22/06/2016 Politics Scotland


22/06/2016

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Good afternoon and welcome to a special Politics Scotland programme.

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As the country prepares for the crucial vote

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on its future in, or out, of the European Union,

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today's programme will focus on exactly that.

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First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has united with her four

:00:30.:00:31.

predecessors to back a vote for the UK to remain in the EU.

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They released a statement this morning saying the EU is "vital

:00:38.:00:39.

for jobs and investment in Scotland".

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But the Leave campaign say the only way to protect Scotland from EU

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And that the first ministers were "out of touch" with ordinary

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voters over what they called "uncontrolled EU migration".

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Ross Thomson from the Scottish Conservatives,

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Former Labour MP Nigel Griffiths is from

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Ivan McKee from the SNP, who wants to remain in the EU.

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And Ross Greer from the Scottish Green Party,

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Now, if the opinion polls are to be believed, Thursday night's

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Surveys generally showed the Leave camp

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ahead until late last week, when the Remain camp clawed

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But the bookies seem increasingly confident that remain will win.

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Let's start with the position the campaigns are in. If Remain are

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claiming that every economic institution said it would be a

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disaster if Britain left, with so many business leaders timing I do

:01:53.:01:58.

say Remain, why aren't you well ahead in the polls? I think the

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Leave campaign has been pushing the immigration card. Looking at the

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fact is on that, the reality is that if we left the EU we could control

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our borders better... We will talk about that later, but with so many

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of the so-called experts on your side, it must surprise you that you

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are not walking this. In terms of the economy, most people would that

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you are not walking this. In terms of the economy, most people would

:02:26.:02:28.

written and the economy would have a problem if we were outside the EU.

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The Leave campaign of English and immigration card and that is one of

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the arguments we can't dismantle over the course of this programme.

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Are you saying that your feeling that even if people feel they will

:02:41.:02:45.

be worse off by quitting the EU, that immigration is so important for

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them that they will vote to leave anyway? So much nonsense has been

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talk out the Leave side that people are starting to believe it. That is

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something we can't dismantle through the courts of this programme. Every

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economic adviser or a business person that has looked at that and

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thought about it, they understand we would have a serious problem in our

:03:06.:03:10.

economy if Britain was outside of the European Union. Nigel Griffiths,

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why do you think that Leave are doing so well? I assume that even

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you would not expect to be neck and neck at this stage? People are

:03:20.:03:24.

weighing up the evidence. These economists at the same ones who said

:03:25.:03:28.

we would need to join the euro and the cup back completely wrong. It is

:03:29.:03:32.

the same economists who said on the 12th of March 2008 in the budget...

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We will discuss the economy in particular, but what about the point

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that immigration is trumping fears about the economy. I don't believe

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that. Leaflets have been handed out to millions of people that I wrote

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that has not even mentioned immigration. You are not seriously

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going to say that the reason many people are going to both... It is

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not the pre-eminent reason. There are other reasons, including the

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economy and concerns about the state of the euro, the bailouts we have

:04:08.:04:10.

had to contribute to another European countries and in general

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the torpor of the European budget. That is why a lot of people think

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that we would be better right. Ross, you must be surprised that you're

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not doing better? Definitely frustrated, not necessarily

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surprised. It shows the need... Everybody needs to turn out to vote.

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There has been massively antiestablishment feeling. There is

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a huge report: not just does politics but European politics and

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across the pond as well about what people perceive as establishment

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across the pond as well about what forces, which is where you can see a

:04:50.:04:53.

backlash against the opinions of people like the IMF and the Bank of

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England. In this case it has been completely misplaced. People leading

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the Leave campaign are the epitome of the establishment. Boris Johnson

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is the epitome of the establishment. People just want to give the powers

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that be at kicking, isn't it a bit rich for you and Ivan to say that is

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a problem because both of you were in favour of independence for

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a problem because both of you were Scotland. A lot of people voted for

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that because they wanted to give the establishment kicking. It is more

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sophisticated than that. There is a value in antiestablishment politics,

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but leaving the EU is not the answer to that. Handing the right wing of

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the right-wing of British politics more power. Why can't you convince

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more people but that is the case? It is neck and neck. All referendums

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seem to coalesce in the last few days. The referendum vote became

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very close but we ended up losing by a higher margin than we expected.

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The problem is that the facts but I'd been completely untrue. The ?350

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million a week that we give to Europe, that is completely untrue.

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They put that on millions of leaflets and it starts getting

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through to people. I am interested, Ross Thompson, why do you think,

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again, I've resumed that you would have thought this that Remain

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would've been further ahead by this stage? We have always been told how

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emphatically in support of the EU is that Scotland is. The First Minister

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has told us that. I have never felt that on the ground, I have knocked

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on doors for weeks and weeks, and they always felt there was something

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there, frustration, I amongst the public that was not being reflected

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in the polls. A couple of weeks ago we started to see that change. More

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and more people were engaging with the message and it was resonating. I

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genuinely believe that Scotland will not vote as emphatically in favour

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of Remain as people may think. I think things are very close to call

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across the UK. In Scotland we have been working really hard and I think

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it will be closer here than most of us sitting round the table expected

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to be. Would it concern you, Nigel Griffiths, that if we leave the UK

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then breaking up the UK could be on the agenda as well as picking up the

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European Union? Know, in fact Nicola Sturgeon said that voting to leave

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the EU would set back the cause for independence. And when did you

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believe a word Nicola Sturgeon said? Not often, but she is right on that.

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The SNP would then have to knock on doors and safety people we want to

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reapply to the EU, join the euro to do that, and that was always the

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policy but they have tried to switch away from that, and I don't think

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the people of Scotland one to join the euro and I think that would help

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sink the campaign. Absolutely not true. You don't have to join the

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sink the campaign. Absolutely not Euro to join the EU. I know there

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are lots of pro-independence force Scotland voters who will vote Leave.

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Don't they have a point that this would shake up the structures and

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see what also? If Scotland votes Remain nincompoops Leave, that would

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be the best result. That turmoil would not be good for anybody. Why

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wouldn't it be good for independence for Scotland? Because we want to

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have a Scotland independent within the EU. But you could leave the EU

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and apply to join it again once you had your independence. Continuous

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and apply to join it again once you membership of the EU is important

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and we wouldn't want to cause any disruption on that comment doesn't

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make any sense. This debate is about whether we want to stay in the EU.

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For a lot of people that is the debate. This simple fact is if your

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main thing is you want another independence referendum, the best

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main thing is you want another possible result is that Scotland

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would still Remain and England votes to Leave. But that didn't happen at

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least that would shake things up. If you go to Remain you have no chance.

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If you believe that Scotland should be an independent country than the

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best outcome is that the UK as a whole votes to Remain and we

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continue to build the case for independence. That doesn't make any

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sense. Euro First Minister has been saying if Scotland votes to Remain

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but Britain builds the Leave she would have another independence

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referendum. We would have to put that on the cards because it would

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be a clear example of Scotland putting on weight and the rest of

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the UK voting another, that would add to our argument that our votes

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in Scotland are not given enough add to our argument that our votes

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importance. The more promising it ripped independence that... But do

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you not want any road to independence? Is there a good

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written about with? That is massively oversimplifying it. Is it?

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On the ground, the people I have been working with a lot of them are

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card-carrying members of the SNP and the reason they are getting involved

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in the Leave campaign is that the genuinely say that the Scottish

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Parliament can't be stronger if we take powers back from Brussels. True

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nationalists want a stronger Scotland... Nigel is saying that

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voting Leave makes independence less likely! The First Minister has seen

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the levels of support rank and rank and file and over the weekend has

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released panic statements about to vote Remain. That is against the one

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option that can bring powers and money back to Scotland. It is

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completely untrue. That money would not come back to Scotland, it would

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go to the Westminster government. The external relations in terms of

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negotiation is a reserved matter. This thing that we would get more

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powers if we weren't in the EU or we would get more money is nonsense.

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Michael Gove said that Scotland would get powers of immigration if

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we went in the EU which is such a piece of nonsense it was transparent

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to nearly everybody. That is the kind of untruths that the Leave

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campaign are saying. Every fact that contradicts you were something that

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is against you is untrue! That is your problem. On the euro if you

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look at article if you have to subscribe to the euro if you apply

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to join. That is not true. Why are Poland not in the euro? Decidua

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mantra. Why are Poland not in the euro, the Czech Republic? They

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joined some time ago... Could I just intervene? This is all very

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fascinating. One thing we do know about the last day is that a lot of

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people out there have not made up their mind. One of the things that I

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hear is that it is really difficult, we find it really difficult to

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decide so if you talk over each other you will make everyone more

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confused so let everyone have their say. Let's move on to immigration. A

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great concern is that as part of the European Union we have an

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unquantifiable commitment to free migration from the European Union.

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That is what many people see as a problem. People say we don't mind

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immigration but we would like Britain to be able to control it. As

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long as we are a member of the European Union we need to have free

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movement of people. Why are people wrong to think that? Looking at the

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UK's immigration there are more people emigrating to inside Britain

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from outside the EU than inside. If it was easy to control immigration

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has the Leave campaign said if we control our own borders, then why

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are they unable to control immigration from outside the EU.

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That gives a lighter this EU that there a magic bullet and on the

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first day after we leave the EU we can control immigration and bring it

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down significantly. David Cameron campaigned on a campaign into

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bringing immigration down into the tens of thousands but it is over 400

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thousand. If it was that easy to do they would've done it already. The

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second point is, there is a huge number of British citizens living

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within Europe which needs to be considered in this as well. Freedom

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of movement goes both ways. Business people need to travel as part of the

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free trade agreements and that is an important part of that. It works

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both ways and it is important to understand that. Do you share the

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concerns about immigration? Immigration was put centrestage by

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the leader of the campaign, David Cameron. That was part of the

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critical we negotiation. So everything that has flowed from that

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has been having immigration centre stage there. We have taken it away

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from centrestage on the Labour side and not stressed that at all. Of

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course it is an issue. The solution to it is to have a points -based

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system so that the people who are coming here RSS, doctors, nurses,

:15:08.:15:12.

engineers, on the basis of the needs of British public services in

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British industry. At the moment, you can't discriminate against people

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from the EU who may be less qualified. The problem with what

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you're saying is you could not have that system and still be a member of

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the single market so that the option of leaving the EU and joining the

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EEA, could not happen? rights this is where you are

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mistaken. There are quite a few countries who have access to the

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single market. Others do not. Many other countries have access to the

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single market but do not subscribe. In Europe, every country in Europe

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outside the EU has access without the free movement of labour. They

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have access to the EU but are not part of the single market. The only

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have access to the EU but are not ones with tariffs is Belarus. This

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is absolutely not true. Until I became an MSP, I worked in business.

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What you're -- if what you were saying was true, they would not have

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tariffs. Trying to export stuff in a nightmare. They do not benefit from

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free movement. This is difficult. Can I do one of my priority points?

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Either of you correct me if I am wrong. Even if there are not tariff

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barriers, they are not part of a customs union. So, for example, all

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the issues about, denies Asian of goods over Europe, they are not

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subject to all of that. -- homogenisation. Is that correct?

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Absolutely. It is a nightmare. America is exporting ?500 billion

:17:20.:17:26.

worth of goods here. China, ?430 billion. They can export and they

:17:27.:17:31.

can do it quite often with low or more tariffs. -- are no tariffs. We

:17:32.:17:37.

are within the single market at the moment. For every three jobs we have

:17:38.:17:43.

here on services we send there, they have five jobs dependent on it. Why

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impose tariffs? The Treasury and others say if we are to vote, the

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best option would be to join the European economic area, that would

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be the least economically damaging, they say. If we are to have a points

:18:02.:18:06.

-based system on immigration, you cannot be a member of the EU eight.

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Everybody agrees the worst for Britain would be to simply be

:18:15.:18:21.

outside any trade agreements applying WTO rules. The Leave

:18:22.:18:27.

campaign seem incredibly unsure on which of those options they want.

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What we have been clear on is that if the UK votes to leave, it will be

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unprecedented. There is nothing that goes before it. We will be creating

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history in doing it. We can therefore set up by new -- Rohlin

:18:41.:18:45.

new deal with Europe. We are the fifth largest economy in the world.

:18:46.:18:50.

We buy more from Europe than we sell. Any of the producers in

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Germany and France will want to impose higher tariffs on the goods

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from the UK. There will have to be a period of negotiation after a leave.

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A two year period. I am convinced we can get a deal that is better for

:19:14.:19:19.

Britain. You think it might be possible not to have the free

:19:20.:19:24.

movement of labour? One of the principal tenets of the EU is the

:19:25.:19:28.

free movement of labour. That has been a concern across the country.

:19:29.:19:34.

It genuinely is a concern. If we could have changed something, it

:19:35.:19:38.

would have happened in the renegotiation. Unfortunately, David

:19:39.:19:43.

Cameron could not achieve that. How would it be possible for Britain to

:19:44.:19:52.

be part of the EUA? We could create something new by voting to leave.

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This -- Switzerland and Norway are often referred to. Both of them are

:20:04.:20:13.

on the path to accession. They have accepted things as part of the EU

:20:14.:20:17.

because it is in their interest. We can do something different. We do

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not have to replicate what others have done. If I can steal one of

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Ivan McKee's lines from the Independence Referendum, aren't you

:20:27.:20:29.

saying exactly what the pro-referendum people are saying to

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they say they cannot -- we cannot use the pound. As soon as we vote

:20:34.:20:39.

for independence, the Bank of England will no longer be saying

:20:40.:20:41.

that because they are so desperate to trade with us. It is the same

:20:42.:20:46.

argument. I think it is very different. We need to add some

:20:47.:20:50.

common-sense. If Britain was to leave, we are the fifth largest

:20:51.:20:54.

economy in the world. We contribute so much to it. There is the scope

:20:55.:21:00.

within that to actually achieve something which works better for

:21:01.:21:05.

Scotland. On that specific point, Ross Grier, is it unreasonable to

:21:06.:21:10.

say... We're talking about Norway and Iceland and Liechtenstein. We

:21:11.:21:15.

are talking about Switzerland. Britain is the fifth largest economy

:21:16.:21:20.

in the world. If Britain leaves, it could go to the European Union and

:21:21.:21:25.

say, it is in our mutual interest to bring in tariff laws but we are not

:21:26.:21:29.

having free movement of labour. Some sort of compromise could be reached.

:21:30.:21:34.

The UK could try but that would be a dangerous game to play. We're

:21:35.:21:39.

talking about least worst options. Why are we talking about the least

:21:40.:21:50.

worst option? Australia's brother up consistently. Academics at the

:21:51.:21:59.

University of Sydney say a points -based system would not reduced the

:22:00.:22:01.

numbers of people you were bringing in. European immigration, immigrants

:22:02.:22:08.

from the rest of the EU into the UK, have a net contribution to the

:22:09.:22:12.

economy of ?2 million per year. One in four NHS doctors was not born in

:22:13.:22:18.

the UK. 14% of all clinical staff. If you are an EU migrants into the

:22:19.:22:21.

UK, you are more likely to add a university degree than if you are

:22:22.:22:25.

born here. The benefits migration is brought to the UK are massive. There

:22:26.:22:31.

are economic benefits, social and cultural benefits. We need to stand

:22:32.:22:35.

up for that. One of the tragedies of this campaign has been the way the

:22:36.:22:39.

Leave campaign have used the referendum to divide people. The

:22:40.:22:44.

racist dogma. The breaking point poster from Nigel Farage that

:22:45.:22:49.

mirrored a natty propaganda poster from the 1930s. -- Nazi. Do either

:22:50.:22:58.

of you approve of what Nigel Farage has been up to? I am not a big

:22:59.:23:04.

far-right supporter. Immigrants played a key part in the NHS.

:23:05.:23:08.

Doctors from India. Nurses and doctors from the Commonwealth. The

:23:09.:23:14.

Caribbean. They played a major part. We want them to still play a major

:23:15.:23:17.

part. What you have done is ring deferred EU nationals, we can buy

:23:18.:23:23.

those people in, we can get talent from all over the world and not

:23:24.:23:30.

restricted. Immigration from outside the EU is

:23:31.:23:37.

higher than it is from inside. It will not matter if more than half of

:23:38.:23:41.

the immigrants each year come from outside the European Union. We need,

:23:42.:23:49.

especially Scotland, we need the skills of immigrants coming in and

:23:50.:23:55.

helping us. What we need is a fair playing. The EU has rigged the

:23:56.:24:01.

playing field against our interests and caused the problem. That is why

:24:02.:24:05.

playing field against our interests your campaign made immigration a

:24:06.:24:08.

major platform of the renegotiation. Why did you do that? Ross Thomson is

:24:09.:24:19.

far too polite. I want to associate myself with the comments made by

:24:20.:24:25.

Ross about immigration and its benefits. In my own region, the

:24:26.:24:29.

north-east of Scotland, we have a situation where we have a chronic

:24:30.:24:30.

shortage of teachers. I have written situation where we have a chronic

:24:31.:24:34.

to John Swinney and I'm still waiting to hear back. Also in health

:24:35.:24:41.

and social care. One skilled labour is prioritised over those who have

:24:42.:24:44.

skills from other parts of the world. There are people who can come

:24:45.:24:50.

over and do the job. A fruit picker from Poland is given priority over

:24:51.:24:52.

someone who has been a qualified teacher. It is the principle of

:24:53.:25:01.

actually having control. We have zero control right now. It is a

:25:02.:25:14.

Conservative government. We have zero control over EU migration.

:25:15.:25:18.

Everyone will accept that. We have zero control over EU migration. We

:25:19.:25:24.

have the option if we vote Leave to take back control of our borders. We

:25:25.:25:28.

can match up those with skills to the demands in the jobs market. We

:25:29.:25:36.

have swathes of people coming in to the UK. Your government has taken

:25:37.:25:49.

steps... Can you reply? If you have got these skills gaps, you have got

:25:50.:25:53.

people outside the EU, why not recruit from outside the EU? This

:25:54.:25:58.

comes back to immigration. It comes back to the Conservative government

:25:59.:26:01.

policies of trying to cut immigration. The post-work-study

:26:02.:26:08.

Visa, for example. You have got people who have got skills, coming

:26:09.:26:14.

to study here. They let them stay in this country. To say that the Leave

:26:15.:26:26.

campaign... That is utter nonsense. The Royal College of Nursing this

:26:27.:26:31.

week said we were 2000 nurses short in Scotland. The EIS said that

:26:32.:26:35.

teachers are doing one third more than their hours. That is because of

:26:36.:26:38.

your administration's failure to fund enough people. There was a

:26:39.:26:46.

little gap there which I'm going to use as an opportunity to go on and

:26:47.:26:50.

talk about the economy. That is the other big issue. Ross Thomson, every

:26:51.:26:56.

major international organisation with any respect, says that leaving

:26:57.:27:02.

the EU economically for Britain would be somewhere between very bad

:27:03.:27:08.

and disastrous. To which the league campaign can produce what? I speak

:27:09.:27:16.

to people on a daily basis who are in business. Coming back to the

:27:17.:27:20.

north-east of Scotland, we have a higher rate of entrepreneurs. We

:27:21.:27:30.

feel that... Those companies who can pay, the people really impacted are

:27:31.:27:35.

the small and medium-sized businesses. Particularly those

:27:36.:27:40.

trying to diversify and get away from the corporations. For those who

:27:41.:27:45.

are trying to start up their business, the EU regulation you have

:27:46.:27:48.

to go through and jump through just to get something is painful. I

:27:49.:27:53.

appreciate some small-business people do think that. But what I am

:27:54.:27:58.

asking you is, I will not go through the list, the Institute of fiscal

:27:59.:28:10.

studies, the Treasury, the IMF, the Economist, all coming out and saying

:28:11.:28:14.

this would be a very bad thing to do. It is all very well saying they

:28:15.:28:21.

are all supporters of. Where are the international organisations which

:28:22.:28:25.

say, they are wrong. Coming out of the EU would be brilliant for the

:28:26.:28:30.

British economy. A lot of these international organisations have a

:28:31.:28:33.

vested interest. That is why it is great for the first time that people

:28:34.:28:36.

like myself were never had a say in Europe by getting this decision.

:28:37.:28:42.

Where are the international organisation to say, coming out

:28:43.:28:45.

would benefit the UK economy? Name me one. The businesses operating in

:28:46.:28:53.

the UK, those struggling with 100% of the red tape from Brussels, will

:28:54.:28:58.

benefit. I admire your ability to believe that the feelings of

:28:59.:29:02.

individuals Trump economics. But the fact is that smacked the fact is

:29:03.:29:09.

they do not. A lot of figures are getting thrown at you. This is a

:29:10.:29:19.

fundamental decision. You are studiously avoiding answering. Why

:29:20.:29:22.

is there not one single respected economic organisation, international

:29:23.:29:29.

or domestic, which is saying, no. Breaks it would be good for the UK

:29:30.:29:37.

economy. -- Brexit. Why is every world leader saying it would be bad

:29:38.:29:41.

for the British economy and it would be bad for the international order

:29:42.:29:45.

for Britain to leave. Where are the good people on your side? This is

:29:46.:29:51.

the establishment. This is what has been fundamental about this

:29:52.:29:55.

campaign. The reason you have seen energised -- people being energised.

:29:56.:29:58.

People are being set up being told what is best for them by former

:29:59.:30:04.

political leaders, Prahran -- current political leaders, people

:30:05.:30:06.

who are totally unaffected. The people affected are those on the

:30:07.:30:10.

ground, those working hard in their communities every single day. They

:30:11.:30:13.

are the ones who will feel the impact. Sub Barack Obama is wrong?

:30:14.:30:18.

He's entitled to his view. Just as he was in the referendum on

:30:19.:30:26.

independence. It is a decision for the people of the UK.

:30:27.:30:33.

Congress said this week that we would be at the front of any queue

:30:34.:30:38.

and the people who run Congress said that they would want us to be at the

:30:39.:30:42.

front of the queue. Taking your question about the Economist, they

:30:43.:30:46.

front of the queue. Taking your are not generally the people who

:30:47.:30:49.

make the money. The people who do other manufacturers, like JVC,

:30:50.:30:53.

Dyson, people like that... Hang on. other manufacturers, like JVC,

:30:54.:31:05.

What is the chain of pubs? Weatherspoon is. Once we have JCB

:31:06.:31:10.

and Wetherspoon is, namely one other leading British company that agrees

:31:11.:31:13.

with you. Those companies are amongst our most successful is. I

:31:14.:31:21.

was talking about Weatherspoon is. I was talking about the household

:31:22.:31:26.

name, the most successful manufacturers worldwide. JCB and

:31:27.:31:30.

bison. Let's look at the Economist is, they were unanimous that Britain

:31:31.:31:35.

had to join the euro and many of the manufacturers who are on the side of

:31:36.:31:40.

the Remain campaign, that would've been a disaster for us. The same

:31:41.:31:45.

economists were saying the same when Denmark said it wasn't going to join

:31:46.:31:48.

the euro. They said that a hundred million would be wiped off the

:31:49.:31:52.

German stock market. The day after they voted to reject the euro in

:31:53.:31:59.

front of 1.5%. I would rather talk about what ordinary people want.

:32:00.:32:04.

Business has a part to play but I don't think everything hinges on

:32:05.:32:10.

that. Just for clarity. The point is, I don't think Nigel Ross are

:32:11.:32:16.

saying it is what the business says that matters, the point is that it

:32:17.:32:24.

is ordinary people. If businesses leave Britain because of us leaving

:32:25.:32:28.

the EU or whatever, it is ordinary people who are affect did. It is.

:32:29.:32:36.

There is a reason that the largest institution to represent ordinary

:32:37.:32:41.

people, people like the Trades Union Congress are coming out in favour.

:32:42.:32:46.

What is your apply to the point that other experts have got it wrong

:32:47.:32:50.

before. Nigel has an amazing ability to rewrite history when he talks

:32:51.:32:59.

about all economists. I think we delve and quite far in the history

:33:00.:33:04.

there the point is that you can find experts on both sides, people who

:33:05.:33:09.

are qualified to talk on both sides. experts on both sides, people who

:33:10.:33:15.

The red tape that is strangling business, that is protections.

:33:16.:33:17.

Health and safety regulations that has reduced work less deaths in the

:33:18.:33:20.

UK by two thirds. Working Time that has reduced work less deaths in the

:33:21.:33:26.

stop exploitation. They guaranteed equal pay for equal work, guaranteed

:33:27.:33:34.

maternity leave. If it has cleaned up environmental legislation. The EU

:33:35.:33:39.

has benefited our environment, workers, women, our communities.

:33:40.:33:44.

Ross is right to say that the workers, women, our communities.

:33:45.:33:47.

business has too much of a stranglehold on the EU which is why

:33:48.:33:51.

I huge number of us are fighting against that influence, against

:33:52.:33:59.

Craig feels like TTIP. Could you can't specifically the point that

:34:00.:34:02.

Nigel Griffiths makes about experts, his argument that these people, and

:34:03.:34:08.

he forgot to mention the financial crash... You will always find

:34:09.:34:14.

somebody you can say they agree with this or that and to say that

:34:15.:34:18.

everybody thought which join the euro is absolutely not true. There

:34:19.:34:23.

was a range of opinion on that and the majority opinion was that we

:34:24.:34:27.

wouldn't, and that is what happened. The key issue is what will happen

:34:28.:34:29.

with the economy if the UK was to The key issue is what will happen

:34:30.:34:43.

leave the EU. The biggest economy in the world therefore everything will

:34:44.:34:47.

be OK, that is not the reality of what will happen. It will be a very

:34:48.:34:51.

difficult environment and you will have to go back and re-negotiate

:34:52.:34:59.

those fields. It is the... The problem will not be importing goods

:35:00.:35:06.

from abroad. The problem will be only tried to export services. Other

:35:07.:35:13.

countries within the EU will be happy to put tariffs on those that

:35:14.:35:19.

is where it will us. It is a difficult situation. Looking at the

:35:20.:35:22.

negotiations that will have to happen across the world to remove

:35:23.:35:27.

tariff barriers it is a long, tortuous process that takes years.

:35:28.:35:34.

Canada, ten years. All of those negations take a long time. Right

:35:35.:35:43.

across the world. Switzerland has more trade deals than the EU has

:35:44.:35:48.

got! Very successful ones. I don't think so. At the end of the day you

:35:49.:35:53.

have big trading blocs negotiating with each other and that is where

:35:54.:35:58.

the power lies. If you are to negotiate as a country of 60 million

:35:59.:36:02.

people for the whole of the youth, you'll get a better drill as part of

:36:03.:36:05.

the trading block because the other trading blocs want to sell on to the

:36:06.:36:11.

EU. Companies making decisions on where you are going to invest, they

:36:12.:36:15.

will take one look at the fact that the UK is outside of the EU and they

:36:16.:36:19.

will place investment elsewhere. That will lead to a fairly quick

:36:20.:36:23.

decline in inward investment into this country which will be a

:36:24.:36:32.

disaster. Would you accept that some of the claims about the economy at

:36:33.:36:36.

least by the Remain side have been somewhat exaggerated. You have just

:36:37.:36:42.

explained why it might be difficult for trade deals. The idea that we

:36:43.:36:48.

will be in a recession, an emergency budget to cut public spending. I am

:36:49.:36:54.

not going to come on here and defend George Osborne and through numbers

:36:55.:36:58.

about. He thinks some of that has been invited to -- some of it has

:36:59.:37:06.

been exaggerated? People will do a projection on something, the stellar

:37:07.:37:11.

time to a number that they hope voters will relate to. You can argue

:37:12.:37:17.

with that number of ?5,000 or whatever, the reality is that there

:37:18.:37:21.

will be significant issues in the economy because of inward

:37:22.:37:24.

investment, because of the difficulty of putting in place to

:37:25.:37:29.

deals and the fact that the will be negotiating globally as a much

:37:30.:37:33.

smaller entity. What number you want to put on it you can debate, but the

:37:34.:37:37.

reality is it will be a much more difficult position going forward.

:37:38.:37:41.

Let's move on to the other big issue, which has come up in this,

:37:42.:37:46.

sovereignty. The claim from your issue, which has come up in this,

:37:47.:37:51.

side is that in some sense the EU is undemocratic, but we have heard over

:37:52.:37:55.

and over again that we are run by unelected bureaucrats in Brussels.

:37:56.:37:59.

He would concede that that simply is not true? The unelected bureaucrats

:38:00.:38:06.

in Brussels can initiate legislation by assets unless it is approved by

:38:07.:38:10.

the governments in the European Union? They drive it through. The

:38:11.:38:20.

difference between electing eight MSP... It is done by an elite of

:38:21.:38:34.

people. We cannot have people defending the institution of

:38:35.:38:37.

Westminster were unelected members of the House of Lords today moaning

:38:38.:38:42.

about unelected EU bureaucrats are not seeing the irony! If we look at

:38:43.:38:50.

the issue of sovereignty Harold Wilson 40 years ago said that

:38:51.:38:54.

Britain would lose no sovereignty of the joined the EU. Since then we

:38:55.:38:58.

have had a parliament, a legislature, judiciary, we have had

:38:59.:39:06.

a president, we have even got a seat on the United Nations as well as a

:39:07.:39:10.

flag and an amp stop if it quacks like a duck it is a duck. All of

:39:11.:39:15.

this has been done with the approval of the British government. And it is

:39:16.:39:18.

only eroded our sovereignty. Yes, but it has been done with the

:39:19.:39:28.

approval of the British government. The British government had a right

:39:29.:39:31.

at any point with any of the things you mentioned the say no. People

:39:32.:39:38.

regret passing over that sovereignty and making the European court of

:39:39.:39:46.

just as... But that's not the point. Somehow Dewar's Centre the operation

:39:47.:39:51.

of the EU is undemocratic, the point I'm saying is that bureaucrats may

:39:52.:39:54.

be able to initiate legislation but by and at every point in the past

:39:55.:39:57.

the British government has had to agree what has been proposed. Or be

:39:58.:40:03.

overridden. By a qualified majority vote. But not by bureaucrats. You

:40:04.:40:10.

make my point that the bureaucrats and the other governments have

:40:11.:40:15.

decided something... Queue are deliberately mixing it up there.

:40:16.:40:22.

Sovereignty is about the British people being able to vote for the

:40:23.:40:27.

parliament to take decisions. We are part of Nato and if Vladimir Putin

:40:28.:40:35.

attacks Turkey we would be committed under Nato treaties to going to war

:40:36.:40:41.

against Russia. To defending our Nato allies. You are talking about

:40:42.:40:48.

democracy. My point is that sovereignty is piloted in the modern

:40:49.:40:52.

world is, much more diligent in that commitment to Nato than it is in the

:40:53.:40:57.

EU, we are committed to going to war, for goodness sake! On

:40:58.:41:03.

everything to do with Brussels it is initiated by the bureaucrats and

:41:04.:41:06.

these are a range of expat ministers and others. There is a ratification

:41:07.:41:12.

process but it is on a ticket or leave it basis. It is a fundamental

:41:13.:41:25.

misunderstanding of how it works. The governments come together to

:41:26.:41:28.

share and work together on issues important to them and the mechanism

:41:29.:41:34.

high they do that or in which individual governments of the member

:41:35.:41:37.

states have an imperative that is through the appointment they make in

:41:38.:41:40.

the Council of ministers and the commission. .

:41:41.:41:55.

When we voted to join it was a Common Market, neither is a

:41:56.:42:01.

political construct. But we have approved as the British people...

:42:02.:42:09.

Governments and prime ministers have signed away powers to the EU. That

:42:10.:42:13.

is why we need to have this referendum. There is a generation of

:42:14.:42:18.

people like yourself who have never had a say on Europe and the power

:42:19.:42:23.

centre it. It takes over on areas of social policy. That is not the

:42:24.:42:30.

Common Market any more. I think there are a number of people even

:42:31.:42:33.

sitting around this table that have never had a say on this. You knew

:42:34.:42:38.

that they talking about sovereignty in the modern world. The countries

:42:39.:42:42.

in the world that are the most soft and hard once most isolated. The

:42:43.:42:47.

most often country in the world as North Korea. The point is that that

:42:48.:42:52.

we pulled together sovereignty because there are some issues we can

:42:53.:42:55.

only take on together. Climate change can only be solved by

:42:56.:42:58.

collective action. The refugee crisis will not stop affecting us

:42:59.:43:06.

believe the EU. What about the point that even if you concede that this

:43:07.:43:13.

is not undemocratic, it is a form of democracy that is so attenuated that

:43:14.:43:17.

it doesn't mean anything to people. Which is why the Greens in the

:43:18.:43:21.

European Parliament have been campaigning for reforms, and we have

:43:22.:43:22.

European Parliament have been one reforms. Europe is a constantly

:43:23.:43:31.

evolving set of institutions. Nobody in this country relates to it. We

:43:32.:43:36.

are having a referendum to decide whether or not we want to be part of

:43:37.:43:41.

the European peace project. Very briefly, one sentence. I think we

:43:42.:43:51.

will vote tomorrow to leave the EU. That is all we have time for this

:43:52.:43:53.

afternoon. Do join us at the weekend

:43:54.:43:54.

for Sunday Politics Scotland. As the counts

:43:55.:43:57.

come in from across the UK, we'll be here to discuss

:43:58.:44:12.

the outcome, keeping you updated throughout the night until the very

:44:13.:44:15.

last set of votes is declared.

:44:16.:44:19.

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