across the UK. It certainly will be. Thank you.

:38:05.:38:15.

Those were the views of three of our younger voters. An assessment of

:38:16.:38:20.

where the Scottish electorate appears to be I'm joined by

:38:21.:38:25.

Professor John Curtis of Strathclyde University. What's going on in the

:38:26.:38:29.

polls as they haven't moved. They haven't moved a great deal. The Yes

:38:30.:38:36.

Campaign side made progress in the winter. Once you took out the don't

:38:37.:38:43.

knows it went up to 43%. Since then very little has changed. You take

:38:44.:38:49.

the average of the last half dozen polls, it still 43%. The truth is

:38:50.:38:54.

given what happened three weeks ago with the first leaders debate it

:38:55.:39:00.

comes as a bit of a relief to the Yes Campaign. It was felt Alex

:39:01.:39:04.

Salmond lost the debate with the first opinion poll which came out

:39:05.:39:10.

suggested that Yes Campaign support went down. Although Alex Salmond is

:39:11.:39:19.

thought to have lost the first debate, it looks like it did not do

:39:20.:39:25.

damage to the yes side tally. If the polls are to be believed the Yes

:39:26.:39:31.

Campaign side is still behind. He badly needs to win this debate. He

:39:32.:39:35.

needs to win it in such a way that it doesn't simply suggest that he

:39:36.:39:38.

got the better of Mr Darling that actually persuades them that they

:39:39.:39:45.

should vote yes. I assume Mr Darling can afford to sit tight. He doesn't

:39:46.:39:52.

have to give away many goals. His job is to hang on to what he's gone.

:39:53.:39:59.

He needs to avoid losing, certainly on any of the significant arguments.

:40:00.:40:04.

So long as he emerges not having lost any ground he will be happy

:40:05.:40:07.

because he will believe that he is sufficiently far ahead. What looks

:40:08.:40:14.

like the last significant opportunity for the Yes Campaign

:40:15.:40:21.

side to narrow the polls. I'm puzzled by who doesn't know. I've

:40:22.:40:29.

met people who are firmly of one opinion but certainly no one who

:40:30.:40:35.

doesn't care. The people who say don't know seem to change their

:40:36.:40:42.

mind. You are correct. Only 15% of people genuinely don't know. They

:40:43.:40:46.

don't have an idea which way they will vote. Another body of people,

:40:47.:40:51.

twice as big who say to the pollsters that they've got an idea

:40:52.:40:55.

what they will do the time might change my mind. To that extent the

:40:56.:41:01.

job tonight of both leaders isn't just to appeal to a group of people

:41:02.:41:06.

who haven't made up their mind, they will try to persuade people who've

:41:07.:41:11.

got an inclination of what they are going to do to actually do something

:41:12.:41:14.

different. The task that faces them is a tough one because they aren't

:41:15.:41:18.

talking to an electric doesn't have much idea what they will do. Most

:41:19.:41:23.

people watching will have an idea of what they are going to do and many

:41:24.:41:27.

will be determined partisans who will not change their minds. We know

:41:28.:41:37.

the famous Kennedy, Nixon debate. Do you think people given that this is

:41:38.:41:41.

also about national sentiment, it may be about money or oil or the NHS

:41:42.:41:47.

and it's also about how you feel. I think this is a referendum where it

:41:48.:41:50.

has always looked difficult for either side to move the numbers. The

:41:51.:42:01.

polls have painted a picture of remarkable stability. The lesson of

:42:02.:42:04.

the first debate is even when one person is thought to have one, it

:42:05.:42:09.

did not translate into changing people 's minds. We have to remember

:42:10.:42:13.

that this hasn't just been going on over the last year. This is a debate

:42:14.:42:22.

that's been going on for at least 40 years. There is one thing that makes

:42:23.:42:29.

it unique. It's encouraging for anyone who believes we should have a

:42:30.:42:34.

civil society and people should be engaged in the way our country is

:42:35.:42:40.

going. I've talked to politicians of all sorts who say people want to

:42:41.:42:47.

open the doors. It's a valuable thing to take away. Inside the

:42:48.:42:54.

United Kingdom we are going to settle what is politically one of

:42:55.:42:58.

the most difficult disputes to settle often leads to armed

:42:59.:43:04.

conflict, whether part of the state... Apparently we will settle

:43:05.:43:10.

this peacefully and critically. In so doing it looks like the turnout

:43:11.:43:15.

will be high. People in Scotland except they aren't being to choose

:43:16.:43:19.

between Tweedledee and Tweedledum for the next five years. It's an

:43:20.:43:27.

important choice. Not all want the choice forced upon them, but faced

:43:28.:43:30.

with the choice it looks like the voters of Scotland agree they will

:43:31.:43:36.

need to turn up and in their hands will live the future of this

:43:37.:43:43.

country. Thank you. Thus I was saying earlier, this is a very

:43:44.:43:47.

diverse country from this central belt with all the industry

:43:48.:43:52.

associated with bars: Edinburgh to the islands, Shetland and also to

:43:53.:43:56.

We are in a hotel in the city. Kevin.

:43:57.:44:04.

We are in a hotel in the city. Around me nine people who represent

:44:05.:44:12.

yes voters and no voters and those who haven't decided where they will

:44:13.:44:20.

put their cross. Tonight might be the deciding moment for those people

:44:21.:44:25.

who've yet to make the decision. Three people to speak to hear.

:44:26.:44:32.

Howard, you are a yes vote. What are you hoping to get out of tonight?

:44:33.:44:37.

Something a bit less of ping`pong than we head in the last debate. I

:44:38.:44:42.

don't think the format was conducive to a good debate. It concentrated

:44:43.:44:50.

too much on ping`pong, back and forwards on issues that really

:44:51.:44:52.

aren't essential to the big question. What are the key issues

:44:53.:44:59.

for you? Democratic accountability. I want a government that is close

:45:00.:45:04.

enough to need to kick them up the backside if they need it. The issue

:45:05.:45:09.

with the health service is important. More than just discussing

:45:10.:45:16.

funding for the health service the main issue is the privatisation down

:45:17.:45:20.

south and the effect friends Atlantic trade and investment act

:45:21.:45:25.

will have on that. `` transatlantic investment. Sitting next to you is

:45:26.:45:35.

Robin, a no voter. What will tonight 's debate produce for you, you

:45:36.:45:40.

hope? Something more substantive than what we've seen in the past. No

:45:41.:45:46.

finger wagging but actual answers or steps towards an answer. It just

:45:47.:45:51.

seems to be a you said he said argument. No semblance of policy or

:45:52.:45:58.

what happen in the event of a yes vote or no vote. Do you think that

:45:59.:46:08.

will happen? Probably not. We also have an undecided voter, James. You

:46:09.:46:15.

are one of the opinions that matters for the two politicians at the

:46:16.:46:18.

podium tonight, because if anyone will have their votes wait, it will

:46:19.:46:22.

be you. What will you be looking out for? I am looking forward to hearing

:46:23.:46:30.

about the plan on currency. It is one of the things that if there is

:46:31.:46:34.

no contingency, I will be surprised. I'm looking forward to hearing about

:46:35.:46:38.

what I am voting for with the no vote, so what is the future of

:46:39.:46:41.

Scotland to look like with the no vote and Better Together saying what

:46:42.:46:49.

that is. Do you think you will make a decision tonight? This is the last

:46:50.:46:54.

of these debates between the two leaders. At the moment, I am

:46:55.:46:59.

balancing all kinds of risks and opportunities on both sides. I think

:47:00.:47:03.

it may come down to the last one. It is almost how I feel on the day.

:47:04.:47:12.

Robin, you are living in the big oil city, and that is big on the agenda

:47:13.:47:18.

for the last week. What are you hoping will come out of tonight

:47:19.:47:21.

relating to oil? I don't really know. I live in an oil city, and I

:47:22.:47:27.

don't feel the effects of oil. I work in the public sector. Like a

:47:28.:47:32.

lot of people who live in Aberdeen, it will be good to see the welfare

:47:33.:47:39.

side of things and the social impact for those of us in the vast majority

:47:40.:47:44.

not working in oil. Is oil the big issue for you? It is not a big

:47:45.:47:51.

issue, it is the icing on the cake. It has become a big issue because it

:47:52.:47:54.

has become one of the football is battered back and forwards, but in

:47:55.:48:00.

the bigger picture, it is a small portion of what is important. Thank

:48:01.:48:06.

you very much indeed for joining us. We are 12 minutes away from the

:48:07.:48:10.

start of the debate. All eyes are glued on BBC One Scotland, which is

:48:11.:48:16.

showing EastEnders at the moment. BBC Two throughout the rest of the

:48:17.:48:19.

UK is where you will see that debate begin at 8:30pm. Nine people will

:48:20.:48:27.

see her afterwards whether they change their votes or declare in any

:48:28.:48:33.

direction, but for the moment, this is the big drama. `` we will see her

:48:34.:48:42.

afterwards. Ruth and Alex are still with me. I was trying to engage John

:48:43.:48:46.

on the question of engagement, because at one `` it is one of the

:48:47.:48:52.

good things about this. We're having a discussion, and we may not agree,

:48:53.:48:58.

but we are engaged. I have been around Scotland in the last few

:48:59.:49:01.

weeks and months, and the extraordinary things is that whether

:49:02.:49:08.

it is a wet night or a dry night or a hot summer night, no matter what

:49:09.:49:12.

is on the television, people are going into town halls. You could not

:49:13.:49:19.

be on a tram or in a cab or any moving vehicle without people

:49:20.:49:21.

spontaneously combusting about the referendum. That says a lot about

:49:22.:49:28.

how politics has been revitalised by this debate, regardless or most of

:49:29.:49:33.

what happens. There has been a lot of banter. They have been workplace

:49:34.:49:43.

rights, and rows between families. It is sensible to be passionate, but

:49:44.:49:47.

the most striking and significant aspect of the campaign is how

:49:48.:49:52.

friendly and civilised it has been. People on both set a lot of stupid

:49:53.:49:56.

things, but that is to be expected in politics. These are people we are

:49:57.:50:01.

talking about. In general, it has been a good`tempered campaign. It

:50:02.:50:05.

has engaged an awful lot of people, many of them coming to politics for

:50:06.:50:09.

the first time or returning to political active in date and after

:50:10.:50:13.

is strange man. You have covered American elections, and this reminds

:50:14.:50:19.

me of something like the New Hampshire primary where you have

:50:20.:50:22.

town hall meeting after town hall meeting, and people say I'm not sure

:50:23.:50:27.

which candidate I will vote for in the primary because I have not met

:50:28.:50:34.

them yet. I don't want to stretch the comparison too far, but there is

:50:35.:50:39.

something similar happening here. The American comparison is

:50:40.:50:43.

worthwhile, because in decided voters alike independence in the

:50:44.:50:46.

United States. There are more of them could then people like to

:50:47.:50:52.

pretend. It is an interesting campaign, and we will be following

:50:53.:50:54.

every minute of it. You are watching BBC News.

:50:55.:51:02.

You are watching special coverage on BBC News of the Scotland

:51:03.:51:08.

independence referendum debate. It begins in a few minutes. We would

:51:09.:51:12.

like to welcome our viewers from around the world. We're here in the

:51:13.:51:18.

magnificent setting, the West End of Glasgow, at the Kelvingrove Art

:51:19.:51:24.

Gallery and Museum. It pulls in about 1 million visitors a year. Not

:51:25.:51:28.

so many there tonight. About a few hundred who will watch the debate,

:51:29.:51:32.

which may decide the future, not just of Scotland, but also the

:51:33.:51:37.

United Kingdom. For a sense of what is going on inside the hall, let's

:51:38.:51:41.

go over to my colleague, who joins us from the media room.

:51:42.:51:47.

Commonly known as the spin room, it is the assembled media. There are

:51:48.:51:54.

representatives of international media here as well, two of them

:51:55.:52:02.

joining us now. If I may start with you, is there much interest in

:52:03.:52:09.

Canada? It is interesting for us, because we had two referendums, one

:52:10.:52:15.

in 1980, and one in 1995 on independence. In both, the no side

:52:16.:52:24.

one. But the yes camp in the last vote, they got 99.5 `` 49.5%.

:52:25.:52:32.

Interesting in Canada, but what about the yes and no campaigns here?

:52:33.:52:35.

Have they been taking much advice from Canada? Bid Yes campaign from

:52:36.:52:39.

Scotland had a lot of advice from the same thing for the no campaign.

:52:40.:52:49.

What worked and what did not wear? A minister flew to

:52:50.:53:03.

of information has been exchanged? One thing for example is we had a

:53:04.:53:07.

lot of Canadians coming to Montreal to say that they've loved us. It

:53:08.:53:14.

seems it worked. The nose so `` the no side said it didn't work, so they

:53:15.:53:17.

told the yes campaign not to do that. There have been a lot of

:53:18.:53:31.

talks. The know, thanks formula, it was formulated in 1980. `` no

:53:32.:53:36.

thanks. The United Kingdom as a Eurosceptic. How does that play with

:53:37.:53:49.

your readers? Or Mac very well. A lot of our readers know Scotland

:53:50.:53:55.

from holidays, and there is widespread frustration and

:53:56.:54:00.

irritation in Germany and in Europe about the British government's

:54:01.:54:00.

stands on Europe. It is very exciting to see parts of the United

:54:01.:54:09.

Kingdom where Europe is seen as a basically good thing. That is

:54:10.:54:15.

surprising and exciting. And there are just 5 million people living in

:54:16.:54:21.

Scotland. Is there much interest in what is happening here? On a

:54:22.:54:24.

political level, Berlin and many other capitals in

:54:25.:54:33.

widespread ramifications of Scotland's independence. Is there a

:54:34.:54:35.

feeling of being nudged along by the UK Government? That would be the

:54:36.:54:45.

suspicion. If you look at Britain as a country, as a united country, it

:54:46.:54:48.

would a country, as a united country, a

:54:49.:54:51.

strategic implication if Scotland became independent. There are on a

:54:52.:54:59.

political level fears that Europe will lose its role in the world and

:55:00.:55:05.

become entangled in a never ending internal conflict. Interesting.

:55:06.:55:12.

Thank you both very much for that. You can see the journalists behind

:55:13.:55:16.

us. We have already seen members of some of the Unionist camp, numbers

:55:17.:55:22.

of the Labour Party, members of the Lib Dems, representatives of the

:55:23.:55:25.

SNP, or putting their case and of this debate, and we will no doubt

:55:26.:55:31.

see them afterwards as well. Indeed we will. The debate begins in

:55:32.:55:37.

just a few minutes, and I am joint by two distinguished Scottish

:55:38.:55:43.

writers and broadcasters. It was interesting, Alex, hearing the

:55:44.:55:45.

Canadian journalist talking about what happened with Quebec. They

:55:46.:55:55.

became the kind of never`ending campaign. Even if Alex Salmond loses

:55:56.:56:00.

all the SNP loses all the Yes campaign loses, it won't be over,

:56:01.:56:10.

will it? The Yes campaign boing `` won't stop campaigning. They form

:56:11.:56:16.

the Scottish Government after all. Attention will then focus to the

:56:17.:56:20.

promises made by the Unionist parties about the devolution of

:56:21.:56:23.

additional powers to Scotland, and there will be a debate about that.

:56:24.:56:28.

The notion of a never`ending referendum, that we will come back

:56:29.:56:32.

to this in ten years time, it strikes me as improbable, because

:56:33.:56:35.

you need a majority of the Scottish parliament to pass your referendum

:56:36.:56:39.

bill, and the electoral system of the Scottish parliament is designed

:56:40.:56:42.

to make achieving an overall majority extremely difficult. The

:56:43.:56:48.

SNP managed it, but that was things to a freak set of circumstances that

:56:49.:56:52.

we shouldn't expect to be repeated. The argument will not disappear, but

:56:53.:56:56.

the idea we would have another referendum in five or ten years is

:56:57.:57:02.

slightly implausible. I actually agree with Alex. I view that

:57:03.:57:18.

prospect with less... I think the question will disappear quickly off

:57:19.:57:21.

the radar. We have a UK general election. All of the party leaders

:57:22.:57:26.

will throw themselves into that. We have an in and out referendum for

:57:27.:57:31.

Europe a year later. I think Scotland will disappear. If there is

:57:32.:57:36.

no vote, you will go way down the judge agenda. `` wait on the agenda.

:57:37.:57:45.

If there is a yes vote, how do you view that? You are going to vote

:57:46.:57:49.

yes. Outside today you about the prospect? I am very excited. I say

:57:50.:57:58.

this as someone who loves England. I would like to see a social

:57:59.:58:02.

democratic Scotland doing a tank being in an equitable way,

:58:03.:58:05.

negotiating with its friends and neighbours in England equitable and

:58:06.:58:11.

to this temporary conundrum of how we change the constitution in

:58:12.:58:14.

Britain, and I think everything is possible. We have had a union for

:58:15.:58:20.

300 years. We have had not a union for longer than that. We keep

:58:21.:58:24.

talking in Scotland about the Scandinavian example, about how well

:58:25.:58:29.

they do these things. Norway breaking off, for example. Norway

:58:30.:58:36.

and Sweden were in a close union. They are still Scandinavia. They

:58:37.:58:41.

don't say, I am not Scandinavia. But no one will rush to join up again.

:58:42.:58:48.

The question Alistair Darling had difficulty with in the first debate

:58:49.:58:51.

was whether Scotland could be a successful independent country. Even

:58:52.:58:55.

though you would vote no, you think it could be. Of course it could be.

:58:56.:59:02.

There is nothing genetic about the Scots, we are quite capable of

:59:03.:59:07.

running our own country. It would not be a disaster. That is a

:59:08.:59:13.

preposterous notion. It is somewhat insulting. I don't think

:59:14.:59:18.

independence has to be a disaster. I think, ultimately, this is a

:59:19.:59:21.

question of something you mentioned earlier, which is feelings and

:59:22.:59:25.

belonging in committee. This is where the Scandinavian example

:59:26.:59:28.

breaks down. I don't pick if you ask someone in Norway, what nationality

:59:29.:59:34.

are you, they are not going to say I am Norwegian and Scandinavian. If

:59:35.:59:38.

you ask some one in Scotland, a lot of people will say I'm Scottish and

:59:39.:59:44.

British. Ruth disagrees, but they feel a part of their identity is

:59:45.:59:48.

threatened by independence, and they feel something would be lost. Just

:59:49.:59:51.

as I'm quite happy to admit something was lost on the day of the

:59:52.:59:56.

act of union being signed, the bells at Saint Giles Cathedral rang out

:59:57.:00:00.

that morning to the tune of how can I be sad on my wedding day?

:00:01.:00:06.

Similarly, on the day of independence, where it happen, there

:00:07.:00:10.

would be a lot of people wondering, why aren't I happy on the day of my

:00:11.:00:16.

divorce? What you come to my party, Alex? It will be a splendid party.

:00:17.:00:23.

One of you will be celebrating more. There has been a lot of talk about

:00:24.:00:30.

the bitterness, about the trolls, but I have found this a civilised

:00:31.:00:33.

and engaging argument. I don't think there would be a huge amount of

:00:34.:00:37.

disappointment on one side of the other, I directed there would be a

:00:38.:00:41.

huge amount of bitterness. Let's find out what will happen in this

:00:42.:00:47.

man is a building behind me. The debate is about to be chaired by

:00:48.:00:51.

Glen Campbell. The two men that may hold the future of Scotland and the

:00:52.:00:56.

UK in their hands are about to engage.

:00:57.:01:05.

Scotland's future. With the eyes of the world watching as the

:01:06.:01:10.

independence referendum edges ever closer, welcome to Glasgow for

:01:11.:01:12.

Scotland decides.

:01:13.:01:17.

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