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It's the vote that will decide Scotland's future. | :00:00. | :00:08. | |
With the eyes of the world watching, as the independence referendum | :00:09. | :00:13. | |
edges ever closer, welcome to Glasgow for Scotland Decides: | :00:14. | :00:16. | |
Hello and welcome to the magnificent Kelvingrove Art Gallery and Museum | :00:17. | :01:02. | |
in Glasgow, home to one of Europe's finest collections. As the | :01:03. | :01:06. | |
As the independence referendum campaign enters its final stages, | :01:07. | :01:09. | |
we've brought together two of the biggest names in Scottish politics | :01:10. | :01:12. | |
Making the case for a Yes vote - the First Minister of Scotland, | :01:13. | :01:38. | |
Alex Salmond which leads the SNP, which has been | :01:39. | :01:40. | |
campaigning for independence for 80 years. | :01:41. | :01:42. | |
Making the case for a No vote - the former Labour Chancellor, Alistair | :01:43. | :01:45. | |
Darling, who leads the Better Together campaign to keep Scotland | :01:46. | :01:47. | |
in the United Kingdom. It's only the second time these two men have gone | :01:48. | :01:51. | |
head to head in what has been a long campaign. They do so, on the day the | :01:52. | :01:55. | |
first postal ballots were sent out. For almost one in five Scottish | :01:56. | :01:58. | |
voters, this is the eve of poll. In the next 90 minutes, our guests will | :01:59. | :02:01. | |
face questions from members of our audience, from me and from each | :02:02. | :02:04. | |
other. I'll explain more about that in a moment. But first, there's an | :02:05. | :02:07. | |
opportunity for both men to make short opening statements. Alex | :02:08. | :02:10. | |
Salmond won a coin toss and has chosen to go first. Mr Salmond, you | :02:11. | :02:13. | |
Ladies and gentleman, this is an extraordinary time for us all. The | :02:14. | :02:21. | |
eyes of the world are focussed on Scotland. Twice before in Scotland | :02:22. | :02:26. | |
in recent history, we've stood at the cross-roads. In 1979, we didn't | :02:27. | :02:32. | |
get the Parliament we voted for and instead got 18 years offer to | :02:33. | :02:37. | |
Government, Margaret Thatcher, the deintuft reelisation of Scotland and | :02:38. | :02:42. | |
the poll tax to boot. In 1997, we took our opportunity and since the | :02:43. | :02:45. | |
Parliament came to Scotland, life has got better. We introduced free | :02:46. | :02:51. | |
personal care for the elderly, we removed tuition fees from the next | :02:52. | :02:55. | |
generation of students. We helped the old by providing security and we | :02:56. | :03:00. | |
gave opportunity to the young. When we have problems like the current | :03:01. | :03:06. | |
threat to the Ferguson shipyard, we can act deicively to save jobs. | :03:07. | :03:11. | |
There is much, far too much, that is still controlled at Westminster. We | :03:12. | :03:14. | |
couldn't stop the bedroom tax. We can't stop illegal wars. We can't | :03:15. | :03:19. | |
stop the poor and disabled bearing the brunt of welfare cuts. We can't | :03:20. | :03:24. | |
stop the spread of food banks in this prosperous country. We can't | :03:25. | :03:28. | |
stop countless billions being wasted on a new generation of weapons of | :03:29. | :03:32. | |
mass destruction. Now we have the opportunity to change all of that. | :03:33. | :03:38. | |
Three weeks on Thursday we can take matters into Scottish hands. Next to | :03:39. | :03:42. | |
no-one wants to go backwards. More and more Scots want to complete the | :03:43. | :03:47. | |
home-rule journey. The case for independence depends on a simple | :03:48. | :03:54. | |
proposition: No-one, absolutely no-one will want the be better than | :03:55. | :03:57. | |
the people who live and work in Scotland. No-one cares more about | :03:58. | :04:02. | |
Scotland. Just like in 1979, the voices of doom tell us we can't do | :04:03. | :04:06. | |
it. We can't do what every other country takes for granted. Just like | :04:07. | :04:10. | |
then, they are wrong. We are a rich nation, a resourceful people. We can | :04:11. | :04:17. | |
create a prosperous nation and a fairer society, a real vision for | :04:18. | :04:21. | |
the people of Scotland. This is our time. It's our moment. Let us do it | :04:22. | :04:24. | |
now. APPLAUSE | :04:25. | :04:47. | |
This is This is it, he's asking us to take his word for it on | :04:48. | :04:51. | |
everything, no Plan B for anything. Trust what he says, sorry I can't. | :04:52. | :04:56. | |
The basic difference between Alex Salmond and me is this: My first | :04:57. | :05:00. | |
priority is to build a fairer and better society. His first priority | :05:01. | :05:05. | |
is to create a separate state no matter what the risks and what the | :05:06. | :05:09. | |
costs. While he's been spending the last two years talking, I've been | :05:10. | :05:13. | |
listening. I know that people want change. But they also want security | :05:14. | :05:18. | |
on jobs, on pensions, on their children's future. That's why my | :05:19. | :05:23. | |
message is that No, Thanks will not mean no changes. That's why there | :05:24. | :05:27. | |
will be more powers for the Scottish Parliament on tax, welfare, on | :05:28. | :05:30. | |
everything that makes sense to decide here. We've delivered before. | :05:31. | :05:36. | |
We will deliver again. Now, tomorrow, we Scots will start voting | :05:37. | :05:42. | |
by post, so we need answers tonight, right here and right now. The | :05:43. | :05:47. | |
currency, no answers. Let me tell you why currency matters. Currency | :05:48. | :05:52. | |
is about jobs in huge numbers. Currency is about what we pay for | :05:53. | :05:55. | |
the weekly shop, interest rates, mortgage rates and rents and the | :05:56. | :06:00. | |
value of our pensions. Critically currency, the money we use, is about | :06:01. | :06:03. | |
being able to pay for public services upon which we all depend. | :06:04. | :06:09. | |
That's the real threat to our national Health Service, not the | :06:10. | :06:13. | |
ones he's trying to scare us with. The questions have grown, what about | :06:14. | :06:17. | |
oil? Last week, Sir Ian Wood, the North Sea oil expert issued a stark | :06:18. | :06:23. | |
warning, simply, he says that they're hugely exaggerating oil | :06:24. | :06:25. | |
revenues to make sure the sums add up. Again, are we going to place all | :06:26. | :06:31. | |
our bets on Alex Salmond alone being right? We don't need to take that | :06:32. | :06:35. | |
risk. The United Kingdom is about sharing risks and rewards with our | :06:36. | :06:39. | |
neighbours. Being part of something bigger gives us opportunity and | :06:40. | :06:43. | |
security as well as our Scottish identity and decision making. This | :06:44. | :06:47. | |
is a decision for which there is no turning back, but our children and | :06:48. | :06:50. | |
the generation that's follow will have to live with that decision. Now | :06:51. | :06:53. | |
you might hear some good lines from him tonight, but remember, a good | :06:54. | :06:58. | |
line is not always a good answer. It's answers now we need, otherwise | :06:59. | :07:02. | |
for ourselves and our children, other generations to come, we have | :07:03. | :07:04. | |
to say No, Thanks. APPLAUSE | :07:05. | :07:20. | |
Thank you for your opening remarks. Tonight 's debate is a game of four | :07:21. | :07:23. | |
halves or at least four sections. There will be questions on the | :07:24. | :07:27. | |
economy, on Scotland at home, on Scotland's place in the world and | :07:28. | :07:32. | |
what happens after the referendum. The lead questions will come from | :07:33. | :07:37. | |
members of our audience, here in Kelvingrove, 200 people have been | :07:38. | :07:41. | |
independently selected by the polling and research consultancy | :07:42. | :07:45. | |
ComRes to include a balance of yes and no supporters as well as some | :07:46. | :07:48. | |
undecided voters, a further 20 members of the public, simply | :07:49. | :07:51. | |
balanced, have been invited to take part, by the BBC, having sent in | :07:52. | :07:57. | |
questions via the BBC website. The first section is on the economy and | :07:58. | :08:04. | |
the first question comes from Jean Smith. Would we be financially safe | :08:05. | :08:13. | |
in an independent Scotland? Well, a lot of that depends on the currency | :08:14. | :08:18. | |
we use. At the moment, the bedrock of our economy is the pound | :08:19. | :08:23. | |
sterling. That doesn't belong to any one of the individual countries in | :08:24. | :08:25. | |
the United Kingdom, it belongs to the United Kingdom as a whole, the | :08:26. | :08:29. | |
Bank of England stands behind it and behind that the UK Government. I | :08:30. | :08:33. | |
know from my experience as Chancellor of the Exchequer, when I | :08:34. | :08:36. | |
had to deal with the collapse of the banking system in 2008, the security | :08:37. | :08:41. | |
that comes from having a country that was large enough to deal with | :08:42. | :08:44. | |
the collapsing bank, you remember the royal bank was almost the same | :08:45. | :08:48. | |
size as the whole of the UK at that time, meant I could do something | :08:49. | :08:53. | |
about it. My Irish counterpart, my Icelandic counterpart, remember, the | :08:54. | :08:56. | |
ark of prosperity, they weren't so lucky because they weren't big | :08:57. | :08:59. | |
enough. That's one of the reasons why I believe that Scotland is | :09:00. | :09:02. | |
better and stronger together by being part of the United Kingdom we | :09:03. | :09:06. | |
have that greater security. Of course, if you look at the wider | :09:07. | :09:10. | |
economy, Scotland has a lot going for us. Our businesses, our firms do | :09:11. | :09:14. | |
well but I would argue that is because of the United Kingdom not | :09:15. | :09:18. | |
despite the United Kingdom. When I look at jobs for our children and | :09:19. | :09:21. | |
grandchildren, in a pretty uncertain world, I'm very convinced it's in | :09:22. | :09:25. | |
our best interests to be proud of what we do here in Scotland, proud | :09:26. | :09:29. | |
of our identity, but equally proud to share in the wider United Kingdom | :09:30. | :09:35. | |
because we get something bigger, something greater, greater security | :09:36. | :09:40. | |
out of that as well. Well, the question was will we be safe and | :09:41. | :09:44. | |
security as an independent Scotland economically, the answer is yes, we | :09:45. | :09:47. | |
will. Scotland compared to other wealthy countries, we're 14th in the | :09:48. | :09:51. | |
organisation of economic and cooperation and development, the | :09:52. | :09:55. | |
rich man's club, it's sometimes called per head of population. | :09:56. | :09:59. | |
Alastair raised the currency. Let me say what we want to do. I'm looking | :10:00. | :10:03. | |
for a mandate so we can share sterling, the pound, in a sensible | :10:04. | :10:06. | |
currency union with the rest of the United Kingdom. That's best because | :10:07. | :10:10. | |
England and Wales and Northern Ireland are our biggest export | :10:11. | :10:14. | |
market. We're their second biggest export market. It makes sense. I'm | :10:15. | :10:19. | |
looking - I know there's other options for Scotland, we could have | :10:20. | :10:23. | |
a Scottish currency, like Sweden or Norway does. We could have a | :10:24. | :10:27. | |
Scottish pound attached to the pound sterling. That's what Denmark does | :10:28. | :10:31. | |
with the euro or Hong Kong with the dollar. No-one can stop us using the | :10:32. | :10:38. | |
pound sterling. It's an internationally tradeable currency. | :10:39. | :10:40. | |
We believe the best option for Scotland, what I'm seeking a mandate | :10:41. | :10:46. | |
for, so to have the pound scerling, so -- sterling, we pay our mortgage, | :10:47. | :10:50. | |
get our wages in the pound. I'm seeking the best option for Scotland | :10:51. | :10:55. | |
so a prosperous economy keeps the pound sterling. | :10:56. | :11:01. | |
APPLAUSE I can tell you both that we will be | :11:02. | :11:05. | |
coming to the currency. In the next part of the discussion, I'd like to | :11:06. | :11:10. | |
focus on an issue that has become topical over the last few days and | :11:11. | :11:16. | |
that is oil. I think you mentioned Sir Ian Wood, a leading figure in | :11:17. | :11:21. | |
the North Sea questioning how much black gold there is to be extracted. | :11:22. | :11:25. | |
Since then other prominent figures in the industry have said there | :11:26. | :11:29. | |
might be more than he anticipates. Alistair Darling, isn't it the case | :11:30. | :11:35. | |
that the figures from the UK Government's independent Office for | :11:36. | :11:39. | |
Budget Responsibility are too low? They say there are only ten billion | :11:40. | :11:45. | |
barrels left, the industry says 24. If you look at the last 20 years | :11:46. | :11:50. | |
successive Governments have been too optimistic about production and the | :11:51. | :11:53. | |
amount of revenue we get from the North Sea. As you say, the office of | :11:54. | :11:58. | |
budget responsibility, which is independent of Government, its given | :11:59. | :12:02. | |
estimates and proved to be too optimistic. I just give an example | :12:03. | :12:05. | |
of what the problem is: In the last couple of years, the amount of | :12:06. | :12:10. | |
revenue we've got from the North Sea has been ?5 billion less than was | :12:11. | :12:15. | |
expected. That ?5 billion, to give you an example of what that does, it | :12:16. | :12:19. | |
is equivalent to more than we spend on schools in Scotland and half what | :12:20. | :12:22. | |
we spend on the Health Service. If you lost that sum in any one year, | :12:23. | :12:28. | |
as happened last year, it means for Scotland it would have to make good | :12:29. | :12:32. | |
that, either by raising taxes elsewhere or cutting back on public | :12:33. | :12:37. | |
exebd expenditure. Do you think the estimates, which are lower than the | :12:38. | :12:41. | |
industry, far lower than Sir Ian Wood suggests, they are too low? Are | :12:42. | :12:45. | |
they too pessimistic? If you look back, they have been too optimistic. | :12:46. | :12:51. | |
Looking ahead, we've never extracted as much as people expect. Sir Ian | :12:52. | :12:54. | |
Wood was commissioned by the Government to see how we could get | :12:55. | :12:58. | |
more oil extracted, but he, last week, and he is probably one of the | :12:59. | :13:03. | |
leading experts in the North Sea, he has said that the Scottish | :13:04. | :13:09. | |
Government is something, is being wildly on the mistic. I hope -- | :13:10. | :13:16. | |
optimistic I hope we get more oil revenue from the North Sea. But if | :13:17. | :13:18. | |
you don't, remember an independent Scotland would get about 15% of its | :13:19. | :13:27. | |
revenues from the North Sea - You will have plenty of time. It's a | :13:28. | :13:30. | |
small pror portion of revenue for the UK. We are taking on a huge | :13:31. | :13:34. | |
amount of risk because North Sea oil revenues are volatile, uncertain and | :13:35. | :13:39. | |
we will make huge cuts to public expend chair if it went wrong as it | :13:40. | :13:45. | |
has in the last year. Alastair twice said that the OBR was independent | :13:46. | :13:50. | |
and to be trusted. Yet in 2010, he said it wasn't so much a part of | :13:51. | :13:54. | |
Government but had become a part of the Conservative Party. That's what | :13:55. | :14:02. | |
he said. You are misleading. As far as Ian Wood... Not for the first | :14:03. | :14:05. | |
time, you're being totally misleading about that. You asked me | :14:06. | :14:13. | |
not to interrupt you, so do me the same service. Ian Wood is a | :14:14. | :14:17. | |
respected figure in the industry, let's take his estimate of the | :14:18. | :14:21. | |
future reserves of North Sea oil. He says between 17 to 18. 5 billion | :14:22. | :14:27. | |
barrels, that's a thousand million barrels over the next 35 years. 15 | :14:28. | :14:32. | |
to 16-and-a-half. In financial terms, that is worth ?1 trillion. It | :14:33. | :14:44. | |
has a lot of billions, a lot of money. The No campaign, the Tory | :14:45. | :14:50. | |
party, the Labour Party, the only people in the world who argue that | :14:51. | :14:53. | |
the possession of substantial amounts of oil and gas is somehow | :14:54. | :14:59. | |
cursed as opposed to an asset for a country. Every other country in the | :15:00. | :15:02. | |
world thinks it's an asset. APPLAUSE | :15:03. | :15:07. | |
You are quoting a wholesale value of oil. | :15:08. | :15:09. | |
What the Government actually gets is the tax from that. The profits go to | :15:10. | :15:15. | |
America and places like that. What I would say to you, the North Sea has | :15:16. | :15:20. | |
been in a colossal boon to this country for 40 years, but what you | :15:21. | :15:24. | |
can't get away from is that once it is gone, it has gone. Slowly but | :15:25. | :15:30. | |
surely, every barrel we take away, there is one barrel less. I don't | :15:31. | :15:33. | |
want to see my country so dependent on something that is so volatile | :15:34. | :15:37. | |
that in one year last year, you lost more revenues than be spent on the | :15:38. | :15:43. | |
whole of the schools in Scotland. Let me ask a question. It is the | :15:44. | :15:50. | |
case your own Government's forecast, downgraded by ?1 billion for the | :15:51. | :15:54. | |
first year of independence, that's an acceptance that this is a | :15:55. | :15:57. | |
volatile resource which will be much more important to the economy than | :15:58. | :16:03. | |
it is to the UK than an independent Scotland. Don't you feel it's a | :16:04. | :16:09. | |
risk? It's about 15% of Scotland's overall economy. It is 20% of | :16:10. | :16:14. | |
Norway's overall economy and I haven't seen do Norway much harm | :16:15. | :16:18. | |
over the last 40 years. Now, Alistair says the last 40 years been | :16:19. | :16:23. | |
great but 40 years ago, his colleagues were telling us that | :16:24. | :16:27. | |
North Sea oil and gas would run out by the year 2000. The reality is, | :16:28. | :16:32. | |
North Sea oil and gas will be with is way behind 2050. Alistair says I | :16:33. | :16:36. | |
was quoting a wholesale value but let's say that 20% of it is the | :16:37. | :16:41. | |
revenue that goes to the Government. That is ?200 billion, 200,000 | :16:42. | :16:48. | |
billion pounds, ?6 billion a year. The reality is, every other country | :16:49. | :16:52. | |
in Europe would give their eye teeth to have North Sea oil and gas for | :16:53. | :16:56. | |
the bid cannot be regarded as anything other than a substantial | :16:57. | :17:01. | |
asset for the people of Scotland. But it's notoriously volatile. | :17:02. | :17:02. | |
APPLAUSE . | :17:03. | :17:07. | |
You're promising things on the basis of the source of revenue which is | :17:08. | :17:11. | |
very volatile, which would make up a substantial part of Scotland's | :17:12. | :17:15. | |
income and boiler is a great thing to have but to rely so much on | :17:16. | :17:21. | |
something, that oil. Your White Paper, there was just one page of | :17:22. | :17:26. | |
members for one year and the estimates you made the oil have | :17:27. | :17:29. | |
proved to be wrong, much lower than you thought. To tell people they can | :17:30. | :17:38. | |
rely on it is gambling our children's future. | :17:39. | :17:43. | |
APPLAUSE I want to move to our second | :17:44. | :17:47. | |
question on the economy from Cathy Devlin. | :17:48. | :17:52. | |
I would like to know in an independent Scotland, I would like a | :17:53. | :17:56. | |
definitive answer exactly what currency we will use if we don't use | :17:57. | :18:00. | |
sterling. Alex Salmond you have set up the options but what is the | :18:01. | :18:03. | |
definitive answer? Can I say to Cathy, since I had opportunity to | :18:04. | :18:09. | |
lead a number of opportunities at options for Scotland, I am seeking a | :18:10. | :18:14. | |
mandate for the people of Scotland in this referendum. I want people to | :18:15. | :18:17. | |
back the proposition that we should share sterling in a currency union, | :18:18. | :18:24. | |
a common sense common currency is best for Scotland and the rest of | :18:25. | :18:28. | |
the UK. Now, that mandate is crucial for the battle they want people in | :18:29. | :18:31. | |
Scotland to support because I believe if we supported and send me | :18:32. | :18:36. | |
into negotiations as First Minister, that will be the outcome. I have | :18:37. | :18:40. | |
said at the options to point out that other things Scotland could | :18:41. | :18:43. | |
do. I laid out in some detail earlier on, but I would go as First | :18:44. | :18:48. | |
Minister to argue what's best for Scotland seeking a mandate from the | :18:49. | :18:53. | |
people of Scotland so we can have that as a settlement in negotiations | :18:54. | :18:57. | |
if I was to argue for second best, then second best is what we would | :18:58. | :19:01. | |
get. You go into negotiations with that mandate arguing for what's best | :19:02. | :19:05. | |
for Scotland and that is keeping the ?. | :19:06. | :19:05. | |
APPLAUSE -- ? the point about a currency | :19:06. | :19:18. | |
union is both parties have to agree to it and yes there is the sovereign | :19:19. | :19:22. | |
will of the Scottish people but also we have to accept there is a | :19:23. | :19:25. | |
sovereign will have the rest of the UK for a currency union to work. | :19:26. | :19:29. | |
Both sides have to agree. You can see that in the Eurozone. When you | :19:30. | :19:32. | |
look at the views throughout the whole country, just why would expect | :19:33. | :19:38. | |
people to say we don't want to join the euro but will join a currency | :19:39. | :19:42. | |
union with a foreign country, you are taking a huge risk if you just | :19:43. | :19:46. | |
assume it's going to fall into place. I think the currency union | :19:47. | :19:50. | |
would be bad for Scotland because our budget would have to be decided | :19:51. | :19:54. | |
and approved, not by us, but by what would then be a foreign country | :19:55. | :19:58. | |
because that's what happened in the Eurozone. Every country has to stand | :19:59. | :20:01. | |
in its budget for approval and it would not be good for the rest of | :20:02. | :20:04. | |
the UK either but the question which was asked was, if we don't have a | :20:05. | :20:10. | |
currency union, what is plan B? I had no luck three weeks ago I asked | :20:11. | :20:13. | |
him what that was. He could not say, didn't want to say because we | :20:14. | :20:20. | |
wouldn't like the answer. It's not a matter for Alex Salmond what the | :20:21. | :20:25. | |
alternative is. Hold on. I would like to know what the answer is | :20:26. | :20:28. | |
because I don't want to use somebody else's currency with no central | :20:29. | :20:32. | |
bank, rotten public services. It is the euro, I don't not bad either and | :20:33. | :20:35. | |
as for a separate Scottish currency, we saw what happened with a new | :20:36. | :20:41. | |
currency, the new kid on the block, the first thing, they default on | :20:42. | :20:47. | |
debt. I want to know what plan B is. APPLAUSE | :20:48. | :20:51. | |
. I set out the options very clearly. | :20:52. | :21:02. | |
Three plan Bs for the price of one. They are just like buses. You expect | :21:03. | :21:07. | |
one and then up in a row. Three plan B Pol. I would like to follow up | :21:08. | :21:16. | |
here. It people back that plan, to keep sterling in a sensible currency | :21:17. | :21:20. | |
union, would you, as a Democrat, accept that as the will of the | :21:21. | :21:24. | |
Scottish people? If you win this referendum, I will accept a No vote, | :21:25. | :21:29. | |
but do you accept the solid goodwill of Scottish people and back the | :21:30. | :21:35. | |
currency union? I have always said, in a referendum, you accept the | :21:36. | :21:40. | |
outcome, but I happen to think and so do a lot of people in this | :21:41. | :21:44. | |
country that a currency union that you are proposing is a second best | :21:45. | :21:50. | |
option for Scotland. The ? only works if you have an economic and | :21:51. | :21:57. | |
political union. I want to hear from members of our audience if you would | :21:58. | :22:00. | |
like to contribute some points. It's not the case of not giving us your | :22:01. | :22:04. | |
plan B because we can work it out. You have said no to the euro, you | :22:05. | :22:10. | |
don't support that, the White Paper says if somebody wants to argue the | :22:11. | :22:13. | |
case for a separate Scottish currency they need to win an | :22:14. | :22:17. | |
election, so that leaves us with at the point of Independence, if we | :22:18. | :22:20. | |
can't have a currency union, using the pound anyway. You are absolutely | :22:21. | :22:25. | |
right we don't need permission to use our own currency for that nobody | :22:26. | :22:30. | |
can tell us to do or not to use the pound. The argument actually denies | :22:31. | :22:36. | |
us the assets of the Bank of England, the financial assets of the | :22:37. | :22:39. | |
country. The reason that won't happen incidentally is if you do | :22:40. | :22:43. | |
that, the UK, the rest of the UK, the people watching at home in | :22:44. | :22:46. | |
England and Wales tonight and Northern Ireland, will get stuck | :22:47. | :22:49. | |
with liabilities and there's absolutely no way, the enormous | :22:50. | :22:55. | |
debts so Alistair Darling and George Osborne built up that any UK | :22:56. | :23:02. | |
Chancellor is going to let Scotland off ?5 billion a year of the debt | :23:03. | :23:06. | |
payments we have offered to make as part of a sensible currency union. | :23:07. | :23:09. | |
That's why it's good for Scotland and good for the rest of the UK. | :23:10. | :23:11. | |
APPLAUSE You said a few moments ago you had a | :23:12. | :23:24. | |
row of buses, plan Bs. This is not a collection of buses | :23:25. | :23:28. | |
but the many we use. The value of our savings. The interest rates we | :23:29. | :23:33. | |
pay, the amount of money for public services. Stop playing games with | :23:34. | :23:40. | |
us. You must have a plan B for the Scottish people. If we win the | :23:41. | :23:43. | |
referendum, will you... Nobody can hear. Can we use the pound anyway? | :23:44. | :23:51. | |
Of course, we could use a pound, the ruble. We can use anything we want. | :23:52. | :23:59. | |
The problem is, if you're using somebody else's currency, you don't | :24:00. | :24:03. | |
have a central bank, so the financial services can't exist in | :24:04. | :24:07. | |
Scotland. Just hold on a bet, will you? The second problem is, | :24:08. | :24:16. | |
countries which use other people 's currencies like Panama, Ecuador, | :24:17. | :24:19. | |
Hong Kong, they have to run a surplus, they can't borrow. You | :24:20. | :24:24. | |
would have a huge deficit. That comes out of public services like | :24:25. | :24:27. | |
schools and hospitals. That's why it is a nonsense option. If the rest of | :24:28. | :24:32. | |
the UK refuses a currency union, doesn't it leave itself liable for | :24:33. | :24:38. | |
all the accumulated UK debt? No, it doesn't. Glenn asked me a question. | :24:39. | :24:45. | |
Then he will come onto you, no doubt. If your first message in the | :24:46. | :24:50. | |
World is here is Scotland, new currency, and by the way, we have | :24:51. | :24:53. | |
just defaulted on our debt, what you think that will do to people who | :24:54. | :24:57. | |
lend us money in the future? Nobody would lend any money in the future. | :24:58. | :25:04. | |
The accepted liability for UK debt and all surpluses on January 13 this | :25:05. | :25:09. | |
commie can't default on a debt which is not yours in the first place. | :25:10. | :25:13. | |
Alistair few seconds ago, admitted he could use the anyway. We didn't | :25:14. | :25:18. | |
need permission. Totally different from the Chancellor of the exchequer | :25:19. | :25:22. | |
said only a few months ago when he said if you walk out of the UK, you | :25:23. | :25:27. | |
walk out of the pound. We have heard it tonight. They cannot stop us | :25:28. | :25:31. | |
using the pound, the most important revelation of this debate. Are you | :25:32. | :25:40. | |
saying... Are you saying, Alex Salmond, if the UK refused a | :25:41. | :25:43. | |
currency union, you would refuse to take a share of debt? We cannot be | :25:44. | :25:50. | |
stopped from using the pound but what it can do is deny us the access | :25:51. | :25:55. | |
to the financial assets held by the Bank of England. The Bank of England | :25:56. | :26:00. | |
for example owns 27% of UK debt. You would not take the debt? We are | :26:01. | :26:05. | |
offering to pay a fair share as part of the agreement. If the UK parties | :26:06. | :26:11. | |
take all of financial assets of the UK, then they are stuck with all the | :26:12. | :26:16. | |
financial liabilities of the United Kingdom. It's obvious. I want to | :26:17. | :26:21. | |
bring in some members of the audience who have not had a say so | :26:22. | :26:25. | |
far in the programme. The gentleman in a middle in a checked shirt. A | :26:26. | :26:32. | |
question for Alistair. The point is come if you think the currency union | :26:33. | :26:37. | |
is the second option, second best for Scotland, what would be the best | :26:38. | :26:42. | |
for an independent Scotland? We will pick up on that. The gentleman in | :26:43. | :26:45. | |
the front row in the middle with a black jacket and blue shirt. The Yes | :26:46. | :26:53. | |
side Saint Nicholas promises that speaking to the other parties. If we | :26:54. | :26:59. | |
come out of the UK, we will also come out of the offside for the euro | :27:00. | :27:02. | |
and other member of the EU will be required to take on the euro with in | :27:03. | :27:06. | |
a matter of years. OK, the lady in the back row. I think whether we use | :27:07. | :27:12. | |
the pound or not is regardless at this point, and it sounds like we'll | :27:13. | :27:16. | |
have some kind of currency union. The problem is, and what situation | :27:17. | :27:22. | |
would we have it? It seems like Alex Salmond is suggesting we held a | :27:23. | :27:25. | |
central bank to ransom and I wonder how the English Government will | :27:26. | :27:30. | |
respond to that given it will be a foreign country at that point? | :27:31. | :27:34. | |
Perhaps you might want to pick up on the Euro question. Can I do say to | :27:35. | :27:39. | |
the lady was just spoken, our proposition is we should have a fair | :27:40. | :27:44. | |
share of financing the debts accumulated by the UK as part of a | :27:45. | :27:48. | |
sensible currency arrangement. As far as the gentleman's point on the | :27:49. | :27:52. | |
row is concerned, you can't be forced into it. Sweden, for | :27:53. | :27:56. | |
example, is part of the EU on exactly the same basis legally that | :27:57. | :28:00. | |
Scotland would be. Sweden is not in the road because joining it is | :28:01. | :28:05. | |
voluntary. -- in the Euro. The gentleman spoke first asked the most | :28:06. | :28:10. | |
important question. Alistair seems to rule out everything. 190 | :28:11. | :28:14. | |
countries have a currency arrangement and why would Scotland | :28:15. | :28:18. | |
be the only independent country in history which can't have a | :28:19. | :28:20. | |
satisfactory currency to run its own affairs? We would not have to have a | :28:21. | :28:25. | |
currency in a Yes Vote... As the former Chancellor, what would your | :28:26. | :28:29. | |
advice be if we could not have a currency? I think the fallback | :28:30. | :28:35. | |
positions are second and bad for Scotland. It is possible in a few | :28:36. | :28:41. | |
weeks time, Scotland could choose to be independent, and you have been in | :28:42. | :28:46. | |
the Treasury. You know what is not good for this country but what would | :28:47. | :28:51. | |
be the best plan B option? Honestly, they are all second-best and I'm not | :28:52. | :28:54. | |
going to argue for a second-best option. I'm sorry. You're not doing | :28:55. | :29:01. | |
as a plan B either after saying Alex Salmond wouldn't give us a plan B. | :29:02. | :29:05. | |
The pound sterling is the best for Scotland. It's not like a CD | :29:06. | :29:11. | |
collection you split up in a divorce for the value of the ? if the Bank | :29:12. | :29:15. | |
of England stands behind it and UK Government stands behind that and | :29:16. | :29:20. | |
that's why the ? acceptable. The lady was asking about the euro. It | :29:21. | :29:26. | |
is the case that every country which adorn the European Union after 1996 | :29:27. | :29:30. | |
has been obliged to join the euro. We'll have to see in discussions | :29:31. | :29:33. | |
what happened then but in relation to the currency union, I will be | :29:34. | :29:38. | |
brief, even if you have got one, I can't understand why, as a | :29:39. | :29:42. | |
nationalist, you would want one because our borrowing, tax and | :29:43. | :29:45. | |
spending would be decided, not in Edinburgh, but by a foreign | :29:46. | :29:48. | |
Government in London. APPLAUSE | :29:49. | :29:55. | |
The next section of our debate which is on Scotland at home. The next | :29:56. | :30:08. | |
question now. I just want to know how independence would improve or | :30:09. | :30:14. | |
change the NHS for everyone, but in particular, for people living with | :30:15. | :30:18. | |
life-long conditions, chronic illnesses? I will put that first to | :30:19. | :30:25. | |
Alex Salmond. Can I say to Linda that the most important thing about | :30:26. | :30:28. | |
the National Health Service for people with chronic conditions and | :30:29. | :30:33. | |
all of us as we keep it safe in public hands and keep it properly | :30:34. | :30:36. | |
financed. The position just now under devolution is we can't be | :30:37. | :30:40. | |
forced to privatise the National Health Service because we have | :30:41. | :30:44. | |
operational control of it, but we don't have financial control of it. | :30:45. | :30:48. | |
That is a serious problem. There are people watching in Wales tonight | :30:49. | :30:51. | |
where the National Health Service spending has been reduced in real | :30:52. | :30:57. | |
terms because of the financial pressure the budgets London. There | :30:58. | :30:59. | |
people in England watching where they have a Jarrow march taking | :31:00. | :31:04. | |
place, through Yorkshire tonight, campaigning against the | :31:05. | :31:06. | |
privatisation of the National Health Service. Now the danger for Scotland | :31:07. | :31:12. | |
is this: If England goes down the road of privatisation and charging | :31:13. | :31:14. | |
and cuts to public spending, it's not because they can force us to | :31:15. | :31:17. | |
privatise the Health Service in Scotland because they can't. It's | :31:18. | :31:22. | |
the financial pressure makes things extremely difficult for the Health | :31:23. | :31:25. | |
Service in Scotland. That's why to have a Health Service we can trust | :31:26. | :31:28. | |
and rely on, we've got to have a Health Service where we have | :31:29. | :31:32. | |
financial control as well as policy control, so we can keep the National | :31:33. | :31:37. | |
Health Service as the greatest public institution of Scotland. | :31:38. | :31:47. | |
APPLAUSE The Health Service is critically | :31:48. | :31:51. | |
important to all of us in Scotland. It's one of the most Cherished | :31:52. | :31:54. | |
institution there's is in the country. That is one of the reasons | :31:55. | :31:58. | |
that I believe being part of the United Kingdom means that we have | :31:59. | :32:00. | |
that strength and security that means that we can fund it, | :32:01. | :32:04. | |
especially with the pressures of an ageing population here in Scotland. | :32:05. | :32:09. | |
At the moment, quite rightly, the total control over the NHS lies with | :32:10. | :32:13. | |
the Scottish Parliament and the Scottish Government. Not only in | :32:14. | :32:17. | |
terms of policy, but actually, in terms of financing. The Scottish | :32:18. | :32:20. | |
Parliament can decide how much or how little it spends, how much it | :32:21. | :32:23. | |
spends in the public sector, how much it spends in the private sector | :32:24. | :32:26. | |
and the Scottish Government has spent in the last couple of years | :32:27. | :32:30. | |
nearly ?100 million of NHS money through the private sector in order | :32:31. | :32:34. | |
to meet its targets. So both Governments are doing that. The | :32:35. | :32:40. | |
point is because of the strength and security of the United Kingdom, | :32:41. | :32:44. | |
public spending here is ?1200 a head more than in the rest of the United | :32:45. | :32:48. | |
Kingdom and that is the way to guarantee spending on the National | :32:49. | :32:50. | |
Health Service. Now I'm glad we're discussing it. At the last debate, | :32:51. | :32:56. | |
Alex Salmond mentioned the NHS once. Since that debate, and all the | :32:57. | :32:59. | |
business over the currency, we've been subjected to a scare campaign | :33:00. | :33:05. | |
principally aimed at what's going on in England... | :33:06. | :33:07. | |
LAUGHTER Alex Salmond was endorsing the claim | :33:08. | :33:11. | |
that operations were being stopped at a hospital in Gateshead in the | :33:12. | :33:14. | |
north-east of England because of privatisation. It turns out the | :33:15. | :33:19. | |
allegation was simply untrue. It was a complete fabrication. What we need | :33:20. | :33:25. | |
is less of that scaremongering and more of a realisation that we all | :33:26. | :33:30. | |
want the NHS to do well. We all want it to be there when we need it and | :33:31. | :33:33. | |
to do that you need funding. Frankly, taking on risks not even | :33:34. | :33:37. | |
knowing what currency you've got is a real threat to the National Health | :33:38. | :33:42. | |
Let's pursue Service. This then. APPLAUSE | :33:43. | :33:44. | |
I will be seeking further audience contributions in just a moment. But | :33:45. | :33:47. | |
Alex Salmond, if a Yes vote is the only way to protect the NHS, why | :33:48. | :33:52. | |
doesn't it say that in your white paper on independence, your prospeck | :33:53. | :33:59. | |
Tuesday? -- prospectus? That's been a long-term argument for the case | :34:00. | :34:02. | |
for independence. Why isn't it in the white paper? I tried to weigh it | :34:03. | :34:06. | |
out carefully. I'm not saying we can be forced to privatise the Health | :34:07. | :34:09. | |
Service in Scotland because we have operational control of the National | :34:10. | :34:14. | |
Health Service. But I am saying that general cutbacks in England, a move | :34:15. | :34:18. | |
towards privatisation and charging will impose financial pressure on | :34:19. | :34:21. | |
the National Health Service. If we want to see what could happen in | :34:22. | :34:25. | |
Scotland tomorrow, we only need to look at what's happening in Wales | :34:26. | :34:28. | |
today, where a Labour administration has been forced to cut back National | :34:29. | :34:35. | |
Health Service in real terms because this afternoon budgetary pressure. | :34:36. | :34:38. | |
We've protected it in Scotland to date. It is extraordinarily | :34:39. | :34:42. | |
difficult. Alastair says we can choose. The overall Scottish budget | :34:43. | :34:47. | |
has been cut by 8%. Isn't the point that the budget for the NHS in | :34:48. | :34:51. | |
England is rising and continues to rise, so at what point, in what year | :34:52. | :34:55. | |
do you think it will fall with a knock-on cut to the Scottish budget? | :34:56. | :35:00. | |
Exactly, which is why I've said the overall budget to Scotland has been | :35:01. | :35:05. | |
cut by 8%. If we, as we have, decide to protect the National Health | :35:06. | :35:08. | |
Service, which we've done, that's a third of our spending, that means | :35:09. | :35:12. | |
the rest of the budget takes a 12% cut. If, as we believe, and Labour | :35:13. | :35:17. | |
believe in England, there's a privatisation agenda and a charging | :35:18. | :35:21. | |
agenda in the National Health Service, it means less public money | :35:22. | :35:24. | |
spent in England and under devolution that knocks on to | :35:25. | :35:28. | |
Scotland. Nobody believes that privatising the Health Service to | :35:29. | :35:30. | |
increase public spending, nobody believes that. Therefore, to protect | :35:31. | :35:33. | |
and the National Health Service we have to control it financially as | :35:34. | :35:38. | |
well as in policy terms to keep it safe in public hands. Let's bring in | :35:39. | :35:44. | |
Alistair Darling. Let me ask the question... | :35:45. | :35:46. | |
APPLAUSE If the Scottish National Party is | :35:47. | :35:51. | |
wrong about this, why has the Shadow Health Secretary, Labour's Andy | :35:52. | :35:54. | |
Burnham, been warning about the demise of the NHS in England? | :35:55. | :35:59. | |
Because there's a big argument going on as to exactly how much private | :36:00. | :36:02. | |
sector provision do you use as part of the overall treatment. Actually, | :36:03. | :36:06. | |
in public spending terms, whether the NHS spends its money directly or | :36:07. | :36:09. | |
through a private contractor, it doesn't make any difference in terms | :36:10. | :36:12. | |
of the amount of money that we get. But there's an important point here, | :36:13. | :36:16. | |
throughout all the time of the Labour Government, of which I was a | :36:17. | :36:19. | |
member, we increased spending on health. It actually has carried on | :36:20. | :36:22. | |
increasing under the present Government and it's due to carry on | :36:23. | :36:26. | |
increasing in the next few years. Don't just believe me. There's an | :36:27. | :36:30. | |
article in the Financial Times today that made that point. Which leads me | :36:31. | :36:34. | |
to wonder why, firstly, in the last debate, Alex Salmond mentioned the | :36:35. | :36:39. | |
NHS once. In the constitution he published the draft constitution for | :36:40. | :36:41. | |
Scotland published published the draft constitution for | :36:42. | :36:45. | |
wasn't mentioned at all. This has all come along as part of the | :36:46. | :36:48. | |
referendum campaign. It may be an issue in the general election, but | :36:49. | :36:53. | |
what I really resent is using scare stories like the one in the hospital | :36:54. | :36:56. | |
in the north-east in order to make a point, which has got nothing to do | :36:57. | :37:03. | |
with this referendum. Let's hear from the audience first. Then you | :37:04. | :37:07. | |
can both come back in. The lady towards the front here. I would like | :37:08. | :37:11. | |
to encourage everybody, whether you're voting yes or no or you're | :37:12. | :37:15. | |
undecided - don't believe a word that comes out of Alistair Darling's | :37:16. | :37:20. | |
mouth. You are a hypocrite Mr Darling. You and your Labour | :37:21. | :37:24. | |
Government started the privatisation of the Health Service. Yes you did. | :37:25. | :37:31. | |
No, we didn't. Half of your boys' club in Westminster have lovely | :37:32. | :37:34. | |
investments in private health companies. One last thing, if you | :37:35. | :37:39. | |
get any more invites to speak at fancy dinners for private health | :37:40. | :37:46. | |
companies, I hope you can feel Mr Bevan sitting on your shoulder. All | :37:47. | :37:50. | |
right, thank you. Gentleman at the back. | :37:51. | :37:58. | |
Yes you with the glasses. Is the real threat to Scotland's budget not | :37:59. | :38:05. | |
the scrapping of the Barnett formula, advocated by several | :38:06. | :38:08. | |
ministers in the current Cabinet. That's the way in which money is | :38:09. | :38:12. | |
shared out across the UK, all the nations of the UK. I'll take another | :38:13. | :38:17. | |
gentleman in the middle here in the blue shirt. You're talking about | :38:18. | :38:21. | |
saving the NHS and how important it is, why then are you allowing trials | :38:22. | :38:26. | |
down in England where you can get private health care? That's going to | :38:27. | :38:30. | |
erode wages, erode the service and allow people to farm out, like the | :38:31. | :38:34. | |
lady said, private companies to come and lift the money right out of the | :38:35. | :38:37. | |
NHS. That's not going to help us in any shape or form. One more. Right | :38:38. | :38:46. | |
up the back. Gentleman in the blue T-shirt. What about the Post Office? | :38:47. | :38:52. | |
You privatised that, Mr Darling? Let's stick with the National Health | :38:53. | :38:56. | |
Service. That's enough for us to cope with at the moment. Do you want | :38:57. | :39:00. | |
to pick up on those points? I didn't privatise the Post Office. In | :39:01. | :39:03. | |
relation to the Health Service, I think every one of us here and most | :39:04. | :39:08. | |
people in this country want to see a strong and thriving Health Service. | :39:09. | :39:12. | |
That's my concern. I think we can best do that by being part of the UK | :39:13. | :39:16. | |
where you have higher public expenditure, which goes to the | :39:17. | :39:19. | |
Health Service in Scotland. We do in the rest of the United Kingdom. We | :39:20. | :39:21. | |
have an ageing population in Scotland. We have a rising health | :39:22. | :39:25. | |
need. I don't want to put that at risk. When I look at independent | :39:26. | :39:29. | |
experts, not anything I'm saying, who look at Scotland's budgetary | :39:30. | :39:33. | |
position in the years after independence, and they've identified | :39:34. | :39:40. | |
a ?6 billion black hole over and above anything that might bring I | :39:41. | :39:43. | |
don't want to put the Health Service at risk. I'm against going down a | :39:44. | :39:47. | |
route that ends up us finding that public services are more squeezed, | :39:48. | :39:50. | |
more pressure and cut in a way that I don't think any of us want to see. | :39:51. | :39:56. | |
I'm not prepared to take that risk. APPLAUSE | :39:57. | :39:58. | |
The risk to the National Health Service comes from the cutbacks | :39:59. | :40:02. | |
we've already had from Westminster, already pertaining in Wales, the | :40:03. | :40:06. | |
threat of ?25 billion more. Now the Labour Party in England are warning | :40:07. | :40:11. | |
loud and clear of the risk of privatisation throughout the | :40:12. | :40:13. | |
National Health Service, the risk of charging. The Labour Party in Wales | :40:14. | :40:18. | |
say that they've been forced to cut health expenditure because of the | :40:19. | :40:22. | |
budgetary pressure from Westminster. Are you the only person who doesn't | :40:23. | :40:27. | |
realise what's going on in England and Wales and the threat to Scotland | :40:28. | :40:31. | |
unless we establish financial control to protect our own Health | :40:32. | :40:37. | |
Service? APPLAUSE | :40:38. | :40:43. | |
In a sentence. I recognise budgetary constraints everywhere. What I'm | :40:44. | :40:49. | |
saying is that - You accuse me of scaremongering. | :40:50. | :41:22. | |
CHEERING Because I believe that we can do | :41:23. | :41:25. | |
better, we can be more prosperous, more options open to us by being | :41:26. | :41:29. | |
proud what have we do in Scotland, but also having the advantage of | :41:30. | :41:33. | |
being part of the United Kingdom. Let me give an example. A few weeks | :41:34. | :41:38. | |
ago, I visited one of the most developed and advanced research, | :41:39. | :41:41. | |
medical research centres in Dundee. There are people working there on | :41:42. | :41:44. | |
possible cures and treatments for cancer, not just from Scotland, but | :41:45. | :41:48. | |
from all over the country. Why are they there? Because Dundee attracts | :41:49. | :41:54. | |
a very large share of UK research money. The experts were saying to | :41:55. | :41:58. | |
me, if they lose that UK research money, by losing the UK, that will | :41:59. | :42:03. | |
mean we lose that centre of expert ease. That's not -- expertise. | :42:04. | :42:07. | |
That's important in terms of job that's will come in being able to | :42:08. | :42:11. | |
develop treatments. That's one example. Near Glasgow, on the Clyde, | :42:12. | :42:15. | |
we know there have been huge problems with the threatened closure | :42:16. | :42:19. | |
of Fergusons. There are a lot of Royal Navy work here that depends on | :42:20. | :42:23. | |
the Royal Navy. There's a submarine work further down the Clyde. Defence | :42:24. | :42:26. | |
jobs are throughout Scotland. They're all examples of where jobs | :42:27. | :42:29. | |
will come from in the future and if we lose those jobs, if we put a | :42:30. | :42:34. | |
barrier between those firms and businesses and the markets south of | :42:35. | :42:38. | |
the border that will have a bad effect on employment prospects. Yes, | :42:39. | :42:41. | |
things are difficult just now for very obvious reasons, but I believe | :42:42. | :42:45. | |
that we will be making a huge mistake to take on risks that we | :42:46. | :42:49. | |
don't need and giving up on opportunities that we need for our | :42:50. | :42:54. | |
children and generations to come. APPLAUSE | :42:55. | :43:00. | |
Can I say, as First Minister, I've been working all week with the shop | :43:01. | :43:03. | |
stewards at Fergusons to try and secure the employment there. I am | :43:04. | :43:07. | |
absolutely delighted that we have moved into a position tonight with a | :43:08. | :43:12. | |
prepared bidder and every opportunity and every belief that | :43:13. | :43:16. | |
we're going to be able to sustain that yard and sustain the employment | :43:17. | :43:20. | |
in the lower Clyde. That's the sort of action we've been able to take | :43:21. | :43:24. | |
now because we have a Scottish Parliament that we couldn't take | :43:25. | :43:27. | |
before. As far as other job threats in the Clyde are concerned, | :43:28. | :43:30. | |
Alastair, the gentleman's question hit the nail on the head. You say | :43:31. | :43:34. | |
there's threats to ship building jobs. I don't accept that. I think | :43:35. | :43:37. | |
the future for ship building George Osborne is as the UCS workers, the | :43:38. | :43:45. | |
shop stewards said last week, by diversifying our skills into the | :43:46. | :43:49. | |
range of merchant vessels, like Norway, who produced 100 vessels in | :43:50. | :43:53. | |
the last year. The ship building employment in Scotland has gone from | :43:54. | :43:58. | |
tens of thousands to 3,000s under the United Kingdom. When gentleman | :43:59. | :44:02. | |
said, not just talking about ship building, if we're better together, | :44:03. | :44:06. | |
why don't we see it now, face the reality. In so many airsa -- areas | :44:07. | :44:10. | |
of life, of child poverty, food banks, the loss of industrial jobs, | :44:11. | :44:15. | |
Westminster stands dieted because of their running of the economy -- | :44:16. | :44:18. | |
indicted because of the running of the economy in Scotland. | :44:19. | :44:26. | |
There are many issues we could discuss and we are quite pressed for | :44:27. | :44:30. | |
time in this section will any pick on one, the welfare issue you | :44:31. | :44:34. | |
mentioned. Alistair Darling, the Scottish | :44:35. | :44:37. | |
Government estimates, as a result of disability living allowance being | :44:38. | :44:40. | |
replaced with a personal independence payment, in the coming | :44:41. | :44:45. | |
years, more than 100,000 disabled Scottish people will lose money for | :44:46. | :44:48. | |
them to you support that reform? No one can support people who need | :44:49. | :44:55. | |
support being denied help. We have come as a country, our | :44:56. | :44:59. | |
responsibility to help people who need support, but to do that, you | :45:00. | :45:04. | |
need the means to do it. What concerns me is that, if you end up | :45:05. | :45:08. | |
in a situation where you are cutting off opportunities for phones that | :45:09. | :45:11. | |
generate wealth and therefore generate taxation, to pay for these | :45:12. | :45:16. | |
things, -- firms then you are less likely to provide support in the | :45:17. | :45:20. | |
future. That's why I think this approach is absolutely wrong. We | :45:21. | :45:24. | |
know that people with disabilities, we know we've got an ageing | :45:25. | :45:27. | |
population who require more medical care, we know we have are falling | :45:28. | :45:32. | |
working age population. Why take that burden on 5 million people when | :45:33. | :45:36. | |
it could be shared across 63 million? It | :45:37. | :45:41. | |
it could be shared across 63 whatsoever. Isn't it more | :45:42. | :45:42. | |
sustainable dramatist and draws on taxes from the whole of the UK | :45:43. | :45:46. | |
rather than just those who pay in Scotland? Clearly not, because in | :45:47. | :45:53. | |
your question, you gave the answer. There are 100,000 Scots with | :45:54. | :45:57. | |
disabilities falling victim to the welfare reforms. Alistair Darling | :45:58. | :46:00. | |
didn't bother to condemn, as he went on in his answer but I condemn the | :46:01. | :46:04. | |
way people with disabilities are being treated and I think it's an | :46:05. | :46:08. | |
indictment of the way that Westminster has handled Social | :46:09. | :46:11. | |
Security. Yes, we have troubled economic times, but the mark of a | :46:12. | :46:16. | |
Government of concern is when you are in difficult times, you don't | :46:17. | :46:21. | |
take it out on the disabled and on families with children and impose a | :46:22. | :46:25. | |
bedroom tax which must be the most ludicrous tax of all time. | :46:26. | :46:27. | |
APPLAUSE When times are tough and cash is | :46:28. | :46:36. | |
short, an independent Scotland may have to make some of the very | :46:37. | :46:39. | |
difficult choices the UK Government is making at the moment. | :46:40. | :46:43. | |
We made a choice in the Scottish Parliament for the Westminster | :46:44. | :46:46. | |
introduced the bedroom tax and we had taking money out of other | :46:47. | :46:49. | |
resources in parliament despite the fact we don't control Social | :46:50. | :46:53. | |
Security, to compensate people for the ridiculous argument that if you | :46:54. | :46:57. | |
have a disability and you need a spare room, a box room for your | :46:58. | :47:01. | |
equipment, all of a sudden you're going to lose housing benefit, we | :47:02. | :47:06. | |
had to take ?50 million to compensate in order to make sure | :47:07. | :47:09. | |
that ordinary Scots didn't suffer all were penalised. If we controlled | :47:10. | :47:16. | |
welfare, and introduced bedroom tax on the first place, wouldn't it be | :47:17. | :47:19. | |
better? APPLAUSE | :47:20. | :47:23. | |
The bedroom tax is thoroughly bad in every respect for the bid needs to | :47:24. | :47:29. | |
be repealed. And what's more, we have said if we | :47:30. | :47:33. | |
are elected next year, not only will we repeal it, | :47:34. | :48:08. | |
I want to go back to currency because on Sunday I read in the | :48:09. | :48:19. | |
newspapers that... CROWD BOOS | :48:20. | :48:58. | |
other options for Scotland, three Bs which I described. But which one? | :48:59. | :49:01. | |
The flexible currency union Sweden and Norway have, the fixed exchange | :49:02. | :49:06. | |
rate like Denmark, and Hong Kong has with the dollar and I pointed out, | :49:07. | :49:10. | |
and thankfully you admitted in early on in this debate, we cannot be | :49:11. | :49:16. | |
stopped from using the pound anyway. So, you see, three plan Bs, | :49:17. | :49:23. | |
Alistair. The reason I'm raising it again is because the currency is the | :49:24. | :49:27. | |
foundation of our economy, of what we have to do is save, the value of | :49:28. | :49:32. | |
money, the interest rates, how much we can spend on things. I want you | :49:33. | :49:38. | |
to contemplate the impossible. Ask yourself, you're wrong, you don't | :49:39. | :49:41. | |
get the currency union, what is plan B? Even your insults have been | :49:42. | :49:48. | |
retreaded from the last debate, Alistair, it's incredible. I set out | :49:49. | :49:52. | |
what the options and explain him in great detail and I've asked the very | :49:53. | :49:57. | |
obvious question to say why user adamant putting forward what's best | :49:58. | :50:02. | |
for Scotland, I'm seeking a mandate from the people here, at home, I | :50:03. | :50:06. | |
want a mandate so we can go in with the will of the Scottish people to | :50:07. | :50:09. | |
have a common sense, common currency. If we get that mandolin, | :50:10. | :50:14. | |
and we win, will you support that option? -- mandate. And it's bad for | :50:15. | :50:22. | |
Scotland, for the UK. All I'm asking you, just oppose the one moment you | :50:23. | :50:26. | |
didn't die currency union, it's not your money, it's everybody else's | :50:27. | :50:33. | |
money, what is it? Our own currency? " and Mark? Your top adviser said we | :50:34. | :50:38. | |
might have a Panamanian solution using the currency for a | :50:39. | :50:41. | |
transitional period of six months. I don't want to be in Panama for six | :50:42. | :50:47. | |
minutes. There's 190 countries in the world, range of currency | :50:48. | :50:50. | |
options. An independent Scotland will be the first country in history | :50:51. | :50:55. | |
way you describe all of the currency options as long. I am First Minister | :50:56. | :50:58. | |
and I want to go into this referendum seeking a clear mandate | :50:59. | :51:03. | |
from the Scottish people for the viewer been asked a number of times, | :51:04. | :51:07. | |
if you win the referendum, I will accept the result. If the Yes side | :51:08. | :51:18. | |
win, will you campaign against... This is... I will accept the result. | :51:19. | :51:23. | |
With ballot papers going at the Day after tomorrow, people want to know | :51:24. | :51:26. | |
what is going to happen to the money they have got, what currency will | :51:27. | :51:31. | |
they have if they don't have a currency union? Jones answer the | :51:32. | :51:35. | |
question. You admitted in the programme, you cannot stop us from | :51:36. | :51:41. | |
using the pound. That is plan B, is it? I think there will be a currency | :51:42. | :51:45. | |
union because if you go down the road of you denying as assets and | :51:46. | :51:49. | |
the Bank of England, you end up being stuck with a debt, which you | :51:50. | :51:53. | |
and the current Chancellor managed to accumulate 60% off. Will you be | :51:54. | :51:59. | |
prepared to support this southern -- sovereign will of the Scottish | :52:00. | :52:05. | |
people? Can we stop there for a second? I want questions from | :52:06. | :52:09. | |
Alistair Darling and answers from the First Minister. Clearly I'm | :52:10. | :52:17. | |
going to get nowhere with plan B. Let me ask you about another plan B, | :52:18. | :52:21. | |
oil revenues for the we talked earlier at the fact North Sea oil | :52:22. | :52:27. | |
revenues worth ?5 billion less than you expected last year which is more | :52:28. | :52:32. | |
than we spend on the schools budget. In the UK, that can be dealt with. | :52:33. | :52:33. | |
If you are an independent country and you just lost the equivalent of | :52:34. | :52:36. | |
your schools budget, how would you make up the gap? Sir Donald Mackay, | :52:37. | :52:43. | |
the advisers are 25 years to the Secretary of State for Scotland, | :52:44. | :52:46. | |
wrote last week and said there's no black hole in the oil estimates, the | :52:47. | :52:50. | |
UK Treasury and the OBR are missing a mountain. What if you are wrong | :52:51. | :52:58. | |
about that? Sir Donald Mackay day that estimate last week. When you | :52:59. | :53:02. | |
are Chancellor, you forecast the oil revenues would be 6,000,000,020 11 | :53:03. | :53:08. | |
and in fact, they turned out to be 11,000,000,020 11. So therefore, | :53:09. | :53:30. | |
and in fact, they turned out to be why can't you do it? If you have | :53:31. | :53:32. | |
lost ?6 billion of revenue because production goes down, how old you | :53:33. | :53:39. | |
make up the difference when you have lost that much in just one year? | :53:40. | :53:42. | |
Production is going up, Alistair, and that's why all companies have | :53:43. | :53:47. | |
invested ?13 billion in the North Sea this year. They haven't invested | :53:48. | :53:54. | |
?13 billion into the North Sea because... Nobody can hear if you | :53:55. | :54:00. | |
are talking over each other. That investment is offset against | :54:01. | :54:03. | |
revenues but they are investing it to increase production. We know why | :54:04. | :54:07. | |
it is going up. Production will increase because 80%... We know | :54:08. | :54:13. | |
production is going up because of the UK subsidy that is going into | :54:14. | :54:20. | |
decommissioning but I'm asking you, in an independent Scotland, if you | :54:21. | :54:23. | |
suddenly lost revenues, the equivalent of Evelyn be spend on | :54:24. | :54:27. | |
skills, half on the health service, in just one year, how would you make | :54:28. | :54:32. | |
up the difference? That's exactly why the butt for the fund | :54:33. | :54:38. | |
stabilisation. Absolute nonsense. -- we put forward. Every other country | :54:39. | :54:48. | |
has faced this for 22... Scotland has spent more than it has got. | :54:49. | :54:55. | |
That's not true. It is true. Five years relative to the UK. Scotland | :54:56. | :55:00. | |
was ?8 billion better off all would have been... Alistair, you know | :55:01. | :55:09. | |
that. I know your figures. I have looked at your figures and you are | :55:10. | :55:12. | |
spending more than you are bringing in. The difference is a lot of | :55:13. | :55:16. | |
money. Alex Salmond, could you allow him to get another question? If | :55:17. | :55:22. | |
you're hit with a ?6 billion deficit, held on, identified by the | :55:23. | :55:29. | |
Institute for Fiscal Studies, which you quote in your White Paper, they | :55:30. | :55:35. | |
say you have to find ?6 billion more over and above posterity, how would | :55:36. | :55:41. | |
you find it? Are you going to raise taxes or cut services? Scotland will | :55:42. | :55:44. | |
be a prosperous economy whether it's independent or not. You had a | :55:45. | :55:54. | |
deficit of ?150 billion. Why can't you answer this question? Why can't | :55:55. | :56:01. | |
you answer this question? In a few day's time... He can't answer basic | :56:02. | :56:08. | |
questions on currencies. I'm afraid that's the end of your time. | :56:09. | :56:12. | |
Alex Salmond you now have eight minutes to cross-examine | :56:13. | :56:14. | |
How many children in Scotland is it estimated that will move into | :56:15. | :56:22. | |
poverty by 2020, given that Welfare spending cuts? Too many | :56:23. | :56:33. | |
children. How many? During the time in Government, we halve the number | :56:34. | :56:34. | |
of people living in poverty. It in Government, we halve the number | :56:35. | :56:46. | |
there are many. I wanted estimate. How many is the estimate? There are | :56:47. | :56:52. | |
too many children living in poverty. Would it surprise you to | :56:53. | :56:57. | |
know it is 100,000 extra children in Scotland moving into poverty with | :56:58. | :57:01. | |
the welfare reforms? Do you think it's a price worth paying for the | :57:02. | :57:05. | |
Westminster Government? I don't agree with | :57:06. | :57:06. | |
Policy. I'm a Labour politician and I want to see Labour Government | :57:07. | :57:15. | |
elected next year. The Labour Party... The Labour Party have said | :57:16. | :57:21. | |
they will continue with the welfare policies of the Tory Government. | :57:22. | :57:27. | |
100,000 children with disabilities, they've also been affected by the | :57:28. | :57:32. | |
welfare reforms. Is that a price worth paying for Westminster? As I | :57:33. | :57:38. | |
said earlier, as a society, we have an obligation to ensure we get | :57:39. | :57:43. | |
children out of poverty. Hold on a minute and stop interrupting. That | :57:44. | :57:47. | |
is why, for example, I found you, as a Government, have cut ?1 billion | :57:48. | :57:52. | |
anti-poverty programmes, 130,000 college places... So don't lecture | :57:53. | :58:03. | |
me on this. 100,000 people with disabilities. These are the people | :58:04. | :58:07. | |
who are suffering from Westminster Government for the it's all very | :58:08. | :58:10. | |
well for you decide your Labour politician, so why are you standing | :58:11. | :58:14. | |
here defending Conservative policies on a joint platform? Come on! I | :58:15. | :58:22. | |
disagree with a Conservative Government and with your Government. | :58:23. | :58:28. | |
I believe across parties, we are better as part of the UK, just as | :58:29. | :58:32. | |
you're in bed with some people who would normally want to be in bed | :58:33. | :58:35. | |
with. On issues of welfare reform, and stopping poverty, making sure we | :58:36. | :58:40. | |
are a fair and just society, I believe we can best do that with the | :58:41. | :58:48. | |
resources I come from the UK and not the risks of independence. The NHS | :58:49. | :58:53. | |
can't privatise the NHS directly in the way they do in England but what | :58:54. | :58:58. | |
they can do is starved of resources, cutting back on the money provided | :58:59. | :59:01. | |
to the Scottish Government. Do you think it's inaccurate statement? No, | :59:02. | :59:08. | |
the amount of money being spent on the health service has increased | :59:09. | :59:13. | |
throughout our tamers Government. That term as Government. Is it | :59:14. | :59:18. | |
accurate? It's for you to decide how much it is spent on health in | :59:19. | :59:24. | |
Scotland. It's a choice you make so don't blame other people for it. The | :59:25. | :59:30. | |
Scottish Government, that's not from them but from Unison, so is that | :59:31. | :59:33. | |
accurate? Given the health service... I know that. Everybody | :59:34. | :59:41. | |
working in the NHS or using it want to see it properly funded and | :59:42. | :59:44. | |
resourced but what I'm saying to you is the decision in Scotland is for | :59:45. | :59:47. | |
you to decide what you want to spend it on the fourth of the cutbacks | :59:48. | :59:52. | |
from Westminster, is at an accurate statement? Is an accurate statement? | :59:53. | :00:03. | |
It is an accurate statement? Don't play games thon. This is not games. | :00:04. | :00:08. | |
It's an important issue. This is the National Health Service. How much, | :00:09. | :00:16. | |
Alastair? How much? How much do your colleagues estimate to replace the | :00:17. | :00:19. | |
Trident nuclear system in monetary terms? I don't think you choose | :00:20. | :00:23. | |
either between defending the country and spending money on the Health | :00:24. | :00:29. | |
Service. How much? How much? The cost is over something like ?80 | :00:30. | :00:34. | |
million billion Do you think that's a sensible use of money? I don't | :00:35. | :00:39. | |
think we choose between defending the country and the Health Service. | :00:40. | :00:44. | |
We can choose how to spend it. Don't you lecture me on that. Why are you | :00:45. | :00:51. | |
waving your hands at me? Is it a sensible, is that ?4 billion a | :00:52. | :00:55. | |
sensible allocation of resources when the Health Service is under | :00:56. | :00:57. | |
pressure? I understand there are many people who think Trident is | :00:58. | :01:03. | |
wrong. Is it sensible? Hold on. Let him answer the question. I do think | :01:04. | :01:07. | |
that we have an obligation to defend this country just as we have an | :01:08. | :01:10. | |
obligation to make sure we spend money on public services. That's the | :01:11. | :01:15. | |
answer to your question. Name three job-creating powers that the Better | :01:16. | :01:19. | |
Together parties intend to give the Scottish Parliament? First of all, | :01:20. | :01:27. | |
devolving the Work Programme - Job creating. The Work Programme does - | :01:28. | :01:33. | |
The Work Programme pays people poverty wages. Wait till you get the | :01:34. | :01:38. | |
answer. What three powers. The jobs programme first of all. Secondly, | :01:39. | :01:45. | |
making sure we guarantee if they're unemployed, getting back into work, | :01:46. | :01:50. | |
through work and training. How is that involved? And by maintaining | :01:51. | :01:55. | |
jobs in the financial industry, food and drinks industry, that's the best | :01:56. | :01:58. | |
guarantee of jobs in the future. Name two. If you can't name three, | :01:59. | :02:03. | |
name two. I've told you in terms of the programme for devolving work. | :02:04. | :02:10. | |
Name... Name one real job-creating Goodness me, power. Being part of | :02:11. | :02:14. | |
the United Kingdom means that we get jobs in the financial services ind | :02:15. | :02:20. | |
strip. What -- Industry. Jobs in science and re search and | :02:21. | :02:23. | |
developments. What are the job-creating powers that you are | :02:24. | :02:26. | |
going to guarantee to the Scottish Parliament if the 'No' campaign wins | :02:27. | :02:32. | |
the day? The Scottish Parliament has full powers... We've got them | :02:33. | :02:36. | |
already? In addition we have more powers in addition to welfare... Job | :02:37. | :02:40. | |
creating, Alastair. They create jobs. The public service creates | :02:41. | :02:45. | |
jobs. Critically what we do in the private sector as part of the United | :02:46. | :02:49. | |
Kingdom creates jobs. I'm sorry you can't see that. I'm asking what | :02:50. | :02:53. | |
powers are the Better Together parties going to transfer to the | :02:54. | :02:56. | |
Scottish Parliament to enable us to create more jobs, name three | :02:57. | :02:59. | |
job-creating powers. I've told you. No, you haven't. You mentioned the | :03:00. | :03:05. | |
Work Programme, which pays people poverty wages. Job creating powers. | :03:06. | :03:09. | |
I said staying part of the United Kingdom is the best way of | :03:10. | :03:11. | |
guaranteeing jobs in the future. That's not the question. What will | :03:12. | :03:16. | |
you transfer to the Scottish Parliament? That's the difference | :03:17. | :03:21. | |
between you and me... You're promising a powerhouse Parliament | :03:22. | :03:24. | |
name three job creating powers, it's a simple question. I've done that. | :03:25. | :03:30. | |
All you've got to offer in the white paper is a promise that whatever the | :03:31. | :03:34. | |
rate of corporation tax George Osborne thinks you'll make it 3 p | :03:35. | :03:37. | |
cheaper. Isn't that great for Starbucks and Amazon. It doesn't do | :03:38. | :03:40. | |
anything to create real jobs in this country. Name three that you're | :03:41. | :03:44. | |
going to give to Scotland. What are they? I've told you. Being part of | :03:45. | :03:48. | |
the United Kingdom gives the advantage of creating jobs in the | :03:49. | :03:53. | |
financial services industry, food and drinks industry. What we have | :03:54. | :03:57. | |
found out there's 100,000 children faced with poverty, 100,000 people | :03:58. | :04:02. | |
with disability. They're going to spend ?4 billion a year on This is | :04:03. | :04:06. | |
Trident. Absolute nonsense. He can't name three job creating powers for | :04:07. | :04:11. | |
the Parliament. You just made a wonderful case for voting yes in | :04:12. | :04:14. | |
this referendum. You can't tell me what money you'll be using, how can | :04:15. | :04:18. | |
you guarantee anything in public services. The time is up. That's the | :04:19. | :04:32. | |
end of the cross-examination section. | :04:33. | :04:32. | |
Now one of the striking things about this referendum campaign is | :04:33. | :04:38. | |
how many people have become actively engaged in the discussion | :04:39. | :04:41. | |
With turnout predicted to be 80% or even higher in September's vote, | :04:42. | :04:44. | |
town halls, offices and living rooms are alive with | :04:45. | :04:47. | |
Everyone should be voting. It's a very important decision to make. I | :04:48. | :04:56. | |
think this is an absolutely vital point in Scotland's history. It's | :04:57. | :04:59. | |
important that everybody should exercise their right to vote. It is | :05:00. | :05:02. | |
so important, it doesn't matter what your views are for yes or no, this | :05:03. | :05:08. | |
is a one-time in a lifetime opportunity to vote. It's made me | :05:09. | :05:13. | |
look at our system, our political system, what we need and really | :05:14. | :05:19. | |
understand how this country works and what I want. This could be | :05:20. | :05:23. | |
either the greatest moment in history of Scotland or the biggest | :05:24. | :05:24. | |
down fall. history of Scotland or the biggest | :05:25. | :05:32. | |
artist. I'm Val and I'm an employment advisor. I'm from | :05:33. | :05:38. | |
Shetland. I work for Scottish national I'm 16 heritage. And a | :05:39. | :05:42. | |
first-time voter. The referendum should be an opportunity to work out | :05:43. | :05:45. | |
what sort of country we want to live in and what sort of society we want | :05:46. | :05:50. | |
to live in. It's going to impact on employment. Funding for crofting is | :05:51. | :05:58. | |
essential to make sure that our heritage continues, whoever wins. | :05:59. | :06:02. | |
It's a once in a lifetime thing, get your opinions across and decide your | :06:03. | :06:06. | |
own future. I'm proud to be Scottish and not in a tartan and kilt way. | :06:07. | :06:11. | |
I'm proud of my country. I want to flourish. What it would entail and | :06:12. | :06:15. | |
was going to happen in the future, especially for this little man. | :06:16. | :06:19. | |
We'll be the ones trying to obtain mortgages, we'll be setting out | :06:20. | :06:23. | |
careers and trying to start up families. I think it's historic. It | :06:24. | :06:30. | |
will be a defining moment. It's not something that you'll be able to | :06:31. | :06:33. | |
overturn in the next five years or ten years if we shouldly change our | :06:34. | :06:37. | |
mind. It's -- should change our mind. It's important to get it | :06:38. | :06:41. | |
right. It's wonderful that everybody in Scotland gets to choose | :06:42. | :06:44. | |
regardless of which way it goes. Once and for all, it will be settled | :06:45. | :06:50. | |
by the referendum. Two sections still to come. We're going to look | :06:51. | :06:55. | |
at what happens after the referendum on September 18th. First we look at | :06:56. | :07:01. | |
Scotland's place in the world. Another question now from Brian | :07:02. | :07:08. | |
Connelly. I'd like to ask was going to happen when they scrap Trident? | :07:09. | :07:13. | |
What's going to happen to the jobs, the people and the housing after | :07:14. | :07:25. | |
it's scrapped? We quite identify certainly the policy of the SNP will | :07:26. | :07:28. | |
be going into the first election for an independent Scotland to remove | :07:29. | :07:33. | |
Trident from Scotland. Our policy is to have Faslane as the head quarter | :07:34. | :07:36. | |
base of the Scottish Defence Forces, which will create a large number of | :07:37. | :07:45. | |
jobs. The number of reports over the years have indicated that any other | :07:46. | :07:49. | |
expenditure would generate more jobs than wasting billions on weapons of | :07:50. | :07:53. | |
mass destruction that can never be used. But we are conscious of the | :07:54. | :07:58. | |
spoments we have to the Faslane area -- responsibilities that we have to | :07:59. | :08:02. | |
the Faslane area and we have identified it as the head of the | :08:03. | :08:06. | |
Scottish Defence Forces. That policy removes weapons of mass destruction | :08:07. | :08:10. | |
from Scotland because they are a phenomenal waste of money as well as | :08:11. | :08:14. | |
being totally morally wrong, but also, a policy which gives our | :08:15. | :08:18. | |
undertakings and our obligations to the local community in Faslane. | :08:19. | :08:27. | |
APPLAUSE In a few years' time, there will be | :08:28. | :08:33. | |
about just over 8,000 jobs employed in Faslane not just in relation to | :08:34. | :08:37. | |
Trident, but also because it is due to become the UK centre for the | :08:38. | :08:42. | |
non-Trident submarine fleet. If Trident were to go, then it's almost | :08:43. | :08:47. | |
certain that the rest of the submarine work would go with it. The | :08:48. | :08:50. | |
thing is integrated as you might expect. I think we can ill afford to | :08:51. | :08:55. | |
lose another 8,000 jobs from the Clyde and the west of Scotland. | :08:56. | :08:58. | |
Remember, there are other jobs, supply jobs and so on that are | :08:59. | :09:02. | |
associated with that. Never mind the cost of moving it. I also, I mean I | :09:03. | :09:07. | |
understand why people might feel very strongly or be against Trident | :09:08. | :09:13. | |
missiles, but simply to tow them down the coast into England won't | :09:14. | :09:16. | |
result them in being any less nuclear missiles. It won't reduce | :09:17. | :09:20. | |
the amount of missiles around but it will cost us 8,000 jobs in the | :09:21. | :09:23. | |
Clyde. It is fanciful to suggest that a much smaller Scottish Defence | :09:24. | :09:28. | |
Force will require 8,000 jobs in one place. They've been promised in | :09:29. | :09:32. | |
other parts of Scotland as well. I think it is the wrong thing to do | :09:33. | :09:35. | |
both in military terms, but also in terms of jobs. We cannot afford to | :09:36. | :09:40. | |
lose 8,000 jobs. It would be a massive blow to the west of | :09:41. | :09:45. | |
Scotland. I'm going to broaden this out, but the question is about jobs. | :09:46. | :09:49. | |
Alex Salmond, you talk about a ten-year transition to defence in | :09:50. | :09:53. | |
Scotland, an independent Scotland. How long would it be before Faslane, | :09:54. | :09:57. | |
under your proposals had as many people as it would have if we remain | :09:58. | :10:02. | |
part of the United Kingdom? We intend to do two things immediately, | :10:03. | :10:07. | |
because obviously we don't, we accept that Trident can't be removed | :10:08. | :10:10. | |
immediately. We've given a five-and-a-half year time scale for | :10:11. | :10:15. | |
the removal of Trident. As that is removed, it will enable us to build | :10:16. | :10:19. | |
up conventional Scottish Defence Forces. Faslane will be two things: | :10:20. | :10:23. | |
One, the headquarters of the Scottish Defence Force - But what | :10:24. | :10:27. | |
point do you get the scale of employment that is equivalent to | :10:28. | :10:31. | |
what is proposed as part of the UK? As terms of on-shore jobs, it's | :10:32. | :10:36. | |
going to be very substantial indeed. When will it be the same? In terms | :10:37. | :10:40. | |
of Royal Navy jobs, it will be considerable because currentsly we | :10:41. | :10:44. | |
have no surface ships in Scotland. No major surface ships at all. | :10:45. | :10:48. | |
Obviously, we should have surface ships to defend our oil insulations | :10:49. | :10:54. | |
-- installations, so between the surface ships and the defence | :10:55. | :10:58. | |
headquarters, over a period of time - What I'm asking is how long will | :10:59. | :11:02. | |
it take? As you rightly say, we look at a ten-year period to build up | :11:03. | :11:05. | |
Scottish Defence Forces. By the end of the ten years? Equally, it's | :11:06. | :11:10. | |
five-and-a-half years, the time table for the removal of Trident | :11:11. | :11:14. | |
nuclear submarines. Alastair says they're just going to tow them down | :11:15. | :11:18. | |
to England - Is it ten years, is that your guarantee? I think people | :11:19. | :11:22. | |
will make a choice, a sensible choice, it would be sensible not to | :11:23. | :11:26. | |
proceed with the next generation of Trident submarines. It might be | :11:27. | :11:30. | |
sensible not to spend ?100 billion over the next 40 years on this new | :11:31. | :11:35. | |
generation - We're still on jobs at the moment. Thank you for that, for | :11:36. | :11:41. | |
the moment. I go back briefly to the questioner on this, what's your | :11:42. | :11:47. | |
perspective? Well, I think to spend, he's talking about saving money, to | :11:48. | :11:53. | |
spend ?365 million to move Trident, and leave 7,000 people without jobs, | :11:54. | :12:01. | |
plus there is no other organisation to take these people in. You're not | :12:02. | :12:08. | |
re-assured that the jobs would be replaced by the Scottish Defence | :12:09. | :12:13. | |
Force? Not at all. On the other side in the middle. Given that removal of | :12:14. | :12:22. | |
Trident would open up the Clyde to allow oil exploration and drilling, | :12:23. | :12:25. | |
surely that would go some way to replacing any jobs that were lost by | :12:26. | :12:30. | |
removal of Trident? APPLAUSE | :12:31. | :12:35. | |
Thank you for those points. The Royal United Services Institute, | :12:36. | :12:38. | |
which is a respected think-tank, has said that it is possible to move | :12:39. | :12:43. | |
Trident, but that it would take until 2028 to do so safely. That's | :12:44. | :12:48. | |
eight years after your proposed time table, Alex Salmond. Would you be | :12:49. | :12:54. | |
prepared - Let me correct you. They argued that to move Trident it would | :12:55. | :12:58. | |
be possible within five-and-a-half years but said that the weapons | :12:59. | :13:04. | |
establishment would take longer. As part of the overall piece. Yes, but | :13:05. | :13:08. | |
you could move Trident in that time scale. I think five-and-a-half years | :13:09. | :13:12. | |
is a reasonable time scale for us to put forward in the white paper. | :13:13. | :13:16. | |
Would Scotland pay for the missiles and warheads to stay longer? I'm not | :13:17. | :13:21. | |
arguing that at all. I'm just saying what the royal united institute | :13:22. | :13:25. | |
said. Scotland is a country of 5. 25 million people. It is lewd cus to rb | :13:26. | :13:32. | |
ludicrous to suggest that we should harbour weapons of mass destruction. | :13:33. | :13:37. | |
APPLAUSE It's equally ludicrous that this | :13:38. | :13:40. | |
will generate more jobs because nuclear weapons are hugely capital | :13:41. | :13:45. | |
intensive. It is, after all, an Americans weapons system in the | :13:46. | :13:48. | |
first place. Any conventional forces will generate more jobs than nuclear | :13:49. | :13:54. | |
jobs ever could. There's two things here... | :13:55. | :14:28. | |
nuclear allowance for that it is make any sense. In relation to the | :14:29. | :14:32. | |
logistics, yes, the experts have said it could take until 2028 to | :14:33. | :14:37. | |
move it which suggests it could be very expensive and take a long time | :14:38. | :14:42. | |
but critically, in relation to the jobs, there are 8000 jobs at stake | :14:43. | :14:46. | |
and they are 8000 jobs at stake and they're not all nuclear. The Trident | :14:47. | :14:51. | |
missile systems, other submarines, the Clyde would become a centre for | :14:52. | :14:56. | |
expertise. On top of that, there's a risk to the Royal Naval work on the | :14:57. | :14:59. | |
Clyde because the Royal Navy does not build warships for foreign | :15:00. | :15:04. | |
countries. It's a huge loss of jobs and expertise which I am not | :15:05. | :15:08. | |
prepared to accept. What about the strategic side of all this? Lord | :15:09. | :15:11. | |
Robertson, a former secretary-general of NATO, has said | :15:12. | :15:17. | |
independence would be cataclysmic in part because it would force the rest | :15:18. | :15:22. | |
of the UK to unilaterally disarm itself of nuclear weapons for them | :15:23. | :15:26. | |
do you share that view? I think the rest of the UK come if they had to | :15:27. | :15:33. | |
lose nuclear western buttons -- weapons, then that would happen. The | :15:34. | :15:37. | |
greater concern is the disruption which takes place and the | :15:38. | :15:41. | |
uncertainties. You talk about a Scottish defence Force. Frankly, | :15:42. | :15:46. | |
they have not set out any coherent vision of what the Scottish defence | :15:47. | :15:48. | |
Force would look like and that talk about spending rather less on it and | :15:49. | :15:52. | |
as for the Trident savings, they will offer to spend it ten times | :15:53. | :15:57. | |
over. You can't be spending money you haven't actually got. Trident is | :15:58. | :16:06. | |
not at all like North Sea oil. It's a bonus for Scotland come in North | :16:07. | :16:14. | |
Sea oil. It's nothing like... To compare oil and gas with weapons of | :16:15. | :16:21. | |
mass destruction and to say they are comparable... Oil and gas is a bonus | :16:22. | :16:25. | |
for Scotland. Trident as a burden on Scotland. How on earth can you say | :16:26. | :16:34. | |
15% of your tax revenue is a bonus? It's an essential part. Don't | :16:35. | :16:39. | |
mislead people. You may want independence at any price but the | :16:40. | :16:42. | |
rest of us realise what you're doing is trying to make you can spend | :16:43. | :16:45. | |
money over and over again but you can't do it. It's a fact. Let me | :16:46. | :16:51. | |
pick up on another issue for the UK Government says it's not planning | :16:52. | :16:55. | |
for independence, not planning to move Trident, no plans for the do | :16:56. | :17:00. | |
you believe that? Yes, because the whole point of a referendum is to | :17:01. | :17:04. | |
find out what the will of the Scottish people is. If Scotland vote | :17:05. | :17:07. | |
for independence, then that is what's going to happen for them they | :17:08. | :17:11. | |
will know if some bats: No going back. That's why the decision is so | :17:12. | :17:16. | |
irreversible and why we've got to get it right and make it on the | :17:17. | :17:21. | |
right basis with our eyes wide open. No fingers crossed, no guesswork, we | :17:22. | :17:27. | |
have got to be absolutely sure. The reason they're not planning is is no | :17:28. | :17:30. | |
mandate to do that, there's no mandate to do that. Gus O'Donnell, | :17:31. | :17:37. | |
the former secretary to the UK Cabinet, said yesterday it was | :17:38. | :17:40. | |
disgraceful the UK Government had not made any plans for a Yes vote | :17:41. | :17:46. | |
for the death was agreed between the UK Government and the Scottish | :17:47. | :17:50. | |
Government. Isn't it reasonable we should had plans in the UK | :17:51. | :17:53. | |
Government because the sovereign will the people might be for a Yes | :17:54. | :17:58. | |
vote? APPLAUSE | :17:59. | :18:04. | |
I want to get back to my earlier question. | :18:05. | :18:08. | |
Are you saying, despite the fact the Royal United services Institute | :18:09. | :18:12. | |
reckon it could take until at least 2028 to remove nuclear weapons from | :18:13. | :18:15. | |
Scotland, which is your policy, are you saying you would negotiate on | :18:16. | :18:20. | |
that? I think five and a half years as a very reasonable timescale to | :18:21. | :18:25. | |
offer, as we have done in the White Paper. Our objective is to rid | :18:26. | :18:30. | |
Scotland of nuclear weapons. It's not a red line but open to | :18:31. | :18:34. | |
negotiation? To be a member of NATO, and not be a nuclear country, the | :18:35. | :18:40. | |
present secretary-general is the Prime Minister of Denmark on a | :18:41. | :18:46. | |
country. The next one is Prime Minister of Norway, the other | :18:47. | :18:51. | |
non-nuclear country. At the end of the day... Why is it not light froth | :18:52. | :18:57. | |
pillowcase OK for Denmark and Norway? Now we we we move onto what | :18:58. | :19:04. | |
happens after the referendum vote. The next question is submitted by | :19:05. | :19:12. | |
e-mail from Craig Lister. He says, in his view, this has been a very | :19:13. | :19:16. | |
divisive campaign, not just for politicians but for the Scottish | :19:17. | :19:20. | |
population generally. He asks, how will Westminster and Holyrood work | :19:21. | :19:24. | |
together after this vote and how will yes and no voters react to each | :19:25. | :19:32. | |
other? If someone asked me six months ago has this campaign been | :19:33. | :19:36. | |
divisive and will be difficult afterwards, I would've said not at | :19:37. | :19:40. | |
all. It's like an election, people have their differences and that's | :19:41. | :19:43. | |
it. It has got rather more heated in the last few weeks and that's not | :19:44. | :19:48. | |
surprising because both sides are passionate about what they believe | :19:49. | :19:53. | |
in and quite rightly arguing their case with vigour. I do think is | :19:54. | :19:57. | |
important that, whatever the result, both sides have to accept it. One | :19:58. | :20:01. | |
side will be disappointed, but we have to accept it. I hope people do | :20:02. | :20:06. | |
reject independence and I hope therefore people will work together | :20:07. | :20:10. | |
to build a better and stronger and a fairer Scotland, equally, if I lose | :20:11. | :20:14. | |
and he wins, I have to accept that that is it. We're not going back. | :20:15. | :20:21. | |
It's not just the politicians but frankly, for all of us. After one of | :20:22. | :20:29. | |
the longest election campaign I've ever experienced, we have got to | :20:30. | :20:31. | |
remember the next morning, we need to get on with things to make a | :20:32. | :20:34. | |
difference to people in Scotland, we should look at the problems we have | :20:35. | :20:38. | |
in the health service, education, transport, issues of social justice. | :20:39. | :20:44. | |
They all needed tending to put up we all need to work closely together | :20:45. | :20:46. | |
and I hope we can do that. APPLAUSE | :20:47. | :20:51. | |
. Can I say, I agree with what he is | :20:52. | :20:57. | |
just sat there. I don't agree about the campaign. I think this has been | :20:58. | :21:01. | |
the most extraordinary energising campaign in Scottish history but | :21:02. | :21:04. | |
people are going to vote that never thought about voting for a political | :21:05. | :21:08. | |
party. I think we're heading to a percentage poll of 80 percentage | :21:09. | :21:13. | |
plus for the the marvellous engagement in Scottish Parliament | :21:14. | :21:19. | |
for them it is usually exciting time for them in the aftermath, this is | :21:20. | :21:23. | |
operation to bring Scotland together, whatever the result. It's | :21:24. | :21:27. | |
going to be close fought and we have to bring Scotland together so, as | :21:28. | :21:30. | |
First Minister and pledging if it's a Yes Vote, I will accept the | :21:31. | :21:35. | |
obligation to have 18 months of negotiation between the referendum | :21:36. | :21:38. | |
and independence, not just involving the Scottish National Party and the | :21:39. | :21:44. | |
wider Yes campaign, but the best talent of Scotland, as part of the | :21:45. | :21:49. | |
negotiation team to get the best possible settlement for Scotland in | :21:50. | :21:54. | |
the negotiations. Alistair and I, if he was available, I would invite him | :21:55. | :21:59. | |
to join that negotiating team because once the referendum is over, | :22:00. | :22:03. | |
it's a matter of team Scotland. That is what we need. Thank you. | :22:04. | :22:04. | |
APPLAUSE Let me come back to that of the | :22:05. | :22:15. | |
moment for the final thoughts from members of the audience. On happens | :22:16. | :22:19. | |
after the boat. In the front row. That vote. You mention are going to | :22:20. | :22:26. | |
have a turnout of about 80% but how do we make sure people stay as | :22:27. | :22:29. | |
interested in politics regardless of the outcome? OK, the lady in the | :22:30. | :22:39. | |
back. In the event of a No vote, can Mr Darling tonne of what further | :22:40. | :22:42. | |
powers he'll become painful for Scotland? I think, so far, a lot of | :22:43. | :22:52. | |
the points I Better Together focused on the risks for Scotland but there | :22:53. | :22:58. | |
is no strong case being made to meet about no. The gentleman just behind | :22:59. | :23:05. | |
you. Throughout this night, Mr Darling has stressed Scotland should | :23:06. | :23:08. | |
not be relying on its oil and yet, your Government from Westminster | :23:09. | :23:12. | |
under the banner of the UK took Scotland into an illegal war for oil | :23:13. | :23:17. | |
and Scottish men and women died for that. Thank you. One final point. | :23:18. | :23:24. | |
The lady with the glasses. I think the fundamental difference is | :23:25. | :23:29. | |
The lady with the glasses. I think the Yes campaign are fighting for | :23:30. | :23:31. | |
the future of Scotland and Alistair Darling are fighting passionate for | :23:32. | :23:38. | |
their jobs. Thank you for those contributions. Alistair Darling, you | :23:39. | :23:42. | |
can pick up those points first of all. Briefly. I suspect the last | :23:43. | :23:49. | |
spoken I'm not going to win you over I think you're committed on the | :23:50. | :23:54. | |
other side but this isn't about me or him but about our children and | :23:55. | :23:57. | |
the generations that come after that. That's why we need to make the | :23:58. | :24:02. | |
decision, to make sure we make the right decision on September the | :24:03. | :24:06. | |
18th. Can I also take up the point from the gentleman there. I am | :24:07. | :24:08. | |
passionate about the case for us being part of the UK because of the | :24:09. | :24:13. | |
jobs, the opportunities as one of the security which comes. I thought | :24:14. | :24:20. | |
was great questions here but I can address this gentleman that was | :24:21. | :24:23. | |
questioned about how we can sustain the engagement, I think one | :24:24. | :24:28. | |
possibility is if it is a Yes vote, the formation of the Constitution | :24:29. | :24:29. | |
for an independent Scotland, the nation, and few societies | :24:30. | :25:05. | |
anywhere on earth have secured this opportunity to vote themselves into | :25:06. | :25:07. | |
independence. This is an opportunity peacefully at the ballot box, in a | :25:08. | :25:12. | |
process agreed and consented, and opportunity which may not come our | :25:13. | :25:17. | |
way again. So when we post about a ballot in the next few days and go | :25:18. | :25:20. | |
to the polling stations, we will take the future of our country into | :25:21. | :25:26. | |
our hands and have opportunities as an independent country and a means | :25:27. | :25:29. | |
of taking advantage of it, challenges as an independent | :25:30. | :25:32. | |
country, and we have got to rise to these challenges to solve them. In | :25:33. | :25:38. | |
contrast, all of the No campaign is absolutely nothing positive to say | :25:39. | :25:42. | |
about the future of this country. In reality, there is only one thing we | :25:43. | :25:48. | |
can guarantee and this is what a Yes vote can guarantee, each and every | :25:49. | :25:52. | |
election in an independent Scotland, we will get the Government we vote | :25:53. | :25:56. | |
for. The choices of other people of Scotland make will be reflected in | :25:57. | :26:01. | |
policy and that means what policies and the position of Scotland will be | :26:02. | :26:04. | |
placed in Scottish hands. This referendum is not about me and | :26:05. | :26:08. | |
Alistair and the political parties or the newspapers or anything, but | :26:09. | :26:13. | |
about the future of Scotland. And the future of Scotland should be | :26:14. | :26:17. | |
hands of the people of Scotland. It's about believing that we can | :26:18. | :26:20. | |
govern ourselves better than anyone else can. We don't need to rise to | :26:21. | :26:26. | |
be a nation again. The only have to vote to believe in ourselves for | :26:27. | :26:30. | |
them this is our time, our moment, let's seize it with both hands. | :26:31. | :26:34. | |
CHEERING Let's hear now from Alistair | :26:35. | :26:42. | |
Darling. You know, the country the size of Scotland can compare to what | :26:43. | :26:47. | |
Scotland has done, the successes of engineering, invention, medicine, | :26:48. | :26:52. | |
Scotland gave the world the age of Enlightenment. Of course, we could | :26:53. | :26:55. | |
go it alone but I don't believe we would be as successful as Scotland | :26:56. | :27:01. | |
will be as part of the UK. I believe we will do better, prosper together, | :27:02. | :27:07. | |
by building on the strengths as well in Scotland as well as being part of | :27:08. | :27:10. | |
a larger United Kingdom. Yes, I raised the issue of currency again | :27:11. | :27:15. | |
tonight because any country's starting point is currency, money, | :27:16. | :27:20. | |
just as every household depends upon money and uncertainty about currency | :27:21. | :27:23. | |
can bring a country to its knees. I know there are some who are thinking | :27:24. | :27:28. | |
about giving independence a chance. But when we can't be told about the | :27:29. | :27:32. | |
currency, I don't think that can be trusted. And frankly, scare stories | :27:33. | :27:37. | |
about the National Health Service I think are beneath contempt. We have | :27:38. | :27:41. | |
now had three and a half hours of prime television time when we have | :27:42. | :27:44. | |
debated and I still haven't heard a straight answer to a simple | :27:45. | :27:48. | |
question. Alex Salmond says you and I don't need to know what the plan | :27:49. | :27:55. | |
beers. Yes, we do. We do need to know for that we do not need to | :27:56. | :27:58. | |
divide these islands into separate states in order to assert our | :27:59. | :28:04. | |
identity. We can have the best world with as it is being taken here in | :28:05. | :28:07. | |
Scotland backed up by the strength and security provided by the UK -- | :28:08. | :28:13. | |
plan Bs. I say we have no options as than to say politely, respectfully | :28:14. | :28:18. | |
and family, No, Thanks to independence. | :28:19. | :28:21. | |
APPLAUSE That is the end of our time. | :28:22. | :28:26. | |
All that remains is for me to thank Alistair Darling and Alex Salmond, | :28:27. | :28:30. | |
to thank our audience in Glasgow and to thank you for being with us for | :28:31. | :28:35. | |
this debate tonight. It continues across the BBC and radio Scotland | :28:36. | :28:40. | |
and on BBC Two Scotland but from all of us here in the magnificent | :28:41. | :28:55. | |
surroundings of Kelvingrove, good night. | :28:56. | :29:00. |