Y Ras i 10 Downing Street 3 Y Byd ar Bedwar

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-The polling stations will open...

-..for the snap 2017 General Election

-in less than 12 hours.

-Who will win your vote

-in the race to 10 Downing Street?

-Last week we featured Plaid Cymru,

-the Lib Dems, UKIP and Labour.

-Tonight, we join the Conservatives.

-She doesn't say much

-about what she's going to do...

-..and she's been caught out

-by the Dementia Tax.

-She was unhappy with the questions

-the press asked her.

-She was very angry at one point.

-Up in Scotland,

-we have a look at the SNP.

-The SNP are still pushing hard...

-..to secure independence.

-It'll be interesting to see if

-they can achieve the same success...

-..in the next election

-as they had in 2015.

-And on the eve of the Election...

-..we reveal ITV Cymru

-and YouGov's special poll.

-First tonight, the Conservatives.

-The buzz word at the start

-of the campaign was landslide.

-330 seats in Westminster

-wasn't enough for Theresa May.

-They were searching

-for a majority of 80 or more.

-Two months after calling the

-election, has the grand plan worked?

-Here's Dylan Iorwerth.

-In a factory corner

-deep inside London town...

-..a sad robot was lying down.

-Hardly anyone took any notice

-of her because she was so dull.

-All the bullies laughed at her.

-But then, an engineer

-from planet Gove arrived...

-..and used his spanner and pincers

-to make things right again.

-She was no longer an ordinary robot.

-She was SuperTher.

-She had a strong and stable message.

-I'm strong and stable.

-I'm strong and stable.

-What made this robot truly special

-was that she had two faces.

-Look and listen.

-I oppose Brexit.

-I oppose Brexit.

-She whispered that quietly

-but then...

-I support a hard Brexit.

-I support a hard Brexit.

-Then again.

-Then again.

-

-There will be no election.

-There will be no election.

-There will be no election.

-Then...

-Then...

-

-It's on June 8.

-Finally...

-Finally...

-

-No cap on social care spending.

-No cap on social care spending.

-And then...

-Yes, this robot is renowned

-for keeping promises.

-She puts one promise

-in the drawer for safekeeping...

-..and finds another.

-But she is a valuable robot,

-so valuable...

-..mechanics won't let any

-common people anywhere near her.

-Since she's made from iron,

-all the others hide behind her...

-..in the hope

-that her batteries don't run out.

-For decades, Wales has been a

-challenging battleground for Tories.

-Is it worth fighting on

-to break through?

-Sian James, an activist

-during the Miners' Strike...

-..spent the day with the Tories.

-I'm Sian James,

-former Swansea East MP.

-What do the Tories mean to me?

-If you'd asked me 30 years ago,

-I'd have called them the enemy.

-They're still the enemy

-in some ways.

-They've promoted Brexit,

-the Bedroom Tax...

-..and they've opposed

-everything I believe in.

-Hi. Sian James, I'm with ITV/S4C.

-Got any ID?

-Having fun?

-Having fun?

-

-It's interesting, isn't it?

-I've seen people that I know

-and I didn't know...

-..they were members

-of the Conservative Party.

-It doesn't make me feel

-differently about them.

-A warm welcome to the launch of

-the Welsh Conservatives manifesto.

-Please welcome the Prime Minister.

-My manifesto is honest and upfront

-about our challenges.

-Since it was published...

-..the proposals have been subject to

-fake claims made by Jeremy Corbyn.

-If you give me your backing

-to represent you...

-..at the negotiating table in Europe

-in the months ahead...

-..I will fight

-for every person in the UK.

-Young, old, rich, poor,

-city, town, country...

-..and all the villages and hamlets.

-Answer yes or no to this question.

-Will anything in the manifesto

-change before June 8?

-Nothing had changed.

-Nothing has changed.

-We're offering a solution for

-the sustainability of social care.

-She sees Jeremy Corbyn

-as one of her main targets.

-She's attacking him but says little

-about what she will do.

-She's been caught out

-by the Dementia Tax.

-She was unhappy with the questions

-the press asked her.

-She was very angry at one point.

-Tomos, you arrived here today...

-..and parked your tanks

-on the Labour Party's lawns.

-I think the people of Wales

-are tired.

-They're tired of political parties

-taking North Wales for granted.

-Labour and Plaid Cymru, of course.

-I'm disappointed. I didn't hear

-about Theresa May's strengths.

-I heard about

-other people's weaknesses.

-I don't accept that.

-Only Mrs May has the ability,

-experience and credibility...

-..to get the best Brexit deal.

-We'll agree to disagree.

-I'll give you the final word!

-What do you think about Theresa May?

-What do you think about Theresa May?

-

-She's very cool-minded.

-A determined woman.

-Not as bad as Margaret Thatcher.

-Will you support the Tories?

-Will you support the Tories?

-

-No.

-Who do you normally vote for?

-Who do you normally vote for?

-

-Labour.

-Sticking with Labour?

-Sticking with Labour?

-

-Yes.

-What do you think of the Tories?

-No, I don't agree

-with all their policies.

-Theresa May was in Wrexham

-this morning.

-You think she's doing a good job?

-You think she's doing a good job?

-

-Yes.

-Will you vote for her?

-Will you vote for her?

-

-Um...

-She's not in my constituency

-but I'll vote Conservative.

-What have I learnt today?

-I don't think I have more confidence

-now in the Conservatives...

-..than I had

-before I heard the manifesto.

-I'm still concerned that people

-who are already struggling...

-..will continue to struggle.

-People with the money

-and the power...

-..and the ability to progress

-will continue to succeed.

-I'm worried about the people

-who need a helping hand.

-How confident is Theresa May that

-she can retain the keys to No.10?

-I asked the man

-who lives next door...

-..the Chancellor Philip Hammond.

-What's going on with your campaign?

-Are the wheels coming off

-the strong and stable wagon?

-The message remains the same.

-11 days after

-the General Election...

-..we will start our negotiations

-with the European Union.

-We have to get the best deal

-for Britain.

-The only person who can do that

-is Theresa May.

-You wanted a landslide,

-you'll be lucky to get a majority.

-We're looking

-for an endorsement from Britain...

-..a clear mandate to Theresa May to

-negotiate the best deal for Britain.

-How wise was it to go for

-this strong and stable message...

-..when the basis of this election

-was a U-turn?

-The key issue here is that we're

-about to embark on a negotiation...

-..that will determine the future

-of this country for years to come.

-What about the U-turn

-on the social care cap?

-We need strong

-and clear leadership...

-Is that what we're getting?

-I've worked with Theresa May

-for many years.

-I believe she is the right person

-to carry out this negotiation.

-She's determined,

-she's clear-minded...

-..and she's a tough negotiator.

-She's not able

-to keep control of her team.

-There are clashes with the two

-leaders in Wales - what's going on?

-There's tittle-tattle,

-there always is.

-And swearing, it seems.

-We work together as a team, we're

-clear about what we have to do.

-The British people

-have mandated us to do it...

-..to deliver Brexit in a way

-that supports our economy...

-..that will support jobs,

-growth and economic success.

-What will the Tories

-actually deliver for Wales...

-..if you get a mandate

-from Wales this year?

-The Swansea Bay tidal lagoon,

-rail electrification?

-The Swansea Bay tidal lagoon,

-we are considering carefully.

-There will be an announcement

-in due course.

-We're looking carefully

-at the details of the project.

-There's a lot of support.

-Why isn't it in your manifesto?

-More generally, Wales is an

-important manufacturing economy.

-As we complete

-our Brexit negotiations...

-..we can get a deal with Europe.

-We must make sure

-that the North East Wales economy...

-..can continue to prosper

-and access its market.

-What about the Valleys and areas

-that are really struggling...

-..after the last Tory landslide?

-Why should the Valleys

-trust the Tories this time?

-We are the party that will deliver

-a good Brexit for Britain...

-..a good arrangement

-with the European Union...

-..that will allow our economy

-to prosper.

-And more cuts?

-There is huge investment

-going in to...

-..the manufacturing industry

-of South Wales.

-Can they expect more cuts?

-What they can expect

-is a good Brexit deal...

-..that allows continues access

-to markets in Europe.

-That will deliver the jobs,

-prosperity and pay increases.

-Philip Hammond, thank you.

-Philip Hammond, thank you.

-

-Thank you.

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-Welcome back.

-There was an electoral revolution

-in Scotland in 2015.

-Overnight, the SNP went

-from six MPs to fifty-six...

-..leaving a seat each for Labour,

-the Lib Dems and the Conservatives.

-They were the third largest party

-in Westminster.

-What were the challenges

-for the SNP this year?

-Here's Dylan Iorwerth.

-For years, the Scots have been

-dancing, dancing, dancing.

-Alex started it all off

-with a Highland fling.

-Smart Alex.

-As the music gathered pace,

-others were left in his wake.

-Some lost it completely.

-Some important dancers

-were worried about seeing...

-..what Alex had under his kilt.

-The Scots have a new partner now.

-For three years,

-they've danced the sword dance...

-..with a fleet-footed young lady.

-Others have done their best

-to try and prevent her.

-They've even shouted Rule Britannia

-loudly to mask the bagpipe sound.

-They've tried to knock her down

-a few times with a nuclear haggis.

-Despite being slowed down a little,

-she's still going.

-In Scotland, the Election dance

-isn't as important.

-There's a more important dance

-to follow. Will it be a ceilidh?

-Or will it be a tea dance?

-Will the fling be cast aside again?

-Will the dancer be allowed

-to dance on the streets of Brussels?

-One of the most important aspects

-of Scottish dancing is the tempo.

-The danger with the sword dance

-is setting the tempo too high...

-..faster than the piper.

-You could easily take a tumble.

-Can the SNP defend its position

-at the top of the electoral league?

-Former footballer

-Owain Tudur Jones headed north...

-..to assess the party.

-I spent four years playing football

-in Scotland.

-I'm back in the land

-of the whisky and the kilt.

-I'm not here

-to discuss football this time.

-I want to discover

-more about the SNP.

-I start my journey by interviewing

-one of their candidates.

-What's the secret

-of their recent success?

-They call this chapping in Glasgow.

-Have you heard that phrase?

-Chapping means knocking.

-Hello there. How are you doing?

-Who would you usually vote for?

-Always Labour.

-Have you decided how you'll vote?

-I really don't know.

-Thank you very much.

-Thank you, goodnight.

-That was interesting.

-That's a typical response

-from an older person.

-They don't want to shift from

-Labour. Young people are our future.

-Are you hoping for continued success

-and growth within the party?

-Many people in other parts of the UK

-think that 2015...

-..was the breakthrough.

-The SNP have been in government

-in Scotland for 10 years.

-We've worked hard

-to get to that place.

-2015 was our breakthrough

-at Westminster.

-That came off the back

-of the referendum.

-I didn't vote in the independence

-referendum when I lived here.

-I knew I wouldn't be here for ever.

-The SNP and Patrick Grady

-are confident that this is what...

-..the Scottish people still want.

-The majority of Scots

-voted to stay in the EU.

-Your party used that to claim

-another independence referendum.

-Are you misrepresenting those

-people's views by stating that?

-The United Kingdom that people

-voted for in 2014 no longer exists.

-People in Scotland were told

-if they voted to remain...

-..they were voting

-to remain in the EU.

-What choice should people

-in Scotland have over that decision?

-Should it be left

-to the House of Commons...

-..the European Parliament

-and 27 other member state...

-..or should the choice

-come back to the people?

-Are the SNP obsessed

-with nationalism and independence?

-The SNP are obsessed with making

-Scotland the best country it can be.

-We see independence

-as the best way of doing that.

-That's what our vision

-of independence is about.

-It's obvious that the SNP are

-confident of continued success...

-..but I'm speaking to the electorate

-to see what they think.

-In the last election,

-I voted for the SNP.

-The way the last few votes

-have went...

-..we have people in power

-we didn't vote for in Scotland.

-You feel like you don't have a say.

-The SNP is the only party that's

-speaking for half of Scotland.

-I think the SNP

-are like the Conservatives.

-They seem to be for the middle class

-and not the working class.

-What I want

-is Scotland going independent...

-..and us having

-a Scottish Labour Party up here.

-If we had a Scottish Labour Party,

-it would be great.

-It's real socialist values.

-SNP swing between right and left.

-For me, they're the only option

-in Scotland to oppose the Tories.

-You vote for them?

-You vote for them?

-

-In this election, yes.

-If Scotland were independent

-and Labour could prove itself...

-..I'd go back to Labour.

-I'm coming towards

-the end of my journey.

-An interesting day

-meeting interesting people.

-The SNP are still pushing hard

-to secure independence.

-It'll be interesting to see if they

-can sustain the success of 2015.

-During the election campaign,

-YouGov and ITV Cymru...

-..have run special opinion polls...

-..measuring the support

-for all the parties in Wales.

-On the eve of the election, Labour

-are tipped to hold on to Wales.

-Labour on 46%, Conservatives on 34%,

-Plaid Cymru on 9%...

-..and the Lib Dems and UKIP

-on 5% each.

-Professor Richard Wyn Jones

-from Cardiff University...

-..how much

-do you trust the figures?

-The Welsh opinion polls

-have a good record in the past.

-They're more accurate than

-the English opinion polls in 2015.

-Initially, yes, I believe them...

-..but we've gone

-from a situation...

-..where the Tories had a 10-point

-lead to a 12-point Labour lead.

-Do we really believe

-there's been such a huge swing...

-..in such a short space of time?

-There are questions to be answered.

-We have to take these figures

-with a pinch of salt.

-A lot depends on the companies

-that run these opinion polls...

-..and the percentage that will vote.

-Who votes will have

-a huge effect on the result.

-The views of young people are

-different to those of older people.

-Will more young people vote

-this time?

-You talked about the statistics

-and the variations.

-In terms of tendencies, do you think

-the opinion polls reflected that?

-Wales was expected to turn blue

-for the first time in 150 years.

-Is that tendency reflected

-by the reality in the electorates?

-You have nothing

-to measure it against.

-The only real poll we'll have is the

-greatest poll - the election itself.

-It is difficult to believe...

-..that the Conservatives opened up

-a 10-point lead in Wales.

-That goes against everything we know

-traditionally about Welsh politics.

-Having said that,

-at the start of the campaign...

-..Labour were in a pitiful state.

-At that time, Theresa May seemed

-to be governing over everyone.

-This was meant to be her coronation.

-That's changed dramatically

-over the past few weeks.

-One thing that's certain,

-whatever the result...

-..Theresa May has had a very

-difficult personal campaign.

-You've seen the data

-and the campaigns.

-Head on the block,

-how do you see it going?

-Labour will still be

-the largest party in Wales.

-That's not a brave call - it's been

-like that for over a century.

-I expect the Tories

-to form a government...

-..with an even bigger majority...

-..but having said that, the opinion

-polls are all fluctuating.

-It depends on the turnout

-and who actually votes.

-Time will tell.

-Time will tell.

-

-Thank you very much.

-The race to 10 Downing Street

-is almost over.

-Tomorrow,

-polling stations will open.

-Choosing the next person

-to walk into No.10 is in your hands.

-Between now and then,

-good luck to you all.

-S4C Subtitles by Adnod Cyf.

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