Debate Review Scotland Decides


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LineFromTo

Thank you very much. Now it's time to cross live to

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Glasgow and independence debate.

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Hello from Glasgow on a rather blustery day, the morning after the

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debate the night before and the newspapers and the commentators

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appear to be unanimous. Alex Salmond won the debate over Alistair

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Darling. It was, at times, a pretty tetchy affair, turning, as did the

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first debate, very often a one big question, that was the question of

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money. What currency could or would or should an independent Scotland

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use? Here is a clip. Fnchts we don't have a currency union, what's Plan

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B? I kept asking what Plan B is, I asked three weeks ago, he can't say

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or he doesn't think he won't like the answer. It's not a matter for

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Alex Salmond what the alternative is. I would like to know. As for a

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separate currency, we saw what happened.

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I want to know what Plan B is, so do you. Go and tell us.

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Well, you don't have to point, Alastair. I set out the options very

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clearly. Three Plan Bs for the price of one. Three Plan Bs. Come on. You

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expect one then three turn up in a row. Three Plan Bs tonight. Hang on,

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isn't it the case... . If people back the plan of the Scottish

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people, to keepstering in a sensible currency union, he you, as a

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democrat accept that as the will of the Scottish people? If you win this

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referendum, I'll accept it's a no`vote. If the we side wins the

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referendum do, you accept the sovereign will of the Scottish

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people and back that currency union? The currency is the best option for

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Scotland. The pound sterling only works if you

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have an economic and political union.

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There was a moment when Alistair Darling, former Chancellor of the

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Exchequer of the United Kingdom said that Scotland, of course, could use

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the pound, although, with plenty of caveats.

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You said a few moments ago, you had a row of Plan Bs like bus who is

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were all going to turn up at the same time. Not a collection of bus

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s, it's the money use, the interest rates pay, the amount of money for

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Public Services. Stop playing. You must have a Plan B, can't you say it

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If win the referendum, will you be a democrat and back that? Nobody can

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hear. , can we use the pound anyway Of course we can. We can use...

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APPLAUSE We can use anything. The is... We

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are still using somebody else's currency, if you Dow, you don't have

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a Central Bank so our financial services can't in Scotland.

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The second problem you have is that countries that use other people's

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currencies like Panama, Ecuador, Hong Kong, they have to run a

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surplus, they can't borrow. In other words you would have a huge deficit.

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That'd come out of high Scotlands... Money too affected one of the other

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big issues in the debate. One of the big issues in this sgier campaign up

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and down Scotland which is the future of the NHS.

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We have an ageing population in Scotland. We have a rising health

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need and I don't want to put that at risk. When I look at independent

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experts, not anything I'm saying, we look at Scotland's budgetary

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position in the years after independence and they have

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identified a ?6 billion black hole over and above anything that

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austerity might bring, I don't want to put the Health Service at risk. I

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am against going down a route which I think will end up with us finding

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that Public Services are more squeezed, more pressured and cut in

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a way that I don't think any of us want to see. I'm not prepared to

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take the risk. The risk to National Health Service comes from the

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cutbacks we've already had from Westminster, already pertaining in

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Wales. The threat of ?25 billion more. The Labour Party in England

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are warning loud and clear of the risk of privatisation throughout the

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National Health Service, the risk of charge. The Labour this Wales say

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that they've been forced to cut health expenditure because of the

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budgetary pressure from Westminster. Are you the only person who doesn't

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realise what's going on in England and Wales and the threat to Scotland

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unless they establish financial control to protect our own Health

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Service? APPLAUSE

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In a sense tense, I recognise budgetary constraints everywhere.

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I'm saying that you are exposing us to... Your own people are saying in

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England. That's... Scaremongering. In terms of who won the televised

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debate, the pundits and newspapers were unanimous. The Forwardian

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conducted a snap poll of about 500 people who were asked who did win

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and they put Salmond at 71%, Darling at 29%. So a clear winner, at least

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according to that one poll. For some more details about the polling, I'm

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joined by the research director of IpsosMORI in Glasgow. What do you

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make of the snap poll? Very interesting. Entirely the reverse of

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what we saw in the first debate, so the first minister coming out on

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top, whereas Mr Darling perceived to have clearly won the first debate.

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It's a bit more interesting than the ebb and flow debates, the effect it

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will have on public opinion. The most interesting element of the poll

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last night was that the gap between the yes and no is exactly the same

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before the debate and it was after. After the debate, it doesn't appear

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to have had a huge impact on the balance of opinion in terms of

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voting tension. We have to wait and see how this sinks in, Mark, but I

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did think when watching it, at the end of this, are the yes voters

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still yes and the no still no and the undecided still wondering what

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to do? That is the risk. As with the first debate, I don't think many yes

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voters will be voting no or many will be voting yes as a result of

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the debates themselves. They do help the campaigns, they do help the feel

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and the tone of the campaigns but I'm not sure they'll have a huge

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impact. As for the undecided voter, I think what a lot will say is that

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it was tetchy, shouty. It possibly wasn't that healthy.

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Certainly people up and down the country are undecided. Is there

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anything? We have got three weeks to go before people go to the polls,

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although the postal votes go out this week. Is there any one issue

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that's likely to move this or is it still going to be mostly about the

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currency and economy? The story of the polls, although, depending on

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the historical look that you take of it, say over the last six months,

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they've been relatively static, maybe going up a bit. But possibly

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not enough on the current trend to win in September. The key thing that

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people tell us, how are you going to decide which way to vote? Crucially,

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how well off do you think you will feel if you vote no or if we vote

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yes. Not sure the debate nailed that on

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either side. That's what I mean about the undecided voter. Possibly

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not really the key issues being explained in terms of debates. A

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final thought on that. Who are these people, the undeciders? Is it not

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people who're disengaged in the process? Because they haven't met

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anybody like that? Eight in ten, in fact more than that tell us they are

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certain to vote. It may not end up being that much but these are high

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levels of turnout in the context of political elections and so on in the

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UK. So turnout will be high. I don't knows, about one in ten clinically

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don't know. There is about a further 10% leaning one way or the other but

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still open to persuasion. That is a lot of people. They are not a

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homogeneous group. More women than men are undecided, young people are

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undecided but they are not a single group which makes it hard for either

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campaign to do one single thing that will win them over. Of course, it is

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not just people in Scotland to are affected by this, but the young

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United Kingdom has an interest because it could mean the end of the

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United Kingdom as we know it. Let's go over to Belfast now. Yes, a

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heated discussion last night. People are watching this debate closely.

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The degree unionists, they are concerned that if Scotland was to

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become independent, it could erode the union in some way. It could

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break links that they see as important. The Nationalists are

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watching closely because they believe if there was a yes vote for

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independence, it could maybe help their appeal for a border poll to

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see whether or not Northern Ireland should join up with the Republic of

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Ireland. As a result, they are watching this very closely. All

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additions are trying to stay out of it in some cases. I recently spoke

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to the jeopardy First Minister, Martin McGuinness, he said this is a

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matter for Scotland. `` NPT. But there are knock`on implications.

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Currently Northern Ireland gets more than anywhere else in the UK through

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the Barnett formula. There is a concern that if that was to change,

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they might get slightly less. Currently Northern Ireland gets more

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money per head for public spending than anywhere else in the UK and the

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other big issue for people here is corporation tax. At the moment,

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Northern Ireland already competes against the Republic of Ireland, in

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much lower rate, and that makes it difficult to compete. At this

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building behind me, they try to attract companies in, bring in

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investment, if Scotland was to lower corporation tax if they got

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independence, that could mean Northern Ireland being stuck in

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between Scotland and the Republic of Ireland. They would find it

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difficult to compete. The politicians are watching this debate

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extremely closely. We will have further updates throughout the day

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every hour and also tonight at 7:30pm we will have a special new

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programme presented by Sarah Smith. Thank you very much.

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In a moment, a summary of the business news this hour but

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Supporters of Scottish independence are claiming that the First Minister

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Alex Salmond won

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