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Thank you very much. Now it's time to cross live to | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
Glasgow and independence debate. | :00:00. | :00:17. | |
Hello from Glasgow on a rather blustery day, the morning after the | :00:18. | :00:21. | |
debate the night before and the newspapers and the commentators | :00:22. | :00:26. | |
appear to be unanimous. Alex Salmond won the debate over Alistair | :00:27. | :00:30. | |
Darling. It was, at times, a pretty tetchy affair, turning, as did the | :00:31. | :00:34. | |
first debate, very often a one big question, that was the question of | :00:35. | :00:40. | |
money. What currency could or would or should an independent Scotland | :00:41. | :00:44. | |
use? Here is a clip. Fnchts we don't have a currency union, what's Plan | :00:45. | :00:53. | |
B? I kept asking what Plan B is, I asked three weeks ago, he can't say | :00:54. | :00:56. | |
or he doesn't think he won't like the answer. It's not a matter for | :00:57. | :01:00. | |
Alex Salmond what the alternative is. I would like to know. As for a | :01:01. | :01:19. | |
separate currency, we saw what happened. | :01:20. | :01:23. | |
I want to know what Plan B is, so do you. Go and tell us. | :01:24. | :01:28. | |
Well, you don't have to point, Alastair. I set out the options very | :01:29. | :01:37. | |
clearly. Three Plan Bs for the price of one. Three Plan Bs. Come on. You | :01:38. | :01:45. | |
expect one then three turn up in a row. Three Plan Bs tonight. Hang on, | :01:46. | :01:53. | |
isn't it the case... . If people back the plan of the Scottish | :01:54. | :01:57. | |
people, to keepstering in a sensible currency union, he you, as a | :01:58. | :02:00. | |
democrat accept that as the will of the Scottish people? If you win this | :02:01. | :02:04. | |
referendum, I'll accept it's a no`vote. If the we side wins the | :02:05. | :02:08. | |
referendum do, you accept the sovereign will of the Scottish | :02:09. | :02:10. | |
people and back that currency union? The currency is the best option for | :02:11. | :02:28. | |
Scotland. The pound sterling only works if you | :02:29. | :02:32. | |
have an economic and political union. | :02:33. | :02:39. | |
There was a moment when Alistair Darling, former Chancellor of the | :02:40. | :02:42. | |
Exchequer of the United Kingdom said that Scotland, of course, could use | :02:43. | :02:47. | |
the pound, although, with plenty of caveats. | :02:48. | :02:53. | |
You said a few moments ago, you had a row of Plan Bs like bus who is | :02:54. | :02:57. | |
were all going to turn up at the same time. Not a collection of bus | :02:58. | :03:03. | |
s, it's the money use, the interest rates pay, the amount of money for | :03:04. | :03:09. | |
Public Services. Stop playing. You must have a Plan B, can't you say it | :03:10. | :03:16. | |
If win the referendum, will you be a democrat and back that? Nobody can | :03:17. | :03:23. | |
hear. , can we use the pound anyway Of course we can. We can use... | :03:24. | :03:27. | |
APPLAUSE We can use anything. The is... We | :03:28. | :03:33. | |
are still using somebody else's currency, if you Dow, you don't have | :03:34. | :03:37. | |
a Central Bank so our financial services can't in Scotland. | :03:38. | :03:46. | |
The second problem you have is that countries that use other people's | :03:47. | :03:49. | |
currencies like Panama, Ecuador, Hong Kong, they have to run a | :03:50. | :03:54. | |
surplus, they can't borrow. In other words you would have a huge deficit. | :03:55. | :04:02. | |
That'd come out of high Scotlands... Money too affected one of the other | :04:03. | :04:06. | |
big issues in the debate. One of the big issues in this sgier campaign up | :04:07. | :04:10. | |
and down Scotland which is the future of the NHS. | :04:11. | :04:14. | |
We have an ageing population in Scotland. We have a rising health | :04:15. | :04:18. | |
need and I don't want to put that at risk. When I look at independent | :04:19. | :04:23. | |
experts, not anything I'm saying, we look at Scotland's budgetary | :04:24. | :04:26. | |
position in the years after independence and they have | :04:27. | :04:30. | |
identified a ?6 billion black hole over and above anything that | :04:31. | :04:33. | |
austerity might bring, I don't want to put the Health Service at risk. I | :04:34. | :04:37. | |
am against going down a route which I think will end up with us finding | :04:38. | :04:41. | |
that Public Services are more squeezed, more pressured and cut in | :04:42. | :04:45. | |
a way that I don't think any of us want to see. I'm not prepared to | :04:46. | :04:51. | |
take the risk. The risk to National Health Service comes from the | :04:52. | :04:55. | |
cutbacks we've already had from Westminster, already pertaining in | :04:56. | :04:58. | |
Wales. The threat of ?25 billion more. The Labour Party in England | :04:59. | :05:04. | |
are warning loud and clear of the risk of privatisation throughout the | :05:05. | :05:07. | |
National Health Service, the risk of charge. The Labour this Wales say | :05:08. | :05:11. | |
that they've been forced to cut health expenditure because of the | :05:12. | :05:15. | |
budgetary pressure from Westminster. Are you the only person who doesn't | :05:16. | :05:20. | |
realise what's going on in England and Wales and the threat to Scotland | :05:21. | :05:26. | |
unless they establish financial control to protect our own Health | :05:27. | :05:29. | |
Service? APPLAUSE | :05:30. | :05:37. | |
In a sense tense, I recognise budgetary constraints everywhere. | :05:38. | :05:40. | |
I'm saying that you are exposing us to... Your own people are saying in | :05:41. | :05:50. | |
England. That's... Scaremongering. In terms of who won the televised | :05:51. | :05:56. | |
debate, the pundits and newspapers were unanimous. The Forwardian | :05:57. | :06:01. | |
conducted a snap poll of about 500 people who were asked who did win | :06:02. | :06:07. | |
and they put Salmond at 71%, Darling at 29%. So a clear winner, at least | :06:08. | :06:12. | |
according to that one poll. For some more details about the polling, I'm | :06:13. | :06:18. | |
joined by the research director of IpsosMORI in Glasgow. What do you | :06:19. | :06:22. | |
make of the snap poll? Very interesting. Entirely the reverse of | :06:23. | :06:26. | |
what we saw in the first debate, so the first minister coming out on | :06:27. | :06:30. | |
top, whereas Mr Darling perceived to have clearly won the first debate. | :06:31. | :06:36. | |
It's a bit more interesting than the ebb and flow debates, the effect it | :06:37. | :06:40. | |
will have on public opinion. The most interesting element of the poll | :06:41. | :06:44. | |
last night was that the gap between the yes and no is exactly the same | :06:45. | :06:50. | |
before the debate and it was after. After the debate, it doesn't appear | :06:51. | :06:54. | |
to have had a huge impact on the balance of opinion in terms of | :06:55. | :06:57. | |
voting tension. We have to wait and see how this sinks in, Mark, but I | :06:58. | :07:01. | |
did think when watching it, at the end of this, are the yes voters | :07:02. | :07:08. | |
still yes and the no still no and the undecided still wondering what | :07:09. | :07:13. | |
to do? That is the risk. As with the first debate, I don't think many yes | :07:14. | :07:17. | |
voters will be voting no or many will be voting yes as a result of | :07:18. | :07:22. | |
the debates themselves. They do help the campaigns, they do help the feel | :07:23. | :07:26. | |
and the tone of the campaigns but I'm not sure they'll have a huge | :07:27. | :07:34. | |
impact. As for the undecided voter, I think what a lot will say is that | :07:35. | :07:42. | |
it was tetchy, shouty. It possibly wasn't that healthy. | :07:43. | :07:49. | |
Certainly people up and down the country are undecided. Is there | :07:50. | :07:53. | |
anything? We have got three weeks to go before people go to the polls, | :07:54. | :07:57. | |
although the postal votes go out this week. Is there any one issue | :07:58. | :08:02. | |
that's likely to move this or is it still going to be mostly about the | :08:03. | :08:06. | |
currency and economy? The story of the polls, although, depending on | :08:07. | :08:09. | |
the historical look that you take of it, say over the last six months, | :08:10. | :08:14. | |
they've been relatively static, maybe going up a bit. But possibly | :08:15. | :08:19. | |
not enough on the current trend to win in September. The key thing that | :08:20. | :08:25. | |
people tell us, how are you going to decide which way to vote? Crucially, | :08:26. | :08:30. | |
how well off do you think you will feel if you vote no or if we vote | :08:31. | :08:33. | |
yes. Not sure the debate nailed that on | :08:34. | :08:38. | |
either side. That's what I mean about the undecided voter. Possibly | :08:39. | :08:41. | |
not really the key issues being explained in terms of debates. A | :08:42. | :08:47. | |
final thought on that. Who are these people, the undeciders? Is it not | :08:48. | :08:52. | |
people who're disengaged in the process? Because they haven't met | :08:53. | :08:57. | |
anybody like that? Eight in ten, in fact more than that tell us they are | :08:58. | :09:02. | |
certain to vote. It may not end up being that much but these are high | :09:03. | :09:06. | |
levels of turnout in the context of political elections and so on in the | :09:07. | :09:11. | |
UK. So turnout will be high. I don't knows, about one in ten clinically | :09:12. | :09:17. | |
don't know. There is about a further 10% leaning one way or the other but | :09:18. | :09:18. | |
still open to persuasion. That is a lot of people. They are not a | :09:19. | :09:26. | |
homogeneous group. More women than men are undecided, young people are | :09:27. | :09:29. | |
undecided but they are not a single group which makes it hard for either | :09:30. | :09:32. | |
campaign to do one single thing that will win them over. Of course, it is | :09:33. | :09:44. | |
not just people in Scotland to are affected by this, but the young | :09:45. | :09:49. | |
United Kingdom has an interest because it could mean the end of the | :09:50. | :09:52. | |
United Kingdom as we know it. Let's go over to Belfast now. Yes, a | :09:53. | :10:06. | |
heated discussion last night. People are watching this debate closely. | :10:07. | :10:11. | |
The degree unionists, they are concerned that if Scotland was to | :10:12. | :10:14. | |
become independent, it could erode the union in some way. It could | :10:15. | :10:19. | |
break links that they see as important. The Nationalists are | :10:20. | :10:22. | |
watching closely because they believe if there was a yes vote for | :10:23. | :10:27. | |
independence, it could maybe help their appeal for a border poll to | :10:28. | :10:32. | |
see whether or not Northern Ireland should join up with the Republic of | :10:33. | :10:35. | |
Ireland. As a result, they are watching this very closely. All | :10:36. | :10:39. | |
additions are trying to stay out of it in some cases. I recently spoke | :10:40. | :10:44. | |
to the jeopardy First Minister, Martin McGuinness, he said this is a | :10:45. | :10:48. | |
matter for Scotland. `` NPT. But there are knock`on implications. | :10:49. | :11:00. | |
Currently Northern Ireland gets more than anywhere else in the UK through | :11:01. | :11:03. | |
the Barnett formula. There is a concern that if that was to change, | :11:04. | :11:12. | |
they might get slightly less. Currently Northern Ireland gets more | :11:13. | :11:16. | |
money per head for public spending than anywhere else in the UK and the | :11:17. | :11:20. | |
other big issue for people here is corporation tax. At the moment, | :11:21. | :11:24. | |
Northern Ireland already competes against the Republic of Ireland, in | :11:25. | :11:27. | |
much lower rate, and that makes it difficult to compete. At this | :11:28. | :11:33. | |
building behind me, they try to attract companies in, bring in | :11:34. | :11:37. | |
investment, if Scotland was to lower corporation tax if they got | :11:38. | :11:40. | |
independence, that could mean Northern Ireland being stuck in | :11:41. | :11:44. | |
between Scotland and the Republic of Ireland. They would find it | :11:45. | :11:50. | |
difficult to compete. The politicians are watching this debate | :11:51. | :11:57. | |
extremely closely. We will have further updates throughout the day | :11:58. | :12:01. | |
every hour and also tonight at 7:30pm we will have a special new | :12:02. | :12:10. | |
programme presented by Sarah Smith. Thank you very much. | :12:11. | :12:14. | |
In a moment, a summary of the business news this hour but | :12:15. | :12:17. | |
Supporters of Scottish independence are claiming that the First Minister | :12:18. | :12:25. | |
Alex Salmond won | :12:26. | :12:26. |